PeterDiCarlo
PeterDiCarlo
Quant Trader šŸ’» NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE
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avatarPeterDiCarlo
01-27 18:47

Make-or-Break Week: NVDA at Risk, HIMS Still a Sell, BTC in Macro Bear

1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA bulls: this week is make-or-break. 🚨 My Monthly BX model has been long for months, but this candle is flirting with a rare dark red. 2. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ HIMS down ~40% since we called the top... but I’m still not buying. Monthly BX turned dark red in October, which is my ā€œstep asideā€ signal. I only start building again if February’s monthly candle makes BX increase. 3.BTC BTCUSD still looks like a bear market rally to me 🩸 Monthly BX has been dark red since November. That’s my macro‑bear signal. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
Make-or-Break Week: NVDA at Risk, HIMS Still a Sell, BTC in Macro Bear
avatarPeterDiCarlo
01-27 18:47

Market at a Crossroads: TSLA Support, PLTR & HOOD at Decision Points

1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA is down 3% and everyone’s screaming ā€œtopā€ā€¦ My system still has a $520–$560 target in the next 6–8 weeks. Monthly BX is green, structure is bullish, and price is sitting on a key $420–$440 volume shelf that has to hold. 2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ This is the most important week for $PLTR in the last 2 years. šŸ“Œ If January’s Monthly BX closes dark red, this 2,000%+ bull cycle could be topped out and a slow grind down toward $120–$100 is on the table. 3. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ This is the most important week for $HOOD since the bull run started. If the Monthly BX closes dark red, this 700–1000% bull cycle is likely over and a 30–50%
Market at a Crossroads: TSLA Support, PLTR & HOOD at Decision Points

$NFLX, $IREN, $UAMY – Key Levels, Gains, and Exits

1. $Netflix(NFLX)$ NFLX is hanging on by a thread here, trying hard not to break this key swing low and lose bullish structure. I’m still not a buyer, but if I were bullish, this is the level I’d be watching like a hawk. 2. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ IREN is up 60%+ since we flagged the buy zone last month. šŸŽÆ Same setup we use over and over: Monthly BX green + discount + structure. Nothing fancy, just repeatable. If I were in, I’d be holding and maybe peeling off 10% at a time as it expands toward $70. 3. $United States Antimony(UAMY)$ Closing 20% of my $UAMY shares in all my funds 🚨 Shares are up over 120% since the call out last month and the price gap filled. I will con
$NFLX, $IREN, $UAMY – Key Levels, Gains, and Exits

HIMS discounted as TSLA holds key support

1. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ HIMS is down 40%+ since we flagged the top in October. It’s now sitting in a major discount / Smart Money zone where institutions either step in and save structure… or they don’t. Once Monthly BX confirms an increase, I’ll be looking to go long. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Well would you look at that, $TSLA. Volume support held. While everyone was freaking out over red candles and headlines, we stayed calm and stuck to the plan. System > emotions. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
HIMS discounted as TSLA holds key support

COIN Holds Support, NVDA Set for $180 Bounce, AVGO at Key Volume Shelf

1. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN is sitting in a strong discount range and major support, but I’m not jumping in yet.This zone + Smart Money Zone has been great support historically, but I want Monthly BX to confirm macro buying pressure before going long. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ It's time $NVDA āœ…NVDA is doing exactly what we mapped out in December.Broke out, pulled back, and is now heading into the same Point of Control that should act as new support. I’m expecting a bounce around $180. 3. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ AVGO is parked at a level where it either goes to $450 or $250.Monthly BX is still green, but it’s sitting on a massive volume shelf that has to hold. If it cr
COIN Holds Support, NVDA Set for $180 Bounce, AVGO at Key Volume Shelf

Will Q1 2026 Finally Break This S&P 500 Bull Market?

The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped about 2% this week and everyone’s already throwing around ā€œtop is inā€ and ā€œQ1 crash.ā€I’m not worried. Not yet. āŒIn this article I’ll lay out:Why I’m still bullish right nowWhat a normal pullback looks like inside a bull cycleThe exact conditions that would make me flip and expect a real correction in 2026How I plan to react if those conditions hitQuick context so you know where this is coming from:I don’t trade news, elections, tariffs, or whatever the headline of the week is. I trade:A clear reason to enterA clear reason to exitStrict position sizing and risk toleranceI can’t control what politicians or central banks do. I can control how I respond.For the S&P, that starts on the monthly chart.Step
Will Q1 2026 Finally Break This S&P 500 Bull Market?

