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TBITrades
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My Watchlist [55]: SPY... to 445 soon!

Hi everyone! Today, we’ll look at an ETF that everybody knows: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ARCA: SPY) Just a quick overview of where we are right now - we were trading in a large descending channel (blue trendlines), that we broke out of recently. Well… I’m pretty sure you know what comes next. Most times, stocks come back to test their breakouts. An ETF, which is a basket of stocks, is no exception to this. Notice how SPY is forming a three-legged bearish divergence with an overall decrease in volume over time. This is indicative of (gradual exhaustion) and an imminent trend change for the short term. What’s also interesting is that SPY failed to make a higher high during Friday’s session. This is indicative of short-term exhaustion and downside. A channel could most likely see a bounce
My Watchlist [55]: SPY... to 445 soon!
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2023-12-17

My Watchlist [27]: 17/12/23

Hi everyone, today I’ll look at one of the pandemic darlings: Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZM) A look at the weekly chart shows that ZM is trading in a potential falling wedge reversal pattern, having declined from the pandemic highs of $500+. 2 weeks ago, the stock broke out of this pattern, and has spent the past week consolidating above this wedge, with substantial volume coming in above the breakout as it backtested the upper resistance trendline from above (resistance-to-support flip). More importantly, I note that bullish divergence that has been forming, which suggests that a reversal has been brewing for several months. I have nothing much to add for this setup. Even though the effects of the pandemic have largely subsided, there is still a place for ZM in the teleconf
My Watchlist [27]: 17/12/23

My Watchlist [50]: SNAP (dtd 16/2/24)

Hi everyone! Let’s analyse a retail darling: Snap Inc. (NYSE: SNAP) SNAP was in the process of filling the 2022 ER gap between 14.57-21.71. A strong ER and guidance would have led to a significant spike up. However, reported figures fell short of estimates, and it dumped post-ER. Interestingly enough, it invalidated the bullish descending channel it was trading in and broke down. However, it has since found support at the green ascending trendline, forming a potential higher low and hidden bullish divergence in the process. It has also retraced between 61.8% and 78.6% of the move up from 8.28 lows. Here’s a closer look at the daily chart. Note the small candle spread yesterday but higher than normal volume. It is indicative of accumulation at current levels. You can also see the failed b
My Watchlist [50]: SNAP (dtd 16/2/24)

My Watchlist [51]: DAL (dtd 16/2/24)

Hi everyone! Today I’ll be covering an American airline: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE: DAL) DAL has been forming a series of higher lows and higher highs. However, recently, it has been basing in a consolidation pattern that has seen lower highs (bounded by the red resistance trendline) and higher lows (bounded by the green support trendline). More recently, the stock has broken out of consolidation: The “breakout and backtest” pattern was observed, with a smaller symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern playing out with lower highs and higher lows. RSI has been following as well with lower highs and higher lows. A thrust above the consolidation pattern will see the gaps at 40.76-41.48 and 46.79-47.33 filled, before eventually pushing towards the 51.82 high. Given that we’re entering a
My Watchlist [51]: DAL (dtd 16/2/24)
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2023-03-12

Technical Analysis of AAPL(March): Interesting Times Ahead

Hi everyone! I did some thorough charting for Apple (AAPL) the past few days, and I’m now ready to share my TA with you guys. Apple is a company that is virtually known by everybody, regardless of how old you are. Bears have been trying to short Apple as it is one of the last “giants” that is still holding strong. That being said, I think shorting it several months out is going to pay off in due course. Firstly, let’s take a look at AAPL’s daily chart: On the daily chart, you can see that the stock is trading in a wide descending channel (upper descending trendline, lower descending trendline). If you look closely, you can also see that the stock is trading in a secondary falling wedge pattern (the white diagonal line in the middle and the lower descending trendline). The slope of the
Technical Analysis of AAPL(March): Interesting Times Ahead

My Watchlist [52]: W (dtd 16/2/24)

Hi everyone! Today we’ll look at a stock that I’ve covered previously: Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) *This thesis differs from my previous newsletters on W. Consider this my most updated outlook on W for the coming months. The weekly chart of W shows a consolidation symmetrical triangle pattern with lower highs and higher lows. This is more pronounced and less speculative than the inverse head and shoulder pattern that I had looked at a few weeks ago. A small hidden bullish divergence is forming, which is indicative of an impulsive move higher. RSI is largely following the pattern as well with lower highs and higher lows. Note that volume is decreasing but buyers are steadily accumulating on the way down. On the daily chart, the hidden bullish divergence is a lot more pronounced. Notice the lop
My Watchlist [52]: W (dtd 16/2/24)
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2023-12-16

My Watchlist [25]: 16/12/23

Hi everyone! Today, we’ll look at one of Warren Buffett’s favourite stocks: Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) On the weekly chart, we can see that the stock is forming higher highs and higher lows. The higher lows are marked by the green trendline on the chart. The stock is currently trading in a bull flag pattern. It has been consolidating at the 55.51 level, which has acted as support on previous occasions. Notably, Warren Buffett has been buying around 55-56, which is a sign that “Big Money” is actively accumulating this name. Note that there is also a hidden bullish divergence forming with RSI forming lower lows, while the stock continues to make higher lows and seeing a retest of the ascending green trendline. Interestingly enough, the daily chart shows a small regular bullish diver
My Watchlist [25]: 16/12/23

My Watchlist [80]: TSM... Cruising towards 174.08?

