• MaverickTigerMaverickTiger
      ·2022-12-16

      Trump played for suckers via "major announcement", DWAC falls

      Dec. 14, $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$ gains as former President Donald Trump said he plans a big announcement on Thursday.However, on Dec 15, DWAC dropped 6% after the former President revealed his "major announcement" is a digital trading card collection.How hilarious!The other day, $Twitter(TWTR)$ chief Elon Musk allowed Trump to be reinstated on the social media platform last month after Musk conducted a poll and users voted to bring the former president back to Twitter after he was kicked off in January 2021 following the attack on the U.S. Capitol.Everybody might regard Trump's big announcement related to election, while it's just an advertisement, which probably taking profit from suckers.It somehow is like the "boy cried wolf" story, which makes Trump's amouncement unreliable.He probably lose the chance to election.
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      Trump played for suckers via "major announcement", DWAC falls
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·2022-11-22

      Disney's CEO, Is Bob Bob's future?

      $Walt Disney(DIS)$Changing coaches can be described as a stone stirring up thousands of waves. Bob Iger, 71, has just stepped down from the position of CEO for only two years, and is once again in command temporarily. On the first trading day (November 21st) after the announcement of the news, Disney's share price rose by 6.3%, which seems to be a portrayal of shareholders' current situation of Disney.Why do you want to change coaches?Bob Chapek, the fired CEO, was picked up by Bob Iger, and the two names are very similar. The 71-year-old eldest brother returned to the Jianghu, and had the meaning of cleaning up the mess for his younger brother.Left: Iger, right: ChapekAccording to the rules of US stocks, top migrant workers often have a special reward for sharing the company's share price from taking office to resigning. Unfortunately, Chapek didn't catch up with the good times and didn't manage the company's share price well.Iger, who had just returned, fired Chapek's trusted ally, Kareem Daniel, who was in charge of the group's streaming strategy on the first day of his return, and it was obvious that he was not satisfied with Disney's streaming strategy.According to reports, Disney's internal covert operation against Chapeck began this summer.In August, billionaire activist investor Dan Loeb unveiled Disney shares in his hedge fund Third Point, which he disclosed in a letter to Bob Chapek Urged the company to consider divesting ESPN, cutting costs and adding as part of a comprehensive restructuring aimed at boosting the company's shareholder value. Among them, ESPN split this item has been used by hedge funds. Compared with other large media companies, there are such cases, including Warner's$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$It was also split and listed in the first half of this year. This is mainly a consideration of shareholders' equity.The more important consideration lies in the company strategy, such as:Cut costs.The trigger is Disney's performance this year. Take the results of Q4 (as of September 30th) just announced, the streaming media business lost $1.47 billion in the latest quarter, more than double the loss in the same period last year, and also reached the company's preset loss ceiling ($1.5 billion in a single quarter).Of course, this has something to do with Chapek's strategy.He is more inclined to create growth rate.Three years after its establishment, Disney + has more than 164 million users, which is three quarters of Netflix's, while the whole platform users including Hulu have reached 236 million, exceeding Netflix's 223 million.However, Disney's growth rate is due to the high cost, and the huge losses brought by streaming media just offset the strong performance of theme parks and consumer goods business after the epidemic recovered. In addition, the US stock market as a whole is under the pressure of high inflation and interest rate hikes this year.Disney's share price has fallen by more than 40% this year.It is natural for shareholders to be dissatisfied.What will happen to Iger's admission?Obviously, the veteran must solve the urgent need. For Disney, that is how to turn the loss of streaming media into profit.In fact, a few days after the financial report was announced on November 8th, Disney began to announce layoffs, and Chapek personally sent an employee letter. But it took so long to start laying off employees, seems to be under great pressure from the board of directors. Disney's previous architecture may be somewhat redundant. On the first day of Iger's return, he announced that he would reorganize. He has commissioned a team of executives to design "A new structure that puts more decision-making power back into the hands of our creative team and rationalizes costs ".Because layoffs are not the focus of Disney, IP still plays a leading role.Disney has always maintained its IP, although most of the top streams have been acquired, including Pixar's Toy Story series, Lucas's Star Wars series and the whole Marvel Universe.The first is the monetization ability of IP.When Iger stepped down in early 2020, Disney had seven films that had grossed more than $1 billion at the global box office in the past year, compared with just two this year. Of course, COVID-19 is an important reason, but now it has almost recovered, and the box office performance is still sluggish.The climax of Marvel's third stage, which ended in Avengers 4 and Spider-Man: Heroic Expedition, is hard to be happy. In addition, Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans ended their contracts, and Chadwick Boseman, the Black Panther, had an unexpected trend, and the market suddenly became somewhat green and yellow.The difficulty of content creation is that the audience is always waiting for surprises, and the aesthetic fatigue of content is an inevitable event. Presumably, after Iger took over, the focus on content was to polish IP into a product that continuously produced value, rather than a sequel that constantly consumed the audience's goodwill.Secondly, the ability to deal with market public relations and even international relations.Chapek made several mistakes at home: When COVID-19 just saw the improvement, it was eager to directly raise the price of Disney theme parks, such as the Genie + plan, which ruined the fan margin; Streaming media developed too hastily and almost became hostile to Hollywood, the most famous of which was the lawsuit against Scarlett Johnson, a black widow; In order to emphasize political correctness (Chapek himself deep blue), it violated the restrictions of the Republican-governed Florida Week (i.e. prohibiting discussion of LGBTQ + topics in class) In fact, Chapek also annoyed China.In a telephone conference in early 22, because he was dissatisfied with China's policy against COVID-19, Chapek casually said, "Whether there is a Chinese market has little impact on us", which was regarded as an unfriendly statement. Colleagues, Mulan, Shangqi and other films also carry some "private goods" because of "political correctness", which attracts dissatisfaction from domestic counterparts.Therefore,None of the 10 works in the fourth stage of Marvel Universe have been shown in Chinese mainland.When Iger was in office, he was very friendly to China, which not only promoted cultural and investment cooperation, but also contributed to the completion of Shanghai Disneyland.From the perspective of Disney Company and Chinese fans,A more friendly attitude is a win-win situation.Iger is definitely the best person to return to Disney now.First,His near-mythical position in the company, can carry out the reform very smoothly, which is encouraging to both employees and investors;Second,He used to have a lot of God-operated acquisitions, also let shareholders believe that there may be more magic pens in the future;In fact, not only Disney shareholders want him back, but Hollywood also wants him back. After all, since the change of streaming media, Netflix has begun to reshape the traditional Hollywood market. Although streaming media is on a roll, it is the expectation of all media people to return to the content itself.
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      Disney's CEO, Is Bob Bob's future?
    • MaverickTigerMaverickTiger
      ·2022-11-21

      Why Feds Officials Delivers Hawkish Speeches?

