E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606 (ESmain) - To The Moon

ESmain (E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606)

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Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","listText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","text":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2f61ed604e8fc1a9cc44150d0857649","width":"865","height":"612"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/faab5b4e7202df57d575f8a5c0fe89b0","width":"865","height":"533"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/769952e4a0691fbb7f506a696dc022ff","width":"865","height":"554"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":201,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558831241933160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2052,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1777466179006,"id":558831241933160,"gmtCreate":1777466118408,"gmtModify":1777466179006,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"A Higher Probability Path of “Unstable Peace” Under Remote Signaling Dynamics","htmlText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","listText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","text":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2f61ed604e8fc1a9cc44150d0857649","width":"865","height":"612"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/faab5b4e7202df57d575f8a5c0fe89b0","width":"865","height":"533"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/769952e4a0691fbb7f506a696dc022ff","width":"865","height":"554"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":201,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558831241933160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2052,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558788266627432,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558788266627432,"gmtCreate":1777455626390,"gmtModify":1777519766980,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Why I’m Hesitant to Buy Into Semiconductor Stocks After Their Sharp Surge","htmlText":"Today, let’s talk about one of the hottest topics in the investment world recently: the sharp rally in the U.S. semiconductor sector. It is fair to say that, whether we look at the fundamentals and financial data or at market price performance, the semiconductor sector has become a major driver of the recent rise in U.S. equities, and arguably the dominant one. As we all know, in the recent performance of U.S. equity gains, large technology companies—especially the SOX Philadelphia Semiconductor Index—have delivered the largest share of the market’s beta gains. At the same time, in the upward revisions to average earnings-per-share expectations for the S&amp;P 500, semiconductor names such as Nvidia and Micron have also made the biggest contributions. However, even in last week’s market ra","listText":"Today, let’s talk about one of the hottest topics in the investment world recently: the sharp rally in the U.S. semiconductor sector. It is fair to say that, whether we look at the fundamentals and financial data or at market price performance, the semiconductor sector has become a major driver of the recent rise in U.S. equities, and arguably the dominant one. As we all know, in the recent performance of U.S. equity gains, large technology companies—especially the SOX Philadelphia Semiconductor Index—have delivered the largest share of the market’s beta gains. At the same time, in the upward revisions to average earnings-per-share expectations for the S&amp;P 500, semiconductor names such as Nvidia and Micron have also made the biggest contributions. However, even in last week’s market ra","text":"Today, let’s talk about one of the hottest topics in the investment world recently: the sharp rally in the U.S. semiconductor sector. It is fair to say that, whether we look at the fundamentals and financial data or at market price performance, the semiconductor sector has become a major driver of the recent rise in U.S. equities, and arguably the dominant one. As we all know, in the recent performance of U.S. equity gains, large technology companies—especially the SOX Philadelphia Semiconductor Index—have delivered the largest share of the market’s beta gains. At the same time, in the upward revisions to average earnings-per-share expectations for the S&P 500, semiconductor names such as Nvidia and Micron have also made the biggest contributions. However, even in last week’s market ra","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a898be2326472bcc81e2fbc546a5541a"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16e89d39335465db93218b30a5cf8906"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e8b377ffaae7afc3b41c760086328af"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":180,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":17,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558788266627432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1777519766980,"id":558788266627432,"gmtCreate":1777455626390,"gmtModify":1777519766980,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Why I’m Hesitant to Buy Into Semiconductor Stocks After Their Sharp Surge","htmlText":"Today, let’s talk about one of the hottest topics in the investment world recently: the sharp rally in the U.S. semiconductor sector. It is fair to say that, whether we look at the fundamentals and financial data or at market price performance, the semiconductor sector has become a major driver of the recent rise in U.S. equities, and arguably the dominant one. As we all know, in the recent performance of U.S. equity gains, large technology companies—especially the SOX Philadelphia Semiconductor Index—have delivered the largest share of the market’s beta gains. At the same time, in the upward revisions to average earnings-per-share expectations for the S&amp;P 500, semiconductor names such as Nvidia and Micron have also made the biggest contributions. However, even in last week’s market ra","listText":"Today, let’s talk about one of the hottest topics in the investment world recently: the sharp rally in the U.S. semiconductor sector. It is fair to say that, whether we look at the fundamentals and financial data or at market price performance, the semiconductor sector has become a major driver of the recent rise in U.S. equities, and arguably the dominant one. As we all know, in the recent performance of U.S. equity gains, large technology companies—especially the SOX Philadelphia Semiconductor Index—have delivered the largest share of the market’s beta gains. At the same time, in the upward revisions to average earnings-per-share expectations for the S&amp;P 500, semiconductor names such as Nvidia and Micron have also made the biggest contributions. However, even in last week’s market ra","text":"Today, let’s talk about one of the hottest topics in the investment world recently: the sharp rally in the U.S. semiconductor sector. It is fair to say that, whether we look at the fundamentals and financial data or at market price performance, the semiconductor sector has become a major driver of the recent rise in U.S. equities, and arguably the dominant one. As we all know, in the recent performance of U.S. equity gains, large technology companies—especially the SOX Philadelphia Semiconductor Index—have delivered the largest share of the market’s beta gains. At the same