神佛护佑 personal page - To The Moon

神佛护佑

神佛护佑

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11-14 22:28

$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$ Good 👏

11-13

$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$

10-31

$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$

05-14

$AMC院线(AMC)$ Why stop?

2023-12-13

$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$

2023-06-25

$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$ good job

2023-06-12

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ SIA go go go!

2023-02-27

k

fuboTV盘初一度跌超18%，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%

2023-02-27

$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$

2023-02-16

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ Go

2023-01-25

$大华银行(U11.SI)$ Go ahead

2023-01-25

Omg

纽交所出现技术故障，多只股票盘中暴跌，交易一度暂停，现已恢复

2023-01-25

$大华银行(U11.SI)$

2023-01-25

$大华银行(U11.SI)$

2023-01-24

$AMC院线(AMC)$

2023-01-17

OK[微笑]

2023-01-15

[鬼脸] [捂嘴] [强]

2023-01-14

$AMC院线(AMC)$

2023-01-14

Enjoy the season

2023-01-13

This year is the year of football

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Football Season, share the prizes worth up to US$200,000

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Cash Boost Account Website."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":305801924706576,"gmtCreate":1715693837046,"gmtModify":1715693840059,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$&nbsp;</a> Why stop?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$&nbsp;</a> Why stop?","text":"$AMC院线(AMC)$ Why stop?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/305801924706576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251636887109688,"gmtCreate":1702478208273,"gmtModify":1702478212696,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CCL\">$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CCL\">$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53ed4f7215bd9d5a87aad3b7910e1f12","width":"696","height":"1122"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251636887109688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191130133331976,"gmtCreate":1687681145004,"gmtModify":1687681149180,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CCL\">$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$&nbsp;</a>good job&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CCL\">$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$&nbsp;</a>good job&nbsp;","text":"$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$ good job","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae4be5f1d45cae91305740a0fbeccbaf","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191130133331976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186497686605840,"gmtCreate":1686571201704,"gmtModify":1686571205253,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>SIA go go go!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>SIA go go go!","text":"$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ SIA go go go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186497686605840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957457592,"gmtCreate":1677510295616,"gmtModify":1677510302067,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"k","listText":"k","text":"k","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957457592","repostId":"1128107048","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128107048","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1677508626,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128107048?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-27 22:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"fuboTV盘初一度跌超18%，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128107048","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2月27日，fuboTV盘初一度跌超18%，第四季度净亏损1.52亿美元差于预期，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%至4.25亿美元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2月27日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV</a>盘初一度跌超18%，第四季度净亏损1.52亿美元差于预期，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%至4.25亿美元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d869964bae4d9e3fb9b6d5239217d6bd\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>fuboTV盘初一度跌超18%，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nfuboTV盘初一度跌超18%，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-27 22:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>2月27日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV</a>盘初一度跌超18%，第四季度净亏损1.52亿美元差于预期，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%至4.25亿美元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d869964bae4d9e3fb9b6d5239217d6bd\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"FUBO":"fuboTV Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128107048","content_text":"2月27日，fuboTV盘初一度跌超18%，第四季度净亏损1.52亿美元差于预期，2022年全年净亏损同比扩大20.7%至4.25亿美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957433868,"gmtCreate":1677473475654,"gmtModify":1677473478658,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957433868","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9954491159,"gmtCreate":1676523539572,"gmtModify":1676523542452,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Go&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Go&nbsp;","text":"$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954491159","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952885476,"gmtCreate":1674612044595,"gmtModify":1676538948991,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U11.SI\">$大华银行(U11.SI)$&nbsp;</a>Go ahead&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U11.SI\">$大华银行(U11.SI)$&nbsp;</a>Go ahead&nbsp;","text":"$大华银行(U11.SI)$ Go ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952885476","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952885160,"gmtCreate":1674611808150,"gmtModify":1676538948975,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576321023701513","idStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Omg","listText":"Omg","text":"Omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952885160","repostId":"2306145963","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2306145963","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1674583048,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2306145963?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-25 01:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纽交所出现技术故障，多只股票盘中暴跌，交易一度暂停，现已恢复","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2306145963","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"受影响的主要股票包括摩根士丹利、富国银行、Verizon、AT&T、沃尔玛、耐克和麦当劳等。受此影响导致停牌的股票至少有40只，开盘时至少下跌了12%。不过在开盘后20分钟，纽交所表示，其所有系统均已","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>受影响的主要股票包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>、Verizon、AT&amp;T、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">沃尔玛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">麦当劳</a>等。受此影响导致停牌的股票至少有40只，开盘时至少下跌了12%。不过在开盘后20分钟，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYSE\">纽交所</a>表示，其所有系统均已正常运行。</b></blockquote><p><b>1月24日周二，纽交所表示，当天早盘导致数十只股票停牌的交易问题已得到解决。</b></p><p><b>根据纽约证券交易所网站，受影响的主要股票包括摩根士丹利、富国银行、Verizon、AT&amp;T、耐克、沃尔玛和麦当劳。许多股票在开市时表现出异常大的波动，并可能触发了停牌。纽约证券交易所在美国东部时间上午9：50左右，即开盘后20分钟表示，其所有系统均已正常运行。</b></p><p>由于明显的技术问题，周二美股开市后不久，纽约证券交易所数十只股票的交易短暂停止。</p><p>有媒体当时分析称，这个问题似乎是技术问题，而不是交易中发生的问题。