BZmain (Brent Last Day Financial - main 2701)
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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"BZmain","contractId":"46ca81258c474014856f3432dfc2470b","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financial Futures","productExchangeUrl":"https://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/energy/crude-oil/brent-crude-oil-last-day_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.01（ USD/barrel）( US$10 )","productScale":"1,000 barrels","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contract for this year and the next 7 consecutive calendar years, and 3 additional consecutive contract months","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$1,000 x futures price","worth":1000},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1000},"name":"Brent Last Day Financial - main 2701","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_BZ_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"BZ","symbolId":"FT_SY_BZ","symbolName":"Brent Last Day Financial"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":621468892430696,"type":1,"entity":{"id":621468892430696,"gmtCreate":1792747802557,"gmtModify":1792747883918,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Top Technical Picks: CRWV Selling Looks Excessive, HSI Needs to Clear 23,200 First !!","htmlText":"This technical review begins with CoreWeave (CRWV), a stock currently in focus. We examine what its break below $60 means as credit risk is repriced, then identify key technical levels for the Nasdaq, gold, crude oil, and the Hang Seng Index. The key question is whether the rebound after the sharp selloff can repair the technical damage and whether major support levels can hold. Let’s start with CRWV. CoreWeave: Credit Risk Repricing Pushes Shares Below $60 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CWVX\">$Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CWVX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWG\">$Leverage Shares 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CRWG)$</a> ","listText":"This technical review begins with CoreWeave (CRWV), a stock currently in focus. We examine what its break below $60 means as credit risk is repriced, then identify key technical levels for the Nasdaq, gold, crude oil, and the Hang Seng Index. The key question is whether the rebound after the sharp selloff can repair the technical damage and whether major support levels can hold. Let’s start with CRWV. CoreWeave: Credit Risk Repricing Pushes Shares Below $60 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CWVX\">$Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CWVX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWG\">$Leverage Shares 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CRWG)$</a> ","text":"This technical review begins with CoreWeave (CRWV), a stock currently in focus. We examine what its break below $60 means as credit risk is repriced, then identify key technical levels for the Nasdaq, gold, crude oil, and the Hang Seng Index. The key question is whether the rebound after the sharp selloff can repair the technical damage and whether major support levels can hold. Let’s start with CRWV. CoreWeave: Credit Risk Repricing Pushes Shares Below $60 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CWVX)$ $Leverage Shares 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CRWG)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/784570c49f9a86b428ce7aaea330f9a4"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621468892430696","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000478","authorId":"9000000000000478","name":"Maria_yy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/168415c8fa94e7b14ffb415e8098eac9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000478","idStr":"9000000000000478"},"content":"Breaking $60 definitely changed the short term structure, but a 10% flush to 55.6 with IV this elevated does look a bit overdone. 58.5 reclaim matters first","text":"Breaking $60 definitely changed the short term structure, but a 10% flush to 55.6 with IV this elevated does look a bit overdone. 58.5 reclaim matters first","html":"Breaking $60 definitely changed the short term structure, but a 10% flush to 55.6 with IV this elevated does look a bit overdone. 58.5 reclaim matters first"}],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000478","authorId":"9000000000000478","name":"Maria_yy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/168415c8fa94e7b14ffb415e8098eac9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000478","idStr":"9000000000000478"},"content":"Breaking $60 definitely changed the short term structure, but a 10% flush to 55.6 with IV this elevated does look a bit overdone. 58.5 reclaim matters first","text":"Breaking $60 definitely changed the short term structure, but a 10% flush to 55.6 with IV this elevated does look a bit overdone. 58.5 reclaim matters first","html":"Breaking $60 definitely changed the short term structure, but a 10% flush to 55.6 with IV this elevated does look a bit overdone. 58.5 reclaim matters first"}],"streamModify":1792747883918,"id":621468892430696,"gmtCreate":1792747802557,"gmtModify":1792747883918,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Top Technical Picks: CRWV Selling Looks Excessive, HSI Needs to Clear 23,200 First !!","htmlText":"This technical review begins with CoreWeave (CRWV), a stock currently in focus. We examine what its break below $60 means as credit risk is repriced, then identify key technical levels for the Nasdaq, gold, crude oil, and the Hang Seng Index. The key question is whether the rebound after the sharp selloff can repair the technical damage and whether major support levels can hold. Let’s start with CRWV. CoreWeave: Credit Risk Repricing Pushes Shares Below $60 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CWVX\">$Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CWVX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWG\">$Leverage Shares 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CRWG)$</a> ","listText":"This technical review begins with CoreWeave (CRWV), a stock currently in focus. We examine what its break below $60 means as credit risk is repriced, then identify key technical levels for the Nasdaq, gold, crude oil, and the Hang Seng Index. The key question is whether the rebound after the sharp selloff can repair the technical damage and whether major support levels can hold. Let’s start with CRWV. CoreWeave: Credit Risk Repricing Pushes Shares Below $60 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CWVX\">$Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CWVX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRWG\">$Leverage Shares 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CRWG)$</a> ","text":"This technical review begins with CoreWeave (CRWV), a stock currently in focus. We examine what its break below $60 means as credit risk is repriced, then identify key technical levels for the Nasdaq, gold, crude oil, and the Hang Seng Index. The key question is whether the rebound after the sharp selloff can repair the technical damage and whether major support levels can hold. Let’s start with CRWV. CoreWeave: Credit Risk Repricing Pushes Shares Below $60 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CWVX)$ $Leverage Shares 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CRWG)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/784570c49f9a86b428ce7aaea330f9a4"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621468892430696","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":618291626528920,"type":1,"entity":{"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000656","idStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000656","idStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"streamModify":1792033079032,"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":618271585055024,"type":1,"entity":{"id":618271585055024,"gmtCreate":1791971935213,"gmtModify":1791972345020,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Weekly: Yields Near a Peak? Key Setups in Gold and Long