ESmain (E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612)
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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Equity_Index","contractCode":"ESmain","contractId":"f9cd822b746d48d98054ec96d3163dd1","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"S&P 500","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-sandp500_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.25 index point ( US$12.5 )","productScale":"US$50 USD per index point","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"Equity Index","productWorth":"US$50 USD per index point","worth":50},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":50},"name":"E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_ES_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"ES","symbolId":"FT_SY_ES","symbolName":"E-mini S&P 500"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":620796428202224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620796428202224,"gmtCreate":1792584474146,"gmtModify":1792584511508,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning Watch: US Index Shorts Retreat as Oil Bsulls Rush for the Exit","htmlText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","listText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","text":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a0ff66eda94b7bcb09c401179237f1da"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1598,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":66,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620796428202224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","text":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","html":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000725","authorId":"9000000000000725","name":"AfraSimon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d30a827da942c1b0307f51e832534e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000725","idStr":"9000000000000725"},"content":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","text":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","html":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast"}],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","text":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","html":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000725","authorId":"9000000000000725","name":"AfraSimon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d30a827da942c1b0307f51e832534e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000725","idStr":"9000000000000725"},"content":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","text":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","html":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast"}],"streamModify":1792584511508,"id":620796428202224,"gmtCreate":1792584474146,"gmtModify":1792584511508,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning Watch: US Index Shorts Retreat as Oil Bsulls Rush for the Exit","htmlText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","listText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","text":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a0ff66eda94b7bcb09c401179237f1da"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1598,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":66,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620796428202224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620711977570608,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620711977570608,"gmtCreate":1792567734167,"gmtModify":1792567777936,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy: Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Why Selling Puts Still Makes Sense","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/87541aaefddaf46201362636c277e40c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620711977570608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274784832471","idStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","text":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","html":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break"}],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274784832471","idStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","text":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","html":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break"}],"streamModify":1792567777936,"id":620711977570608,"gmtCreate":1792567734167,"gmtModify":1792567777936,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy: Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Why Selling Puts Still Makes Sense","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/87541aaefddaf46201362636c277e40c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620711977570608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620394186531120,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620394186531120,"gmtCreate":1792490148464,"gmtModify":1792553150865,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The Worst of the Selloff May Be Over: Straddle Profit Taken,Time to Sell Puts💹","htmlText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f8803409b41da4667e38f59fd73f2831"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b0ceff986155dcdc13242007e15082e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b02b2a6513d0a8bf3a4689c039c04316"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620394186531120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1792553150865,"id":620394186531120,"gmtCreate":1792490148464,"gmtModify":1792553150865,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The Worst of the Selloff May Be Over: Straddle Profit Taken,Time to Sell Puts💹","htmlText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f8803409b41da4667e38f59fd73f2831"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b0ceff986155dcdc13242007e15082e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b02b2a6513d0a8bf3a4689c039c04316"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620394186531120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620300236468376,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620300236468376,"gmtCreate":1792467197424,"gmtModify":1792467238263,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"October Hike Risk Fades: Risk-On Wave Builds as Gold Eyes a Major Breakout","htmlText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","listText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","text":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb36ae5d148b79af999d98741f80ecdb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":179,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":14,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620300236468376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000527","authorId":"9000000000000527","name":"Juliaaa11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000527","idStr":"9000000000000527"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000527","authorId":"9000000000000527","name":"Juliaaa11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000527","idStr":"9000000000000527"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."