Stocks could drop 20% when Fed fights inflation: hedge fund founder

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Stocks could drop 20% when Fed fights inflation: hedge fund founder

Yahoo Finance2021-05-17

Inflation fears already roiled the market this week with the Nasdaq falling nearly 2%, but one hedge fund founder is sounding the alarm over a potential 20% collapse that could be sparked by the ...

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Werkohderkoh
·2021-05-18
??
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2
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- L1324:
  dont be sad, news made the market [惊讶]
  2021-05-18
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- The Knight:
  I don’t believe.
  2021-05-18
  Reply
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S土豪熊貓G
·2021-05-18
Too much money supply injected. Pls comment and likes. Thanks.
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1
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- hmmwvmsReplying toS土豪熊貓G:
  Good evening
  2021-05-18
  Reply
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- S土豪熊貓G:
  OkaY. pls comment back too. thanks
  2021-05-18
  Reply
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- L1324:
  just click the other button. [得意]
  2021-05-18
  Reply
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andrew123
·2021-05-18
Yup agree. The past month have seen mkt break new high. The higher it goes the fastest it will drop on slightest bad news. Remember wat happen to tech stl when yield gies up? Like n comment
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Roarhigher
·2021-05-18
Be prepared.
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2
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- 1Robo:
  [警告] [警告]
  2021-05-18
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cassan
·2021-05-18
Yeah
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5
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Ben1978
·2021-05-18
Coming soon
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3
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- Roarhigher:
  Scary
  2021-05-18
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boonk
·2021-05-18
Time to fish if correct another 10-15%from today indices closing as market tend to move weeks B4 independent day
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- boonkReplying toboonk:
  Buy buy buy
  2021-05-19
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- Ace8:
  yeah, be greedy when others are fearful.
  2021-05-18
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- boonkReplying toAce8:
  Cheers
  2021-05-18
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AL30
·2021-05-18
Pls like and comment
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4
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- AL30:
  Done
  2021-05-18
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- AL30:
  Thanks
  2021-05-18
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- JJQ:
  Done. Please also like and comment.
  2021-05-18
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thatsy
·2021-05-18
Stinks strong!
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AJAJ
·2021-05-18
Ok pls like and comment
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- AJAJ:
  Ok
  2021-05-18
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- QJ89:
  help comment back thx
  2021-05-18
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Dawang
·2021-05-18
The party is about to slow down..
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1
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- 股惑仔79:
  Ok
  2021-05-18
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mark01bravz
·2021-05-18
Fud spreading again
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1
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Norico
·2021-05-18
Buy
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1
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- Anniechen169:
  Ok
  2021-05-18
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- Norico:
  Echo
  2021-05-18
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moliya
·2021-05-18
Really
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1
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boonk
·2021-05-18
Early this year many guru predict this year super bull as USA sign off big relief package n$ will flow to market n peak in feb ... But now more guru said correction. Be fearful when other are greedy. Revere when other are greedy. For me, I expect market to bottom by this week. Traditionally weeks B4 independent day market tend to move up 10-20%. So the recent correction make way for next up trend but watch out for August
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- boonk:
  Cheers
  2021-05-18
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- boonk:
  [真香]
  2021-05-18
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滚筒
·2021-05-18
Make it happen quick.
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4
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- peakaboo:
  wow everyone is watching and waiting.
  2021-05-18
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- 滚筒:
  crash is good. crash is time to scope
  2021-05-18
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- wenjin:
  Please no more [流泪]
  2021-05-18
  Reply
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CK11
·2021-05-18
Oh! Really..?
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2
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- CK11:
  [握手]
  2021-05-23
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- KF73:
  Unpredictable!
