E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609 (NQmain)

NQmain (E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609)

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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Equity_Index","contractCode":"NQmain","contractId":"6e09753ce223468ebb035ad7995b849b","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"NASDAQ-100 STOCK INDEX (MINI)","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-nasdaq-100_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.25 index point ( US$5 )","productScale":"US$20 USD per index point","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"Equity Index","productWorth":"US$20 USD per index point","worth":20},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":20},"name":"E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_NQ_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"NQ","symbolId":"FT_SY_NQ","symbolName":"E-mini Nasdaq 100"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":606221724897328,"type":1,"entity":{"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1789034197464,"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605840101466240,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000721","idStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000721","idStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"streamModify":1788941102939,"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605746003292208,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605746003292208,"gmtCreate":1788917905152,"gmtModify":1788921720487,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Selling Puts Remains My Preferred Strategy：Will Tokyo Set the Market’s Direction This Week?","htmlText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","listText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","text":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9ccdc48df87d53eea266342e5579faf6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":240,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605746003292208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788921720487,"id":605746003292208,"gmtCreate":1788917905152,"gmtModify":1788921720487,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Selling Puts Remains My Preferred Strategy：Will Tokyo Set the Market’s Direction This Week?","htmlText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","listText":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","text":"The market’s greatest challenge this week is that several seemingly independent trading themes are beginning to interact with one another: the yen has reached a six-month high; expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike are building; global bond yields are broadly rising; signs are emerging of a rebound in China’s crude-oil demand; and expectations for Federal Reserve policy have once again been unsettled by comments from Donald Trump. When these variables move simultaneously, markets rarely deliver a clean, smooth one-way trend. Instead, they are more likely to enter a high-volatility, range-bound phase marked by repeated swings in both directions. The key variable to watch now is whether the yen can make a further near-term directional break. This matters not only for the U.S. dollar inde","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9ccdc48df87d53eea266342e5579faf6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":240,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605746003292208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605140778524760,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605140778524760,"gmtCreate":1788770145549,"gmtModify":1788782742049,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Blowout NFP, Trump Pressure, and a Choppy Gold Market: One Strategy to Navigate It！💹📉","htmlText":"Last week’s note highlighted the need for caution around the nonfarm payrolls report. The data had become more difficult to forecast than usual because payroll figures have been revised frequently in recent years, increasing the likelihood of surprises and larger market swings. The result was indeed a blowout: U.S. Department of Labor data showed that nonfarm employment surged by 162,000 in August, far exceeding the market expectation of 55,000. This exceptionally strong report once again disrupted the market’s expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The market had previously scaled back expectations of a September rate hike, but the release put rate-hike expectations back in the driver’s seat. The probability of a Fed rate increase in September has now returned to roughly a 60/40 split.","listText":"Last week’s note highlighted the need for caution around the nonfarm payrolls report. The data had become more difficult to forecast than usual because payroll figures have been revised frequently in recent years, increasing the likelihood of surprises and larger market swings. The result was indeed a blowout: U.S. Department of Labor data showed that nonfarm employment surged by 162,000 in August, far exceeding the market expectation of 55,000. This exceptionally strong report once again disrupted the market’s expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The market had previously scaled back expectations of a September rate hike, but the release put rate-hike expectations back in the driver’s seat. The probability of a Fed rate increase in September has now returned to roughly a 60/40 split.","text":"Last week’s note highlighted the need for caution around the nonfarm payrolls report. The data had become more difficult to forecast than usual because payroll figures have been revised frequently in recent years, increasing the likelihood of surprises and larger market swings. The result was indeed a blowout: U.S. Department of Labor data showed that nonfarm employment surged by 162,000 in August, far exceeding the market expectation of 55,000. This exceptionally strong report once again disrupted the market’s expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The market had previously scaled back expectations of a September rate hike, but the release put rate-hike expectations back in the driver’s seat. The probability of a Fed rate increase in September has now returned to roughly a 60/40 split.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de9b56adb886937ba233c63b92dc859f"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":135,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":42,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605140778524760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274797516354","authorId":"3479274797516354","name":"Heartbeat12","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88f78d9592ce6b2a8419ab5aa407c302","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274797516354","idStr":"3479274797516354"},"content":"Gold still looks range-bound to me. 1950 to 1980 is the cleaner trade map, and payrolls only matter if price can actually break the range","text":"Gold still looks range-bound to me. 1950 to 1980 is the cleaner trade map, and payrolls only matter if price can actually break the range","html":"Gold still looks range-bound to me. 1950 to 1980 is the cleaner trade map, and payrolls only matter if price can actually break the range"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274797516354","authorId":"3479274797516354","name":"Heartbeat12","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88f78d9592ce6b2a8419ab5aa407c302","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274797516354","idStr":"3479274797516354"},"content":"Gold still looks range-bound to me. 1950 to 1980 is the cleaner trade map, and payrolls only matter if price can actually break the range","text":"Gold still looks range-bound to me. 1950 to 1980 is the cleaner trade map, and payrolls only matter if price can actually break the range","html":"Gold still looks range-bound to me. 1950 to 1980 is the cleaner trade map, and payrolls only matter if price can actually break the range"}],"streamModify":1788782742049,"id":605140778524760,"gmtCreate":1788770145549,"gmtModify":1788782742049,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Blowout NFP, Trump Pressure, and a Choppy Gold Market: One Strategy to Navigate It！