To The Moon

S&P500 and technology heavy Nasdaq had their worst weekly performance since March this year. According to Bank of America, investors were dumping stocks at the fastest pace since December last year. Meanwhile the bond yields are popping to a highest level since 2007, which is a threat to the stock market. Check out my video if you have time as I discussed some of these topics  === Stormy Stock Market! Further DOWNSIDE Ahead?? https://youtu.be/n0ajLGobxx8 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

Breakdown Just Getting Started?

Market seems to be heading for a 2023 low by Oct 12th. We have Govt lockdown, Student Loan repayment starting, jobs report, CPI and PPI before that. All causing a negative effect for stocks. Time to find exit points and buy on dips.$Apple(AAPL)$ $Crocs(CROX)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 

I can't help but wonder about the current state of the stock market and where it's headed next. Lately, the question on everyone's mind seems to be whether the S&P 500 (SPX) will tumble to 4300 or manage to defy the odds and stay afloat. Moreover, it's intriguing to explore why the market often seems skeptical about the idea of "higher for longer" and how hawkish speeches can send shockwaves through the financial world. Let's start with the SPX's recent performance. The stock market has always been a rollercoaster ride, with ups and downs that can make even the most seasoned investor queasy. The prospect of SPX hitting 4300 is a real concern, especially when you consider the various economic and geopolitical factors at play. Market sentiment is a fickle thing, and it can quickly shift

The SPX will hit 4300 and rebound as it is a bull market.

Congrats for surviving the FOMC this week! A quick 85% gain within 90 mins from taking calls at the opening. Shorted META from the top selling covered call into next Friday. Get ready for more volatility to end September with more news to shake the market next week. At the meantime, have a blessed weekend and relax yourself 🙏 Friday’s slide marked the fourth straight day of losses for the three major indexes. The losing streak came as investors reacted to a signal from the Federal Reserve that it intended to keep interest rates higher for longer. Another gap fill trade opportunity Concern also grew around a government shutdown, which could dent consumer confidence and slow down the economy further. House Republican leaders sent the chamber into recess on Thursday. House Speaker K

Let's review the overall market and the trading opportunities in the stocks I've been monitoring. The interest rate decision lands, and it's as hawkish as expected, which is also in line with common sense. Anyone claiming it's unexpected must have their own problems. The 'higher for longer' stance was set as early as last year, why didn't they believe it?This basically confirms that there will be another interest rate hike in November this year, and it's time to start pricing it in. The current market adjustment also aligns with historical patterns seen in September. For those who are unsure or confused about the market's direction, I sincerely recommend keeping most of your funds in Tiger Vault for now.Another currently focused event is the government shutdown. Personally, I don't think t

Big-Tech’s PerformanceFOMC September meeting’s done, another skip in rate hike was in line with expectations, but the hawks alive. Consensus of delay in rate cut in Q3 2024 has led market risk aversion, resulting in sell-off in U.S. stocks, with tech companies, which have seen significant gains this year, taking the biggest shit.As of the close on September 21st, all major tech companies have seen declines over the past five trading days. The smallest decline and the strongest performance came from $Apple(AAPL)$ at -0.04% following its significant drop the previous week. Others include $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ -3.59%, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ at -5.2%,

Been a roller coaster ride since the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Expect some weakness to conclude the weak month as the price action should hold above the August low before a much anticipated reversal into the stronger October. Tech is set for its worst month this year as traders yet again come to terms with the Fed staying higher for longer, which includes elevated bond yields. Bloodbath selfie anyone? 🩸  Tech companies Amazon.com, Nvidia, Alphabet and Tesla were among the biggest S&P 500 decliners Thursday in terms of market cap as the prospect of still-higher yields sinks in. The S&P 500 info tech index is by far the worst-performing sector for September. Both it and the Nasdaq 100 are posting the biggest monthly losses since December. Tough week ahead? Chip bellwethers

Inflation is making headlines once again, and its effects are reverberating through central banks and global financial markets. Recent developments in Japan and the United States highlight the challenges and uncertainties associated with managing inflation in today's economic landscape. In this post, I'll delve into the impact of inflation on central bank policies and its consequences for global markets. Japan's Inflation Surprise Japan CPI inflation grows more than expected in August as BOJ looms Japan recently reported consumer inflation figures that exceeded expectations. The National core consumer price index inflation, excluding volatile fresh food prices, rose to 3.1% in August, surpassing forecasts and remaining steady from the previous month. This unexpected surge in inflation has

