Weekly Stockmarket Survey - Bonds Bearish vs Equities Bullish

Callum_Thomas
05-13

Your *bonds* view/positioning is (primary reason in brackets):

[Bearish = rising yields]

[Bullish = falling yields]

  • Bullish (Fundamentals)

    35.4%

  • Bullish (Technicals)

    12.4%

  • Bearish (Fundamentals)

    41.6%

  • Bearish (Technicals)

    10.7%

Your equities view/positioning is (primary reason in brackets):

  • Bullish (Fundamentals)

    27.2%

  • Bullish (Technicals)

    34.1%

  • Bearish (Fundamentals)

    28.1%

  • Bearish (Technicals)

    10.6%

unpopular opinion: TIPS are kind of dumb

In a rising inflation situation the inflation component helps, but duration usually makes returns negative (e.g. 2022)

In a falling inflation situation duration usually boosts returns, but inflation component means they lag nominal bonds

https://twitter.com/Callum_Thomas/status/1789431717436051718

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment（1）

  • Top
  • Latest
  • MerleBobby
    ·05-13
    Great content, informative survey results.
    Reply
    Report