💹📉","htmlText":"Last week’s note highlighted the need for caution around the nonfarm payrolls report. The data had become more difficult to forecast than usual because payroll figures have been revised frequently in recent years, increasing the likelihood of surprises and larger market swings. The result was indeed a blowout: U.S. Department of Labor data showed that nonfarm employment surged by 162,000 in August, far exceeding the market expectation of 55,000. This exceptionally strong report once again disrupted the market’s expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The market had previously scaled back expectations of a September rate hike, but the release put rate-hike expectations back in the driver’s seat. The probability of a Fed rate increase in September has now returned to roughly a 60/40 split.","listText":"Last week’s note highlighted the need for caution around the nonfarm payrolls report. The data had become more difficult to forecast than usual because payroll figures have been revised frequently in recent years, increasing the likelihood of surprises and larger market swings. The result was indeed a blowout: U.S. Department of Labor data showed that nonfarm employment surged by 162,000 in August, far exceeding the market expectation of 55,000. This exceptionally strong report once again disrupted the market’s expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The market had previously scaled back expectations of a September rate hike, but the release put rate-hike expectations back in the driver’s seat. The probability of a Fed rate increase in September has now returned to roughly a 60/40 split.","text":"Last week’s note highlighted the need for caution around the nonfarm payrolls report. The data had become more difficult to forecast than usual because payroll figures have been revised frequently in recent years, increasing the likelihood of surprises and larger market swings. The result was indeed a blowout: U.S. Department of Labor data showed that nonfarm employment surged by 162,000 in August, far exceeding the market expectation of 55,000. This exceptionally strong report once again disrupted the market’s expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The market had previously scaled back expectations of a September rate hike, but the release put rate-hike expectations back in the driver’s seat. The probability of a Fed rate increase in September has now returned to roughly a 60/40 split.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de9b56adb886937ba233c63b92dc859f"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":135,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":42,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605140778524760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":604169357180952,"type":1,"entity":{"id":604169357180952,"gmtCreate":1788510767708,"gmtModify":1788510954345,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572493257500324","idStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","listText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","text":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb? Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/caa8565f02b7f9b420b5ce047a42aa5e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/604169357180952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000568","idStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","text":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","html":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge"}],"imageCount":27,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000568","idStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","text":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","html":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge"}],"streamModify":1788510954345,"id":604169357180952,"gmtCreate":1788510767708,"gmtModify":1788510954345,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572493257500324","idStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","listText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","text":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb? Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/caa8565f02b7f9b420b5ce047a42aa5e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":56,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/604169357180952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":27,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":603289339822128,"type":1,"entity":{"id":603289339822128,"gmtCreate":1788318133797,"gmtModify":1788320455813,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: VIX Seasonal Spike Incoming，Top Strategy for Choppy Markets","htmlText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","listText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","text":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious The report received substantial engagem","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/191561d29f03ea4530cfb88e44c781bb"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5174e05c68c35cdce01d2ebbc821cb3b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8fc5f29d3a33de7ea5a94c724f8407e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":166,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603289339822128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000732","authorId":"9000000000000732","name":"bumpy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a051cce1b1b21c402c5b1727bf43c7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000732","idStr":"9000000000000732"},"content":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","text":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","html":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol"}],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000732","authorId":"9000000000000732","name":"bumpy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a051cce1b1b21c402c5b1727bf43c7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000732","idStr":"9000000000000732"},"content":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","text":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol","html":"Beyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol"}],"streamModify":1788320455813,"id":603289339822128,"gmtCreate":1788318133797,"gmtModify":1788320455813,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: VIX Seasonal Spike Incoming，Top Strategy for Choppy Markets","htmlText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","listText":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/600649908441112\">Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious</a> The report received substantial engagem","text":"Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious The report received substantial engagem","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/191561d29f03ea4530cfb88e44c781bb"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5174e05c68c35cdce01d2ebbc821cb3b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8fc5f29d3a33de7ea5a94c724f8407e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":166,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603289339822128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":603030082220192,"type":1,"entity":{"id":603030082220192,"gmtCreate":1788254926328,"gmtModify":1788266111962,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Why Sell Puts Still Make Sense Now — And the Big Opportunity Brewing in Equities","htmlText":"The impasse of range-bound trading at elevated levels in the U.S. equity market remains unresolved. On the one hand, September seasonality, defensive positioning by institutional investors, and the