$Cisco(CSCO)$ announced on Thursday its agreement to acquire the cybersecurity company $Splunk(SPLK)$ for $28 billion, or $157 per share. Splunk's stock rose by 21% to $144, with the remaining $13 attributed to the uncertainty of the acquisition. If successful, the deal is expected to conclude in the third quarter of 2024. Splunk is a US software company founded in 2003, primarily providing data analysis and visualization solutions to help enterprises extract valuable information from massive datasets. Additionally, it assists in monitoring network security events and conducting threat detection and response, making it relevant in the field of cybersecurity.Why Splunk?Splunk was one of the early companies

Black Thursday, with all three major U.S. stock indices falling over 1%. Among them, the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ suffered the most significant drop at 1.82%, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ declined by 1.6%, marking its worst single-day performance since the Silicon Valley Bank (SIVBQ) crisis. The $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ , representing small-cap stocks, also dropped by 1.62%, with the top-weighted stocks experiencing even greater declines. Therefore, this two-day pullback is primarily concentrated in heavyweight stocks. Among them, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ fell by -4.41%, the largest drop among big tech stocks, while the volatil

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Interest rates staying 'higher for longer' means at least through 2026 for the Fed $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  A common refrain around the Federal Reserve in recent months has been the notion that interest rates will remain "higher for longer." Meaning that even after the central bank ends its current rate-hiking cycle and begins the process of bringing rates down, interest rates will remain higher than what the Fed thinks would be needed to sustain economic growth with inflation at 2%. What, exactly, "longer" entails is at the heart of investor debates about the Fed's policy future. But on Wednesday, the central bank offered further outlines of its answer — at least three more years. Alongside its policy decision

Hawkish From fed caused the stock went down  Hey there, folks! Today, we're diving into a hot topic: why I prefer buying Dow Index ETF funds like JEPI over QQQM, especially when the market shows signs of a drop. Let's break it down. So, we had a bit of a market shake-up recently . The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady but hinted at another rate hike coming this year. Moreover, their projection for fewer cuts in 2024 raised some eyebrows. These factors have investors a bit on edge. Now, let's get into the nitty-gritty. When the market gets jittery, I like to look at how different ETFs perform. JEPI, tracking the Dow Jones Industrial Average, recently saw a minor dip, going from $54.30 to $54.05, which is less than 1%. On the other hand, ETFs like QQQM, which follow

Bears firmly in control at the moment The markets make a decisive move yesterday after the bulls and bears wrangled it out at the pivot point of 4430 on the broad market index. Initially, the bulls seem to be wresting short term control from the bears but the bears overwhelmed them once the FoMc made their stance clear that they are not pulling back on rates. That punctured the bulls' energy and zest and they subsequently surrendered 4430 to the bears. 4430 had been a critical support zone from which the bulls successfully took back just the prior day after the bears' initial attempts to push decisively past it.  Now it seems that 4430 has been overwhelmed and conquered by the bears and 4400 looms as the next point of resistance for the bulls. Give that up and I am expecting

Do you agree?

The recent turbulence in the financial markets following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance during the September 20, 2023 FOMC meeting has sparked debates and speculations about the future trajectory of the S&P 500 index. With the central bank signaling “higher for longer” interest rates, concerns have emerged regarding the impact on equities. In this article, we will explore the possibility of the S&P 500 retreating to the 4300 level and analyze the underlying factors contributing to this scenario. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$  1. The Hawkish Fed’s Influence The catalyst behind the recent market dip can be attributed to

The Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting took a wait-and-see approach with no interest rate hike. However, the dot plot and Chairman Powell's remarks appeared more hawkish, indicating a reduction in the expected number of rate cuts next year and a significant upward revision in economic data forecasts. The market experienced severe volatility, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surging beyond 4.4% $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ both dropped by 1.5%, while the $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ broke through 105.6.Skipping September, why did most committee members support another rate hike? It's because the market had alrea

S&P500 and technology heavy Nasdaq had their worst weekly performance since March this year. According to Bank of America, investors were dumping stocks at the fastest pace since December last year. Meanwhile the bond yields are popping to a highest level since 2007, which is a threat to the stock market. Check out my video if you have time as I discussed some of these topics  === Stormy Stock Market! Further DOWNSIDE Ahead?? https://youtu.be/n0ajLGobxx8 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

Breakdown Just Getting Started?

