To The Moon

Because of the bankruptcy of Silicon Valley Bank, Powell's cards were exposed. It is the upper limit of the interest rate level that US financial institutions can bear. In other words, the probability that the United States will raise interest rates to 5% is the limit. If US  have to compete with the rest of world to the death and raise interest rates to 5.5% or even 6%, then the United States may not be able to stand it first, because many Financial institutions are only slightly stronger than Silicon Valley Bank. If the United States raises interest rates by 1%, it is impossible to say who will be the next 'SVB'. The Fed should not be confused.

$Unicycive Therapeutics, Inc.(UNCY)$   SOLD !! Congratulations to trader who had bought for swing . But as usual, it's not the 1st time we have seen such volatility and it pays to constantly remind ourselves to focus on the charts and react accordingly. The WORST thing you can ever do in a volatile market is to trade aggressively. Before you know it, reversals will come and go at the most unexpected times to wipe you out. This is why during such volatile times, although there could be very profitable opportunities, you MUST know how to use the right strategies. The key here is to NOT fight the volatility head-on. The only part that can be challenging is finding these 'hidden gems'. But once you know how to find them, you will literally posses

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, in the US Congress hearings on March 7-8, warned that if US economic data continue to show strength, it could prompt the Fed to increase interest rates at a faster pace, possibly exceeding the 4.9%-5.6% range set at the December FOMC meeting.The probability for 50 basis points in March FOMC meeting raised to nearly 78%; US 2Y Treasury yield, which directly reflected rate hike expectations, broke 5%. The two factors show that Fed will accelerate rate hikes rather than pivot.Source: CME FedWatchHowever, what Fed officials say is less important than whether US employment data cools down. As of January 2023, US job openings, while beginning to decline, still stands at 6.5%. Lik

$Ocean Biomedical(OCEA)$   Congratulations to trader who bought it below $7 on premarket and sold it at $10-$11 on open market. Yesterday was one of the most important days of March for the stock market. FED Chairman Powell dropped the bomb that interest rates are likely to be higher than previously anticipated. Stocks sold off sharply immediately after as fears and worry kicked in amongst investors. What does this mean for us? The next few days/weeks are probably going to be very volatile. This is also the time period when many people in the stock market lose money - they are victims of volatility. But, what if you could take advantage of volatility and profit consistently on a regular basis? You see, contrary to what most think, many highly

GOOD ONE... hope come more soon

best event ever. can only improve

The recent appointment of Austan Goolsbee as the Chicago Fed president, a prominent Democratic politician and Obama advisor, has been called into question after it was revealed that he received the job recommendation from a firm that employs his wife. This has raised concerns not only about the objectivity of the selection process but also about Goolsbee's qualifications, effectively eliminating any chance he had of being considered for the recently vacated Fed vice chair position by Lael Brainard. The list of potential candidates has now shrunk to just a few names.According to Bloomberg, as of this evening, the number of possible replacements for Brainard has dwindled down to just one, with Northwestern University Professor Janice Eberly emerging as the frontrunner in the White House sear

The U.S. recession risk is growing, and the U.S. 2-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 5.08 percent on Wednesday, the highest level since 2007; the 10-year yield is below 4%, 30 Annual yields are also falling, and the yield curve inversion is often a precursor to the recession. In addition, the Fed's latest economic brown book said that the U.S. economy has grown slightly in the beginning of the year, but the previous photos are still not optimistic. The possibility of 50 basis points can suppress the possibility of inflation, but the director of the Federal Reserve said that there is still no decision to raise interest rates, mainly because it needs to look at non-agricultural data, US economy GDP, CPI, PMI, PPI Waiting for the index to determine the possibility of raising interest rates, so th

The macroeconomic figures from the United States for the month of January surprised me mostly in positive terms. Good macroeconomic news is bad news these days because it means that the Fed needs to raise interest rates further. Count on a 0.25 percent interest rate hike in March and in May. In Europe, interest rates could go up much further. The market is counting on another 1.25 percent of interest rate hike, bringing the policy rate here to 3.75 percent by the end of this year. That looks firm, but remarkably, it is precisely here that wages are rising much more strongly than in the United States. Partly as a result, inflation here may become more persistent. There is one common cause for the windfall economic development in Europe and the United States, and that is the weather. In Eur

Powell’s testimony is very important in interpreting how the 🇺🇸 market will be in the next 1-2 weeks, so 🐯🐯🐯 let’s do a detailed analysis together by going through the important parts of his testimony in detail🕵🏻‍♀️🕵🏻‍♂️ Instead of me just telling you my Point-Of-View (POV) which may not be accurate, I have extracted parts of Powell’s testimony word-for-word so that you can form your POV & compare it with mine😉 How Did Powell Start❓ “My colleagues and I are acutely aware that high inflation is causing significant hardship, and we are strongly committed to returning inflation to our 2 percent goal. Over the past year, we have taken forceful actions to tighten the stance of monetary policy. We have covered a lot of ground, and the full effects of our tightening so far are yet to be felt.

