PeterDiCarlo
PeterDiCarlo
Quant Trader 💻 NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE
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How Do You Trade September Without Letting Fear Take Over?

A student recently asked me: “How do you psychologically take trades in September when it’s historically one of the worst months for the market, especially when you think we could still see a pullback?” The honest answer? It’s difficult. And it gets even harder when you’re public with your analysis and have a community trading alongside you. But there’s one mindset that helps me stay grounded: 🧠 Think in 10–20 Year Timeframes Seasonality matters. September has historically been a difficult month for the market, and I absolutely take that into consideration. But seasonality only matters until it doesn’t. The mistake is allowing a historical average to become a trading rule. I try to look at every decision through a 10–20 year lens rather than letting one month determine what I do today. 🚀 L
How Do You Trade September Without Letting Fear Take Over?

$SPY Faces a Rough September, $AMAT, $CRWV and $CIFR Enter Critical Zones

September is starting with some pressure across the market, but I’m not looking at this pullback as a reason to panic. Instead, I’m watching for key support levels, discount zones and potential re-entry opportunities. A few names are getting particularly interesting. 👀 🚨 $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ Is Testing Smart Money Support Again $AMAT is back at the Smart Money Zone. This level matters. If the current bull cycle is going to continue, we need to see buyers step in here and defend the zone. 📈 A strong bounce could keep the broader bullish structure intact. For now, this is a level to watch closely rather than chase. 🔄 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ Is Back on the Radar Walking away from $CRWV turned out to be
$SPY Faces a Rough September, $AMAT, $CRWV and $CIFR Enter Critical Zones
avatarPeterDiCarlo
09-01 07:20

$TSLA, $FSLR, $NOW & $TEM: Four Stocks With Momentum, Support and Bigger Targets

The latest setups across four names point to a market where several trades are still working, but the next moves will depend on whether momentum can extend from here. 📈 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla is already up 20% since last month’s entry, and the bullish view remains intact. The key question now is whether the current move marks the beginning of a larger advance rather than simply a successful rebound. 2. $First Solar(FSLR)$ First Solar is attracting fresh attention after a whale reportedly bought $5 million worth of call options. More importantly, the stock is now sitting near two major support levels, creating a potentially favorable setup if buyers continue to defend the zone. 3.
$TSLA, $FSLR, $NOW & $TEM: Four Stocks With Momentum, Support and Bigger Targets
avatarPeterDiCarlo
09-01 07:16

🟢 $SPY September Setup Keeps Bulls in Control

The broader $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ trend remains bullish, but a short-term pullback is still on the table. 📉 Price is currently facing heavy resistance around $773–$776, an area that also sits within the short-term institutional sell zone. If buyers fail to push the index to a fresh all-time high over the next month, a 2%–3% correction toward $750 could follow. 🔻 That would not break the longer-term bullish structure. Instead, a move back toward $750 could simply represent a normal pullback and potentially fill the volume-profile gap. 🎯 The Levels That Matter $773–$776 → Key overhead resistance$750 → Pullback target / volume-profile gap$800 → Potential year-end upside target 🚀 If $750 holds, the next move could be another attempt toward
🟢 $SPY September Setup Keeps Bulls in Control
avatarPeterDiCarlo
09-01 07:14

$QQQ September Test Begins Above $735

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Enters September With Bulls at a Crossroads September starts with the Nasdaq sitting in a familiar but increasingly important range. 📊 Price remains compressed between major volume-profile support and the Smart Money zone, but buyers have yet to push the index into a new higher high. Repeated rejection from the upper zone shows that bulls still have work to do. 🔑 The level that matters For the Nasdaq to shift into a stronger September, $735 is the key trigger. That level lines up with the previous swing high and sits directly inside the Smart Money zone. A clean break above $735, followed by a sustained hold, would indicate that buyers are finally taking control of the resistance area. 🚀 If that happens, momentum could accelerate
$QQQ September Test Begins Above $735
avatarPeterDiCarlo
09-01 07:13

Bitcoin September Outlook

$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$ $2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF(BITX)$ Bitcoin’s breakout over the past few months has been textbook according to our strategy. That said, I have now removed my short-term trades and exposure because, based on my framework, I believe there is roughly a 60% chance of rejection at these levels. Since the previous bull cycle ended in November 2025, Bitcoin has continued trading within bearish internal market structure. Each recovery has been followed by another lower low. We saw this pattern in December 2025 and January 2026, as well a
Bitcoin September Outlook
avatarPeterDiCarlo
08-31 07:10

$WPM +50% and $NEM $90 → $130 🎯 Time to Take Profit?

Two Smart Money setups have now reached their planned targets. 🥇 $Wheaton Precious Metals(WPM)$ I posted the $WPM Smart Money setup for subscribers on July 30. Since then, the stock has gained more than 50% and has now reached our planned target at the equal high. Well done to everyone who took the trade. 👏🎯 If I were still in the position, I’d be reducing exposure and taking some profit here rather than chasing the move higher. 🚀 $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ I posted the $NEM Smart Money setup last month. The stock moved from around $90 to $130 in just one month and has now reached the equal highs. Under the Smart Money Zone framework, this is our take-profit area. Another trade that reached the planned target. 🎯
$WPM +50% and $NEM $90 → $130 🎯 Time to Take Profit?