AVGO Looks Dead, but My System Still Targets 450

With the pullback this week, a lot of people asked me about $Broadcom(AVGO)$ So here’s exactly how I’m looking at it:Why I’m still bullishWhy this area is a real buying zoneWhy my target is still around $450 by late summerAnd what would have to happen for me to drop the bullish thesis completelyFirst off. I don’t trade headlines. I don’t trade ā€œvibes.ā€ I trade:One clear reason to enterOne clear reason to exitStrict position sizing and riskFor AVGO, that starts on the monthly chart.Step 1: Are we in a bull or a bear?At the bottom of my chart is the Monthly BX histogram. That one indicator answers one question: ā€œAre buyers or sellers in control of this stock on a big time frame?ā€Green or light red and increasing = buying pressure, bull cycle.Dark r
AVGO Looks Dead, but My System Still Targets 450

$ABBV Bull, $UAMY +90% Gap Sweep, $NVDA Buy Zone

1. $AbbVie(ABBV)$ Monthly BX overlay still shows a bull cycle, even though price has pulled back since our entry signal in September.Historically, it’s bounced from this 30M share volume node ~60% of the time. Solid buying opportunity in my system, with the plan to exit if the Monthly BX closes dark red. 2. $United States Antimony(UAMY)$ UAMY +90% since we called it out back in DecemberWe are now attempting to sweep the THT Volume Profile Gap šŸ‘€ 3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ If the $NVDA bull cycle is going to continue, it has to bounce in the next 10 days.In my system, this is a great buy zone, with the invalidation clear: if January’s Monthly BX closes dark red, the bull cy
$ABBV Bull, $UAMY +90% Gap Sweep, $NVDA Buy Zone

$TSLA Eyes $550–$600 by Mar 2026

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ā€œIs there going to be a market crash in 2026?ā€ šŸ’­My answer right now: I don’t think so yet.Today’s 2% drop in the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is still noise inside a confirmed Bull CycleMost people think the TSLA move is over. My system still has a $550–600 target by March 2026 🚨Monthly BX is still green, structure is intact, and price is sitting on a 1B share support shelf that has to hold.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.šŸŽ‰Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs
$TSLA Eyes $550–$600 by Mar 2026

TSLA Looks Rough Right Now – Here’s Why I Still Expect 550–600 By March

Even with the recent pullback, I’m still targeting a $550–$600 zone on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ by around March 2026.That view is not based on a gut feeling. It comes from the same two pillars I use on every name in my system:Monthly BX for the macro cyclePrice structure for bull vs bear regimesRight now, both are still pointing up.The first thing I look at is the Monthly BX.If you want to follow along with this analysis on your own charts, you can get the BX Trender indicator and the free course that explains this system step by step at the link below. We got a major flip there in September. BX turned and held green, confirming strong buying pressure on the monthly timeframe. In my playbook, that’s the definition of a bull cycle: Monthly BX green or
TSLA Looks Rough Right Now – Here’s Why I Still Expect 550–600 By March

$NVDA Bull Cycle On The Line And The One Monthly Signal I Trust To Decide

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is sitting at a make-or-break level for this current bull cycle.Inside my system, NVDA is still tagged as a dip-buy opportunity. But that tag only holds if we see a meaningful rally into the end of January. If we don’t, the bull cycle on this name is at real risk of rolling over.The first place I always look is the Monthly BX.Back in June 2025, the Monthly BX for NVDA flipped and increased. That’s the moment my system considers a new bull cycle ā€œon.ā€ I don’t try to catch the exact bottom. I wait for that confirmation. Since that signal, NVDA has climbed a little over 32 percent, even though the last four months have felt dead. If you zoom in on those last four months, price has basically gone nowhere. We’ve been stuck between roughl
$NVDA Bull Cycle On The Line And The One Monthly Signal I Trust To Decide

MSTR & COIN: Smart Money Support, Awaiting Monthly BX Confirmation

1. $Strategy(MSTR)$ MSTR is building a strong base right in the Smart Money Zone.Weekly chart looks like a bottom forming and, in most cases, this is a dip‑buy area.But we’re not in a confirmed bull cycle yet – Monthly BX is still dark red (red background).I still think this is a short‑term bottom, but I need to see Monthly BX print a higher low on the bounce before I treat it as a true new bull leg. 2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN is back in my weekly discount range again. šŸ””Last two times price pulled into this zone, it bounced.We’re sitting in the Smart Money Zone and holding the Weekly Point of Control on THT Volume Pro – one of the strongest supports on my chart.The only reason I’m not buying ye
MSTR & COIN: Smart Money Support, Awaiting Monthly BX Confirmation

UNH: Long-Term Bull Case, $470 in Sight

$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ $470 target in the next 12 months 🚨For some, this may feel like it’s ā€œtaking a while,ā€ but a move like this is supposed to take time. Our model priced in the bottom about 5 months ago and since then things have been moving as expected.We are currently trading right at our expected January target. There is a huge gap on the Volume Profile from $330 → $450.As long as the Monthly BX continues to show buying pressure, I think that gap will fill within the next 6–12 months, putting $470 well within reach over the next year. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
UNH: Long-Term Bull Case, $470 in Sight

