Mickey082024
Mickey082024
Value investor and Long Terms
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Fed Leadership Shake-Up: Bullish or Bearish as QT Ends and 2026 Cuts Loom?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The Federal Reserve is once again at the center of political and market attention. As quantitative tightening (QT) approaches its scheduled conclusion and former President Donald Trump signals that his choice for the next Fed Chair will be announced soon, investors face a rare moment of simultaneous monetary and political uncertainty. Prediction markets have swiftly recalibrated expectations: Kevin Hassett now carries a roughly 64% probability of receiving the nomination, Fed Governor Christopher Waller sits at 12%, and former Governor Kevin Warsh holds 11%, with the rest distributed among lower-visibility candidates. For markets, the implications extend far beyond the identity of the central bank’s next leader. The end of QT a
Fed Leadership Shake-Up: Bullish or Bearish as QT Ends and 2026 Cuts Loom?

Silver’s All-Time High Sets the Stage: Will Gold Reclaim $4,400 This Month?

$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Silver has surged to a historic new high, decisively breaking past the peak set during October’s dramatic short squeeze in the London market. Gold, too, has staged a powerful breakout from its multi-month consolidation range, lifting sentiment across the precious-metals complex. With global rate-cut expectations accelerating and investors bracing for a winter of slower growth, traders are now asking the critical question: Can gold reclaim $4,400 in December? And perhaps more importantly—does silver’s record-setting rally carry bullish implications for the broader metals market? The final month of the year is often a pivotal period for precious metals. December historically coincides with seasonal investment flows, a soft
Silver’s All-Time High Sets the Stage: Will Gold Reclaim $4,400 This Month?

Intel Boosted By Apple Deal Rumor: Would You Take Profit at $40?

$Intel(INTC)$ Intel Corporation has once again returned to the spotlight, this time with a surge that caught even bullish analysts by surprise. Last Friday, shares of the semiconductor giant soared 10.19%, capping an impressive weekly gain of 17.57%. The rally placed Intel squarely back on investors’ radar and reignited discussions about whether its long-awaited turnaround is finally materializing. The key catalyst this time? Renewed speculation that Apple may tap Intel to produce a portion of its advanced-node processors as Intel re-enters the foundry arena with greater focus and urgency. The rumor-driven rally has added to what was already a blockbuster year for the stock. Intel is now up more than 100% year-to-date, a striking reversal for a co
Intel Boosted By Apple Deal Rumor: Would You Take Profit at $40?

The November Slip: Is the Market Setting Up for a December Surge?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ For decades, November has held a near-mythical status in U.S. equity markets. Historically the strongest month of the year for the S&P 500, November often represents the kickoff to a multi-month year-end surge, fueled by stronger seasonality, improved liquidity, tax-planning flows, and portfolio repositioning. But 2025 broke that pattern. Instead of delivering its usual gains, November turned negative—pressuring sentiment and reminding investors that even the market’s most reliable seasonal tendencies can falter when macro uncertainty rises. Yet interestingly, history also shows that a negative November does not necessarily derail the classic Santa Rally. In fact, when the S&P 500 is already up more than 10% from Januar
The November Slip: Is the Market Setting Up for a December Surge?

A Deep Dive Into The “Big Short vs. Big AI” Debate—and What It Means for Investors

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Few clashes in modern financial discourse attract as much attention as when Michael Burry—the legendary investor behind The Big Short—takes aim at a market darling. His latest critique targets the crown jewel of the AI boom: NVIDIA. But unlike past macro warnings, Burry’s concern this time is more technical, more nuanced, and arguably more provocative. He’s challenging the accounting foundations of the AI investment cycle, especially the depreciation policies of hyperscalers whose AI infrastructure spending drives NVIDIA’s explosive revenue growth. NVIDIA, in an unusual public move, has responded. This sets the stage for one of the most consequential debates in the current market cycle: Are AI accounting practices a real risk to NVI
A Deep Dive Into The “Big Short vs. Big AI” Debate—and What It Means for Investors