  2021-05-23
  Reply
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- KF73:
  Maybe more
  2021-05-18
  Reply
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AALPHA
·2021-05-18
Sad Story
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Slee49
·2021-05-18
Like
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1
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AALPHA
·2021-05-18
Sad story
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1
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Obviously it wasn’t.\"\nFor their part,Fed officials have remained adamant that a rise in inflation is to be expected as a transitory reality of the economy reopening from the pandemic lockdown. The latest print from the Bureau of Labor Statistics out this week, however, may have spooked investors when it showed consumer prices for the month of April rose at their fastest annual pace since 2008. That inflation metric, which is different than the Fed's preferred Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, jumped to a 4.2% rise over the last 12 months. The Fed has already signaled it would be comfortable staying accommodative even if inflation in the recovery shoots past 2% as measured by its preferred metric.\n\nBut as Niles points out, other economies around the world have already signaled their intent to shift away from accommodative monetary policies put in place during the pandemic. The Bank of Canada already began its tapering and the Bank of England became the second among the G7 nations to talk about it — a phenomenon, Niles said, that could push the Fed into acting quicker. Elsewhere countries like Russia and Brazil have already seen a rise in interest rates.\n\"This process has already started in other countries around the globe and I think the U.S. is just going to be lagging that and playing catch up which is why it’s so disruptive,\" he explained. \"None of this would honestly matter if valuations were low but they’re not, they’re at record highs.\"\nAs Niles charted on his blog, the market's 10-year break-even inflation expectations are at their highest level since 2013. Inflation concerns as measured by the 10-year Treasury yield have been held artificially low, he said, by extension of the Fed's bond purchases. But talks of tapering that monthly $120 billion purchase program could change come summer, when Niles predicts the Fed will throw in the towel on its accommodative signaling. His thesis remains that a 10% to 20% correction would ensue, hitting unprofitable growth names the hardest as has been the case so far in 2021.\nDan Niles points out that inflation expectations have hit their highest level since 2013. In this chart, he highlights his thesis on the impact the Fed tapering its monthly $120 billion asset purchase program will have. (Source: DanNiles.com)\n\"If after 13 years of the Fed giving you easy money, they now all of a sudden start to pull that back, you’re going to have to rethink where you’re invested to get a better risk-versus-reward trade,\" he said, \"and lower valuation names that make lots of money — that’s where you want to be.\"\nAs a hedge fund manager, Niles revealed a mix of long and short positions, but explained that larger tech companies that have shown earnings strength like Google and Facebook might fare better than unprofitable competitors who can't flex the same strength in a rising rate environment. Elsewhere, the energy sector and financial names like JPMorgan Chase (JPM) remain some of his favorite value plays moving forward.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":195677964,"gmtCreate":1621295238358,"gmtModify":1704355203278,"author":{"id":"3571138623117037","authorId":"3571138623117037","name":"Werkohderkoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15f00b0aef0edf959d4cceebd1513729","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571138623117037","authorIdStr":"3571138623117037"},"htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195677964","repostId":1162214808,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4360223,"gmtCreate":1621297131215,"gmtModify":1680789364405,"authorId":3574119575606145,"author":{"id":3574119575606145,"idStr":"3574119575606145","authorId":3574119575606145,"name":"L1324","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b05b9f32dd8af2590c80da38d48e37fc","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":195677964,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"dont be sad, news made the market  [惊讶]","text":"dont be sad, news made the market  [惊讶]","html":"dont be sad, news made the market  [惊讶]"},{"id":4363230,"gmtCreate":1621310278717,"gmtModify":1663226890648,"authorId":3570437600969291,"author":{"id":3570437600969291,"idStr":"3570437600969291","authorId":3570437600969291,"name":"The Knight","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75dcd9b9c7a6f69cb6e3d99df5c339df","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"4e86300037264823b9bb00ff44fc0f19-5","templateUuid":"4e86300037264823b9bb00ff44fc0f19","name":"Live trading challenger","description":"for 10 