time, in the upward revisions to average earnings-per-share expectations for the S&P 500, semiconductor names such as Nvidia and Micron have also made the biggest contributions. However, even in last week’s market ra","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a898be2326472bcc81e2fbc546a5541a"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16e89d39335465db93218b30a5cf8906"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e8b377ffaae7afc3b41c760086328af"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":180,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":17,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558788266627432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558104805212624,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1777289940020,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed.Market Reaction and Inflation OutlookPersistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference ov","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed.Market Reaction and Inflation OutlookPersistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference ov","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed.Market Reaction and Inflation OutlookPersistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference ov","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":62,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1777289940020,"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1777289940020,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed.Market Reaction and Inflation OutlookPersistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference ov","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed.Market Reaction and Inflation OutlookPersistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference ov","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed.Market Reaction and Inflation OutlookPersistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference ov","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":62,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":556696529441232,"type":1,"entity":{"id":556696529441232,"gmtCreate":1776945035266,"gmtModify":1776999708023,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly：Equity Funds Face Deeper Outflows as Falling Metal Inventories Raise Price Risks","htmlText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","listText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","text":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/006173742db76d20c25257ccffde4b6d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/81e8acfd5f098ba1b29b99e16383f1cd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e9d0a1e0857a82012d3384be17da101"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556696529441232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776999708023,"id":556696529441232,"gmtCreate":1776945035266,"gmtModify":1776999708023,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly：Equity Funds Face Deeper Outflows as Falling Metal Inventories Raise Price Risks","htmlText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","listText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","text":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/006173742db76d20c25257ccffde4b6d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/81e8acfd5f098ba1b29b99e16383f1cd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e9d0a1e0857a82012d3384be17da101"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556696529441232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":556722168587064,"type":1,"entity":{"id":556722168587064,"gmtCreate":1776939718076,"gmtModify":1776944139051,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4231919089627522","idStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals","htmlText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money”Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short.CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is prof","listText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money”Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short.CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is prof","text":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money”Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short.CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is prof","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5217d17fed8318946dcff93be0a8cbd","width":"865","height":"300"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b24d594babfd25c446db45d83ace92","width":"865","height":"436"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/785bf33664e0e83041f8aa6e0b5367a3","width":"865","height":"439"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":38,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556722168587064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776944139051,"id":556722168587064,"gmtCreate":1776939718076,"gmtModify":1776944139051,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4231919089627522","idStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals","htmlText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money”Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short.CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is prof","listText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money”Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short.CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is prof","text":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money”Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short.CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is prof","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5217d17fed8318946dcff93be0a8cbd","width":"865","height":"300"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b24d594babfd25c446db45d83ace92","width":"865","height":"436"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/785bf33664e0e83041f8aa6e0b5367a3","width":"865","height":"439"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":38,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556722168587064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":556018497094488,"type":1,"entity":{"id":556018497094488,"gmtCreate":1776757285589,"gmtModify":1776757333318,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Why I’m Using an Options Strategy to Lightly Bet on a Modest Pullback？","htmlText":"At present, global risk appetite across risk assets is still mainly driven by U.S. equities. As the marginal impact of Federal Reserve commentary has faded, the absolute dominant force shaping market sentiment remains the progress of the U.S.-Iran war. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$微型SP500指数主连 2606(MESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MES2606\">$微型SP500指数2606(MES2606)$</a> Why do we say the Fed’s commentary has become less influential at the margin? The reason is simple. First, there is no certainty that the so-called new chair, Warsh, will actually be able to take office smoothly","listText":"At present, global risk appetite across risk assets is still mainly driven by U.S. equities. As the marginal impact of Federal Reserve commentary has faded, the absolute dominant force shaping market sentiment remains the progress of the U.S.-Iran war. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$微型SP500指数主连 2606(MESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MES2606\">$微型SP500指数2606(MES2606)$</a> Why do we say the Fed’s commentary has become less influential at the margin? The reason is simple. First, there is no certainty that the so-called new chair, Warsh, will actually be able to take office smoothly","text":"At present, global risk appetite across risk assets is still mainly driven by U.S. equities. As the marginal impact of Federal Reserve commentary has faded, the absolute dominant force shaping market sentiment remains the progress of the U.S.-Iran war. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2606(ESmain)$ $微型SP500指数主连 2606(MESmain)$ $微型SP500指数2606(MES2606)$ Why do we say the Fed’s commentary has become less influential at the margin? The reason is simple. First, there is no certainty that the so-called new chair, Warsh, will actually be able to take office smoothly","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4e757abe179c895d2de7943bbc6ca92","width":"715","height":"702"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40e939a6e9e35fed172262171df5ae29","width":"876","height":"684"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b56fd861831406be51be92253042a","width":"1003","height":"580"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556018497094488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098098188330620","authorId":"4098098188330620","name":"MojoStellar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e757a91c3f486e5fb2bd8b91f998420","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4098098188330620","idStr":"4098098188330620"},"content":"thank you for sharing your insightful analysis","text":"thank you for sharing your insightful analysis","html":"thank you for sharing your insightful analysis"}],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098098188330620","authorId":"4098098188330620","name":"MojoStellar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e757a91c3f486e5fb2bd8b91f998420","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4098098188330620","idStr":"4098098188330620"},"content":"thank you for sharing your insightful analysis","text":"thank you for sharing your insightful analysis","html":"thank you for sharing your insightful analysis"}],"streamModify":1776757333318,"id":556018497094488,"gmtCreate":1776757285589,"gmtModify":1776757333318,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Why I’m Using an Options Strategy to Lightly Bet on a Modest Pullback？","htmlText":"At present, global risk appetite across risk assets is still mainly driven by U.S. equities. As the marginal impact of Federal Reserve commentary has faded, the absolute dominant force shaping market sentiment remains the progress of the U.S.-Iran war. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$微型SP500指数主连 2606(MESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MES2606\">$微型SP500指数2606(MES2606)$</a> Why do we say the Fed’s commentary has become less influential at the margin? The reason is simple. First, there is no certainty that the so-called new chair, Warsh, will actually be able to take office smoothly","listText":"At present, global risk appetite across risk assets is still mainly driven by U.S. equities. As the marginal impact of Federal Reserve commentary has faded, the absolute dominant force shaping market sentiment remains the progress of the U.S.-Iran war. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$微型SP500指数主连 2606(MESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MES2606\">$微型SP500指数2606(MES2606)$</a> Why do we say the Fed’s commentary has become less influential at the margin? The reason is simple. First, there is no certainty that the so-called new chair, Warsh, will actually be able to take office smoothly","text":"At present, global risk appetite across risk assets is still mainly driven by U.S. equities. As the marginal impact of Federal Reserve commentary has faded, the absolute dominant force shaping market sentiment remains the progress of the U.S.-Iran war. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2606(ESmain)$ $微型SP500指数主连 2606(MESmain)$ $微型SP500指数2606(MES2606)$ Why do we say the Fed’s commentary has become less influential at the margin? The reason is simple. First, there is no certainty that the so-called new chair, Warsh, will actually be able to take office smoothly","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4e757abe179c895d2de7943bbc6ca92","width":"715","height":"702"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40e939a6e9e35fed172262171df5ae29","width":"876","height":"684"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b56fd861831406be51be92253042a","width":"1003","height":"580"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556018497094488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555725039461336,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1776686892863,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff.1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Talk","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff.1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Talk","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff.1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Talk","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195","width":"865","height":"543"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776686892863,"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1776686892863,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff.1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Talk","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff.1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Talk","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff.1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Talk","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195","width":"865","height":"543"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555722222379992,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1776686568968,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise.There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant.I. Can","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise.There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant.I. Can","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise.There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant.I. Can","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025","width":"780","height":"265"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3","width":"879","height":"558"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e","width":"857","height":"232"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776686568968,"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1776686568968,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise.There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant.I. Can","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise.There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant.I. Can","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise.There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant.I. Can","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025","width":"780","height":"265"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3","width":"879","height":"558"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e","width":"857","height":"232"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":554689079665608,"type":1,"entity":{"id":554689079665608,"gmtCreate":1776428348046,"gmtModify":1776428870512,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4231919089627522","idStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital \"Rotation\" Become Evident","htmlText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm.Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC DataThe CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries—w","listText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm.Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC DataThe CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries—w","text":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm.Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC DataThe CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries—w","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f26227d173f4832340d2aabd87c906c9","width":"865","height":"530"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77ce41a356c23bead1baf73e4dd4d2ce","width":"865","height":"442"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e221541d0c399428f55941382dcbd189","width":"865","height":"539"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1391,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":72,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554689079665608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776428870512,"id":554689079665608,"gmtCreate":1776428348046,"gmtModify":1776428870512,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4231919089627522","idStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital \"Rotation\" Become Evident","htmlText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm.Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC DataThe CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries—w","listText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm.Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC DataThe CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries—w","text":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm.Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC DataThe CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries—w","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f26227d173f4832340d2aabd87c906c9","width":"865","height":"530"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77ce41a356c23bead1baf73e4dd4d2ce","width":"865","height":"442"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e221541d0c399428f55941382dcbd189","width":"865","height":"539"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1391,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":72,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554689079665608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":554623411905480,"type":1,"entity":{"id":554623411905480,"gmtCreate":1776412315877,"gmtModify":1776415785264,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?","htmlText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","listText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","text":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3a54cc82e2f8c1d29a509fa85401aa1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c740c78262da4721a0f8b2fae5155b2c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6d3e1a7d4a2130f7efead3ccfa34c4de"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554623411905480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776415785264,"id":554623411905480,"gmtCreate":1776412315877,"gmtModify":1776415785264,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?","htmlText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","listText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","text":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3a54cc82e2f8c1d29a509fa85401aa1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c740c78262da4721a0f8b2fae5155b2c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6d3e1a7d4a2130f7efead3ccfa34c4de"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554623411905480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":554332254192104,"type":1,"entity":{"id":554332254192104,"gmtCreate":1776341304052,"gmtModify":1776341384810,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off","htmlText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","listText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","text":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f03867bfb79921275114a07280e754fd","width":"881","height":"490"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5db45b76eb88d989448a47d4339898b4","width":"853","height":"568"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2898f06a9a977e73e343b7fc75452db5","width":"900","height":"175"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1583,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":62,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554332254192104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776341384810,"id":554332254192104,"gmtCreate":1776341304052,"gmtModify":1776341384810,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off","htmlText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","listText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","text":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f03867bfb79921275114a07280e754fd","width":"881","height":"490"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5db45b76eb88d989448a47d4339898b4","width":"853","height":"568"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2898f06a9a977e73e343b7fc75452db5","width":"900","height":"175"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1583,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":62,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554332254192104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553891178676712,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776413088746,"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553592631423960,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776160705067,"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553143631197016,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553143631197016,"gmtCreate":1776081769608,"gmtModify":1776082524444,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?","htmlText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities.I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil ContractWhen this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a sho","listText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities.I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil ContractWhen this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a sho","text":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities.I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil ContractWhen this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a sho","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9920dceb2416980c10aa6460b4c426d5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553143631197016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574752437126777","idStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574752437126777","idStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal"}],"streamModify":1776082524444,"id":553143631197016,"gmtCreate":1776081769608,"gmtModify":1776082524444,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?","htmlText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities.I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil ContractWhen this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a sho","listText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities.I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil ContractWhen this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a sho","text":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities.I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil ContractWhen this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a sho","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9920dceb2416980c10aa6460b4c426d5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553143631197016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":552010822956008,"type":1,"entity":{"id":552010822956008,"gmtCreate":1775805206056,"gmtModify":1775806427674,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly: The Hollow Rally？！