potential seasonal tendency for the VIX to rise all suggest that a strong short-term rally is unlikely. On the other hand, robust corporate earnings and the fact that equity-index P/E multiples have not expanded materially are limiting the downside for U.S. equities. My conclusion for the U.S. market over the coming week is therefore as follows: taking all factors into account, U.S. equities are more likely to remain range-bound at elevated levels than to enter a one-way decline. At the same time, we should pay attention to a new opportunity at relatively depressed levels: commodity indices are","listText":"The impasse of range-bound trading at elevated levels in the U.S. equity market remains unresolved. On the one hand, September seasonality, defensive positioning by institutional investors, and the potential seasonal tendency for the VIX to rise all suggest that a strong short-term rally is unlikely. On the other hand, robust corporate earnings and the fact that equity-index P/E multiples have not expanded materially are limiting the downside for U.S. equities. My conclusion for the U.S. market over the coming week is therefore as follows: taking all factors into account, U.S. equities are more likely to remain range-bound at elevated levels than to enter a one-way decline. At the same time, we should pay attention to a new opportunity at relatively depressed levels: commodity indices are","text":"The impasse of range-bound trading at elevated levels in the U.S. equity market remains unresolved. On the one hand, September seasonality, defensive positioning by institutional investors, and the potential seasonal tendency for the VIX to rise all suggest that a strong short-term rally is unlikely. On the other hand, robust corporate earnings and the fact that equity-index P/E multiples have not expanded materially are limiting the downside for U.S. equities. My conclusion for the U.S. market over the coming week is therefore as follows: taking all factors into account, U.S. equities are more likely to remain range-bound at elevated levels than to enter a one-way decline. At the same time, we should pay attention to a new opportunity at relatively depressed levels: commodity indices are","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41dda8e3164899c3d578a1b48276663c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e16eaca9992e1b938f85ba0917562fd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/82e8e040b8f80b4152312de1f8f5f2e8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1667,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":56,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603030082220192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000337","authorId":"9000000000000337","name":"bingoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c065267febaa7f90a2c347c9360e4b1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000337","idStr":"9000000000000337"},"content":"VIX under 15 is a pretty tight line tbh. Time decay hits these two-week straddles faster than most people expect","text":"VIX under 15 is a pretty tight line tbh. Time decay hits these two-week straddles faster than most people expect","html":"VIX under 15 is a pretty tight line tbh. Time decay hits these two-week straddles faster than most people expect"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000337","authorId":"9000000000000337","name":"bingoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c065267febaa7f90a2c347c9360e4b1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000337","idStr":"9000000000000337"},"content":"VIX under 15 is a pretty tight line tbh. Time decay hits these two-week straddles faster than most people expect","text":"VIX under 15 is a pretty tight line tbh. Time decay hits these two-week straddles faster than most people expect","html":"VIX under 15 is a pretty tight line tbh. Time decay hits these two-week straddles faster than most people expect"}],"streamModify":1788266111962,"id":603030082220192,"gmtCreate":1788254926328,"gmtModify":1788266111962,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Why Sell Puts Still Make Sense Now — And the Big Opportunity Brewing in Equities","htmlText":"The impasse of range-bound trading at elevated levels in the U.S. equity market remains unresolved. On the one hand, September seasonality, defensive positioning by institutional investors, and the potential seasonal tendency for the VIX to rise all suggest that a strong short-term rally is unlikely. On the other hand, robust corporate earnings and the fact that equity-index P/E multiples have not expanded materially are limiting the downside for U.S. equities. My conclusion for the U.S. market over the coming week is therefore as follows: taking all factors into account, U.S. equities are more likely to remain range-bound at elevated levels than to enter a one-way decline. At the same time, we should pay attention to a new opportunity at relatively depressed levels: commodity indices are","listText":"The impasse of range-bound trading at elevated levels in the U.S. equity market remains unresolved. On the one hand, September seasonality, defensive positioning by institutional investors, and the potential seasonal tendency for the VIX to rise all suggest that a strong short-term rally is unlikely. On the other hand, robust corporate earnings and the fact that equity-index P/E multiples have not expanded materially are limiting the downside for U.S. equities. My conclusion for the U.S. market over the coming week is therefore as follows: taking all factors into account, U.S. equities are more likely to remain range-bound at elevated levels than to enter a one-way decline. At the same time, we should pay attention to a new opportunity at relatively depressed levels: commodity indices are","text":"The impasse of range-bound trading at elevated levels in the U.S. equity market remains unresolved. On the one hand, September seasonality, defensive positioning by institutional investors, and the potential seasonal tendency for the VIX to rise all suggest that a strong short-term rally is unlikely. On the other hand, robust corporate earnings and the fact that equity-index P/E multiples have not expanded materially are limiting the downside for U.S. equities. My conclusion for the U.S. market over the coming week is therefore as follows: taking all factors into account, U.S. equities are more likely to remain range-bound at elevated levels than to enter a one-way decline. At the same time, we should pay attention to a new opportunity at relatively depressed levels: commodity indices are","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41dda8e3164899c3d578a1b48276663c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0e16eaca9992e1b938f85ba0917562fd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/82e8e040b8f80b4152312de1f8f5f2e8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1667,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":56,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603030082220192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":602674270511232,"type":1,"entity":{"id":602674270511232,"gmtCreate":1788167971868,"gmtModify":1788168427031,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold’s Correction Arrived as Expected—Will 4,000 Hold as Support?","htmlText":"Late August is typically when the world’s central banks hold a major annual gathering. The Federal Reserve—the “central bank of the world,” as it is sometimes described—is the central figure at the event, and remarks from the Fed Chair are often viewed as a briefing to central banks around the world on the Fed’s policy path. At present, the financial market’s primary concern is whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and, if so, when. That is why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks last week had a significant impact on market expectations. The most direct result was that, following Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole on August 28, 2026, the