}],"streamModify":1792467238263,"id":620300236468376,"gmtCreate":1792467197424,"gmtModify":1792467238263,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"October Hike Risk Fades: Risk-On Wave Builds as Gold Eyes a Major Breakout","htmlText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","listText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","text":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb36ae5d148b79af999d98741f80ecdb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":179,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":14,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620300236468376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620072091218160,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620072091218160,"gmtCreate":1792411507654,"gmtModify":1792412317404,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"October Curse Meets CPI Black Swan: Options Strategies to Hedge U.S. Equity Risk","htmlText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","listText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","text":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1eaa3321140e8476dd0ec05794f4a5e1","width":"753","height":"627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":791,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":23,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620072091218160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274729249414","authorId":"3479274729249414","name":"cheerzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7eae466324df873e0b817337d13f4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274729249414","idStr":"3479274729249414"},"content":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","text":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","html":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out."},{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274793181513","idStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","text":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","html":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting."}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274729249414","authorId":"3479274729249414","name":"cheerzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7eae466324df873e0b817337d13f4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274729249414","idStr":"3479274729249414"},"content":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","text":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","html":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out."},{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274793181513","idStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","text":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","html":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting."}],"streamModify":1792412317404,"id":620072091218160,"gmtCreate":1792411507654,"gmtModify":1792412317404,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"October Curse Meets CPI Black Swan: Options Strategies to Hedge U.S. Equity Risk","htmlText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","listText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","text":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1eaa3321140e8476dd0ec05794f4a5e1","width":"753","height":"627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":791,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":23,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620072091218160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":618965872230536,"type":1,"entity":{"id":618965872230536,"gmtCreate":1792141525832,"gmtModify":1792142352558,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Trade Oil Price Volatility: An Introduction to Spread Trading","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a futures livestream on Tiger’s platform to discuss shifts in the U.S. dollar cycle. We explored whether it was time to buy the dip in gold, along with trading ideas for currencies, crude oil, and U.S. equities. If you missed the livestream, you can watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1878935468391467/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221878935468391467%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">點樣用一個策略交易油價波動？認識價差交易策略</a> Below, I have organized the key takeaways and trading views from the session by topic. For those who did not have time to attend, this should provide a quick overview of my current market outlook. First, a brief introduction to my background: Here are the key views I shared during the session: In this livestream,","listText":"Last night, I hosted a futures livestream on Tiger’s platform to discuss shifts in the U.S. dollar cycle. We explored whether it was time to buy the dip in gold, along with trading ideas for currencies, crude oil, and U.S. equities. If you missed the livestream, you can watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1878935468391467/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221878935468391467%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">點樣用一個策略交易油價波動？認識價差交易策略</a> Below, I have organized the key takeaways and trading views from the session by topic. For those who did not have time to attend, this should provide a quick overview of my current market outlook. First, a brief introduction to my background: Here are the key views I shared during the session: In this livestream,","text":"Last night, I hosted a futures livestream on Tiger’s platform to discuss shifts in the U.S. dollar cycle. We explored whether it was time to buy the dip in gold, along with trading ideas for currencies, crude oil, and U.S. equities. If you missed the livestream, you can watch the replay here >> 點樣用一個策略交易油價波動？認識價差交易策略 Below, I have organized the key takeaways and trading views from the session by topic. For those who did not have time to attend, this should provide a quick overview of my current market outlook. First, a brief introduction to my background: Here are the key views I shared during the session: In this livestream,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/35dad99e8eef504dcceed046615f55d2"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618965872230536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274743772174","authorId":"3479274743772174","name":"thinorfat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b5dd5252a1bca34909f191e8c9ba404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274743772174","idStr":"3479274743772174"},"content":"I’m still learning futures, but risk is capped only if that spread floor is really zero. If the front month spikes on a shock, can the spread flip negative and break that setup?","text":"I’m still learning futures, but risk is capped only if that spread floor is really zero. If the front month spikes on a shock, can the spread flip negative and break that setup?","html":"I’m still learning futures, but risk is capped only if that spread floor is really zero. If the front month spikes on a shock, can the spread flip negative and break that setup?"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000649","authorId":"9000000000000649","name":"Cliff","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99dd9aa9d8775543cabaf49d754dfaa0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000649","idStr":"9000000000000649"},"content":"Calendar spread still makes sense when front-end supply stays tight. I care more about roll cost into next month though, that changes the real payoff fast","text":"Calendar spread still makes sense when front-end supply stays tight. I care more about roll cost into next month though, that changes the real payoff fast","html":"Calendar spread still makes sense when front-end supply stays tight. I care more about roll cost into next month though, that changes the real payoff fast"}],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274743772174","authorId":"3479274743772174","name":"thinorfat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b5dd5252a1bca34909f191e8c9ba404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274743772174","idStr":"3479274743772174"},"content":"I’m still learning futures, but risk is capped only if that spread floor is really zero. If the front month spikes on a shock, can the spread flip negative and break that setup?","text":"I’m still learning futures, but risk is capped only if that spread floor is really zero. If the front month spikes on a shock, can the spread flip negative and break that setup?","html":"I’m still learning futures, but risk is capped only if that spread floor is really zero. If the front month spikes on a shock, can the spread flip negative and break that setup?"