🎯 My 2026 return goal: 20 percent 👋 Tag: @TigerEvents @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_comments @Tiger_SG @TigerEvents @TigerClub 📝 Looking back on 2025, one thing I want to tell myself: “Stay patient and stay disciplined. The market will always swing between fear and euphoria, but consistency and clarity of purpose matter more than perfect timing.”

The renewed robotics narrative Recent remarks by the U.S. Commerce Secretary, coupled with signals that the administration may issue a federal executive order on robotics in 2026, have revived interest in automation and humanoid robotics. This mirrors earlier cycles where federal messaging drove speculative rallies in: cryptocurrency AI and the Stargate programme rare-earth miners The market behaviour is similar: thinly traded small caps surge first, followed by a rotation into higher-quality names if policy support becomes concrete. --- Should one join the hype? Participating in the speculative momentum of micro-cap robotics stocks can be profitable in the short term, but it carries significant structural risk. Most of these companies have: weak balance sheets inconsistent revenue visibil

The strongest AI candidate in 2026 Dan Ives’ revised AI-30 framework suggests that infrastructure-layer AI names remain the most advantaged going into 2026. The companies with the clearest revenue visibility, deep enterprise penetration and defensible moats continue to be the hyperscalers and critical-infrastructure vendors. For 2026, the strongest overall AI pick is still Microsoft. It benefits from four reinforcing drivers: 1. Copilot embedded across Windows, Office and Azure 2. Cloud-scale AI infrastructure 3. The most proven enterprise distribution 4. Early monetisation already showing up in growth reacceleration This makes it the clearest “AI monetisation now” story, not merely a future optionality play. --- Is Snowflake the buying opportunity? Snowflake remains one of the purest ente

That is a very good and timely question. The recent developments — stronger China vehicle sales and renewed buzz around robotics (especially Optimus) — do make a compelling case that Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) could be setting up for a rally. Below is a balanced view of whether Tesla might climb back toward its prior high (≈ US$488) by year-end. --- ✅ What supports a potential rally Improved China demand — November shipments from Tesla’s Shanghai factory rose ~9.9% YoY, marking the strongest growth in over a year. That suggests demand in China is rebounding, which helps shore up Tesla’s core EV business at a time when many automakers struggle.  Favourable macro / policy backdrop — The U.S. administration’s renewed focus on robotics — including signals of a possible executive order to support

Tesla’s mid-week lift reflects relief rather than genuine fundamental improvement. The China figures were stronger than feared and Germany’s decline, while negative, was less severe than the market had priced in. When expectations are extremely low, even “less bad” data can trigger a rebound. This is what you are seeing now. Reading the Sentiment Short-term sentiment has shifted from capitulation towards cautious optimism. Traders are asking whether Tesla has finally reached a demand floor, especially in China where competition remains intense but year-end promotions often support volumes. The recent strength in China sales suggests Tesla still has pricing power at the right discount levels, which helps sentiment. Is a Year-End Rally Possible? A limited year-end rally is possible, but it d

Market sentiment has turned more constructive. The initial weakness at the start of December appears to be driven more by position‐clearing and profit‐taking than by a change in fundamentals. With bond yields stabilising, liquidity expectations improving and earnings guidance still broadly supportive, investors seem willing to re-engage with risk assets. The rebound across all three major indices reflects this shift. Whether December finishes strong depends on two factors: flows and macro. Historically, December benefits from fund rebalancing and year-end window dressing. Provided no major macro shock emerges, the pattern of a soft start followed by a firmer finish can repeat. The key risk remains any unexpected tightening in financial conditions, though the current backdrop looks favourab

Competitive Landscape The surge in alternative accelerators reflects a maturing AI hardware market. Google’s TPU, Amazon’s Trainium/Inferentia, Broadcom’s ASICs and Marvell’s optical-centric roadmap all target specific workloads where efficiency, cost and scale matter more than sheer versatility. These entrants erode the peripheral segments around Nvidia, but none yet match Nvidia’s combined ecosystem of CUDA, software libraries, developer base and proven scalability. Most firms still adopt Nvidia first, then optimise with in-house silicon only for stable, repetitive workloads. Amazon’s AI Chip Amazon’s claim of better cost efficiency is plausible for internal workloads. The chip is designed for Amazon’s own data-centre patterns, so it can reduce AWS’ operational cost and improve margins o

