To The Moon

This is the question on everyone's mind these days. Many financial gurus are giving out predictions onsocial media that the worst is yet to come causing more uncertainties to investing long term.  Should we sell everything now and buy on low? Start to dollar cost average at each week or every month? How about waiting out for a U-turn sign before taking action? Let's look at some news and historical data today before making a decision or rather, stay put and do nothing. With the stock market on one of its worst losing streaks in decades amid a relentless selloff that has pushed the S&P 500 nearly 20% below its record highs last October, recession risks are rising—but history shows that not all bear markets lead to long-term downturns and stocks can often rebound over thi

FOMC day. On 22 March the FOMC delivered a 25bps rate hike, with an accompanying statement that offered equal parts recognition of the coming tightening of credit conditions due to recent banking-sector challenges and willingness to tighten further to combat still-high inflation. Chairman Powell’s press conference demonstrated a heightened sensitivity to the challenge of combating inflation while seeking to preserve financial stability. His comments, and the Summary of Economic Projections, highlighted that the FOMC sees its rate-hiking cycle as nearly complete, but that rate cuts are unlikely until 2024. Powell appeared to have found the perfect balance as US rates and the USD fell, risky assets bounced, and cross-asset volatility retreated. In golfing terms, we might say that Powell pull

$Bank of America(BAC)$ Share Bank Of America. Next week should be a bullish week for this stock. 

The news is full of emergency meetings, central banks offering credit lifelines and tumbling bank shares. No wonder people are asking: is this the start of another financial crisis? Politicians, including the UK prime minister, and central banks, say the situation is now stable. But banking shares have continued to fluctuate.

Pause rates, and drop rates, market tanks. 2 years of lost making again

It has been a turbulent couple of weeks for global banking stocks, first with the collapse of Silvergate Bank, then the bank run on Silicon Valley Bank and fallout of First Republic and forced takeover of Credit Suisse by its larger rival UBS. The latest victim is Deutsche Bank to which the bank jitters is now spreading. Lack of diversification in customer base and/or lapses in risk and compliance managements have led to their downfalls, for example Silvergate was a crypto bank and Silicon Valley Bank served mostly technology startups, while Credit Suisse suffered severe losses in 2021 from the Archegos and Greensill financial scandals. The contagion is threatening to spread as high interest rates depressed financial assets that banks are forced to relinquish at great losses to improve th

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Though major European banks lack some of the vulnerabilities of regional U.S. lenders, investors are nervous about issues such as funding costs, following the unexpected wipeout of riskier Credit Suisse bonds. Financial stocks in the S&P 500 slipped 0.1%, but recovered most of their losses from earlier in the day. $JPMorgan(JPM.US)$ declined 1.5%, $Citigroup(C.US)$ was off 0.8%, and $Morgan Stanley(MS.US)$ dropped 2.1%. Some regional banks continued to recover from the recent selloff, including $KeyCorp(KEY.US)$, $Citizens Financial(CFG.US)$ and $Zions Bancorp(ZION.US)$, each up more than 2.9%.

Banl crisis not only bank crisis it has catastrophic effect which is brewing now....which will take some time to brewed....... The aftereffects are a) unemployment or retrenchment in banking sector b) huges losses from other investing firms which depended on this bank. So this after effects are going to be desaster to the economy.... Already tech companies are retrenching their worker heavily So the unemployment is going to be big issue... So to meet that federal going to print money nonstop......which in turn will trigger the bullet in the wrong direction

24/3 (Fri) ➡️ Germany’s Deutsche Bank led a sell-off in European banking shares amid mounting fears another 🏦 could slip into trouble after the emergency merger of UBS & Credit Suisse last week. Deutsche Bank is Germany’s biggest lender. The Euro Stoxx Banks Index (SX7E) slipped 5%. However, some strategists & investors cautioned that it might be a fear-induced sell-off, rather than having been triggered by concerns over liquidity at Deutsche. Stock markets in London, Germany🇩🇪& France🇫🇷 were all lower. The 3 major exchanges in the 🇺🇸 were also down in opening trade, dragged lower in part by falls in shares of financial firms, including Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan Chase & Goldman Sachs $Deutsche Bank AG(DB)$ 

