To The Moon

Let's talk about $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ earnings strategy.

It's simple. Buy straddle, and the strike price is calculated based on 15% volatility:

• $RBLX 20220218 80.0 CALL$
• $RBLX 20220218 59.0 PUT$

Whether it's up or down, I'm pretty sure RBLX can't be below that volatility. If Nvidia has a high opening probability of more than 80%,and the probability of a 7% high open is 60%.The probability of RBLX opening 15% higher or lower should be above 90%.

The above probabilities are not supported by statistical data and are purely personal hunch.

If you think this straddle is too expensive, you can just go with put, because the big options bet on PUT is unanimous, and the strike price is much more aggressive than my choice:

• ​$RBLX 20220218 57.0 PUT$
• ​$RBLX 20220218 50.0 PUT$
• ​$RBLX 20220218 45.0 PUT$

Note: do not think that a big bearish single will fall. If the stock surges, you lose all of your options premium.

Let's talk about the 13F file.

As earnings season ends, funds begin to disclose their holdings. I looked at the press releases and found that bridgewater's holdings were inflation products, and buffett's top holdings were oil companies$Chevron(CVX)$

Buffett's increase in stock holdings just solved my difficult stock selection problem: since inflation is so serious that I will even increase interest rates 7 times this year, oil is a relatively high certainty opportunity this year. However, I do not know what to buy because of the lack of in-depth research, so I can directly do the company chosen by Buffett.

Make a Chevrolet short put observation bin tonight：$CVX 20220225 129.0 PUT$