• TaraneTarane
      ·03-28 09:26
      No the risk of buying is too hight  but I will the Market regulary to See how it goes 
      0Comment
      Report
    • Windtalker78Windtalker78
      ·03-22
      Continue to invest for long. Oil stocks are still rebounding from previous lows and would seem to continue in mid term till pullback.  Given the uptrend in oil prices, politics, Middle-east conflict and Ukraine war, days of OPEC raising production to combat US Shale are over. Industry is ramping up exponentially based on Covid rebound and it wouldn't be possible to massively cut production.  Further more oil majors are diversifying into renewables at the same time so stock prices of these are not affected by short term volatility. Apart from traditional giants like Shell, BP, ExxonMobil, Chevron etc there are also plenty of players in the entire supply chain. $Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V.(VIST)$  
      272Comment
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    • GlenKeithGlenKeith
      ·03-13
      I will as 100 is always the barrier 
      15Comment
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    • IpmanIpman
      ·03-10
      Yes I will continue to take profits and invest more to take 
      50Comment
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    • Nemz5022Nemz5022
      ·02-13
      17Comment
      Report
    • Tigress02Tigress02
      ·02-05
      The price of crude oil is currently $72.28. Accordingly it's expected to reach $77.81 USD/BBL by the end of the quarter (March 2024). Furthermore it's estimated to trade at $82.04 in 12 months.  The idea of $95 per barrel is a very good price to take profit.
      39Comment
      Report
    • 许亚鑫许亚鑫
      ·2023-10-08

      What does a stronger than expected non-farm Payrolls mean for the market?

      According to the forecast of 23 large investment banks, the increase of non-farm payrolls in the United States is expected to be between 150,000 and 240,000, the unemployment rate is expected to be between 3.6% and 3.9%, and the average hourly wage is expected to increase at an annual rate of 4.3%-4.4%.The final data showed that the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 336,000 in September, the largest increase since the beginning of this year.Far exceeding the expected 170,000, the value was 187,000 in early August.What is even more exaggerated is that the employment data of the previous two months has also been greatly revised upwards: the number of new people in August was revised up by 40,000 to 227,000; The number of new people in July was greatly revised from
      7.89K7
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      What does a stronger than expected non-farm Payrolls mean for the market?
    • Herwin ZuraimiHerwin Zuraimi
      ·2023-10-04
      Yes ofcoz i will definitely 
      24Comment
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    • bennett131bennett131
      ·2023-10-02
      Lllllllllllllllllaass
      1221
      Report
    • GigibumGigibum
      ·2023-09-30
    • liverbirdeyeliverbirdeye
      ·2023-09-29
      I don't yhink it will go higher
      293Comment
      Report
    • ysawmysawm
      ·2023-09-29
      I often find myself at a crossroads when it comes to trading oil. The recent surge in oil prices to $95 per barrel has left me contemplating my next move. Should I seize the opportunity to take profit at this enticing price, or should I follow in the footsteps of institutional investors and go long on oil? Alternatively, is it time to consider shorting oil? First and foremost, taking profit at $95 oil is a tempting prospect. It's a price level that many traders have been eyeing, and the allure of locking in gains is hard to resist. After all, making a profit in the volatile world of commodities can be as elusive as it is rewarding. However, I also recognize that the oil market is influenced by various factors, from geopolitical tensions to supply and demand dynamics. It's unpredictable, an
      2.35K2
      Report
    • ManishManish
      ·2023-09-29
      No, still wait for $110 to reach.
      235Comment
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    • teckchengteckcheng
      ·2023-09-29
                                              
      83Comment
      Report
    • JinHanJinHan
      ·2023-09-28

      Bearish on Oil: Why I’ll Take Profit at $95

      The oil market, characterized by its volatility and sensitivity to various economic factors, has recently been a topic of intense discussion among investors and traders alike. In this article, I will elucidate my perspective on why I intend to take profit after oil reaches $95 per barrel. My rationale is rooted in the interplay between oil prices and interest rates, my bearish outlook on oil prices in the current economic climate, and my anticipation of an interest rate reversal in the near future. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2312(BZmain)$  1. The Oil and Interest Rate Connection: The relationship between oil prices
      41912
      Report
      Bearish on Oil: Why I’ll Take Profit at $95
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·2023-09-28

      How is US into another High Interest Rate era?