      Mid-term electionsAs of November 20th, although the votes in the mid-term elections in the United States have not been fully counted, the result is confirmed, Republicans regained control of the House of Representatives by 219: 212 (higher than 218 votes), while the Democrats continued to lock the Senate (50 seats, plus one vote for the vice president). The divided Congress has confirmed.Despite winning the House of Representatives, the Republicans did not have a "Red Wave", weaker than the market expected. There may be many reasons, including the error of previous polls and the influence of mail-in votes. But it has already turned out to be, Republicans are difficult to form an absolute dominance in Congress.Democrats, it is obvious that due to the impact of the previous pandemic and the high inflationary pressure before the election, not only the House of Representatives was lost, but also President Biden's continued low support rate.What are the direct economic consequences?Obviously, Republicans have louder voice in fiscal policy (The U.S. Constitution states that all tax-related acts, appropriation acts, or authorizations to spend federal funds should be proposed by the House of Representatives, while the Senate has no authority to do so). Therefore, the risk of debt ceiling of US National Government Debt is also increasing, and the possibility of government shutdown is increasing again. Up to now, the scale of United States's National Government Debt has reached 31.3 trillion US dollars, approaching the legal debt ceiling of 31.4 trillion US dollars.Possible government expenditure cases include: The $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus act in March 2021 The $550 billion infrastructure act in November 2021 The $1.75 trillion "Build Back Better" that has not yet been passed The Chips and Science Act passed in August 2022 Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 The Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) program, which was temporarily blocked. The affected industries range from manufacturing, financial technology, to non-essential consumer goods.$SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$$Caterpillar(CAT)$$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$On the other hand, Democrats dominate the appointment of officials, nominations of judges and foreign affairs (The Senate has the right to confirm members of the President's Cabinet and Supreme Court justices, and diplomatic agreements reached by the President of the United States with other countries need to be approved by the Senate before they can have legal effect).In other words, the Democratic nominee for justice, It may bring a blow to Trump, who will run for president in the future. At the same time, the Democratic Party's foreign policy will continue to be implemented (such as the alliance formed between the United States and other countries), and the previous geographical uncertainty will not be weakened. In addition, the investigation of former President Trump may make the situation more tense.Federal Reserve Officials SpeechesFirst of all, Powell only started his second term in May this year, so he is not under pressure to change. Therefore, the Fed's monetary policy as a whole can remain coherent (that is, Powell firmly believes in it).CPI inflation cooled in October, and the market reacted strongly to it. According to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy observation tool, the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in December reached 75%, but it was slightly lower than last week's 80%. Because Fed officials, unlike most market observations, are still cautious. The attitude of Fed officials who speak frequently is generally eagle.Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller(Hawkish)Said on Thursday Don't expect September employment or inflation data later this month to change any Fed officials' thinking about the need for another big rate hike in November, which, despite seeing some progress in the economy to dampen demand, supports continued rate hikes, with financial markets overreacting to October's slowdown in inflation. St. Louis Fed Chairman James Bullard (Hawkish) Said, According to Taylor's rule, the federal funds rate should rise to at least 5%-5.25%. Esther George, chairman of the Kansas Fed(Dovish)Said, Although the supply chain has been repaired, the labor force (shortage) will still support inflation. History shows that inflation is difficult to fall back unless it is a recession; Even Mary Daly, chairman of the San Francisco Federal Reserve,(Dovish)It is also believed that, We have not seen substantial further progress, we are still looking for substantial further progress, and it is far from time to talk about stopping raising interest rates. The market believes that the Fed is "once bitten by a snake, twice shy", and the fault tolerance space is very small. After misjudging the rise of inflation last year, we can no longer underestimate inflation. In addition, at present, only commodity inflation has dropped, while service inflation is still very strong.However, as we said last time, it is difficult to say how much of the service inflation program is "thanks to the Federal Reserve".Finally, from the data level, the retail sales data in October was better than expected, indicating that the consumption kinetic energy rebounded, which made the Fed afraid to take it lightly. Part of this is the reason why excess saving is still high. As of the middle of this year, there are still about 1 trillion dollars. In terms of income groups, the relative level of excess savings of low-and middle-income groups is still relatively high. They hold a total of about 350 billion US dollars of excess savings, with an average of about 5,500 US dollars per household. In 2019, these families held an average of about 8,000 US dollars in their trading accounts. Liquidity from excess savings still increases their liquid assets by about two-thirds, providing a "cushion" for US consumer spending.Fed.govHowever, according to the current situation that major companies begin to lay off employees, it may not last long.
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    • UltrahishamUltrahisham
      ·2022-11-19
      From mid term on to presidency The mid term was supposed to be a referendum on Biden and the democrats. It was supposed to be a 'red wave' and a Republican sweepto take the House and Senate to create gridlock. It could not have been as dramatic. To cut the story short, the Democrats showed up to the Republicans and the GOPs did not get theirparade.  The political scene is shifting to the 2024 Presidential elections. A bit early to some considering we are still in 2022. But campaigning will take some time and the candidates will start off declaring their interests, square off and start getting whittled off until one candidate from each side stands.  As we all know, Trump has declared himself running as well as Biden himself who will be running for re-election. It will be a hot headed contest with much emotions on the line. That much we know. Impact on stock market? That is rather tricky. But we all know how pro business Trump is. So do expect a lot of pro businessincentives which will benefit corporations. However, he is also an advocate of 'America first' so that in itself runs the risk of deglobalisation. In an interconnected world, that is a high risk in itself. Many other factors are also at play etc. So it is best to just take one step at a time and monitor price actions to be better prepared. Thanks for reading!
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    • melsonmelson
      ·2022-11-19
      $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$  is a shell company for spac purpose. so its success will depend on whether it merges with trump media. it also depends on the popularity of the ex president. it is now at best a meme stock. trump is a disruptor and during his presidency he was always hammered by the leftwing media. the megaphone of the leftwing media is much bigger and stronger than the rightwing media. the only big rightwing media left is foxnews. trump is very pro-market and loved by the rural farming community.  however, trump's reputation had been tarnished by claiming election fraud and inciting the capitol riots. we didn't see a red wave during midterms, candidates that trump backed didn't do so well. this shows that the american population is tired of trump and is in need of a fresh face who is more in touch with the younger voters. ron de santis is the popular governor of florida whom had proven himself to lead florida through the crisis. we shall see who wins the primaries. it is too early to say now as the election is in 2024. people's memory fades pretty fast.  merci beaucoup @TigerStars    🥂✨ bon weekend
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    • SR050321SR050321
      ·2022-11-19
      If Trump win, the next one Ellon Musk will nominate as candidate, both controversial figures and alot drama, but nowadays people like drama, but Korean drama is more popular. We never know what is going to happen ifTrump is elected, stock market is not defined or built by him alone. His stocks maybe more popular because he will favour the companies. Everyone have purpose why nominateto be the US president, only the person know his own intentions in his heart. I just wish the best for America, whoever selected should be accepted with an open heart, majority voters won.  ❤️💜💙💚💛
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    • BlessedmeBlessedme
      ·2022-11-19
      $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$   I am not a fan of Trump or Biden despite watching videos that he was the chosen one in the previous election. However,  one thing I know is that if Trump will win the election in 2024, all the stock prices will go up high. Dont ask me why but it is just my inner voice telling me. It is like I foresee something in the future.  I did not have a good feeling when Biden won the election and i felt he was not the right person. For Trump, I dont have good feelings even though prophecies of him being the chosen one. At least I dont hv any bad vibes on Trump. Whether Trump or someone else be the President, all eyes on that person on whether he can turn the country around to make American GREAT AGAIN. Happy Investing:)
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    • meurasian77meurasian77
      ·2022-11-17
      $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$  honestly if Donald trump wins the election in 2024, markets should rally and in charging bull mode. Trump is a business man at heart and he will concentrate on bossing the American economy once he relinquishes the hot seat in the oval office 
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    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·2022-11-17
      When Donald Trump announced his candidacy for White House, there was no overwhelming support from his own Republican Party.  In fact, many of his fellow party members blamed him for the dismal results of the US midterm elections.  Nancy Pelosi called it a "trickle" instead of a "red wave".The New York Post called Donald Trump "Trumpty Dumpty" whose party members have to put it back together again. Donald Trump is a polarising yet controversial figure.  He is linked to the January 6 Capitol Hill attack by his supporters.  In August he was under investigation for keeping a stash of top secret documents in his Florida home.Ron Desantis, the newly elected Republican Governor of Florida has emerged as a strong contender for the Republican bid for the White House.  A recent poll by Victory Insights found Trump and Desantis both at 50% support level each.  Then there is also Mike Pence, his previous Vice President and Mike Pompeo, the previous Secretary of Defense.What is the impact on the markets if Trump wins?If he wins, Climate Change and Sino American relations will suffer.  During his tenure as President, US withdrew from the Paris Climate Accord.  US also withdrew from WHO.  US Sino relations took a turn for the worse as punitive tariffs were implemented on Chinese goods to the tune of USD 550 billion. However Donald Trump cut US Corporate Tax from 35% to 21%.  Donald Trump's campaign slogan is "Make America Great Again".  However it may come at the expense of World Peace. Donald Trump is like a champagne bubble that has fizzled out.    I believe that the US needs a president that is a pivotal force that will not only unite the Americans but galvanise efforts towards World Peace and Harmony. President Biden has taken the first step to thaw the frosty relations when he shook hands with President Xi Jinpeng.   The global markets celebrated at this symbolic gesture. @MillionaireTiger  @TigerStars  @Tiger_chat  @CaptainTiger  
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    • LowZackMLowZackM
      ·2022-11-17
      $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$ this is what they call a Cup And Handle Bullish pattern. LOAD UP
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    • shawnshawnshawnshawn
      ·2022-11-16
    • shawnshawnshawnshawn
      ·2022-11-16
    • BroccoBrocco
      ·2022-11-16
      2024 is 2 years away and too much will have changed. Hopefully more new potiential candidates will appear and contest. Bring in more new blood and ideas to the econony and have more win win deals with other countries. Election always have an impact on the stock market due to unstable political risk. But if you are holding stocks long term m, election doesnt have much impacts. Personally don't likeTrump action as he sometimes says and do things to "his" way rather than for "everyone". 
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    • Cris0Cris0
      ·2022-11-16
      Too early to just says Trump impact currently. The next election is 2024 so Biden still have 2 years to change and when Biden took over, Covid already occurs and he serve the toughest fight making the hardest decision. Inflation is not something within his control as well. Generally feels that stock market will be affected due to political reason. Trump fails for pervious election for a reason and also need to see other potiential candidates.
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    • Success88Success88
      ·2022-11-16
      Many Republican leaders and voters seem to have “Trump fatigue”, and are tired of the constant chaos surrounding the former US leader, said one analyst of Mr Trump’s 2024 White House bid. Former United States president Donald Trump will likely face a tougher battle in his latest White House bid, with some Republican leaders and voters already weary of his “toxic politics”, said observers. His popularity is sliding and it will be much harder for him to run this time. Mr Trump, who faces scrutiny from within his own party, announced on Tuesday – just a week after the midterm elections – that he is entering the 2024 US presidential race. He is seeking a potential rematch with Democratic President Joe Biden.  “It's going to be harder for him to mount a successful campaign this time, especially when you have quite a number of donors, GOP leaders, and voters saying that they do not want the toxic politics,” said Ms Angela Mancini, partner and head of Asia-Pacific Markets at strategic consulting firm Control Risks.  “They want the platform and the policies, (but) they don't want the toxic politics that we saw with Donald Trump.” Exit polls have shown that some Republican voters like his record and policies, but are turned off by his personality, she added. “It's too narcissistic.” Mr Robert Daly, director of the Wilson Center's Kissinger Institute on China and the United States, said: “Clearly, a lot of people seem to have ‘Trump fatigue’. They're simply tired of the constant chaos.”In the recent midterms, Trump-backed candidates in competitive races have underperformed.  “The Republican voters did not come out for his handpicked candidates,” said Ms Mancini, adding that these candidates, instead, got the negativity of being associated with Mr Trump. “So it's a real question, I think, as to how big is his base really?” Mr Daly, who has served as a US diplomat in Beijing, added that there is “a consensus within the Republican Party that Trump this time backed a lot of very poor candidates …” “He backed people who were going to claim that the previous election was stolen. There's no evidence of that. And he backed people with little political experience and those people have now been rejected,” he said.  “Does that indicate that they would reject Trump as well? We don't know. But he clearly doesn't have quite the purchase that he had with the Republicans several years ago.” Ms Mancini believes Mr Trump is trying to fire up his support base and preempt potential Republican rivals with his announcement to run again for the White House.  “I also think he's looking at his legal cases. I think he is, I would assume, quite disturbed by the press coverage that has been coming out about him following the midterms, including from supporters,” she said. “Indeed, he is seeing that his popularity is sliding.”  Instead of holding off from announcing his third run for presidency, the former US leader, very much wanting to stay relevant, “stepped right back into the limelight, albeit with a bit more lacklustre energy and support from the crowd that we've seen in the past”, she added. However, some GOP megadonors are backing a “more promising” crop of Republican presidential candidates for the White House in 2024. These likely contenders include Florida governor Ron DeSantis and Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin.  In particular, Mr Trump faces a formidable rival in likely candidate Mr DeSantis, said Mr Daly. There are many senators and governors who might throw their hats in the ring, but most probably do not want to run against Mr Trump, he added. “So they may see how things go between Trump and DeSantis now, and hold on to see whether Trump is going to be the favourite candidate. If he isn't, if DeSantis does well, you can expect to see more Republicans also getting into the competition.” Pointing out that 2024 is “a long ways away”, Mr Daly said: “I think what we'll see initially is a battle within the Republican Party to decide what direction it wants to take.” I support Trump 2024. Let's see the market reaction @TigerEvents 
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    • MillionaireTigerMillionaireTiger
      ·2022-11-16

      What do you think of #Trump2024? Any impact on the stock market?