Big Rebound Adds $1 Trillion! Real Rally or Dead Cat Bounce?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ A Volatile Month Ends With a Sudden Surge November delivered a sharp wakeup call to an otherwise resilient market. The S&P 500 fell about 2% for the month, marking its worst performance since March and a clear signal that investor confidence had weakened. Volatility surged across equities, bonds, and currencies, pushing traders to reassess their risk appetite heading into year-end. Yet just as markets appeared to roll over, investors witnessed one of the most dramatic rebounds of 2025. In mere days, the S&P 500 recovered more than $1 trillion in market capitalization, flipping sentiment from fear to cautious optimism. The question now is whether this sharp rebound reflects a genuine turning point—or a fragile, liquidity
Big Rebound Adds $1 Trillion! Real Rally or Dead Cat Bounce?

Near 52-Week Low: Should Investors Buy The Trade Desk Stock Right Now?

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD), long regarded as one of the highest-quality names in the digital advertising ecosystem, has once again found itself under pressure. Despite strong secular positioning, a consistently expanding customer base, and a proven management team, the stock now trades near its 52-week low. For long-term growth investors, the question is as relevant as ever: is this simply another cyclical air pocket in digital advertising, or is the market signaling deeper concerns? The following analysis provides a comprehensive, Forbes-style review of The Trade Desk’s financial health, operating performance, valuation, and investment appeal—while also examining the reasons behind the recent sell-off and whether the weakn
Near 52-Week Low: Should Investors Buy The Trade Desk Stock Right Now?

CoreWeave Mooned, Circle Crashed — But Sure, Your Dip Was ‘Perfect’ Still Calling It ‘Long-Term Conviction?

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ AI Strength vs. Crypto Fragility in a Volatile Market Week Nvidia’s latest earnings report did more than just reaffirm the company’s dominance in artificial intelligence — it sent shockwaves across the entire AI-infrastructure ecosystem. And once again, CoreWeave emerged as one of the biggest downstream winners. Shares in the privately held GPU supercloud provider jumped roughly 10% in after-hours trading, reacting instantly to Nvidia’s revenue beat and optimistic forward guidance. But while one corner of the tech megacycle surged, another buckled. Circle, still widely regarded as a speculation-driven crypto-concept stock with no consistent profitability, dropped back below $70 as Bitcoin fell to an intraday low near $67K.
CoreWeave Mooned, Circle Crashed — But Sure, Your Dip Was ‘Perfect’ Still Calling It ‘Long-Term Conviction?

Why Wall Street Thinks the Pullback is a Technical Shakeout — Not the Start of Something Bigger

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The U.S. equity market has once again entered a familiar psychological cycle: a multi-session slide, a burst of anxiety about valuations, and the usual debate over whether the S&P 500’s latest dip is merely a pause — or the start of a more serious correction. This time, however, the tone from institutional desks is surprisingly consistent: the fundamental picture remains intact, corporate earnings continue to surprise to the upside, and liquidity conditions remain broadly supportive. In fact, Barclays just raised its 2025 year-end target to 7,400, signaling confidence that both earnings growth and multiple resilience can continue. J.P. Morgan’s trading desk is taking an even more tactical view, calling the recent decline a
Why Wall Street Thinks the Pullback is a Technical Shakeout — Not the Start of Something Bigger

Palantir’s Trend Breaks Down: Can Bulls Defend the Last Stronghold at $160?

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ A Technical Breakdown, Sentiment Shift, and Buy-the-Dip Strategy Palantir investors are no strangers to volatility, but yesterday’s 7% reversal sent a very different message. PLTR didn’t just pull back—it lost the $170 level decisively, breaking below a key psychological and technical support zone that had held firm for months. The sudden move has reignited a familiar concern among traders: Is Palantir about to fill the earnings gap? And if so, where does the decline end? The stock now sits at a fragile inflection point. Momentum traders have flipped bearish, institutions are watching the volume shelves closely, and retail is torn between “buy the dip” and “is this the top?” At the center of this debate lies one
Palantir’s Trend Breaks Down: Can Bulls Defend the Last Stronghold at $160?

