CME Bitcoin - main 2611 (BTCmain)

BTCmain (CME Bitcoin - main 2611)

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Futures Contract Details

Contract Name	CME Bitcoin - Nov 2026
Contract Code	BTC2611
Exchange	CME
Contract Type	Cryptocurrencies
Contract Size	5 Bitcoins
Currency	USD
Min Price Chg	5 per index point ( US$25 )
Contract Value	US$5 USD per index point
Trading Hours	Sun 16:05–Mon 16:00; Mon–Thu 16:45–next day 16:00
Time Zone	Central Standard Time
First Notice Day	No
LTD	20261127

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A Bigger Correction Ahead?","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: Markets Turn Defensive as Volatility May Persist Through Next Year’s First Quarter&nbsp; Under the US dollar cycle model, market volatility could continue through the first quarter of next year. Safe haven, arbitrage and options strategies should therefore take priority.&nbsp;If US equities break below key trendlines, investors should focus on risk control. Gold is unlikely to regain bullish momentum before reclaiming its 20 day moving average.&nbsp;A confirmed break below $4,000 could open","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: Markets Turn Defensive as Volatility May Persist Through Next Year’s First Quarter&nbsp; Under the US dollar cycle model, market volatility could continue through the first quarter of next year. Safe haven, arbitrage and options strategies should therefore take priority.&nbsp;If US equities break below key trendlines, investors should focus on risk control. Gold is unlikely to regain bullish momentum before reclaiming its 20 day moving average.&nbsp;A confirmed break below $4,000 could open","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: Markets Turn Defensive as Volatility May Persist Through Next Year’s First Quarter Under the US dollar cycle model, market volatility could continue through the first quarter of next year. Safe haven, arbitrage and options strategies should therefore take priority. If US equities break below key trendlines, investors should focus on risk control. Gold is unlikely to regain bullish momentum before reclaiming its 20 day moving average. A confirmed break below $4,000 could open","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/175a2717455e33ba5a75e799894c23bc"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":47,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/623125773328480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1793173604535,"id":623125773328480,"gmtCreate":1793169436468,"gmtModify":1793173604535,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: Will Key Supports Break This Week? A Bigger Correction Ahead?","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: Markets Turn Defensive as Volatility May Persist Through Next Year’s First Quarter&nbsp; Under the US dollar cycle model, market volatility could continue through the first quarter of next year. Safe haven, arbitrage and options strategies should therefore take priority.&nbsp;If US equities break below key trendlines, investors should focus on risk control. Gold is unlikely to regain bullish momentum before reclaiming its 20 day moving average.&nbsp;A confirmed break below $4,000 could open","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: Markets Turn Defensive as Volatility May Persist Through Next Year’s First Quarter&nbsp; Under the US dollar cycle model, market volatility could continue through the first quarter of next year. Safe haven, arbitrage and options strategies should therefore take priority.&nbsp;If US equities break below key trendlines, investors should focus on risk control. Gold is unlikely to regain bullish momentum before reclaiming its 20 day moving average.&nbsp;A confirmed break below $4,000 could open","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: Markets Turn Defensive as Volatility May Persist Through Next Year’s First Quarter Under the US dollar cycle model, market volatility could continue through the first quarter of next year. Safe haven, arbitrage and options strategies should therefore take priority. If US equities break below key trendlines, investors should focus on risk control. Gold is unlikely to regain bullish momentum before reclaiming its 20 day moving average. A confirmed break below $4,000 could open","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/175a2717455e33ba5a75e799894c23bc"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":47,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/623125773328480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":622721650111152,"type":1,"entity":{"id":622721650111152,"gmtCreate":1793070865559,"gmtModify":1793070919556,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Brace for a Sharp US Stock Correction! Nvidia Falls for a Third Week as Bearish Pressure Builds","htmlText":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure two weeks ago, although the weakness was not yet broad based. Conditions have since changed as Bitcoin and Ethereum failed to sustain their rallies, while gold extended its decline and broke below $4,000. Risk assets now face renewed pressure from a potential broad based selloff. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BTC.USD.HKCC\">$比特币(BTC.USD.HKCC)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure two weeks ago, although the weakness was not yet broad based. Conditions have since changed as Bitcoin and Ethereum failed to sustain their rallies, while gold extended its decline and broke below $4,000. Risk assets now face renewed pressure from a potential broad based selloff. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BTC.USD.HKCC\">$比特币(BTC.USD.HKCC)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure two weeks ago, although the weakness was not yet broad based. Conditions have since changed as Bitcoin and Ethereum failed to sustain their rallies, while gold extended its decline and broke below $4,000. Risk assets now face renewed pressure from a potential broad based selloff. $比特币(BTC.USD.HKCC)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/42802bed8e837b4f358c04aa977f8c10"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/622721650111152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4091873312406950","authorId":"4091873312406950","name":"CocoaGinger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d22eef7f8a3a992c9290b3825767a279","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4091873312406950","idStr":"4091873312406950"},"content":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure tw","text":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure tw","html":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure tw"},{"author":{"id":"3566983804500254","authorId":"3566983804500254","name":"听见鸟儿的声音","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/16554f1e249c4a2a3f4296ba70a61549","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3566983804500254","idStr":"3566983804500254"},"content":"The