interest-rate futures-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from approximately 35% the previous day to nearly 60%. A rate hike","listText":"Late August is typically when the world’s central banks hold a major annual gathering. The Federal Reserve—the “central bank of the world,” as it is sometimes described—is the central figure at the event, and remarks from the Fed Chair are often viewed as a briefing to central banks around the world on the Fed’s policy path. At present, the financial market’s primary concern is whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and, if so, when. That is why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks last week had a significant impact on market expectations. The most direct result was that, following Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole on August 28, 2026, the interest-rate futures-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from approximately 35% the previous day to nearly 60%. A rate hike","text":"Late August is typically when the world’s central banks hold a major annual gathering. The Federal Reserve—the “central bank of the world,” as it is sometimes described—is the central figure at the event, and remarks from the Fed Chair are often viewed as a briefing to central banks around the world on the Fed’s policy path. At present, the financial market’s primary concern is whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and, if so, when. That is why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks last week had a significant impact on market expectations. The most direct result was that, following Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole on August 28, 2026, the interest-rate futures-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from approximately 35% the previous day to nearly 60%. A rate hike","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d271f024443f9d581faeb4d3b56d216c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/602674270511232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000529","authorId":"9000000000000529","name":"JudithGrant","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/709638153318cdfce2439b29cba43798","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000529","idStr":"9000000000000529"},"content":"Friday payrolls is the real trigger here. If jobs come in hot, 4000 probably cracks before it holds — are you watching real yields more than the level?","text":"Friday payrolls is the real trigger here. If jobs come in hot, 4000 probably cracks before it holds — are you watching real yields more than the level?","html":"Friday payrolls is the real trigger here. If jobs come in hot, 4000 probably cracks before it holds — are you watching real yields more than the level?"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000650","authorId":"9000000000000650","name":"ClarenceNehemiah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fee988f6e6e3c043a31a7e8992655c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000650","idStr":"9000000000000650"},"content":"4000 probably holds near term. I care more about central bank buying than one hawkish speech lol","text":"4000 probably holds near term. I care more about central bank buying than one hawkish speech lol","html":"4000 probably holds near term. I care more about central bank buying than one hawkish speech lol"}],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000529","authorId":"9000000000000529","name":"JudithGrant","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/709638153318cdfce2439b29cba43798","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000529","idStr":"9000000000000529"},"content":"Friday payrolls is the real trigger here. If jobs come in hot, 4000 probably cracks before it holds — are you watching real yields more than the level?","text":"Friday payrolls is the real trigger here. If jobs come in hot, 4000 probably cracks before it holds — are you watching real yields more than the level?","html":"Friday payrolls is the real trigger here. If jobs come in hot, 4000 probably cracks before it holds — are you watching real yields more than the level?"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000650","authorId":"9000000000000650","name":"ClarenceNehemiah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fee988f6e6e3c043a31a7e8992655c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000650","idStr":"9000000000000650"},"content":"4000 probably holds near term. I care more about central bank buying than one hawkish speech lol","text":"4000 probably holds near term. I care more about central bank buying than one hawkish speech lol","html":"4000 probably holds near term. I care more about central bank buying than one hawkish speech lol"}],"streamModify":1788168427031,"id":602674270511232,"gmtCreate":1788167971868,"gmtModify":1788168427031,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold’s Correction Arrived as Expected—Will 4,000 Hold as Support?","htmlText":"Late August is typically when the world’s central banks hold a major annual gathering. The Federal Reserve—the “central bank of the world,” as it is sometimes described—is the central figure at the event, and remarks from the Fed Chair are often viewed as a briefing to central banks around the world on the Fed’s policy path. At present, the financial market’s primary concern is whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and, if so, when. That is why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks last week had a significant impact on market expectations. The most direct result was that, following Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole on August 28, 2026, the interest-rate futures-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from approximately 35% the previous day to nearly 60%. A rate hike","listText":"Late August is typically when the world’s central banks hold a major annual gathering. The Federal Reserve—the “central bank of the world,” as it is sometimes described—is the central figure at the event, and remarks from the Fed Chair are often viewed as a briefing to central banks around the world on the Fed’s policy path. At present, the financial market’s primary concern is whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and, if so, when. That is why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks last week had a significant impact on market expectations. The most direct result was that, following Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole on August 28, 2026, the interest-rate futures-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from approximately 35% the previous day to nearly 60%. A rate hike","text":"Late August is typically when the world’s central banks hold a major annual gathering. The Federal Reserve—the “central bank of the world,” as it is sometimes described—is the central figure at the event, and remarks from the Fed Chair are often viewed as a briefing to central banks around the world on the Fed’s policy path. At present, the financial market’s primary concern is whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and, if so, when. That is why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks last week had a significant impact on market expectations. The most direct result was that, following Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole on August 28, 2026, the interest-rate futures-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from approximately 35% the previous day to nearly 60%. A rate hike","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d271f024443f9d581faeb4d3b56d216c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/602674270511232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":602811705636352,"type":1,"entity":{"id":602811705636352,"gmtCreate":1788167567316,"gmtModify":1788168587894,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus: Will Gold Hold as Equity Indices