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My Watchlist [88]: ORCL... Headed to 144.31? (BUY)

Hi everyone! Charting a new stock today: Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) ORCL’s weekly chart shows it in a traditional uptrend pattern with a series of higher highs and higher lows. It made a new ATH in the week of 18th March on lower volume than the bullish engulfing candle the week before, suggesting profit-taking was taking place rather than a significant topping cycle. The daily chart better reflects how ORCL is trading in a short-term ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. We are likely going to see a retest of prior resistance at 120.09 before a move higher, in what should be an S/R flip there before a move higher. Taking a swing low of 39.71 (COVID-19) and a swing high of 104.36 (prior ATHs before bear market), I note that we have the 1.618 Fib extension situated at
My Watchlist [88]: ORCL... Headed to 144.31? (BUY)

My Watchlist [87+89]: MARA... Marathon to 56.80 after hiccup to 13.70!

Hi everyone! Today let’s look at a cryptocurrency miner: Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: MARA) The stock broke below its ascending channel (which I was tracking previously). This means that a retest of the 13.70-14.07 area is likely in the coming days. I have drawn a green ascending trendline, based on the higher lows that we made last year from October onwards. A break below this green TL is suggestive of a move down to the next supports at 12.28 and 10.48. If we break below all 3 areas, then it is very likely that we have seen a notable shift in structure in MARA to the bearish side. It is only fair for miners to be discounted relative to underlying BTC. As I mentioned in my previous article on MARA, the halving event is a short-term headwind and a long-term tailwind. Investor
My Watchlist [87+89]: MARA... Marathon to 56.80 after hiccup to 13.70!

Swing Ideas [1]: F 14C (Expiry: 3rd May)

Hi everyone. I am going to start a series on swing trading, exclusively on this platform. I think this caters more to traders over investors. We’ll be looking at a trade setup on Ford (NYSE: F) today: It is currently trading in a multi-day falling wedge pattern on the daily. Let’s zoom in and see the trend on the lower timeframes, since the big picture tells me that F is consolidating over 13.03 support. On the 2h timeframe, notice divergences forming on F. There’s a hidden bullish divergence, that is swiftly followed by a regular bullish divergence. This validates the falling wedge lower trendline - it is now likely we will see a push back up towards 13.60s over the next few sessions. Whether we break out or not in the same session is up for debate. But given that the range is fast tig
Swing Ideas [1]: F 14C (Expiry: 3rd May)

My Watchlist [86]: SE... Headed to 67.08?

*TA as of 3/4/24 Hi everyone! Today I’ll be covering a stock close to home: Sea Limited (NYSE: SE) SE was a pandemic darling with bags of promise as the stock received upgrade after upgrade. However, as the world returned to normalcy, it fell out of favour with investors. The breaking point was the time it broke its long-term trendline in May’22, as it continued to trend lower, to as low as 35 a share. From the weekly chart, it is apparent that it was trading in a falling wedge reversal pattern with lower highs and lower lows, albeit with a tightening range. It hit an inflexion point when it formed a bullish divergence pattern on the weekly, which has cumulated in a breakout from the rising wedge. On the daily chart, we can see that bearish divergence marked a short-term top, as the stoc
My Watchlist [86]: SE... Headed to 67.08?

My Watchlist [85]: LYFT... Headed to 22.46?

Hi everyone! I’ll be updating my TA on one of my ideas. Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ: LYFT) In my previous newsletter, I talked about how LYFT was likely to make a pullback to 13.76, which would prove to be a significant buying opportunity. Evidently, we did not get the pullback. Therefore, the next order of business was to look for an overhead resistance and go long on a retest of support. I note that the 18.36 level checks these boxes. This level has been sticky for the past 3 years, and we duly retested it early in the session before closing above this level. I also note that there has been a trend markup, with steeper higher lows being made (green ascending trendline). The stock is now trading in a smaller ascending channel pattern. Interestingly enough, LYFT is in the midst of forming another
My Watchlist [85]: LYFT... Headed to 22.46?

