• ZEROHEROZEROHERO
      ·2023-06-11

      Fed To Hike, Pause Or Skip?

      Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for SPY back to back once again. Let’s get ready for the most crucial CPI data report follow by Fed’s decision to hike or pause interest rate next Tuesday and Wednesday respectively 💪 Economic data during the week gave some strength to the Fed pause narrative. The Institute for Supply Management's gauge of U.S. services activity nearly showed a stagnation for May, while factory orders for April rose less than expected. Moreover, initial jobless claims surged to their highest level since October 2021. The data pointed towards signs of cooling in the economy while also suggesting that cracks had begun to show in the highly resilient labor market.  The benchmark index closed up 0.6% to 4,294 on Thursday, vaulting it back into bull
      49.06K51
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      Fed To Hike, Pause Or Skip?
    • mqpmqp
      ·2023-05-25

      oh i love it and hate

      82Comment
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      oh i love it and hate
    • StickyRiceStickyRice
      ·2023-05-21
      Markets revise expectations for Fed's anticipated pause in June, future rate cuts $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$  Market participants have recalibrated their expectations for future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy committee, data showed on Friday. The debt ceiling standoff and talks between congressional leaders to reach an agreement have taken over the spotlight this week, but the future of the Fed's monetary policy remains very much on investors' minds. According to the CME FedWatch tool, up till even a week ago on May 12, markets were pricing in a nearly 30% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the FOMC's scheduled meeting in July. That probability today has dropped to zero. A slew of economic data
      2151
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    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·2023-05-21

      How would you trade if there is a rate hike skip in June 2023?

      If you have been following the news, there have been a lot of public engagements for the Fed’s tip official. One thing that I observe is there have been an intensifying debate going on whether to continue the hike again or pause at the upcoming June meeting. 2 different camp of thoughts I personally feel that as investors we would need to prepare our strategy around how to be able to continue to trade whichever direction it might go. Concerned that inflation is not cooling fast enough Some officials are concerned inflation is not cooling fast enough. This one I can understand that as we are still pretty far from the 2%. This is my argument, if previous rate hike is showing the results over the past few months. What we do not want to ride on the momentum to continue to bring inflation down
      3085
      Report
      How would you trade if there is a rate hike skip in June 2023?
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·2023-05-23

      Debt-limit talks, interest rate peaksin June, is the market overly optimistic?

      On a macro level, there were two major events in the past week that gave investors further confidence. Firstly, the market believes that the Fed will pause its rate hikes in June and has received corresponding information from FOMC members. Powell's dovish stance is based on credit tightening caused by the banking crisis, which has to some extent already had a contractionary effect, thus supporting expectations of lower peak interest rates than previously anticipated. As a result, the market reacted strongly with US bond yields rising and USD exchange rates strengthening.However, pausing rate hikes in June does not mean they will stop altogether as other officials have expressed support for continuing them. Atlanta Fed President Bostic stated that inflation may be more sticky than what mar
      10.71K6
      Report
      Debt-limit talks, interest rate peaksin June, is the market overly optimistic?
    • Daily_DiscussionDaily_Discussion
      ·2023-05-24

      🔥Share your strategy for making money on the market!(24 May)

      Hi, Tigers!Welcome to Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Click here to join the Topic & Win coins >>​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​[Rewards]We will reward you with 50 Tiger Coins when you share your knowledge about stocks and markets here, depending on quality and originality.(NOTE: Comments posted under this article WILL NOT be counted)      2.You will be given 5 Tiger coins if you tag more than 3 friends in the comment areaMeanwhile, we will be listing the stocks men
      10.99K125
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      🔥Share your strategy for making money on the market!(24 May)
    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·2023-05-24

      Risk Alert! Broader Market May Pull back; Tech Stocks Overbought?