      Source: CNNTrump is coming back, announcing a White House bid for 2024“In order to make America great and glorious again, I am tonight announcing my candidacy for president of the United States,” Trump said in Florida. Former President Donald Trump, aiming to become only the second commander-in-chief ever elected to two nonconsecutive terms, announced Tuesday night that he will seek the Republican presidential nomination in 2024.This time, the U.S. midterm elections, we all think, the Republican Party will be Trump's crazy incitement, set off a "red wave". The Republicans took the House of Representatives, but the Senate, which is a must-have, lost big time. The Democrats have now taken 50 seats and locked up control.Therefore, Trump‘s influence is getting worse, this time the performance is very disappointing. Now it depends on Trump's iron fan, how exactly to support him. After all, Trump lose Twitter this loudspeaker, the hearts of the people scattered, the team is hard to lead. In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, look what happens!That said Biden, he is 82 years old in 2024 and another four years be 86 years old retirement. When he did his first term, he was already the oldest president in U.S. history.Let's see how Biden compares to Trump on all metrics.Source: factsarefirst.comSource: factsarefirst.comSource: factsarefirst.comStatistically speaking, Biden is slightly better in terms of GDP and job growth. Trump, as a controversial former president, has been a combination of praise and criticism, but it must be admitted that he is still very successful as a businessman.Any impact on the stock market?The focus of conversation around Trump is, of course, his own company - $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$.If Trump is successful in his election, it will improve the prospects for industries that often benefit from Republican leadership, like coal and energy stocks, including Exxon $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$, and defense stocks including $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ and $Raytheon Technologies Corporation(RTX)$.Never thought that Trump's words two years ago would become a reality...What do you think of #Trump2024? Any impact on the stock market?Source: New York Post
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      What do you think of #Trump2024? Any impact on the stock market?
    • Tiger_CommentsTiger_Comments
      ·2022-11-16

      Trump Caused Republicans to Lose the Senate?

      The US midterm election finally reached its first milestone over the weekend, when Democrats won the 50th Senate seat, giving them control of the chamber for the next two years.19 seats remain undecided in the House of Representatives race, but counting is nearing an end. If the final tally is consistent with the current advantage of each district, Republicans will get 222 votes and the Democrats 213 votes.The difference between the two sides is only nine votes, and Republicans control the House of Representatives by a narrow margin.Georgia is very important for DemocratsThe race for the Senate is not over yet, with Georgia heading to a play-off on December 6th.In the first round of voting, the Democratic candidate of Georgia won, so the runoff on December 6th should have a better chance. But now Democrats have won the Senate, it may stimulate centrist voters in Georgia to stay away or switch, and the outcome in Georgia may be uncertain.Some would argue that Democrats have 50 votes in the Senate anyway, so this one vote doesn't really matter. But in fact, this vote has a great effect on Democrats. Because when Democrats controlled the Senate by 50 votes, Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia used his own vote to threaten Biden and Democrats all the time, making Biden very passive.If Georgia wins this vote, then Democrats will have 51 votes and will no longer be subject to the threat of Manchin.Trump Caused Republicans to Lose the Senate?Democrats did surprisingly well in the mid-term elections (expectations were too low), and they did well nationally. So this time Republicans hype about voter fraud has been silenced. If you lose Arizona, you can say cheating, but if you lose Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada, you can hardly say that.The New York Times said Republicans mid-term election performance was the worst for opposition parties in decades. So Republicans are now looking for a scapegoat. The most important question is whether Trump is the reason why Democrats are enthusiastic about voting.In fact, many Republicans are already blaming Trump for their party's dismal performance in the midterm elections. But I don't think we should jump to conclusions so easily. We should still look at the data.Trump has supported many candidates, some have won and some have lost. Don't simply attribute the losses directly to Trump. Here are the election results for senators and governors in the most competitive states. All references to Trump's support refer to whether he supports the Republican candidate.  State Senator Governor New Hampshire D+9.2 Hassan Trump-backed R+15.5 Sununu Not backed by Trump Georgia D+0.9 Warnock Trump-backed R+7.6 Kemp Not backed by Trump Nevada D+0.7 Cortez Masto Trump-backed R+2.3 Lombardo Trump-backed Arizona D+5.7 Kelly Trump-backed D+1.0 No result yet Trump-backed Wisconsin R+1.0 Johnson Trump-backed D+3.4 Evers Trump-backed Pennsylvania D+4.4 Fetterman Trump-backed D+14.3 Shapiro Trump-backed In New Hampshire and Georgia, Republicans won the governors but lost the Senates, both by big margins. The governors of both states have distanced themselves from Trump, especially the relationship between the governor of Georgia and Trump. So judging from the results of these two states, Trump is really bad for Republicans.In Nevada and Arizona, Trump-backed governor candidates did better than Senate candidates on the same ballot. For example, the governor of NV is R+2.3 and the senator is D+0.7. The difference is 2.3+0.7 = 3.0.This reflects the ambivalence of voters: they want Republicans to manage the affairs of the state, but do not want them to run the country. So it can also be argued that they don't like Trump (his influence on them at the national level).The Wisconsin results could also reflect Trump's problems, since Johnson won as the Republican candidate. Despite Trump's endorsement, he has not been that close to him. Tim Michels, the candidate for governor whom Trump had endorsed, was trounced.In the most hotly contested states, Trump bears some of the blame for Republican Party's losses. Voters preferred Republican governors to Republican senators, and Republican governor candidates who distanced themselves from Trump won big.Bottom LineTrump spent the weekend lambasting Republicans in his own media, especially FOX News, began its campaign against Trump, arguing that the party must now break with him. Republicans can't win against Democrats with Trump.Of course, the appeals of the media or politicians are useless, and Trump got out of the siege in a state of total Republican blockade. Any politician who tried to beat him, like Cruz, Rubio, Jeb Bush was defeated by Trump.Will today's DeSantis be better than those three? The key still depends on the public opinion of Republican voters.The next question is, have Republican voters begun to abandon Trump? How high is the support rate of Trump's party voters?
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    • rachelf1123rachelf1123
      ·2022-11-16
      Former President Donald Trump, aiming to become only the second commander-in-chief ever elected to two nonconsecutive terms, announced Tuesday night that he will seek the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. Trump’s paperwork establishing his candidacy landed with the Federal Election Committee shortly before he delivered his announcement at Mar-a-Lago, his Florida waterfront estate. Trump’s long-awaited campaign comes as the former president tries to reclaim the spotlight following the GOP’s underwhelming midterm elections performance – including the losses of several Trump-endorsed election deniers – and the subsequent blame game that has unfolded since Election Day. Republicans failed to gain a Senate majority, came up short in their efforts to fill several statewide seats, and have yet to secure a House majority, with only 215 races called in their favor so far out of the 218 needed, developments that have forced Trump and other party leaders into a defensive posture as they face reproval from within their ranks. But Trump is also betting that his first-out-of-the gate strategy will fend off potential primary rivals and give him an early advantage with deep-pocketed donors, aides say. He is widely expected to be challenged by both conservative and moderate Republicans, though the calculus of some presidential hopefuls could change now that he is running. Others – like his former Vice President, Mike Pence – may proceed anyway. Trump’s third presidential bid also coincides with a period of heightened legal peril as Justice Department officials investigating him and his associates revisit the prospect of indictments in their Trump-related probes. The former president is currently being investigated for his activities before and during the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol and his retention of classified documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate after he left office. While Trump is counting on an easy path to the GOP nomination with his sustained support among the party’s base, his announcement is likely to dash the hopes of party leaders who have longed for fresh talent. In particular, top Republicans have been paying close attention to the next moves of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who won his reelection contest with a 19-point margin of victory and considerable support from minority and independent voters. Some Republican leaders may try to scuttle Trump’s campaign by elevating or encouraging alternative candidates, including DeSantis, who has been quietly laying the groundwork for a possible White House bid of his own. Of course, any countereffort to inhibit Trump’s path to the nomination is likely to prove difficult. Despite his myriad legal entanglements and the stain of January 6, the twice-impeached 45th president remains immensely popular among most Republican voters and boasts a deep connection with his core backers that could prove difficult for other GOP hopefuls to replicate or weaken. Even leading conservatives who disliked Trump’s pugnacious politics and heterodox policies stuck with him as president because he helped solidify the rightward shift of the US Supreme Court with his nominations – one of the most far-reaching aspects of his legacy, which resulted in the conservative court majority’s deeply polarizing June decision to end federal abortion rights. In fact, while Trump ended his first term with the lowest approval rating of any president, about 8 in 10 Republicans viewed him favorably, according to a May NBC News poll. That alone could give Trump a significant edge over primary opponents whom voters are still familiarizing themselves with. Among those potential competitors is Pence, who would likely benefit from high name recognition due to his role as vice president. Pence, who has been preparing for a possible White House run in 2024, is sure to face an uphill battle courting Trump’s most loyal supporters, many of whom soured on the former vice president after he declined to overstep his congressional authority and block certification of now-President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory. Trump could also find himself pitted against DeSantis, who has risen to hero status among cultural conservatives and who is widely considered a more polished version of Trump. Even some of the former president’s advisers have voiced similar observations to CNN, noting that DeSantis also made inroads with major Republican donors during his quest for reelection and built a mountain of goodwill with GOP leaders by campaigning for federal and statewide Republican candidates in the middle of his own race. Beyond his potential rivals, Trump has another roadblock in his path as the House select committee continues to investigate his role in January 6, 2021, and Justice Department officials weigh whether to issue criminal charges. The committee, which subpoenaed him for testimony and documents in October and which Trump is now battling in court, held public hearings throughout the summer and early fall featuring depositions from those in Trump’s inner circle at the White House – including members of his family – that detailed his public and private efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election results through a sustained pressure campaign on numerous local, state and federal officials, and on his own vice president. But Trump’s desire to announce his campaign early can be especially traced to the FBI search of Mar-a-Lago, which advisers say further emboldened his decision to mount what he believes will be a triumphant political comeback. The day after the search, the former president fielded calls from allies advising him to accelerate his 2024 timeline. That night, he huddled with House lawmakers in the Republican Study Committee and told them he’d “made up his mind” about launching a bid, though some of those same House Republicans later convinced him to wait until after the midterm elections to announce his next move. Preparing for 2024 From the moment Trump left Washington, defeated and disgraced, in January 2021, he began plotting a return to power – devoting the bulk of his time to building a political operation intended for this moment. With assistance from numerous former aides and advisers, he continued the aggressive fundraising tactics that had become a marker of his 2020 campaign, amassing a colossal war chest ahead of the 2022 midterm elections, and worked diligently to elect steadfast allies in both Congress and state legislatures across the country. While maintaining a home base in Florida, he also regularly jet-setted across the country for campaign rallies that afforded him crucial face time with his base and with candidates he bet would become valuable allies in the US Senate and House. Through it all, Trump continued to falsely insist that the 2020 election was stolen from him, indulging in far-flung conspiracy theories about voter fraud and pressuring Republican leaders across the party’s election apparatus to endorse changes that would curtail voting rights. Trump’s aides were pleased earlier this fall when his public appearances and rally speeches gradually became more focused on rising crime, immigration and economic woes – key themes throughout the midterm cycle and issues they hope will enable him to draw a compelling contrast with Biden as he begins this next chapter. Allies of the former president have long said that he views the 2024 contest as an opportunity to regain what he believes is his: another four years in the Oval Office. But there is no guarantee that Trump will glide easily to a nonconsecutive second term. In fact, it could be quite difficult. Not only does history offer just one example of such a feat (defeated in 1888 after his first term, President Grover Cleveland was elected again in 1892), no previously impeached president has ever run again for office. Trump was first impeached in 2019 on charges of abuse of power and obstruction of justice, and then again in 2021 for inciting the riot at the US Capitol. Though he was acquitted by the Senate both times, 10 House Republicans broke with their party the second time around to join Democrats in a vote to impeach him. Seven Republican senators voted to convict him at his Senate trial. Trump has also been the subject of a bevy of lawsuits and investigations, including a New York state investigation and a separate Manhattan district attorney criminal probe into his company’s finances, a Georgia county probe into his efforts to overturn Biden’s election win in the state, and separate Justice Department probes into his campaign’s scheme to put forth fake electors in battleground states and his decision to bring classified materials with him to Mar-a-Lago upon leaving office. Trump’s actions since he left Washington have, for the most part, signaled his interest in an eventual return. While most former presidents go quietly into retirement – resurfacing to assist their parties during midterm cycles or for the opening of their presidential libraries – Trump bucked tradition to instead plot the comeback he now hopes to make. Despite its distance from Washington, Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club has transformed into a new hub for Republicans and a home base for his political machine. Assisted by a small group of paid staffers, he has hosted numerous candidate and committee fundraisers and seen a rotating cast of party leaders and congressional hopefuls filter through its gilded hallways in the hopes of nabbing his endorsement or reingratiating themselves with his base. Trump’s schedule has enabled him to build close relationships with party leaders and fringe figures – from House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy of California to Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia – whose support in a contested primary could ultimately help him clear the field. Many of the aides who have been with him since he left the White House are expected to continue on as campaign hands, as the former president and his de facto chief of staff, longtime Florida GOP strategist Susie Wiles, aim to maintain a lean operation much like the early days of his 2016 presidential campaign. Among those who are likely to be involved are Wiles, Taylor Budowich, Chris LaCivita, Steven Cheung, Justin Caperole, Brian Jack and Brad Parscale, who managed part of his failed 2020 campaign. Notably, Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, who was deeply involved in his quest for reelection, is widely expected not to be involved this time around.
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    • VideoLoungeVideoLounge
      ·2022-11-16