U.S. Stocks & Bonds Climb While Capital Retreats🚀🚀","htmlText":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","listText":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","text":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e3fc5a03c3c421daf5e0c1b3f5fcd113"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5165d7ef3b228911433948e036381af"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0f71bf8f16e3fd26d85f45dbda5b86e7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":73,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":15,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/552010822956008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1775806427674,"id":552010822956008,"gmtCreate":1775805206056,"gmtModify":1775806427674,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly: The Hollow Rally？！U.S. Stocks & Bonds Climb While Capital Retreats🚀🚀","htmlText":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","listText":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","text":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e3fc5a03c3c421daf5e0c1b3f5fcd113"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5165d7ef3b228911433948e036381af"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0f71bf8f16e3fd26d85f45dbda5b86e7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":73,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":15,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/552010822956008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":551337795658216,"type":1,"entity":{"id":551337795658216,"gmtCreate":1775640807271,"gmtModify":1775640843385,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Another Two-Week Ceasefire Window: Is It Time to Short Crude Oil?","htmlText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","listText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","text":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm： $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$ $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ In fact, the 10-yea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fc52ae9d63f02ff64ec9cfbd7765ab95","width":"909","height":"438"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8643004d4165867bd63a933f21486c6d","width":"908","height":"447"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/69ab4c9cae14d84fe5935fcff3dc0a09","width":"909","height":"403"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":76,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551337795658216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098151747339220","authorId":"4098151747339220","name":"Arty","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c38e7adda4157457303e200995a04cea","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4098151747339220","idStr":"4098151747339220"},"content":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","text":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","html":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours"},{"author":{"id":"3567852837945728","authorId":"3567852837945728","name":"setia100","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d07af59743ad001196b7aca5f1726d7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3567852837945728","idStr":"3567852837945728"},"content":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","text":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","html":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel."}],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098151747339220","authorId":"4098151747339220","name":"Arty","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c38e7adda4157457303e200995a04cea","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4098151747339220","idStr":"4098151747339220"},"content":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","text":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","html":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours"},{"author":{"id":"3567852837945728","authorId":"3567852837945728","name":"setia100","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d07af59743ad001196b7aca5f1726d7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3567852837945728","idStr":"3567852837945728"},"content":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","text":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","html":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel."}],"streamModify":1775640843385,"id":551337795658216,"gmtCreate":1775640807271,"gmtModify":1775640843385,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Another Two-Week Ceasefire Window: Is It Time to Short Crude Oil?","htmlText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","listText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","text":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm： $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$ $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ In fact, the 10-yea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fc52ae9d63f02ff64ec9cfbd7765ab95","width":"909","height":"438"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8643004d4165867bd63a933f21486c6d","width":"908","height":"447"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/69ab4c9cae14d84fe5935fcff3dc0a09","width":"909","height":"403"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":76,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551337795658216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":551245866165224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":551245866165224,"gmtCreate":1775618449027,"gmtModify":1775619363207,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"War Clouds Recede———Will Oil Ever Rebound?","htmlText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","listText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","text":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":144,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551245866165224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4095856449653620","authorId":"4095856449653620","name":"JL1Apr","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa696d7e42a997dc2a7b18b5382eab83","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4095856449653620","idStr":"4095856449653620"},"content":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","text":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","html":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4095856449653620","authorId":"4095856449653620","name":"JL1Apr","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa696d7e42a997dc2a7b18b5382eab83","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4095856449653620","idStr":"4095856449653620"},"content":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","text":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","html":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat."}],"streamModify":1775619363207,"id":551245866165224,"gmtCreate":1775618449027,"gmtModify":1775619363207,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"War Clouds Recede———Will Oil Ever Rebound?","htmlText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","listText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","text":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":144,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551245866165224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":550947589501752,"type":1,"entity":{"id":550947589501752,"gmtCreate":1775545622797,"gmtModify":1775545647754,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"As Conflicting U.S.-Iran Headlines Become the New Normal: How to Trade U.S. Stocks, Gold, and Crude","htmlText":"Market Overview This weekend coincided with China's Qingming Festival, and while overall news was quieter, international media was flooded with a barrage of unverified rumors. These ranged from President Trump falling suddenly ill to an imminent US-Iran negotiation agreement, and even a US ultimatum demanding Iran reach a deal or face escalated conflict. The strait blockade has persisted for a month, and although a few vessels are passing through, we remain far from a full reopening. Approaching Storage Limits As we enter April, the timeline previously projected by Goldman Sachs for Gulf nations' storage capacities to reach their limits is rapidly approaching. If normal navigation is not restored soon, the chain reaction across financial markets will inevitably intensify. Therefore, until","listText":"Market Overview This weekend coincided with China's Qingming Festival, and while overall news was quieter, international media was flooded with a barrage of unverified rumors. These ranged from President Trump falling suddenly ill to an imminent US-Iran negotiation agreement, and even a US ultimatum demanding Iran reach a deal or face escalated conflict. The strait blockade has persisted for a month, and although a few vessels are passing through, we remain far from a full reopening. Approaching Storage Limits As we enter April, the timeline previously projected by Goldman Sachs for Gulf nations' storage capacities to reach their limits is rapidly approaching. If normal navigation is not restored soon, the chain reaction across financial markets will inevitably intensify. Therefore, until","text":"Market Overview This weekend coincided with China's Qingming Festival, and while overall news was quieter, international media was flooded with a barrage of unverified rumors. These ranged from President Trump falling suddenly ill to an imminent US-Iran negotiation agreement, and even a US ultimatum demanding Iran reach a deal or face escalated conflict. The strait blockade has persisted for a month, and although a few vessels are passing through, we remain far from a full reopening. Approaching Storage Limits As we enter April, the timeline previously projected by Goldman Sachs for Gulf nations' storage capacities to reach their limits is rapidly approaching. If normal navigation is not restored soon, the chain reaction across financial markets will inevitably intensify. Therefore, until","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f20f8c48a3286ff782082f4e2d1b189","width":"999","height":"390"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f9b970d1f33b25ad9716682977f3a66","width":"913","height":"579"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c6ec00d35b6a9f8bbd6a4ffceaf72e2","width":"906","height":"578"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/550947589501752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1775545647754,"id":550947589501752,"gmtCreate":1775545622797,"gmtModify":1775545647754,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"As Conflicting U.S.-Iran Headlines Become the New Normal: How to Trade U.S. Stocks, Gold, and Crude","htmlText":"Market Overview This weekend coincided with China's Qingming Festival, and while overall news was quieter, international media was flooded with a barrage of unverified rumors. These ranged from President Trump falling suddenly ill to an imminent US-Iran negotiation agreement, and even a US ultimatum demanding Iran reach a deal or face escalated conflict. The strait blockade has persisted for a month, and although a few vessels are passing through, we remain far from a full reopening. Approaching Storage Limits As we enter April, the timeline previously projected by Goldman Sachs for Gulf nations' storage capacities to reach their limits is rapidly approaching. If normal navigation is not restored soon, the chain reaction across financial markets will inevitably intensify. Therefore, until","listText":"Market Overview This weekend coincided with China's Qingming Festival, and while overall news was quieter, international media was flooded with a barrage of unverified rumors. These ranged from President Trump falling suddenly ill to an imminent US-Iran negotiation agreement, and even a US ultimatum demanding Iran reach a deal or face escalated conflict. The strait blockade has persisted for a month, and although a few vessels are passing through, we remain far from a full reopening. Approaching Storage Limits As we enter April, the timeline previously projected by Goldman Sachs for Gulf nations' storage capacities to reach their limits is rapidly approaching. If normal navigation is not restored soon, the chain reaction across financial markets will inevitably intensify. Therefore, until","text":"Market Overview This weekend coincided with China's Qingming Festival, and while overall news was quieter, international media was flooded with a barrage of unverified rumors. These ranged from President Trump falling suddenly ill to an imminent US-Iran negotiation agreement, and even a US ultimatum demanding Iran reach a deal or face escalated conflict. The strait blockade has persisted for a month, and although a few vessels are passing through, we remain far from a full reopening. Approaching Storage Limits As we enter April, the timeline previously projected by Goldman Sachs for Gulf nations' storage capacities to reach their limits is rapidly approaching. If normal navigation is not restored soon, the chain reaction across financial markets will inevitably intensify. Therefore, until","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f20f8c48a3286ff782082f4e2d1b189","width":"999","height":"390"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f9b970d1f33b25ad9716682977f3a66","width":"913","height":"579"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c6ec00d35b6a9f8bbd6a4ffceaf72e2","width":"906","height":"578"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/550947589501752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":549267725616296,"type":1,"entity":{"id":549267725616296,"gmtCreate":1775122432381,"gmtModify":1775122485797,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Magnificent 