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000649","authorId":"9000000000000649","name":"Cliff","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99dd9aa9d8775543cabaf49d754dfaa0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000649","idStr":"9000000000000649"},"content":"Calendar spread still makes sense when front-end supply stays tight. I care more about roll cost into next month though, that changes the real payoff fast","text":"Calendar spread still makes sense when front-end supply stays tight. I care more about roll cost into next month though, that changes the real payoff fast","html":"Calendar spread still makes sense when front-end supply stays tight. I care more about roll cost into next month though, that changes the real payoff fast"}],"streamModify":1792142352558,"id":618965872230536,"gmtCreate":1792141525832,"gmtModify":1792142352558,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Trade Oil Price Volatility: An Introduction to Spread Trading","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a futures livestream on Tiger’s platform to discuss shifts in the U.S. dollar cycle. We explored whether it was time to buy the dip in gold, along with trading ideas for currencies, crude oil, and U.S. equities. If you missed the livestream, you can watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1878935468391467/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221878935468391467%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">點樣用一個策略交易油價波動？認識價差交易策略</a> Below, I have organized the key takeaways and trading views from the session by topic. For those who did not have time to attend, this should provide a quick overview of my current market outlook. First, a brief introduction to my background: Here are the key views I shared during the session: In this livestream,","listText":"Last night, I hosted a futures livestream on Tiger’s platform to discuss shifts in the U.S. dollar cycle. We explored whether it was time to buy the dip in gold, along with trading ideas for currencies, crude oil, and U.S. equities. If you missed the livestream, you can watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1878935468391467/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221878935468391467%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">點樣用一個策略交易油價波動？認識價差交易策略</a> Below, I have organized the key takeaways and trading views from the session by topic. For those who did not have time to attend, this should provide a quick overview of my current market outlook. First, a brief introduction to my background: Here are the key views I shared during the session: In this livestream,","text":"Last night, I hosted a futures livestream on Tiger’s platform to discuss shifts in the U.S. dollar cycle. We explored whether it was time to buy the dip in gold, along with trading ideas for currencies, crude oil, and U.S. equities. If you missed the livestream, you can watch the replay here >> 點樣用一個策略交易油價波動？認識價差交易策略 Below, I have organized the key takeaways and trading views from the session by topic. For those who did not have time to attend, this should provide a quick overview of my current market outlook. First, a brief introduction to my background: Here are the key views I shared during the session: In this livestream,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/35dad99e8eef504dcceed046615f55d2"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618965872230536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":618291626528920,"type":1,"entity":{"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000656","idStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000656","idStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"streamModify":1792033079032,"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":618271585055024,"type":1,"entity":{"id":618271585055024,"gmtCreate":1791971935213,"gmtModify":1791972345020,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Weekly: Yields Near a Peak? Key Setups in Gold and Long Bonds","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e04e27965925350d031ea306447530"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":61,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618271585055024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274783097893","authorId":"3479274783097893","name":"OYoung","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture120","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274783097893","idStr":"3479274783097893"},"content":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","text":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","html":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end"},{"author":{"id":"3479274779734729","authorId":"3479274779734729","name":"zingle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274779734729","idStr":"3479274779734729"},"content":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","text":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","html":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀"}],"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274783097893","authorId":"3479274783097893","name":"OYoung","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture120","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274783097893","idStr":"3479274783097893"},"content":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","text":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end","html":"Term premium and Treasury refunding matter more here. CPI alone will not call the top in yields if supply keeps pressuring the long end"},{"author":{"id":"3479274779734729","authorId":"3479274779734729","name":"zingle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274779734729","idStr":"3479274779734729"},"content":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","text":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀","html":"Gold probably reacts harder than long bonds if CPI cools. Real yields are the cleaner tell here 👀"}],"streamModify":1791972345020,"id":618271585055024,"gmtCreate":1791971935213,"gmtModify":1791972345020,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Weekly: Yields Near a Peak? Key Setups in Gold and Long Bonds","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e04e27965925350d031ea306447530"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":61,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618271585055024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":617989073040000,"type":1,"entity":{"id":617989073040000,"gmtCreate":1791885361431,"gmtModify":1792122280892,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Two Risk Events Ahead: Will Nvidia Lose Support? Options Strategies for Range-Bound Gold and Oil💰","htmlText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","listText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","text":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ $SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d3c8b2cebe218cafe6bf98e5913e2548"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e982ea3ba83ca2c56bab7740bce2444b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/080aa7fe8bee17fb5ed7e51fbc147af6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/617989073040000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","text":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","html":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced"}],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","text":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","html":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced"}],"streamModify":1792122280892,"id":617989073040000,"gmtCreate":1791885361431,"gmtModify":1792122280892,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Two