</p><p>许多受影响的公司在美国东部时间上午9：45之前，也就是开盘15分钟之内恢复交易。</p><p>纽交所在美国东部时间上午10：21发表的一份声明中表示：</p><blockquote>交易所仍在调查开盘竞价时出现的问题，部分交易品种没有开盘竞价。交易所正在确定股票名单。受影响的成员公司可能会考虑申请索赔。</blockquote><p>与其他一些交易所一样，纽交所设置了对个股的停牌机制，在正常交易日，纽交所很少有股票因波动而停牌。</p><p>美国另一个主要证券交易所纳斯达克似乎没有受到技术问题的影响。</p><p><b>纽交所技术故障令诸多蓝筹股开盘暴跌</b></p><p>受到这次技术故障波及的股票包括数十个大型公司。包括摩根士丹利、富国银行等在内的蓝筹股出现短暂而急剧的下跌，但大多已经恢复正常。</p><p>在周一以45.03美元收盘之后，富国银行周二以38.1美元大幅低开，但很快恢复正常；而摩根士丹利周一的收盘价为97.13美元，今天则以84.93美元的价格低开。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ed07ce9ef6179f579615ee396c4e9e0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc7c718082ff3aad4d2b6dd9c3bbfa27\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>根据媒体整理的数据，受到这次技术故障波及导致停牌的股票至少有40只，这些股票周二的开盘价格至少比周一收盘价格下跌了12%。</p><p>Oanda的高级市场分析师Ed Moya称：</p><blockquote>这次故障有点令人担忧。受波及的公司不是那些易于操纵的公司，而是各行各业的巨头。</blockquote><p><b>到底发生了什么？</b></p><p>大多数美国股票的开始交易都涉及一个复杂但通常是常规的过程，称为开盘竞价，旨在限制因股票订单在常规交易时段开始前堆积起来而导致的波动。在其中，计算机通过建立开盘价来平衡特定股票的供求，开盘价可以被视为满足尽可能多的交易者的水平。</p><p>Meridian Equity Partners的合伙人Jonathan Corpina表示：</p><blockquote>我们还没有看到所有的细节，但看起来有些股票开盘后自动或错误地触发了涨停/跌停，这让它们陷入停滞状态。</blockquote><blockquote>我们所有的手机都亮了。我们当时接到不少客户的电话，并试图向他们解释发生了什么、正在发生什么，并传递尽可能多的准确信息，以便他们了解正在发生的事情。 但截至目前，事情仍在发展中。</blockquote><p><b>交易所故障并非首次</b></p><p>虽然交易所出现技术故障并不常见，但这也不是第一次。</p><p>2015年7月，纽交所就因为技术故障关闭交易了近四个小时。</p><p>当天9：30开盘后不久，技术问题首次出现，最初只影响了一小部分股票，交易所似乎已经处理了这个麻烦。但在上午的晚些时候，问题又再次出现，而且影响了更多股票，交易员表示。当天上午11：32，交易所宣布关闭所有交易。直到距离收盘还不到1小时的时候，纽交所才重启交易。</p><p>纽交所在社交媒体上说，它决定关闭交易来处理技术问题，而在采取这个动作之前，并没有向场内的交易员发出任何警告。</p><p>纽交所坚称，这是内部技术问题导致的，不是恶意的黑客攻击。</p><p>著名投资人Doug Kass当时指出，这些问题提醒大家：</p><blockquote>在一个无纸化（而且是云端化）的世界里，投资者的钱可能不像市场以为的那样安全。</blockquote><p>去年11月，加拿大三家证券交易所发生了40分钟的股票交易中断，导致一些投资者受到了影响，甚至在交易所重新开放后，还有一些投资者拒绝下单。多伦多证券交易所、TSX Venture和Alpha市场在当天上午10：30左右暂停交易。并于上午11：10分恢复。这三家交易所均为TMX Group Ltd．所有，因连接问题影响订单输入而停止了交易。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n纽交所出现技术故障，多只股票盘中暴跌，交易一度暂停，现已恢复\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2023-01-25 01:57 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>受影响的主要股票包括摩根士丹利、富国银行、Verizon、AT&T、沃尔玛、耐克和麦当劳等。受此影响导致停牌的股票至少有40只，开盘时至少下跌了12%。不过在开盘后20分钟，纽交所表示，其所有系统均已正常运行。1月24日周二，纽交所表示，当天早盘导致数十只股票停牌的交易问题已得到解决。根据纽约证券交易所网站，受影响的主要股票包括摩根士丹利、富国银行、Verizon、AT&T、耐克、沃尔玛和麦当劳。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e17e61304fc471f5c5901fc74eb0601","relate_stocks":{"NYSE":"纽交所"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2306145963","content_text":"受影响的主要股票包括摩根士丹利、富国银行、Verizon、AT&T、沃尔玛、耐克和麦当劳等。受此影响导致停牌的股票至少有40只，开盘时至少下跌了12%。不过在开盘后20分钟，纽交所表示，其所有系统均已正常运行。1月24日周二，纽交所表示，当天早盘导致数十只股票停牌的交易问题已得到解决。根据纽约证券交易所网站，受影响的主要股票包括摩根士丹利、富国银行、Verizon、AT&T、耐克、沃尔玛和麦当劳。许多股票在开市时表现出异常大的波动，并可能触发了停牌。纽约证券交易所在美国东部时间上午9：50左右，即开盘后20分钟表示，其所有系统均已正常运行。由于明显的技术问题，周二美股开市后不久，纽约证券交易所数十只股票的交易短暂停止。有媒体当时分析称，这个问题似乎是技术问题，而不是交易中发生的问题。许多受影响的公司在美国东部时间上午9：45之前，也就是开盘15分钟之内恢复交易。纽交所在美国东部时间上午10：21发表的一份声明中表示：交易所仍在调查开盘竞价时出现的问题，部分交易品种没有开盘竞价。交易所正在确定股票名单。受影响的成员公司可能会考虑申请索赔。与其他一些交易所一样，纽交所设置了对个股的停牌机制，在正常交易日，纽交所很少有股票因波动而停牌。美国另一个主要证券交易所纳斯达克似乎没有受到技术问题的影响。纽交所技术故障令诸多蓝筹股开盘暴跌受到这次技术故障波及的股票包括数十个大型公司。包括摩根士丹利、富国银行等在内的蓝筹股出现短暂而急剧的下跌，但大多已经恢复正常。在周一以45.03美元收盘之后，富国银行周二以38.1美元大幅低开，但很快恢复正常；而摩根士丹利周一的收盘价为97.13美元，今天则以84.93美元的价格低开。根据媒体整理的数据，受到这次技术故障波及导致停牌的股票至少有40只，这些股票周二的开盘价格至少比周一收盘价格下跌了12%。Oanda的高级市场分析师Ed Moya称：这次故障有点令人担忧。受波及的公司不是那些易于操纵的公司，而是各行各业的巨头。到底发生了什么？大多数美国股票的开始交易都涉及一个复杂但通常是常规的过程，称为开盘竞价，旨在限制因股票订单在常规交易时段开始前堆积起来而导致的波动。在其中，计算机通过建立开盘价来平衡特定股票的供求，开盘价可以被视为满足尽可能多的交易者的水平。Meridian Equity Partners的合伙人Jonathan Corpina表示：我们还没有看到所有的细节，但看起来有些股票开盘后自动或错误地触发了涨停/跌停，这让它们陷入停滞状态。我们所有的手机都亮了。我们当时接到不少客户的电话，并试图向他们解释发生了什么、正在发生什么，并传递尽可能多的准确信息，以便他们了解正在发生的事情。 但截至目前，事情仍在发展中。交易所故障并非首次虽然交易所出现技术故障并不常见，但这也不是第一次。2015年7月，纽交所就因为技术故障关闭交易了近四个小时。当天9：30开盘后不久，技术问题首次出现，最初只影响了一小部分股票，交易所似乎已经处理了这个麻烦。但在上午的晚些时候，问题又再次出现，而且影响了更多股票，交易员表示。当天上午11：32，交易所宣布关闭所有交易。直到距离收盘还不到1小时的时候，纽交所才重启交易。纽交所在社交媒体上说，它决定关闭交易来处理技术问题，而在采取这个动作之前，并没有向场内的交易员发出任何警告。纽交所坚称，这是内部技术问题导致的，不是恶意的黑客攻击。著名投资人Doug Kass当时指出，这些问题提醒大家：在一个无纸化（而且是云端化）的世界里，投资者的钱可能不像市场以为的那样安全。去年11月，加拿大三家证券交易所发生了40分钟的股票交易中断，导致一些投资者受到了影响，甚至在交易所重新开放后，还有一些投资者拒绝下单。多伦多证券交易所、TSX Venture和Alpha市场在当天上午10：30左右暂停交易。并于上午11：10分恢复。这三家交易所均为TMX Group 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Congratulations on your achievements! Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","text":"Your portfolio is a shining example of what smart investing looks like. Congratulations on your achievements! Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. 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Cash Boost Account Website."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9011470637,"gmtCreate":1648915910165,"gmtModify":1676534421762,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TGB\">$Taseko Mines(TGB)$</a>continue to hold&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TGB\">$Taseko Mines(TGB)$</a>continue to hold&nbsp;","text":"$Taseko Mines(TGB)$continue to hold","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5f46bf22aa1ddb4f08211f1271086e92","width":"750","height":"2111"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9011470637","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370558917153016,"gmtCreate":1731470576482,"gmtModify":1731470580293,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v 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data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$AMC院线(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952188415","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9014655058,"gmtCreate":1649654836147,"gmtModify":1676534545684,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"God blessing","listText":"God blessing","text":"God blessing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9014655058","repostId":"1171945540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171945540","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1649647801,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171945540?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-11 11:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"提醒：耶稣受难日、复活节股市休市安排一览","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171945540","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"北京时间本周五（4月15日）为耶稣受难日，周日（4月17日）为复活节，届时，许多有基督教信仰的国家和地区的金融市场都将休市。具体安排如下：美股：4月15日（周五）休市，4月18日（下周一）起照常开市","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>北京时间本周五（4月15日）为耶稣受难日，周日（4月17日）为复活节，届时，许多有基督教信仰的国家和地区的金融市场都将休市。具体安排如下：</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4d01949c075188e0c02cff3316f608\" tg-width=\"767\" tg-height=\"813\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>美股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）休市，4月18日（下周一）起照常开市。</p><p><b>港股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>A股：</b></p><p>照常交易</p><p><b>英股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>澳股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>新加坡市场：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）休市，4月18日（下周一）起照常开市。</p><p><b>沪股通、深股通：</b></p><p>4月14日（周四）至4月18日（下周一）关闭，4月19日（下周二）起照常开通。</p><p><b>港股通：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）关闭，4月19日（下周二）起照常开通。</p><p><b>背景简介：</b></p><p>耶稣受难日：耶稣受难日是基督徒纪念耶稣基督被钉在十字架上受难的日子，为复活节前的那个周五。按《圣经-马太福音》的说法，耶稣基督在十字架上受刑死后3天复活，因而设立复活节。该节是每年春分后首次月圆之后的第一个周日，因此没有固定的公历日期，每年的耶稣受难日自然也没有一个固定的公历日子。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n提醒：耶稣受难日、复活节股市休市安排一览\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-11 11:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>北京时间本周五（4月15日）为耶稣受难日，周日（4月17日）为复活节，届时，许多有基督教信仰的国家和地区的金融市场都将休市。