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What A Fed Rate Hike Means For Gold And Silver Prices
Commodities Watch · 09-15
What A Fed Rate Hike Means For Gold And Silver Prices
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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Precious_Metal","contractCode":"GC2612","contractId":"276654c8f05b429382588b4b40584641","contractMonth":"202612","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":" US GOLD, CMX GOLD","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/metals/precious/gold_contractSpecs_futures.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.1（ USD/troy ounce）( US$10 )","productScale":"100troy ounces","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for 26 consecutive months and any Jun and Dec in the nearest 72 months.","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Precious Metal","productWorth":"US$100 x futures price","worth":100},"exchangeCode":"COMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_COMEX","firstNoticeDate":"20261130","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":1796076000000,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20261229","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1798581600000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":100},"name":"Gold - Dec 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_GC_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":1,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":1,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":1,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"GCmain","referMainContractId":"c46449823c9d47d5aaf4741428498c1a","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"GC","symbolId":"FT_SY_GC","symbolName":"Gold"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":620796428202224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620796428202224,"gmtCreate":1792584474146,"gmtModify":1792584511508,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning Watch: US Index Shorts Retreat as Oil Bsulls Rush for the Exit","htmlText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","listText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","text":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a0ff66eda94b7bcb09c401179237f1da"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1600,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":68,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620796428202224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","text":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","html":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000725","authorId":"9000000000000725","name":"AfraSimon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d30a827da942c1b0307f51e832534e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000725","idStr":"9000000000000725"},"content":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","text":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","html":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast"}],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000340","idStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","text":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed.","html":"Need to separate contract buckets too: SPX strength in the micro near-months says fast money covering, while the standard contracts still look way less committed."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000725","authorId":"9000000000000725","name":"AfraSimon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d30a827da942c1b0307f51e832534e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000725","idStr":"9000000000000725"},"content":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","text":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast","html":"Good point on separating flows, but the commercial bucket is messy too. In oil especially, hedge flows can mix with real producer hedging, so reading who actually drives price gets slippery fast"}],"streamModify":1792584511508,"id":620796428202224,"gmtCreate":1792584474146,"gmtModify":1792584511508,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning Watch: US Index Shorts Retreat as Oil Bsulls Rush for the Exit","htmlText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","listText":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","text":"What Is CFTC Data, Why Does It Matter, and What Should Investors Watch? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, published weekly by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a key gauge of fund flows in global futures markets. Its main value lies in revealing who is driving prices. Market movements ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital, and CFTC data allow these participants to be analyzed separately. The analysis follows three main steps: Identify the dominant capital. For commodity futures such as WTI crude oil, gold and silver, the focus is on Managed Money net positions, which gauge the directional bias of speculative capital. Producer positions reveal commercial hedging pressure and help assess positioning structure and marke","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a0ff66eda94b7bcb09c401179237f1da"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1600,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":68,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620796428202224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620072091218160,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620072091218160,"gmtCreate":1792411507654,"gmtModify":1792412317404,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"October Curse Meets CPI Black Swan: Options Strategies to Hedge U.S. Equity Risk","htmlText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","listText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","text":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1eaa3321140e8476dd0ec05794f4a5e1","width":"753","height":"627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":792,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":23,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620072091218160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274729249414","authorId":"3479274729249414","name":"cheerzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7eae466324df873e0b817337d13f4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274729249414","idStr":"3479274729249414"},"content":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","text":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","html":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out."},{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274793181513","idStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","text":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","html":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting."}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274729249414","authorId":"3479274729249414","name":"cheerzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7eae466324df873e0b817337d13f4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274729249414","idStr":"3479274729249414"},"content":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","text":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","html":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out."},{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274793181513","idStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","text":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","html":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting."}],"streamModify":1792412317404,"id":620072091218160,"gmtCreate":1792411507654,"gmtModify":1792412317404,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"October Curse Meets CPI Black Swan: Options Strategies to Hedge U.S. Equity Risk","htmlText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","listText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","text":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1eaa3321140e8476dd0ec05794f4a5e1","width":"753","height":"627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":792,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":23,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620072091218160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":616489567138416,"type":1,"entity":{"id":616489567138416,"gmtCreate":1791543712917,"gmtModify":1791546031601,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The First Post-Holiday Rebound Is Imminent, Here’s How I’m Positioning","htmlText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","listText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","text":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ed64df82c3384779721ee9264969e362"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c76e075360f72c8deec9242196f1e497"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6be8788e8aa933fe11396f5faaf0bb24"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616489567138416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000533","authorId":"9000000000000533","name":"JoBloor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55e526bf56359c8153d15df97d3245b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000533","idStr":"9000000000000533"},"content":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","text":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","html":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching"}],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000533","authorId":"9000000000000533","name":"JoBloor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55e526bf56359c8153d15df97d3245b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000533","idStr":"9000000000000533"},"content":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","text":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","html":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching"}],"streamModify":1791546031601,"id":616489567138416,"gmtCreate":1791543712917,"gmtModify":1791546031601,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The First Post-Holiday Rebound Is Imminent, Here’s How I’m Positioning","htmlText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","listText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","text":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ed64df82c3384779721ee9264969e362"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c76e075360f72c8deec9242196f1e497"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6be8788e8aa933fe11396f5faaf0bb24"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616489567138416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":616451865571952,"type":1,"entity":{"id":616451865571952,"gmtCreate":1791534508433,"gmtModify":1791535041291,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning: Risk Appetite Cools as Equity, Gold and Silver Longs Pull Back","htmlText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","listText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","text":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e69b3fcf9424117a74f5d7d3c4d3e710"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616451865571952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000459","authorId":"9000000000000459","name":"NathanEsther","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9751f7fcf698c4a7ddfe0208d14a33ab","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000459","idStr":"9000000000000459"},"content":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","text":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","html":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000459","authorId":"9000000000000459","name":"NathanEsther","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9751f7fcf698c4a7ddfe0208d14a33ab","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000459","idStr":"9000000000000459"},"content":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","text":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening","html":"Feels more like short covering than fresh longs in WTI. Front month can look firmer while the broader structure keeps weakening"}],"streamModify":1791535041291,"id":616451865571952,"gmtCreate":1791534508433,"gmtModify":1791535041291,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Positioning: Risk Appetite Cools as Equity, Gold and Silver Longs Pull Back","htmlText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","listText":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","text":"CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e69b3fcf9424117a74f5d7d3c4d3e710"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616451865571952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597772257562648,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786950458851,"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[{"id":"1158340365","title":"What A Fed Rate Hike Means For Gold And Silver Prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158340365","media":"Commodities Watch","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158340365?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-09-15 18:50","pubTimestamp":1789469400,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"","market":"hk","thumbnail":"https://news-video-sg.skytigris.cn/videos/covers/1652.webp","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":["https://news-video-sg.skytigris.cn/videos/covers/1652.webp"],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":"What A Fed Rate Hike Means For Gold And Silver Prices","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":null,"symbols":["GLDM","KSLV","IAU","GLTR","SI2612","BAR","GG","GCmain","SIVR","BTGD","GDXJ","AAAU","IAUM","CEF","SGOL","DUST","GDXY","SLVR","ZSL","NEM","AGOL","FGDL","GBUG","GDX","UGL","PSLV","GLL","RING","AGQ","SLVP","ABX.AU","IAUI","SLV","SILJ","NUGT","NEMG","NWMX","USG","PHYS","SIL","SImain","OUNZ","GC2612","GLD"],"isVideo":true,"video":{"duration":223,"video_url":"https://news-video-sg.skytigris.cn/videos/remotion/1652/render_1652_1789468560412.mp4","video_thumbnail":"https://news-video-sg.skytigris.cn/videos/covers/1652.webp","audio_url":"https://news-video-sg.skytigris.cn/videos/remotion/1652/tts/voiceover_caf23c6befd3cdcc.mp3","isAI":true},"gpt_icon":0}],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"New York Commodity Exchange","code":"COMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_COMEX","name":"COMEX","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":30,"zone":"EDT","zoneId":"America/New_York","zoneName":"Eastern Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Precious_Metal","contractCode":"GC2612","contractId":"276654c8f05b429382588b4b40584641","contractMonth":"202612","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":" US GOLD, CMX GOLD","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/metals/precious/gold_contractSpecs_futures.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.1（ USD/troy ounce）( US$10 )","productScale":"100troy ounces","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for 26 consecutive months and any Jun and Dec in the nearest 72 months.","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Precious Metal","productWorth":"US$100 x futures price","worth":100},"exchangeCode":"COMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_COMEX","firstNoticeDate":"20261130","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":1796076000000,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20261229","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1798581600000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":100},"name":"Gold - Dec 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_GC_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":1,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":1,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":1,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"GCmain","referMainContractId":"c46449823c9d47d5aaf4741428498c1a","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"GC","symbolId":"FT_SY_GC","symbolName":"Gold"}}