Why the fed can't cut rates: 1. Inflation Remains Above Target •The Fed targets 2% annual inflation, as measured by the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index. •If inflation is still running above this target, cutting rates could stimulate demand, worsening inflation. •Even if inflation is falling, the Fed may want to see sustained evidence that it’s on a path to 2% before loosening policy. ⸻ 2. Strong Labor Market •With low unemployment and solid job creation, the economy may not need the stimulus that a rate cut provides. •A tight labor market can lead to wage pressures, which could contribute to inflationary risks. •The Fed may see no urgency to cut if the economy is not showing signs of labor market weakness. ⸻ 3. Financial Market Conditions Are Still Loose •If stock market

Moody’s just downgraded the U.S. credit rating for the first time ever. $SPY That means all 3 major agencies (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch) now agree: The U.S. is no longer AAA❌ Why? -Exploding debt -Soaring interest costs -No plan to fix it Why it matters: -Higher borrowing costs -Lower investor confidence - Volatility ahead - Could scare off foreign investors None of the agencies have ever reversed their downgrade. Watch yields next week and we could now see $SPY reject at our smart money zone.

Moody’s just downgraded the U.S. credit rating for the first time ever. $SPY That means all 3 major agencies (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch) now agree: The U.S. is no longer AAA❌ Why? -Exploding debt -Soaring interest costs -No plan to fix it Why it matters: -Higher borrowing costs -Lower investor confidence - Volatility ahead - Could scare off foreign investors None of the agencies have ever reversed their downgrade. Watch yields next week and we could now see $SPY reject at our smart money zone.

people cannot be freaking out over Moodys everything down after hours is a function of algos that have to trade on headlines this is not a market where people leave $NVDA because the US Debt is deemed unsustainable by a credit agency could we see a pullback after a major +18% on $SPX gain over the past month? of course, but that’s because it’s healthy to consolidate not because people want to buy Japanese debt with a 240% debt to GDP ratio over US debt this continues to be a covered call market but I don’t think Moodys is the bear case everyone was looking for

BREAKING: Moody’s has downgraded the United States’ credit rating citing concerns over increasing U.S. government debt.

If this is not a wake up call, then what is? Moody's just downgraded the United Sates' credit rating for the FIRST time in history. The reason: An unsustainable path for US federal debt and its resulting interest burden. Moody's notes that the US Debt-to-GDP ratio is on track hit 134% by 2035. Federal interest payments are set to equal ~30% of revenue by 2035, up from ~18% in 2024 and ~9% in 2021. Furthermore, deficit spending is now at World War 2 levels as a percentage of GDP. The US debt crisis is our biggest issue with the least attention.

MAJOR BREAKING: Moody’s has DOWNGRADED the United States’ credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 — the first-ever U.S. credit downgrade in the agency’s history. “We do not believe that material multi-year reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current fiscal proposals under consideration.”

Inflation expectations are now rising for both Democrats and Republicans: Democrats now see a whopping +9.6% inflation over the next 12 months. Meanwhile, after a brief period of expecting deflation, Republicans now see +1.2% inflation. In other words, Democrats' 12-month inflation expectations are now 3 TIMES higher than post-2020, per @zerohedge. Furthermore, Democrats now expect 8 TIMES higher inflation than Republicans. This is the largest divergence in history.

Both $SPY and $QQQ going for an immaculate week today. Where the entire week is green. All five days.

Why $QQQ puts? RSI at 72-73 today likely. Last 5 candlesticks kissing upper Bollinger Bands. We have gone straight up unabated, faster than even the Covid crash V shape. $VIX has come crashing down fastest in history. We are nearing Extreme Greed in what was one of the fastest jump of Extreme Fear to Extreme Greed readings! This is a historical V shape recovery. I’m purely playing contrarian and fading momentum.

BREAKING: 246 US large companies have gone bankrupt year-to-date, the most in 15 years. This is up from 206 recorded last year and more than DOUBLE during the same period in 2022. In April alone, the US saw 59 bankruptcy filings as tariffs ramped up. So far this year, the industrials sector has seen 41 bankruptcies, followed by 31 in consumer discretionary, and 17 in healthcare. According to S&P Global, consumer discretionary companies have been hit the hardest due to market volatility, tariffs, and inflation uncertainty. We expect a surge in bankruptcies in 2025.

TRUMP SAYS U.S. WILL SET TARIFF RATES IN COMING WEEKS President Trump said the U.S. will unilaterally set tariffs for many countries soon. Speaking on his Middle East tour, the president said 150 countries were seeking to making a deal, "but you're not able to see that many countries." He said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick would tell countries what import duties the U.S. plans to impose. "So at a certain point over the next two to three weeks, I think Scott and Howard will be sending letters out, essentially telling people- it will be very fair but we will be telling people what they will be paying to do business in the United States," he said.

TRUMP SAYS U.S. WILL SET TARIFF RATES IN COMING WEEKS President Trump said the U.S. will unilaterally set tariffs for many countries soon. Speaking on his Middle East tour, the president said 150 countries were seeking to making a deal, "but you're not able to see that many countries." He said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick would tell countries what import duties the U.S. plans to impose. "So at a certain point over the next two to three weeks, I think Scott and Howard will be sending letters out, essentially telling people- it will be very fair but we will be telling people what they will be paying to do business in the United States," he said.

$TSLA Jack Hartung will join Tesla's board of directors from June 1st!

WARREN BUFFET IS BUYING A SECRET STOCK. So, the SEC allows Buffet and Berkshire to acquire a name privately in order for their disclosure of the name to not affect the price of it during accumulation. It's a special privilege very few funds have access to. He did this back in 2023 and the secret stock ended up being... Chubb Insurance $CB. Which was a stock that really didn't surprise many given how much Berkshire loves insurance but it also wasn't the "big name" everyone thought it could be. So... WHAT DO YOU THINK HIS NEW SECRET STOCK IS? Best wrong answer or best right answer wins. I'll give the same 3 guesses I gave last time knowing they are probably wrong but maybe... PayPal $PYPL, Verizon $VZ, or Disney $DIS.

Oh boy, here we go!! Global 30-Year Bond Yields from Europe to North America to Asia are screaming "EMERGENCY" 🚨🚨

The selling pressure in UnitedHealth, $UNH, is almost unprecedented: For the first time since 1998, a Dow 30 stock is down over -55% in 1 month. The last time it happened? Also $UNH in 1998, when the stock fell -55% in one month. Not even 2008 or 2020 saw a Dow 30 component fall over -55% in a single month. As a result, the daily RSI in $UNH just fell to 11 for the first time since 1998. In other words, the daily RSI is now suggesting the stock is at its most oversold level in 27 years. What will it take for a bottom?

BREAKING: For the first time in a year, Japan's economy shrank by -0.7% in Q1 2025. This is more than double the decline expected by economists. Furthermore, this data does NOT include the reciprocal tariffs imposed on April 2nd. Japan's economy is heading for a recession.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is warning that supply shocks from tariffs could force them to keep interest rates higher over the long term 🚨🚨

$DLocal Limited(DLO)$ The $150 million payout and the $30–45 million in annual dividends $DLO DLocal expects to keep paying is a big chunk of money. Instead of handing it to shareholders, the company could’ve used those funds to really push its growth: investing in research, expanding into new countries, making smart acquisitions, growing the team, or building new products. To put it in perspective, that $150 million alone could have paid for over five years’ worth of DLocal’s current R&D budget or helped launch operations in several new markets. Reinvesting that money might have led to stronger growth, more revenue streams, and a bigger competitive edge. On the other hand, by paying dividends, the company gives shareholders immediate returns,