Reassess?","htmlText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","listText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","text":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4333b14b2bdaa25e8bfb18f30d201e7a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":23,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/602811705636352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788168587894,"id":602811705636352,"gmtCreate":1788167567316,"gmtModify":1788168587894,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus: Will Gold Hold as Equity Indices Reassess?","htmlText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","listText":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","text":"Following last weekend’s Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a relatively hawkish message, prompting the market to reassess and reprice the timing of U.S. interest-rate hikes. According to the current FedWatch data, the probability of a rate hike at the end of September is slightly above 50%. This implies that the next round of nonfarm payroll and inflation data to be released next month could play an important role. From a data perspective, the probability of a rate hike surged by nearly 20 percentage points within just one week, driven entirely by Warsh’s remarks rather than by any other major economic data releases. However, based on historical experience, only probabilities above 70% tend to produce near-certain outcomes. With the current probability still below 60%","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4333b14b2bdaa25e8bfb18f30d201e7a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":23,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/602811705636352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":601592444264576,"type":1,"entity":{"id":601592444264576,"gmtCreate":1787903854132,"gmtModify":1787909604529,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market","htmlText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1874497396396122/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221874497396396122%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and","listText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1874497396396122/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221874497396396122%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and","text":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market Next, I will summarize the key information and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/edf8fdfc74bc72a6c304b182f596db26"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/080c6c7fd710ed9868d21721ec475956"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/05f3bfad4ff4be5fab4b05237ed19714"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":99,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/601592444264576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2099,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000415","authorId":"9000000000000415","name":"zuzu99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee73f2c992a647da3546f67241e0cdf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000415","idStr":"9000000000000415"},"content":"Calling Treasury futures low-threshold feels a bit too clean. CME margin, slippage, and overnight risk are exactly what chew up smaller accounts.","text":"Calling Treasury futures low-threshold feels a bit too clean. CME margin, slippage, and overnight risk are exactly what chew up smaller accounts.","html":"Calling Treasury futures low-threshold feels a bit too clean. CME margin, slippage, and overnight risk are exactly what chew up smaller accounts."}],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000415","authorId":"9000000000000415","name":"zuzu99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee73f2c992a647da3546f67241e0cdf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000415","idStr":"9000000000000415"},"content":"Calling Treasury futures low-threshold feels a bit too clean. CME margin, slippage, and overnight risk are exactly what chew up smaller accounts.","text":"Calling Treasury futures low-threshold feels a bit too clean. CME margin, slippage, and overnight risk are exactly what chew up smaller accounts.","html":"Calling Treasury futures low-threshold feels a bit too clean. CME margin, slippage, and overnight risk are exactly what chew up smaller accounts."}],"streamModify":1787909604529,"id":601592444264576,"gmtCreate":1787903854132,"gmtModify":1787909604529,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market","htmlText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1874497396396122/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221874497396396122%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and","listText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: &gt;&gt;&gt; <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1874497396396122/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221874497396396122%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and","text":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market Next, I will summarize the key information and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/edf8fdfc74bc72a6c304b182f596db26"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/080c6c7fd710ed9868d21721ec475956"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/05f3bfad4ff4be5fab4b05237ed19714"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":99,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/601592444264576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2099,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":601287176208512,"type":1,"entity":{"id":601287176208512,"gmtCreate":1787829325798,"gmtModify":1787885742738,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch：The US Equity Rally Faces a Test? Diverging Flows and Uneven M7 Valuations","htmlText":"This week sits at a key macro inflection point for US equities: the US is set to release important macro data including GDP and PCE, while the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium will be held over the weekend, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks could provide new guidance for rate expectations. Against this backdrop, Nvidia, a core name in the AI supply chain, will report earnings after the close on Wednesday; its results and guidance will directly test whether elevated capital expenditure can continue to translate into orders and profitability. The confluence of macro data, central bank commentary, and tech leadership earnings makes this week a critical checkpoint for whether the “AI narrative” can continue to support rich valuations. The core issue this week is not the direction","listText":"This week sits at a key macro inflection point for US equities: the US is set to release important macro data including GDP and PCE, while the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium will be held over the weekend, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks could provide new guidance for rate expectations. Against this backdrop, Nvidia, a core name in the AI supply chain, will report earnings after the close on Wednesday; its results and guidance will directly test whether elevated capital expenditure can continue to translate into orders and profitability. The confluence of macro data, central bank commentary, and tech leadership earnings makes this week a critical checkpoint for whether the “AI narrative” can continue to support rich valuations. The core issue this week is not the direction","text":"This week sits at a key macro inflection point for US equities: the US is set to release important macro data including GDP and PCE, while the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium will be held over the weekend, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks could provide new guidance for rate expectations. Against this backdrop, Nvidia, a core name in the AI supply chain, will report earnings after the close on Wednesday; its results and guidance will directly test whether elevated