      Trump Announces Presidential Run for 2024

      Donald Trump, 76, formally entered the 2024 US presidential race on Tuesday, making official what he's been teasing for months. At his Mar-a-Lago estate, Trump said America's comeback starts right now. He is the first major contender from either party to formally declare.$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$
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    • WealthSquadWealthSquad
      ·2022-11-16

      Trump announces 2024 presidential bid:Stocks That Might Benefit

      Former President Donald Trump formally filed notice of athird run for the White House Tuesday night- setting up a two-year fight for the heart of the Republican Party, following amidterm electionthat largely went the Democrats' way.He may be in for a rough fight after last Tuesday's runaway re-election of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, one of the few Republican high points from the midterm elections - and amid an increasing groundswell over the past few days of key GOP leadership urging a break with the party's recent past (namely Trump), and a look toward DeSantis as the future."Ladies and gentlemen, distinguished guests and my fellow citizens, America's comeback starts right now," Trump told a crowd at his Mar-a-Lago home.Trump is launching a campaign that, depending on whom you talk to, either significantly boosts or seriously hampers the GOP's chances for reclaiming the U.S. presidency in '24 - and with that, improving prospects for industries often benefiting from Republican leadership, such as coal and energy stocks including $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$,$Chevron(CVX)$ , $Peabody Energy Corp(BTU)$ , $Arch Resources Inc.(ARCH)$ , $Alliance Resource Partners LP(ARLP)$ and $CONSOL Energy Inc.(CEIX)$; large employers that would benefit from minimum wage limits, such as $Wal-Mart(WMT)$,$McDonald's(MCD)$, $Kroger(KR)$ and $Target(TGT)$; and defense stocks including$Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ , $Raytheon Technologies Corporation(RTX)$, $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ and $General Dynamics Corp(GD)$.That's not to mention the so-called "Trump SPAC" $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$, the special-purpose acquisition company linked with efforts to take the Trump Media and Technology Group public.DWAC surged 66.5% on Nov. 7 after some weekend rumblings that a Trump entry announcement might be near, and that companyextended the deadlinefor investor approval of its merger with TMTG to Nov. 22 - past the election and Trump's (then-anticipated) announcement of a run.DWAC rose another 11% on Monday, Nov. 14, with the announcement drawing nearer, butfell back by 8.8% Tuesday.Phunware stock (PHUN) might move on the latest news; the company was hired by Trump's 2020 campaign to create a smartphone application, and the stock has made volatile Trump-related moves along the way (it alsojumped 38%on Nov. 7).Trump's media efforts are also connected to conservative-focused video site $Rumble Inc.(RUM)$, and his page on the site was one of many live-streaming his announcement. Rumble provides cloud hosting for Trump's Truth Social media platform.It would be remiss to skip over Rupert Murdoch's media empire, including Fox News (FOX) (FOXA) and Wall Street Journalowner News Corp. (NWS) (NWSA). Trump and Murdoch's media were closely intertwined during the Trump presidency, and Trump made frequent call-in appearances to shows including Fox & Friendsand Hannity. Recently, Murdoch's papers and stations have demonstrated that turn away from Trump after the midterm disappointment - the New York Postran apost-election cartoon cover of "Trumpty Dumpty"- but having a Trump race to cover again could be a difference-maker for newspapers and programs that often made Trump their No. 1 story.Source:https://seekingalpha.com/news/3908223-trump-announces-third-run-for-presidency-jumping-into-hot-2024-race
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      Trump announces 2024 presidential bid:Stocks That Might Benefit
    • MillionaireTigerMillionaireTiger
      ·2022-11-16

      What do you think of #Trump2024? Any impact on the stock market?

      Source: CNNTrump is coming back, announcing a White House bid for 2024“In order to make America great and glorious again, I am tonight announcing my candidacy for president of the United States,” Trump said in Florida. Former President Donald Trump, aiming to become only the second commander-in-chief ever elected to two nonconsecutive terms, announced Tuesday night that he will seek the Republican presidential nomination in 2024.This time, the U.S. midterm elections, we all think, the Republican Party will be Trump's crazy incitement, set off a "red wave". The Republicans took the House of Representatives, but the Senate, which is a must-have, lost big time. The Democrats have now taken 50 seats and locked up control.Therefore, Trump‘s influence is getting worse, this time the performance is very disappointing. Now it depends on Trump's iron fan, how exactly to support him. After all, Trump lose Twitter this loudspeaker, the hearts of the people scattered, the team is hard to lead. In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, look what happens!That said Biden, he is 82 years old in 2024 and another four years be 86 years old retirement. When he did his first term, he was already the oldest president in U.S. history.Let's see how Biden compares to Trump on all metrics.Source: factsarefirst.comSource: factsarefirst.comSource: factsarefirst.comStatistically speaking, Biden is slightly better in terms of GDP and job growth. Trump, as a controversial former president, has been a combination of praise and criticism, but it must be admitted that he is still very successful as a businessman.Any impact on the stock market?The focus of conversation around Trump is, of course, his own company - $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$.If Trump is successful in his election, it will improve the prospects for industries that often benefit from Republican leadership, like coal and energy stocks, including Exxon $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$, and defense stocks including $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ and $Raytheon Technologies Corporation(RTX)$.Never thought that Trump's words two years ago would become a reality...What do you think of #Trump2024? Any impact on the stock market?Source: New York Post
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      What do you think of #Trump2024? Any impact on the stock market?
    • MaverickTigerMaverickTiger
      ·2022-11-21

      Why Feds Officials Delivers Hawkish Speeches?

