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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Foreign_Exchange","contractCode":"EURmain","contractId":"fb3c0938332743e8a20fbefb4bf5522b","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":"EUR to USD","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/fx/g10/euro-fx_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.00005 USD per EUR increments (US$6.25)","productScale":"125,000 Euro","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"FX","productWorth":"125,000x futures price (USD)","worth":125000},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":125000},"name":"Euro FX - main 2609","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_EUR_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":5,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":5,"value":5},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":5,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"EUR","symbolId":"FT_SY_EUR","symbolName":"Euro FX"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":605122676002976,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605122676002976,"gmtCreate":1788765813482,"gmtModify":1788768981188,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Long-Term Yields Are Approaching a Tipping Point—Could Dollar Drop Another 10%？","htmlText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","listText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","text":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5b9c0da16441a49c050245e8146a14af"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":48,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605122676002976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000411","authorId":"9000000000000411","name":"breezzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ad2cc67582df9ded2545cb87a71ea7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000411","authorIdStr":"9000000000000411"},"content":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","text":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","html":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity."}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000411","authorId":"9000000000000411","name":"breezzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ad2cc67582df9ded2545cb87a71ea7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000411","authorIdStr":"9000000000000411"},"content":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","text":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","html":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity."}],"streamModify":1788768981188,"id":605122676002976,"gmtCreate":1788765813482,"gmtModify":1788768981188,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Long-Term Yields Are Approaching a Tipping Point—Could Dollar Drop Another 10%？","htmlText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","listText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","text":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5b9c0da16441a49c050245e8146a14af"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":48,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605122676002976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":603289339822128,"type":1,"entity":{"id":603289339822128,"gmtCreate":1788318133797,"gmtModify":1788320455813,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: VIX Seasonal Spike Incoming，Top Strategy for Choppy Markets","htmlText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","listText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","text":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious The report received substantial engagem","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/191561d29f03ea4530cfb88e44c781bb"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5174e05c68c35cdce01d2ebbc821cb3b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8fc5f29d3a33de7ea5a94c724f8407e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":166,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603289339822128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000732","authorId":"9000000000000732","name":"bumpy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a051cce1b1b21c402c5b1727bf43c7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000732","authorIdStr":"9000000000000732"},"content":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","text":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","html":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol"}],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000732","authorId":"9000000000000732","name":"bumpy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a051cce1b1b21c402c5b1727bf43c7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000732","authorIdStr":"9000000000000732"},"content":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","text":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","html":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol"}],"streamModify":1788320455813,"id":603289339822128,"gmtCreate":1788318133797,"gmtModify":1788320455813,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: VIX Seasonal Spike Incoming，Top Strategy for Choppy Markets","htmlText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","listText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","text":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious The report received substantial engagem","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/191561d29f03ea4530cfb88e44c781bb"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5174e05c68c35cdce01d2ebbc821cb3b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8fc5f29d3a33de7ea5a94c724f8407e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":166,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603289339822128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":602811705636352,"type":1,"entity":{"id":602811705636352,"gmtCreate":1788167567316,"gmtModify":1788168587894,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus: Will Gold Hold as Equity Indices Reassess?","htmlText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","listText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","text":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4333b14b2bdaa25e8bfb18f30d201e7a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":23,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/602811705636352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788168587894,"id":602811705636352,"gmtCreate":1788167567316,"gmtModify":1788168587894,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus: Will Gold Hold as Equity Indices