Bonds","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e04e27965925350d031ea306447530"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":61,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618271585055024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274783097893","authorId":"3479274783097893","name":"OYoung","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture120","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274783097893","idStr":"3479274783097893"},"content":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","text":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","html":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end"},{"author":{"id":"3479274779734729","authorId":"3479274779734729","name":"zingle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274779734729","idStr":"3479274779734729"},"content":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","text":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","html":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀"}],"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274783097893","authorId":"3479274783097893","name":"OYoung","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture120","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274783097893","idStr":"3479274783097893"},"content":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","text":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","html":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end"},{"author":{"id":"3479274779734729","authorId":"3479274779734729","name":"zingle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274779734729","idStr":"3479274779734729"},"content":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","text":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","html":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀"}],"streamModify":1791972345020,"id":618271585055024,"gmtCreate":1791971935213,"gmtModify":1791972345020,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Weekly: Yields Near a Peak? Key Setups in Gold and Long Bonds","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e04e27965925350d031ea306447530"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":61,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618271585055024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":617592835523200,"type":1,"entity":{"id":617592835523200,"gmtCreate":1791788623756,"gmtModify":1791793658762,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil May Retest $80: Watch the Brent-WTI Spread Before Buying the Dip📉💰","htmlText":"News over the weekend of an attack on an airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, that caused casualties prompted concern and discussion about what might happen next in the Middle East. Yet oil did not rise at the start of this week as many had expected. After opening slightly higher, it has now fallen by more than 1%. That does not mean oil’s upward path has ended. On the contrary, if the pullback lasts long enough and goes far enough, oil could still retest its highs, especially if accompanied by new U.S. actions. After a substantial rebound and recovery, WTI crude oil repeatedly produced “9” signals on the daily chart and eventually began to pull back around mid-September. Bears are now testing trendline support dating back to July, and a break below it is quite possible. With no new geopolitic","listText":"News over the weekend of an attack on an airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, that caused casualties prompted concern and discussion about what might happen next in the Middle East. Yet oil did not rise at the start of this week as many had expected. After opening slightly higher, it has now fallen by more than 1%. That does not mean oil’s upward path has ended. On the contrary, if the pullback lasts long enough and goes far enough, oil could still retest its highs, especially if accompanied by new U.S. actions. After a substantial rebound and recovery, WTI crude oil repeatedly produced “9” signals on the daily chart and eventually began to pull back around mid-September. Bears are now testing trendline support dating back to July, and a break below it is quite possible. With no new geopolitic","text":"News over the weekend of an attack on an airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, that caused casualties prompted concern and discussion about what might happen next in the Middle East. Yet oil did not rise at the start of this week as many had expected. After opening slightly higher, it has now fallen by more than 1%. That does not mean oil’s upward path has ended. On the contrary, if the pullback lasts long enough and goes far enough, oil could still retest its highs, especially if accompanied by new U.S. actions. After a substantial rebound and recovery, WTI crude oil repeatedly produced “9” signals on the daily chart and eventually began to pull back around mid-September. Bears are now testing trendline support dating back to July, and a break below it is quite possible. With no new geopolitic","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d1e61fec45a512736373c3138b373b20"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/05096e89ecb70aab3b31ad162321cbcb"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/36d93011b1c1021f2a2236a175ab6d19"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":47,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/617592835523200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000177","authorId":"9000000000000177","name":"jigglyp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81107c0431f248a6c5b526745a8ca6e4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000177","idStr":"9000000000000177"},"content":"75 looks like a technical retest, not a trend break. If Brent-WTI stays wide, dip buyers in WTI probably get a cleaner setup","text":"75 looks like a technical retest, not a trend break. If Brent-WTI stays wide, dip buyers in WTI probably get a cleaner setup","html":"75 looks like a technical retest, not a trend break. If Brent-WTI stays wide, dip buyers in WTI probably get a cleaner setup"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000177","authorId":"9000000000000177","name":"jigglyp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81107c0431f248a6c5b526745a8ca6e4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000177","idStr":"9000000000000177"},"content":"75 looks like a technical retest, not a trend break. If Brent-WTI stays wide, dip buyers in WTI probably get a cleaner setup","text":"75 looks like a technical retest, not a trend break. If Brent-WTI stays wide, dip buyers in WTI probably get a cleaner setup","html":"75 looks like a technical retest, not a trend break. If Brent-WTI stays wide, dip buyers in WTI probably get a cleaner setup"}],"streamModify":1791793658762,"id":617592835523200,"gmtCreate":1791788623756,"gmtModify":1791793658762,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil May Retest $80: Watch the Brent-WTI Spread Before Buying the Dip📉💰","htmlText":"News over the weekend of an attack on an airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, that caused casualties prompted concern and discussion about what might happen next in the Middle East. Yet oil did not rise at the start of this week as many had expected. After opening slightly higher, it has now fallen by more than 1%. That does not mean oil’s upward path has ended. On the contrary, if the pullback lasts long enough and goes far enough, oil could still retest its highs, especially if accompanied by new U.S. actions. After a substantial rebound and recovery, WTI crude oil repeatedly produced “9” signals on the daily chart and eventually began to pull back around mid-September. Bears are now testing trendline support dating back to July, and a break below it is quite possible. With no new geopolitic","listText":"News over the weekend of an attack on an airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, that caused casualties prompted concern and discussion about what might happen next in the Middle East. Yet oil did not rise at the start of this week as many had expected. After opening slightly higher, it has now fallen by more than 1%. That does not mean oil’s upward path has ended. On the contrary, if the pullback lasts long enough and goes far enough, oil could still retest its highs, especially if accompanied by new U.S. actions. After a substantial rebound and recovery, WTI crude oil repeatedly produced “9” signals on the daily chart and eventually began to pull back around mid-September. Bears are now testing trendline support dating