7 on the Brink: Is It Time to Short the US Market?","htmlText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","listText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","text":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d80a84d9c362135e2789ddef0c9df15e","width":"1082","height":"729"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b0c39214f7b3f52645c7d451fd57cd67","width":"1078","height":"471"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f01e036bea70a0e38bd283332523715f","width":"1077","height":"474"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549267725616296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4217445003125362","authorId":"4217445003125362","name":"mark2012","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4217445003125362","idStr":"4217445003125362"},"content":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","text":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","html":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least"},{"author":{"id":"4226601826832662","authorId":"4226601826832662","name":"梦回大宋朝","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/615765695ad331cc4d20ce4b9b08687c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4226601826832662","idStr":"4226601826832662"},"content":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","text":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","html":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4217445003125362","authorId":"4217445003125362","name":"mark2012","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4217445003125362","idStr":"4217445003125362"},"content":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","text":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","html":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least"},{"author":{"id":"4226601826832662","authorId":"4226601826832662","name":"梦回大宋朝","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/615765695ad331cc4d20ce4b9b08687c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4226601826832662","idStr":"4226601826832662"},"content":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","text":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","html":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!"}],"streamModify":1775122485797,"id":549267725616296,"gmtCreate":1775122432381,"gmtModify":1775122485797,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Magnificent 7 on the Brink: Is It Time to Short the US Market?","htmlText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","listText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","text":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d80a84d9c362135e2789ddef0c9df15e","width":"1082","height":"729"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b0c39214f7b3f52645c7d451fd57cd67","width":"1078","height":"471"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f01e036bea70a0e38bd283332523715f","width":"1077","height":"474"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549267725616296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":549179401499824,"type":1,"entity":{"id":549179401499824,"gmtCreate":1775100869758,"gmtModify":1775100938830,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Trump’s April 6 Ultimatum: A Make-or-Break Weekend for Markets","htmlText":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. &nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 260</a>","listText":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. &nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 260</a>","text":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. $NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$ $SP500指数主连 260","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":54,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549179401499824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000380","authorId":"9000000000000380","name":"happyli","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a539edbf3388702a82cb1d4728704766","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000380","idStr":"9000000000000380"},"content":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]","text":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]","html":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000380","authorId":"9000000000000380","name":"happyli","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a539edbf3388702a82cb1d4728704766","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000380","idStr":"9000000000000380"},"content":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]","text":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]","html":"Holding positions this weekend? Too dangerous, I'd trim if I were you. Crude oil at $80 is the real test.[看跌]"}],"streamModify":1775100938830,"id":549179401499824,"gmtCreate":1775100869758,"gmtModify":1775100938830,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Trump’s April 6 Ultimatum: A Make-or-Break Weekend for Markets","htmlText":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. &nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 260</a>","listText":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. &nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 260</a>","text":"Holding positions over this weekend is becoming a dangerous gamble Last week's rebound in risk assets was a flash in the pan, with equities and other long positions facing a renewed wave of downward pressure. As Trump's April 6 ultimatum approaches, the Middle East will soon deliver a short-term answer—whether it's a diplomatic agreement or a massive military deployment. Most assets are expected to choose their direction by late this week or early next, and investors must be particularly hyper-aware of the gap risks heading into the weekend. If the situation remains unresolved by Friday's close, holding positions over the weekend becomes incredibly risky. $NQ100指数主连 2606(NQmain)$ $SP500指数主连 260","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":54,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549179401499824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"Chicago Mercantile Exchange","code":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","name":"CME","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":10,"zone":"CDT","zoneId":"America/Chicago","zoneName":"Central Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Equity_Index","contractCode":"ES2606","contractId":"bd1c8de54f0846f5871a7329ccf8167c","contractMonth":"202606","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"S&P 500","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-sandp500_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.25 index point ( US$12.5 )","productScale":"US$50 USD per index point","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"Equity Index","productWorth":"US$50 USD per index point","worth":50},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20260618","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1781789400000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":50},"name":"E-mini S&P 500 - Jun 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_ES_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"ESmain","referMainContractId":"f9cd822b746d48d98054ec96d3163dd1","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"ES","symbolId":"FT_SY_ES","symbolName":"E-mini S&P 500"}}