months","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/50836b6acaa4041c6613cc97eeeb364b","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a6b8bf4481e36ae8a863eae5098461e6","grayImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/91c1c1e4d3607b46e414ab97cc6dd982","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.07.03","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5600},"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":195677964,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"I don’t believe. ","text":"I don’t believe. ","html":"I don’t believe. "}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":195645448,"gmtCreate":1621294767984,"gmtModify":1704355187734,"author":{"id":"3578811676095048","authorId":"3578811676095048","name":"S土豪熊貓G","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf36dcb8e5b590c1e5f4df466413275","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578811676095048","authorIdStr":"3578811676095048"},"htmlText":"Too much money supply injected. Pls comment and likes. Thanks.&nbsp;","listText":"Too much money supply injected. Pls comment and likes. Thanks.&nbsp;","text":"Too much money supply injected. Pls comment and likes. Thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195645448","repostId":1162214808,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4366984,"gmtCreate":1621338747190,"gmtModify":1680789488083,"authorId":3578570760040163,"author":{"id":3578570760040163,"idStr":"3578570760040163","authorId":3578570760040163,"name":"hmmwvms","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a906b2444a1aca7cd161a6e1ee03687e","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3578811676095048,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3578811676095048,"idStr":"3578811676095048","authorId":3578811676095048,"name":"S土豪熊貓G","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf36dcb8e5b590c1e5f4df466413275","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":195645448,"type":1,"supId":4359825,"prevId":4366896,"content":"Good evening","text":"Good evening","html":"Good evening"},{"id":4366896,"gmtCreate":1621337997937,"gmtModify":1680789484909,"authorId":3578811676095048,"author":{"id":3578811676095048,"idStr":"3578811676095048","authorId":3578811676095048,"name":"S土豪熊貓G","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf36dcb8e5b590c1e5f4df466413275","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":195645448,"type":1,"supId":4359825,"prevId":0,"content":"OkaY. pls comment back too. thanks ","text":"OkaY. pls comment back too. thanks ","html":"OkaY. pls comment back too. thanks "},{"id":4360207,"gmtCreate":1621297085740,"gmtModify":1680789366256,"authorId":3574119575606145,"author":{"id":3574119575606145,"idStr":"3574119575606145","authorId":3574119575606145,"name":"L1324","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b05b9f32dd8af2590c80da38d48e37fc","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":195645448,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"just click the other button.  [得意]","text":"just click the other button.  [得意]","html":"just click the other button.  [得意]"},{"id":4359825,"gmtCreate":1621295933437,"gmtModify":1680789356424,"authorId":3578570760040163,"author":{"id":3578570760040163,"idStr":"3578570760040163","authorId":3578570760040163,"name":"hmmwvms","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a906b2444a1aca7cd161a6e1ee03687e","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":195645448,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Good morning. Please like and comment too. Thank <u>you</u>","text":"Good morning. Please like and comment too. Thank <u>you</u>","html":"Good morning. Please like and comment too. Thank <u>you</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":195649285,"gmtCreate":1621294549247,"gmtModify":1704355180023,"author":{"id":"3576260758860416","authorId":"3576260758860416","name":"andrew123","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2a1eaba26272212d42018e60e78b422","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c5ceab71416b120bab4604c0754b52a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576260758860416","authorIdStr":"3576260758860416"},"htmlText":"Yup agree. The past month have seen mkt break new high. The higher it goes the fastest it will drop on slightest bad news. Remember wat happen to tech stl when yield gies up? Like n comment","listText":"Yup agree. The past month have seen mkt break new high. The higher it goes the fastest it will drop on slightest bad news. Remember wat happen to tech stl when yield gies up? Like n comment","text":"Yup agree. The past month have seen mkt break new high. The higher it goes the fastest it will drop on slightest bad news. Remember wat happen to tech stl when yield gies up? Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195649285","repostId":1162214808,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":195656707,"gmtCreate":1621294284909,"gmtModify":1704355172185,"author":{"id":"3555104076236141","authorId":"3555104076236141","name":"Roarhigher","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80741e96f295312c1997c6a41bb6ea13","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555104076236141","authorIdStr":"3555104076236141"},"htmlText":"Be prepared.","listText":"Be prepared.","text":"Be 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