TBI
TBI
https://thetbi.substack.com/
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avatarTBI
2024-02-19

My Watchlist [55]: SPY... to 445 soon!

Hi everyone! Today, we’ll look at an ETF that everybody knows: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ARCA: SPY) Just a quick overview of where we are right now - we were trading in a large descending channel (blue trendlines), that we broke out of recently. Well… I’m pretty sure you know what comes next. Most times, stocks come back to test their breakouts. An ETF, which is a basket of stocks, is no exception to this. Notice how SPY is forming a three-legged bearish divergence with an overall decrease in volume over time. This is indicative of (gradual exhaustion) and an imminent trend change for the short term. What’s also interesting is that SPY failed to make a higher high during Friday’s session. This is indicative of short-term exhaustion and downside. A channel could most likely see a bounce a
My Watchlist [55]: SPY... to 445 soon!
avatarTBI
2023-12-17

My Watchlist [27]: 17/12/23

Hi everyone, today I’ll look at one of the pandemic darlings: Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZM) A look at the weekly chart shows that ZM is trading in a potential falling wedge reversal pattern, having declined from the pandemic highs of $500+. 2 weeks ago, the stock broke out of this pattern, and has spent the past week consolidating above this wedge, with substantial volume coming in above the breakout as it backtested the upper resistance trendline from above (resistance-to-support flip). More importantly, I note that bullish divergence that has been forming, which suggests that a reversal has been brewing for several months. I have nothing much to add for this setup. Even though the effects of the pandemic have largely subsided, there is still a place for ZM in the teleconfe
My Watchlist [27]: 17/12/23
avatarTBI
2024-02-16

My Watchlist [50]: SNAP (dtd 16/2/24)

Hi everyone! Let’s analyse a retail darling: Snap Inc. (NYSE: SNAP) SNAP was in the process of filling the 2022 ER gap between 14.57-21.71. A strong ER and guidance would have led to a significant spike up. However, reported figures fell short of estimates, and it dumped post-ER. Interestingly enough, it invalidated the bullish descending channel it was trading in and broke down. However, it has since found support at the green ascending trendline, forming a potential higher low and hidden bullish divergence in the process. It has also retraced between 61.8% and 78.6% of the move up from 8.28 lows. Here’s a closer look at the daily chart. Note the small candle spread yesterday but higher than normal volume. It is indicative of accumulation at current levels. You can also see the failed bre
My Watchlist [50]: SNAP (dtd 16/2/24)
avatarTBI
2024-08-27
$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$  sold off into trendline support. I would be apprehensive about shorting off this level after it filled the 95 gap. Yesterday's daily candle closed with the largest volume in years, and we are retesting a prior resistance level from above, suggesting a potential S/R flip is taking place.  I'm expecting some volatility ahead as the stock consolidates around this level, but ultimately think that it will resume its uptrend in the coming weeks.  Am positioned for the reversion back to the upside, considering the weight of this selloff.$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ 
avatarTBI
2024-02-16

My Watchlist [51]: DAL (dtd 16/2/24)

Hi everyone! Today I’ll be covering an American airline: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE: DAL) DAL has been forming a series of higher lows and higher highs. However, recently, it has been basing in a consolidation pattern that has seen lower highs (bounded by the red resistance trendline) and higher lows (bounded by the green support trendline). More recently, the stock has broken out of consolidation: The “breakout and backtest” pattern was observed, with a smaller symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern playing out with lower highs and higher lows. RSI has been following as well with lower highs and higher lows. A thrust above the consolidation pattern will see the gaps at 40.76-41.48 and 46.79-47.33 filled, before eventually pushing towards the 51.82 high. Given that we’re entering a we
My Watchlist [51]: DAL (dtd 16/2/24)
avatarTBI
2024-05-23

My Watchlist [102]: AAP... A Generational Setup?

Hi everyone. Today I’ll be covering an automotive aftermarket parts provider for the first time: Advance Auto Parts Inc. (NYSE: AAP) AAP’s chart is extremely interesting. It has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows. Recently, it retested and successfully defended its 23-year old support trendline. The main pattern on AAP is that of a bullish megaphone pattern, with a series of higher highs but lower lows. It has a multitude of gaps to the upside, being one of the worst performers in 2022 and 2023. It is imperative for AAP to defend its bullish megaphone support trendline (in blue) and the 23-year support trendline for further upside. On the weekly chart, there was confirmation of a move higher given by the bullish divergence that formed. On the daily chart, AAP is trading
My Watchlist [102]: AAP... A Generational Setup?
avatarTBI
2023-03-12

Technical Analysis of AAPL(March): Interesting Times Ahead

Hi everyone! I did some thorough charting for Apple (AAPL) the past few days, and I’m now ready to share my TA with you guys. Apple is a company that is virtually known by everybody, regardless of how old you are. Bears have been trying to short Apple as it is one of the last “giants” that is still holding strong. That being said, I think shorting it several months out is going to pay off in due course. Firstly, let’s take a look at AAPL’s daily chart: On the daily chart, you can see that the stock is trading in a wide descending channel (upper descending trendline, lower descending trendline). If you look closely, you can also see that the stock is trading in a secondary falling wedge pattern (the white diagonal line in the middle and the lower descending trendline). The slope of the R
Technical Analysis of AAPL(March): Interesting Times Ahead
avatarTBI
2024-02-16

My Watchlist [52]: W (dtd 16/2/24)

Hi everyone! Today we’ll look at a stock that I’ve covered previously: Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) *This thesis differs from my previous newsletters on W. Consider this my most updated outlook on W for the coming months. The weekly chart of W shows a consolidation symmetrical triangle pattern with lower highs and higher lows. This is more pronounced and less speculative than the inverse head and shoulder pattern that I had looked at a few weeks ago. A small hidden bullish divergence is forming, which is indicative of an impulsive move higher. RSI is largely following the pattern as well with lower highs and higher lows. Note that volume is decreasing but buyers are steadily accumulating on the way down. On the daily chart, the hidden bullish divergence is a lot more pronounced. Notice the lopsi
My Watchlist [52]: W (dtd 16/2/24)
avatarTBI
2023-12-16

My Watchlist [25]: 16/12/23

Hi everyone! Today, we’ll look at one of Warren Buffett’s favourite stocks: Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) On the weekly chart, we can see that the stock is forming higher highs and higher lows. The higher lows are marked by the green trendline on the chart. The stock is currently trading in a bull flag pattern. It has been consolidating at the 55.51 level, which has acted as support on previous occasions. Notably, Warren Buffett has been buying around 55-56, which is a sign that “Big Money” is actively accumulating this name. Note that there is also a hidden bullish divergence forming with RSI forming lower lows, while the stock continues to make higher lows and seeing a retest of the ascending green trendline. Interestingly enough, the daily chart shows a small regular bullish divergen
My Watchlist [25]: 16/12/23
avatarTBI
2024-03-29

My Watchlist [80]: TSM... Cruising towards 174.08?

Hi everyone! I’ll be looking at another semiconductor stock: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) TSM is forming higher highs and higher lows. It recently made new ATHs above 145 but has since come back below this level. I have identified 141.99 as a key pivot to reclaim for the next leg to occur. This was where prior ATHs rejected, and also a recent rejection zone (rejected even during Friday’s session). However, hidden bullish divergence has started to form on the weekly, which is a good sign for bulls. It is also trading in an ascending broadening wedge expansion pattern, similar to other semiconductor stocks such as AMD and MRVL. On the daily chart, the expansion pattern is more visible. I note that it is forming a hidden bullish divergence on the daily as well.
My Watchlist [80]: TSM... Cruising towards 174.08?

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