Reassess?","htmlText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","listText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","text":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4333b14b2bdaa25e8bfb18f30d201e7a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":23,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/602811705636352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":600364937115136,"type":1,"entity":{"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000469","authorIdStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000469","authorIdStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"streamModify":1787645572733,"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":599160618893400,"type":1,"entity":{"id":599160618893400,"gmtCreate":1787310145639,"gmtModify":1787312667657,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US Treasury Bond Purchases: Gold Surges, Dollar Plunges—But Is a Bull Market Really Here?","htmlText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","listText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","text":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef16d815628cdf7dbca7e64155e97a4e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c21d473dbbefd8d5b56f54703648d3c5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/599160618893400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274803156147","authorId":"3479274803156147","name":"0billionaire","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d8c2eb1c079c85b43879eb951e8684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274803156147","authorIdStr":"3479274803156147"},"content":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","text":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","html":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000661","authorId":"9000000000000661","name":"CareyDunlop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742a1a3fe6754169c97157f6d9276916","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000661","authorIdStr":"9000000000000661"},"content":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","text":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","html":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run"}],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274803156147","authorId":"3479274803156147","name":"0billionaire","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d8c2eb1c079c85b43879eb951e8684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274803156147","authorIdStr":"3479274803156147"},"content":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","text":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","html":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000661","authorId":"9000000000000661","name":"CareyDunlop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742a1a3fe6754169c97157f6d9276916","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000661","authorIdStr":"9000000000000661"},"content":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","text":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","html":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run"}],"streamModify":1787312667657,"id":599160618893400,"gmtCreate":1787310145639,"gmtModify":1787312667657,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US Treasury Bond Purchases: Gold Surges, Dollar Plunges—But Is a Bull Market Really Here?","htmlText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","listText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","text":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef16d815628cdf7dbca7e64155e97a4e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c21d473dbbefd8d5b56f54703648d3c5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/599160618893400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":598429398143024,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598429398143024,"gmtCreate":1787131624598,"gmtModify":1787133109757,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Week:High Yields Squeeze Market as Volatility Returns,Major Opportunities brewing 💹","htmlText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","listText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","text":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3ef9533c949a56d25e345b250ce995d4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5741bc925fd2f2a8648921ce5a8837db"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/14c932e89284d198ef1e503a86634095"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":86,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598429398143024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000487","authorId":"9000000000000487","name":"MaudNelly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e0fafb6a0868fdff5a6626301b88f7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000487","authorIdStr":"9000000000000487"},"content":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","text":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","html":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000441","authorId":"9000000000000441","name":"vi123123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2214c44af667ceaccefbb23d0bcacbb8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000441","authorIdStr":"9000000000000441"},"content":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","text":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","html":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy"}],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000487","authorId":"9000000000000487","name":"MaudNelly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e0fafb6a0868fdff5a6626301b88f7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000487","authorIdStr":"9000000000000487"},"content":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","text":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","html":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000441","authorId":"9000000000000441","name":"vi123123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2214c44af667ceaccefbb23d0bcacbb8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000441","authorIdStr":"9000000000000441"},"content":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","text":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","html":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy"}],"streamModify":1787133109757,"id":598429398143024,"gmtCreate":1787131624598,"gmtModify":1787133109757,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Week:High Yields Squeeze Market as Volatility Returns,Major Opportunities brewing 💹","htmlText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","listText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","text":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3ef9533c949a56d25e345b250ce995d4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5741bc925fd2f2a8648921ce5a8837db"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/14c932e89284d198ef1e503a86634095"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":86,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598429398143024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597772257562648,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786950458851,"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597675421212720,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597675421212720,"gmtCreate":1786947548199,"gmtModify":1786967807037,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls: Two Trading Opportunities Near U.S. Index Gap Support?","htmlText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","listText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","text":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e15bd368992d1fe99e8e7f578d0e15ea"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f22c0858d16df3295a795edc567edc32"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0202a02c755e27c38d7f65e1c62a65ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597675421212720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786967807037,"id":597675421212720,"gmtCreate":1786947548199,"gmtModify":1786967807037,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls: Two Trading Opportunities Near U.S. Index Gap Support?","htmlText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","listText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","text":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e15bd368992d1fe99e8e7f578d0e15ea"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f22c0858d16df3295a795edc567edc32"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0202a02c755e27c38d7f65e1c62a65ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597675421212720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":591869838898736,"type":1,"entity":{"id":591869838898736,"gmtCreate":1785496278934,"gmtModify":1788146277707,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap: Will This Fed Meeting Burst the AI Bubble?","htmlText":"On Thursday evening I hosted a livestream on <a href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/4166650\" target=\"_blank\">whether this Fed meeting will burst the AI bubble</a>, and how we should be positioned for it. There were a great many charts and I moved through them fairly quickly, so not everyone will have been able to follow in real time. What follows is a written walk-through of that session — the key judgements, the charts, and every operating condition I laid out on the night, kept as close to the original as possible. Let me put the conclusion up front. Holding rates steady in July was in line with expectations, but going into the meeting the probability of “no change” was only 65.8%, whereas heading into past meetings it has typically been above 80% — which tells us the market's ex","listText":"On Thursday evening I hosted a livestream on <a href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/4166650\" target=\"_blank\">whether this Fed meeting will burst the AI bubble</a>, and how we should be positioned for it. There were a great many charts and I moved through them fairly quickly, so not everyone will have been able to follow in real time. What follows is a written walk-through of that session — the key judgements, the charts, and every operating condition I laid out on the night, kept as close to the original as possible. Let me put the conclusion up front. Holding rates steady in July was in line with expectations, but going into the meeting the probability of “no change” was only 65.8%, whereas heading into past meetings it has typically been above 80% — which tells us the market's ex","text":"On Thursday evening I hosted a livestream on whether this Fed meeting will burst the AI bubble, and how we should be positioned for it. There were a great many charts and I moved through them fairly quickly, so not everyone will have been able to follow in real time. What follows is a written walk-through of that session — the key judgements, the charts, and every operating condition I laid out on the night, kept as close to the original as possible. Let me put the conclusion up front. Holding rates steady in July was in line with expectations, but going into the meeting the probability of “no change” was only 65.8%, whereas heading into past meetings it has typically been above 80% — which tells us the market's ex","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb3cc5db7404b7d882f0d06517f8269","width":"844","height":"475"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37292ca19228d6d68aaf0869de08eea8","width":"844","height":"475"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0733a146eaa65a4881fc533a94593f7b","width":"844","height":"475"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":97,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591869838898736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":19,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788146277707,"id":591869838898736,"gmtCreate":1785496278934,"gmtModify":1788146277707,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap: Will This Fed Meeting Burst the AI Bubble?","htmlText":"On Thursday evening I hosted a livestream on <a href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/4166650\" target=\"_blank\">whether this Fed meeting will burst the AI bubble</a>, and how we should be positioned for it. There were a great many charts and I moved through them fairly quickly, so not everyone will have been able to follow in real time. What follows is a written walk-through of that session — the key judgements, the charts, and every operating condition I laid out on the night, kept as close to the original as possible. Let me put the conclusion up front. Holding rates steady in July was in line with expectations, but going into the meeting the probability of “no change” was only 65.8%, whereas heading into past meetings it has typically been above 80% — which tells us the market's ex","listText":"On Thursday evening I hosted a livestream on <a href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/4166650\" target=\"_blank\">whether this Fed meeting will burst the AI bubble</a>, and how we should be positioned for it. There were a great many charts and I moved through them fairly quickly, so not everyone will have been able to follow in real time. What follows is a written walk-through of that session — the key judgements, the charts, and every operating condition I laid out on the night, kept as close to the original as possible. Let me put the conclusion up front. Holding rates steady in July was in line with expectations, but going into the meeting the probability of “no change” was only 65.8%, whereas heading into past meetings it has typically been above 80% — which tells us the market's ex","text":"On Thursday evening I hosted a livestream on whether this Fed meeting will burst the AI bubble, and how we should be positioned for it. There were a great many charts and I moved through them