capital expenditure can continue to translate into orders and profitability. The confluence of macro data, central bank commentary, and tech leadership earnings makes this week a critical checkpoint for whether the “AI narrative” can continue to support rich valuations. The core issue this week is not the direction","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/952c6ed3caa9202c4441ce0b84e52b5d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ba61666d22e59c624f28c3e609ce1172"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0ee941b61dccfff97c0d66115097e86e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":204,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/601287176208512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000188","authorId":"9000000000000188","name":"breezyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b825594fd9f6564afaeb0c6022e3f71a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000188","idStr":"9000000000000188"},"content":"For Nvidia, I care less about revenue and more about whether free cash flow is actually keeping up with capex. If that slips, the valuation debate gets way tougher.","text":"For Nvidia, I care less about revenue and more about whether free cash flow is actually keeping up with capex. If that slips, the valuation debate gets way tougher.","html":"For Nvidia, I care less about revenue and more about whether free cash flow is actually keeping up with capex. If that slips, the valuation debate gets way tougher."}],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000188","authorId":"9000000000000188","name":"breezyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b825594fd9f6564afaeb0c6022e3f71a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000188","idStr":"9000000000000188"},"content":"For Nvidia, I care less about revenue and more about whether free cash flow is actually keeping up with capex. If that slips, the valuation debate gets way tougher.","text":"For Nvidia, I care less about revenue and more about whether free cash flow is actually keeping up with capex. If that slips, the valuation debate gets way tougher.","html":"For Nvidia, I care less about revenue and more about whether free cash flow is actually keeping up with capex. If that slips, the valuation debate gets way tougher."}],"streamModify":1787885742738,"id":601287176208512,"gmtCreate":1787829325798,"gmtModify":1787885742738,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch：The US Equity Rally Faces a Test? Diverging Flows and Uneven M7 Valuations","htmlText":"This week sits at a key macro inflection point for US equities: the US is set to release important macro data including GDP and PCE, while the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium will be held over the weekend, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks could provide new guidance for rate expectations. Against this backdrop, Nvidia, a core name in the AI supply chain, will report earnings after the close on Wednesday; its results and guidance will directly test whether elevated capital expenditure can continue to translate into orders and profitability. The confluence of macro data, central bank commentary, and tech leadership earnings makes this week a critical checkpoint for whether the “AI narrative” can continue to support rich valuations. The core issue this week is not the direction","listText":"This week sits at a key macro inflection point for US equities: the US is set to release important macro data including GDP and PCE, while the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium will be held over the weekend, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks could provide new guidance for rate expectations. Against this backdrop, Nvidia, a core name in the AI supply chain, will report earnings after the close on Wednesday; its results and guidance will directly test whether elevated capital expenditure can continue to translate into orders and profitability. The confluence of macro data, central bank commentary, and tech leadership earnings makes this week a critical checkpoint for whether the “AI narrative” can continue to support rich valuations. The core issue this week is not the direction","text":"This week sits at a key macro inflection point for US equities: the US is set to release important macro data including GDP and PCE, while the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium will be held over the weekend, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks could provide new guidance for rate expectations. Against this backdrop, Nvidia, a core name in the AI supply chain, will report earnings after the close on Wednesday; its results and guidance will directly test whether elevated capital expenditure can continue to translate into orders and profitability. The confluence of macro data, central bank commentary, and tech leadership earnings makes this week a critical checkpoint for whether the “AI narrative” can continue to support rich valuations. The core issue this week is not the direction","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/952c6ed3caa9202c4441ce0b84e52b5d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ba61666d22e59c624f28c3e609ce1172"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0ee941b61dccfff97c0d66115097e86e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":204,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/601287176208512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":600798942007440,"type":1,"entity":{"id":600798942007440,"gmtCreate":1787710208576,"gmtModify":1787715053857,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Buybacks, Jackson Hole, and the Key Trend Every Trader Must Watch","htmlText":"This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to","listText":"This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to","text":"This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5ddad5c0f6f159a6a5a47fdf0c23b92"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8dcc77eda6b5fb8c3a283d89e944f72"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37819a3671803df98c61c8d344c6190d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":209,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":15,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600798942007440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000412","authorId":"9000000000000412","name":"bubblyo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6d90cbff3ceab2e34f58c7b8e0271f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000412","idStr":"9000000000000412"},"content":"Debt maturity swap is the key point here. Inflation expectations may react in messier ways than the market is pricing, especially if the curve starts steepening again","text":"Debt maturity swap is the key point here. Inflation expectations may react in messier ways than the market is pricing, especially if the curve starts steepening again","html":"Debt maturity swap is the key point here. Inflation expectations may react in messier ways than the market is pricing, especially if the curve starts steepening again"}],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000412","authorId":"9000000000000412","name":"bubblyo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6d90cbff3ceab2e34f58c7b8e0271f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000412","idStr":"9000000000000412"},"content":"Debt maturity swap is the key point here. Inflation expectations may react in messier ways than the market is pricing, especially if the curve starts steepening again","text":"Debt maturity swap is the key point here. Inflation expectations may react in messier ways than the market is pricing, especially if the curve starts steepening again","html":"Debt maturity swap is the key point here. Inflation expectations may react in messier ways than the market is pricing, especially if the curve starts steepening again"}],"streamModify":1787715053857,"id":600798942007440,"gmtCreate":1787710208576,"gmtModify":1787715053857,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Buybacks, Jackson