      Mid-term electionsAs of November 20th, although the votes in the mid-term elections in the United States have not been fully counted, the result is confirmed, Republicans regained control of the House of Representatives by 219: 212 (higher than 218 votes), while the Democrats continued to lock the Senate (50 seats, plus one vote for the vice president). The divided Congress has confirmed.Despite winning the House of Representatives, the Republicans did not have a "Red Wave", weaker than the market expected. There may be many reasons, including the error of previous polls and the influence of mail-in votes. But it has already turned out to be, Republicans are difficult to form an absolute dominance in Congress.Democrats, it is obvious that due to the impact of the previous pandemic and the high inflationary pressure before the election, not only the House of Representatives was lost, but also President Biden's continued low support rate.What are the direct economic consequences?Obviously, Republicans have louder voice in fiscal policy (The U.S. Constitution states that all tax-related acts, appropriation acts, or authorizations to spend federal funds should be proposed by the House of Representatives, while the Senate has no authority to do so). Therefore, the risk of debt ceiling of US National Government Debt is also increasing, and the possibility of government shutdown is increasing again. Up to now, the scale of United States's National Government Debt has reached 31.3 trillion US dollars, approaching the legal debt ceiling of 31.4 trillion US dollars.Possible government expenditure cases include: The $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus act in March 2021 The $550 billion infrastructure act in November 2021 The $1.75 trillion "Build Back Better" that has not yet been passed The Chips and Science Act passed in August 2022 Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 The Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) program, which was temporarily blocked. The affected industries range from manufacturing, financial technology, to non-essential consumer goods.$SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$$Caterpillar(CAT)$$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$On the other hand, Democrats dominate the appointment of officials, nominations of judges and foreign affairs (The Senate has the right to confirm members of the President's Cabinet and Supreme Court justices, and diplomatic agreements reached by the President of the United States with other countries need to be approved by the Senate before they can have legal effect).In other words, the Democratic nominee for justice, It may bring a blow to Trump, who will run for president in the future. At the same time, the Democratic Party's foreign policy will continue to be implemented (such as the alliance formed between the United States and other countries), and the previous geographical uncertainty will not be weakened. In addition, the investigation of former President Trump may make the situation more tense.Federal Reserve Officials SpeechesFirst of all, Powell only started his second term in May this year, so he is not under pressure to change. Therefore, the Fed's monetary policy as a whole can remain coherent (that is, Powell firmly believes in it).CPI inflation cooled in October, and the market reacted strongly to it. According to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy observation tool, the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in December reached 75%, but it was slightly lower than last week's 80%. Because Fed officials, unlike most market observations, are still cautious. The attitude of Fed officials who speak frequently is generally eagle.Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller(Hawkish)Said on Thursday Don't expect September employment or inflation data later this month to change any Fed officials' thinking about the need for another big rate hike in November, which, despite seeing some progress in the economy to dampen demand, supports continued rate hikes, with financial markets overreacting to October's slowdown in inflation. St. Louis Fed Chairman James Bullard (Hawkish) Said, According to Taylor's rule, the federal funds rate should rise to at least 5%-5.25%. Esther George, chairman of the Kansas Fed(Dovish)Said, Although the supply chain has been repaired, the labor force (shortage) will still support inflation. History shows that inflation is difficult to fall back unless it is a recession; Even Mary Daly, chairman of the San Francisco Federal Reserve,(Dovish)It is also believed that, We have not seen substantial further progress, we are still looking for substantial further progress, and it is far from time to talk about stopping raising interest rates. The market believes that the Fed is "once bitten by a snake, twice shy", and the fault tolerance space is very small. After misjudging the rise of inflation last year, we can no longer underestimate inflation. In addition, at present, only commodity inflation has dropped, while service inflation is still very strong.However, as we said last time, it is difficult to say how much of the service inflation program is "thanks to the Federal Reserve".Finally, from the data level, the retail sales data in October was better than expected, indicating that the consumption kinetic energy rebounded, which made the Fed afraid to take it lightly. Part of this is the reason why excess saving is still high. As of the middle of this year, there are still about 1 trillion dollars. In terms of income groups, the relative level of excess savings of low-and middle-income groups is still relatively high. They hold a total of about 350 billion US dollars of excess savings, with an average of about 5,500 US dollars per household. In 2019, these families held an average of about 8,000 US dollars in their trading accounts. Liquidity from excess savings still increases their liquid assets by about two-thirds, providing a "cushion" for US consumer spending.Fed.govHowever, according to the current situation that major companies begin to lay off employees, it may not last long.
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      Why Feds Officials Delivers Hawkish Speeches?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·2022-11-22

      Disney's CEO, Is Bob Bob's future?

      $Walt Disney(DIS)$Changing coaches can be described as a stone stirring up thousands of waves. Bob Iger, 71, has just stepped down from the position of CEO for only two years, and is once again in command temporarily. On the first trading day (November 21st) after the announcement of the news, Disney's share price rose by 6.3%, which seems to be a portrayal of shareholders' current situation of Disney.Why do you want to change coaches?Bob Chapek, the fired CEO, was picked up by Bob Iger, and the two names are very similar. The 71-year-old eldest brother returned to the Jianghu, and had the meaning of cleaning up the mess for his younger brother.Left: Iger, right: ChapekAccording to the rules of US stocks, top migrant workers often have a special reward for sharing the company's share price from taking office to resigning. Unfortunately, Chapek didn't catch up with the good times and didn't manage the company's share price well.Iger, who had just returned, fired Chapek's trusted ally, Kareem Daniel, who was in charge of the group's streaming strategy on the first day of his return, and it was obvious that he was not satisfied with Disney's streaming strategy.According to reports, Disney's internal covert operation against Chapeck began this summer.In August, billionaire activist investor Dan Loeb unveiled Disney shares in his hedge fund Third Point, which he disclosed in a letter to Bob Chapek Urged the company to consider divesting ESPN, cutting costs and adding as part of a comprehensive restructuring aimed at boosting the company's shareholder value. Among them, ESPN split this item has been used by hedge funds. Compared with other large media companies, there are such cases, including Warner's$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$It was also split and listed in the first half of this year. This is mainly a consideration of shareholders' equity.The more important consideration lies in the company strategy, such as:Cut costs.The trigger is Disney's performance this year. Take the results of Q4 (as of September 30th) just announced, the streaming media business lost $1.47 billion in the latest quarter, more than double the loss in the same period last year, and also reached the company's preset loss ceiling ($1.5 billion in a single quarter).Of course, this has something to do with Chapek's strategy.He is more inclined to create growth rate.Three years after its establishment, Disney + has more than 164 million users, which is three quarters of Netflix's, while the whole platform users including Hulu have reached 236 million, exceeding Netflix's 223 million.However, Disney's growth rate is due to the high cost, and the huge losses brought by streaming media just offset the strong performance of theme parks and consumer goods business after the epidemic recovered. In addition, the US stock market as a whole is under the pressure of high inflation and interest rate hikes this year.Disney's share price has fallen by more than 40% this year.It is natural for shareholders to be dissatisfied.What will happen to Iger's admission?Obviously, the veteran must solve the urgent need. For Disney, that is how to turn the loss of streaming media into profit.In fact, a few days after the financial report was announced on November 8th, Disney began to announce layoffs, and Chapek personally sent an employee letter. But it took so long to start laying off employees, seems to be under great pressure from the board of directors. Disney's previous architecture may be somewhat redundant. On the first day of Iger's return, he announced that he would reorganize. He has commissioned a team of executives to design "A new structure that puts more decision-making power back into the hands of our creative team and rationalizes costs ".Because layoffs are not the focus of Disney, IP still plays a leading role.Disney has always maintained its IP, although most of the top streams have been acquired, including Pixar's Toy Story series, Lucas's Star Wars series and the whole Marvel Universe.The first is the monetization ability of IP.When Iger stepped down in early 2020, Disney had seven films that had grossed more than $1 billion at the global box office in the past year, compared with just two this year. Of course, COVID-19 is an important reason, but now it has almost recovered, and the box office performance is still sluggish.The climax of Marvel's third stage, which ended in Avengers 4 and Spider-Man: Heroic Expedition, is hard to be happy. In addition, Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans ended their contracts, and Chadwick Boseman, the Black Panther, had an unexpected trend, and the market suddenly became somewhat green and yellow.The difficulty of content creation is that the audience is always waiting for surprises, and the aesthetic fatigue of content is an inevitable event. Presumably, after Iger took over, the focus on content was to polish IP into a product that continuously produced value, rather than a sequel that constantly consumed the audience's goodwill.Secondly, the ability to deal with market public relations and even international relations.Chapek made several mistakes at home: When COVID-19 just saw the improvement, it was eager to directly raise the price of Disney theme parks, such as the Genie + plan, which ruined the fan margin; Streaming media developed too hastily and almost became hostile to Hollywood, the most famous of which was the lawsuit against Scarlett Johnson, a black widow; In order to emphasize political correctness (Chapek himself deep blue), it violated the restrictions of the Republican-governed Florida Week (i.e. prohibiting discussion of LGBTQ + topics in class) In fact, Chapek also annoyed China.In a telephone conference in early 22, because he was dissatisfied with China's policy against COVID-19, Chapek casually said, "Whether there is a Chinese market has little impact on us", which was regarded as an unfriendly statement. Colleagues, Mulan, Shangqi and other films also carry some "private goods" because of "political correctness", which attracts dissatisfaction from domestic counterparts.Therefore,None of the 10 works in the fourth stage of Marvel Universe have been shown in Chinese mainland.When Iger was in office, he was very friendly to China, which not only promoted cultural and investment cooperation, but also contributed to the completion of Shanghai Disneyland.From the perspective of Disney Company and Chinese fans,A more friendly attitude is a win-win situation.Iger is definitely the best person to return to Disney now.First,His near-mythical position in the company, can carry out the reform very smoothly, which is encouraging to both employees and investors;Second,He used to have a lot of God-operated acquisitions, also let shareholders believe that there may be more magic pens in the future;In fact, not only Disney shareholders want him back, but Hollywood also wants him back. After all, since the change of streaming media, Netflix has begun to reshape the traditional Hollywood market. Although streaming media is on a roll, it is the expectation of all media people to return to the content itself.
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      Disney's CEO, Is Bob Bob's future?
    • MaverickTigerMaverickTiger
      ·2022-11-14

      A Mid-term without Red Wave means danger?