back to July, and a break below it is quite possible. With no new geopolitic","text":"News over the weekend of an attack on an airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, that caused casualties prompted concern and discussion about what might happen next in the Middle East. Yet oil did not rise at the start of this week as many had expected. After opening slightly higher, it has now fallen by more than 1%. That does not mean oil’s upward path has ended. On the contrary, if the pullback lasts long enough and goes far enough, oil could still retest its highs, especially if accompanied by new U.S. actions. After a substantial rebound and recovery, WTI crude oil repeatedly produced “9” signals on the daily chart and eventually began to pull back around mid-September. Bears are now testing trendline support dating back to July, and a break below it is quite possible. With no new geopolitic","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d1e61fec45a512736373c3138b373b20"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/05096e89ecb70aab3b31ad162321cbcb"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/36d93011b1c1021f2a2236a175ab6d19"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":47,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/617592835523200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":616453124248096,"type":1,"entity":{"id":616453124248096,"gmtCreate":1791534914161,"gmtModify":1791535503784,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Market Structure Watch：Gold Holds 4,130; Crude Oil Eyes 94 Breakout💰📈","htmlText":"English version： U.S. Dollar: 102.1–101.6 Is the Key Range On October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied but failed to break above its previous high before pulling back, closing the day with a bearish candle featuring a long upper wick. In my view, near-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat. For October 9, my initial focus is on the 102.1–101.6 range. If the index continues to struggle to break decisively above resistance, a pullback in the dollar could provide support for gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> Gold: The Intraday Bias Remains Bullish as Long as 4,130 Holds Gold traded within a roughly $40 range on October 8, with repeated intraday swings as buyers and sellers battled for control. Nevertheless, the daily candle cl","listText":"English version： U.S. Dollar: 102.1–101.6 Is the Key Range On October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied but failed to break above its previous high before pulling back, closing the day with a bearish candle featuring a long upper wick. In my view, near-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat. For October 9, my initial focus is on the 102.1–101.6 range. If the index continues to struggle to break decisively above resistance, a pullback in the dollar could provide support for gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> Gold: The Intraday Bias Remains Bullish as Long as 4,130 Holds Gold traded within a roughly $40 range on October 8, with repeated intraday swings as buyers and sellers battled for control. Nevertheless, the daily candle cl","text":"English version： U.S. Dollar: 102.1–101.6 Is the Key Range On October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied but failed to break above its previous high before pulling back, closing the day with a bearish candle featuring a long upper wick. In my view, near-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat. For October 9, my initial focus is on the 102.1–101.6 range. If the index continues to struggle to break decisively above resistance, a pullback in the dollar could provide support for gold.$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ Gold: The Intraday Bias Remains Bullish as Long as 4,130 Holds Gold traded within a roughly $40 range on October 8, with repeated intraday swings as buyers and sellers battled for control. Nevertheless, the daily candle cl","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae3f1b56b5cbff8671fc0624d706f0ab"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5593982f48272fa749c6ac1a37fcb6a2"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2caf9d5ea523a2389039160a1806956d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":25,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616453124248096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000728","authorId":"9000000000000728","name":"yansuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90c36a09caab2ffd35267ac360780ce4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000728","idStr":"9000000000000728"},"content":"4130 holding is solid, but if the dollar really loses 101.6 I think gold accelerates faster than this post suggests and probably retests the high quick","text":"4130 holding is solid, but if the dollar really loses 101.6 I think gold accelerates faster than this post suggests and probably retests the high quick","html":"4130 holding is solid, but if the dollar really loses 101.6 I think gold accelerates faster than this post suggests and probably retests the high quick"},{"author":{"id":"3479274783770040","authorId":"3479274783770040","name":"HunterGame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf1cf89bc24c5ddf080de8c01c25fb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274783770040","idStr":"3479274783770040"},"content":"94 matters, but that 102-106 area could get sticky fast. Last year's Q4 trapped supply likely shows up there, so a clean push probably needs real volume","text":"94 matters, but that 102-106 area could get sticky fast. Last year's Q4 trapped supply likely shows up there, so a clean push probably needs real volume","html":"94 matters, but that 102-106 area could get sticky fast. Last year's Q4 trapped supply likely shows up there, so a clean push probably needs real volume"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000728","authorId":"9000000000000728","name":"yansuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90c36a09caab2ffd35267ac360780ce4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000728","idStr":"9000000000000728"},"content":"4130 holding is solid, but if the dollar really loses 101.6 I think gold accelerates faster than this post suggests and probably retests the high quick","text":"4130 holding is solid, but if the dollar really loses 101.6 I think gold accelerates faster than this post suggests and probably retests the high quick","html":"4130 holding is solid, but if the dollar really loses 101.6 I think gold accelerates faster than this post suggests and probably retests the high quick"},{"author":{"id":"3479274783770040","authorId":"3479274783770040","name":"HunterGame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf1cf89bc24c5ddf080de8c01c25fb0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274783770040","idStr":"3479274783770040"},"content":"94 matters, but that 102-106 area could get sticky fast. Last year's Q4 trapped supply likely shows up there, so a clean push probably needs real volume","text":"94 matters, but that 102-106 area could get sticky fast. Last year's Q4 trapped supply likely shows up there, so a clean push probably needs real volume","html":"94 matters, but that 102-106 area could get sticky fast. Last year's Q4 trapped supply likely shows up there, so a clean push probably needs real volume"}],"streamModify":1791535503784,"id":616453124248096,"gmtCreate":1791534914161,"gmtModify":1791535503784,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Market Structure Watch：Gold Holds 4,130; Crude Oil Eyes 94 Breakout💰📈","htmlText":"English version： U.S. Dollar: 102.1–101.6 Is the Key Range On October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied but failed to break above its previous high before pulling back, closing the day with a bearish candle featuring a long upper wick. In my view, near-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat. For October 9, my initial focus is on the 102.1–101.6 range. If the index continues to struggle to break decisively above resistance, a pullback in the dollar could provide support for gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> Gold: The Intraday Bias Remains Bullish as Long as 4,130 Holds Gold traded within a roughly $40 range on October 8, with repeated intraday swings as buyers and sellers battled for control. Nevertheless, the daily