EOSE: Massive Run, Poor Risk-Reward for New Entries

$Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ is up over 1,500% since our Monthly BX model first met criteria.We’re now trading above best-case expectations and officially in ā€œno man’s land.ā€ I haven’t traded this because I was focused on other names and, at this point, I don’t think it’s worth chasing.I still stand by that.If I were already in, I’d be taking some profit off the table and holding a runner, since bull cycle criteria is still met.As a new buyer, I’d personally be sitting out. The risk vs reward is not attractive here. Yes, it could keep rallying, but from this level the RVR is not worth it for a new investor or trader. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading
EOSE: Massive Run, Poor Risk-Reward for New Entries

NVDA at a Turning Point, AMD & ZETA Pullbacks Within Bull Setups

1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Critical 2 weeks coming for $NVDA 🚨Price has been compressing for nearly 4 months and the Monthly BX is currently red.If January closes like this, it officially ends the $NVDA bull cycle in my system. We need a strong bounce before month‑end to flip BX back green and keep this run alive. 2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ I still have a $300 target on $AMD by November.Short term, I’ve been waiting to see if price could pull back toward $180 to give me a clean re‑entry. We played the summer breakout to perfection, but I haven’t had a chance to get back in since.Right now we’re still trading above our expected January level (purple line), so there’s definitely room for a short‑term pullback b
NVDA at a Turning Point, AMD & ZETA Pullbacks Within Bull Setups

TSLA at a Critical Support: Bull Cycle Intact, Big Move Ahead

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Big week coming for $TSLA 🚨Monthly BX is still green (bull cycle intact), but the weekly has pulled back and we’re right back on THT Volume Pro support.Price has to hold this level or things can get ugly fast. As long as it does, I’m still bullish. TSLA has been chopping for 4+ months, but my monthly model is still pricing in 550 by end of March.As long as Monthly BX is green (macro bull cycle), short‑term pullbacks are usually just dips that get bought.That’s why I’m still bullish on TSLA until that signal flips. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
TSLA at a Critical Support: Bull Cycle Intact, Big Move Ahead

QQQ Monthly: Bull Trend Intact, $700 in Sight

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Monthly $700 target on QQQ by late July–August. 🚨Monthly BX is green and price has been compressing for almost 4 months. Our January target was $605 (purple line) and we’re basically right on track.From here I’m expecting either a mild ~3% pullback or another month of chop before a stronger rally into late Q1–Q2. As long as Monthly BX holds green, I expect every dip / small correction to get bought. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.šŸŽ‰Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater Flexibility NowFind out mo
QQQ Monthly: Bull Trend Intact, $700 in Sight

SPY Monthly BX: Bull Trend Intact, Higher Targets Ahead

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Monthly BX ViewAnyone trying to short this has been fighting a textbook bull cycle. šŸ”Monthly BX is still green and price has been compressing for about 4 months in the 690→670 range, with SPX still ~25 points above our projected January level (purple).Over the next 3–6 months I still expect a continued bull market with a move toward 750 by August 2026, and a worst-case 3–5% correction somewhere in Q1–Q2. As long as Monthly BX holds green, my long-term outlook stays bullish. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.šŸŽ‰Cash Bo
SPY Monthly BX: Bull Trend Intact, Higher Targets Ahead

$NIO, $ABNB, $NVDA: Smart Money Setups as Key Support Levels Hold

1. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ NIO is one of my favorite buy setups on the board right now.Monthly BX = bull cycle5B share volume shelf sitting under priceSmart Money / Institutional Buy Zone in playIf this is going to bounce, it’s between here and $4.20. šŸ’Ø 2. $Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ ABNB is looking pretty interesting here.If we can sweep and clear this liquidity zone, I’d expect a clean push into the next leg up. šŸ‘€ 3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA bounced off Volume Pro support to perfection āœ… For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
$NIO, $ABNB, $NVDA: Smart Money Setups as Key Support Levels Hold

4 Stocks, 4 Different Phases: MSTR, META, MSFT & XOM

1. $Strategy(MSTR)$ MSTR is bouncing off the weekly Point of Control to perfection.We’ve been expecting a bounce off that 1B share support shelf and a rally toward $250.My system still doesn’t see this as a true long-term bottom yet, but the short‑term bottom looks in. āœ… 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Patience rules the game in investing.$META is still flashing dark red BX – macro sellers are in control. In that state, most bounces are traps, not new legs.I still think we get one more selloff into the Smart Money Zone before a real bottom forms. 3. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ MSFT continues to sell off while Monthly BX is showing Sell PhaseIf price can't bounce this week
4 Stocks, 4 Different Phases: MSTR, META, MSFT & XOM

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