      The White House warns of a potential stock market crash exceeding 45% in the event of a US Debt default. As the debt crisis continue to brew, the stock market now stays at a high level since Aug. of 2022. There are several dangerous signs of a possible pullback of broader market.Risk 1: Debt default may cause a 45% market crash?Analysts warn of more volitility in stock market.Back in 2011, the two parties in the United States reached a compromise at the last minute to avoid a debt default, leading to the first-ever downgrade of the U.S. Treasuries credit rating by Standard & Poor's.Some strategists warn that the stock market may experience volatility before June 1, the so-called “X-day.”Currently, as the deadline approaches, stock market investors do not appear to b
      10.45K51
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      Risk Alert! Broader Market May Pull back; Tech Stocks Overbought?
    • AsphenAsphen
      ·2022-11-24
      Seems to point to slowing down rates
      104Comment
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    • kytphinekytphine
      ·2022-11-23
      What is a Fed Pivot and Why Does It Matter? By ADAM HAYES Updated October 17, 2022 Fact checked by SUZANNE KVILHAUG What Is a Fed Pivot? A Fed pivot occurs when the Federal Reserve, which is the U.S. central bank, reverses its policy outlook and changes course from expansionary (loose) to contractionary (tight) monetary policy—or, conversely, from contractionary to expansionary. A Fed pivot typically happens when economic conditions have fundamentally changed in such a way that the Fed can no longer continue its prior policy stance. KEY TAKEAWAYS A Fed pivot is when the Federal Reserve reverses its existing monetary policy stance. This can be a change from contractionary to expansionary policy or vice versa. As the U.S. central bank, the Fed is responsible for setting and implementing the
      1.01K21
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    • StopHunterStopHunter
      ·2022-11-21
      The Trading week ahead: Update Monday morning UK 21/11/22: US Earnings season over. US Dollar weaker but recovering Monday morning. UK Pound strengthening. (See attached Currency Strength charts) Covid problems still hitting Chinese markets. Mixed bag for global stocks - mining, travel suffering. Defense, healthcare more positive. Strongest stock market - EU Stoxx (see attached chart). End of the week we head into US Thanksgiving holidays. Earlier today Chinese Loan Rate stayed the same at 3.65%. Trending on Social Media this morning: USA: GME, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , DIS, GM, BOOM, $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ (see attached chart). UK:  TWTR, Indian (NSE)
      3.99K59
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    • A.111A.111
      ·2022-11-24
      Looks like a positive sign to the market, hopefully everything will rebound soon. Am optimistic about the stock market for the next few months! 
      110Comment
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    • Kong123Kong123
      ·2022-11-24
      FOMC higher than market expectation, ....
      238Comment
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    • Huiz84Huiz84
      ·2022-11-24
      I personally feel the Nov. FOMC minutes soundedhawkish and probably the interest rate hike wouldremain high as before, so defensive sectors are abetter bet now. It's a short trading day on Friday, probably the market would be down with the ongoing holidays as well.
      1251
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    • Omega88Omega88
      ·2022-11-24
      World equities rose while US Treasury yields retreated after minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting this morning showed US central bankers looking to soon moderate the pace of interest rate hikes. A "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers agreed it would "likely soon be appropriate" to slow the pace of interest rate hikes, the meeting minutes showed. Traders had expected the Fed minutes would affirm officials' softening stance after recent data showed a moderation in economic conditions. With another impending hikes in upcoming Dec, it is likely to cause more chaos in the market. Furthermore, some people are pointing out that the VIX is approaching below 20, which is a sign of complacency and greed in the market. However, if you were to look at the VIX trend over the las
      36910
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    • Tiger_NewspressTiger_Newspress
      ·2022-11-23