具体安排如下：</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4d01949c075188e0c02cff3316f608\" tg-width=\"767\" tg-height=\"813\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>美股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）休市，4月18日（下周一）起照常开市。</p><p><b>港股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>A股：</b></p><p>照常交易</p><p><b>英股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>澳股：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>新加坡市场：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）休市，4月18日（下周一）起照常开市。</p><p><b>沪股通、深股通：</b></p><p>4月14日（周四）至4月18日（下周一）关闭，4月19日（下周二）起照常开通。</p><p><b>港股通：</b></p><p>4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）关闭，4月19日（下周二）起照常开通。</p><p><b>背景简介：</b></p><p>耶稣受难日：耶稣受难日是基督徒纪念耶稣基督被钉在十字架上受难的日子，为复活节前的那个周五。按《圣经-马太福音》的说法，耶稣基督在十字架上受刑死后3天复活，因而设立复活节。该节是每年春分后首次月圆之后的第一个周日，因此没有固定的公历日期，每年的耶稣受难日自然也没有一个固定的公历日子。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/082208e3c37780dd55878056410ffa43","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","HSI":"恒生指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","000001.SH":"上证指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSCCI":"红筹指数",".DJI":"道琼斯","HSCEI":"国企指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171945540","content_text":"北京时间本周五（4月15日）为耶稣受难日，周日（4月17日）为复活节，届时，许多有基督教信仰的国家和地区的金融市场都将休市。具体安排如下：美股：4月15日（周五）休市，4月18日（下周一）起照常开市。港股：4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。A股：照常交易英股：4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。澳股：4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）休市，4月19日（下周二）起照常开市。新加坡市场：4月15日（周五）休市，4月18日（下周一）起照常开市。沪股通、深股通：4月14日（周四）至4月18日（下周一）关闭，4月19日（下周二）起照常开通。港股通：4月15日（周五）至4月18日（下周一）关闭，4月19日（下周二）起照常开通。背景简介：耶稣受难日：耶稣受难日是基督徒纪念耶稣基督被钉在十字架上受难的日子，为复活节前的那个周五。按《圣经-马太福音》的说法，耶稣基督在十字架上受刑死后3天复活，因而设立复活节。该节是每年春分后首次月圆之后的第一个周日，因此没有固定的公历日期，每年的耶稣受难日自然也没有一个固定的公历日子。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140106226,"gmtCreate":1625634363865,"gmtModify":1703745363187,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s correct!","listText":"It’s correct!","text":"It’s correct!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140106226","repostId":"2149367201","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2149367201","pubTimestamp":1625629870,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2149367201?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 11:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"周期见顶声音不绝于耳，是该抛弃高估值“梦想股”了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2149367201","media":"智通财经","summary":"6月开始比较明显的变化是美国2年期债券收益率显著拉升，突破横盘了1年多的通道，随着短端收益率的变化，收益率曲线也出现了平坦化特征，在复苏中后段，股票、商品、短债表现出了同步回落的特征。\n未来如果大类资","content":"<p>6月开始比较明显的变化是美国2年期债券收益率显著拉升，突破横盘了1年多的通道，随着短端收益率的变化，收益率曲线也出现了平坦化特征，在复苏中后段，股票、商品、短债表现出了同步回落的特征。</p>\n<p>未来如果大类资产仍顺着这一阶段特征持续演绎，那么风险资产或将面临中期调整，那么，这是否意味着此轮经济周期已经见顶呢?</p>\n<p>两个月前，华尔街对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>5月份的基金经理调查做出了前瞻性回应，并得出结论：无论从经济增长预期来看，还是结合资本支出计划、通胀预期等等，后疫情时代经济扩张已见顶。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46bfaf0d47ea7cca18c1c370ccd708cc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06aa796f2b3c8520d767d8d73c1accce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>当然，这些前瞻性预期需要一些更有说服力的数据的验证，如近日最新公布的全球制造业PMI数据也已经见顶。</p>\n<p>正如德银分析师Frances Yared所写，6月全球制造业PMI回落至56.8%，从历史角度来看，PMI为54仍将处于非常高的水平，因此现阶段，从峰值开始的下跌应被视为进入周期中期后的修正。PMI峰值数据明确证实，目前正处于“周期顶部”，也可以说周期中期阶段。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7da994dc0c86da1ef8c6b2402a8e731\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>此外，6月亚洲制造业PMI较上月下降0.8个百分点至51.2%，连续2个月环比下降，结束了连续7个月52%左右的运行区间，降至51%附近。</p>\n<p>世界银行近期发布报告预计今年全球经济将增长5.6%，是近50年来最快涨速，也是近80年来最快的衰退后涨速。</p>\n<p>值得一提的是，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>的迈克尔•威尔逊(MichaelWilson)几个月来也一直警告经济周期即将见顶。</p>\n<p>美国银行也同意经济周期见顶的观点，如该行首席量化官萨维塔•苏布拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)的一份报告中写道，“历史上周期顶部区间通常会持续12个月，目前我们只剩下4个月了。因此，目前的阶段至少可以延续到夏季，并有可能延续到夏季以后。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15fea0a2f3b8a24b81f355926d7961e2\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这对投资意味着什么?<b>周期中期通常伴随着利率和资本支出的上升，因此，反映公司价值的估值指标和反映资本支出的盈利能力非常重要。</b></p>\n<p>Leuthold Group的Jim Paulsen通过分析了过去40年的牛市周期指出，虽然每一个牛市都是不同的，但遵循的模式通常是相同的：即周期开始时的强劲运行，持续一年或更长时间的犹豫期，然后趋势发生逆转，当然也可能是崩盘，假设没有美联储的救助。</p>\n<p>Paulsen在描述中期周期(他称之为价值重估阶段)时指出，此时企业业绩继续改善，但估值变得捉襟见肘，收益率上升的压力加剧。在这种情况下，股市最多只能在一年内将发生转向。</p>\n<p>一般周期见顶的信号为：估值不断上升，几乎从谷底翻番，公司业绩和收益率都持续提高。</p>\n<p>如1982年，由于企业利润和债券收益率持续下降，股市出现大幅反弹。随后，标准普尔500指数在1984年中期出现了15%的回调，第二年，收益开始回升，债券收益率上升。</p>\n<p>1992年，企业利润和收益率在进入1994年中期周期时出现下滑，当时标普指数在1994年初下跌了近10%，并一直持平到1995年。</p>\n<p>类似的情况发生在2004年，当时标普500指数的市盈率从2003年末的22倍下降到2004年末的17倍以下。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8d4e56d16398ae45a8c51e7f5c630e3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>传统上，当景气迈入下一阶段时，成长股、高质量股票(价值股)通常表现会切换。一般在扩张和趋于稳定的时期(当下)，成长股会跑赢周期股。周期股一般在最初的经济复苏期跑赢。</p>\n<p>总之，这一轮周期并非正常的周期，疫情导致部分成长股的估值已接近极端，因此在当前的阶段，应聚焦高质量和高盈利能力的成长股，而一部分成长股只能被称为“梦想股”或“信仰股”，在这一阶段可能并不会受到青睐。</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>周期见顶声音不绝于耳，是该抛弃高估值“梦想股”了？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n周期见顶声音不绝于耳，是该抛弃高估值“梦想股”了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 11:51 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/508819.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>6月开始比较明显的变化是美国2年期债券收益率显著拉升，突破横盘了1年多的通道，随着短端收益率的变化，收益率曲线也出现了平坦化特征，在复苏中后段，股票、商品、短债表现出了同步回落的特征。\n未来如果大类资产仍顺着这一阶段特征持续演绎，那么风险资产或将面临中期调整，那么，这是否意味着此轮经济周期已经见顶呢?\n两个月前，华尔街对美国银行5月份的基金经理调查做出了前瞻性回应，并得出结论：无论从经济增长预期...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/508819.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/508819.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2149367201","content_text":"6月开始比较明显的变化是美国2年期债券收益率显著拉升，突破横盘了1年多的通道，随着短端收益率的变化，收益率曲线也出现了平坦化特征，在复苏中后段，股票、商品、短债表现出了同步回落的特征。\n未来如果大类资产仍顺着这一阶段特征持续演绎，那么风险资产或将面临中期调整，那么，这是否意味着此轮经济周期已经见顶呢?\n两个月前，华尔街对美国银行5月份的基金经理调查做出了前瞻性回应，并得出结论：无论从经济增长预期来看，还是结合资本支出计划、通胀预期等等，后疫情时代经济扩张已见顶。\n\n\n当然，这些前瞻性预期需要一些更有说服力的数据的验证，如近日最新公布的全球制造业PMI数据也已经见顶。\n正如德银分析师Frances Yared所写，6月全球制造业PMI回落至56.8%，从历史角度来看，PMI为54仍将处于非常高的水平，因此现阶段，从峰值开始的下跌应被视为进入周期中期后的修正。PMI峰值数据明确证实，目前正处于“周期顶部”，也可以说周期中期阶段。\n\n此外，6月亚洲制造业PMI较上月下降0.8个百分点至51.2%，连续2个月环比下降，结束了连续7个月52%左右的运行区间，降至51%附近。\n世界银行近期发布报告预计今年全球经济将增长5.6%，是近50年来最快涨速，也是近80年来最快的衰退后涨速。\n值得一提的是，摩根士丹利的迈克尔•威尔逊(MichaelWilson)几个月来也一直警告经济周期即将见顶。\n美国银行也同意经济周期见顶的观点，如该行首席量化官萨维塔•苏布拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)的一份报告中写道，“历史上周期顶部区间通常会持续12个月，目前我们只剩下4个月了。因此，目前的阶段至少可以延续到夏季，并有可能延续到夏季以后。”\n\n这对投资意味着什么?周期中期通常伴随着利率和资本支出的上升，因此，反映公司价值的估值指标和反映资本支出的盈利能力非常重要。\nLeuthold Group的Jim Paulsen通过分析了过去40年的牛市周期指出，虽然每一个牛市都是不同的，但遵循的模式通常是相同的：即周期开始时的强劲运行，持续一年或更长时间的犹豫期，然后趋势发生逆转，当然也可能是崩盘，假设没有美联储的救助。\nPaulsen在描述中期周期(他称之为价值重估阶段)时指出，此时企业业绩继续改善，但估值变得捉襟见肘，收益率上升的压力加剧。在这种情况下，股市最多只能在一年内将发生转向。\n一般周期见顶的信号为：估值不断上升，几乎从谷底翻番，公司业绩和收益率都持续提高。\n如1982年，由于企业利润和债券收益率持续下降，股市出现大幅反弹。随后，标准普尔500指数在1984年中期出现了15%的回调，第二年，收益开始回升，债券收益率上升。\n1992年，企业利润和收益率在进入1994年中期周期时出现下滑，当时标普指数在1994年初下跌了近10%，并一直持平到1995年。\n类似的情况发生在2004年，当时标普500指数的市盈率从2003年末的22倍下降到2004年末的17倍以下。\n\n传统上，当景气迈入下一阶段时，成长股、高质量股票(价值股)通常表现会切换。一般在扩张和趋于稳定的时期(当下)，成长股会跑赢周期股。周期股一般在最初的经济复苏期跑赢。\n总之，这一轮周期并非正常的周期，疫情导致部分成长股的估值已接近极端，因此在当前的阶段，应聚焦高质量和高盈利能力的成长股，而一部分成长股只能被称为“梦想股”或“信仰股”，在这一阶段可能并不会受到青睐。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950822133,"gmtCreate":1672723452123,"gmtModify":1676538725980,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah&nbsp;","listText":"Yeah&nbsp;","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950822133","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048894347,"gmtCreate":1656175194289,"gmtModify":1676535780265,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048894347","repostId":"1147735251","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147735251","pubTimestamp":1656119482,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147735251?