My Watchlist [84]: PLTR... Pullback to 18.22? (SELL)

Hi everyone! Today I’ll be updating my TA for another retail darling: Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) I nailed the end target for this move, as PLTR strongly rejected the 27.11 level (refer to Watchlist [36]). The stock is now in danger of forming a larger weekly bearish divergence pattern that could see a deeper pullback. I have marked out 3 major levels that were prior resistances, namely 21.85, 20.24 and 18.22. All 3 levels were strong support levels in 2021, but soon turned into overhead resistances between 2022-2023. Interestingly enough, all 3 levels also happen to rest near the 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% Fib retracements respectively, given a swing high of 27.50 and a swing low of 15.66. The potential saving grace for PLTR? The possibility of a third leg of hidden bullish diverge
My Watchlist [84]: PLTR... Pullback to 18.22? (SELL)

My Watchlist [83]: SPY... Bull Trap to 446.09? (SELL)

Hi everyone! Today I’ll be updating my TA on an ETF known to all: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ARCA: SPY) SPY has continued to form a bearish divergence, which has since extended from 3 to… 6 legs! This is unlike anything that has ever formed on SPY before. However, in most cases, bearish divergences on ETFs tracking the market indices play out. This suggests that we might be looking at a multi-month pullback instead of a shallow correction. The latest development on SPY is that it has since broken out of its rising wedge, while testing the 1.618 Fib extension at 522.17 which I talked about in my previous newsletter on SPY. While we are currently trading over this level, SPY continues to reject the rising wedge and is unable to get back into it. This means that the ideal outcome for bears
My Watchlist [83]: SPY... Bull Trap to 446.09? (SELL)

My Watchlist [82]: CVNA... Pulling Back to 57.19? (SELL)

*TA as of 29/3/24 Hi everyone! I’ll be updating my TA on a stock I deemed to be “extremely explosive to the upside” previously: Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA) Since the time I last posted on CVNA at the end of January, it has seen a 100+% gain to hit new 52-week highs at 94.04. However, I have reason to believe that the move up is weakening. Bearish divergence has begun to show up on the weekly chart, and the move up has been on declining volume. A lack of participation at and above the 23.6% Fib extension at 91.64 (assuming swing low of 3.55, which is the last major low and a swing high of 376.83, which is the ATH) suggests that there will be a pullback to retest supports further down. We also closed with a potential shooting star on the weekly, which is cause for concern - the last shooting s
My Watchlist [82]: CVNA... Pulling Back to 57.19? (SELL)

My Watchlist [81]: SOUN... Sound Up to 11.73?

Hi everyone! Today I’ll look at one of the AI darlings of 2024: SoundHound AI, Inc. (NASDAQ: SOUN) From the weekly chart alone, SOUN is trading in a rounding bottom pattern with a key pivot at 14.08. Over the past few months, it has been making a consistent series of higher highs and higher lows. Significant volume spikes have been noted on green candles, suggesting bulls are firmly in control On the daily chart, we can see SOUN trading in a near-term ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. I note that the stock has formed a bearish divergence on RSI, which has seen a move back to the support trendline. Interestingly enough, the stock appears to be putting in a third leg of hidden bullish divergence in the meantime. Divergence alone does not confirm anything, so we need to l
My Watchlist [81]: SOUN... Sound Up to 11.73?

My Watchlist [80]: TSM... Cruising towards 174.08?

Hi everyone! I’ll be looking at another semiconductor stock: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) TSM is forming higher highs and higher lows. It recently made new ATHs above 145 but has since come back below this level. I have identified 141.99 as a key pivot to reclaim for the next leg to occur. This was where prior ATHs rejected, and also a recent rejection zone (rejected even during Friday’s session). However, hidden bullish divergence has started to form on the weekly, which is a good sign for bulls. It is also trading in an ascending broadening wedge expansion pattern, similar to other semiconductor stocks such as AMD and MRVL. On the daily chart, the expansion pattern is more visible. I note that it is forming a hidden bullish divergence on the daily as well
My Watchlist [80]: TSM... Cruising towards 174.08?