      As the benchmark interest rate of the global market, 10-year US Treasury bond rate hit a low of only 0.5% in 2020, but now has broken through 4.6%. Has the US already entered a high interest rate era? $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF(SGOV)$ A high interest rate era requires a significant increase in the central tendency of the US Treasury bond rate cycle. Based on existing data, although there is an upward risk to the central tendency of the US Treasury bond rate, the magnitude of the change may be limited and it may be premature to assert that we are returning to a high interest rate era like that of 1960-1980. Currently, the 10-year US Treasury bond rate is a
      1.45K6
      Report
      How is US into another High Interest Rate era?
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·2023-09-27

      Yen Bears May Come Roaring Back After BOJ Stands Pat

      Last week, the Bank of Japan once again disappointed the market slightly, keeping interest rates unchanged while not releasing the signal of monetary policy shift. Although we have talked about this direction before, after Kazuo Ueda reconfirmed, the characteristics of yen returning to financing attribute have become obvious. In the future, the yen is expected to act as the vane of risk appetite. When the market panics, the yen will have a chance to strengthen obviously.The Bank of Japan announced that it will keep the target yield range of 10-year Japanese bonds unchanged at 0.5%, and at the same time, it will control the yield curve with greater flexibility, taking the upper and lower limits of the range as references in market operations, rather than rigid restrictions. Although this op
      2.28K7
      Report
      Yen Bears May Come Roaring Back After BOJ Stands Pat
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·2023-09-26

      Three Charts You Need To Watch: Correction Is Not Over Yet!

      The Federal Reserve meeting in September has ended, and the result is not surprising. At least friends who have read my post should be psychologically prepared. In fact, the results of the current Fed meeting are not very important, because they are fully expected by the market. The only variable is Powell's speech after the meeting. Hawks and policy doves are the usual ways for the Fed to balance the market, so we should not be surprised by the current rapid decline.At present, there is a saying in the market that because the United States needs an election next year, the Biden administration will try its best to maintain the good economic data through a series of measures in order to be re-elected, and the good economic data will cause the Federal Reserve to suppress inflation without ru
      2.47K2
      Report
      Three Charts You Need To Watch: Correction Is Not Over Yet!
    • YuenjaiYuenjai
      ·2023-09-24
      I am positive on oil price in medium terms but probably will still trade in a range.  But assuming there will be a hard landing on US economy which probably is not the popular view, the oil price should drop for a while.  But in medium term, commodity price should rise in this decade.
      22Comment
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    • TaraneTarane
      ·03-28 09:26
      No the risk of buying is too hight  but I will the Market regulary to See how it goes 
      0Comment
      Report
    • Windtalker78Windtalker78
      ·03-22
      Continue to invest for long. Oil stocks are still rebounding from previous lows and would seem to continue in mid term till pullback.  Given the uptrend in oil prices, politics, Middle-east conflict and Ukraine war, days of OPEC raising production to combat US Shale are over. Industry is ramping up exponentially based on Covid rebound and it wouldn't be possible to massively cut production.  Further more oil majors are diversifying into renewables at the same time so stock prices of these are not affected by short term volatility. Apart from traditional giants like Shell, BP, ExxonMobil, Chevron etc there are also plenty of players in the entire supply chain. $Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V.(VIST)$  
      272Comment
      Report
    • GlenKeithGlenKeith
      ·03-13
      I will as 100 is always the barrier 
      15Comment
      Report
    • IpmanIpman
      ·03-10
      Yes I will continue to take profits and invest more to take 
      50Comment
      Report
    • Nemz5022Nemz5022
      ·02-13
      17Comment
      Report
    • Tigress02Tigress02
      ·02-05
      The price of crude oil is currently $72.28. Accordingly it's expected to reach $77.81 USD/BBL by the end of the quarter (March 2024). Furthermore it's estimated to trade at $82.04 in 12 months.  The idea of $95 per barrel is a very good price to take profit.
      39Comment
      Report
    • 许亚鑫许亚鑫
      ·2023-10-08

      What does a stronger than expected non-farm Payrolls mean for the market?

      According to the forecast of 23 large investment banks, the increase of non-farm payrolls in the United States is expected to be between 150,000 and 240,000, the unemployment rate is expected to be between 3.6% and 3.9%, and the average hourly wage is expected to increase at an annual rate of 4.3%-4.4%.The final data showed that the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 336,000 in September, the largest increase since the beginning of this year.Far exceeding the expected 170,000, the value was 187,000 in early August.What is even more exaggerated is that the employment data of the previous two months has also been greatly revised upwards: the number of new people in August was revised up by 40,000 to 227,000; The number of new people in July was greatly revised from
      7.89K7
      Report
      What does a stronger than expected non-farm Payrolls mean for the market?
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·2023-09-22