candle cl","listText":"English version： U.S. Dollar: 102.1–101.6 Is the Key Range On October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied but failed to break above its previous high before pulling back, closing the day with a bearish candle featuring a long upper wick. In my view, near-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat. For October 9, my initial focus is on the 102.1–101.6 range. If the index continues to struggle to break decisively above resistance, a pullback in the dollar could provide support for gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> Gold: The Intraday Bias Remains Bullish as Long as 4,130 Holds Gold traded within a roughly $40 range on October 8, with repeated intraday swings as buyers and sellers battled for control. Nevertheless, the daily candle cl","text":"English version： U.S. Dollar: 102.1–101.6 Is the Key Range On October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied but failed to break above its previous high before pulling back, closing the day with a bearish candle featuring a long upper wick. In my view, near-term upward momentum has weakened somewhat. For October 9, my initial focus is on the 102.1–101.6 range. If the index continues to struggle to break decisively above resistance, a pullback in the dollar could provide support for gold.$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ Gold: The Intraday Bias Remains Bullish as Long as 4,130 Holds Gold traded within a roughly $40 range on October 8, with repeated intraday swings as buyers and sellers battled for control. Nevertheless, the daily candle cl","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae3f1b56b5cbff8671fc0624d706f0ab"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5593982f48272fa749c6ac1a37fcb6a2"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2caf9d5ea523a2389039160a1806956d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":25,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616453124248096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":616117111431576,"type":1,"entity":{"id":616117111431576,"gmtCreate":1791440022436,"gmtModify":1791442414679,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Hedge Against a Sudden U.S. Stock Pullback？ Spot Opportunity in Oil Futures Spreads💵","htmlText":"Last week’s October nonfarm payrolls report came in below market expectations overall, providing a sharp contrast to September’s exceptionally strong reading. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market now puts the probability of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s October meeting below 30%. The probability of two hikes by December has also fallen from 60% to less than 20%, suggesting that the market is gradually coming around to a more moderate Fed rate-hike path. Attention will therefore shift back to U.S.–Iran talks and developments around the U.S. midterm elections. Financial markets may subsequently price in their expectations for the election outcome. If Trump’s Republican Party falls behind, pressure on the Fed to cut rates could ease, which may be unfavorable for rate-sensitiv","listText":"Last week’s October nonfarm payrolls report came in below market expectations overall, providing a sharp contrast to September’s exceptionally strong reading. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market now puts the probability of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s October meeting below 30%. The probability of two hikes by December has also fallen from 60% to less than 20%, suggesting that the market is gradually coming around to a more moderate Fed rate-hike path. Attention will therefore shift back to U.S.–Iran talks and developments around the U.S. midterm elections. Financial markets may subsequently price in their expectations for the election outcome. If Trump’s Republican Party falls behind, pressure on the Fed to cut rates could ease, which may be unfavorable for rate-sensitiv","text":"Last week’s October nonfarm payrolls report came in below market expectations overall, providing a sharp contrast to September’s exceptionally strong reading. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market now puts the probability of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s October meeting below 30%. The probability of two hikes by December has also fallen from 60% to less than 20%, suggesting that the market is gradually coming around to a more moderate Fed rate-hike path. Attention will therefore shift back to U.S.–Iran talks and developments around the U.S. midterm elections. Financial markets may subsequently price in their expectations for the election outcome. If Trump’s Republican Party falls behind, pressure on the Fed to cut rates could ease, which may be unfavorable for rate-sensitiv","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a15c73e5971e486189a908d6c4325"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a797e7aa4974c81c5f0397f428bd1be4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b25ad7ed032a1cb4d3438c6eff112787"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":79,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616117111431576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000484","authorId":"9000000000000484","name":"cheezi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1c16d0b9681dfcb63f65d353f063f28","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000484","idStr":"9000000000000484"},"content":"That $3 spread is a decent entry, but the roll and margin swings matter more than the macro here. Clear stop rules make this setup cleaner.","text":"That $3 spread is a decent entry, but the roll and margin swings matter more than the macro here. Clear stop rules make this setup cleaner.","html":"That $3 spread is a decent entry, but the roll and margin swings matter more than the macro here. Clear stop rules make this setup cleaner."}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000484","authorId":"9000000000000484","name":"cheezi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1c16d0b9681dfcb63f65d353f063f28","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000484","idStr":"9000000000000484"},"content":"That $3 spread is a decent entry, but the roll and margin swings matter more than the macro here. Clear stop rules make this setup cleaner.","text":"That $3 spread is a decent entry, but the roll and margin swings matter more than the macro here. Clear stop rules make this setup cleaner.","html":"That $3 spread is a decent entry, but the roll and margin swings matter more than the macro here. Clear stop rules make this setup cleaner."}],"streamModify":1791442414679,"id":616117111431576,"gmtCreate":1791440022436,"gmtModify":1791442414679,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Hedge Against a Sudden U.S. Stock Pullback？ Spot Opportunity in Oil Futures Spreads💵","htmlText":"Last week’s October nonfarm payrolls report came in below market expectations overall, providing a sharp contrast to September’s exceptionally strong reading. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market now puts the probability of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s October meeting below 30%. The probability of two hikes by December has also fallen from 60% to less than 20%, suggesting that the market is gradually coming around to a more moderate Fed rate-hike path. Attention will therefore shift back to U.S.–Iran talks and developments around the U.S. midterm elections. Financial markets may subsequently price in their expectations for the election outcome. If Trump’s Republican Party falls behind, pressure on the Fed to cut rates could ease, which may be unfavorable for rate-sensitiv","listText":"Last week’s October nonfarm payrolls report came in below market expectations overall, providing a sharp contrast to September’s exceptionally strong reading. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market now puts the probability of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s October meeting below 30%. The probability of two hikes by December has also fallen from 60% to less than 20%, suggesting that the market is gradually coming around to a more moderate Fed rate-hike path. Attention will therefore shift back to U.S.