$SPY Rejects Sell Zone; $IREN $30 Becomes the Key Level

Hey everyone 👋 A few updates on the names I’m watching closely right now. The overall picture hasn’t changed much, but some levels are becoming increasingly important. 🎯 📉 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ — Still Bullish, But Watching September $SPY is currently rejecting right inside the Smart Money Sell Zone. I remain long-term bullish, but I’m still expecting a 2%–3% correction in September. For me, that doesn't change the bigger trend. I’m simply not interested in chasing strength when price is approaching an area where sellers have previously stepped in. ⚠️ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ — $30 Is the Line in the Sand $IREN needs to hold $30. That level is important for two reasons: it’s the last major level on the
$SPY Rejects Sell Zone; $IREN $30 Becomes the Key Level

$NVDA Leads the AI Rally While $COIN, $HOOD and $NBIS Reach Key Levels

Hey Tigers 👋 A lot is happening across the market right now, so here are the key levels and setups I’m watching most closely. 📊 🚀 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA delivered a strong earnings report and absolutely ripped higher. The stock is now up roughly 7.5%, which means I may not get the $190 buy zone I was waiting for. That’s okay. Price is now testing an important level, and my bearish smart-money zone remains in play. For bulls to make a serious push toward new all-time highs, I want to see this level swept and then held. That would give me much more confidence in a sustained breakout. 🔥 Respect to everyone who stayed long through this move. 🟢 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $COIN is getting close to my short-ter
$NVDA Leads the AI Rally While $COIN, $HOOD and $NBIS Reach Key Levels

Semis at a Crossroads 🔥 $MU Defends $900, $NBIS Breaks Support, $NVDA Tests $210

Good morning! 👋 Here’s the latest read on three key semiconductor names: 🔥 $Micron Technology(MU)$ Bulls Have One Level to Defend $MU bulls, you need to hold $900. If that level breaks, things could get ugly fast. The last major volume-profile support is still holding. Best case, I’m looking for a rebound toward the $1,100 institutional sell zone. ⚠️ But lose $900, and we could see a 30%–40% redistribution toward the institutional buy zone. I’m staying out of semis here. The upside simply isn't worth the risk. I’d rather wait and see whether $MU eventually reaches my buy zone over the coming months. 💥 $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ Support Gives Way The key support block has broken, opening the door for a move toward the
Semis at a Crossroads 🔥 $MU Defends $900, $NBIS Breaks Support, $NVDA Tests $210

$QQQ Hits Resistance as Semis Weigh on Nasdaq

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is now down roughly 4% since hitting our Smart Money Sell Zone. I've been short-term bearish on semiconductors for the past couple of weeks, and that weakness is now pulling the Nasdaq into a major resistance area. Right now, $QQQ is caught between bearish Smart Money resistance above and a volume-profile support block below. 📌 The key level is $700. If $700 holds, we likely get nothing more than a controlled pullback. That's normal and healthy within a longer-term bull cycle. ⚠️ But if $700 breaks, there's a price vacuum below, which could trigger a quick 5%–7% flush, with semiconductors likely driving most of the downside. For now, support is holding, so there's no reason to panic. 🎯 My trading plan doesn't change. I'll continu
$QQQ Hits Resistance as Semis Weigh on Nasdaq

$SPY Remains in a Long-Term Bull Cycle, Pullbacks Could Create Opportunities

Our $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ read has been dialed in lately, and the core view hasn't changed: bullishly cautious. The long-term bull cycle remains intact, but we're heading into one of the market's historically weakest months, September. Historically, $SPY tends to finish the month in the red. 📉 The key short-term zone is the 768–750 gap. There's currently a price gap between 768 and 750 on the daily chart. Our base case is a short-term pullback into that zone, representing roughly a 1.5%–2% decline. That's completely normal and healthy within a broader bull cycle. If the pullback extends further, a roughly 3% correction over the next 30–45 days toward the smart-money zone wouldn't surprise me either. 💡 For bulls, that's an opportunity ra
$SPY Remains in a Long-Term Bull Cycle, Pullbacks Could Create Opportunities

TSLA Nears $400 And CIFR Hits Target, What’s Next?

Short term: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is continuing to fill the gap, with the $370–$400 upside target now within reach. I think $400 is the best-case short-term target before we potentially see another rejection. I remain bullish on Tesla over the next 12–18 months, but I wouldn’t rule out one more sell-off in the near term. 📉 Meanwhile, $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ just hit the $18 short-term target — a roughly 20% move in 20 days. 🎯 Well done to everyone who traded it. Now the focus shifts from chasing the move to watching for a potential rejection and a new re-entry zone. Personally, I’d be interested in loading back up below $15.60 if the setup develops. TSLA → $400 target.CIFR → target hit, now waiting for
TSLA Nears $400 And CIFR Hits Target, What’s Next?