market is up 100% of the time one year later after a mid-term election. Just hoping it will be the same for this year","text":"The market is up 100% of the time one year later after a mid-term election. Just hoping it will be the same for this year","html":"The market is up 100% of the time one year later after a mid-term election. Just hoping it will be the same for this year"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4091873312406950","authorId":"4091873312406950","name":"CocoaGinger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d22eef7f8a3a992c9290b3825767a279","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4091873312406950","idStr":"4091873312406950"},"content":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure tw","text":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure tw","html":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure tw"},{"author":{"id":"3566983804500254","authorId":"3566983804500254","name":"听见鸟儿的声音","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/16554f1e249c4a2a3f4296ba70a61549","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3566983804500254","idStr":"3566983804500254"},"content":"The market is up 100% of the time one year later after a mid-term election. Just hoping it will be the same for this year","text":"The market is up 100% of the time one year later after a mid-term election. Just hoping it will be the same for this year","html":"The market is up 100% of the time one year later after a mid-term election. Just hoping it will be the same for this year"}],"streamModify":1793070919556,"id":622721650111152,"gmtCreate":1793070865559,"gmtModify":1793070919556,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Brace for a Sharp US Stock Correction! Nvidia Falls for a Third Week as Bearish Pressure Builds","htmlText":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure two weeks ago, although the weakness was not yet broad based. Conditions have since changed as Bitcoin and Ethereum failed to sustain their rallies, while gold extended its decline and broke below $4,000. Risk assets now face renewed pressure from a potential broad based selloff. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BTC.USD.HKCC\">$比特币(BTC.USD.HKCC)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure two weeks ago, although the weakness was not yet broad based. Conditions have since changed as Bitcoin and Ethereum failed to sustain their rallies, while gold extended its decline and broke below $4,000. Risk assets now face renewed pressure from a potential broad based selloff. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BTC.USD.HKCC\">$比特币(BTC.USD.HKCC)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"Despite greater stability in the bond market last week, key market bellwethers such as Bitcoin and gold showed signs of downside breakdowns. US equities also reversed sharply from their highs on the weekly chart. With oil approaching its previous peak and a critical market window drawing closer, investors should remain alert to the risk of a major correction. Markets also faced pressure two weeks ago, although the weakness was not yet broad based. Conditions have since changed as Bitcoin and Ethereum failed to sustain their rallies, while gold extended its decline and broke below $4,000. Risk assets now face renewed pressure from a potential broad based selloff. $比特币(BTC.USD.HKCC)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/42802bed8e837b4f358c04aa977f8c10"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/622721650111152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":621488477163672,"type":1,"entity":{"id":621488477163672,"gmtCreate":1792752681095,"gmtModify":1792754015107,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Live Highlights: U.S. Stocks' Last Dance Before Q4 Risks Erupt and 3 Top Trades","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here &gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","listText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here &gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","text":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> 美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？ Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/344fe9b31dc3dc75e13fdb2c79b8c5a0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":131,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621488477163672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000471","authorId":"9000000000000471","name":"MooreAlcott","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d4594b0ee9a777a4ca1bee258aa8f5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000471","idStr":"9000000000000471"},"content":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","text":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","html":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000378","authorId":"9000000000000378","name":"doozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78bec073397d54a68f80879dd87fd45c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000378","idStr":"9000000000000378"},"content":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","text":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","html":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished"}],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000471","authorId":"9000000000000471","name":"MooreAlcott","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d4594b0ee9a777a4ca1bee258aa8f5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000471","idStr":"9000000000000471"},"content":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","text":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","html":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000378","authorId":"9000000000000378","name":"doozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78bec073397d54a68f80879dd87fd45c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000378","idStr":"9000000000000378"},"content":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","text":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","html":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished"}],"streamModify":1792754015107,"id":621488477163672,"gmtCreate":1792752681095,"gmtModify":1792754015107,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Live Highlights: U.S. Stocks' Last Dance Before Q4 Risks Erupt and 3 Top Trades","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here &gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","listText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here &gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","text":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> 美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？ Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/344fe9b31dc3dc75e13fdb2c79b8c5a0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":131,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621488477163672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620711977570608,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620711977570608,"gmtCreate":1792567734167,"gmtModify":1792567777936,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy: Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Why Selling Puts Still Makes Sense","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility,&nbsp;time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound:&nbsp;Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility,&nbsp;time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound:&nbsp;Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/87541aaefddaf46201362636c277e40c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620711977570608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274784832471","idStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","text":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","html":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break"}],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274784832471","idStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","text":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","html":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break"}],"streamModify":1792567777936,"id":620711977570608,"gmtCreate":1792567734167,"gmtModify":1792567777936,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy: Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Why Selling Puts Still Makes Sense","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility,&nbsp;time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound:&nbsp;Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility,&nbsp;time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound:&nbsp;Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/87541aaefddaf46201362636c277e40c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620711977570608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620300236468376,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620300236468376,"gmtCreate":1792467197424,"gmtModify":1792467238263,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"October Hike Risk Fades: Risk-On Wave Builds as Gold Eyes a Major Breakout","htmlText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb36ae5d148b79af999d98741f80ecdb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":180,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":14,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620300236468376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000527","authorId":"9000000000000527","name":"Juliaaa11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000527","idStr":"9000000000000527"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."},{"author":{"id":"3583728928904335","authorId":"3583728928904335","name":"Limbh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/544faf932ec4fd4d52d7a0893d14c6fc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3583728928904335","idStr":"3583728928904335"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000527","authorId":"9000000000000527","name":"Juliaaa11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000527","idStr":"9000000000000527"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."},{"author":{"id":"3583728928904335","authorId":"3583728928904335","name":"Limbh","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/544faf932ec4fd4d52d7a0893d14c6fc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3583728928904335","idStr":"3583728928904335"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."}],"streamModify":1792467238263,"id":620300236468376,"gmtCreate":1792467197424,"gmtModify":1792467238263,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"October Hike Risk Fades: Risk-On Wave Builds as Gold Eyes a Major Breakout","htmlText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb36ae5d148b79af999d98741f80ecdb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":180,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":14,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620300236468376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":616125225042056,"type":1,"entity":{"id":616125225042056,"gmtCreate":1791441916569,"gmtModify":1791443219419,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Dollar Index Breaks June High: Is a Euro Rebound a Shorting Opportunity?💰","htmlText":"Although last week brought important data, including the nonfarm payrolls report, and some market moves, the more significant development was a change in the foreign exchange market. We had previously believed that the dollar faced the risk of a substantial decline, against the backdrop of what we saw as the weakening U.S. military strength and overall national power demonstrated by its strikes on Iran. But with recent moves in the U.S. bond market proving increasingly difficult to control, there is now reason to suspect that maintaining the dollar’s relative strength would better serve the United States’ broader interests. From a technical perspective, the dollar may also be entering a new phase. The U.S. Dollar Index is an important reference point for assessing the dollar and the broade","listText":"Although last week brought important data, including the nonfarm payrolls report, and some market moves, the more significant development was a change in the foreign exchange market. We had previously believed that the dollar faced the risk of a substantial decline, against the backdrop of what we saw as the weakening U.S. military strength and overall national power demonstrated by its strikes on Iran. But with recent moves in the U.S. bond market proving increasingly difficult to control, there is now reason to suspect that maintaining the dollar’s relative strength would better serve the United States’ broader interests. From a technical perspective, the dollar may also be entering a new phase. The U.S. Dollar Index is an important reference point for assessing the dollar and the broade","text":"Although last week brought important data, including the nonfarm payrolls report, and some market moves, the more significant development was a change in the foreign exchange market. We had previously believed that the dollar faced the risk of a substantial decline, against the backdrop of what we saw as the weakening U.S. military strength and overall national power demonstrated by its strikes on Iran. But with recent moves in the U.S. bond market proving increasingly difficult to control, there is now reason to suspect that maintaining the dollar’s relative strength would better serve the United States’ broader interests. From a technical perspective, the dollar may also be entering a new phase. The U.S. Dollar Index is an important reference point for assessing the dollar and the