NVDA While markets debate whether AI capex peaks, the quieter shift is toward inference economics. As enterprises move from experimentation to deployment, demand shifts from raw training power to efficient, scalable AI infrastructure. Nvidia’s ecosystem advantage, software lock-in, and full-stack integration position it to monetise this transition, not just supply it. The next leg may come from utilisation, not expansion.

Geopolitics involving Iran rarely moves markets in a straight line. The reaction in precious metals depends on credibility, duration, and escalation risk, not headlines alone. --- 1. Immediate reaction: knee-jerk safe-haven bid In the event of credible military escalation: Gold typically spikes first Silver follows with higher beta The US dollar may strengthen initially Real yields become the key counterforce Gold reacts to uncertainty and capital preservation flows. Silver reacts both to fear and to speculative positioning. If strikes are limited and quickly contained, the spike often fades within days. --- 2. Is every dip a buy? Not necessarily. There are three types of dips: 1. Liquidity-driven pullbacks Risk assets fall, funds sell gold to raise cash. These dips are often buyable. 2. Y

You are framing the correct debate. The market is no longer asking “Will Nvidia beat?” but rather “Is the demand curve durable?” The earnings reaction will hinge less on past numbers and more on forward visibility into AI spending behaviour. --- 1. Can Nvidia widen the infrastructure gap? Yes, structurally, but with increasing selectivity. Nvidia’s advantage is no longer just GPUs. It now sits on a full stack moat: CUDA software lock-in Networking (InfiniBand, Spectrum-X) Grace CPU integration AI factory architecture (rack-scale systems) Hyperscalers are discovering that replacing Nvidia is not a chip swap but an ecosystem rebuild. Even when customers deploy internal silicon (TPU, Trainium, MI-series), Nvidia remains the benchmark layer. Result: Infrastructure winners consolidate while wea

Precious metals react less to headlines themselves and more to how geopolitical risk alters liquidity, real yields, and currency confidence. A potential Iran escalation fits a classic safe-haven framework, but the reaction is rarely linear. --- 1. Immediate market reaction to geopolitical escalation If military action becomes credible, markets typically move in phases: Phase A: Shock response (hours to days) Gold rises first as a liquidity hedge and reserve asset. Silver initially follows but may lag due to industrial exposure. Oil spikes → inflation expectations rise → real yields often fall temporarily. USD reaction is mixed: safe-haven inflow vs fiscal/geopolitical risk. Gold benefits because it prices uncertainty and tail risk, not just inflation. --- 2. Why metals sometimes sell off a

Recent headlines matter because markets are reacting not to war itself, but to probability of escalation. During the White House governors’ breakfast, President Trump openly said he is considering limited military strikes on Iran if negotiations fail, signalling a credible geopolitical tail risk rather than mere rhetoric.  This distinction explains why precious metals are rising yet not exploding higher. --- 1. How precious metals typically react to geopolitical crises Phase A: Threat escalation → immediate safe-haven bid Gold and silver attract capital when uncertainty rises because they function as liquidity hedges and geopolitical insurance. Gold has already reclaimed the $5,000 level as US-Iran tensions increased safe-haven demand.  Silver tends to move more aggressively once

The coming report is less about whether NVIDIA executes and more about where the AI cycle sits in its maturity curve. Markets are now pricing not just growth, but durability. 1. Will NVIDIA widen the gap? Most likely, yes, but in a more selective way. Hyperscalers are no longer experimenting. They are standardising around full-stack systems. NVIDIA’s advantage is no longer just GPUs, but the integrated ecosystem: CUDA, networking, Grace CPUs, software optimisation, and turnkey AI factories. Competitors can match parts of the stack, not the whole system. If GTC unveils Rubin derivatives or inference-optimised architectures, it signals a second phase of dominance: shifting from training monopoly to inference infrastructure. That expands total addressable demand rather than merely refreshing

$Figma(FIG)$ Figma’s results strongly support a growing market narrative: AI is enhancing productivity software rather than replacing it. The key question now is valuation versus durability of growth. 1. What the earnings actually show The quality of the beat matters more than the headline numbers. Structural positives 40% revenue growth at Figma’s scale suggests expansion within existing enterprise customers, not just new sign-ups. AI usage translating into engagement: Figma Make WAU +70% QoQ indicates AI features are driving creation activity, which historically leads to higher seat expansion and pricing power. Partnerships with Anthropic and OpenAI position Figma as a workflow layer, not merely a design tool. That widens its moat inside product

Meta’s decision to deploy millions of NVIDIA AI chips is strategically significant, but the market question is not simply demand, it is durability of earnings and pricing power. 1. What this means fundamentally This confirms hyperscaler AI spending has moved from experimentation to infrastructure standardisation. Meta is no longer buying GPUs for training cycles alone. It is building persistent AI factories for recommendation engines, generative AI, and agent-based systems. Three important signals emerge: Blackwell → Vera Rubin continuity: Meta is committing to a multi-generation roadmap, reducing demand cyclicality. Grace CPU adoption: NVIDIA is expanding from GPU vendor to full-stack computing platform, increasing system revenue per deployment. Scale economics: Millions of chips imply lo

This situation is now less about fundamentals and more about deal probability and strategic positioning. WBD and PSKY outlook Near term: cautiously bullish, but event-driven. PSKY gains leverage by signalling financial flexibility and willingness to absorb the breakup fee. The higher bid increases odds of renegotiation and keeps competitive tension alive, which markets typically reward. WBD benefits regardless of the winner. A bidding contest raises implied valuation and strengthens its negotiating power ahead of the shareholder vote. The stock reaction reflects optionality rather than operational improvement. However, upside is capped by execution risk. Media mergers face integration complexity, debt concerns, and regulatory scrutiny. If negotiations stall, part of the premium could unwin