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 09:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"11类资金：哪些在加仓？后续怎么看？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147735251","media":"尧望后势","summary":"不过，公募基金并非近期加仓主力，5月市场回升以来偏股基金股票仓位反而回落。因此，后续保险资金继续降低仓位的空间有限，反而近期加仓意愿有所提升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>引言：</b>近期市场持续回暖，市场成交维持万亿元以上，市场呈现出增量资金入市的迹象。那么近期哪些资金在加仓？后续怎么看？本报告系统梳理了近期北上、公募、私募、保险、两融、产业资本、固收+产品、银行理财等11类资金的5月以来的流入流出情况，供投资者参考。</p><p><b>核心结论：资金面仍处于存量博弈，但边际向好</b></p><p><b>5月以来资金面存量博弈的格局仍未完全打破，但边际进一步改善。</b>5月以来市场行情明显回暖，北向资金流入大幅提速、新发基金小幅回暖、私募股票多头仓位有所提升、两融资金转为净流入。但同时，本周北上资金流入速度有所放缓、新发基金规模仍处于历史低位、存量基金仓位小幅回落、私募加仓幅度有限、绝对收益资金仓位仍处于历史低位。<b>总结来看，市场仍处于存量博弈，但边际上较前期显著改善。</b></p><p><b>1、北上资金5月以来流入提速。</b>5月中下旬开始北上净流入明显提速，有5天单日流入超百亿元，且配置盘、交易盘同步流入提速。不过需要注意到，本周以来北上资金连续三天流出，主要是前期大幅流入的交易盘转为流出，可能对短期资金面有所扰动。拉长时间看，国内基本面持续修复下，中国权益资产仍具备显著优势，后续有望持续吸引外资回归常态化配置。</p><p><b>2、偏股公募基金发行自5月下旬开始有所回暖，但存量基金仓位回落。</b>从周度数据上看，5月下旬开始偏股基金新发规模已经出现回暖。结合历史经验来看，新发基金份额往往与基金过去一个季度收益率高度相关，当前该收益率已经转正，新发基金份额有望迎来回升。不过，公募基金并非近期加仓主力，5月市场回升以来偏股基金股票仓位反而回落。</p><p><b>3、市场回暖后固收+产品面临的业绩压力持续减缓，赎回压力减轻。</b>当前固收+股票仓位处于近两年较低水平，进一步减仓空间有限。随着5月以来市场回暖，固收+产品的业绩压力持续减缓，预计赎回压力也逐步减轻。</p><p><b>4、保险资金4月净流出缩窄，当前股票仓位处于历史底部水平。</b>4月保险资金净流出缩窄，且仓位水平已进一步回落至历史底部区间。因此，后续保险资金继续降低仓位的空间有限，反而近期加仓意愿有所提升。</p><p><b>5、私募股票多头策略仓位5月以来整体回升，不过6月初前后有所减仓。</b>5月市场反弹后私募股票多头跟随反弹加仓，不过6月初前后有所减仓。当前私募多头仓位水平仍然处于较低分位，后续仓位提升的空间依然较大。</p><p><b>6、两融资金5月以来转为净流入，成交活跃度逐步回暖。</b>由于其“顺势交易”的特点，两融资金5余额以来转为净流入，且6月净流入进一步提速。两融余额随着市场已经企稳回升，且成交活跃度较前期逐步回暖。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cb585cbc9917b51c8226ebdb75542ab\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1156\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>一、北上资金：6月流入再提速，配置盘交易盘同步加仓</b></p><p><b>今年6月1日至21日北上资金净流入提升至479亿元，交易盘与配置盘同步加仓。</b>6月初以来，虽然海外加息及衰退预期仍有扰动，但随着中国经济快速修复，人民币汇率由贬转升，中国市场较海外逐步显现出“比较优势”，吸引北上资金流入再提速。截至6月21日，6月北上资金净流入479亿元，净流入金额较5月提升310亿元，年初以来北向资金转为净流入467亿元（该数据自6月1日起转为净流入）。拆分来看，6月配置盘净流入309亿元，交易盘净流入154亿元，两类资金加仓步伐同步提速。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01e25f67d86b9a4650276e29d666c85\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>行业配置方面，截至6月21日，北上资金5月以来净流入食品饮料、银行、电力设备、基础化工、煤炭行业较多，净流出房地产、钢铁、有色金属、轻工制造、电子行业较多。</b>拆分来看，配置盘5月以来净流入电力设备、食品饮料、银行、机械设备、煤炭行业居多，净流出房地产、有色金属、钢铁、医药生物、家用电器行业居多；交易盘净流入食品饮料、银行、医药生物、交通运输、家用电器行业居多，净流出电力设备、电子、机械设备、房地产、钢铁居多。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d934dc0ba6beb17ea42d74292bd4315\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>个股层面上，截至6月21日，今年5月以来净流入居前的个股有伊利股份、贵州茅台、招商银行、东方雨虹、中国中免等，净流出居多的个股有宁德时代、海螺水泥、天赐材料、三花智控、新宙邦等。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1464ae62b9bce85f696a43d3559e62c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"577\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>二、公募基金：5月下旬新发行回暖，但基金仓位有所回落</b></p><p><b>5月下旬以来公募基金发行规模回暖。</b>从偏股基金（股票型+混合型）的口径来看，截至6月21日，今年6月新发偏股基金规模为175亿元，已经超过5月整月发行。尽管基金发行绝对规模仍处于历史低位，但5月下旬以来周度发行数据已有所回暖。老基金申赎方面，4月偏股老基金获净赎回582亿元，赎回规模环比有所增大，但赎回规模并不大。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95d3e0cace80777a6508410298a4a27c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7eb7201cead4ceb558fc87288e71857\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>新发基金规模往往与基金过去一个季度收益率高度相关，当下该收益率已经转正，新发基金份额有望逐步迎来回升。</b>从历史复盘角度看，新发基金（股票型+混合型）成立份额与基金重仓股前一季度的收益率具有较高正相关性。截至6月21日，基金重仓（季调）指数过去一个季度收益率已经转正至1.0%，新发基金（股票型+混合型）成立份额也拐头向上，基金收益率若继续回升有望推动新发基金成立份额逐步迎来回升。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5aa860afe6636f9f552d33c40d7c27d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>从存量基金仓位来看， 5月市场回升以来开放式基金的股票仓位有所回落，普通股票型与偏股混合型仓位降低较多。</b>根据Wind测算，截至6月21日，5月初以来全部开放式基金股票仓位环比下降0.58%至64.20%，普通股票型、偏股混合型和灵活配置型基金的股票仓位分别环比变动-0.80%、-1.03%、-0.28%至86.61%、80.79%、60.46%，其中普通股票型和偏股混合型基金降仓的幅度相对较大。5月以来，虽然市场较前期明显回暖，但公募基金并未显著加仓，并非近期加仓主力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1af01fdac6c4c7c8ef1b60f4ab08563e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7233d4b5545106143939e52e5a2a82ec\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>三、固收+产品：Q1股票仓位环比下降，赎回压力缓解</b></p><p><b>固收+产品22Q1规模维持在2.1万亿元水平，股票仓位环比下降1.4pct至14.3%。</b>截至今年3月底，根据wind固收+基金分类，固收+产品净资产合计突破了2.1万亿元、扩容至21004亿元，股票投资占比降至14.3%，较去年底减少1.4个百分点。“固收+”是指以绝对收益为投资目标，在市场大幅回撤时，基金管理人可能会通过降低股票仓位来控制回撤、保证一定的绝对收益。在一季度市场回撤较大的背景下，固收+产品降低股票仓位。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aeb68285ed4120a8eec4cbf0edb47ccc\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>固收+产品回撤幅度明显降低，股票仓位处于较低水平，随着市场企稳、后续加仓意愿或有望提升。</b>由于年初至今市场回调较大，导致部分固收+产品回撤较大，市场普遍担心被动赎回引发负反馈。截止今年6月21日，固收+产品今年收益率中位数已经回升至-0.64%左右，市场回暖后收益率回撤的幅度较前期明显缩小，引发负反馈的概率较小。当前有18.5%的固收+产品收益率低于-3%，仍存在一定业绩压力，不过该比例较5月底的30.9%继续回落，业绩压力持续缓解。考虑到当前市场已经逐步回暖，且固收+产品股票仓位已经处于近两年较低水平，后续加仓意愿有望提升。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a15f45a466f4bbd775cf702c81c0c95e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>四、$Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a>(PSFF)$：5月以来转为净赎回，宽基ETF遭赎回居多</b></p><p><b>5月以来ETF净赎回91亿份，其中消费ETF净申购居首，宽基ETF净赎回居多。</b>截至6月21日，5月以来ETF净赎回91亿份，其中宽基（-182亿份）、科技（+30亿份）、先进制造（+3亿份）、消费（+80亿份）、金融（-22亿份）、周期（+10亿份）、其他主题（-10亿份），消费ETF净申购居首，宽基ETF净赎回居多。今年以来ETF净申购1327亿份，其中宽基（+210亿份）、科技（+206亿份）、先进制造（+64亿份）、消费（+177亿份）、金融（+14亿份）、周期（+113亿份）、其他主题（+29亿份），宽基、科技和消费净申购居多。从历史来看，ETF流动往往与市场反向，5月以来市场明显回暖，今年以来持续加仓的ETF转为流出。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c65c3fc653d96726b00f1210067119\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>五、保险资金：股票仓位处于历史底部水平</b></p><p><b>今年4月保险资金净流出缩窄，股票和基金仓位处于历史低位。</b>截止今年4月，险资运用余额达到23.63万亿元，其中股票和基金投资规模为2.81万亿元，占比为11.89%，较上月分别减少459亿元、减少0.24%，当前仓位水平已经处于2016年以来的1.3%分位的底部区间，基本与18年底的仓位水平持平。因此，后续保险资金继续降低仓位的空间有限，近期加仓意愿提升。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdad01f61028f3ed29b1ec9e769a7e0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>六、银行理财：当前赎回压力预计有限</b></p><p><b>2021年末银行理财规模达到29万亿元，其中权益类资产预计达11600亿元。</b>一方面，根据中国理财网公布的数据，截至2021年12月，银行理财达到29万亿元，同比增长12.14%。另一方面，2021年12月银行理财权益类资产占比仅有3.30%、公募基金占比4.00%，直接持股比例仅为2%至5%，权益类占比仍有非常大的提升空间，若按4.0%占比估计，截至2021年底，银行理财持有A股市场股票市值为11600亿元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3626a412ba5336d305cb7571aa814a4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>当前理财产品的赎回压力有限。</b>在Wind记录的27130支银行理财产品中，我们筛选出9413家5月以来公布过最新净值、投资范围涵盖股票或基金的理财产品，且其中有6681家理财产品是今年1月1日前成立的。据统计，今年以来成立的这6681家理财产品中，共有1772支理财产品年初以来收益率为负，其中有630支年初以来亏损超过2%，有346支年初以来亏损超过3%。净值方面，在9413家理财产品中，当前共有718支理财产品净值低于1。5月市场回暖以来，理财产品的净值和收益率压力均已得到明显缓解。由于银行理财产品多属于中低风险投资品种，因此当理财产品收益低于-2%或净值低于1时，产品可能面临赎回压力，目前此类产品占比回落至约10.5%，赎回压力有限，且较前期继续缓解。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfea213751612fb59bfa7299a7036f17\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>七、私募基金：5月以来股票多头仓位有所回升</b></p><p><b>5月以来股票私募多头仓位变动整体回升，不过6月初前后有所减仓。</b>截至今年5月底，私募证券投资基金资产净值达57888亿元，环比基本持平, 基金只数达到83013只。从股票私募多头仓位变动（估算）上看，截至今年6月10日，股票私募多头的仓位比例较5月初提升0.48个百分点至65.58%，仓位水平回升至三年滚动28.6%的分位数。不过，5月29日至6月10日，股票私募多头仓位有所回落，下降1.67个百分点。今年以来私募整体大幅降低仓位，当前仓位水平仍然处于较低水平，但近期市场回暖之下，私募加仓意愿整体有所提升。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2e6a7700f387569e33b7ee344677d43\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"407\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>股票策略阳光私募产品清仓压力有限，且较5月继续缓解。</b>根据私募0.7清仓线、0.8警戒线来看，在21287支5月以来披露最新净值数据的股票策略阳光私募中，共有1051支净值低于0.7清仓线，占比达4.9%，同时有1215支净值处于0.7至0.8之间，占比达到5.7%，两者占比较5月均继续回落，清仓压力有所缓解。