broade","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd5c90e1044ef7617c4ea0fea894f915"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9b729138a3ba7f8c605074671b7461d6"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d4fa3833d4f64e19310b3867517cb500"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":97,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616125225042056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000514","authorId":"9000000000000514","name":"LeeTed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eb59fd0b17adb82f693717ea8bf6128","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000514","idStr":"9000000000000514"},"content":"DXY RSI hugging overbought for three weeks and still getting bought back says more than the breakout itself. Euro bounces still look shortable unless 1.1680 gets reclaimed","text":"DXY RSI hugging overbought for three weeks and still getting bought back says more than the breakout itself. Euro bounces still look shortable unless 1.1680 gets reclaimed","html":"DXY RSI hugging overbought for three weeks and still getting bought back says more than the breakout itself. Euro bounces still look shortable unless 1.1680 gets reclaimed"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000671","authorId":"9000000000000671","name":"BorisBack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cf1da32355d7fcd455bcb763ef83cd5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000671","idStr":"9000000000000671"},"content":"Shorting a euro bounce is tradable, but the bigger cost of dollar strength is accelerating de-dollarization. That longer-term pressure matters more than this technical break","text":"Shorting a euro bounce is tradable, but the bigger cost of dollar strength is accelerating de-dollarization. That longer-term pressure matters more than this technical break","html":"Shorting a euro bounce is tradable, but the bigger cost of dollar strength is accelerating de-dollarization. That longer-term pressure matters more than this technical break"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000514","authorId":"9000000000000514","name":"LeeTed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eb59fd0b17adb82f693717ea8bf6128","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000514","idStr":"9000000000000514"},"content":"DXY RSI hugging overbought for three weeks and still getting bought back says more than the breakout itself. Euro bounces still look shortable unless 1.1680 gets reclaimed","text":"DXY RSI hugging overbought for three weeks and still getting bought back says more than the breakout itself. Euro bounces still look shortable unless 1.1680 gets reclaimed","html":"DXY RSI hugging overbought for three weeks and still getting bought back says more than the breakout itself. Euro bounces still look shortable unless 1.1680 gets reclaimed"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000671","authorId":"9000000000000671","name":"BorisBack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cf1da32355d7fcd455bcb763ef83cd5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000671","idStr":"9000000000000671"},"content":"Shorting a euro bounce is tradable, but the bigger cost of dollar strength is accelerating de-dollarization. That longer-term pressure matters more than this technical break","text":"Shorting a euro bounce is tradable, but the bigger cost of dollar strength is accelerating de-dollarization. That longer-term pressure matters more than this technical break","html":"Shorting a euro bounce is tradable, but the bigger cost of dollar strength is accelerating de-dollarization. That longer-term pressure matters more than this technical break"}],"streamModify":1791443219419,"id":616125225042056,"gmtCreate":1791441916569,"gmtModify":1791443219419,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Dollar Index Breaks June High: Is a Euro Rebound a Shorting Opportunity?💰","htmlText":"Although last week brought important data, including the nonfarm payrolls report, and some market moves, the more significant development was a change in the foreign exchange market. We had previously believed that the dollar faced the risk of a substantial decline, against the backdrop of what we saw as the weakening U.S. military strength and overall national power demonstrated by its strikes on Iran. But with recent moves in the U.S. bond market proving increasingly difficult to control, there is now reason to suspect that maintaining the dollar’s relative strength would better serve the United States’ broader interests. From a technical perspective, the dollar may also be entering a new phase. The U.S. Dollar Index is an important reference point for assessing the dollar and the broade","listText":"Although last week brought important data, including the nonfarm payrolls report, and some market moves, the more significant development was a change in the foreign exchange market. We had previously believed that the dollar faced the risk of a substantial decline, against the backdrop of what we saw as the weakening U.S. military strength and overall national power demonstrated by its strikes on Iran. But with recent moves in the U.S. bond market proving increasingly difficult to control, there is now reason to suspect that maintaining the dollar’s relative strength would better serve the United States’ broader interests. From a technical perspective, the dollar may also be entering a new phase. The U.S. Dollar Index is an important reference point for assessing the dollar and the broade","text":"Although last week brought important data, including the nonfarm payrolls report, and some market moves, the more significant development was a change in the foreign exchange market. We had previously believed that the dollar faced the risk of a substantial decline, against the backdrop of what we saw as the weakening U.S. military strength and overall national power demonstrated by its strikes on Iran. But with recent moves in the U.S. bond market proving increasingly difficult to control, there is now reason to suspect that maintaining the dollar’s relative strength would better serve the United States’ broader interests. From a technical perspective, the dollar may also be entering a new phase. The U.S. Dollar Index is an important reference point for assessing the dollar and the broade","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd5c90e1044ef7617c4ea0fea894f915"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9b729138a3ba7f8c605074671b7461d6"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d4fa3833d4f64e19310b3867517cb500"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":97,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616125225042056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613237563486456,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"streamModify":1790749108616,"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613006922932704,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613006922932704,"gmtCreate":1790680701597,"gmtModify":1790682278784,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: Nasdaq 30,900 Puts Build as Gold Bulls Defend $4,200—Which Side Are You On?