–Iran talks and developments around the U.S. midterm elections. Financial markets may subsequently price in their expectations for the election outcome. If Trump’s Republican Party falls behind, pressure on the Fed to cut rates could ease, which may be unfavorable for rate-sensitiv","text":"Last week’s October nonfarm payrolls report came in below market expectations overall, providing a sharp contrast to September’s exceptionally strong reading. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market now puts the probability of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s October meeting below 30%. The probability of two hikes by December has also fallen from 60% to less than 20%, suggesting that the market is gradually coming around to a more moderate Fed rate-hike path. Attention will therefore shift back to U.S.–Iran talks and developments around the U.S. midterm elections. Financial markets may subsequently price in their expectations for the election outcome. If Trump’s Republican Party falls behind, pressure on the Fed to cut rates could ease, which may be unfavorable for rate-sensitiv","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a15c73e5971e486189a908d6c4325"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a797e7aa4974c81c5f0397f428bd1be4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b25ad7ed032a1cb4d3438c6eff112787"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":79,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616117111431576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613296824443016,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000196","idStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000196","idStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"streamModify":1790751738507,"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612969788109280,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612969788109280,"gmtCreate":1790671635478,"gmtModify":1790673520242,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"It All Comes Down to Rates: Are Hawkish Expectations Overpriced and Treasury Yields Near a Peak?","htmlText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","listText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","text":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/367b044ab7c927d888822efd5d556c8b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/433793aeed0c3aa4825e88148ef90704"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1cfd127b0d4aa6e45d5577c153ba4e94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":42,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612969788109280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000364","authorId":"9000000000000364","name":"groovix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000364","idStr":"9000000000000364"},"content":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","text":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","html":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000364","authorId":"9000000000000364","name":"groovix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000364","idStr":"9000000000000364"},"content":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","text":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","html":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold"}],"streamModify":1790673520242,"id":612969788109280,"gmtCreate":1790671635478,"gmtModify":1790673520242,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"It All Comes Down to Rates: Are Hawkish Expectations Overpriced and Treasury Yields Near a Peak?","htmlText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","listText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","text":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/367b044ab7c927d888822efd5d556c8b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/433793aeed0c3aa4825e88148ef90704"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1cfd127b0d4aa6e45d5577c153ba4e94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":42,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612969788109280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612588083507224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612588083507224,"gmtCreate":1790578366259,"gmtModify":1790578930166,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Policy Shift Before the Midterms? 3 Ways to Position for Market Opportunities💰","htmlText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","listText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","text":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4da36be0e85c6966775a15475c7dd091"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a07b9940241e5fcd9dff93ace345ea80"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52ada8201bd2cfaadc7282d7d27d235b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612588083507224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000416","authorId":"9000000000000416","name":"peppywoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9412ae10bafb07946890558126185d43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000416","idStr":"9000000000000416"},"content":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","text":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","html":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000416","authorId":"9000000000000416","name":"peppywoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9412ae10bafb07946890558126185d43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000416","idStr":"9000000000000416"},"content":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","text":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","html":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests"}],"streamModify":1790578930166,"id":612588083507224,"gmtCreate":1790578366259,"gmtModify":1790578930166,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Policy Shift Before the Midterms? 3 Ways to Position for Market Opportunities💰","htmlText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","listText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","text":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4da36be0e85c6966775a15475c7dd091"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a07b9940241e5fcd9dff93ace345ea80"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52ada8201bd2cfaadc7282d7d27d235b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612588083507224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":611125077598344,"type":1,"entity":{"id":611125077598344,"gmtCreate":1790221177447,"gmtModify":1790230129453,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold: 4,311 Is the Line – Bounce or Break? Crude Oil Double Bottom in Play💰💵","htmlText":"The market has been choppy over the past two days, and short-term moves can easily disrupt one’s rhythm. I would rather lay out the key levels clearly and then assess the market’s reaction once prices reach them: for gold, the first question is whether a rebound will encounter resistance; for crude oil, the focus is on whether the low-level recovery can continue. U.S. Dollar Index: Firm Bias, but Guard Against a Pullback After a Spike The U.S. Dollar Index formed a large bullish candle with a relatively substantial real body yesterday, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains in place. Today, watch how the index trades within the 100.6–101.6 range. The overall bias remains constructive, but a pullback after a move higher should also be kept in mind.","listText":"The market has been choppy over the past two days, and short-term moves can easily disrupt one’s rhythm. I would rather lay out the key levels clearly and then assess the market’s reaction once prices reach them: for gold, the first question is whether a rebound will encounter resistance; for crude oil, the focus is on whether the low-level recovery can continue. U.S. Dollar Index: Firm Bias, but Guard Against a Pullback After a Spike The U.S. Dollar Index formed a large bullish candle with a relatively substantial real body yesterday, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains in place. Today, watch how the index trades within the 100.6–101.6 range. The overall bias remains constructive, but a pullback after a move higher should also be kept in mind.","text":"The market has been choppy over the past two days, and short-term moves can easily disrupt one’s rhythm. I would rather lay out the key levels clearly and then assess the market’s reaction once prices reach them: for gold, the first question is whether a rebound will encounter resistance; for crude oil, the focus is on whether the low-level recovery can continue. U.S. Dollar Index: Firm Bias, but Guard Against a Pullback After a Spike The U.S. Dollar Index formed a large bullish candle with a relatively substantial real body yesterday, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains in place. Today, watch how the index trades within the 100.6–101.6 range. The overall bias remains constructive, but a pullback after a move higher should also be kept in mind.