Bullish Stock Option to Discuss: Microsoft (MSFT) Why bullish? Microsoft continues to deliver strong AI-driven growth through Azure, Copilot and enterprise cloud adoption. Its revenue base is broad and resilient, and it benefits directly from rising AI spending without relying on a single hardware cycle. Market sentiment toward high-quality mega-cap software remains firm, and MSFT’s valuation, while rich, is supported by consistent earnings visibility. Why options? Microsoft’s volatility is usually lower than other AI names, which makes it suitable for defined-risk bullish structures such as call spreads or diagonals. Traders often choose MSFT when aiming for steady upside rather than high-beta swings. Key themes supporting the bull case • AI integration across Office, Windows and cloud s

Gold’s surge toward 4,200 has revived bold targets. 5,000 in 2026 is possible, though it requires several conditions to align: deeper rate cuts, softer real yields, strong central-bank buying and a weaker USD. Without this combination, 5,000 remains an upside case, not a base view. Holding 4,200 depends mainly on yield trends. If the Fed confirms an easing cycle, gold can stay elevated, though pullbacks to 3,700–3,900 remain normal after such a strong run. As for the extreme case, 10,000 belongs to crisis scenarios, such as a major USD devaluation, severe inflation or global financial stress. It is not a standard forecast. Most banks stay conservative, projecting 4,300–4,800 for 2025–2026, with 5,000 as a bullish but less likely scenario.

Market sentiment The tone has improved meaningfully compared to yesterday’s risk-off session. The early rebound across all three major U.S. indices suggests that markets are treating the recent dip as a routine shakeout rather than the start of a deeper correction. Positioning remains cautious but not pessimistic, and volatility is stabilising. Investors appear willing to rotate rather than de-risk. December seasonality Historically, December tends to favour a “soft start, strong finish” profile. The early pullback this month fits that pattern. Several factors support the odds of a constructive December: • Rate-cut expectations remain intact. • Liquidity conditions are steady as the Fed winds down QT. • Fund managers often window-dress into year-end, supporting index-heavy names. A smooth

Competitive landscape Nvidia is facing the broadest wave of challengers it has ever seen. Amazon, Google, Marvell and Broadcom are not simply competing on price; they are building vertical ecosystems optimised for their own cloud workloads. This shifts part of the market from general-purpose GPUs toward specialised accelerators. Even so, Nvidia still holds decisive advantages in software (CUDA), developer lock-in and a strong lead in training performance. Competitors reduce its long-term dominance but do not dismantle it quickly. Amazon’s new AI chip Amazon’s in-house chip aims to reduce its dependence on Nvidia and lower the cost of training and inference for AWS customers. It is likely cost-effective within Amazon’s own architecture, although it does not replace Nvidia at the high end of

Gold and silver have both entered strong momentum phases, supported by falling real yields, softer inflation prints and a market increasingly confident that policy easing will begin sooner rather than later. The recent price action reflects a shift from defensive accumulation toward a broader risk-seeking bid for hard assets. Gold outlook Gold’s breakout from its consolidation band indicates that buyers are absorbing supply effectively. The next test is the region near 4,300, where profit-taking could occur, yet the underlying drivers remain favourable. • The market is pricing in earlier and steeper rate cuts. • Treasury yields have softened, easing the opportunity cost of holding bullion. • Physical demand from Asia is firm, and central bank buying remains consistent. Given these factors,

I’m watching Google for steady momentum and Nvidia as a sentiment gauge. If Nvidia holds support, AI names can stabilise; if it breaks, tech may weaken. I’m also keeping an eye on gold-related stocks, since precious metals are strong and miners may catch up. I’m avoiding small-caps with high debt, AI microcaps, and any company announcing surprise bond issuance or guidance cuts, as the market is still sensitive to bad news. Positioning-wise, I prefer partial deployment. The macro backdrop is improving, but volatility remains. Going all-in is unnecessary. A balanced stance works better: keep 60–70% invested in quality names and 30–40% cash for dips or new opportunities. Selective buying beats aggressive trading today.