📈📉","htmlText":"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti","listText":"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti","text":"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a05974321b8185a0084f5f8b12e988c1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de81bad49e9f6834a41a2189c0559c38"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/02ba7c356f95acadf7555cd2d39eb9d8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":920,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613006922932704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274743772174","authorId":"3479274743772174","name":"thinorfat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b5dd5252a1bca34909f191e8c9ba404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274743772174","idStr":"3479274743772174"},"content":"Gold upside with protection after a rate move usually reads like financed conviction, not pure fear. I care more about skew than OI here.","text":"Gold upside with protection after a rate move usually reads like financed conviction, not pure fear. I care more about skew than OI here.","html":"Gold upside with protection after a rate move usually reads like financed conviction, not pure fear. I care more about skew than OI here."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274743772174","authorId":"3479274743772174","name":"thinorfat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b5dd5252a1bca34909f191e8c9ba404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274743772174","idStr":"3479274743772174"},"content":"Gold upside with protection after a rate move usually reads like financed conviction, not pure fear. I care more about skew than OI here.","text":"Gold upside with protection after a rate move usually reads like financed conviction, not pure fear. I care more about skew than OI here.","html":"Gold upside with protection after a rate move usually reads like financed conviction, not pure fear. I care more about skew than OI here."}],"streamModify":1790682278784,"id":613006922932704,"gmtCreate":1790680701597,"gmtModify":1790682278784,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: Nasdaq 30,900 Puts Build as Gold Bulls Defend $4,200—Which Side Are You On?📈📉","htmlText":"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti","listText":"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti","text":"The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a05974321b8185a0084f5f8b12e988c1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de81bad49e9f6834a41a2189c0559c38"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/02ba7c356f95acadf7555cd2d39eb9d8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":920,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613006922932704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612912243802360,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612912243802360,"gmtCreate":1790657508081,"gmtModify":1790675065927,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Market Structure Watch: Can Gold Rebound or Reverse at Support? Bitcoin Eyes 85,000💵","htmlText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","listText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","text":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$ $微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$ $30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$ $10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$ On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6b48c96edd1647d8c20a4860764fc747"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/00bcba626ffb98c346f2d47ea1c6faa0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b52e746a984929fcd23e0751f74498c8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":73,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612912243802360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000420","authorId":"9000000000000420","name":"PorterLamb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000420","idStr":"9000000000000420"},"content":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","text":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","html":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000420","authorId":"9000000000000420","name":"PorterLamb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000420","idStr":"9000000000000420"},"content":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","text":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","html":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first"}],"streamModify":1790675065927,"id":612912243802360,"gmtCreate":1790657508081,"gmtModify":1790675065927,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Market Structure Watch: Can Gold Rebound or Reverse at Support? Bitcoin Eyes 85,000💵","htmlText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","listText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","text":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$ $微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$ $30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$ $10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$ On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6b48c96edd1647d8c20a4860764fc747"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/00bcba626ffb98c346f2d47ea1c6faa0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b52e746a984929fcd23e0751f74498c8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":73,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612912243802360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612589968314848,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612589968314848,"gmtCreate":1790578906036,"gmtModify":1790580401575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stocks and Treasuries Diverge: How to Position Ahead of a Market Turn?📈📉","htmlText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","listText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","text":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. $CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$ $BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fadb82585d6c61f7e38cbfd6a73ee6a9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612589968314848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274763284018","authorId":"3479274763284018","name":"MarsBloom","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f31b0657bdd536143132c5bc71f66f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274763284018","idStr":"3479274763284018"},"content":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","text":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","html":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274763284018","authorId":"3479274763284018","name":"MarsBloom","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f31b0657bdd536143132c5bc71f66f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274763284018","idStr":"3479274763284018"},"content":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","text":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","html":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in"}],"streamModify":1790580401575,"id":612589968314848,"gmtCreate":1790578906036,"gmtModify":1790580401575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stocks and Treasuries Diverge: How to Position Ahead of a Market Turn?