Risk Events Ahead: Will Nvidia Lose Support? Options Strategies for Range-Bound Gold and Oil💰","htmlText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","listText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","text":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ $SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d3c8b2cebe218cafe6bf98e5913e2548"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e982ea3ba83ca2c56bab7740bce2444b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/080aa7fe8bee17fb5ed7e51fbc147af6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/617989073040000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":616451865571952,"type":1,"entity":{"id":616451865571952,"gmtCreate":1791534508433,"gmtModify":1791535041291,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning: Risk Appetite Cools as Equity, Gold and Silver Longs Pull Back","htmlText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","listText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","text":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e69b3fcf9424117a74f5d7d3c4d3e710"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616451865571952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000459","authorId":"9000000000000459","name":"NathanEsther","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9751f7fcf698c4a7ddfe0208d14a33ab","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000459","idStr":"9000000000000459"},"content":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","text":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","html":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000459","authorId":"9000000000000459","name":"NathanEsther","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9751f7fcf698c4a7ddfe0208d14a33ab","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000459","idStr":"9000000000000459"},"content":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","text":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","html":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening"}],"streamModify":1791535041291,"id":616451865571952,"gmtCreate":1791534508433,"gmtModify":1791535041291,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning: Risk Appetite Cools as Equity, Gold and Silver Longs Pull Back","htmlText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","listText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","text":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e69b3fcf9424117a74f5d7d3c4d3e710"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616451865571952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613296824443016,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000196","idStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000196","idStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"streamModify":1790751738507,"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613237563486456,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"streamModify":1790749108616,"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612969788109280,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612969788109280,"gmtCreate":1790671635478,"gmtModify":1790673520242,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"It All Comes Down to Rates: Are Hawkish Expectations Overpriced and Treasury Yields Near a Peak?","htmlText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","listText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","text":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/367b044ab7c927d888822efd5d556c8b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/433793aeed0c3aa4825e88148ef90704"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1cfd127b0d4aa6e45d5577c153ba4e94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":42,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612969788109280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000364","authorId":"9000000000000364","name":"groovix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000364","idStr":"9000000000000364"},"content":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","text":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","html":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000364","authorId":"9000000000000364","name":"groovix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000364","idStr":"9000000000000364"},"content":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","text":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","html":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold"}],"streamModify":1790673520242,"id":612969788109280,"gmtCreate":1790671635478,"gmtModify":1790673520242,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"It All Comes Down to Rates: Are Hawkish Expectations Overpriced and Treasury Yields Near a Peak?","htmlText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","listText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","text":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/367b044ab7c927d888822efd5d556c8b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/433793aeed0c3aa4825e88148ef90704"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1cfd127b0d4aa6e45d5577c153ba4e94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":42,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612969788109280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612588083507224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612588083507224,"gmtCreate":1790578366259,"gmtModify":1790578930166,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Policy Shift Before the Midterms? 3 Ways to Position for Market Opportunities💰","htmlText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","listText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","text":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4da36be0e85c6966775a15475c7dd091"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a07b9940241e5fcd9dff93ace345ea80"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52ada8201bd2cfaadc7282d7d27d235b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612588083507224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000416","authorId":"9000000000000416","name":"peppywoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9412ae10bafb07946890558126185d43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000416","idStr":"9000000000000416"},"content":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","text":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","html":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000416","authorId":"9000000000000416","name":"peppywoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9412ae10bafb07946890558126185d43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000416","idStr":"9000000000000416"},"content":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","text":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","html":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests"}],"streamModify":1790578930166,"id":612588083507224,"gmtCreate":1790578366259,"gmtModify":1790578930166,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Policy Shift Before the Midterms? 3 Ways to Position for Market Opportunities💰","htmlText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","listText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","text":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4da36be0e85c6966775a15475c7dd091"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a07b9940241e5fcd9dff93ace345ea80"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52ada8201bd2cfaadc7282d7d27d235b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612588083507224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610849781276808,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610849781276808,"gmtCreate":1790153966431,"gmtModify":1790154120519,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: What the Latest Option Flows Signal for Markets？