more higher intrest rates to come. There is additional 15-20% correction 

Should still be 25bp but will hold for longer

In his testimony, Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed concern over high inflation, noting that it is causing significant hardship and that the Fed is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent goal. Powell reviewed the current economic situation and outlook, stating that while inflation has moderated somewhat since the middle of last year, it remains well above the Fed's longer-run objective of 2 percent. The labor market remains extremely tight, and the unemployment rate was 3.4 percent in January, its lowest level since 1969.  As a result, the Fed has continued to tighten the stance of monetary policy, raising interest rates by 4-1/2 percentage points over the past year. Powell emphasized that restoring price stability is essential to set the stage for achieving maximu

The FED is walking a tight rope between keeping up momentum to fight inflation Vs over tightening, which could lead to recession.  The indicators that they use as guidance are lagging.  The most prudent way forward is to have small increments in rates and analyse the effect of the initial aggressive tightening.  Powell faces pressure from the senate comm., who in turn must deal with populist politics.  It points to a 25bp hike next. There is always the option to scale up again if needed.

$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ has reported its 22Q4 earnings, press release, with Both EPS and Revenue beat.Revenue $637.4M (+47.9% Y/Y) beats by $10.56M;Non-GAAP EPS of $0.47 beats by $0.04.Recent HighlightsAnnual Recurring Revenue increased 48% year-over-year and grew to $2.56 billion as of January 31, 2023, of which $221.7 million was net new ARR added in the quarter.Added 1,873 net new subscription customers in the quarter for a total of 23,019 subscription customers as of January 31, 2023, representing 41% growth year-over-year.Crowd

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ shares jumped more than 22% in intra-day trading after reporting fourth-quarter results, and under the pressure of Powell's hawkish speech.Sea achieved profit ahead of schedule in this financial report (the three major sectors of games, e-commerce and finance each turned losses into profits, and the operating cash flow returned to positive), which is favored by investors in such an risk-off duration.Performance reviewCompany's total revenue US$3.45B, +7% YoY, falling to single digit for the first time since IPO, but still 14% higher than the market consensus US$3.03B.Gross profit US $1.70B, +49% YoY, higher than t

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell appears before Congress today as part of semiannual testimony on monetary policy.His last appearane in Congress was six months ago, in July 2022. Since then, there has been a significant shift in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), with the driving factors moving from food and energy to higher-sticky service industries such as rent.While lawmakers in Congress are not necessarily financial experts, they are more concerned with serving political goals. In July 2022, the focus was on how to control the rampant inflation, but this time it's different. The market mood, heightened by media hype, has shifted from reducing inflation to avoiding harm to the real economy in order to prevent a recession.Therefore, Powell's main task is to pers

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) traded lower in a volatile four-day week as the latest batch of inflation data rattled Wall Street. On Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported the personal consumption expenditures price index increased by 5.4% year-over-year in the month of January, up from 5.3% in December. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, was up 4.7%, above economist estimates of 4.3%. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report negative overall earnings growth in the first two quarters of 2023, according to FactSet. Broke below 50-day line, tested its 200-day line In its latest meeting minutes released on Wednesday, Federal Reserve members said inflation "remained well above" its 2% target and

What Fed minutes won't tell you but FRB/US model baseline (also published byFed, but quietly, after Feb 1meeting) does. 1) the staff model revised down output gap. Now it falls to negative in 3Q 2023 (recession, anyone?)February FOMC meeting minutes:- ‘Almost all’ members agreed on a 25bps hike- ‘A few’ members favored raising by 50bps - All agreed more rate hikes are neededCrypto + equities have shrugged it off, for now!Market is turning bearish due to the fear of High interest rate in coming months.$S&P 500(.SPX)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  $DJIA(.DJI)$

Why the market not perssimistic any more?US January CPI increased 6.4% YoY, higher than consensus 6.2%, previous 6.5%; It rose 0.5% M/M in January, a tick higher than the 0.4% expected and a jump from the 0.1% increase in December (which was revised from -0.1%).Core CPI increased by 5.6% YoY, and the growth rate continued to fall, which was the lowest level since December 2021, but still higher than consensus 5.5%, previous 5.7%; It rose 0.4% MoM, which was the same as consensus.At MoM view, Food away from home, energy commodities, gasoline and gas services, clothing, medical care commodities, shelter and transportation services are beyond average. Food at home, fuel