当前有89.4%的股票策略阳光私募产品净值均处于0.8以上，私募清仓压力有限。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18fab1e600ccc385381aff9a8db786fb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>八、两融资金：5月以来转为净流入，成交活跃度提升</b></p><p><b>5月以来两融转为净流入474亿元，成交活跃度有所回暖。</b>从两融净流出规模来看，截至6月21日，5月以来两融净流入474亿元，其中5月、6月分别净流入152亿元、321亿元，今年累计净流出2168亿元。从两融余额来看，6月21日两融余额回升至1.57万亿元，较4月底增加558亿元。从两融成交来看，截至6月21日，6月成交占比已经回升至8.08%，较4月、5月分别增加1.31pct、0.79 pct，两融成交活跃度较前期逐步回暖。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d94f3131ad0359f9dffe90f5de0444f0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>从行业结构来看，5月以来两融流入电子、有色金属、基础化工、机械和非银行金融等行业居多。</b>截至6月20日，5月以来两融资金净流入电子、有色金属、基础化工、机械和非银行金融行业居前，仅流出医药、消费者服务、计算机、钢铁和农林牧渔行业。当前两融余额较高的前四大行业分别是医药、电子、非银行金融和电力设备及新能源等。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d480d300e88e32bcddffde4bd24242a1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"626\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c63f9e3280da19ee363046a9856a564a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>九、养老体系：预计保持稳定流入态势</b></p><p><b>1、社保基金：二季度增量预计227亿元</b></p><p><b>社保基金2022年二季度增量预计227亿元。</b>2020年社保基金资产总额2.9万亿元，同比增加11.2%。假设维持11.2%增速，则2022年底社保资产有望达到3.61万亿元。根据基金业协会，2016年底社保配置A股比例21.4%，假设25%占比，2022年全年增量预计909亿元，二季度预计仍将流入227亿元。</p><p><b>社保基金Q1重仓股市值占A股的比重小幅提升。</b>从持股前十市值这一重仓口径上看，截至22Q1末，社保基金重仓持股市值达3387亿元，持仓市值环比缩水，但重仓持股市值占A股比重相较21Q4环比提升0.02pct。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c1406235cd32950109ab7b353e8b8d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>2、企业年金&amp;职业年金：二季度增量预计200亿元</b></p><p><b>年金2022年二季度增量预计200亿元。</b>截至2022Q1，全国企业年金实际运作金额已达2.61万亿元，同比增速14%。若保持14%增速，2022年底有望达到2.96万亿元。近几年企业年金股票投资占比在7%左右，假设2022年维持不变，2022年增量预计248亿元，二季度增量预计达到62亿元。截至2021年12月，全国职业年金基金投资运营规模超过1.79万亿元，较2020年增加7900亿元，预计后续每年增加7900亿元，参考年金股票投资比例约7%，2022全年增量为553亿，二季度增量预计达到138亿元。加总来看，年金2022年二季度增量预计200亿元。</p><p><b>3、养老金：二季度增量预计43亿元</b></p><p><b>基本养老金2022年二季度增量预计43亿元。</b>截至2021年12月，全国所有省份基本养老金运营规模达到1.46万亿元，同比增长4.7%。基本养老金也是由社保理事会管理，参考社保基金25%股票配置，假设基本养老金25%股票配置比例，假设2022年底基本养老金运营规模维持4.7%的同比增速，则2022全年增量预计170亿元，二季度增量预计43亿元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3f161268069513c69e5285e08118c4c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>十、散户：5月开户环比下降</b></p><p><b>5月新增投资者数量120万人，环比减少4.30%。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efe0c376a2c74161e2217d3d64ed394f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>十一、产业资本：减持压力有限，但解禁市值6月起抬升</b></p><p><b>产业资本净减持幅度仍处于较低水平，减持压力不大。</b>截至6月21日，今年5月以来产业资本净减持共437亿元，其中5月、6月分别净减持202亿元、235亿元，净减持压力较4月有所抬升，不过净减持绝对数值仍处于2020年以来较低水平，减持压力不大。回顾历史，往往在市场表现较好、大幅上涨后，产业资本减持压力较大，比如2020年7月、2020年11月、2021年11月等。当前市场经历过大幅下跌、处于低位区间时，短期来看市场净减持压力预计有限。同时，限售解禁方面，今年6-9月的月度解禁市值较前期明显抬升，解禁压力环比预计加大。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/803d0be31fb834fe7bd3833e64d9274f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>从行业结构来看，电子、银行和电力设备等行业面临的资金流出压力相对较大。</b>年初以来，医药生物、基础化工、电力设备、电子和计算机等行业遭到减仓的市值居前。解禁压力方面，今年6月至12月解禁市值居前的行业为电子、银行、电力设备、医药生物和基础化工。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89c126609a8b6750e026d21c7c0c24e0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8140503f4ca07d72c6e5702ebfd27096\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>风险提示</b></p><p><b>1、历史经验和指标可能存在失效风险；2、不同区间统计可能存在结论差异风险；3、因数据不完备导致计算结果与实际结果存在误差的风险。</b></p></body></html>","source":"ywhs","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>11类资金：哪些在加仓？后续怎么看？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n11类资金：哪些在加仓？后续怎么看？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-25 09:11 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/QPCJXhs4ip0bsNsfGZTujA><strong>尧望后势</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>引言：近期市场持续回暖，市场成交维持万亿元以上，市场呈现出增量资金入市的迹象。那么近期哪些资金在加仓？后续怎么看？本报告系统梳理了近期北上、公募、私募、保险、两融、产业资本、固收+产品、银行理财等11类资金的5月以来的流入流出情况，供投资者参考。核心结论：资金面仍处于存量博弈，但边际向好5月以来资金面存量博弈的格局仍未完全打破，但边际进一步改善。5月以来市场行情明显回暖，北向资金流入大幅提速、新发...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/QPCJXhs4ip0bsNsfGZTujA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/QPCJXhs4ip0bsNsfGZTujA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147735251","content_text":"引言：近期市场持续回暖，市场成交维持万亿元以上，市场呈现出增量资金入市的迹象。那么近期哪些资金在加仓？后续怎么看？本报告系统梳理了近期北上、公募、私募、保险、两融、产业资本、固收+产品、银行理财等11类资金的5月以来的流入流出情况，供投资者参考。核心结论：资金面仍处于存量博弈，但边际向好5月以来资金面存量博弈的格局仍未完全打破，但边际进一步改善。5月以来市场行情明显回暖，北向资金流入大幅提速、新发基金小幅回暖、私募股票多头仓位有所提升、两融资金转为净流入。但同时，本周北上资金流入速度有所放缓、新发基金规模仍处于历史低位、存量基金仓位小幅回落、私募加仓幅度有限、绝对收益资金仓位仍处于历史低位。总结来看，市场仍处于存量博弈，但边际上较前期显著改善。1、北上资金5月以来流入提速。5月中下旬开始北上净流入明显提速，有5天单日流入超百亿元，且配置盘、交易盘同步流入提速。不过需要注意到，本周以来北上资金连续三天流出，主要是前期大幅流入的交易盘转为流出，可能对短期资金面有所扰动。拉长时间看，国内基本面持续修复下，中国权益资产仍具备显著优势，后续有望持续吸引外资回归常态化配置。2、偏股公募基金发行自5月下旬开始有所回暖，但存量基金仓位回落。从周度数据上看，5月下旬开始偏股基金新发规模已经出现回暖。结合历史经验来看，新发基金份额往往与基金过去一个季度收益率高度相关，当前该收益率已经转正，新发基金份额有望迎来回升。不过，公募基金并非近期加仓主力，5月市场回升以来偏股基金股票仓位反而回落。3、市场回暖后固收+产品面临的业绩压力持续减缓，赎回压力减轻。当前固收+股票仓位处于近两年较低水平，进一步减仓空间有限。随着5月以来市场回暖，固收+产品的业绩压力持续减缓，预计赎回压力也逐步减轻。4、保险资金4月净流出缩窄，当前股票仓位处于历史底部水平。4月保险资金净流出缩窄，且仓位水平已进一步回落至历史底部区间。因此，后续保险资金继续降低仓位的空间有限，反而近期加仓意愿有所提升。5、私募股票多头策略仓位5月以来整体回升，不过6月初前后有所减仓。5月市场反弹后私募股票多头跟随反弹加仓，不过6月初前后有所减仓。当前私募多头仓位水平仍然处于较低分位，后续仓位提升的空间依然较大。6、两融资金5月以来转为净流入，成交活跃度逐步回暖。由于其“顺势交易”的特点，两融资金5余额以来转为净流入，且6月净流入进一步提速。两融余额随着市场已经企稳回升，且成交活跃度较前期逐步回暖。一、北上资金：6月流入再提速，配置盘交易盘同步加仓今年6月1日至21日北上资金净流入提升至479亿元，交易盘与配置盘同步加仓。6月初以来，虽然海外加息及衰退预期仍有扰动，但随着中国经济快速修复，人民币汇率由贬转升，中国市场较海外逐步显现出“比较优势”，吸引北上资金流入再提速。截至6月21日，6月北上资金净流入479亿元，净流入金额较5月提升310亿元，年初以来北向资金转为净流入467亿元（该数据自6月1日起转为净流入）。拆分来看，6月配置盘净流入309亿元，交易盘净流入154亿元，两类资金加仓步伐同步提速。行业配置方面，截至6月21日，北上资金5月以来净流入食品饮料、银行、电力设备、基础化工、煤炭行业较多，净流出房地产、钢铁、有色金属、轻工制造、电子行业较多。拆分来看，配置盘5月以来净流入电力设备、食品饮料、银行、机械设备、煤炭行业居多，净流出房地产、有色金属、钢铁、医药生物、家用电器行业居多；交易盘净流入食品饮料、银行、医药生物、交通运输、家用电器行业居多，净流出电力设备、电子、机械设备、房地产、钢铁居多。个股层面上，截至6月21日，今年5月以来净流入居前的个股有伊利股份、贵州茅台、招商银行、东方雨虹、中国中免等，净流出居多的个股有宁德时代、海螺水泥、天赐材料、三花智控、新宙邦等。二、公募基金：5月下旬新发行回暖，但基金仓位有所回落5月下旬以来公募基金发行规模回暖。从偏股基金（股票型+混合型）的口径来看，截至6月21日，今年6月新发偏股基金规模为175亿元，已经超过5月整月发行。尽管基金发行绝对规模仍处于历史低位，但5月下旬以来周度发行数据已有所回暖。老基金申赎方面，4月偏股老基金获净赎回582亿元，赎回规模环比有所增大，但赎回规模并不大。新发基金规模往往与基金过去一个季度收益率高度相关，当下该收益率已经转正，新发基金份额有望逐步迎来回升。从历史复盘角度看，新发基金（股票型+混合型）成立份额与基金重仓股前一季度的收益率具有较高正相关性。截至6月21日，基金重仓（季调）指数过去一个季度收益率已经转正至1.0%，新发基金（股票型+混合型）成立份额也拐头向上，基金收益率若继续回升有望推动新发基金成立份额逐步迎来回升。从存量基金仓位来看， 5月市场回升以来开放式基金的股票仓位有所回落，普通股票型与偏股混合型仓位降低较多。根据Wind测算，截至6月21日，5月初以来全部开放式基金股票仓位环比下降0.58%至64.20%，普通股票型、偏股混合型和灵活配置型基金的股票仓位分别环比变动-0.80%、-1.03%、-0.28%至86.61%、80.79%、60.46%，其中普通股票型和偏股混合型基金降仓的幅度相对较大。5月以来，虽然市场较前期明显回暖，但公募基金并未显著加仓，并非近期加仓主力。三、固收+产品：Q1股票仓位环比下降，赎回压力缓解固收+产品22Q1规模维持在2.1万亿元水平，股票仓位环比下降1.4pct至14.3%。截至今年3月底，根据wind固收+基金分类，固收+产品净资产合计突破了2.1万亿元、扩容至21004亿元，股票投资占比降至14.3%，较去年底减少1.4个百分点。“固收+”是指以绝对收益为投资目标，在市场大幅回撤时，基金管理人可能会通过降低股票仓位来控制回撤、保证一定的绝对收益。在一季度市场回撤较大的背景下，固收+产品降低股票仓位。固收+产品回撤幅度明显降低，股票仓位处于较低水平，随着市场企稳、后续加仓意愿或有望提升。由于年初至今市场回调较大，导致部分固收+产品回撤较大，市场普遍担心被动赎回引发负反馈。截止今年6月21日，固收+产品今年收益率中位数已经回升至-0.64%左右，市场回暖后收益率回撤的幅度较前期明显缩小，引发负反馈的概率较小。当前有18.5%的固收+产品收益率低于-3%，仍存在一定业绩压力，不过该比例较5月底的30.9%继续回落，业绩压力持续缓解。考虑到当前市场已经逐步回暖，且固收+产品股票仓位已经处于近两年较低水平，后续加仓意愿有望提升。四、$Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF(PSFF)$：5月以来转为净赎回，宽基ETF遭赎回居多5月以来ETF净赎回91亿份，其中消费ETF净申购居首，宽基ETF净赎回居多。截至6月21日，5月以来ETF净赎回91亿份，其中宽基（-182亿份）、科技（+30亿份）、先进制造（+3亿份）、消费（+80亿份）、金融（-22亿份）、周期（+10亿份）、其他主题（-10亿份），消费ETF净申购居首，宽基ETF净赎回居多。今年以来ETF净申购1327亿份，其中宽基（+210亿份）、科技（+206亿份）、先进制造（+64亿份）、消费（+177亿份）、金融（+14亿份）、周期（+113亿份）、其他主题（+29亿份），宽基、科技和消费净申购居多。从历史来看，ETF流动往往与市场反向，5月以来市场明显回暖，今年以来持续加仓的ETF转为流出。五、保险资金：股票仓位处于历史底部水平今年4月保险资金净流出缩窄，股票和基金仓位处于历史低位。截止今年4月，险资运用余额达到23.63万亿元，其中股票和基金投资规模为2.81万亿元，占比为11.89%，较上月分别减少459亿元、减少0.24%，当前仓位水平已经处于2016年以来的1.3%分位的底部区间，基本与18年底的仓位水平持平。因此，后续保险资金继续降低仓位的空间有限，近期加仓意愿提升。六、银行理财：当前赎回压力预计有限2021年末银行理财规模达到29万亿元，其中权益类资产预计达11600亿元。一方面，根据中国理财网公布的数据，截至2021年12月，银行理财达到29万亿元，同比增长12.14%。