BTC Hits Smart Money Sell Zone

Hey everyone 👋 $BTC is now pushing into a short-term Smart Money sell zone, with the immediate target range around $76K–$80K. I’m still bullish on Bitcoin over the longer term and expect new all-time highs within the next 12–18 months. 📈 But in the short term, this is a level where a rejection could make sense. The key level is $85,000. For Bitcoin’s internal structure to turn bullish, price needs to break above the recent swing high and hold above $85K. Until that happens, the internal structure remains bearish. So if you’re trading shorter-term and looking to lock in some profits, this isn’t a bad area to consider taking some off the table. Long-term bullish. Short-term cautious. $85K is the level that could change the picture. 👀
BTC Hits Smart Money Sell Zone

A Closer Look at $SPY, $SPCX, $NBIS & $AAOI

Hey everyone! 👋 Here are the key levels I'm watching across a few names right now. Some are holding support, while others are approaching levels where the short-term structure could change quickly. 🎯 🟢 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ — Still Bullish, But This Level Matters $SPY remains bullish and is holding support, but the current VP shelf is critical. If $SPY breaks below that shelf, I’d expect a quick ~1.35% move lower through the price vacuum. For now, the bullish structure remains intact—but this is a level worth watching closely. 👀 🚀 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ — Back at a Short-Term Buy Zone $SPCX is back near a short-term buy zone, with the $130 pivot becoming the key level. If $130 holds, the setup remains
A Closer Look at $SPY, $SPCX, $NBIS & $AAOI

My Key Levels Across NBIS, CIFR, SPCX & More

NBIS, CIFR, SPCX, SG, NVDA & TEM: Key Levels to Watch Hey Tiger Brokers friends! 👋 Here’s a quick update on several names I’m watching closely today. The focus is on key support levels, potential pullbacks, and where I’d look for the next opportunity. 1. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ : $220 Is the Key Level $NBIS is now down around 20% from our previous take-profit/short call. We’ve reached an EXTREMELY important level here. I expect price to hold in the short term, but if the $220 volume block breaks, I would expect the move to extend lower toward $140. For now, the key is whether $220 can hold. 2. $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ : The Pullback Finally Arrived Last month, I called out the possibility of a move down into
My Key Levels Across NBIS, CIFR, SPCX & More

$META $AMD and $QQQ Are Showing Signs of a Short Term Reset

The broader market structure remains bullish, but several major names are now showing signs that a short-term pullback could be coming. Rather than chasing strength, the current strategy is to stay patient and wait for better entries. 👀 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ continues to compress, with price now back inside what I consider the optimal smart-money buying zone. The setup is becoming more interesting, but confirmation is still needed. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is behaving as expected. 📊 The daily chart continues to print lower highs while repeatedly rejecting the institutional sell zone. I still expect the stock could see roughly a 20% decline before establishing a meaningful bounce. If that happen
$META $AMD and $QQQ Are Showing Signs of a Short Term Reset

SPCX Rips Higher, IREN Still Bullish

🐯 Good morning, Tigers! It’s been another strong stretch for the AI trade, with several names now reaching important levels. 🔥 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ is up roughly 40% from the bottom we highlighted and is now approaching short-term resistance around $160. I’ve already closed my position. If I were still trading it with a short-term horizon, I’d be looking to take profits between current levels and $160. Longer term, $180–190 remains possible if momentum holds. ⚡ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ continues to show a bullish internal structure. I’m still long and looking for a breakout from here. 🎯 $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ has also played out almost exactly as expected after we identified the buy z
SPCX Rips Higher, IREN Still Bullish

AI Leaders Are Bullish, But Timing Matters

The broader bull cycle remains intact, but the short-term setups are becoming more selective. $QQQ is still trapped in a sell zone, $AMD is approaching resistance, and $META continues to coil. Meanwhile, $NFLX remains the strongest setup, with a potential 20% move still in play. The strategy: stay bullish, avoid chasing, and wait for better entries. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : Bull Cycle Intact, But Short-Term Cooling Could Come First $QQQ remains compressed inside the institutional sell zone, but the broader macro bull cycle is still intact. A short-term cooldown or redistribution toward a discount range would be normal within this phase. I’m not changing my positions based on this alone. I still have plenty of longs sitting in smart-money zones and rema
AI Leaders Are Bullish, But Timing Matters

$CRCL Holds While $TSLA $NBIS $CELH Set Up

Hey Tigers! 🐯 I called out the $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ smart money zone to subscribers last month, and the bottom now appears to be in. From here, I’m watching for a move toward $130+. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is also sitting at an important level. If the stock sweeps $342 and holds it as support, I’d expect the upside gap to become the next short-term target. For $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ , price appears to be rejecting the $280 smart money level. That creates the possibility of a retail liquidity trap if buyers chase the move without a clean breakout. $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ is back inside its long-term smart money zone,
$CRCL Holds While $TSLA $NBIS $CELH Set Up

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