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2bf18542bf63350b34a8ecce52d1dc67"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a93e13ac2bf57bd70819c9a44af337a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9499abd61267a878ca0ad341b2c9d0f5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/611125077598344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000715","authorId":"9000000000000715","name":"AmandaViolet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bd13bb5008c812d906b648f773f9ffe","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000715","idStr":"9000000000000715"},"content":"Daily close matters, but 92.7 is still the gate for crude. Until that breaks, I’m staying cautious on the double bottom setup","text":"Daily close matters, but 92.7 is still the gate for crude. Until that breaks, I’m staying cautious on the double bottom setup","html":"Daily close matters, but 92.7 is still the gate for crude. Until that breaks, I’m staying cautious on the double bottom setup"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000715","authorId":"9000000000000715","name":"AmandaViolet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bd13bb5008c812d906b648f773f9ffe","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000715","idStr":"9000000000000715"},"content":"Daily close matters, but 92.7 is still the gate for crude. Until that breaks, I’m staying cautious on the double bottom setup","text":"Daily close matters, but 92.7 is still the gate for crude. Until that breaks, I’m staying cautious on the double bottom setup","html":"Daily close matters, but 92.7 is still the gate for crude. Until that breaks, I’m staying cautious on the double bottom setup"}],"streamModify":1790230129453,"id":611125077598344,"gmtCreate":1790221177447,"gmtModify":1790230129453,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold: 4,311 Is the Line – Bounce or Break? Crude Oil Double Bottom in Play💰💵","htmlText":"The market has been choppy over the past two days, and short-term moves can easily disrupt one’s rhythm. I would rather lay out the key levels clearly and then assess the market’s reaction once prices reach them: for gold, the first question is whether a rebound will encounter resistance; for crude oil, the focus is on whether the low-level recovery can continue. U.S. Dollar Index: Firm Bias, but Guard Against a Pullback After a Spike The U.S. Dollar Index formed a large bullish candle with a relatively substantial real body yesterday, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains in place. Today, watch how the index trades within the 100.6–101.6 range. The overall bias remains constructive, but a pullback after a move higher should also be kept in mind.","listText":"The market has been choppy over the past two days, and short-term moves can easily disrupt one’s rhythm. I would rather lay out the key levels clearly and then assess the market’s reaction once prices reach them: for gold, the first question is whether a rebound will encounter resistance; for crude oil, the focus is on whether the low-level recovery can continue. U.S. Dollar Index: Firm Bias, but Guard Against a Pullback After a Spike The U.S. Dollar Index formed a large bullish candle with a relatively substantial real body yesterday, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains in place. Today, watch how the index trades within the 100.6–101.6 range. The overall bias remains constructive, but a pullback after a move higher should also be kept in mind.","text":"The market has been choppy over the past two days, and short-term moves can easily disrupt one’s rhythm. I would rather lay out the key levels clearly and then assess the market’s reaction once prices reach them: for gold, the first question is whether a rebound will encounter resistance; for crude oil, the focus is on whether the low-level recovery can continue. U.S. Dollar Index: Firm Bias, but Guard Against a Pullback After a Spike The U.S. Dollar Index formed a large bullish candle with a relatively substantial real body yesterday, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains in place. Today, watch how the index trades within the 100.6–101.6 range. The overall bias remains constructive, but a pullback after a move higher should also be kept in mind.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2bf18542bf63350b34a8ecce52d1dc67"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a93e13ac2bf57bd70819c9a44af337a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9499abd61267a878ca0ad341b2c9d0f5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/611125077598344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610849781276808,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610849781276808,"gmtCreate":1790153966431,"gmtModify":1790154120519,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: What the Latest Option Flows Signal for Markets？💰💵","htmlText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","listText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","text":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66f449ad503cb927fd072013ed40b662"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cc4c3db0728b70f1a7ed9b29a6ad7995"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20cdfe7f929faca88970300ed368dfe7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610849781276808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","text":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","html":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000350","authorId":"9000000000000350","name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000350","idStr":"9000000000000350"},"content":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","text":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","html":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy."}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","text":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","html":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000350","authorId":"9000000000000350","name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000350","idStr":"9000000000000350"},"content":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","text":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","html":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy."}],"streamModify":1790154120519,"id":610849781276808,"gmtCreate":1790153966431,"gmtModify":1790154120519,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: What the Latest Option Flows Signal for Markets？💰💵","htmlText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","listText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","text":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66f449ad503cb927fd072013ed40b662"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cc4c3db0728b70f1a7ed9b29a6ad7995"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20cdfe7f929faca88970300ed368dfe7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610849781276808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610818128634264,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"streamModify":1790146451805,"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610368079052928,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610368079052928,"gmtCreate":1790046343094,"gmtModify":1790046808084,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Has Crude Oil’s Primary Downleg Begun Following the Rate Hike?A Technical Analysis📈💰","htmlText":"The market is currently pricing in a 25-basis-point initial rate hike with a high degree of confidence, and this expectation has already been largely reflected in equity prices. The main drivers are inflationary pressure from higher energy prices and Waller’s relatively hawkish remarks. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2611(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MCLmain\">$微型WTI原油主连 2611(MCLmain)$</a> This would mark the first rate hike in years, against the backdrop of energy-driven inflation stemming from the Middle East conflict.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BZmain\">$布油现金主连 2612(BZmain)$</a>","listText":"The market is currently pricing in a 25-basis-point initial rate hike with a high degree of confidence, and this expectation has already been largely reflected in equity prices. The main drivers are inflationary pressure from higher energy prices and Waller’s relatively hawkish remarks. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2611(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MCLmain\">$微型WTI原油主连 2611(MCLmain)$</a> This would mark the first rate hike in years, against the backdrop of energy-driven inflation stemming from the Middle East conflict.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BZmain\">$布油现金主连 2612(BZmain)$</a>","text":"The market is currently pricing in a 25-basis-point initial rate hike with a high degree of confidence, and this expectation has already been largely reflected in equity prices. The main drivers are inflationary pressure from higher energy prices and Waller’s relatively hawkish remarks. $美国原油ETF(USO)$ $WTI原油主连 2611(CLmain)$ $微型WTI原油主连 2611(MCLmain)$ This would mark the first rate hike in years, against the backdrop of energy-driven inflation stemming from the Middle East conflict.$布油现金主连 2612(BZmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e4a1fd60f7590a40cc8057b1a10d349c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":170,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610368079052928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000184","authorId":"9000000000000184","name":"snixy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/999ddb8936398ccbb2193658ca1848c1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000184","idStr":"9000000000000184"},"content":"Rate hike to crude is rarely that clean. Supply still looks tighter than this setup assumes, so shorting here feels a bit early","text":"Rate hike to crude is rarely that clean. Supply still looks tighter than this setup assumes, so shorting here feels a bit early","html":"Rate hike to crude is rarely that clean. Supply still looks tighter than this setup assumes, so shorting here feels a bit early"},{"author":{"id":"3527667691843168","authorId":"3527667691843168","name":"Marktomarket","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3527667691843168","idStr":"3527667691843168"},"content":"Thanks for sharing [Miser]","text":"Thanks for sharing [Miser]","html":"Thanks for sharing [Miser]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000184","authorId":"9000000000000184","name":"snixy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/999ddb8936398ccbb2193658ca1848c1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000184","idStr":"9000000000000184"},"content":"Rate hike to crude is rarely that clean. Supply still looks tighter than this setup assumes, so shorting here feels a bit early","text":"Rate hike to crude is rarely that clean. Supply still looks tighter than this setup assumes, so shorting here feels a bit early","html":"Rate hike to crude is rarely that clean. Supply still looks tighter than this setup assumes, so shorting here feels a bit early"},{"author":{"id":"3527667691843168","authorId":"3527667691843168","name":"Marktomarket","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3527667691843168","idStr":"3527667691843168"},"content":"Thanks for sharing [Miser]","text":"Thanks for sharing [Miser]","html":"Thanks for sharing [Miser]"}],"streamModify":1790046808084,"id":610368079052928,"gmtCreate":1790046343094,"gmtModify":1790046808084,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Has Crude Oil’s Primary Downleg Begun Following the Rate Hike?A Technical Analysis📈💰","htmlText":"The market is currently pricing in a 25-basis-point initial rate hike with a high degree of confidence, and this expectation has already been largely reflected in equity prices. The main drivers are inflationary pressure from higher energy prices and Waller’s relatively hawkish remarks. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2611(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MCLmain\">$微型WTI原油主连 2611(MCLmain)$</a> This would mark the first rate hike in years, against the backdrop of energy-driven inflation stemming from the Middle East conflict.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BZmain\">$布油现金主连 2612(BZmain)$</a>","listText":"The market is currently pricing in a 25-basis-point initial rate hike with a high degree of confidence, and this expectation has already been largely reflected in equity prices. The main drivers are inflationary pressure from higher energy prices and Waller’s relatively hawkish remarks. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2611(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MCLmain\">$微型WTI原油主连 2611(MCLmain)$</a> This would mark the first rate hike in years, against the backdrop of energy-driven inflation stemming from the Middle East conflict.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BZmain\">$布油现金主连 2612(BZmain)$</a>","text":"The market is currently pricing in a 25-basis-point initial rate hike with a high degree of confidence, and this expectation has already been largely reflected in equity prices. The main drivers are inflationary pressure from higher energy prices and Waller’s relatively hawkish remarks. $美国原油ETF(USO)$ $WTI原油主连 2611(CLmain)$ $微型WTI原油主连 2611(MCLmain)$ This would mark the first rate hike in years, against the backdrop of energy-driven inflation stemming from the Middle East conflict.$布油现金主连 2612(BZmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e4a1fd60f7590a40cc8057b1a10d349c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":170,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610368079052928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":608348719882288,"type":1,"entity":{"id":608348719882288,"gmtCreate":1789553334007,"gmtModify":1789557068307,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: 4 Fed Paths Decide Gold and Stocks Tonight! Which Strategy Wins?","htmlText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","listText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","text":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db92f3ae06523015f9ef29bb4ca2ddf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608348719882288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000434","authorId":"9000000000000434","name":"PageDickens","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e83e48989b3401bb5773e10a7c62208","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000434","idStr":"9000000000000434"},"content":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","text":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","html":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000658","authorId":"9000000000000658","name":"CarterSilas","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000658","idStr":"9000000000000658"},"content":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","text":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","html":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000434","authorId":"9000000000000434","name":"PageDickens","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e83e48989b3401bb5773e10a7c62208","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000434","idStr":"9000000000000434"},"content":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","text":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","html":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000658","authorId":"9000000000000658","name":"CarterSilas","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000658","idStr":"9000000000000658"},"content":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","text":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","html":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast"}],"streamModify":1789557068307,"id":608348719882288,"gmtCreate":1789553334007,"gmtModify":1789557068307,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: 4 Fed Paths Decide Gold and Stocks Tonight! Which Strategy