CapitaLand Ascott Trust Review @ 5 February 2023

$Ascott Trust(HMN.SI)$ 

Basic Profile & Key Statistics

  • Main Sector(s): Hospitality
  • Country(s) with Assets: Australia, United States, Japan, England, Singapore, France, China, Vietnam, Philippines, Germany, Indonesia, Belgium, Spain, South Korea, Malaysia
  • No. of Properties (exclude development/associate/fund): 103

Key Indicators

Performance Highlight

Revenue, gross profit, distribution and DPU improved yoy mainly due to stronger operating

performance of the existing portfolio and contributions from newly acquired properties.

Revenue per Available Unit

REVPAU has improved in which properties from Australia, Singapore, UK and US performed at pre-Covid RevPAU levels.

Acquisition

In 2H 2022, CLAS completed the acquisition of 9 properties In France, Japan, Vietnam, US And Australia as well as 2 rental housing properties in Japan. There are 2 properties in Japan target to complete the acquisition in 1H 2023 and 1 rental housing property in 2024.

Development

2 developments are ongoing where Somerset serviced residence is expected to complete in 2H 2025 and the U.S. student accommodation is expected to complete in 2Q 2023.

Asset Enhancement Initiative

AEIs for multiple properties are to be commence in by 2Q 2023. AEIs for Riverside Hotel Robertson Quay and Citadines Kurfürstendamm Berlin are expected to complete by end 2023, while for Citadines Holborn-Covent Garden London and Citadines Les Halles Paris are expected to complete by 1Q 2024.

Distribution Breakdown

  • Distributable Income Breakdown:
  • 88.5% from Operation
  • 11.5% from Fees Payable/Paid in Units
  • Distribution = 100% of Distributable Income
  • Distribution to Perpetual Securities Holder = 7.1% of Distributable Income

Related Parties Shareholding

  • REIT Sponsor's Shareholding: Above median for more than 10%
  • REIT Manager's Shareholding: Above median for more than 20%
  • Directors of REIT Manager's Shareholding: Below median for more than 20%

Lease Profile

  • Income in SGD/Major Currencies: Below median for more than 10%
  • WALE: Above median for more than 20%
  • Highest Lease Expiry within 5 Years: Above median for more than 20%; Falls in 2027 and beyond, without breakdown
  • Weighted Average Land Lease Expiry: Above median for more than 10%

Debt Profile

  • Gearing Ratio: ± 10% from median
  • Gearing including Perps: ± 10% from median
  • Cost of Debt: Below median for more than 20%
  • Fixed Rate Debt %: ± 10% from median
  • Unsecured Debt %: Below median for more than 20%
  • WADM: Above median for more than 10%
  • Highest Debt Maturity within 5 Years: Below median for more than 10%; Falls in 2027 and beyond, without breakdown
  • Interest Coverage Ratio: ± 10% from median

Diversification Profile

  • Top Geographical Contribution: Below median for more than 20%
  • Top Property Contribution: Below median for more than 20%
  • Top 5 Properties' Contribution: Below median for more than 20%
  • Top Tenant Contribution: ± 10% from median
  • Top 10 Tenants' Contribution: Below median for more than 20%

Key Financial Metrics

  • Property Yield: Below median for more than 20%
  • Management Fees over Distribution: ± 10% from median; $6.25 distribution for every dollar paid
  • Distribution on Capital: Below median for more than 20%
  • Distribution Margin: Below median for more than 20%

Trends

  • Slight Downtrend: NAV per Unit
  • Downtrend: DPU, Property Yield, Interest Coverage Ratio, Distribution on Capital, Distribution Margin

Relative Valuation

  • P/NAV - Above average for 1y & 5y; Above +1SD for 3y
  • Dividend Yield - Average for 1y, 3y & 5y

Author's Opinion

Performance has improved a lot from the gradual recovery of travel. Cited from the presentation, UNWTO (World Tourism Barometer, World Tourism Organization, Jan 2023) expects the international arrivals to reach 80% to 95% of pre-pandemic levels in 2023, a significant improvement from 63% of pre-pandemic levels as in 2022. Coupled with the China border opening and recent acquisitions, ART performance is expected to improved moving forward.

The gradual recovery of travel has greatly contributed to improved performance. From the presentation, UNWTO (World Tourism Barometer, World Tourism Organization, Jan 2023) experts international arrivals to reach 80-95% of pre-pandemic levels in 2023, improve significantly from 63% in 2022. Coupled with the opening of China's borders and recent acquisitions, the performance should seen improvement going forward.

You could also refer below for more information:

SREITs Dashboard- Detailed information on individual Singapore REIT

SREITs Data - Overview and Detail of Singapore REIT

REIT Review - List of previous REIT analysis posts

*Disclaimer: Materials in this blog are based on my research and opinion which I don't guarantee accuracy, completeness, and reliability. It should not be taken as financial advice or a statement of fact. I shall not be held liable for errors, omissions and loss or damage due to the use of the material in this blog. Under no circumstances does the information presented on this blog represent a buy, sell, or hold recommendation on any security, please always do your own due diligence before any decision is made.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment43

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  • Guy
    ·2023-02-08
    I don't think it's a suitable one to hold now.
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  • Lucky Antz
    ·2023-02-07
    Thanks for sharing
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  • Quantum Leap
    ·2023-02-09
    The boat is leaving soon ~~~ buy lots of it now
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  • AricLo
    ·2023-02-08
    thanks for sharing
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  • YWTan
    ·2023-02-09
    👍
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  • 咩咩虎
    ·2023-02-09
    Ok
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  • 虎视Tan
    ·2023-02-09
    👍
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  • 陈惟悦
    ·2023-02-09
    谢谢
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  • TaiWoeiHaur
    ·2023-02-09
    Hi
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  • TaiWoeiHaur
    ·2023-02-09

    Good morning 

    Reply
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  • SeanSak
    ·2023-02-09
    like
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  • InvisibleP
    ·2023-02-09
    Ok
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  • sky老夫子
    ·2023-02-08
    加油
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  • mrmoon
    ·2023-02-07
    k
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  • mrmoon
    ·2023-02-07
    k
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  • Boo2020
    ·2023-02-07
    k
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  • Mingx2
    ·2023-02-07
    ok
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  • Alvin1975
    ·2023-02-07
    Up
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  • Elvio
    ·2023-02-07
    Good
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  • Alvin1975
    ·2023-02-07
    Up
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