      2022 mid-term in the United States is near to close, the Democrats took the lead in winning 50 seats and locked the control of the Senate. At the same time, the Republican basically won the House of Representatives, but the leading seats may be only within 15, which means a split Congress. It is quite different from the "Red Wave" expected, that is, the Republican Party won a big victory (the House of Representatives led by 30 seats and won the Senate back). The Democratic Party performed stronger than expected.This is the first time that a large number of mail-in votes are used. Since most of the mail-in votes towards Democrats, made Nevada, Arizona and swing States to flip to Dems in the last minutes. Will Republicans resist it in 2024 President Election?As for the impactFirst, splitting Congress brings greater difficulties to Biden Government.Although some executive orders can be signed directly by the president, they need to pass Congress when it comes to key issues. The Democrats has always implemented easing fiscal policies by "higher taxes, supporting anti-monopoly and larger government budget". When Republicans controls the Congress, it is not so easy (basically impossible) for Biden administration to pass budget caps and raise tax rates.Second, the increasing of overseas worriesWhen the Biden administration faces more challenges from the Republicans, they are more likely to shift the focus abroad. For example, Russia-Ukraine war, trading issues. Other countries need to be more careful when dealing with the United States.In addition, the Biden administration's support for Ukraine has been criticized by the Republican Party, and the scale of aid may be limited in the future.Third, increasing uncertainty of 2024 presidential election.In several States where the Republican Party lost the Senate election, there were voters endorsed by Trump, and Trump himself said that he would start the 2024 presidential campaign on November 15th. Of course, there are new forces within the Republican Party-Florida Governor Ronald Dion DeSantis, who performed well in the epidemic, publicly expressed his opposition to Trump, which will bring some uncertainty to Republican candidates.On the Democratic side, in view of Biden's advanced age, most senators do not support Biden's re-election, and hope that others will take his place. The Democratic Party is facing greater challenges in the general election, which brings uncertainty to the 2024 presidential election.In terms of monetary policy, after the CPI data last week, several Fed officials have spoken.Williams, chairman of FOMC Permanent Voting Committee and New York Federal Reserve, said- Long-term inflation expectations in the US are relatively stable, but uncertainty about the outlook for inflation has risen and views on future inflation are increasingly divided, including a high proportion of those expecting deflation. In 2023, FOMC Voting Committee and Minneapolis Fed Chairman Kashkali said- It is "too early" to discuss the current tightening policy shift of the Federal Reserve. In 2023, FOMC Voting Committee and Philadelphia Fed Chairman Huck said- Now it's time for the Fed to slow down interest rate increasing. In 2022, FOMC Voting Committee and Kansas Fed Chairman George said- Supporting a slower pace of interest rate hikes in the United States and calling for a "more cautious" approach to give central banks time to judge how rising borrowing costs are affecting the economy, In 2022, FOMC Voting Committee and Cleveland Fed Chairman Meister said Although inflation shows signs of slowing down at present, there are still great risks to inflation. She also said that monetary policy needs to be more qualified and remain restrictive for a period of time, so that inflation can continue to drop to 2%. It can be seen that the differences between "doves" and "hawks" among Fed officials are getting bigger and bigger, even quite different.
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      A Mid-term without Red Wave means danger?
    • rachelf1123rachelf1123
      ·2022-11-16
      Former President Donald Trump, aiming to become only the second commander-in-chief ever elected to two nonconsecutive terms, announced Tuesday night that he will seek the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. Trump’s paperwork establishing his candidacy landed with the Federal Election Committee shortly before he delivered his announcement at Mar-a-Lago, his Florida waterfront estate. Trump’s long-awaited campaign comes as the former president tries to reclaim the spotlight following the GOP’s underwhelming midterm elections performance – including the losses of several Trump-endorsed election deniers – and the subsequent blame game that has unfolded since Election Day. Republicans failed to gain a Senate majority, came up short in their efforts to fill several statewide seats, and have yet to secure a House majority, with only 215 races called in their favor so far out of the 218 needed, developments that have forced Trump and other party leaders into a defensive posture as they face reproval from within their ranks. But Trump is also betting that his first-out-of-the gate strategy will fend off potential primary rivals and give him an early advantage with deep-pocketed donors, aides say. He is widely expected to be challenged by both conservative and moderate Republicans, though the calculus of some presidential hopefuls could change now that he is running. Others – like his former Vice President, Mike Pence – may proceed anyway. Trump’s third presidential bid also coincides with a period of heightened legal peril as Justice Department officials investigating him and his associates revisit the prospect of indictments in their Trump-related probes. The former president is currently being investigated for his activities before and during the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol and his retention of classified documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate after he left office. While Trump is counting on an easy path to the GOP nomination with his sustained support among the party’s base, his announcement is likely to dash the hopes of party leaders who have longed for fresh talent. In particular, top Republicans have been paying close attention to the next moves of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who won his reelection contest with a 19-point margin of victory and considerable support from minority and independent voters. Some Republican leaders may try to scuttle Trump’s campaign by elevating or encouraging alternative candidates, including DeSantis, who has been quietly laying the groundwork for a possible White House bid of his own. Of course, any countereffort to inhibit Trump’s path to the nomination is likely to prove difficult. Despite his myriad legal entanglements and the stain of January 6, the twice-impeached 45th president remains immensely popular among most Republican voters and boasts a deep connection with his core backers that could prove difficult for other GOP hopefuls to replicate or weaken. Even leading conservatives who disliked Trump’s pugnacious politics and heterodox policies stuck with him as president because he helped solidify the rightward shift of the US Supreme Court with his nominations – one of the most far-reaching aspects of his legacy, which resulted in the conservative court majority’s deeply polarizing June decision to end federal abortion rights. In fact, while Trump ended his first term with the lowest approval rating of any president, about 8 in 10 Republicans viewed him favorably, according to a May NBC News poll. That alone could give Trump a significant edge over primary opponents whom voters are still familiarizing themselves with. Among those potential competitors is Pence, who would likely benefit from high name recognition due to his role as vice president. Pence, who has been preparing for a possible White House run in 2024, is sure to face an uphill battle courting Trump’s most loyal supporters, many of whom soured on the former vice president after he declined to overstep his congressional authority and block certification of now-President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory. Trump could also find himself pitted against DeSantis, who has risen to hero status among cultural conservatives and who is widely considered a more polished version of Trump. Even some of the former president’s advisers have voiced similar observations to CNN, noting that DeSantis also made inroads with major Republican donors during his quest for reelection and built a mountain of goodwill with GOP leaders by campaigning for federal and statewide Republican candidates in the middle of his own race. Beyond his potential rivals, Trump has another roadblock in his path as the House select committee continues to investigate his role in January 6, 2021, and Justice Department officials weigh whether to issue criminal charges. The committee, which subpoenaed him for testimony and documents in October and which Trump is now battling in court, held public hearings throughout the summer and early fall featuring depositions from those in Trump’s inner circle at the White House – including members of his family – that detailed his public and private efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election results through a sustained pressure campaign on numerous local, state and federal officials, and on his own vice president. But Trump’s desire to announce his campaign early can be especially traced to the FBI search of Mar-a-Lago, which advisers say further emboldened his decision to mount what he believes will be a triumphant political comeback. The day after the search, the former president fielded calls from allies advising him to accelerate his 2024 timeline. That night, he huddled with House lawmakers in the Republican Study Committee and told them he’d “made up his mind” about launching a bid, though some of those same House Republicans later convinced him to wait until after the midterm elections to announce his next move. Preparing for 2024 From the moment Trump left Washington, defeated and disgraced, in January 2021, he began plotting a return to power – devoting the bulk of his time to building a political operation intended for this moment. With assistance from numerous former aides and advisers, he continued the aggressive fundraising tactics that had become a marker of his 2020 campaign, amassing a colossal war chest ahead of the 2022 midterm elections, and worked diligently to elect steadfast allies in both Congress and state legislatures across the country. While maintaining a home base in Florida, he also regularly jet-setted across the country for campaign rallies that afforded him crucial face time with his base and with candidates he bet would become valuable allies in the US Senate and House. Through it all, Trump continued to falsely insist that the 2020 election was stolen from him, indulging in far-flung conspiracy theories about voter fraud and pressuring Republican leaders across the party’s election apparatus to endorse changes that would curtail voting rights. Trump’s aides were pleased earlier this fall when his public appearances and rally speeches gradually became more focused on rising crime, immigration and economic woes – key themes throughout the midterm cycle and issues they hope will enable him to draw a compelling contrast with Biden as he begins this next chapter. Allies of the former president have long said that he views the 2024 contest as an opportunity to regain what he believes is his: another four years in the Oval Office. But there is no guarantee that Trump will glide easily to a nonconsecutive second term. In fact, it could be quite difficult. Not only does history offer just one example of such a feat (defeated in 1888 after his first term, President Grover Cleveland was elected again in 1892), no previously impeached president has ever run again for office. Trump was first impeached in 2019 on charges of abuse of power and obstruction of justice, and then again in 2021 for inciting the riot at the US Capitol. Though he was acquitted by the Senate both times, 10 House Republicans broke with their party the second time around to join Democrats in a vote to impeach him. Seven Republican senators voted to convict him at his Senate trial. Trump has also been the subject of a bevy of lawsuits and investigations, including a New York state investigation and a separate Manhattan district attorney criminal probe into his company’s finances, a Georgia county probe into his efforts to overturn Biden’s election win in the state, and separate Justice Department probes into his campaign’s scheme to put forth fake electors in battleground states and his decision to bring classified materials with him to Mar-a-Lago upon leaving office. Trump’s actions since he left Washington have, for the most part, signaled his interest in an eventual return. While most former presidents go quietly into retirement – resurfacing to assist their parties during midterm cycles or for the opening of their presidential libraries – Trump bucked tradition to instead plot the comeback he now hopes to make. Despite its distance from Washington, Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club has transformed into a new hub for Republicans and a home base for his political machine. Assisted by a small group of paid staffers, he has hosted numerous candidate and committee fundraisers and seen a rotating cast of party leaders and congressional hopefuls filter through its gilded hallways in the hopes of nabbing his endorsement or reingratiating themselves with his base. Trump’s schedule has enabled him to build close relationships with party leaders and fringe figures – from House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy of California to Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia – whose support in a contested primary could ultimately help him clear the field. Many of the aides who have been with him since he left the White House are expected to continue on as campaign hands, as the former president and his de facto chief of staff, longtime Florida GOP strategist Susie Wiles, aim to maintain a lean operation much like the early days of his 2016 presidential campaign. Among those who are likely to be involved are Wiles, Taylor Budowich, Chris LaCivita, Steven Cheung, Justin Caperole, Brian Jack and Brad Parscale, who managed part of his failed 2020 campaign. Notably, Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, who was deeply involved in his quest for reelection, is widely expected not to be involved this time around.
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    • MaverickTigerMaverickTiger
      ·2022-12-16