With the Fed pulling out all stops, there is no crisis

Stocks saw rare volatility yesterday. On one hand, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points as expected at its FOMC meeting and expanded deposit protection measures to cope with banking crisis. On the other hand, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen (former Fed chair) said I have not considered or discussed anything having to do with blanket insurance or guarantees of depositsMedia was sensitive, believe that Powell's words conflicted with Yellen's, and the market interpreted them as negative signals. Did Powell and Yellen's words clash?Let's check what they said.Powell spoke at conference after FOMC meeting. Federal Reserve, working with the Treasury Department and the FDIC, took decisive actions to protect the U.S. economy and to str

Although the UBS Group paid to save the Credit Suisse Bank, even if it was successfully rescued, the global investors and investors were closed by the Silicon Valley Bank banking and Credit Suisse crisis, and they created a psychological shadow, which made everyone at risk. However, after thinking about it carefully, the fears of investors and investors around the world are not unreasonable. After all, the high interest rate problem that led to the crisis of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse exists in most Asian countries. Moreover, this is a global village era. Global banks and finance are highly integrated, and all of them are damaged; if there is an accident in the European and American banks, the Asian banks will inevitably "fire the city gate and bring disaster to the fish". We ha

$First Republic Bank(FRC)$ Had we bottom out? i just had a feeling bank crisis is not over yet. Don't big bulk check in. stay safe @TigerEvents @Tiger_chat @Tiger_SG 

Hi TigersWe would like to invite you to share your holdings, and you will win Tiger Coins. In addition, you will obtain a chance to win a Tiger gift.🐯🐯🐯🐯🐯🐯Regional banks surged in early trading, led by $First Republic Bank(FRC)$. The beaten-down bank jumped 21.9%, a day after losing 47% as investors hoped for some sort of strategic action by the troubled bank — or another big regulatory move — to stem the downward spiral in the sector.The move comes after a speech from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was released that said the government could back stop the depositsat more banks if there was risk of contagion.UBS takeover Credit Suisse$UBS Group AG(UBS)$ Switzerland’s larg

$New York Community(NYCB)$   When trader fear to buy on bank stock , I buy ... Because is momemtum to have a quick profit .. Congratulations to trader who had bought it on pre market and sold it at $9 for day trade .. predict it might hit above $10 🫣

Why the $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ can be expected to bottom in April or May and post a double-digit gain by March 2024. The S&P 500 could beat inflation by 8% over the next 12 months. That cheery prospect emerges from an analysis of the U.S. stock market's reaction to past banking panics. Though stocks not surprisingly declined in the immediate wake of those past crises, they almost always recovered quickly. On average a year later, the market was well above where it stood before the crisis erupted.

[Eye] 

Is time to buy US bank stock$Bank of America(BAC)$ $Citigroup(C)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$  

🇺🇸 banking stocks rose on 20/3 (Mon) & Europe's lenders recovered from a sharp early sell-off after UBS Group's state-backed takeover of Credit Suisse (CS) appeared to close off one source of worry for the global banking sector. In a package engineered by Swiss regulators on 19/3 (Sun) UBS Group AG will pay 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.2 billion) for the 167-year-old Credit Suisse Group AG which was once worth more than $90 billion🙈🙉🙊 🤔💭Will this temporary relief sustain❓ 🤔💭 Are Banking Woes Over After UBS Takeovers Credit Suisse❓ Personally, I think it’s just the calm before the storm⛈⚡️⛈🌊🌊 I doubt this relief will last & here’s why: (1) There was a massive sell-off of UBS at pre-market (-16%) before UBS recovered & headed into positive territory suggesting that: ➡️ Investors

This is the question on everyone's mind these days. Many financial gurus are giving out predictions onsocial media that the worst is yet to come causing more uncertainties to investing long term.  Should we sell everything now and buy on low? Start to dollar cost average at each week or every month? How about waiting out for a U-turn sign before taking action? Let's look at some news and historical data today before making a decision or rather, stay put and do nothing. With the stock market on one of its worst losing streaks in decades amid a relentless selloff that has pushed the S&P 500 nearly 20% below its record highs last October, recession risks are rising—but history shows that not all bear markets lead to long-term downturns and stocks can often rebound over thi

24/3 (Fri) ➡️ Germany’s Deutsche Bank led a sell-off in European banking shares amid mounting fears another 🏦 could slip into trouble after the emergency merger of UBS & Credit Suisse last week. Deutsche Bank is Germany’s biggest lender. The Euro Stoxx Banks Index (SX7E) slipped 5%. However, some strategists & investors cautioned that it might be a fear-induced sell-off, rather than having been triggered by concerns over liquidity at Deutsche. Stock markets in London, Germany🇩🇪& France🇫🇷 were all lower. The 3 major exchanges in the 🇺🇸 were also down in opening trade, dragged lower in part by falls in shares of financial firms, including Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan Chase & Goldman Sachs $Deutsche Bank AG(DB)$ 