fairly quickly, so not everyone will have been able to follow in real time. What follows is a written walk-through of that session — the key judgements, the charts, and every operating condition I laid out on the night, kept as close to the original as possible. Let me put the conclusion up front. Holding rates steady in July was in line with expectations, but going into the meeting the probability of “no change” was only 65.8%, whereas heading into past meetings it has typically been above 80% — which tells us the market's ex","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb3cc5db7404b7d882f0d06517f8269","width":"844","height":"475"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37292ca19228d6d68aaf0869de08eea8","width":"844","height":"475"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0733a146eaa65a4881fc533a94593f7b","width":"844","height":"475"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":97,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591869838898736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":19,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":585647642038368,"type":1,"entity":{"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1784018004707,"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":583603213271072,"type":1,"entity":{"id":583603213271072,"gmtCreate":1783511932602,"gmtModify":1788146277389,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"War Reignites Between the US and Iran: How Do You Trade Futures Short-Term? （Recent Returns Revealed","htmlText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","listText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","text":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e92a4da4cfefce6ae0978a4889cc151f","width":"865","height":"385"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c891bac8ef2f82e0e31539c207591628","width":"865","height":"1122"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3abd5b13c7d42e71656d0d8687101679","width":"865","height":"702"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":39,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583603213271072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788146277389,"id":583603213271072,"gmtCreate":1783511932602,"gmtModify":1788146277389,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"War Reignites Between the US and Iran: How Do You Trade Futures Short-Term? （Recent Returns Revealed","htmlText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","listText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","text":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e92a4da4cfefce6ae0978a4889cc151f","width":"865","height":"385"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c891bac8ef2f82e0e31539c207591628","width":"865","height":"1122"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3abd5b13c7d42e71656d0d8687101679","width":"865","height":"702"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":39,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583603213271072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":583193633964320,"type":1,"entity":{"id":583193633964320,"gmtCreate":1783415779787,"gmtModify":1783415882603,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Downtrend Isn't Over, But a Rebound Window Is Opening: July Opportunities for Bitcoin and Ethere","htmlText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","listText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","text":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c918ebfb79fc773e098a4c24e626237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583193633964320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1783415882603,"id":583193633964320,"gmtCreate":1783415779787,"gmtModify":1783415882603,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"The Downtrend Isn't Over, But a Rebound Window Is Opening: July Opportunities for Bitcoin and Ethere","htmlText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","listText":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$</a>","text":"Amidst the current macroeconomic environment where AI and related sectors are stealing the spotlight, the performance of crypto assets this year has been exceptionally weak, failing to capture any upward momentum. The reality is that in the realm of narrative-driven assets, Bitcoin's history and storytelling capabilities are just as strong as any other asset. However, once expectations are overdrawn and fail to materialize, a return to reality is inevitable. Nevertheless, after a sustained decline, the likelihood of a short-term stabilization and a corrective rebound is increasing. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c918ebfb79fc773e098a4c24e626237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583193633964320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":578264175121656,"type":1,"entity":{"id":578264175121656,"gmtCreate":1782202641431,"gmtModify":1782202724787,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Watch Out For USD Bull Trap！？ Forex Markets Hit a Tipping Point！","htmlText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","listText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","text":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7914bf0426c04c81ee018c3176b57cb6","width":"840","height":"546"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578264175121656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1782202724787,"id":578264175121656,"gmtCreate":1782202641431,"gmtModify":1782202724787,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Watch Out For USD Bull Trap！？ Forex Markets Hit a Tipping Point！","htmlText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","listText":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","text":"Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East saw renewed uncertainties over the past weekend, ultimately failing to reach a comprehensive agreement. However, considering that the market's sensitivity has significantly dulled, unless hostilities officially resume, this is not expected to disrupt the performance of most assets. Recently, we can shift our focus toward the foreign exchange market. Taking the US Dollar Index (DXY) as a reference, the price action is currently hovering near a crucial watershed level. Based on our long-term bearish view on the dollar, there is reason to suspect that new selling opportunities may emerge, and the DXY itself faces the risk of a bull trap. Earlier this year, the dollar once approached its 10-year long-term trendline, but the bulls ultimately defended thi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7914bf0426c04c81ee018c3176b57cb6","width":"840","height":"546"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578264175121656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558831241933160,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558831241933160,"gmtCreate":1777466118408,"gmtModify":1778843891113,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"A