Pinkspider
Pinkspider
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Current situation: 1. US GDP growth is at its strongest pace since 2023 2. CPI inflation unexpectedly fell to 2.7% last month 3. Trump is appointing a new Fed Chair who will cut rates 4. Oil prices are down to their lowest level since 2021 5. Equity ETFs have attracted a record +$1.4 trillion in 2025 6. Magnificent 7 AI investment is now above $600B/year How can you fight this momentum?
avatarPinkspider
12-23 22:31
$TSLA - UBS REITERATES SELL RATING ON TESLA UBS analyst Joseph Spak reaffirmed a Sell rating on Tesla with a $247 price target and lowered his 4Q25 delivery forecast to 415,000 units from 429,000. This estimate is 5% below the Visible Alpha consensus of 435,000 but aligns with buyside expectations of 405,000–415,000. UBS notes that Tesla’s stock typically reacts to headline delivery beats or misses, even if results meet investor expectations. Tesla is expected to report 4Q25 deliveries on January 2.
avatarPinkspider
12-22 21:53
$TSLA - DEUTSCHE BANK SEES TESLA Q4 DELIVERIES FALLING SHORT Deutsche Bank expects Tesla’s fourth-quarter 2025 deliveries to miss forecasts, citing weaker demand in the US, Europe, and China. Analyst Edison Yu projects about 405,000 deliveries, down 14% year over year, with sharp declines in North America and Europe. China volumes are also expected to fall modestly. Lower deliveries are likely to pressure margins. Despite near-term weakness, Deutsche Bank remains positive long term, supported by progress in robotaxi development, and raised its Tesla price target to $500.
avatarPinkspider
12-22 19:04
WHEN MARKETS CLOSE AND REOPEN FOR CHRISTMAS AND NEW YEAR • Christmas Eve (Wednesday): US stock markets close early at 1:00 p.m. ET; bond markets close at 2:00 p.m. ET. • Christmas Day (Thursday): All markets closed; normal trading resumes Friday. • New Year’s Eve (Wednesday): Bond markets close early at 2:00 p.m. ET. • New Year’s Day (Thursday, Jan. 1): Stock and bond markets closed.
avatarPinkspider
12-22 17:28
🚨 BREAKING 🇯🇵 JAPAN INFLATION JUST SURGED 100 BPS, HITTING THE HIGHEST LEVEL IN MODERN HISTORY. JGB YIELDS RISE TO 2.1%, AND THE BANK OF JAPAN IS NOW DUMPING $500 BILLION IN U.S. STOCKS TO STABILIZE THE ECONOMY. THIS IS BAD NEWS FOR GLOBAL MARKETS.
avatarPinkspider
12-22 11:48
JUST IN 🚨: Japan's 2-Year Bond Yield jumps to highest level since the run-up to the Global Financial Crisis 👀
avatarPinkspider
12-22 04:28
$BTC Chart Update: Look at the 50wma (weekly moving average) in Bitcoin. Has been mostly a bouncing point in the last 9 years. The few times it couldn't bounce off it, led to some really nasty drawdowns, in -66%, -55%, and -66% highlighted in red. Right now Bitcoin is notably under the 50wma. It will need to recapture it asap. Otherwise history says more downside just based on this indicator. With that said, weekly RSI near the lowest since Jan 2023! Has not gone 4 straight red weeks since July 2024! Bulls need to invalidate this 50wma indication and get back to at least $100k first and $103k soon after. Bonus PS: That MOAT is very much in play as well, interesting.
avatarPinkspider
12-21 20:48