Tesla Breaks Below $400 as Market Confidence Wavers: Is the Correction Just Beginning?

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ A Deep-Dive Into Sentiment, Valuation, Macro Pressure, and Institutional Positioning Tesla’s sudden breakdown below the critical $400 level has rattled even long-time bulls, marking one of its sharpest multi-week declines in recent months and putting the stock back into negative territory for the year. The move has forced Wall Street into a philosophical debate: Is this simply Tesla being Tesla—volatile, emotional, prone to deep resets before major runs? Or is the market recalibrating the company into a slower-growth, lower-multiple EV manufacturer? Adding to the narrative shift, Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest trimmed 5,426 Tesla shares across two ETFs—ARKK and ARKW—this week. Even though the sale is small relative to ARK’s total Te
Tesla Breaks Below $400 as Market Confidence Wavers: Is the Correction Just Beginning?

Bridgewater’s Massive Nvidia Reduction: Warning Sign or Routine Profit-Taking?

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The AI trade has entered a more volatile phase. In Q3, Bridgewater Associates cut its Nvidia stake by 65.3%, reducing its holdings to 2.51 million shares. The abrupt reversal stands out because Bridgewater had increased its Nvidia exposure by 154% in the previous quarter. The timing also raises an eyebrow: the reduction coincides with a broader pre-earnings pullback in Nvidia—one of the most closely watched stocks on the planet. So what does this mean? Is Nvidia approaching the end of its explosive cycle, or is this yet another episode of institutional profit-taking ahead of unpredictable earnings? And how should individual investors respond when major players send mixed signals—Bridgewater trimming aggressively while SoftBank sells
Bridgewater’s Massive Nvidia Reduction: Warning Sign or Routine Profit-Taking?

Reopening Boost Meets High-Yield Headwinds: What Comes Next for Markets?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Trump: “Shutdown Cost $1.5 Trillion — Government Should Never Be Shut Down Again.” Is the pullback over or is this only a temporary rebound? Can the market’s rally truly sustain? Introduction: A Crisis Avoided — But at What Cost? The U.S. House of Representatives has voted to pass the bill to reopen the government, effectively ending one of the most contentious shutdown standoffs in recent history. Markets immediately reacted to the headline: equity futures ticked higher, risk assets stabilized, and Treasury yields retreated from their recent spike. But the real question on investors’ minds is far more complicated: Was this a genuine relief rally? Or just a classic sell-the-news trap? Compounding the tension, former President D
Reopening Boost Meets High-Yield Headwinds: What Comes Next for Markets?

SoftBank’s $5.83B Nvidia Sell-Off: Should Investors Follow or Fade the Move?

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ As Nvidia Approaches Another Critical Earnings Report, SoftBank’s Large October Sale Raises a Bigger Question: Is This a Signal—or Just Noise? In the days leading up to Nvidia’s highly anticipated earnings release next week, a new headline has rippled through markets: SoftBank Group sold $5.83 billion worth of Nvidia shares in October. For a company famous for its outsized venture bets and market-shifting moves, any SoftBank transaction naturally draws investor attention. But when the transaction involves the world’s most powerful AI chipmaker—the single most important stock of the entire 2023–2025 bull cycle—the intrigue is even greater. With Nvidia preparing to report quarterly results that could once again redefine market expecta
SoftBank’s $5.83B Nvidia Sell-Off: Should Investors Follow or Fade the Move?

A Turning Point for China ADRs? JD, Tencent, and Bilibili All Smash Earnings Forecasts

$JD.com(JD)$ China Tech Just Posted Its Biggest Collective Beat in Years. Is This the Turning Point Investors Have Been Waiting For? Chinese tech stocks have spent nearly three years in a prolonged sentiment winter — defined by regulatory fear, geopolitical tension, and collapsing global fund exposure. But today, for the first time in a long time, China’s marquee digital platforms delivered something markets haven’t seen in unison: a broad, powerful, across-the-board earnings beat that exceeded even bullish expectations. JD.com, Tencent, and Bilibili — three companies representing e-commerce, gaming, advertising, fintech, cloud, and online entertainment — each posted robust results that outshined the macro gloom narrative. JD.com recorded 14.9% reve
A Turning Point for China ADRs? JD, Tencent, and Bilibili All Smash Earnings Forecasts