Hi everyone! I’ll be looking at another semiconductor stock: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) TSM is forming higher highs and higher lows. It recently made new ATHs above 145 but has since come back below this level. I have identified 141.99 as a key pivot to reclaim for the next leg to occur. This was where prior ATHs rejected, and also a recent rejection zone (rejected even during Friday’s session). However, hidden bullish divergence has started to form on the weekly, which is a good sign for bulls. It is also trading in an ascending broadening wedge expansion pattern, similar to other semiconductor stocks such as AMD and MRVL. On the daily chart, the expansion pattern is more visible. I note that it is forming a hidden bullish divergence on the daily as well
My Watchlist [80]: TSM... Cruising towards 174.08?
avatarTBITrades
2023-07-02

Intel (INTC) [2] - How It's Going.

Stance: BUY, Price Target: 70 (TA as of 2/7/2023) Fundamentally, there is no change to my stance on INTC. The charts look primed for further upside, and anyone not buying at these levels will chase much higher up. Refer to my initial coverage here: https://ttm.financial/post/184635010363424 Let’s look at the monthly chart: There are some key things worth noting about the monthly chart, namely: We continue to hold the 29.30 yearly Fibonacci extension as support for the third month in a row, which should turn it into a much stronger support for a push higher We closed over both the 200 (33.17) and 225 MAs (31.99) for the first time in 10 months - many a times these longer-term MAs act as very strong supports in stable trends We closed the month with a MACD bullish crossover for the first
Intel (INTC) [2] - How It's Going.
avatarTBITrades
2022-12-21
So, here's my thoughts on the latest news about Elon stepping down as CEO only after finding a replacement... This might be a good decision in the long run. Elon is already the owner of Twitter anyways, and what he says will play a pivotal role in the future direction of Twitter. What Elon could do is provide the "big picture" framework, while his replacement will do the work of executing his vision and connecting with the employees.  By entrusting the company to a CEO who understands Elon's demands and working style, he can also better focus on improving the misguided perception that he is "distracted" from his work at the multiple companies under his purview, namely $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , SpaceX, Neuralink and The Bor
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2022-12-29

XOM: Trade Update 29/12/22

I am leaning BEARISH on $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$  at these levels.  The daily chart above shows that the stock is trading in a bearish rising wedge pattern on the daily. This pattern is characterised by higher highs and higher lows and rising trend lines that eventually converge, usually cumulating in a breakdown below the wedge. In the current bear market, we have seen rising wedges in the middle of downtrends on major ETFs such as $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ . The stock has a neutral 14-day RSI of 51.98 (between 30 and 70) and is currently trading above the middle Bollinger Band.  So, how do we trade this? Based on how we have opened in pre-market with a gap do
XOM: Trade Update 29/12/22
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2023-02-12

The Rally ISN'T Over.

The stock market rally that has taken retail bears by surprise is NOT over yet. Here's why I think that is the case: Consider SPY's daily chart. As you can see, since we made a short-term capitulation style bottom at 348, we have been trading in a rising wedge pattern that is reminiscent of previous bear markets. We have seen higher highs and higher lows in the pattern. It is interesting to note that since the start of this year, we have been trading in a secondary ascending channel within the broader wedge pattern. Bullish divergence has continued to form after Friday's trading session. While we made higher lows on the daily, the 14-day RSI indicator was making lower lows. This suggests that rally continuation is inbound.  By the end of this week, I am expecting the m
The Rally ISN'T Over.
avatarTBITrades
2023-02-25

What's Up with Nvidia?

Hi everyone! I’m here to give another update on everybody’s favourite semiconductor stock - Nvidia! To make my charts simpler and less cluttered, I have re-charted NVDA from scratch! It is very different from what I had envisioned previously. Here’s a look at Nvidia’s daily chart: Based on the daily chart, we can see that the stock is trading in a large broadening wedge pattern. Based on what I can see from the bearish divergences (red lines), it suggests that a big leg down could be coming on NVDA. We once again have higher highs based on price action but higher lows based on the 14-day RSI. With yesterday’s closing candle showing a curl of the RSI, I think we have created a third lower high on the RSI while making a third higher high in the stock price. This is indicative of a leg dow
What's Up with Nvidia?

My Watchlist [68]: RUN... Headed back to 22.23?