      Option Movers | Traders Bet on A Rising VIX before Fed Minutes

      U.S. stocks rallied on Tuesday (November 22) with all three major indexes rising over 1%.A sales forecast by Best Buy dampened concerns high inflation would lead to a dismal holiday shopping season while a bounce in oil prices helped lift energy shares.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 36,688,714 contracts was traded, up 5.6% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: SPY, TSLA, QQQ, AMZN, AAPL, META, VIX, NVDA, IWM, AMDOptions related to equity index ETFs are popular with investors, with 6.34 million $SPDR S&P500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and 2.06 million $Invest QQQ Trust ETF(QQQ)$ options contracts trading on Monday. 55% of SPY trades bet on bearish options.Source: Tiger Trade App
      97025
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      Option Movers | Traders Bet on A Rising VIX before Fed Minutes
    • Investing1o1Investing1o1
      ·2022-11-22
      $S&P 500(.SPX)$  ‌ Daily chart looks like a huge bull flag. Or is a storm about to hit us soon?! My indicators show a possible recovery coming soon. Could be today or as soon as tomorrow. Which means a possible rally for FOMC mins. If this rally comes, it will break the recent high and if we get a 1:1 measured move off the bull flag pattern, we could see another 8% move on the NDX. VIX still looks weak and not yet ready for a move higher like many have been anticipating for months now. Watch the video to check out the indicators and also the technical analysis of the indices as well as specific stocks tagged! As always, Trade safe & invest wise! Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technic
      1.09K24
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    • melsonmelson
      ·2022-11-24
      regardless of fomc minutes, one thing for sure is the fed is out to stump inflation. slowing down rate hikes doesn't stimulate growth, cutting rates does. this santa rally since october is unstoppable as stocks are way oversold, bargain everywhere.  let's take a look at the leading indicator $FTSE 100(.UKX.UK)$  , with the rebalancing action of the monetary authorities around the world, $GBP/USD(GBPUSD.FOREX)$   regained strength and boosted ftse100.  if you look at the pnf plots of $SPY(SPY)$  and $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$ 
      1.23K73
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    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·2022-11-23

      FOMC Mintues Tomorrow! Analysts Suggest To Invest..

      As the Earnings season comes to an end, the US stock market had fewer ups and downs, with the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ up 1.36%; $DJIA(.DJI)$ up 1.18%; $S&P 500(.SPX)$ up 1.36% by the close of trading.However, a big event of this week is coming! On Thursday 3 a.m. SGT , the Fed will release the November FOMC minutes.Good Expectations of Market vs. Hawkish Fed OfficialsAfter the release of CPI at the beginning of the month, the market predicted that the Fed would slow down its rate hikes and raise rates by 50 bps in
      3.59K65
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      FOMC Mintues Tomorrow! Analysts Suggest To Invest..
    • UltrahishamUltrahisham
      ·2022-11-24
      A rate too high? It was expected. The FOMC is most likely to tail down rate hikes to a milder pace after going gung ho and all out in raising rates for the past few sessions. To be fair, 50 basis points as expected in December is not exactly mild. It is a substantial raise but in the face of sky high inflation and after massive 75 rate hikes one after another, it is a step in the correct direction. Inflation needs to be addressed but the health of the economy is also important. So it is a fine balancing act.  The FOMC needs to see data going in the correct direction and they are hoping they do. That is important to give them credibility and theability to actually be less hawkish. So if all goes well and inflation comes down considerably and fast, we can expect a mo
      1.02K25
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    • Jeff_SunJeff_Sun
      ·2022-11-22

      Economic Slowdown Worries Remain In Play As Fed Fund Rate Up

      All of the major averages posted losses for the week. The Dow$DJIA(DJIA)$ ended 0.01% lower. The S&P 500$S&P 500(.SPX)$ lost 0.69% for the week, while the Nasdaq$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ ended 1.57% lower. Trading reflected some consolidation efforts and growth concerns in a slowing economic environment as Fed officials have reiterated that they are not done yet raising rates. St. Louis Fed President Bullard acknowledged that the fed funds rate is not yet at a sufficiently restrictive level and that it may need to go to 5-7% in the battle to get inflation under control.Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting minutes will be the main highlight of a holiday-shortened
      1.79K31
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      Economic Slowdown Worries Remain In Play As Fed Fund Rate Up
    • ZEROHEROZEROHERO
      ·2023-06-11

      Fed To Hike, Pause Or Skip?

      Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for SPY back to back once again. Let’s get ready for the most crucial CPI data report follow by Fed’s decision to hike or pause interest rate next Tuesday and Wednesday respectively 💪 Economic data during the week gave some strength to the Fed pause narrative. The Institute for Supply Management's gauge of U.S. services activity nearly showed a stagnation for May, while factory orders for April rose less than expected. Moreover, initial jobless claims surged to their highest level since October 2021. The data pointed towards signs of cooling in the economy while also suggesting that cracks had begun to show in the highly resilient labor market.  The benchmark index closed up 0.6% to 4,294 on Thursday, vaulting it back into bull
      49.06K51
      Report
      Fed To Hike, Pause Or Skip?
    • Daily_DiscussionDaily_Discussion
      ·2023-05-24

      🔥Share your strategy for making money on the market!(24 May)

      Hi, Tigers!Welcome to Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Click here to join the Topic & Win coins >>​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​[Rewards]We will reward you with 50 Tiger Coins when you share your knowledge about stocks and markets here, depending on quality and originality.(NOTE: Comments posted under this article WILL NOT be counted)      2.You will be given 5 Tiger coins if you tag more than 3 friends in the comment areaMeanwhile, we will be listing the stocks men
      10.99K125
      Report
      🔥Share your strategy for making money on the market!(24 May)
    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·2023-05-24

      Risk Alert! Broader Market May Pull back; Tech Stocks Overbought?

      The White House warns of a potential stock market crash exceeding 45% in the event of a US Debt default. As the debt crisis continue to brew, the stock market now stays at a high level since Aug. of 2022. There are several dangerous signs of a possible pullback of broader market.Risk 1: Debt default may cause a 45% market crash?Analysts warn of more volitility in stock market.Back in 2011, the two parties in the United States reached a compromise at the last minute to avoid a debt default, leading to the first-ever downgrade of the U.S. Treasuries credit rating by Standard & Poor's.Some strategists warn that the stock market may experience volatility before June 1, the so-called “X-day.”Currently, as the deadline approaches, stock market investors do not appear to b
      10.45K51
      Report
      Risk Alert! Broader Market May Pull back; Tech Stocks Overbought?
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·2023-05-23

      Debt-limit talks, interest rate peaksin June, is the market overly optimistic?

      On a macro level, there were two major events in the past week that gave investors further confidence. Firstly, the market believes that the Fed will pause its rate hikes in June and has received corresponding information from FOMC members. Powell's dovish stance is based on credit tightening caused by the banking crisis, which has to some extent already had a contractionary effect, thus supporting expectations of lower peak interest rates than previously anticipated. As a result, the market reacted strongly with US bond yields rising and USD exchange rates strengthening.However, pausing rate hikes in June does not mean they will stop altogether as other officials have expressed support for continuing them. Atlanta Fed President Bostic stated that inflation may be more sticky than what mar
      10.71K6
      Report
      Debt-limit talks, interest rate peaksin June, is the market overly optimistic?
    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·2023-05-21

      How would you trade if there is a rate hike skip in June 2023?

      If you have been following the news, there have been a lot of public engagements for the Fed’s tip official. One thing that I observe is there have been an intensifying debate going on whether to continue the hike again or pause at the upcoming June meeting. 2 different camp of thoughts I personally feel that as investors we would need to prepare our strategy around how to be able to continue to trade whichever direction it might go. Concerned that inflation is not cooling fast enough Some officials are concerned inflation is not cooling fast enough. This one I can understand that as we are still pretty far from the 2%. This is my argument, if previous rate hike is showing the results over the past few months. What we do not want to ride on the momentum to continue to bring inflation down
      3085
      Report
      How would you trade if there is a rate hike skip in June 2023?
    • StickyRiceStickyRice
      ·2023-05-21
      Markets revise expectations for Fed's anticipated pause in June, future rate cuts $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$  Market participants have recalibrated their expectations for future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy committee, data showed on Friday. The debt ceiling standoff and talks between congressional leaders to reach an agreement have taken over the spotlight this week, but the future of the Fed's monetary policy remains very much on investors' minds. According to the CME FedWatch tool, up till even a week ago on May 12, markets were pricing in a nearly 30% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the FOMC's scheduled meeting in July. That probability today has dropped to zero. A slew of economic data
      2151
      Report
    • mqpmqp
      ·2023-05-25

      oh i love it and hate

      82Comment
      Report
      oh i love it and hate