💰💵","htmlText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","listText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","text":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66f449ad503cb927fd072013ed40b662"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cc4c3db0728b70f1a7ed9b29a6ad7995"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20cdfe7f929faca88970300ed368dfe7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610849781276808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","text":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","html":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000350","authorId":"9000000000000350","name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000350","idStr":"9000000000000350"},"content":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","text":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","html":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy."}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","text":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","html":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000350","authorId":"9000000000000350","name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000350","idStr":"9000000000000350"},"content":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","text":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","html":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy."}],"streamModify":1790154120519,"id":610849781276808,"gmtCreate":1790153966431,"gmtModify":1790154120519,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: What the Latest Option Flows Signal for Markets？💰💵","htmlText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","listText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","text":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66f449ad503cb927fd072013ed40b662"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cc4c3db0728b70f1a7ed9b29a6ad7995"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20cdfe7f929faca88970300ed368dfe7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610849781276808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610818128634264,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"streamModify":1790146451805,"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610498208063736,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610498208063736,"gmtCreate":1790068143887,"gmtModify":1790132550248,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"A Divergence Behind New Highs in U.S. Stocks: Why I’m Still Selling Puts and Running Small Straddles","htmlText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","listText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","text":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$ $微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632f516dd6c046f39b6bd2eca3bde6b8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/459f4cd8dba359a2f33e1e6b65f3505c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/048aa96dfb6ca7b9b24ffb9cfbf3c8eb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":263,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610498208063736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000695","authorId":"9000000000000695","name":"BaronLyly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2002537f0b7be973a9a9a72fea618459","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000695","idStr":"9000000000000695"},"content":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","text":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","html":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction"}],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000695","authorId":"9000000000000695","name":"BaronLyly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2002537f0b7be973a9a9a72fea618459","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000695","idStr":"9000000000000695"},"content":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","text":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","html":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction"}],"streamModify":1790132550248,"id":610498208063736,"gmtCreate":1790068143887,"gmtModify":1790132550248,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"A Divergence Behind New Highs in U.S. Stocks: Why I’m Still Selling Puts and Running Small Straddles","htmlText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","listText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","text":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$ $微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632f516dd6c046f39b6bd2eca3bde6b8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/459f4cd8dba359a2f33e1e6b65f3505c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/048aa96dfb6ca7b9b24ffb9cfbf3c8eb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":263,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610498208063736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610375379914840,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610375379914840,"gmtCreate":1790048124404,"gmtModify":1790048174418,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Fed Hike Lands: Direction Confirmed? Risk Assets Set for Another Strong Month","htmlText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98f66785537b6bb5cd962b2d4ae2e8b3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":153,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610375379914840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000692","idStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","text":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","html":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000692","idStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","text":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","html":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month"}],"streamModify":1790048174418,"id":610375379914840,"gmtCreate":1790048124404,"gmtModify":1790048174418,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Fed Hike Lands: Direction Confirmed? Risk Assets Set for Another Strong Month","htmlText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98f66785537b6bb5cd962b2d4ae2e8b3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":153,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610375379914840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610093111603248,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610093111603248,"gmtCreate":1789979210892,"gmtModify":1789980070809,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"How To Trade the Rate-Hike Cycle: Watch for the Final U.S. Equity Rally！ 