      Trump played for suckers via "major announcement", DWAC falls

      Dec. 14, $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$ gains as former President Donald Trump said he plans a big announcement on Thursday.However, on Dec 15, DWAC dropped 6% after the former President revealed his "major announcement" is a digital trading card collection.How hilarious!The other day, $Twitter(TWTR)$ chief Elon Musk allowed Trump to be reinstated on the social media platform last month after Musk conducted a poll and users voted to bring the former president back to Twitter after he was kicked off in January 2021 following the attack on the U.S. Capitol.Everybody might regard Trump's big announcement related to election, while it's just an advertisement, which probably taking profit from suckers.It somehow is like the "boy cried wolf" story, which makes Trump's amouncement unreliable.He probably lose the chance to election.
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      Trump played for suckers via "major announcement", DWAC falls
    • Tiger_CommentsTiger_Comments
      ·2022-11-16

      Trump Caused Republicans to Lose the Senate?

      The US midterm election finally reached its first milestone over the weekend, when Democrats won the 50th Senate seat, giving them control of the chamber for the next two years.19 seats remain undecided in the House of Representatives race, but counting is nearing an end. If the final tally is consistent with the current advantage of each district, Republicans will get 222 votes and the Democrats 213 votes.The difference between the two sides is only nine votes, and Republicans control the House of Representatives by a narrow margin.Georgia is very important for DemocratsThe race for the Senate is not over yet, with Georgia heading to a play-off on December 6th.In the first round of voting, the Democratic candidate of Georgia won, so the runoff on December 6th should have a better chance. But now Democrats have won the Senate, it may stimulate centrist voters in Georgia to stay away or switch, and the outcome in Georgia may be uncertain.Some would argue that Democrats have 50 votes in the Senate anyway, so this one vote doesn't really matter. But in fact, this vote has a great effect on Democrats. Because when Democrats controlled the Senate by 50 votes, Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia used his own vote to threaten Biden and Democrats all the time, making Biden very passive.If Georgia wins this vote, then Democrats will have 51 votes and will no longer be subject to the threat of Manchin.Trump Caused Republicans to Lose the Senate?Democrats did surprisingly well in the mid-term elections (expectations were too low), and they did well nationally. So this time Republicans hype about voter fraud has been silenced. If you lose Arizona, you can say cheating, but if you lose Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada, you can hardly say that.The New York Times said Republicans mid-term election performance was the worst for opposition parties in decades. So Republicans are now looking for a scapegoat. The most important question is whether Trump is the reason why Democrats are enthusiastic about voting.In fact, many Republicans are already blaming Trump for their party's dismal performance in the midterm elections. But I don't think we should jump to conclusions so easily. We should still look at the data.Trump has supported many candidates, some have won and some have lost. Don't simply attribute the losses directly to Trump. Here are the election results for senators and governors in the most competitive states. All references to Trump's support refer to whether he supports the Republican candidate.  State Senator Governor New Hampshire D+9.2 Hassan Trump-backed R+15.5 Sununu Not backed by Trump Georgia D+0.9 Warnock Trump-backed R+7.6 Kemp Not backed by Trump Nevada D+0.7 Cortez Masto Trump-backed R+2.3 Lombardo Trump-backed Arizona D+5.7 Kelly Trump-backed D+1.0 No result yet Trump-backed Wisconsin R+1.0 Johnson Trump-backed D+3.4 Evers Trump-backed Pennsylvania D+4.4 Fetterman Trump-backed D+14.3 Shapiro Trump-backed In New Hampshire and Georgia, Republicans won the governors but lost the Senates, both by big margins. The governors of both states have distanced themselves from Trump, especially the relationship between the governor of Georgia and Trump. So judging from the results of these two states, Trump is really bad for Republicans.In Nevada and Arizona, Trump-backed governor candidates did better than Senate candidates on the same ballot. For example, the governor of NV is R+2.3 and the senator is D+0.7. The difference is 2.3+0.7 = 3.0.This reflects the ambivalence of voters: they want Republicans to manage the affairs of the state, but do not want them to run the country. So it can also be argued that they don't like Trump (his influence on them at the national level).The Wisconsin results could also reflect Trump's problems, since Johnson won as the Republican candidate. Despite Trump's endorsement, he has not been that close to him. Tim Michels, the candidate for governor whom Trump had endorsed, was trounced.In the most hotly contested states, Trump bears some of the blame for Republican Party's losses. Voters preferred Republican governors to Republican senators, and Republican governor candidates who distanced themselves from Trump won big.Bottom LineTrump spent the weekend lambasting Republicans in his own media, especially FOX News, began its campaign against Trump, arguing that the party must now break with him. Republicans can't win against Democrats with Trump.Of course, the appeals of the media or politicians are useless, and Trump got out of the siege in a state of total Republican blockade. Any politician who tried to beat him, like Cruz, Rubio, Jeb Bush was defeated by Trump.Will today's DeSantis be better than those three? The key still depends on the public opinion of Republican voters.The next question is, have Republican voters begun to abandon Trump? How high is the support rate of Trump's party voters?
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    • WealthSquadWealthSquad
      ·2022-11-16