FOMC day. On 22 March the FOMC delivered a 25bps rate hike, with an accompanying statement that offered equal parts recognition of the coming tightening of credit conditions due to recent banking-sector challenges and willingness to tighten further to combat still-high inflation. Chairman Powell’s press conference demonstrated a heightened sensitivity to the challenge of combating inflation while seeking to preserve financial stability. His comments, and the Summary of Economic Projections, highlighted that the FOMC sees its rate-hiking cycle as nearly complete, but that rate cuts are unlikely until 2024. Powell appeared to have found the perfect balance as US rates and the USD fell, risky assets bounced, and cross-asset volatility retreated. In golfing terms, we might say that Powell pull

$Bank of America(BAC)$ Share Bank Of America. Next week should be a bullish week for this stock. 

The news is full of emergency meetings, central banks offering credit lifelines and tumbling bank shares. No wonder people are asking: is this the start of another financial crisis? Politicians, including the UK prime minister, and central banks, say the situation is now stable. But banking shares have continued to fluctuate.

Stocks saw rare volatility yesterday. On one hand, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points as expected at its FOMC meeting and expanded deposit protection measures to cope with banking crisis. On the other hand, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen (former Fed chair) said I have not considered or discussed anything having to do with blanket insurance or guarantees of depositsMedia was sensitive, believe that Powell's words conflicted with Yellen's, and the market interpreted them as negative signals. Did Powell and Yellen's words clash?Let's check what they said.Powell spoke at conference after FOMC meeting. Federal Reserve, working with the Treasury Department and the FDIC, took decisive actions to protect the U.S. economy and to str

Pause rates, and drop rates, market tanks. 2 years of lost making again

It has been a turbulent couple of weeks for global banking stocks, first with the collapse of Silvergate Bank, then the bank run on Silicon Valley Bank and fallout of First Republic and forced takeover of Credit Suisse by its larger rival UBS. The latest victim is Deutsche Bank to which the bank jitters is now spreading. Lack of diversification in customer base and/or lapses in risk and compliance managements have led to their downfalls, for example Silvergate was a crypto bank and Silicon Valley Bank served mostly technology startups, while Credit Suisse suffered severe losses in 2021 from the Archegos and Greensill financial scandals. The contagion is threatening to spread as high interest rates depressed financial assets that banks are forced to relinquish at great losses to improve th

Banl crisis not only bank crisis it has catastrophic effect which is brewing now....which will take some time to brewed....... The aftereffects are a) unemployment or retrenchment in banking sector b) huges losses from other investing firms which depended on this bank. So this after effects are going to be desaster to the economy.... Already tech companies are retrenching their worker heavily So the unemployment is going to be big issue... So to meet that federal going to print money nonstop......which in turn will trigger the bullet in the wrong direction

Though major European banks lack some of the vulnerabilities of regional U.S. lenders, investors are nervous about issues such as funding costs, following the unexpected wipeout of riskier Credit Suisse bonds. Financial stocks in the S&P 500 slipped 0.1%, but recovered most of their losses from earlier in the day. $JPMorgan(JPM.US)$ declined 1.5%, $Citigroup(C.US)$ was off 0.8%, and $Morgan Stanley(MS.US)$ dropped 2.1%. Some regional banks continued to recover from the recent selloff, including $KeyCorp(KEY.US)$, $Citizens Financial(CFG.US)$ and $Zions Bancorp(ZION.US)$, each up more than 2.9%.