My Watchlist [79]: AMD... Headed to 265.10?

Hi everyone! Today I’ll be covering another semiconductor company: Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) AMD is making a series of higher highs and higher lows. No bearish divergence has shown up on the chart as of yet, which suggests the general trend is still to the upside. It has entered a bear market with > 20% drawdown in the span of 2 weeks, albeit slightly under its support trendline. Hidden bullish divergence has formed on the weekly for the first time, which could be indicative of a bounce or a leg higher. However, the absence of a bearish divergence suggests the latter is more likely to occur. On the daily chart, I can see an ascending broadening wedge expansion pattern here. AMD has slightly undercut its trendline dating back to October 2023. However, it is merely retes
My Watchlist [79]: AMD... Headed to 265.10?

My Watchlist [78]: MRVL... Marvellous towards 91.18?

*TA as of 17/3/24 Hi everyone! Today I’ll be covering one of the other chipmakers: Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRVL) MRVL has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows (black trendline) since 2016. The trend has accelerated 3 times so far - 2020 (blue trendline), 2023 (pink trendline) and 2024 (purple trendline). It is currently trading in an ascending broadening wedge expansion pattern with higher highs and lows (purple trendlines). RSI is catching my attention with a possible hidden bullish divergence forming for the first time here, but more on that later. Moreover, notice how we broke above but rejected the 78.6% extension at 80.99 - this price action is similar to the price action at the 61.8% extension at 70.89. On the daily chart, we can see the expansion pattern
My Watchlist [78]: MRVL... Marvellous towards 91.18?

My Watchlist [77]: AI... Explosive Move to 55.58 Next?

*TA as of 12/3/24 Hi everyone! Today I’ll be updating my TA on an AI company (and Jensen Huang’s favourite word), which I last charted several months ago: C3.ai, Inc. (NYSE: AI) A look at the weekly chart shows that AI was previously trading in a cup and handle pattern, with an 8-month handle from Jun’23 to Feb’24. It recently broke out from its handle (pink trendlines) and backtested the breakout. Solely based on the technical pattern, we should minimally see a move back towards the top of the cup at 44.90 before pushing towards new highs. The next big resistance sits at around 55.58, hence my target price. A small bullish divergence was also formed when we retested the 23.61 area to form a “W” pattern. On the daily chart, I note that AI might be trading in a near-term ascending broaden
My Watchlist [77]: AI... Explosive Move to 55.58 Next?

My Watchlist [76]: F... Pressing It Sends It to 31.37?

*TA as of 11/3/24 Hi everyone, today I’ll be updating my TA for a legacy automaker which I last covered a long time ago: Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) F is trading in a long-term bullish rounding bottom setup - notice how “perfect” the bottoms have been thus far. Just by looking at the monthly setup, it is pretty evident where the long-term target is situated - namely the 31.37 imbalance from 2001! Moreover, notice the falling wedge (orange trendlines) setup back into the rounding bottom support, which we’ll cover in greater detail below. On the weekly chart, we can see that F has been trading in a falling wedge consolidation pattern since… January 2022! It has been more than 2 years of mindless chop. However, in January this year, F broke out of the falling wedge on increased volume and
My Watchlist [76]: F... Pressing It Sends It to 31.37?

My Watchlist [75]: WBA... Headed to 29.85?

*TA as of 11/3/24 Hi everyone, today I’ll be updating my TA for a pharmacy store chain: Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (NASDAQ: WBA) *I last charted WBA a long time ago. Consider this newsletter the latest forecast on WBA’s price action in the coming months. WBA is trading in a large falling wedge pattern, forming lower highs and (marginally lower) lows over the past 20 years. The most notable sign of reversal has appeared with the formation of a bullish divergence on the monthly chart. Moreover, the stock has corrected more than 78.6% from highs. On the weekly chart, I noticed a possible ascending broadening wedge expansion pattern forming at lows. Weekly also hit 22.70 in September 2023, which has been a reliable reversal level since 1968. On the daily chart, we can see the expansion
My Watchlist [75]: WBA... Headed to 29.85?