Higher Probability Path of “Unstable Peace” Under Remote Signaling Dynamics","htmlText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","listText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","text":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2f61ed604e8fc1a9cc44150d0857649"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/faab5b4e7202df57d575f8a5c0fe89b0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/769952e4a0691fbb7f506a696dc022ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":202,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558831241933160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843891113,"id":558831241933160,"gmtCreate":1777466118408,"gmtModify":1778843891113,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"A Higher Probability Path of “Unstable Peace” Under Remote Signaling Dynamics","htmlText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","listText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","text":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2f61ed604e8fc1a9cc44150d0857649"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/faab5b4e7202df57d575f8a5c0fe89b0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/769952e4a0691fbb7f506a696dc022ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":202,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558831241933160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":548545215139896,"type":1,"entity":{"id":548545215139896,"gmtCreate":1774946132448,"gmtModify":1774946158414,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Before You Buy the Gold Dip, Revisit the Three Most Important Gold Rallies in History","htmlText":"First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profittaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh","listText":"First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profittaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh","text":"First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profit\u001etaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/094be8faf424549f62090c51b6fe235f","width":"615","height":"315"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c193305d21af342b530c9e5a743d8dfc","width":"1257","height":"845"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fe34ae8cbb03a267f94a93763317c58d","width":"1258","height":"453"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/548545215139896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274784832471","authorIdStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"Spot on! Gold's dip is a prime chance to load up, history echoes.[看涨]","text":"Spot on! Gold's dip is a prime chance to load up, history echoes.[看涨]","html":"Spot on! Gold's dip is a prime chance to load up, history echoes.[看涨]"},{"author":{"id":"3479274763284018","authorId":"3479274763284018","name":"MarsBloom","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f31b0657bdd536143132c5bc71f66f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274763284018","authorIdStr":"3479274763284018"},"content":"Spot on! Historical parallels suggest gold's rally isn't over yet.[强]","text":"Spot on! Historical parallels suggest gold's rally isn't over yet.[强]","html":"Spot on! Historical parallels suggest gold's rally isn't over yet.[强]"}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274784832471","authorIdStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"Spot on! Gold's dip is a prime chance to load up, history echoes.[看涨]","text":"Spot on! Gold's dip is a prime chance to load up, history echoes.[看涨]","html":"Spot on! Gold's dip is a prime chance to load up, history echoes.[看涨]"},{"author":{"id":"3479274763284018","authorId":"3479274763284018","name":"MarsBloom","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f31b0657bdd536143132c5bc71f66f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274763284018","authorIdStr":"3479274763284018"},"content":"Spot on! Historical parallels suggest gold's rally isn't over yet.[强]","text":"Spot on! Historical parallels suggest gold's rally isn't over yet.[强]","html":"Spot on! Historical parallels suggest gold's rally isn't over yet.[强]"}],"streamModify":1774946158414,"id":548545215139896,"gmtCreate":1774946132448,"gmtModify":1774946158414,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Before You Buy the Gold Dip, Revisit the Three Most Important Gold Rallies in History","htmlText":"First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profittaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh","listText":"First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profittaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh","text":"First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profit\u001etaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/094be8faf424549f62090c51b6fe235f","width":"615","height":"315"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c193305d21af342b530c9e5a743d8dfc","width":"1257","height":"845"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fe34ae8cbb03a267f94a93763317c58d","width":"1258","height":"453"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/548545215139896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":548535947748528,"type":1,"entity":{"id":548535947748528,"gmtCreate":1774943776557,"gmtModify":1774948433723,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Stuck in a Slow-Bleed Market? 3 Key Strategies to Watch","htmlText":"1. US Equities Outlook <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(MNQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(MESmain)$</a>I undoubtedly remain bearish on the current trajectory of US equity indices. However, for those holding naked short positions or buying the VIX on dips,","listText":"1. US Equities Outlook <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(MNQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(MESmain)$</a>I undoubtedly remain bearish on the current trajectory of US equity indices. However, for those holding naked short positions or buying the VIX on dips,","text":"1. US Equities Outlook $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$ $Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(MNQmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ $Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(MESmain)$I undoubtedly remain bearish on the current trajectory of US equity indices. However, for those holding naked short positions or buying the VIX on dips,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ac73bdef59524a47704d0c56ea642bf"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11582075ac2ec8a6946dd2bed41bd1f5"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e732f4e1ddf7673be80ff16bceff8815"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":54,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/548535947748528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1774948433723,"id":548535947748528,"gmtCreate":1774943776557,"gmtModify":1774948433723,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Stuck in a Slow-Bleed Market? 