Market seems to be heading for a 2023 low by Oct 12th. We have Govt lockdown, Student Loan repayment starting, jobs report, CPI and PPI before that. All causing a negative effect for stocks. Time to find exit points and buy on dips.$Apple(AAPL)$ $Crocs(CROX)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 

Let's review the overall market and the trading opportunities in the stocks I've been monitoring. The interest rate decision lands, and it's as hawkish as expected, which is also in line with common sense. Anyone claiming it's unexpected must have their own problems. The 'higher for longer' stance was set as early as last year, why didn't they believe it?This basically confirms that there will be another interest rate hike in November this year, and it's time to start pricing it in. The current market adjustment also aligns with historical patterns seen in September. For those who are unsure or confused about the market's direction, I sincerely recommend keeping most of your funds in Tiger Vault for now.Another currently focused event is the government shutdown. Personally, I don't think t

Big-Tech’s PerformanceFOMC September meeting’s done, another skip in rate hike was in line with expectations, but the hawks alive. Consensus of delay in rate cut in Q3 2024 has led market risk aversion, resulting in sell-off in U.S. stocks, with tech companies, which have seen significant gains this year, taking the biggest shit.As of the close on September 21st, all major tech companies have seen declines over the past five trading days. The smallest decline and the strongest performance came from $Apple(AAPL)$ at -0.04% following its significant drop the previous week. Others include $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ -3.59%, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ at -5.2%,

I can't help but wonder about the current state of the stock market and where it's headed next. Lately, the question on everyone's mind seems to be whether the S&P 500 (SPX) will tumble to 4300 or manage to defy the odds and stay afloat. Moreover, it's intriguing to explore why the market often seems skeptical about the idea of "higher for longer" and how hawkish speeches can send shockwaves through the financial world. Let's start with the SPX's recent performance. The stock market has always been a rollercoaster ride, with ups and downs that can make even the most seasoned investor queasy. The prospect of SPX hitting 4300 is a real concern, especially when you consider the various economic and geopolitical factors at play. Market sentiment is a fickle thing, and it can quickly shift

Inflation is making headlines once again, and its effects are reverberating through central banks and global financial markets. Recent developments in Japan and the United States highlight the challenges and uncertainties associated with managing inflation in today's economic landscape. In this post, I'll delve into the impact of inflation on central bank policies and its consequences for global markets. Japan's Inflation Surprise Japan CPI inflation grows more than expected in August as BOJ looms Japan recently reported consumer inflation figures that exceeded expectations. The National core consumer price index inflation, excluding volatile fresh food prices, rose to 3.1% in August, surpassing forecasts and remaining steady from the previous month. This unexpected surge in inflation has

Congrats for surviving the FOMC this week! A quick 85% gain within 90 mins from taking calls at the opening. Shorted META from the top selling covered call into next Friday. Get ready for more volatility to end September with more news to shake the market next week. At the meantime, have a blessed weekend and relax yourself 🙏 Friday’s slide marked the fourth straight day of losses for the three major indexes. The losing streak came as investors reacted to a signal from the Federal Reserve that it intended to keep interest rates higher for longer. Another gap fill trade opportunity Concern also grew around a government shutdown, which could dent consumer confidence and slow down the economy further. House Republican leaders sent the chamber into recess on Thursday. House Speaker K

$Cisco(CSCO)$ announced on Thursday its agreement to acquire the cybersecurity company $Splunk(SPLK)$ for $28 billion, or $157 per share. Splunk's stock rose by 21% to $144, with the remaining $13 attributed to the uncertainty of the acquisition. If successful, the deal is expected to conclude in the third quarter of 2024. Splunk is a US software company founded in 2003, primarily providing data analysis and visualization solutions to help enterprises extract valuable information from massive datasets. Additionally, it assists in monitoring network security events and conducting threat detection and response, making it relevant in the field of cybersecurity.Why Splunk?Splunk was one of the early companies

Black Thursday, with all three major U.S. stock indices falling over 1%. Among them, the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ suffered the most significant drop at 1.82%, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ declined by 1.6%, marking its worst single-day performance since the Silicon Valley Bank (SIVBQ) crisis. The $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ , representing small-cap stocks, also dropped by 1.62%, with the top-weighted stocks experiencing even greater declines. Therefore, this two-day pullback is primarily concentrated in heavyweight stocks. Among them, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ fell by -4.41%, the largest drop among big tech stocks, while the volatil

Been a roller coaster ride since the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Expect some weakness to conclude the weak month as the price action should hold above the August low before a much anticipated reversal into the stronger October. Tech is set for its worst month this year as traders yet again come to terms with the Fed staying higher for longer, which includes elevated bond yields. Bloodbath selfie anyone? 🩸  Tech companies Amazon.com, Nvidia, Alphabet and Tesla were among the biggest S&P 500 decliners Thursday in terms of market cap as the prospect of still-higher yields sinks in. The S&P 500 info tech index is by far the worst-performing sector for September. Both it and the Nasdaq 100 are posting the biggest monthly losses since December. Tough week ahead? Chip bellwethers

The Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting took a wait-and-see approach with no interest rate hike. However, the dot plot and Chairman Powell's remarks appeared more hawkish, indicating a reduction in the expected number of rate cuts next year and a significant upward revision in economic data forecasts. The market experienced severe volatility, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surging beyond 4.4% $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ both dropped by 1.5%, while the $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ broke through 105.6.Skipping September, why did most committee members support another rate hike? It's because the market had alrea

Since the inflation rises, the high-interest environment has led to a dismal performance in the US stock IPO market. After the value SPAC boom in 2020-2021, a large number of shell companies are left in the market urgently seeking targets.When will the US stock IPO market return to normal?Recently, $Softbank Group Corp(SFTBY)$ conducted an independent IPO for its subsidiary $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ , receiving oversubscription and surging over 20% on the first day. Similarly, $Instacart, Inc. (Maplebear Inc.)(CART)$ whose valuation had been cut by over 80%, saw its IPO revenue surge over 12% on September 19th after continuously raising the offering price.

The recent turbulence in the financial markets following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance during the September 20, 2023 FOMC meeting has sparked debates and speculations about the future trajectory of the S&P 500 index. With the central bank signaling “higher for longer” interest rates, concerns have emerged regarding the impact on equities. In this article, we will explore the possibility of the S&P 500 retreating to the 4300 level and analyze the underlying factors contributing to this scenario. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$  1. The Hawkish Fed’s Influence The catalyst behind the recent market dip can be attributed to

Hawkish From fed caused the stock went down  Hey there, folks! Today, we're diving into a hot topic: why I prefer buying Dow Index ETF funds like JEPI over QQQM, especially when the market shows signs of a drop. Let's break it down. So, we had a bit of a market shake-up recently . The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady but hinted at another rate hike coming this year. Moreover, their projection for fewer cuts in 2024 raised some eyebrows. These factors have investors a bit on edge. Now, let's get into the nitty-gritty. When the market gets jittery, I like to look at how different ETFs perform. JEPI, tracking the Dow Jones Industrial Average, recently saw a minor dip, going from $54.30 to $54.05, which is less than 1%. On the other hand, ETFs like QQQM, which follow

The SPX will hit 4300 and rebound as it is a bull market.

Interest rates staying 'higher for longer' means at least through 2026 for the Fed $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  A common refrain around the Federal Reserve in recent months has been the notion that interest rates will remain "higher for longer." Meaning that even after the central bank ends its current rate-hiking cycle and begins the process of bringing rates down, interest rates will remain higher than what the Fed thinks would be needed to sustain economic growth with inflation at 2%. What, exactly, "longer" entails is at the heart of investor debates about the Fed's policy future. But on Wednesday, the central bank offered further outlines of its answer — at least three more years. Alongside its policy decision

Bears firmly in control at the moment The markets make a decisive move yesterday after the bulls and bears wrangled it out at the pivot point of 4430 on the broad market index. Initially, the bulls seem to be wresting short term control from the bears but the bears overwhelmed them once the FoMc made their stance clear that they are not pulling back on rates. That punctured the bulls' energy and zest and they subsequently surrendered 4430 to the bears. 4430 had been a critical support zone from which the bulls successfully took back just the prior day after the bears' initial attempts to push decisively past it.  Now it seems that 4430 has been overwhelmed and conquered by the bears and 4400 looms as the next point of resistance for the bulls. Give that up and I am expecting

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ has experienced a three-day consecutive decline, bringing its stock price back to the closing price after the Q2 financial report was released. Compared to other tech giants, Amazon has a closer connection to the macroeconomy. The recent pullback in the stock also reflects several events that have impacted the company's performance in recent days.First, Amazon made preparations ahead of shopping festivals by increasing its workforce and proactively raising wages. The company plans to invest $1.3 billion this year to improve the compensation of customer fulfillment and transportation employees, raising the average hourly wage for these roles to over $20.50. These wages have increased by more than 50% over the past five years. In

Oil prices are now up over 30% since mid-June. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ reaches $92.43, a record high in 2023.$Brent Last Day Financial - main 2311(BZmain)$ has risen from around $72 to $95.To learn more about oil prices, you can click How to Gain From 25% Upside & 24h Quotes of Oil Futures?But the markets believe the rate hike cycle is over and that Fed will start to cut rates in 2024.data from cmegroupWhy do surging oil prices won’t affect rate hike decision?Oil prices account small part for core CPIMORGAN STANLEY: “.. a 10% increase in oil prices .. adds 35bp to headline CPI for 3 months, but ju