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Here is a clear and grounded view of the pattern you highlighted, together with a practical December trading plan. --- Market Pattern: Weak First Day, Strong Month It is true that this year July, August, and September all opened red on the first trading day, yet each month ended with respectable gains. This pattern reflects a common market behaviour: Funds often adjust or rebalance at month-end and early month, which can create a mild pullback. Once rebalancing flows settle, trend momentum resumes, especially in a bullish or liquidity-supported environment. Yesterday’s soft decline fits this profile. It looked more like positioning rather than a shift in fundamentals. --- Is This a Good Chance to Add? A small early-December

You raise very thoughtful questions. The sharp moves in silver and gold — especially silver breaking to fresh highs and gold pushing above its recent consolidation zone — are certainly meaningful. But whether they portend a sustained bull run or a short-term spike depends a lot on macro conditions ahead. Here is how I view the situation. --- 📈 What’s happening now with gold and silver Silver has surged to a new record, surpassing the peak set during the “short squeeze” in the London market in October.  The rally is supported by tight supply — shrinking inventories in major vaults and high borrowing (leasing) costs for silver — plus rising demand from both investors and industrial users.  Gold has recently broken out of its consolidation range and, with expectations building for a

You raised very timely and important questions about Bitcoin (BTC). There is no certainty of course, but here is how I view the situation — and why a drop toward US $ 80 000–75 000 remains a plausible outcome, albeit not the only one. --- 🔎 What’s going on now Bitcoin recently slid again, trading around US $ 86 000–87 000 after a rebound from as low as ~US $ 80 000.  The bounce above US $ 90 000 that some hoped would signal a resumption of a bullish trend has failed to hold. Resistance in the US $ 88 000–90 000 zone appears strong.  The market now seems to be in a consolidation/accumulation phase rather than a resumed bull run, with trading sentiment described as “extreme fear.”  --- ⚠️ Why a drop to US $ 80 000 (or lower) remains possible Analysts highlight that poor liquid

You raise very timely and important questions about Intel (INTC), and whether the recent rally marks the end of its run — or a stepping-stone in a larger transformation. Below is how I view the situation, and my thoughts if I were you, given a price around US $40. --- 🔍 What’s behind Intel’s recent surge The recent ~10 % surge was triggered by a report — from analyst Ming‑Chi Kuo — that Intel’s chance of becoming a foundry supplier for Apple has “improved significantly”, possibly leading to Intel manufacturing Apple’s M-series chips starting 2027.  The rally reflects renewed investor optimism: after years of being seen primarily as a legacy CPU maker, the market seems to be repricing Intel as a potentially relevant “foundry + manufacturing infrastructure” play.  Despite the run-u

Your questions about gold and silver are very timely. The recent moves in both metals reflect a mix of technical, macroeconomic and sentiment factors — and yes, there is a plausible case that gold could test new highs in December while silver’s surge is a meaningful market signal, albeit with risks. Below is how I view the situation. --- 📈 What’s driving gold’s upside — and the case for new highs in December The recent rally in Gold has been underpinned by growing expectations that Federal Reserve (the Fed) may cut interest rates soon. Lower interest rates tend to reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.  As of late November, spot gold climbed to around US $4,162–4,175/oz, with four straight monthly gains this year.  Many analysts and major banks are

Good questions. There is a realistic chance that the rebound of Bitcoin (BTC) is stalling — and that it could drop further. Here is how I view the situation, based on recent data and broader crypto-market dynamics. --- 📉 Why the rebound may be over (or at least fragile) Bitcoin recently fell sharply, sliding from near US$90,000 back toward ~US$86,000.  Market sentiment has turned risk-off: macroeconomic uncertainty, caution among institutional investors, and broader sell-offs in risk assets are working against Bitcoin.  Technical indicators look weak: some analysts regard recent patterns as indicating a so-called “death cross” (short-term moving average crossing below long-term average), which historically has signalled deeper corrections.  The recent rally — from ~US$80 K b

Overall reading of the 2026 projections Morgan Stanley’s thesis is built on three pillars: continued policy accommodation, sustained earnings strength, and a supportive micro backdrop driven by AI-related capital expenditure. Broadly, these elements are plausible given current structural trends. However, the degree of certainty implied by such forecasts should always be treated with caution, especially once the horizon extends beyond twelve months. --- What is most likely to come true 1. AI-related capital expenditure will remain a dominant force This is the most credible component. Demand for compute, model training, data infrastructure and edge deployment is likely to continue. Cloud hyperscalers, semiconductor firms, network providers and AI-driven software ecosystems are still in the e