*TA as of 28/2/24 Hi everyone! I’ll be updating my TA on a solar provider today: Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ: RUN) RUN was previously trading in a falling wedge consolidation pattern (maroon trendlines) after putting in a blow off top. It subsequently broke out of this pattern after basing at COVID lows at the 7-8 area. Recently, we saw a breakout of the falling wedge that suggests a change in trend. RUN is currently trading in a shorter-term symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern that is making lower highs and higher lows. Hidden bullish divergence has been forming at lows, and the stock has retraced more than 61.8% of its move from 8.43 to 20.68. In the near-term, I can see a move towards the 15.04-15.21 gap. A breakout of the symmetrical triangle pattern should see a move towards 17.16, a
My Watchlist [68]: RUN... Headed back to 22.23?
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2022-12-25

Trade Idea: SPY

I am BULLISH on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ for now. Here's a look at its daily chart: The stock closed above its 5DMA, which is a level it lost after the November CPI print was released a few days ago. This suggests a near-term trend reversal is inbound. Furthermore, the ETF appears to be forming a double bottom "W" setup around the high 370s-low 380s level, which suggests that a retest of 400s might be coming in the coming days and weeks.  Moreover, the ETF is once again trading at the lower Bollinger Band, which suggests that at some point we will get a trend reversal to the middle BB (something like mean reversion).  To add to that, based on historical data, the final trading week of the year tends to bring
Trade Idea: SPY
avatarTBITrades
2022-12-26

Order Types: Part 4

Here's some additional pointers when you place orders using the Tiger mobile application or on desktop! You might also notice some additional parameters to input, such as the time-in-force, and whether to fill outside RTH. I will now break down both concepts briefly. Time-in-force normally consists of Day and Good-till-Cancelled (GTC). For Day orders, they will expire at the end of the the trading day, or the end of after hours trading, depending on whether your broker has after hours trading enabled. As for GTC orders, they will only expire when you cancel them manually, or when a certain period of time has elapsed, after which the system will automatically cancel your order regardless of the status of order fulfilment. Normally, GTC orders could remain in place for stocks with low liquid
Order Types: Part 4
avatarTBITrades
2022-12-22
Fundamental investing is dying... Or is it? Why I say this is because human participants no longer make up most of the participants in the stock market. In fact, over 80-85% of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ volume comes from algorithms, most of them high frequency trading algorithms. Now, understanding technical analysis is more important than ever. These algorithms are programmed to be net delta neutral. With the market having same day expiry options all days of the week, intraday volatility is determined by the positioning of these algorithms and how they achieve net delta neutrality. In many cases, we have seen that undervalued companies are depressed far below their fair value. However, the stock made no attempt to increase to the fair val
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2023-03-07

Understanding SPY: Bull vs Bear Case

Hi everyone! In this article, I will be outlining the bull and bear cases on SPY for the coming few days and weeks. Firstly, let’s take a look at the “BULL” case: The bull case suggests that the stock market has essentially bottomed at 348. We are currently moving upwards and creating higher highs and higher lows in a rising wedge pattern. This was partly the reason why we had a very strong pivot level at the 392.49 level marked out on my chart. It was a “convergence” level, where SPY broke out of its falling wedge pattern while bouncing off the aforementioned level. Additionally, we formed the inverse head and shoulders pattern on SPY’s daily chart, which cumulated in a backtest of the 200DMA around 392-393. This is a textbook inverse head and shoulders pattern with a left inverse shoul
Understanding SPY: Bull vs Bear Case
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2023-01-02

MMAT: Trade Update 2/1/23

I am revising my stance to NEUTRAL from the previous stance of bearish for $Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$  . Previously, I was bearish on the stock because it broke 2 of the support levels holding it up in its most recent run - the 200DMA and then the 100DMA.  However, in recent days, the stock has managed to reclaim several important DMAs, namely the 100DMA as well as the microterm 5DMA and 10DMA. This suggests that bullish momentum is coming into the stock, having initially found support at the charged Fibonacci level of 0.9946. I have plotted the Fibonacci retracement levels by using the swing low of 0.63 and the swing high of 2.34 from its most recent run up and they are reflected in the daily chart above. The stock's RSI has been
MMAT: Trade Update 2/1/23
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2022-12-25

NVDA: Trade Update 25/12/22

I am BULLISH on $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ at these levels for the time being. Here's a look at the daily chart of the stock: The stock closed above its 50DMA and 100DMA, which are incidentally above the gap it formed from November. The stock also painted a doji candle on the daily, which suggests indecision on the part of sellers and buyers. It is also an indicator of a potential reversal in the near-term trend. I now expect the stock to retest its near-term 5DMA at 159, which represents a 7-point upside from current levels.  Here's a look at the Bollinger Bands on the stock: The stock is on the lower Bollinger Band, which supports the likelihood of a bounce at these levels. Contracting BBs also suggest a strong directional move is
NVDA: Trade Update 25/12/22

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