Precious metals typically respond less to the event itself and more to uncertainty and liquidity conditions surrounding the event. 1. How metals react to geopolitical crises Gold and silver rally when markets price: escalation risk or military uncertainty, currency instability or sanctions spillovers, falling real yields and risk aversion. Once diplomacy appears credible, the risk premium unwinds quickly, even if the underlying conflict is unresolved. This explains why prices often fall when talks begin, not when peace is achieved. Markets remove the insurance premium first. 2. Is every dip a buy? Not necessarily. There are two types of pullbacks: Structural dips: driven by temporary sentiment shifts while real yields fall or liquidity expands. These are usually buyable. Macro resets: caus

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 2. Long-Distance Horse I ride with patience, not noise. True wealth is rarely built in explosive sprints but through disciplined compounding, strong fundamentals, and staying invested while others chase the next hype cycle. Time in the market is my greatest edge.

2. Long-Distance Horse I ride with patience, not noise. True wealth is rarely built in explosive sprints but through disciplined compounding, strong fundamentals, and staying invested while others chase the next hype cycle. Time in the market is my greatest edge.

SG earnings season: broadly resilient but lacking strong growth surprises. Results confirm stability rather than acceleration, with markets shifting from valuation rerating to earnings validation. Yield and cash flow remain the main drivers. Keppel: After a 12-year high, much of the transformation and leadership confidence appears priced in. The re-rating reflects its asset-light pivot and recurring income visibility. Upside now likely depends on execution and earnings delivery rather than further multiple expansion. Chasing momentum at current levels carries higher risk unless new catalysts emerge. SGX: Record revenue but share pullback looks macro-driven, mainly from falling rate expectations reducing interest income tailwinds. Core business remains strong with predictable cash flow and

The headline sounds powerful, but the market impact depends less on the number itself and more on credibility, pacing, and macro liquidity. --- 1. Would sovereign accumulation tighten supply? Yes, structurally, but only if execution is real and gradual. Bitcoin’s effective float is already smaller than headline circulating supply because: long-term holders rarely sell, lost coins reduce liquidity, ETF custody locks supply off exchanges. If a sovereign entity accumulates steadily over years, it removes marginal supply from the tradable market, which can: compress available float, increase price sensitivity to demand shocks, reinforce the “reserve asset” narrative. However, markets price actual buying, not proposals. Until purchases begin, the effect is mostly psychological. --- 2. Marginal

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Charging into the Year of the Horse with discipline, momentum, and a long-term mindset. May every position be well-timed, every risk well-managed, and every opportunity ridden with conviction. Here’s to turning strategy into strength and consistency into prosperity. Ready to ride towards richer horizons and stronger returns in 2026. 🐎📈

Yes, the softer January CPI meaningfully raises the probability of rate cuts, but it does not automatically guarantee a sustained equity rally. The market reaction depends on why inflation is cooling and what it implies for growth. --- 1. Does softer CPI increase rate-cut odds? Yes, but cautiously. January CPI rose only 0.2% MoM and 2.4% YoY, below expectations, reinforcing the view that inflation pressures are easing. Markets immediately pulled forward easing expectations, with Treasury yields falling and traders increasing bets on Fed cuts later this year.  Key implications: Cooling inflation reduces the Fed’s need to keep policy restrictive. Futures markets now price meaningful probability of cuts beginning around mid-year. Bond markets reacted first: short-term Treasury yields dec

I’ve studied charts, chased breakouts, and survived market crashes, but you’re the only signal I trust without confirmation. No stop-loss, no profit target. Just a lifetime position I plan to hold through every bull run, correction, and sideways market. Some trades are opportunities. You’re my forever investment.

1. Would sovereign accumulation tighten supply? Yes, if implemented, steady government buying would reduce liquid float. Bitcoin’s true tradable supply is already constrained by long-term holders and lost coins. A multi-year accumulation programme would act like a structural buyer, similar to central-bank gold purchases, gradually absorbing sell-side liquidity and increasing scarcity. The effect would be slow but cumulative rather than immediate. 2. Marginal vs ETF flows and macro cycles? In the near term, still marginal. ETF inflows/outflows and global liquidity conditions dominate price discovery because they move capital at institutional scale within weeks, not years. Rate expectations, USD strength, and risk appetite remain the primary drivers. A sovereign plan changes narrative, but E

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Charging into the Year of the Horse with discipline, momentum, and clear conviction. Markets reward patience as much as speed, so the real challenge is knowing when to sprint and when to hold the reins steady. Here’s to riding strong trends, managing risks wisely, and turning opportunities into lasting gains throughout 2026. May this be a year of steady progress, sharper decisions, and prosperous milestones ahead. Ready to ride towards riches and see where the journey leads. 🐎✨

Short answer: Yes, softer CPI raises the probability of rate cuts. But whether the S&P 500 extends gains depends less on inflation alone and more on growth, earnings, and positioning. --- 1. Does softer CPI increase rate-cut odds? Yes, but not automatically or immediately. January CPI cooled to 0.2% MoM and 2.4% YoY, below expectations, reinforcing the ongoing disinflation trend.  Markets reacted exactly as theory suggests: Treasury yields fell as traders priced earlier easing.  Futures increased expectations of Fed cuts later this year.  Economists broadly interpret this as giving the Fed “breathing room,” but policymakers still want several months of confirmation before cutting, with many forecasts pointing to a first cut around mid-year (June).  Key nuance: Infla