3 Key Strategies to Watch","htmlText":"1. US Equities Outlook <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(MNQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(MESmain)$</a>I undoubtedly remain bearish on the current trajectory of US equity indices. However, for those holding naked short positions or buying the VIX on dips,","listText":"1. US Equities Outlook <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(MNQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MESmain\">$Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(MESmain)$</a>I undoubtedly remain bearish on the current trajectory of US equity indices. However, for those holding naked short positions or buying the VIX on dips,","text":"1. US Equities Outlook $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$ $Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(MNQmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ $Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(MESmain)$I undoubtedly remain bearish on the current trajectory of US equity indices. However, for those holding naked short positions or buying the VIX on dips,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ac73bdef59524a47704d0c56ea642bf"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11582075ac2ec8a6946dd2bed41bd1f5"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e732f4e1ddf7673be80ff16bceff8815"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":54,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/548535947748528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":543557432705344,"type":1,"entity":{"id":543557432705344,"gmtCreate":1773728218776,"gmtModify":1773728503940,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"The Return of King Dollar: Why Euro Shorts and Patience on Stocks May Make Sense","htmlText":"The market initially seemed to expect the Strait of Hormuz disruption to fade quickly, much like last year’s Iranian missile retaliation, but that has not happened. Shipping disruptions have persisted, oil has surged, and investors are paying much closer attention to the inflation and growth risks that come with a prolonged energy shock. What has changed even more is the dollar. After spending much of the past year in a weak trend, the greenback has started to behave very differently since the Strait disruption. With higher oil feeding inflation concerns, rate-cut expectations for this year have been pushed back sharply, and the market is now pricing in very little easing from the Fed, which is helping support dollar demand. If the next Fed chair also turns out to be more focused on balanc","listText":"The market initially seemed to expect the Strait of Hormuz disruption to fade quickly, much like last year’s Iranian missile retaliation, but that has not happened. Shipping disruptions have persisted, oil has surged, and investors are paying much closer attention to the inflation and growth risks that come with a prolonged energy shock. What has changed even more is the dollar. After spending much of the past year in a weak trend, the greenback has started to behave very differently since the Strait disruption. With higher oil feeding inflation concerns, rate-cut expectations for this year have been pushed back sharply, and the market is now pricing in very little easing from the Fed, which is helping support dollar demand. If the next Fed chair also turns out to be more focused on balanc","text":"The market initially seemed to expect the Strait of Hormuz disruption to fade quickly, much like last year’s Iranian missile retaliation, but that has not happened. Shipping disruptions have persisted, oil has surged, and investors are paying much closer attention to the inflation and growth risks that come with a prolonged energy shock. What has changed even more is the dollar. After spending much of the past year in a weak trend, the greenback has started to behave very differently since the Strait disruption. With higher oil feeding inflation concerns, rate-cut expectations for this year have been pushed back sharply, and the market is now pricing in very little easing from the Fed, which is helping support dollar demand. If the next Fed chair also turns out to be more focused on balanc","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d517e543013d3e0a9011c12af84bddd4","width":"865","height":"469"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5854fe69890b43156355abfa2da00497","width":"865","height":"496"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf027c9b1384136fff0d53ea45f5d3a5","width":"865","height":"516"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":79,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/543557432705344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000568","authorIdStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Oil shock dragging on leh, patience beats rushing bottoms now.[看跌]","text":"Oil shock dragging on leh, patience beats rushing bottoms now.[看跌]","html":"Oil shock dragging on leh, patience beats rushing bottoms now.[看跌]"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000568","authorIdStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Oil shock dragging on leh, patience beats rushing bottoms now.[看跌]","text":"Oil shock dragging on leh, patience beats rushing bottoms now.[看跌]","html":"Oil shock dragging on leh, patience beats rushing bottoms now.[看跌]"}],"streamModify":1773728503940,"id":543557432705344,"gmtCreate":1773728218776,"gmtModify":1773728503940,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"The Return of King Dollar: Why Euro Shorts and Patience on Stocks May Make Sense","htmlText":"The market initially seemed to expect the Strait of Hormuz disruption to fade quickly, much like last year’s Iranian missile retaliation, but that has not happened. Shipping disruptions have persisted, oil has surged, and investors are paying much closer attention to the inflation and growth risks that come with a prolonged energy shock. What has changed even more is the dollar. After spending much of the past year in a weak trend, the greenback has started to behave very differently since the Strait disruption. With higher oil feeding inflation concerns, rate-cut expectations for this year have been pushed back sharply, and the market is now pricing in very little easing from the Fed, which is helping support dollar demand. If the next Fed chair also turns out to be more focused on balanc","listText":"The market initially seemed to expect the Strait of Hormuz disruption to fade quickly, much like last year’s Iranian missile retaliation, but that has not happened. Shipping disruptions have persisted, oil