📈📉","htmlText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","listText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","text":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. $CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$ $BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fadb82585d6c61f7e38cbfd6a73ee6a9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612589968314848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":611188593963368,"type":1,"entity":{"id":611188593963368,"gmtCreate":1790236770940,"gmtModify":1790238731417,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: Gold’s Defense Moves Up, Bitcoin’s 85K Put Signals Potential Regime Shift📈","htmlText":"A large 85,000 Bitcoin put order hit the market, while Gold’s defensive floor moved higher. Is the market about to turn? The option changes on September 22 show that open interest in Gold calls continued to expand. In Silver, traders maintained upside exposure at higher strikes while accelerating purchases of downside protection. In Bitcoin, however, new positions on both sides remained too small to be meaningful. This suggests that expectations for further upside in precious metals have not disappeared, but protection against pullbacks and volatility is becoming more expensive. Gold: Calls Still Dominate as Defensive Positioning Moves Higher Gold call open interest increased by a net 8,354 contracts, exceeding the 6,116-contract increase on the put side. Total call open interest stood at","listText":"A large 85,000 Bitcoin put order hit the market, while Gold’s defensive floor moved higher. Is the market about to turn? The option changes on September 22 show that open interest in Gold calls continued to expand. In Silver, traders maintained upside exposure at higher strikes while accelerating purchases of downside protection. In Bitcoin, however, new positions on both sides remained too small to be meaningful. This suggests that expectations for further upside in precious metals have not disappeared, but protection against pullbacks and volatility is becoming more expensive. Gold: Calls Still Dominate as Defensive Positioning Moves Higher Gold call open interest increased by a net 8,354 contracts, exceeding the 6,116-contract increase on the put side. Total call open interest stood at","text":"A large 85,000 Bitcoin put order hit the market, while Gold’s defensive floor moved higher. Is the market about to turn? The option changes on September 22 show that open interest in Gold calls continued to expand. In Silver, traders maintained upside exposure at higher strikes while accelerating purchases of downside protection. In Bitcoin, however, new positions on both sides remained too small to be meaningful. This suggests that expectations for further upside in precious metals have not disappeared, but protection against pullbacks and volatility is becoming more expensive. Gold: Calls Still Dominate as Defensive Positioning Moves Higher Gold call open interest increased by a net 8,354 contracts, exceeding the 6,116-contract increase on the put side. Total call open interest stood at","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1513f151d25eabd704cb032ca2662ce3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/05cbf423d61f173535e529c14177114f"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b395d714224c1cd3d683d1be73b7ff4"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":32,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/611188593963368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274793181513","idStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Gold still looks firm, but I care more about whether those deep OTM 3700 puts stop building. That is when the bull case feels cleaner","text":"Gold still looks firm, but I care more about whether those deep OTM 3700 puts stop building. That is when the bull case feels cleaner","html":"Gold still looks firm, but I care more about whether those deep OTM 3700 puts stop building. That is when the bull case feels cleaner"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274793181513","idStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Gold still looks firm, but I care more about whether those deep OTM 3700 puts stop building. That is when the bull case feels cleaner","text":"Gold still looks firm, but I care more about whether those deep OTM 3700 puts stop building. That is when the bull case feels cleaner","html":"Gold still looks firm, but I care more about whether those deep OTM 3700 puts stop building. That is when the bull case feels cleaner"}],"streamModify":1790238731417,"id":611188593963368,"gmtCreate":1790236770940,"gmtModify":1790238731417,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: Gold’s Defense Moves Up, Bitcoin’s 85K Put Signals Potential Regime Shift📈","htmlText":"A large 85,000 Bitcoin put order hit the market, while Gold’s defensive floor moved higher. Is the market about to turn? The option changes on September 22 show that open interest in Gold calls continued to expand. In Silver, traders maintained upside exposure at higher strikes while accelerating purchases of downside protection. In Bitcoin, however, new positions on both sides remained too small to be meaningful. This suggests that expectations for further upside in precious metals have not disappeared, but protection against pullbacks and volatility is becoming more expensive. Gold: Calls Still Dominate as Defensive Positioning Moves Higher Gold call open interest increased by a net 8,354 contracts, exceeding the 6,116-contract increase on the put side. Total call open interest stood at","listText":"A large 85,000 Bitcoin put order hit the market, while Gold’s defensive floor moved higher. Is the market about to turn? The option changes on September 22 show that open interest in Gold calls continued to expand. In Silver, traders maintained upside exposure at higher strikes while accelerating purchases of downside protection. In Bitcoin, however, new positions on both sides remained too small to be meaningful. This suggests that expectations for further upside in precious metals have not disappeared, but protection against pullbacks and volatility is becoming more expensive. Gold: Calls Still Dominate as Defensive Positioning Moves Higher Gold call open interest increased by a net 8,354 contracts, exceeding the 6,116-contract