Beyond AI: How Apple’s Tencent Alliance May Spark a Year-End Rally to $300

$Apple(AAPL)$ Apple has taken another decisive step toward reinforcing its dominance in the world’s largest smartphone market — China. After more than a year of behind-the-scenes negotiations, Apple and Tencent have reached an agreement that could reshape digital commerce inside China’s most important social platform: WeChat. Under the new arrangement, Apple will oversee in-app transactions within WeChat’s mini-program ecosystem and collect a 15% commission on mini-game spending and virtual purchases. While this is lower than Apple’s traditional 30% App Store cut, the target market is enormous — WeChat hosts more than a billion active users and processes trillions of yuan in digital transactions annually. This raises a timely question as Apple’s s
Beyond AI: How Apple’s Tencent Alliance May Spark a Year-End Rally to $300

The $8.5 Trillion Moonshot: Elon Musk’s Ultimate Tesla Gamble

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla’s stock surged over 4% this week, fueled by renewed excitement surrounding the company’s upcoming shareholder vote on CEO Elon Musk’s massive performance-based compensation package. The proposal, which has been described by analysts as “the most ambitious corporate pay plan in history,” outlines a staggering set of milestones that, if met, could see Tesla’s valuation soar to an almost unimaginable $8.5 trillion over the next decade. This package isn’t just about rewarding Musk—it’s a direct statement about Tesla’s strategic direction and long-term vision. The company is no longer content with being a leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer; it aims to evolve into a fully integrated artificial intelligence and robotics
The $8.5 Trillion Moonshot: Elon Musk’s Ultimate Tesla Gamble

Shutdown Showdown: Trump Urges Resolution as Markets Brace for a Liquidity Rebound

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The United States is once again at a political and economic crossroads. The current government shutdown, which began on October 1, has now entered its second month and is on track to become the longest in U.S. history — surpassing the 35-day record set during late 2018 and early 2019. What began as a fiscal disagreement over the federal budget has evolved into a full-blown political stalemate with deep economic consequences. As markets wobble and public frustration mounts, former President Donald Trump has publicly urged leaders to resolve the standoff, warning that prolonged inaction could derail the nation’s growth momentum. “The U.S. stock market’s record highs are just the beginning,” Trump stated, adding that once the shut
Shutdown Showdown: Trump Urges Resolution as Markets Brace for a Liquidity Rebound

AMD Beats Yet Drops: High Valuation, Sell the News?

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) delivered what initially looked like a strong third-quarter report — a classic “beat” on both revenue and earnings. Yet the stock’s reaction told a different story. Shares fell nearly 5% in after-hours trading as the market parsed through cautious forward guidance and weaker-than-expected data center results. It’s a familiar story for high-growth tech names in 2025: even when they deliver headline beats, investors demand more. Expectations around artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, server accelerators, and data center market share have risen so dramatically that even robust performance can disappoint when future guidance doesn’t reflect “Nvidia-level” ambition. The question
AMD Beats Yet Drops: High Valuation, Sell the News?

Palantir Breaks the Billion-Dollar Barrier: Can Q3 Earnings Justify Its Sky-High Valuation?

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR) is preparing to release its highly anticipated third-quarter results after the U.S. market closes on Monday, November 3. The AI-driven data analytics giant just crossed a historic milestone—exceeding $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time—a psychological and financial landmark that validates its transformation from a defense contractor into a commercial software powerhouse. The company’s Q3 guidance of $1.083–$1.085 billion in revenue marks its most aggressive sequential growth outlook ever, signaling that management sees robust demand for its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Yet, as Palantir’s stock trades near record highs, the question investors face is whe
Palantir Breaks the Billion-Dollar Barrier: Can Q3 Earnings Justify Its Sky-High Valuation?

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