      Trump announces 2024 presidential bid:Stocks That Might Benefit

      Former President Donald Trump formally filed notice of athird run for the White House Tuesday night- setting up a two-year fight for the heart of the Republican Party, following amidterm electionthat largely went the Democrats' way.He may be in for a rough fight after last Tuesday's runaway re-election of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, one of the few Republican high points from the midterm elections - and amid an increasing groundswell over the past few days of key GOP leadership urging a break with the party's recent past (namely Trump), and a look toward DeSantis as the future."Ladies and gentlemen, distinguished guests and my fellow citizens, America's comeback starts right now," Trump told a crowd at his Mar-a-Lago home.Trump is launching a campaign that, depending on whom you talk to, either significantly boosts or seriously hampers the GOP's chances for reclaiming the U.S. presidency in '24 - and with that, improving prospects for industries often benefiting from Republican leadership, such as coal and energy stocks including $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$,$Chevron(CVX)$ , $Peabody Energy Corp(BTU)$ , $Arch Resources Inc.(ARCH)$ , $Alliance Resource Partners LP(ARLP)$ and $CONSOL Energy Inc.(CEIX)$; large employers that would benefit from minimum wage limits, such as $Wal-Mart(WMT)$,$McDonald's(MCD)$, $Kroger(KR)$ and $Target(TGT)$; and defense stocks including$Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ , $Raytheon Technologies Corporation(RTX)$, $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ and $General Dynamics Corp(GD)$.That's not to mention the so-called "Trump SPAC" $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$, the special-purpose acquisition company linked with efforts to take the Trump Media and Technology Group public.DWAC surged 66.5% on Nov. 7 after some weekend rumblings that a Trump entry announcement might be near, and that companyextended the deadlinefor investor approval of its merger with TMTG to Nov. 22 - past the election and Trump's (then-anticipated) announcement of a run.DWAC rose another 11% on Monday, Nov. 14, with the announcement drawing nearer, butfell back by 8.8% Tuesday.Phunware stock (PHUN) might move on the latest news; the company was hired by Trump's 2020 campaign to create a smartphone application, and the stock has made volatile Trump-related moves along the way (it alsojumped 38%on Nov. 7).Trump's media efforts are also connected to conservative-focused video site $Rumble Inc.(RUM)$, and his page on the site was one of many live-streaming his announcement. Rumble provides cloud hosting for Trump's Truth Social media platform.It would be remiss to skip over Rupert Murdoch's media empire, including Fox News (FOX) (FOXA) and Wall Street Journalowner News Corp. (NWS) (NWSA). Trump and Murdoch's media were closely intertwined during the Trump presidency, and Trump made frequent call-in appearances to shows including Fox & Friendsand Hannity. Recently, Murdoch's papers and stations have demonstrated that turn away from Trump after the midterm disappointment - the New York Postran apost-election cartoon cover of "Trumpty Dumpty"- but having a Trump race to cover again could be a difference-maker for newspapers and programs that often made Trump their No. 1 story.Source:https://seekingalpha.com/news/3908223-trump-announces-third-run-for-presidency-jumping-into-hot-2024-race
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    • Success88Success88
      ·2022-11-16
      Many Republican leaders and voters seem to have “Trump fatigue”, and are tired of the constant chaos surrounding the former US leader, said one analyst of Mr Trump’s 2024 White House bid. Former United States president Donald Trump will likely face a tougher battle in his latest White House bid, with some Republican leaders and voters already weary of his “toxic politics”, said observers. His popularity is sliding and it will be much harder for him to run this time. Mr Trump, who faces scrutiny from within his own party, announced on Tuesday – just a week after the midterm elections – that he is entering the 2024 US presidential race. He is seeking a potential rematch with Democratic President Joe Biden.  “It's going to be harder for him to mount a successful campaign this time, especially when you have quite a number of donors, GOP leaders, and voters saying that they do not want the toxic politics,” said Ms Angela Mancini, partner and head of Asia-Pacific Markets at strategic consulting firm Control Risks.  “They want the platform and the policies, (but) they don't want the toxic politics that we saw with Donald Trump.” Exit polls have shown that some Republican voters like his record and policies, but are turned off by his personality, she added. “It's too narcissistic.” Mr Robert Daly, director of the Wilson Center's Kissinger Institute on China and the United States, said: “Clearly, a lot of people seem to have ‘Trump fatigue’. They're simply tired of the constant chaos.”In the recent midterms, Trump-backed candidates in competitive races have underperformed.  “The Republican voters did not come out for his handpicked candidates,” said Ms Mancini, adding that these candidates, instead, got the negativity of being associated with Mr Trump. “So it's a real question, I think, as to how big is his base really?” Mr Daly, who has served as a US diplomat in Beijing, added that there is “a consensus within the Republican Party that Trump this time backed a lot of very poor candidates …” “He backed people who were going to claim that the previous election was stolen. There's no evidence of that. And he backed people with little political experience and those people have now been rejected,” he said.  “Does that indicate that they would reject Trump as well? We don't know. But he clearly doesn't have quite the purchase that he had with the Republicans several years ago.” Ms Mancini believes Mr Trump is trying to fire up his support base and preempt potential Republican rivals with his announcement to run again for the White House.  “I also think he's looking at his legal cases. I think he is, I would assume, quite disturbed by the press coverage that has been coming out about him following the midterms, including from supporters,” she said. “Indeed, he is seeing that his popularity is sliding.”  Instead of holding off from announcing his third run for presidency, the former US leader, very much wanting to stay relevant, “stepped right back into the limelight, albeit with a bit more lacklustre energy and support from the crowd that we've seen in the past”, she added. However, some GOP megadonors are backing a “more promising” crop of Republican presidential candidates for the White House in 2024. These likely contenders include Florida governor Ron DeSantis and Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin.  In particular, Mr Trump faces a formidable rival in likely candidate Mr DeSantis, said Mr Daly. There are many senators and governors who might throw their hats in the ring, but most probably do not want to run against Mr Trump, he added. “So they may see how things go between Trump and DeSantis now, and hold on to see whether Trump is going to be the favourite candidate. If he isn't, if DeSantis does well, you can expect to see more Republicans also getting into the competition.” Pointing out that 2024 is “a long ways away”, Mr Daly said: “I think what we'll see initially is a battle within the Republican Party to decide what direction it wants to take.” I support Trump 2024. Let's see the market reaction @TigerEvents 
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    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·2022-11-17
      When Donald Trump announced his candidacy for White House, there was no overwhelming support from his own Republican Party.  In fact, many of his fellow party members blamed him for the dismal results of the US midterm elections.  Nancy Pelosi called it a "trickle" instead of a "red wave".The New York Post called Donald Trump "Trumpty Dumpty" whose party members have to put it back together again. Donald Trump is a polarising yet controversial figure.  He is linked to the January 6 Capitol Hill attack by his supporters.  In August he was under investigation for keeping a stash of top secret documents in his Florida home.Ron Desantis, the newly elected Republican Governor of Florida has emerged as a strong contender for the Republican bid for the White House.  A recent poll by Victory Insights found Trump and Desantis both at 50% support level each.  Then there is also Mike Pence, his previous Vice President and Mike Pompeo, the previous Secretary of Defense.What is the impact on the markets if Trump wins?If he wins, Climate Change and Sino American relations will suffer.  During his tenure as President, US withdrew from the Paris Climate Accord.  US also withdrew from WHO.  US Sino relations took a turn for the worse as punitive tariffs were implemented on Chinese goods to the tune of USD 550 billion. However Donald Trump cut US Corporate Tax from 35% to 21%.  Donald Trump's campaign slogan is "Make America Great Again".  However it may come at the expense of World Peace. Donald Trump is like a champagne bubble that has fizzled out.    I believe that the US needs a president that is a pivotal force that will not only unite the Americans but galvanise efforts towards World Peace and Harmony. President Biden has taken the first step to thaw the frosty relations when he shook hands with President Xi Jinpeng.   The global markets celebrated at this symbolic gesture. @MillionaireTiger  @TigerStars  @Tiger_chat  @CaptainTiger  
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    • melsonmelson
      ·2022-11-19
      $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$  is a shell company for spac purpose. so its success will depend on whether it merges with trump media. it also depends on the popularity of the ex president. it is now at best a meme stock. trump is a disruptor and during his presidency he was always hammered by the leftwing media. the megaphone of the leftwing media is much bigger and stronger than the rightwing media. the only big rightwing media left is foxnews. trump is very pro-market and loved by the rural farming community.  however, trump's reputation had been tarnished by claiming election fraud and inciting the capitol riots. we didn't see a red wave during midterms, candidates that trump backed didn't do so well. this shows that the american population is tired of trump and is in need of a fresh face who is more in touch with the younger voters. ron de santis is the popular governor of florida whom had proven himself to lead florida through the crisis. we shall see who wins the primaries. it is too early to say now as the election is in 2024. people's memory fades pretty fast.  merci beaucoup @TigerStars    🥂✨ bon weekend
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    • UltrahishamUltrahisham
      ·2022-11-19
      From mid term on to presidency The mid term was supposed to be a referendum on Biden and the democrats. It was supposed to be a 'red wave' and a Republican sweepto take the House and Senate to create gridlock. It could not have been as dramatic. To cut the story short, the Democrats showed up to the Republicans and the GOPs did not get theirparade.  The political scene is shifting to the 2024 Presidential elections. A bit early to some considering we are still in 2022. But campaigning will take some time and the candidates will start off declaring their interests, square off and start getting whittled off until one candidate from each side stands.  As we all know, Trump has declared himself running as well as Biden himself who will be running for re-election. It will be a hot headed contest with much emotions on the line. That much we know. Impact on stock market? That is rather tricky. But we all know how pro business Trump is. So do expect a lot of pro businessincentives which will benefit corporations. However, he is also an advocate of 'America first' so that in itself runs the risk of deglobalisation. In an interconnected world, that is a high risk in itself. Many other factors are also at play etc. So it is best to just take one step at a time and monitor price actions to be better prepared. Thanks for reading!
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    • SR050321SR050321
      ·2022-11-19
      If Trump win, the next one Ellon Musk will nominate as candidate, both controversial figures and alot drama, but nowadays people like drama, but Korean drama is more popular. We never know what is going to happen ifTrump is elected, stock market is not defined or built by him alone. His stocks maybe more popular because he will favour the companies. Everyone have purpose why nominateto be the US president, only the person know his own intentions in his heart. I just wish the best for America, whoever selected should be accepted with an open heart, majority voters won.  ❤️💜💙💚💛
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    • BroccoBrocco
      ·2022-11-16
      2024 is 2 years away and too much will have changed. Hopefully more new potiential candidates will appear and contest. Bring in more new blood and ideas to the econony and have more win win deals with other countries. Election always have an impact on the stock market due to unstable political risk. But if you are holding stocks long term m, election doesnt have much impacts. Personally don't likeTrump action as he sometimes says and do things to "his" way rather than for "everyone". 
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    • BlessedmeBlessedme
      ·2022-11-19
      $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$   I am not a fan of Trump or Biden despite watching videos that he was the chosen one in the previous election. However,  one thing I know is that if Trump will win the election in 2024, all the stock prices will go up high. Dont ask me why but it is just my inner voice telling me. It is like I foresee something in the future.  I did not have a good feeling when Biden won the election and i felt he was not the right person. For Trump, I dont have good feelings even though prophecies of him being the chosen one. At least I dont hv any bad vibes on Trump. Whether Trump or someone else be the President, all eyes on that person on whether he can turn the country around to make American GREAT AGAIN. Happy Investing:)
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    • VideoLoungeVideoLounge
      ·2022-11-16

      Trump Announces Presidential Run for 2024

      Donald Trump, 76, formally entered the 2024 US presidential race on Tuesday, making official what he's been teasing for months. At his Mar-a-Lago estate, Trump said America's comeback starts right now. He is the first major contender from either party to formally declare.$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$
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      Trump Announces Presidential Run for 2024
    • Cris0Cris0
      ·2022-11-16
      Too early to just says Trump impact currently. The next election is 2024 so Biden still have 2 years to change and when Biden took over, Covid already occurs and he serve the toughest fight making the hardest decision. Inflation is not something within his control as well. Generally feels that stock market will be affected due to political reason. Trump fails for pervious election for a reason and also need to see other potiential candidates.
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    • YNWIMYNWIM
      ·2022-11-15
      $DWAC$PHUN Moment of silence to thank the shorts for the dip. They really thought selling under the share price to drop it would make everyone else sell 🤣🤣 This is coming back up and will continue rising throughout the day. Yesterday noon was a high point for volume, could see the same today. Target 45$.$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$  $Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$
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    • meurasian77meurasian77
      ·2022-11-17
      $Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$  honestly if Donald trump wins the election in 2024, markets should rally and in charging bull mode. Trump is a business man at heart and he will concentrate on bossing the American economy once he relinquishes the hot seat in the oval office 
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    • MoneyManagementMoneyManagement
      ·2022-11-14
      DWAC Stock to $42.9! Donald TRUMP WILL MAKE AN ANNOUNCEMENT ON 11/15! WATCH THIS VIDEO BEFORE MONDAY
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