      Options Spy: Institutions sell Tesla calls; GT has 300,000 lots of option sell orders

      After the Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday (20) that it would keep interest rates unchanged, but indicated that it would raise interest rates again before the end of the year, the interest rate of the United States two-year Treasury bond, which is more sensitive to the Fed's interest rate policy, hit a new high in 2006, and large technology stocks led the decline, the Nasdaq Composite index closed down 1.5%, and the S&P 500 index fell nearly 1%.The Federal Reserve announced the results of the latest meeting, maintaining the target range of the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, as expected by the market, and the latest bitmap shows that 12 of the 19 decision-making members forecast that there will be one more rate hike this year, and then two rate cuts in 2024, two fewer than t
      14.15K4
      Report
      Options Spy: Institutions sell Tesla calls; GT has 300,000 lots of option sell orders
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·2023-09-28

      How is US into another High Interest Rate era?

      As the benchmark interest rate of the global market, 10-year US Treasury bond rate hit a low of only 0.5% in 2020, but now has broken through 4.6%. Has the US already entered a high interest rate era? $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF(SGOV)$ A high interest rate era requires a significant increase in the central tendency of the US Treasury bond rate cycle. Based on existing data, although there is an upward risk to the central tendency of the US Treasury bond rate, the magnitude of the change may be limited and it may be premature to assert that we are returning to a high interest rate era like that of 1960-1980. Currently, the 10-year US Treasury bond rate is a
      1.45K6
      Report
      How is US into another High Interest Rate era?
    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·2023-09-26

      Three Charts You Need To Watch: Correction Is Not Over Yet!

      The Federal Reserve meeting in September has ended, and the result is not surprising. At least friends who have read my post should be psychologically prepared. In fact, the results of the current Fed meeting are not very important, because they are fully expected by the market. The only variable is Powell's speech after the meeting. Hawks and policy doves are the usual ways for the Fed to balance the market, so we should not be surprised by the current rapid decline.At present, there is a saying in the market that because the United States needs an election next year, the Biden administration will try its best to maintain the good economic data through a series of measures in order to be re-elected, and the good economic data will cause the Federal Reserve to suppress inflation without ru
      2.47K2
      Report
      Three Charts You Need To Watch: Correction Is Not Over Yet!
    • JinHanJinHan
      ·2023-09-28

      Bearish on Oil: Why I’ll Take Profit at $95

      The oil market, characterized by its volatility and sensitivity to various economic factors, has recently been a topic of intense discussion among investors and traders alike. In this article, I will elucidate my perspective on why I intend to take profit after oil reaches $95 per barrel. My rationale is rooted in the interplay between oil prices and interest rates, my bearish outlook on oil prices in the current economic climate, and my anticipation of an interest rate reversal in the near future. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2312(BZmain)$  1. The Oil and Interest Rate Connection: The relationship between oil prices
      41912
      Report
      Bearish on Oil: Why I’ll Take Profit at $95
    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·2023-09-19

      Why rates unchanged under high oil prices? Should we blame Fed for high inflation?

      Oil prices are now up over 30% since mid-June. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ reaches $92.43, a record high in 2023.$Brent Last Day Financial - main 2311(BZmain)$ has risen from around $72 to $95.To learn more about oil prices, you can click How to Gain From 25% Upside & 24h Quotes of Oil Futures?But the markets believe the rate hike cycle is over and that Fed will start to cut rates in 2024.data from cmegroupWhy do surging oil prices won’t affect rate hike decision?Oil prices account small part for core CPIMORGAN STANLEY: “.. a 10% increase in oil prices .. adds 35bp to headline CPI for 3 months, but ju
      37.59K58
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      Why rates unchanged under high oil prices? Should we blame Fed for high inflation?
    • ysawmysawm
      ·2023-09-29
      I often find myself at a crossroads when it comes to trading oil. The recent surge in oil prices to $95 per barrel has left me contemplating my next move. Should I seize the opportunity to take profit at this enticing price, or should I follow in the footsteps of institutional investors and go long on oil? Alternatively, is it time to consider shorting oil? First and foremost, taking profit at $95 oil is a tempting prospect. It's a price level that many traders have been eyeing, and the allure of locking in gains is hard to resist. After all, making a profit in the volatile world of commodities can be as elusive as it is rewarding. However, I also recognize that the oil market is influenced by various factors, from geopolitical tensions to supply and demand dynamics. It's unpredictable, an
      2.35K2
      Report
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·2023-09-21

      A Seemingly Unstoppable Oil Price Rally,May be Stopped Anytime After Hitting $100 per barrel