另一方面，2021年12月银行理财权益类资产占比仅有3.30%、公募基金占比4.00%，直接持股比例仅为2%至5%，权益类占比仍有非常大的提升空间，若按4.0%占比估计，截至2021年底，银行理财持有A股市场股票市值为11600亿元。当前理财产品的赎回压力有限。在Wind记录的27130支银行理财产品中，我们筛选出9413家5月以来公布过最新净值、投资范围涵盖股票或基金的理财产品，且其中有6681家理财产品是今年1月1日前成立的。据统计，今年以来成立的这6681家理财产品中，共有1772支理财产品年初以来收益率为负，其中有630支年初以来亏损超过2%，有346支年初以来亏损超过3%。净值方面，在9413家理财产品中，当前共有718支理财产品净值低于1。5月市场回暖以来，理财产品的净值和收益率压力均已得到明显缓解。由于银行理财产品多属于中低风险投资品种，因此当理财产品收益低于-2%或净值低于1时，产品可能面临赎回压力，目前此类产品占比回落至约10.5%，赎回压力有限，且较前期继续缓解。七、私募基金：5月以来股票多头仓位有所回升5月以来股票私募多头仓位变动整体回升，不过6月初前后有所减仓。截至今年5月底，私募证券投资基金资产净值达57888亿元，环比基本持平, 基金只数达到83013只。从股票私募多头仓位变动（估算）上看，截至今年6月10日，股票私募多头的仓位比例较5月初提升0.48个百分点至65.58%，仓位水平回升至三年滚动28.6%的分位数。不过，5月29日至6月10日，股票私募多头仓位有所回落，下降1.67个百分点。今年以来私募整体大幅降低仓位，当前仓位水平仍然处于较低水平，但近期市场回暖之下，私募加仓意愿整体有所提升。股票策略阳光私募产品清仓压力有限，且较5月继续缓解。根据私募0.7清仓线、0.8警戒线来看，在21287支5月以来披露最新净值数据的股票策略阳光私募中，共有1051支净值低于0.7清仓线，占比达4.9%，同时有1215支净值处于0.7至0.8之间，占比达到5.7%，两者占比较5月均继续回落，清仓压力有所缓解。当前有89.4%的股票策略阳光私募产品净值均处于0.8以上，私募清仓压力有限。八、两融资金：5月以来转为净流入，成交活跃度提升5月以来两融转为净流入474亿元，成交活跃度有所回暖。从两融净流出规模来看，截至6月21日，5月以来两融净流入474亿元，其中5月、6月分别净流入152亿元、321亿元，今年累计净流出2168亿元。从两融余额来看，6月21日两融余额回升至1.57万亿元，较4月底增加558亿元。从两融成交来看，截至6月21日，6月成交占比已经回升至8.08%，较4月、5月分别增加1.31pct、0.79 pct，两融成交活跃度较前期逐步回暖。从行业结构来看，5月以来两融流入电子、有色金属、基础化工、机械和非银行金融等行业居多。截至6月20日，5月以来两融资金净流入电子、有色金属、基础化工、机械和非银行金融行业居前，仅流出医药、消费者服务、计算机、钢铁和农林牧渔行业。当前两融余额较高的前四大行业分别是医药、电子、非银行金融和电力设备及新能源等。九、养老体系：预计保持稳定流入态势1、社保基金：二季度增量预计227亿元社保基金2022年二季度增量预计227亿元。2020年社保基金资产总额2.9万亿元，同比增加11.2%。假设维持11.2%增速，则2022年底社保资产有望达到3.61万亿元。根据基金业协会，2016年底社保配置A股比例21.4%，假设25%占比，2022年全年增量预计909亿元，二季度预计仍将流入227亿元。社保基金Q1重仓股市值占A股的比重小幅提升。从持股前十市值这一重仓口径上看，截至22Q1末，社保基金重仓持股市值达3387亿元，持仓市值环比缩水，但重仓持股市值占A股比重相较21Q4环比提升0.02pct。2、企业年金&职业年金：二季度增量预计200亿元年金2022年二季度增量预计200亿元。截至2022Q1，全国企业年金实际运作金额已达2.61万亿元，同比增速14%。若保持14%增速，2022年底有望达到2.96万亿元。近几年企业年金股票投资占比在7%左右，假设2022年维持不变，2022年增量预计248亿元，二季度增量预计达到62亿元。截至2021年12月，全国职业年金基金投资运营规模超过1.79万亿元，较2020年增加7900亿元，预计后续每年增加7900亿元，参考年金股票投资比例约7%，2022全年增量为553亿，二季度增量预计达到138亿元。加总来看，年金2022年二季度增量预计200亿元。3、养老金：二季度增量预计43亿元基本养老金2022年二季度增量预计43亿元。截至2021年12月，全国所有省份基本养老金运营规模达到1.46万亿元，同比增长4.7%。基本养老金也是由社保理事会管理，参考社保基金25%股票配置，假设基本养老金25%股票配置比例，假设2022年底基本养老金运营规模维持4.7%的同比增速，则2022全年增量预计170亿元，二季度增量预计43亿元。十、散户：5月开户环比下降5月新增投资者数量120万人，环比减少4.30%。十一、产业资本：减持压力有限，但解禁市值6月起抬升产业资本净减持幅度仍处于较低水平，减持压力不大。截至6月21日，今年5月以来产业资本净减持共437亿元，其中5月、6月分别净减持202亿元、235亿元，净减持压力较4月有所抬升，不过净减持绝对数值仍处于2020年以来较低水平，减持压力不大。回顾历史，往往在市场表现较好、大幅上涨后，产业资本减持压力较大，比如2020年7月、2020年11月、2021年11月等。当前市场经历过大幅下跌、处于低位区间时，短期来看市场净减持压力预计有限。同时，限售解禁方面，今年6-9月的月度解禁市值较前期明显抬升，解禁压力环比预计加大。从行业结构来看，电子、银行和电力设备等行业面临的资金流出压力相对较大。年初以来，医药生物、基础化工、电力设备、电子和计算机等行业遭到减仓的市值居前。解禁压力方面，今年6月至12月解禁市值居前的行业为电子、银行、电力设备、医药生物和基础化工。风险提示1、历史经验和指标可能存在失效风险；2、不同区间统计可能存在结论差异风险；3、因数据不完备导致计算结果与实际结果存在误差的风险。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9094087102,"gmtCreate":1645022900991,"gmtModify":1676533987535,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck&nbsp;","listText":"Good luck&nbsp;","text":"Good luck","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9094087102","repostId":"1175916852","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175916852","pubTimestamp":1645014736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175916852?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-16 20:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小人物逆袭：印度小伙11年押注1家公司，去年暴赚20亿美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175916852","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在永不停歇的资本市场里，时刻都有人在演绎着自己的故事。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者：朱雪莹</p><p>在永不停歇的资本市场里，时刻都有人在演绎着自己的故事。</p><p>只不过有的人上演亏损传奇，比如一举将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>撂倒，创下“人类史上最大单日亏损”的Bill Hwang，但有的人则缔造狂赚传说，用“11年20亿”来证明自己坚持的意义。</p><p>他就是Karthik Sarma。</p><p><b>01“平平无奇”Karthik Sarma，一朝登顶</b></p><p>在彭博社发布2021年度对冲基金经理收入排行榜之前，很少有人知道Karthik Sarma，外界最多就是知道他之前在老虎环球工作过。</p><p>然而当老虎环球的创始人Chase Coleman都被挤出排行榜，<b>Sarma却一举闯进年度收入前三甲时</b>，大家纷纷扒开他的简历从头看到尾，仔细程度就像是能看出他是怎么赚钱的一样。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20d5631d4ded80529739333c3940cddb\" tg-width=\"777\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5500e4438cbcb0b5d7b005d69b3e8d00\" tg-width=\"774\" tg-height=\"756\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Karthik Sarma，印度人，在人生的前20多年都在认真践行一个优秀印度人会有的人生轨迹：</p><p>学工程，去美国，做金融。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9683d1903ce50341dafa33502394d522\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"548\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Sarma1996年从印度理工学院毕业，之后去了美国普林斯顿大学攻读运筹学硕士。</p><p>毕业之后先在麦肯锡工作了三年，随后在2001年加入了当时才成立不久的老虎环球，当时江湖传言他是老虎环球“最有天分”的员工。</p><p>干了五年之后，Sarma自立门户，创立了SRS Investment Management，正式开启了自己在华尔街的精彩人生。</p><p>或许是厌倦了上学期间“循规蹈矩”的生活，Sarma的行事作风和走精英路线的传统华尔街金融人士很不相同。</p><p>你以为的华尔街基金经理都是这样：西装革履，眼神中满是思索。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddac3a54a60d590150bfa3cc1e488136\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>但Sarma看起来是这样：休闲衬衣，眼神中好像还略带懵懂。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92a1d7f5f6652207e8a148f140130aba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>你以为他的办公室应该是这样：N个屏幕，即刻洞悉全球金融态势。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4beca9bdd2dc8a7934ae43e1fca1e40\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>但其实Sarma在疫情之后一直住在他姐姐家里，办公环境大概是这种：一台电脑，屏幕可能还没有你家的大。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f9ff841d96d63c3a176af9edd25dd9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>这确实很不“华尔街”。</p><p>虽然看起来Sarma的生活没有很多金融人士那么精致，但是这并不妨碍他在赚钱方面一骑绝尘。</p><p>2021年Sarma本人大赚20亿美元，个人净资产直接增加了两倍，而这些都要归功于他11年来的坚持不懈，11年来对一只股票的重金押注。</p><p>那就是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAR\">安飞士</a>（Avis Budget Group）——一家全球性汽车租赁公司。</p><p><b>02一天爆赚50亿！</b></p><p>一只股就能赚几十亿？</p><p>能，只要买得够多，涨得够猛。</p><p>那先看看SRS买了多少安飞士。</p><p>从SRS截止2021年12月31日的第四季度持仓报告（13F）中可以看出，安飞士在SRS的投资组合中排名第一，持仓约1843.09万股，持仓市值约36.98亿，占投资组合比例高达44.41%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448ee08768b5ce7faefaa1dc5d3075cf\" tg-width=\"894\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>然后再去看看安飞士去年的股价。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9603b7b126a0e915bc7bc1073f064c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>整体看来就是“平平无奇”，除了11月2号那一天。</p><p>根据彭博社透露，当时先是安飞士Q3净利刷新历史新高引爆氛围，再是CEO表示将在“电动车普及方面发布重要作用”更是点燃爆炸引线，11月2日安飞士股价一度暴涨200%，带动SRS在短短数小时内爆赚53.5亿美元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04bc51aecfc3cea05f54fb289f40eb30\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>算上11月2日这传奇一天，安飞士2021年总共涨了456%，SRS赚得盆满钵满，收益率达到35%。</p><p>而其中有一只基金满仓安飞士，由Sarma本人持有90%的份额。</p><p>或许会有人觉得和其他对冲基金相比，这点盈利不值一提。但是和动辄数百亿规模的基金相比，SRS的资金规模才80亿美元。</p><p><b>0311年终得回报，小人物也能逆袭</b></p><p>性格决定命运，这已经是一句老生常谈的话，但是却在Sarma身上得到了很好的印证。</p><p>我们只看到了2021年Sarma在<b>安飞士</b>上的大举获胜，却没有仔细想想他在<b>这只个股上花了足足11年的光阴，而前十年总共的收益率也才刚刚翻倍。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6aecc66b59834373ba7b4244e8a4d3\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"570\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Sarma大获全胜，和他稳重的投资方式密不可分。</p><p>他风格稳健，不青睐高杠杆；</p><p>他风控严格，通常在投资组合中做多25只个股，做空35只个股，净敞口低于同行水平；</p><p>他信念坚定，认为只要满足要求，就不在意长期重仓单一个股；</p><p>他目光长远，长期押注安飞士，因为他认为“能以高性价比的方式来管理车队的公司，对于人类未来的交通发展极具价值。”</p><p>所以自2007年以来，Sarma旗下基金的年化收益率为12%，跑赢了标普500指数的11%。</p><p>他或许曾经在高手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YJ\">云集</a>的华尔街，是一个名不见经传的小人物，但是现在他用真金白银证明了自己，成功逆袭。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小人物逆袭：印度小伙11年押注1家公司，去年暴赚20亿美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小人物逆袭：印度小伙11年押注1家公司，去年暴赚20亿美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-16 20:32 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3652071><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：朱雪莹在永不停歇的资本市场里，时刻都有人在演绎着自己的故事。