To The Moon

The $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ GTC (GPU Technology Conference) is one of the most anticipated events in the tech industry, often serving as a catalyst for momentum in AI, semiconductor, and quantum computing stocks.

While past performance is not a guarantee, NVIDIA’s announcements at GTC historically generate significant buzz and can create ripple effects across related sectors.

Here Is how the 2025 event could impact markets

AI Leadership Reinforced

NVIDIA dominates the AI hardware market (GPUs, accelerators) and software ecosystem (CUDA, Omniverse). Major announcements (e.g., Blackwell Ultra AI chip, Vera Rubin platform, AI inference breakthroughs, or partnerships with hyperscalers like AWS/Microsoft) could boost NVIDIA’s stock (NVDA) directly.

Here are Nvidia Key MOAT which we should be also paying attention to :

Lift sentiment for AI-adjacent stocks: chipmakers (AMD, $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ ), cloud providers (GOOGL, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ), and AI software firms (SNOW, $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ).

Quantum Computing Synergies

NVIDIA’s Quantum SDK (for quantum circuit simulations) and collaborations with quantum startups could spark interest in quantum stocks (IONQ, $Quantum Computing Inc.(QUBT)$ , RGTI). If NVIDIA announces tools to bridge classical and quantum computing, it may validate the sector’s long-term potential.

Robotics and Edge AI

Advances in autonomous systems, robotics platforms (Jetson), or edge AI deployments could benefit companies like Symbotic (SYM), Teradyne (TER), or industrial IoT firms.

Software Ecosystem Growth:

Expansions in NVIDIA’s AI enterprise software (e.g., generative AI tools, digital twins) might drive optimism for SaaS companies integrating NVIDIA’s stack (ADBE, CRM, AI startups).

Historical Precedent

GTC 2024: NVIDIA unveiled the Blackwell B200 GPU, touted as the "world's most powerful chip" for AI. The GB200 Superchip, which combines two B200 GPUs with a Grace CPU, promises a significant leap in performance and efficiency for AI workloads, particularly for large language models (LLMs).

GTC 2023: The unveiling of DGX Cloud and partnerships with Microsoft/Google drove NVDA shares up ~10% in the week following, with AI stocks (TSM, ASML) also gaining.

GTC 2022: Focus on Omniverse and robotics spurred short-term rallies in metaverse (META, RBLX) and automation stocks.

Potential Catalysts for 2025 GTC

• Next-Gen GPUs: Blackwell architecture details or pricing for AI-specific chips, Blackwell Ultra AI chip

• Quantum Partnerships: Collaborations with national labs or quantum hardware firms.

• AI Democratization: Tools to lower barriers for SMEs adopting AI, benefiting cloud and middleware providers.

• Autonomous Vehicles: Progress in NVIDIA DRIVE platforms could lift EV/AV stocks (TSLA, LCID, GM).

Risks and Caveats

• “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News”: If announcements are already priced into NVDA’s valuation (Nvidia's market value increased by over $2 trillion in 2024.), gains may be short-lived.

• Macro Factors: Broader market sentiment (interest rates, recession fears) could overshadow GTC-specific news.

• Execution Risk: NVIDIA’s ability to meet demand (e.g., supply chain constraints) remains critical.

Stocks to Watch

• Direct Beneficiaries: NVDA, AMD, SMCI (server builders), TSM (foundry partner).

• AI/Quantum: MSFT (Azure AI), GOOGL (Quantum AI), IONQ, QUBT.

• Edge/Embedded AI: ARM, INTC, STM.

Technical Analysis - Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

If we were to look at GTC 2024 which start on 18 March 2024, Nvidia was trading above the 12-EMA with strong momentum signal from RSI, but from that we saw that the momentum actually drop with RSI trending towards the oversold.

This time in 2025, we are seeing that Nvidia is in current below the 50-day period and RSI is below 50, this signal that market is not very interested in Nvidia as there is a possible selloff, despite last Friday (14 Mar) we saw a short rally catalysing by tech stocks.

So for me, I will be still adding to my NVDA holdings as I believe in the long run, there should be a good opportunities for Nvidia to lead with their products.

Summary

The NVIDIA GTC event is likely to inject short-term optimism into AI, semiconductor, and quantum stocks, especially if the company unveils groundbreaking hardware/software or expands its ecosystem. However, sustained momentum will depend on execution and broader market conditions.

I would be trading short-term like swing trade to ride the hype, but for long-term, I am focusing on Nvidia’s revenue and innovations, similar to those companies that I have shared the technical analysis.

Traders may ride the hype, but long-term investors should focus on companies with tangible revenue ties to NVIDIA’s innovations. For quantum stocks, GTC could provide a sentiment boost, but commercial viability remains years away.

Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think Nvidia could provide sentiment boost to tech and quantum stocks.

@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @TigerWire appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.

Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.