      Since July, the international crude oil price has continued to rise, and broke through the mark of 90 USD/barrel in September. However, the rebound of international natural gas price as a clean energy is weak, and it seems that the surge of crude oil deviates from the current situation of weak global economic growth. The surge in crude oil is the result of resonance between commodity attributes and financial attributes, especially the expectation of supply contraction brought about by the initiative of oil-producing countries to reduce production, and the expectation that the low potential replenishment demand of US oil strategic reserves may lead to short-term supply shortage cannot be falsified.However, commodity prices and the fundamentals of supply and demand influence each other, and
      1.93KComment
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      A Seemingly Unstoppable Oil Price Rally,May be Stopped Anytime After Hitting $100 per barrel
    • Ryan_Z0528Ryan_Z0528
      ·2023-09-20

      Oil Price vs. Stock Market & Inflation

      1.Is crude oil complicating the economic & stock market situation?It is very common to correlate the increase or decrease in the prices of major factors, such as crude oil $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ , and the change of major stock market indexes. Conventional thinking believes that an increase in oil prices will raise the costs for most businesses and daily life and force people to spend more money on fuel, thus resulting a reduction of the corporate earnings from other businesses. The opposite could be true when oil prices fall.Crude oil prices do have an impact on the world economy, but it goes two ways due to the diversity of industries. High oil prices can stimulate job creation and more investment because they become economic
      9117
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      Oil Price vs. Stock Market & Inflation
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·2023-09-20

      How's Amazon's Dip?

      $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ has experienced a three-day consecutive decline, bringing its stock price back to the closing price after the Q2 financial report was released. Compared to other tech giants, Amazon has a closer connection to the macroeconomy. The recent pullback in the stock also reflects several events that have impacted the company's performance in recent days.First, Amazon made preparations ahead of shopping festivals by increasing its workforce and proactively raising wages. The company plans to invest $1.3 billion this year to improve the compensation of customer fulfillment and transportation employees, raising the average hourly wage for these roles to over $20.50. These wages have increased by more than 50% over the past five years. In
      1.95K6
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      How's Amazon's Dip?
    • 程俊Dream程俊Dream
      ·2023-09-27

      Yen Bears May Come Roaring Back After BOJ Stands Pat

      Last week, the Bank of Japan once again disappointed the market slightly, keeping interest rates unchanged while not releasing the signal of monetary policy shift. Although we have talked about this direction before, after Kazuo Ueda reconfirmed, the characteristics of yen returning to financing attribute have become obvious. In the future, the yen is expected to act as the vane of risk appetite. When the market panics, the yen will have a chance to strengthen obviously.The Bank of Japan announced that it will keep the target yield range of 10-year Japanese bonds unchanged at 0.5%, and at the same time, it will control the yield curve with greater flexibility, taking the upper and lower limits of the range as references in market operations, rather than rigid restrictions. Although this op
      2.28K7
      Report
      Yen Bears May Come Roaring Back After BOJ Stands Pat
    • NAI500NAI500
      ·2023-09-19

      Nightmare of inflation? The relationship between oil prices and CPI & PPI

      Historically, there is often a sequential relationship between rising oil prices and high inflation, but is there a causal relationship between them? Inflation devalues the currency, leading to higher prices for consumer goods and services, while the rising cost of living in turn affects individual optional consumer spending and economic growth. Recently, oil prices have risen rapidly, and the market is once again worried about the U.S. inflation rate picking up.Historical data showed a correlation between rising oil prices and inflation. But there is evidence that the link between oil prices and inflation began to break decades ago. Bob Iaccino, co-founder of Path Trading Partners, said the relationship weakened after oil prices soared in the 1970s.图片How does the oil price affect the macr
      274Comment
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      Nightmare of inflation? The relationship between oil prices and CPI & PPI
    • JinHanJinHan
      ·2023-09-19

      Why I’d Short Oil at $91 Instead of Going Long

      $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ As oil prices continue their upward climb, many investors are considering long positions, but I’m here to explain why I would take the opposite route and short oil at $91. There are several compelling reasons behind this decision, rooted in market dynamics and economic fundamentals. 1. The Interest Rate-Oil Price Connection One crucial aspect often overlooked is the relationship between interest rates and oil prices. Oil prices tend to move in tandem with interest rates. When interest rates rise, it becomes more expensive to finance oil-related projects and operations. This can put downward pressure on oil prices. Conversely, lower interest rates tend to support higher oil pric
      4457
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      Why I’d Short Oil at $91 Instead of Going Long