$SVB Financial Group(SIVB)$ went bankrupt, and the European and American banking sectors have been shaken, causing a significant shift in recent market narratives.As shown in the following chart, the expected peak of the Fed's interest rate hike has risen from 5.5% to nearly 5.7%, then dropped to around 4.8% as of the close on March 15, meaning that there is at most one more interest rate hike left in this cycle.The expected level of the US benchmark interest rate in January next year has also undergone the same ups and downs. As of the close on March 15, it has been priced by Fed rate futures traders to decrease by four times compared to the peak interest rate hike.Therefore, although Fed officials have not yet made a clear statem

Lol lolololol i need to share more

With the Fed pulling out all stops, there is no crisis

Hi TigersWe would like to invite you to share your holdings, and you will win Tiger Coins. In addition, you will obtain a chance to win a Tiger gift.🐯🐯🐯🐯🐯🐯Regional banks surged in early trading, led by $First Republic Bank(FRC)$. The beaten-down bank jumped 21.9%, a day after losing 47% as investors hoped for some sort of strategic action by the troubled bank — or another big regulatory move — to stem the downward spiral in the sector.The move comes after a speech from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was released that said the government could back stop the depositsat more banks if there was risk of contagion.UBS takeover Credit Suisse$UBS Group AG(UBS)$ Switzerland’s larg

Fed’s tightening monetary policy includes not only raising interest rates, but also shrinking its balance sheet, which has reduced by $626 billion since its peak in Apr 2022, mainly Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities. This could also affect market liquidity and change the yield curve to some extent. Interestingly, after last week’s “banking liquidity crisis”, the Fed restarted its Banking Term Funding Program (BFTP) to provide short-term liquidity support for banks. After announcing the changes in each item of its balance sheet as of March 15, investors easily noticed the sudden expansion of its balance sheet.Why did the Fed expand its balance sheet again? Fed has three ways to expansionary: 1. Open market operations (OMO), 2. Discount window, 3. Unconventional purchas

The Swiss National Bank's US$54 billion loan to Credit Suisse apparently didn't restore the confidence in Credit Suisse. The next move is to change the owner for the bank. The Swiss authorities were busy over the weekend, brokering a merger between Credit Suisse and UBS. UBS has reached an agreement to acquire Credit Suisse for US$3.25 billion, or CHF0.76 per share. This price was less than half of the bank's market capitalization at the close of trading last Friday. In other words, a Credit Suisse shareholder saw the value of his shares decline 59% over the weekend while the market was close. This offer is particularly disappointing given that Credit Suisse's market capitalization was valued at US$27 billion at the start of 2022 and had peaked at US$79 billion in 2007. This deal can be se

Although the UBS Group paid to save the Credit Suisse Bank, even if it was successfully rescued, the global investors and investors were closed by the Silicon Valley Bank banking and Credit Suisse crisis, and they created a psychological shadow, which made everyone at risk. However, after thinking about it carefully, the fears of investors and investors around the world are not unreasonable. After all, the high interest rate problem that led to the crisis of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse exists in most Asian countries. Moreover, this is a global village era. Global banks and finance are highly integrated, and all of them are damaged; if there is an accident in the European and American banks, the Asian banks will inevitably "fire the city gate and bring disaster to the fish". We ha

UBS agreed to buy its embattled rivalCredit Suissefor 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.2 billion) Sunday, about less than half of Friday's closing price of $8.4 billion for Credit Suisse.with Swiss regulators playing a key part in the deal as governments looked to stem a contagion threatening the global banking system.In order to preserve Credit Suisse and execute a successful takeover, Switzerland changed the law to allow both parties to bypass shareholder approval.Thus, as long as the board approved the sale, shareholders cannot question the sale price or the terms of the sale, resulting in shareholders who attempted to hold their shares on Friday losing half their stock equity.As an initial offer, UBS offered only $1 billion for Credit Suisse, which slowed down negotiations for a short time.

After a long negotiation over the weekend, financial markets were poised for relief on Monday after UBS Group AG (SIX:UBSG) agreed to buy Credit Suisse (SIX:CSGN) Group AG in a rescue orchestrated by the state, while major central banks announced a co-ordinated move to shore up liquidity in the financial system. - UBS agreed to buy its embattled rival Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.2 billion) Sunday. - The terms of the deal will see Credit Suisse shareholders receive 1 UBS share for every 22.48 Credit Suisse shares they hold. - The Swiss National Bank also pledged a loan of up to 100 billion Swiss francs ($108 billion) to support the takeover. UBS will buy rival Swiss bank Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.23 billion) and agreed to assume up to $5.4

$UBS Group AG(UBS)$ will buy $Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$ for $3.25 billion, essentially a 50% discount to last Friday's closing price. $Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$ initially refused. After all, $Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$ is a 167-year-old global systemically important bank with assets of more than US$1 trillion.However, Swiss authorities, eager to broker the deal ahead of the Asian market, told $Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$ they would consider nationalizing the bank if it did not accept the