My Watchlist [74]: AFRM... Headed to 83.57?

*TA as of 7/3/24 Hi everyone! I’ll be looking at another fintech company in this post: Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: AFRM) AFRM is trading in a series of higher highs and higher lows since May 2023. It was trading in an ascending channel (black) before breaking out and filling the 51.49 imbalance from March 2022. It is now trading in a consolidation pattern, namely a descending channel (red) and forming a series of lower highs and lows. Now, let’s take a closer look at the descending channel. The stock is currently basing at the 36.12 support where it formed an imbalance in December last year. It has formed a small bullish divergence here, which is indicative of a move higher in the short-term. From the looks of it, we could now be moving towards the 47.44 imbalance that we formed last
My Watchlist [74]: AFRM... Headed to 83.57?

My Watchlist [73]: SOFI... Bear Trap to 13.86?

*TA as of 7/3/24 Hi everyone, today I’ll be updating my TA on a fintech company: SoFi Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: SOFI) SOFI has been constrained by a long-term resistance trendline (purple) dating back to just after it IPO’ed in 2021. This line has held firm and prevented bulls from taking it higher in the shorter term. Notice how SOFI’s RSI continues to flash a near-term consolidation pattern with lower highs and higher lows. On Monday, the stock properly rejected the 9.03 level around the resistance trendline and pushed lower. On Tuesday, the company announced a convertible note offering which raised concerns about dilution. However, the offering should ultimately drive long-term value as the company would be able to retire debt and also raise new debt at lower interest rates. Today’s
My Watchlist [73]: SOFI... Bear Trap to 13.86?

My Watchlist [72]: MRNA... Headed to 128.98?

Hi everyone! Let’s look at another biotech company: *TA as of 4/3/24 Moderna, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRNA) *I have charted MRNA a long time ago. Consider this newsletter the latest forecast on MRNA’s price action in the coming months. On the weekly chart, there are several things to unpack. Firstly, MRNA is making a series of long-term higher lows (blue ascending trendline). It is trading in a potential expanding triangle pattern (purple trendlines). It has previously been bounded by lower highs, with a resistance trendline that formed over the past 2 years (red descending trendline) However, it has since broken out of this trendline, and is now trading in a shorter-term ascending channel from its higher low (green trendline). Note the large hidden bullish divergence that has formed over this ent
My Watchlist [72]: MRNA... Headed to 128.98?

My Watchlist [71]: PG... Headed to 220.90?

Hi everyone! Today I’ll be looking at a consumer goods company: Proctor & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) On the weekly chart, note that the stock has generally been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a healthy uptrend is in place. The stock has recently been consolidating in what appears to be a symmetrical triangle pattern before breaking out of it over the past month or so. Referencing the pre-COVID high of 128.09 as the swing high and the 2018 low of 70.73 as the swing low, I note that PG hit its 1.618 Fib extension at 163.54 in 2021, before undergoing a several-year-long correction pattern. A breakout of the symmetrical triangle pattern suggests a minimum retest of prior ATHs at 165.35 (also note they overcut the 1.618 Fib extension, which is a common occurren
My Watchlist [71]: PG... Headed to 220.90?

My Watchlist [70]: SBUX... Gold Card to 108.12?

Hi everyone! Today we’ll look at a coffeehouse chain that everyone knows: Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) SBUX has been holding this pink trendline since the GFC in 2008, and forming a series of higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the stock has been consolidating in what appears to be a common occurrence in recent times - a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern with lower highs and higher lows. The stock moved from 70.35 to 115.48 from May 2022 to May 2023, forming a lower high in the wider pattern. It has since retraced about 50% of its move up, and is currently consolidating around the 92-93 area. Something incredibly interesting in SBUX’s chart is that you can see smaller consolidations within a larger consolidation pattern: Note the main consolidation (red), the medium
My Watchlist [70]: SBUX... Gold Card to 108.12?

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