📈📉","htmlText":"With the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike now underway, there is no turning back once the arrow has left the bow. The tightening cycle is unlikely to end in the near term; it may not reverse until a major economic event emerges—such as a recession or a substantial equity-market decline. Accordingly, trading during this period should become more cautious. Should the pace of tightening accelerate, market volatility is likely to increase as well. Over the weekend, I held an in-person discussion with Tiger users in Hong Kong. Based on my U.S. dollar cycle model, this round of Fed tightening is a landmark event signaling that the dollar cycle has entered a new phase. Given widening interest-rate differentials, we may subsequently face an environment of accelerated U.S. dollar appreciation.","listText":"With the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike now underway, there is no turning back once the arrow has left the bow. The tightening cycle is unlikely to end in the near term; it may not reverse until a major economic event emerges—such as a recession or a substantial equity-market decline. Accordingly, trading during this period should become more cautious. Should the pace of tightening accelerate, market volatility is likely to increase as well. Over the weekend, I held an in-person discussion with Tiger users in Hong Kong. Based on my U.S. dollar cycle model, this round of Fed tightening is a landmark event signaling that the dollar cycle has entered a new phase. Given widening interest-rate differentials, we may subsequently face an environment of accelerated U.S. dollar appreciation.","text":"With the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike now underway, there is no turning back once the arrow has left the bow. The tightening cycle is unlikely to end in the near term; it may not reverse until a major economic event emerges—such as a recession or a substantial equity-market decline. Accordingly, trading during this period should become more cautious. Should the pace of tightening accelerate, market volatility is likely to increase as well. Over the weekend, I held an in-person discussion with Tiger users in Hong Kong. Based on my U.S. dollar cycle model, this round of Fed tightening is a landmark event signaling that the dollar cycle has entered a new phase. Given widening interest-rate differentials, we may subsequently face an environment of accelerated U.S. dollar appreciation.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca0f6ea67f5e88771334bb92bfcd47be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":94,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":24,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610093111603248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274818170709","authorId":"3479274818170709","name":"smile000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da17719e1bd21edc4b2310263c2ecc09","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274818170709","idStr":"3479274818170709"},"content":"Dollar matters, but supply shocks can still keep crude sticky. That part usually hits before the dollar peak.","text":"Dollar matters, but supply shocks can still keep crude sticky. That part usually hits before the dollar peak.","html":"Dollar matters, but supply shocks can still keep crude sticky. That part usually hits before the dollar peak."}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274818170709","authorId":"3479274818170709","name":"smile000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da17719e1bd21edc4b2310263c2ecc09","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274818170709","idStr":"3479274818170709"},"content":"Dollar matters, but supply shocks can still keep crude sticky. That part usually hits before the dollar peak.","text":"Dollar matters, but supply shocks can still keep crude sticky. That part usually hits before the dollar peak.","html":"Dollar matters, but supply shocks can still keep crude sticky. That part usually hits before the dollar peak."}],"streamModify":1789980070809,"id":610093111603248,"gmtCreate":1789979210892,"gmtModify":1789980070809,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"How To Trade the Rate-Hike Cycle: Watch for the Final U.S. Equity Rally！ 📈📉","htmlText":"With the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike now underway, there is no turning back once the arrow has left the bow. The tightening cycle is unlikely to end in the near term; it may not reverse until a major economic event emerges—such as a recession or a substantial equity-market decline. Accordingly, trading during this period should become more cautious. Should the pace of tightening accelerate, market volatility is likely to increase as well. Over the weekend, I held an in-person discussion with Tiger users in Hong Kong. Based on my U.S. dollar cycle model, this round of Fed tightening is a landmark event signaling that the dollar cycle has entered a new phase. Given widening interest-rate differentials, we may subsequently face an environment of accelerated U.S. dollar appreciation.","listText":"With the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike now underway, there is no turning back once the arrow has left the bow. The tightening cycle is unlikely to end in the near term; it may not reverse until a major economic event emerges—such as a recession or a substantial equity-market decline. Accordingly, trading during this period should become more cautious. Should the pace of tightening accelerate, market volatility is likely to increase as well. Over the weekend, I held an in-person discussion with Tiger users in Hong Kong. Based on my U.S. dollar cycle model, this round of Fed tightening is a landmark event signaling that the dollar cycle has entered a new phase. Given widening interest-rate differentials, we may subsequently face an environment of accelerated U.S. dollar appreciation.","text":"With the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike now underway, there is no turning back once the arrow has left the bow. The tightening cycle is unlikely to end in the near term; it may not reverse until a major economic event emerges—such as a recession or a substantial equity-market decline. Accordingly, trading during this period should become more cautious. Should the pace of tightening accelerate, market volatility is likely to increase as well. Over the weekend, I held an in-person discussion with Tiger users in Hong Kong. Based on my U.S. dollar cycle model, this round of Fed tightening is a landmark event signaling that the dollar cycle has entered a new phase. Given widening interest-rate differentials, we may subsequently face an environment of accelerated U.S. dollar appreciation.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca0f6ea67f5e88771334bb92bfcd47be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":94,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":24,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610093111603248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":609031505760344,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000382","idStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274755021820","idStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000382","idStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274755021820","idStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"streamModify":1789720203884,"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"Chicago Mercantile Exchange","code":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","name":"CME","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":10,"zone":"CDT","zoneId":"America/Chicago","zoneName":"Central Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Equity_Index","contractCode":"ES2612","contractId":"dcae51828c64472994eac47455f3a254","contractMonth":"202612","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"S&P 500","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-sandp500_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.25 index point ( US$12.5 )","productScale":"US$50 USD per index point","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"Equity Index","productWorth":"US$50 USD per index point","worth":50},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20261218","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1797604200000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":50},"name":"E-mini S&P 500 - Dec 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_ES_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"ESmain","referMainContractId":"f9cd822b746d48d98054ec96d3163dd1","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"ES","symbolId":"FT_SY_ES","symbolName":"E-mini S&P 500"}}