SUPER VOLATILE WEEK AHEAD

🚨 NEXT WEEK’S SCHEDULE IS SUPER VOLATILE: MONDAY → FED LIQUIDITY INJECTION TUESDAY → GDP REPORT WEDNESDAY → INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS THURSDAY → JAPAN CORE CPI FRIDAY → YEARLY ECONOMY REPORT POSITION ACCORDINGLY, AND DON’T GET SHAKEN OUT!
SUPER VOLATILE WEEK AHEAD
avatarPinkspider
12-21 20:47
🚨 NEXT WEEK’S SCHEDULE IS SUPER VOLATILE: MONDAY → FED LIQUIDITY INJECTION TUESDAY → GDP REPORT WEDNESDAY → INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS THURSDAY → JAPAN CORE CPI FRIDAY → YEARLY ECONOMY REPORT POSITION ACCORDINGLY, AND DON’T GET SHAKEN OUT!
Japan's inflation outbreak: Inflation in Japan rose +2.9% YoY in November, the 2nd-highest reading since July. Core inflation, which excludes prices of fresh food, rose +3.0% YoY. This marks the 44th consecutive month with inflation above the Bank of Japan's target rate of 2%. Additionally, rice inflation remains at a whopping +37.1% YoY. As a result, the Bank of Japan signaled after raising rates on Friday that further hikes are likely. The central bank also said that underlying inflation is still gradually increasing. The fight against inflation in Japan is far from over.
$TSLA just got the biggest catalyst imaginable. The Delaware Supreme Court ruled that Elon Musk should get the 2018 pay package, which had been canceled twice. That means Elon now has the right to stock options worth $139B today. And this doesn’t touch the $1T pay package approved by $TSLA shareholders last month. More shares. More power. More focus. As $TSLA shifts from electric vehicles to robotics and AI, this move ensures Elon is all in. This is the biggest catalyst of all for $TSLA.
$NVDA is positioned within a bullish falling wedge heading into the Santa rally week… It’s clear that $NVDA is ready to reclaim its crown and dominate the market yet again. This is a warning for all the $NVDA bears out there. $250+ is incoming very soon.
$TSLA has begun its euphoric squeeze and will see $520+ in the upcoming days… It’s clear that $TSLA is the next large-cap to see a 200/300% upside squeeze in 2026. This move will be identical to how $NVDA & $GOOGL ran in 2025. $600+ is incoming soon.
So we have a new hang as Delaware reinstatement mean $TSLA 8-9% dilution when Elon exercise his and then Elon has to pay $55-56 billions of tax apparently. Chances is Elon would like to get in done soon on ath. Good for thoughts. I will buy the dips! $SPY
THREE KEY SIGNALS FOR 2026: 🔸 Data center utilization: >70% = healthy; <50% = oversupply. Current: 40–60% 🔸 GPU rental prices: H100 rates down 20–30% in 2025; < $2/hour signals glut 🔸 Pilot-to-production: >15% needed for enterprise demand surge; <10% confirms mismatch The AI infrastructure race is on—but demand will decide winners and losers.
THREAD BREAKING DOWN BIG TECH’S $2T AI GAMBLE 👇 Big Tech (Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta…) is pouring billions into AI infrastructure—but current revenue is nowhere near covering costs. KEY NUMBERS: • 2025 Capex: ~$300–400B planned by top 4 hyperscalers. • 2025–2027 cumulative spend: $1.15T (Goldman Sachs). • Debt funding: $121B issued in 2025—4x historical average. Another $100B expected in 2026. • Needed revenue: $2T/year by 2030 (Bain) vs. current ~$20B. AI revenue needs 100x growth just to break even
Dan Ives of Wedbush predictions for 2026: $TSLA to $600-$800. $AAPL to $340. $ORCL to $250. $NVDA to $275. $PLTR to $400 (in 2-3 yrs).
n the past month, $TSLA has been the best performing stock out of the MAG7. Since the Sep rate cut, TSLA has been the Top 3 performing stock in MAG7 despite having a large rally into the Fed rate cut. With TSLA returning to growth in 2026 and the potential for an AI rerating, TSLA could be one of the top performing stocks out of MAG7 in 2026.
Two extreme possibilities today: 1) breakout higher above $495 2) sharp test down to $480 or $477. The middle road is price just floats down all day to $485 and punts any big moves to next week. So far we have this delaying triangle instead of either of the (a)(b)(c) corrective waves. They can still happen, but over a longer period of time. $TSLA 
November CPI (+2.7% YoY) and Core CPI (+2.6% YoY) were both much lower than expected (CPI +3.1% and Core +3.0% expected), which combined with strong $MU (+14% pre-mkt) revenue guidance last night should propel equities much higher today. Questions will arise about what adjustments were made for absence of Oct data to get to the Nov results. Nov Core CPI of 2.6% YoY was the slowest since March 2021

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