increase on the put side. Total call open interest stood at","text":"A large 85,000 Bitcoin put order hit the market, while Gold’s defensive floor moved higher. Is the market about to turn? The option changes on September 22 show that open interest in Gold calls continued to expand. In Silver, traders maintained upside exposure at higher strikes while accelerating purchases of downside protection. In Bitcoin, however, new positions on both sides remained too small to be meaningful. This suggests that expectations for further upside in precious metals have not disappeared, but protection against pullbacks and volatility is becoming more expensive. Gold: Calls Still Dominate as Defensive Positioning Moves Higher Gold call open interest increased by a net 8,354 contracts, exceeding the 6,116-contract increase on the put side. Total call open interest stood at","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1513f151d25eabd704cb032ca2662ce3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/05cbf423d61f173535e529c14177114f"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b395d714224c1cd3d683d1be73b7ff4"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":32,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/611188593963368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610818128634264,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike”&nbsp;narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher.&nbsp;September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\".&nbsp;Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections.&nbsp;The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike”&nbsp;narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher.&nbsp;September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\".&nbsp;Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections.&nbsp;The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"streamModify":1790146451805,"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike”&nbsp;narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher.&nbsp;September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\".&nbsp;Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections.&nbsp;The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike”&nbsp;narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher.&nbsp;September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\".&nbsp;Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections.&nbsp;The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":609028128932000,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available&gt;&gt;","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available&gt;&gt;","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":30,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"streamModify":1789719877417,"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available&gt;&gt;","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available&gt;&gt;","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":30,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":607712196923416,"type":1,"entity":{"id":607712196923416,"gmtCreate":1789375718817,"gmtModify":1789375871575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Reposition After Taking Profits: A Practical Framework for Futures Rollovers and ETF Trading","htmlText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","listText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","text":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5066f91db118b219ae0e0039ac8de604"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":40,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607712196923416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000169","authorId":"9000000000000169","name":"JohnnyYoung","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6a0fed4b2624034014be633476534a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000169","idStr":"9000000000000169"},"content":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","text":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","html":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000169","authorId":"9000000000000169","name":"JohnnyYoung","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6a0fed4b2624034014be633476534a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000169","idStr":"9000000000000169"},"content":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","text":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","html":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner"}],"streamModify":1789375871575,"id":607712196923416,"gmtCreate":1789375718817,"gmtModify":1789375871575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Reposition After Taking Profits: A Practical Framework for Futures Rollovers and ETF Trading","htmlText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","listText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","text":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5066f91db118b219ae0e0039ac8de604"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":40,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607712196923416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":606536239624240,"type":1,"entity":{"id":606536239624240,"gmtCreate":1789110833944,"gmtModify":1789114108241,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Could Rate Hike Uncertainty Keep Markets Range-Bound? Three Ways to Track the Key Assets","htmlText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;1875834123583595&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","listText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;1875834123583595&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","text":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> 空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？ Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0518f524d3d3e0231a7c56dba6343cd8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606536239624240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000427","authorId":"9000000000000427","name":"PenelopeHood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe619b28a9ab446bf388e9aadd75bb65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000427","idStr":"9000000000000427"},"content":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","text":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","html":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly"},{"author":{"id":"3479274717122482","authorId":"3479274717122482","name":"mizzmo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c93cde9144b779ded3076616f3e20b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274717122482","idStr":"3479274717122482"},"content":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","text":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","html":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently."}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000427","authorId":"9000000000000427","name":"PenelopeHood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe619b28a9ab446bf388e9aadd75bb65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000427","idStr":"9000000000000427"},"content":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","text":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","html":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly"},{"author":{"id":"3479274717122482","authorId":"3479274717122482","name":"mizzmo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c93cde9144b779ded3076616f3e20b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274717122482","idStr":"3479274717122482"},"content":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","text":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","html":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently."}],"streamModify":1789114108241,"id":606536239624240,"gmtCreate":1789110833944,"gmtModify":1789114108241,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Could Rate Hike Uncertainty Keep Markets Range-Bound? Three Ways to Track the Key Assets","htmlText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;1875834123583595&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","listText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;1875834123583595&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","text":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> 空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？ Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0518f524d3d3e0231a7c56dba6343cd8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606536239624240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605840101466240,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000721","idStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000721","idStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"streamModify":1788941102939,"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":604169357180952,"type":1,"entity":{"id":604169357180952,"gmtCreate":1788510767708,"gmtModify":1788510954345,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572493257500324","idStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","listText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","text":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb? Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/caa8565f02b7f9b420b5ce047a42aa5e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/604169357180952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000568","idStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","text":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","html":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge"}],"imageCount":27,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000568","idStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","text":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","html":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge"}],"streamModify":1788510954345,"id":604169357180952,"gmtCreate":1788510767708,"gmtModify":1788510954345,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572493257500324","idStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","listText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","text":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb? Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/caa8565f02b7f9b420b5ce047a42aa5e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/604169357180952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":27,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":600364937115136,"type":1,"entity":{"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000469","idStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000469","idStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"streamModify":1787645572733,"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":585647642038368,"type":1,"entity":{"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1784018004707,"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":583193633964320,"type":1,"entity":{"id":583193633964320,"gmtCreate":1783415779787,"gmtModify":1783415882603,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Downtrend Isn't Over, But a Rebound Window Is Opening: July Opportunities for Bitcoin and Ethere","htmlText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","listText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","text":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c918ebfb79fc773e098a4c24e626237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583193633964320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1783415882603,"id":583193633964320,"gmtCreate":1783415779787,"gmtModify":1783415882603,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Downtrend Isn't Over, But a Rebound Window Is Opening: July Opportunities for Bitcoin and Ethere","htmlText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","listText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&amp;P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","text":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c918ebfb79fc773e098a4c24e626237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583193633964320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"Chicago Mercantile Exchange","code":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","name":"CME","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":10,"zone":"CST","zoneId":"America/Chicago","zoneName":"Central Standard Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Crypto_Currency","contractCode":"BTC2611","contractId":"7f970d81947d4302a330b54efccf85e3","contractMonth":"202611","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/bitcoin_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"5 per index point ( US$25 )","productScale":"5 Bitcoins","productTradingMonth":"the nearest 2 months in the March quarterly cycle (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec) plus the nearest 2 serial months not in the March quarterly cycle.","productTradingTime":"Sun 16:05–Mon 16:00; Mon–Thu 16:45–next day 16:00","productType":"Cryptocurrencies","productWorth":"US$5 USD per index point","worth":5},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20261127","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1795795200000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":5},"name":"CME Bitcoin - Nov 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_BTC_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":0,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":0,"value":5},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":0,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"BTCmain","referMainContractId":"54721f1129c94177be563f00f4c44127","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"BTC","symbolId":"FT_SY_BTC","symbolName":"CME Bitcoin"}}