has surged, and investors are paying much closer attention to the inflation and growth risks that come with a prolonged energy shock. What has changed even more is the dollar. After spending much of the past year in a weak trend, the greenback has started to behave very differently since the Strait disruption. With higher oil feeding inflation concerns, rate-cut expectations for this year have been pushed back sharply, and the market is now pricing in very little easing from the Fed, which is helping support dollar demand. If the next Fed chair also turns out to be more focused on balanc","text":"The market initially seemed to expect the Strait of Hormuz disruption to fade quickly, much like last year’s Iranian missile retaliation, but that has not happened. Shipping disruptions have persisted, oil has surged, and investors are paying much closer attention to the inflation and growth risks that come with a prolonged energy shock. What has changed even more is the dollar. After spending much of the past year in a weak trend, the greenback has started to behave very differently since the Strait disruption. With higher oil feeding inflation concerns, rate-cut expectations for this year have been pushed back sharply, and the market is now pricing in very little easing from the Fed, which is helping support dollar demand. If the next Fed chair also turns out to be more focused on balanc","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d517e543013d3e0a9011c12af84bddd4","width":"865","height":"469"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5854fe69890b43156355abfa2da00497","width":"865","height":"496"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf027c9b1384136fff0d53ea45f5d3a5","width":"865","height":"516"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":79,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/543557432705344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":539696535023832,"type":1,"entity":{"id":539696535023832,"gmtCreate":1772788216370,"gmtModify":1788146278409,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The US-Iran War is Escalating—So Why Did I Just Close My Long Oil Trades?","htmlText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","listText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","text":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/220fe11b2bd81b2be62118b289b08ad2","width":"668","height":"918"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b547c887d60b8626764503eeb371b3a","width":"1806","height":"804"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66b8c008471223974ace93803f51f506","width":"1317","height":"696"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":60,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/539696535023832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788146278409,"id":539696535023832,"gmtCreate":1772788216370,"gmtModify":1788146278409,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The US-Iran War is Escalating—So Why Did I Just Close My Long Oil Trades?","htmlText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","listText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","text":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/220fe11b2bd81b2be62118b289b08ad2","width":"668","height":"918"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b547c887d60b8626764503eeb371b3a","width":"1806","height":"804"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66b8c008471223974ace93803f51f506","width":"1317","height":"696"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":60,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/539696535023832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":528741071515952,"type":1,"entity":{"id":528741071515952,"gmtCreate":1770108248103,"gmtModify":1770108277504,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch","htmlText":"After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi","listText":"After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi","text":"After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7088c05cbb71b595d76dcd9529235036","width":"1818","height":"809"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1ace019219263d457470cd0c9ac8cfd","width":"1809","height":"805"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcd385e50e228b7350f2145106847aa3","width":"999","height":"705"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":81,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":35,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/528741071515952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1770108277504,"id":528741071515952,"gmtCreate":1770108248103,"gmtModify":1770108277504,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch","htmlText":"After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi","listText":"After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi","text":"After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7088c05cbb71b595d76dcd9529235036","width":"1818","height":"809"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1ace019219263d457470cd0c9ac8cfd","width":"1809","height":"805"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcd385e50e228b7350f2145106847aa3","width":"999","height":"705"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":81,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":35,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/528741071515952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"Chicago Mercantile Exchange","code":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","name":"CME","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":10,"zone":"CDT","zoneId":"America/Chicago","zoneName":"Central Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Foreign_Exchange","contractCode":"EUR2609","contractId":"9f2fd397f5194816916251d065594af5","contractMonth":"202609","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":"EUR to USD","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/fx/g10/euro-fx_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.00005 USD per EUR increments (US$6.25)","productScale":"125,000 Euro","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"FX","productWorth":"125,000x futures price (USD)","worth":125000},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20260914","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1789395360000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":125000},"name":"Euro FX - Sep 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_EUR_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":5,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":5,"value":5},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":5,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"EURmain","referMainContractId":"fb3c0938332743e8a20fbefb4bf5522b","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"EUR","symbolId":"FT_SY_EUR","symbolName":"Euro FX"}}