只不过有的人上演亏损传奇，比如一举将高盛撂倒，创下“人类史上最大单日亏损”的Bill Hwang，但有的人则缔造狂赚传说，用“11年20亿”来证明自己坚持的意义。他就是Karthik Sarma。01“平平无奇”Karthik Sarma，一朝登顶在彭博社发布2021年度对冲基金经理收入排行榜之前，很少有人知道Karthik ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3652071\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd0f94887b15b0dd86bfcd8dfac01eec","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3652071","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1175916852","content_text":"作者：朱雪莹在永不停歇的资本市场里，时刻都有人在演绎着自己的故事。只不过有的人上演亏损传奇，比如一举将高盛撂倒，创下“人类史上最大单日亏损”的Bill Hwang，但有的人则缔造狂赚传说，用“11年20亿”来证明自己坚持的意义。他就是Karthik Sarma。01“平平无奇”Karthik Sarma，一朝登顶在彭博社发布2021年度对冲基金经理收入排行榜之前，很少有人知道Karthik Sarma，外界最多就是知道他之前在老虎环球工作过。然而当老虎环球的创始人Chase Coleman都被挤出排行榜，Sarma却一举闯进年度收入前三甲时，大家纷纷扒开他的简历从头看到尾，仔细程度就像是能看出他是怎么赚钱的一样。Karthik Sarma，印度人，在人生的前20多年都在认真践行一个优秀印度人会有的人生轨迹：学工程，去美国，做金融。Sarma1996年从印度理工学院毕业，之后去了美国普林斯顿大学攻读运筹学硕士。毕业之后先在麦肯锡工作了三年，随后在2001年加入了当时才成立不久的老虎环球，当时江湖传言他是老虎环球“最有天分”的员工。干了五年之后，Sarma自立门户，创立了SRS Investment Management，正式开启了自己在华尔街的精彩人生。或许是厌倦了上学期间“循规蹈矩”的生活，Sarma的行事作风和走精英路线的传统华尔街金融人士很不相同。你以为的华尔街基金经理都是这样：西装革履，眼神中满是思索。但Sarma看起来是这样：休闲衬衣，眼神中好像还略带懵懂。你以为他的办公室应该是这样：N个屏幕，即刻洞悉全球金融态势。但其实Sarma在疫情之后一直住在他姐姐家里，办公环境大概是这种：一台电脑，屏幕可能还没有你家的大。这确实很不“华尔街”。虽然看起来Sarma的生活没有很多金融人士那么精致，但是这并不妨碍他在赚钱方面一骑绝尘。2021年Sarma本人大赚20亿美元，个人净资产直接增加了两倍，而这些都要归功于他11年来的坚持不懈，11年来对一只股票的重金押注。那就是安飞士（Avis Budget Group）——一家全球性汽车租赁公司。02一天爆赚50亿！一只股就能赚几十亿？能，只要买得够多，涨得够猛。那先看看SRS买了多少安飞士。从SRS截止2021年12月31日的第四季度持仓报告（13F）中可以看出，安飞士在SRS的投资组合中排名第一，持仓约1843.09万股，持仓市值约36.98亿，占投资组合比例高达44.41%。然后再去看看安飞士去年的股价。整体看来就是“平平无奇”，除了11月2号那一天。根据彭博社透露，当时先是安飞士Q3净利刷新历史新高引爆氛围，再是CEO表示将在“电动车普及方面发布重要作用”更是点燃爆炸引线，11月2日安飞士股价一度暴涨200%，带动SRS在短短数小时内爆赚53.5亿美元。算上11月2日这传奇一天，安飞士2021年总共涨了456%，SRS赚得盆满钵满，收益率达到35%。而其中有一只基金满仓安飞士，由Sarma本人持有90%的份额。或许会有人觉得和其他对冲基金相比，这点盈利不值一提。但是和动辄数百亿规模的基金相比，SRS的资金规模才80亿美元。0311年终得回报，小人物也能逆袭性格决定命运，这已经是一句老生常谈的话，但是却在Sarma身上得到了很好的印证。我们只看到了2021年Sarma在安飞士上的大举获胜，却没有仔细想想他在这只个股上花了足足11年的光阴，而前十年总共的收益率也才刚刚翻倍。Sarma大获全胜，和他稳重的投资方式密不可分。他风格稳健，不青睐高杠杆；他风控严格，通常在投资组合中做多25只个股，做空35只个股，净敞口低于同行水平；他信念坚定，认为只要满足要求，就不在意长期重仓单一个股；他目光长远，长期押注安飞士，因为他认为“能以高性价比的方式来管理车队的公司，对于人类未来的交通发展极具价值。”所以自2007年以来，Sarma旗下基金的年化收益率为12%，跑赢了标普500指数的11%。他或许曾经在高手云集的华尔街，是一个名不见经传的小人物，但是现在他用真金白银证明了自己，成功逆袭。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958130260,"gmtCreate":1673655734650,"gmtModify":1676538870802,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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on","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958082284","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927691199,"gmtCreate":1672459882811,"gmtModify":1676538694502,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927691199","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969862997,"gmtCreate":1668402920319,"gmtModify":1676538051082,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CCL\">$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a77cfa9db3ebc68fe67fcb2c17f9b6f","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969862997","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981159494,"gmtCreate":1666427724218,"gmtModify":1676537755867,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981159494","repostId":"1193170163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193170163","pubTimestamp":1666399580,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193170163?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-22 08:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储官员放“鸽声”：是时候开始考虑放慢加息","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193170163","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储可能考虑暗示减少12月加息幅度。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者：李丹</p><p>在消息灵通记者——有“新美联储通讯社”之称的Nick Timiraos放风后，果然有美联储官员发出放缓加息的鸽派呼声。</p><p>美东时间21日周五，鸽派倾向的美联储官员、2024年拥有货币政策委员会FOMC会议投票权的旧金山联储主席戴利表示，美联储应该避免因为加息太激进而让美国经济陷入“主动低迷”，现在是时候开始谈论放慢加息的速度了。戴利说：</p><blockquote>“我们可能自己觉得要再加（息）75个基点，市场肯定已经这么定价。可是，我真的建议大家，不要认为永远都是（加）75（个基点）。”</blockquote><p>9月美联储宣布加息后公布的经济展望显示，大部分联储决策者预计，要让通胀回落到联储目标2%，明年需要通过加息让利率升至4.5%到5%的范围。</p><p>戴利周五评价，上述预测范围依然是“合理的”，并重申她在美国9月核心CPI增速超预期创新高后提出的预测，即明年利率有望达到4.5%至5%。戴利说，近期美联储的预测显示，明年利率将升至高达5%，然后暂停上升，她认为，这仍然“很好地表明了形势的发展方向。”</p><blockquote>“我们会看到，明年美国的GDP增速将低于趋势水平，货币紧缩会让政策利率明年达到4.5%至5%。”</blockquote><p>戴利解释说，美联储加息后维持利率水平是因为，必须让利率保持在紧缩的水平，那样可以充分恢复价格稳定。同时她指出，当利率接近既不刺激也不抑制经济活动的中性水平时，美联储就在进入货币紧缩的第二阶段，到这个阶段，联储应该“深思熟虑”并且“非常依赖数据”。</p><p>戴利认为，美联储有必要降低加息的幅度，不会一直加息75个基点，而是要减速，比如降到加息50个或者25个基点，那样更容易管理，不过，她没有说明应在何时那么做。</p><p>戴利说，“必须确保我们正在竭尽全力不过度紧缩，我们不能拉得太快，然后说我们已经大功告成”，因为俄乌战争、欧洲经济放缓和全球央行持续收紧货币等多种负面因素可能影响美国经济，并最终影响利率需要升到多高的水平。</p><p>戴利讲话前，本周五稍早，有“新美联储通讯社”之称的Timiraos发文称，美联储可能考虑暗示缩小12月加息幅度。</p><p>Timiraos指出，美联储内部目前存在分歧，一些人希望放慢加息步伐，另一些人则担心通胀没有下降。美联储目前希望在不引发市场大涨的情况下，缩减加息幅度。一个可能的解决方案是，美联储官员在12月批准加息50个基点，同时预测在2023年将利率提高到比上个月预测的稍高水平。</p><p>同在周五，美联储三把手、任内永久拥有FOMC会议投票权的纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在讲话中并未置评货币政策，而是强调劳动力市场供应紧张的形势，称“在当前的环境下，填补职位空缺有挑战性，很多（雇主）难以招到人手，特别是在入门级的工程、护理和制造业职位”。</p><p>也是在周五，明显偏鹰派倾向的美联储官员、今年拥有FOMC会议投票权的圣路易联储主席布拉德说，美国的劳动力市场“极为强劲”，这为美联储提供了为遏制通胀而加息的空间，能相对较快地让通胀回落到2%。</p></body></html>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储官员放“鸽声”：是时候开始考虑放慢加息\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-22 08:46 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3672976><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：李丹在消息灵通记者——有“新美联储通讯社”之称的Nick Timiraos放风后，果然有美联储官员发出放缓加息的鸽派呼声。美东时间21日周五，鸽派倾向的美联储官员、2024年拥有货币政策委员会FOMC会议投票权的旧金山联储主席戴利表示，美联储应该避免因为加息太激进而让美国经济陷入“主动低迷”，现在是时候开始谈论放慢加息的速度了。戴利说：“我们可能自己觉得要再加（息）75个基点，市场肯定已经...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3672976\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3672976","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1193170163","content_text":"作者：李丹在消息灵通记者——有“新美联储通讯社”之称的Nick Timiraos放风后，果然有美联储官员发出放缓加息的鸽派呼声。美东时间21日周五，鸽派倾向的美联储官员、2024年拥有货币政策委员会FOMC会议投票权的旧金山联储主席戴利表示，美联储应该避免因为加息太激进而让美国经济陷入“主动低迷”，现在是时候开始谈论放慢加息的速度了。戴利说：“我们可能自己觉得要再加（息）75个基点，市场肯定已经这么定价。可是，我真的建议大家，不要认为永远都是（加）75（个基点）。”9月美联储宣布加息后公布的经济展望显示，大部分联储决策者预计，要让通胀回落到联储目标2%，明年需要通过加息让利率升至4.5%到5%的范围。戴利周五评价，上述预测范围依然是“合理的”，并重申她在美国9月核心CPI增速超预期创新高后提出的预测，即明年利率有望达到4.5%至5%。戴利说，近期美联储的预测显示，明年利率将升至高达5%，然后暂停上升，她认为，这仍然“很好地表明了形势的发展方向。”“我们会看到，明年美国的GDP增速将低于趋势水平，货币紧缩会让政策利率明年达到4.5%至5%。”戴利解释说，美联储加息后维持利率水平是因为，必须让利率保持在紧缩的水平，那样可以充分恢复价格稳定。同时她指出，当利率接近既不刺激也不抑制经济活动的中性水平时，美联储就在进入货币紧缩的第二阶段，到这个阶段，联储应该“深思熟虑”并且“非常依赖数据”。戴利认为，美联储有必要降低加息的幅度，不会一直加息75个基点，而是要减速，比如降到加息50个或者25个基点，那样更容易管理，不过，她没有说明应在何时那么做。戴利说，“必须确保我们正在竭尽全力不过度紧缩，我们不能拉得太快，然后说我们已经大功告成”，因为俄乌战争、欧洲经济放缓和全球央行持续收紧货币等多种负面因素可能影响美国经济，并最终影响利率需要升到多高的水平。戴利讲话前，本周五稍早，有“新美联储通讯社”之称的Timiraos发文称，美联储可能考虑暗示缩小12月加息幅度。Timiraos指出，美联储内部目前存在分歧，一些人希望放慢加息步伐，另一些人则担心通胀没有下降。美联储目前希望在不引发市场大涨的情况下，缩减加息幅度。一个可能的解决方案是，美联储官员在12月批准加息50个基点，同时预测在2023年将利率提高到比上个月预测的稍高水平。同在周五，美联储三把手、任内永久拥有FOMC会议投票权的纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在讲话中并未置评货币政策，而是强调劳动力市场供应紧张的形势，称“在当前的环境下，填补职位空缺有挑战性，很多（雇主）难以招到人手，特别是在入门级的工程、护理和制造业职位”。也是在周五，明显偏鹰派倾向的美联储官员、今年拥有FOMC会议投票权的圣路易联储主席布拉德说，美国的劳动力市场“极为强劲”，这为美联储提供了为遏制通胀而加息的空间，能相对较快地让通胀回落到2%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997763227,"gmtCreate":1661858150472,"gmtModify":1676536591551,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just try.","listText":"Just try.","text":"Just try.