Wins?","htmlText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","listText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","text":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db92f3ae06523015f9ef29bb4ca2ddf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608348719882288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":607610540589144,"type":1,"entity":{"id":607610540589144,"gmtCreate":1789373114803,"gmtModify":1789613733339,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"FOMC Preview: Watch Key Levels in U.S. Equities; Stay Alert to a Pullback in Commodities After Rally","htmlText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","listText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","text":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3c9988fe1821479e3123f5152713618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607610540589144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274809858351","idStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","text":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","html":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274809858351","idStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","text":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","html":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs"}],"streamModify":1789613733339,"id":607610540589144,"gmtCreate":1789373114803,"gmtModify":1789613733339,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"FOMC Preview: Watch Key Levels in U.S. Equities; Stay Alert to a Pullback in Commodities After Rally","htmlText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","listText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","text":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3c9988fe1821479e3123f5152713618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607610540589144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":606221724897328,"type":1,"entity":{"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","text":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","html":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000181","authorId":"9000000000000181","name":"blinky","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7e488f0f7683bcc2f916727332a2d8b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000181","idStr":"9000000000000181"},"content":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","text":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","html":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season"}],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","text":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","html":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000181","authorId":"9000000000000181","name":"blinky","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7e488f0f7683bcc2f916727332a2d8b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000181","idStr":"9000000000000181"},"content":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","text":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","html":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season"}],"streamModify":1789034197464,"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605840101466240,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000721","idStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000721","idStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"streamModify":1788941102939,"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605746003292208,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605746003292208,"gmtCreate":1788917905152,"gmtModify":1788921720487,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Selling Puts Remains My Preferred Strategy：Will Tokyo Set the Market’s Direction This Week?","htmlText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","listText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","text":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9ccdc48df87d53eea266342e5579faf6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":240,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605746003292208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788921720487,"id":605746003292208,"gmtCreate":1788917905152,"gmtModify":1788921720487,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Selling Puts Remains My Preferred Strategy：Will Tokyo Set the Market’s Direction This Week?","htmlText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","listText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","text":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9ccdc48df87d53eea266342e5579faf6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":240,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605746003292208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":603723199774864,"type":1,"entity":{"id":603723199774864,"gmtCreate":1788424138695,"gmtModify":1788424558540,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Gold Longs Stay Concentrated—Can Oil’s Advance Hold Without Inventory Support?","htmlText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","listText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","text":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3d9675ec1744f1e6eba0aa78ebd71f88"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603723199774864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000462","authorId":"9000000000000462","name":"MyrnaNorth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5c39d60e3b5c35cd699bf7d148556","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000462","idStr":"9000000000000462"},"content":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","text":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","html":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first"}],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000462","authorId":"9000000000000462","name":"MyrnaNorth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5c39d60e3b5c35cd699bf7d148556","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000462","idStr":"9000000000000462"},"content":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","text":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","html":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first"}],"streamModify":1788424558540,"id":603723199774864,"gmtCreate":1788424138695,"gmtModify":1788424558540,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Gold Longs Stay Concentrated—Can Oil’s Advance Hold Without Inventory Support?","htmlText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","listText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","text":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3d9675ec1744f1e6eba0aa78ebd71f88"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603723199774864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597772257562648,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786950458851,"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"New York Mercantile Exchange","code":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","name":"NYMEX","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":20,"zone":"EDT","zoneId":"America/New_York","zoneName":"Eastern Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"BZ2701","contractId":"da96971f1d314a1a9f3a467836d92015","contractMonth":"202701","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financial Futures","productExchangeUrl":"https://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/energy/crude-oil/brent-crude-oil-last-day_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.01（ USD/barrel）( US$10 )","productScale":"1,000 barrels","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contract for this year and the next 7 consecutive calendar years, and 3 additional consecutive contract months","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$1,000 x futures price","worth":1000},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20261130","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1796076000000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1000},"name":"Brent Last Day Financial - Jan 2027","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_BZ_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"BZmain","referMainContractId":"46ca81258c474014856f3432dfc2470b","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"BZ","symbolId":"FT_SY_BZ","symbolName":"Brent Last Day Financial"}}