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997763227","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048300283,"gmtCreate":1656132621842,"gmtModify":1676535774639,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048300283","repostId":"1114236043","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114236043","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1656040769,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114236043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-24 11:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国衰退，大宗商品就完了吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114236043","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"有分析表示，不论美国经济是否衰退，现在都不是卖出大宗商品的时候。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>有分析表示，不论美国经济是否衰退，现在都不是卖出大宗商品的时候。</blockquote><p>随着美联储持续激进地加息，市场对美国经济会陷入衰退的担忧情绪也在升温。</p><p>历史经验表明，通胀大幅下降往往会让经济增长付出沉重的代价。华尔街见闻提及，近期不仅美股惨遭抛售，大宗商品也大幅回落。</p><p>尽管能源股和相关的大宗商品板块持续下跌，但是有分析指出，无论美国是否会陷入经济衰退，对大宗商品的长期前景仍然表示看好。</p><p><b>大宗商品近期为何回落？</b></p><p>目前来看，从石油到小麦，从天然气到铜，大宗商品普遍正在遭遇抛售。</p><p>有分析认为，美联储此前大幅加息引发市场剧烈反应，经济衰退的担忧加剧，对大宗商品形成强利空影响，因此近期大宗商品走势正在走经济衰退逻辑，整体表现偏弱。</p><p>然而彭博的分析师西蒙·怀特却认为，<b>近期大宗商品下跌的部分原因也有可能是市场惯有的获利了结。</b></p><p>他指出，过去两年，大宗商品和相关股票都取得了亮眼表现，基本上没有受到今年市场动荡的影响。</p><p>当然，怀特也承认，美国经济增长放缓是事实，对经济衰退的预期是近期大宗商品下跌的理由之一。</p><p>同时他也称：“值得注意的是，没有什么资产的价格会呈直线波动”。</p><p>怀特表示，短期来看，在未来2-3个月，<b>持续的获利了结和对经济衰退的担忧可能会使得大宗商品出现进一步下跌。</b></p><p>但是从另一方面来看，投资者也可以利用此番价格走低来补充现有的头寸，或者是考虑价外看涨期权。</p><p><b>现在不是卖出大宗商品的时候</b></p><p>怀特表示，如果市场认为经济衰退即将到来，那么抛售大宗商品的理由远没有那么充分，尤其是在通胀相当高的背景之下。</p><p>在他看来，首先，大宗商品不是股票，不会像股票那样在衰退开始前被抛售、在衰退期间触底、并在衰退结束前开始反弹。</p><p>怀特认为：<b>“相反，大宗商品一般会在进入衰退时走高，在衰退期间持平”。</b></p><p>但是如果衰退是由大宗商品价格上涨而引起的，走势将会有很大差异。在这种情况下，大宗商品一般会在衰退开始后才走高。</p><p>这是因为，最初的价格下跌实际上是为了缓解衰退，使得经济活动得以部分复苏，而这会使得大宗商品在经济下行期间走高。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb76abc4e0ceae669bb0499df1389dc4\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>因此，即便出现经济衰退，不论是否由大宗商品引起的，从历史上来看，将大宗商品或商品股票全部卖出是不合理的。怀特称：</p><blockquote><b>现在不是卖出大宗商品的时候。</b></blockquote><p><b>大宗商品整体牛市仍将持续？</b></p><p>怀特并不是唯一看好大宗商品的分析师。华尔街见闻此前文章提及，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>认为现在应该购买大宗商品，在高盛看来：</p><blockquote><b>即使核心通胀率回到更正常的水平，大宗商品也能产生回报。</b></blockquote><p>然而，由于对美国经济衰退的担忧不断升温，近期原油价格一直受到打击。</p><p>有分析称：“最近油价的急剧下跌似乎过分了”。还有人表示：“近期油价暴跌是戏剧性的，它被夸大了”。</p><p>值得注意的是，美国正面临着四十多年来最高水平的通胀，且大宗商品供给依然偏紧，能源危机和供应链危机也依然存在，这会使得大宗商品价格很难出现断崖式下跌。</p><p>分析人士指出，由于俄乌冲突持续，全球原油供给仍然相当短缺，而随着疫情封控解除，市场需求大涨，供求关系愈发吃紧，因此原油价格大概率会有一波反弹。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国衰退，大宗商品就完了吗？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国衰退，大宗商品就完了吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-06-24 11:19 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>有分析表示，不论美国经济是否衰退，现在都不是卖出大宗商品的时候。随着美联储持续激进地加息，市场对美国经济会陷入衰退的担忧情绪也在升温。历史经验表明，通胀大幅下降往往会让经济增长付出沉重的代价。华尔街见闻提及，近期不仅美股惨遭抛售，大宗商品也大幅回落。尽管能源股和相关的大宗商品板块持续下跌，但是有分析指出，无论美国是否会陷入经济衰退，对大宗商品的长期前景仍然表示看好。大宗商品近期为何回落？目前来看，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59173f284ebbaeca7a7533691a2e3051","relate_stocks":{"000979.SH":"大宗商品"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114236043","content_text":"有分析表示，不论美国经济是否衰退，现在都不是卖出大宗商品的时候。随着美联储持续激进地加息，市场对美国经济会陷入衰退的担忧情绪也在升温。历史经验表明，通胀大幅下降往往会让经济增长付出沉重的代价。华尔街见闻提及，近期不仅美股惨遭抛售，大宗商品也大幅回落。尽管能源股和相关的大宗商品板块持续下跌，但是有分析指出，无论美国是否会陷入经济衰退，对大宗商品的长期前景仍然表示看好。大宗商品近期为何回落？目前来看，从石油到小麦，从天然气到铜，大宗商品普遍正在遭遇抛售。有分析认为，美联储此前大幅加息引发市场剧烈反应，经济衰退的担忧加剧，对大宗商品形成强利空影响，因此近期大宗商品走势正在走经济衰退逻辑，整体表现偏弱。然而彭博的分析师西蒙·怀特却认为，近期大宗商品下跌的部分原因也有可能是市场惯有的获利了结。他指出，过去两年，大宗商品和相关股票都取得了亮眼表现，基本上没有受到今年市场动荡的影响。当然，怀特也承认，美国经济增长放缓是事实，对经济衰退的预期是近期大宗商品下跌的理由之一。同时他也称：“值得注意的是，没有什么资产的价格会呈直线波动”。怀特表示，短期来看，在未来2-3个月，持续的获利了结和对经济衰退的担忧可能会使得大宗商品出现进一步下跌。但是从另一方面来看，投资者也可以利用此番价格走低来补充现有的头寸，或者是考虑价外看涨期权。现在不是卖出大宗商品的时候怀特表示，如果市场认为经济衰退即将到来，那么抛售大宗商品的理由远没有那么充分，尤其是在通胀相当高的背景之下。在他看来，首先，大宗商品不是股票，不会像股票那样在衰退开始前被抛售、在衰退期间触底、并在衰退结束前开始反弹。怀特认为：“相反，大宗商品一般会在进入衰退时走高，在衰退期间持平”。但是如果衰退是由大宗商品价格上涨而引起的，走势将会有很大差异。在这种情况下，大宗商品一般会在衰退开始后才走高。这是因为，最初的价格下跌实际上是为了缓解衰退，使得经济活动得以部分复苏，而这会使得大宗商品在经济下行期间走高。因此，即便出现经济衰退，不论是否由大宗商品引起的，从历史上来看，将大宗商品或商品股票全部卖出是不合理的。怀特称：现在不是卖出大宗商品的时候。大宗商品整体牛市仍将持续？怀特并不是唯一看好大宗商品的分析师。华尔街见闻此前文章提及，高盛认为现在应该购买大宗商品，在高盛看来：即使核心通胀率回到更正常的水平，大宗商品也能产生回报。然而，由于对美国经济衰退的担忧不断升温，近期原油价格一直受到打击。有分析称：“最近油价的急剧下跌似乎过分了”。还有人表示：“近期油价暴跌是戏剧性的，它被夸大了”。值得注意的是，美国正面临着四十多年来最高水平的通胀，且大宗商品供给依然偏紧，能源危机和供应链危机也依然存在，这会使得大宗商品价格很难出现断崖式下跌。分析人士指出，由于俄乌冲突持续，全球原油供给仍然相当短缺，而随着疫情封控解除，市场需求大涨，供求关系愈发吃紧，因此原油价格大概率会有一波反弹。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9050187396,"gmtCreate":1654146830015,"gmtModify":1676535403079,"author":{"id":"3576321023701513","authorId":"3576321023701513","name":"神佛护佑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e570de638069b875adf243bba438b98a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576321023701513","authorIdStr":"3576321023701513"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9050187396","repostId":"2240474337","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2240474337","pubTimestamp":1654141233,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2240474337?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-02 11:40","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"如何对冲通胀？Foord：买入价格下跌时不会崩盘的大宗商品","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2240474337","media":"新浪财经","summary":"Foord资产管理公司投资组合经理Brian Arcese建议投资者投资大宗商品，以对冲通胀风险，但警告投资者不要将资金投入一旦大宗商品价格出现修正就会下跌的资产。　　Foord投资组合经理兼股票分析师Arcese表示：“我们持有以大宗商品为导向的股票，而且如果大宗商品价格回落，这些股票不一定会出现实质性调整。”　　作为这一策略的一部分，Arcese建议投资于“质量最高的矿商”。　　Arcese指出：“某些地区的大宗商品价格可能已经超出了它们自己的预期。”","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Foord资产管理公司投资组合经理Brian Arcese建议投资者投资大宗商品，以对冲通胀风险，但警告投资者不要将资金投入一旦大宗商品价格出现修正就会下跌的资产。</p><p>Foord投资组合经理兼股票分析师Arcese表示：“我们持有以大宗商品为导向的股票，而且如果大宗商品价格回落，这些股票不一定会出现实质性调整。”</p><p>作为这一策略的一部分，Arcese建议投资于“质量最高的矿商”。 他特别指出，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FCX\">麦克莫兰铜金</a>是“全球成本最低的铜生产商之一”。</p><p>Arcese指出：“某些地区的大宗商品价格可能已经超出了它们自己的预期。” 因此，这位投资组合经理透露，福特已开始削减一些大宗商品为主的投资。不过，他表示：“但我们仍然很愿意长期投资其中许多品牌。”</p><p>在其他个人推荐中，Arcese提到了FMC（FMC.US）、Nutrien （NTR.US）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAAS\">泛美白银</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WPM\">Wheaton Precious Metals</a>和Livent（LTHM.US）。</p><p>从整体经济形势来看，Arcese预计通货膨胀将从目前的水平缓和下来。 然而，他认为它将“显著高于过去15年的水平”。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如何对冲通胀？Foord：买入价格下跌时不会崩盘的大宗商品</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如何对冲通胀？Foord：买入价格下跌时不会崩盘的大宗商品\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-02 11:40 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggscyd/2022-06-02/doc-imizirau6153064.shtml><strong>新浪财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Foord资产管理公司投资组合经理Brian Arcese建议投资者投资大宗商品，以对冲通胀风险，但警告投资者不要将资金投入一旦大宗商品价格出现修正就会下跌的资产。Foord投资组合经理兼股票分析师Arcese表示：“我们持有以大宗商品为导向的股票，而且如果大宗商品价格回落，这些股票不一定会出现实质性调整。”作为这一策略的一部分，Arcese建议投资于“质量最高的矿商”。 他特别指出，麦克莫兰铜金...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggscyd/2022-06-02/doc-imizirau6153064.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfd599774cedc24c25471fdcbacd363e","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4015":"铜","BK4566":"资本集团","FCX":"麦克莫兰铜金","F":"福特汽车","BK4555":"新能源车"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggscyd/2022-06-02/doc-imizirau6153064.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2240474337","content_text":"Foord资产管理公司投资组合经理Brian Arcese建议投资者投资大宗商品，以对冲通胀风险，但警告投资者不要将资金投入一旦大宗商品价格出现修正就会下跌的资产。Foord投资组合经理兼股票分析师Arcese表示：“我们持有以大宗商品为导向的股票，而且如果大宗商品价格回落，这些股票不一定会出现实质性调整。”作为这一策略的一部分，Arcese建议投资于“质量最高的矿商”。 他特别指出，麦克莫兰铜金是“全球成本最低的铜生产商之一”。Arcese指出：“某些地区的大宗商品价格可能已经超出了它们自己的预期。” 因此，这位投资组合经理透露，福特已开始削减一些大宗商品为主的投资。不过，他表示：“但我们仍然很愿意长期投资其中许多品牌。”在其他个人推荐中，Arcese提到了FMC（FMC.US）、Nutrien （NTR.US）、泛美白银、Wheaton Precious Metals和Livent（LTHM.US）。从整体经济形势来看，Arcese预计通货膨胀将从目前的水平缓和下来。 然而，他认为它将“显著高于过去15年的水平”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}