Hole, and the Key Trend Every Trader Must Watch","htmlText":"This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to","listText":"This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to","text":"This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5ddad5c0f6f159a6a5a47fdf0c23b92"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a8dcc77eda6b5fb8c3a283d89e944f72"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37819a3671803df98c61c8d344c6190d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":209,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":15,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600798942007440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":600364937115136,"type":1,"entity":{"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000469","idStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000469","idStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"streamModify":1787645572733,"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":600211971870768,"type":1,"entity":{"id":600211971870768,"gmtCreate":1787566823262,"gmtModify":1787645785588,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Treasury’s Large-Scale Rescue May Not Be Good？ Be Cautious Chasing Gold Higher","htmlText":"While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo","listText":"While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo","text":"While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/449cd213670f464bb78f7cc21c47aa9f"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a4077c806bd09d567c6b482a06f3b13c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99ab882ad7b117757c6bafc2a8c05e00"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":111,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600211971870768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000725","authorId":"9000000000000725","name":"AfraSimon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d30a827da942c1b0307f51e832534e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000725","idStr":"9000000000000725"},"content":"This was not exactly a black swan, the market had been sniffing out Treasury support already. What matters more is that the expectation gap is gone, so QQQ probably cracks first if sentiment wobbles again","text":"This was not exactly a black swan, the market had been sniffing out Treasury support already. What matters more is that the expectation gap is gone, so QQQ probably cracks first if sentiment wobbles again","html":"This was not exactly a black swan, the market had been sniffing out Treasury support already. What matters more is that the expectation gap is gone, so QQQ probably cracks first if sentiment wobbles again"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000725","authorId":"9000000000000725","name":"AfraSimon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d30a827da942c1b0307f51e832534e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000725","idStr":"9000000000000725"},"content":"This was not exactly a black swan, the market had been sniffing out Treasury support already. What matters more is that the expectation gap is gone, so QQQ probably cracks first if sentiment wobbles again","text":"This was not exactly a black swan, the market had been sniffing out Treasury support already. What matters more is that the expectation gap is gone, so QQQ probably cracks first if sentiment wobbles again","html":"This was not exactly a black swan, the market had been sniffing out Treasury support already. What matters more is that the expectation gap is gone, so QQQ probably cracks first if sentiment wobbles again"}],"streamModify":1787645785588,"id":600211971870768,"gmtCreate":1787566823262,"gmtModify":1787645785588,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Treasury’s Large-Scale Rescue May Not Be Good？ Be Cautious Chasing Gold Higher","htmlText":"While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo","listText":"While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo","text":"While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/449cd213670f464bb78f7cc21c47aa9f"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a4077c806bd09d567c6b482a06f3b13c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99ab882ad7b117757c6bafc2a8c05e00"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":111,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600211971870768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":599160618893400,"type":1,"entity":{"id":599160618893400,"gmtCreate":1787310145639,"gmtModify":1787312667657,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US Treasury Bond Purchases: Gold Surges, Dollar Plunges—But Is a Bull Market Really Here?","htmlText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","listText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","text":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef16d815628cdf7dbca7e64155e97a4e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c21d473dbbefd8d5b56f54703648d3c5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/599160618893400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274803156147","authorId":"3479274803156147","name":"0billionaire","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d8c2eb1c079c85b43879eb951e8684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274803156147","idStr":"3479274803156147"},"content":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","text":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","html":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000661","authorId":"9000000000000661","name":"CareyDunlop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742a1a3fe6754169c97157f6d9276916","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000661","idStr":"9000000000000661"},"content":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","text":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","html":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run"}],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274803156147","authorId":"3479274803156147","name":"0billionaire","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d8c2eb1c079c85b43879eb951e8684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274803156147","idStr":"3479274803156147"},"content":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","text":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path.","html":"Correlation works until stress breaks it. I care more about whether this dollar drop is liquidity-driven or a credit repricing, because EUR and JPY won’t travel the same path."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000661","authorId":"9000000000000661","name":"CareyDunlop","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742a1a3fe6754169c97157f6d9276916","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000661","idStr":"9000000000000661"},"content":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","text":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run","html":"2011 hit 1900 with DXY around 74; now it's still above 105, so this looks more structural than a clean gold bull run"}],"streamModify":1787312667657,"id":599160618893400,"gmtCreate":1787310145639,"gmtModify":1787312667657,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US Treasury Bond Purchases: Gold Surges, Dollar Plunges—But Is a Bull Market Really Here?","htmlText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","listText":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5490386\">Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead?</a> I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","text":"Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ef16d815628cdf7dbca7e64155e97a4e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c21d473dbbefd8d5b56f54703648d3c5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/599160618893400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":598796858392704,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598796858392704,"gmtCreate":1787221338050,"gmtModify":1787898967027,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums","htmlText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","listText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","text":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9967fc2b07a8b6afb0f8114959e273b1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd9b01757f75cac711a386c106deb242"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2818eaff7c59bf56e8a418a594dce7d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598796858392704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","text":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","html":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof"}],"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","text":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","html":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof"}],"streamModify":1787898967027,"id":598796858392704,"gmtCreate":1787221338050,"gmtModify":1787898967027,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums","htmlText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","listText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","text":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9967fc2b07a8b6afb0f8114959e273b1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd9b01757f75cac711a386c106deb242"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2818eaff7c59bf56e8a418a594dce7d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598796858392704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":598429398143024,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598429398143024,"gmtCreate":1787131624598,"gmtModify":1787133109757,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Week:High Yields Squeeze Market as Volatility Returns,Major Opportunities brewing 💹","htmlText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","listText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","text":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3ef9533c949a56d25e345b250ce995d4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5741bc925fd2f2a8648921ce5a8837db"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/14c932e89284d198ef1e503a86634095"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":86,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598429398143024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000487","authorId":"9000000000000487","name":"MaudNelly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e0fafb6a0868fdff5a6626301b88f7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000487","idStr":"9000000000000487"},"content":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","text":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","html":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000441","authorId":"9000000000000441","name":"vi123123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2214c44af667ceaccefbb23d0bcacbb8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000441","idStr":"9000000000000441"},"content":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","text":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","html":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy"}],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000487","authorId":"9000000000000487","name":"MaudNelly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e0fafb6a0868fdff5a6626301b88f7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000487","idStr":"9000000000000487"},"content":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","text":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in.","html":"I agree high yields are the core squeeze on valuations, but the curve matters too. A deeper 10Y-2Y inversion is rougher for XLF than most people are pricing in."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000441","authorId":"9000000000000441","name":"vi123123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2214c44af667ceaccefbb23d0bcacbb8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000441","idStr":"9000000000000441"},"content":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","text":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy","html":"The better pocket is still downside premium. SPY puts around 7% OTM usually pay fatter than calls here, time decay does the work if vol term structure stays this jumpy"}],"streamModify":1787133109757,"id":598429398143024,"gmtCreate":1787131624598,"gmtModify":1787133109757,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Week:High Yields Squeeze Market as Volatility Returns,Major Opportunities brewing 💹","htmlText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","listText":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","text":"Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3ef9533c949a56d25e345b250ce995d4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5741bc925fd2f2a8648921ce5a8837db"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/14c932e89284d198ef1e503a86634095"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":86,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598429398143024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":598390933225600,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598390933225600,"gmtCreate":1787122235226,"gmtModify":1788146277969,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"High-Level Pullback Begins？Three Strategies for a Choppy Market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&amp;P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&amp;P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","text":"The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/631d0ca65d09ed75204904863c4931d0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98b80baf0b3479e64078e827a582d54e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08e49ba10a0f6d46ed1973dda9feae30"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598390933225600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000579","authorId":"9000000000000579","name":"GeraldAdela","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74991ef479abd9cfe482bcb9079a22bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000579","idStr":"9000000000000579"},"content":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","text":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","html":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol"}],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000579","authorId":"9000000000000579","name":"GeraldAdela","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74991ef479abd9cfe482bcb9079a22bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000579","idStr":"9000000000000579"},"content":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","text":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","html":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol"}],"streamModify":1788146277969,"id":598390933225600,"gmtCreate":1787122235226,"gmtModify":1788146277969,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"High-Level Pullback Begins？Three Strategies for a Choppy Market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&amp;P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&amp;P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","text":"The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/631d0ca65d09ed75204904863c4931d0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98b80baf0b3479e64078e827a582d54e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08e49ba10a0f6d46ed1973dda9feae30"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598390933225600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597772257562648,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786950458851,"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597675421212720,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597675421212720,"gmtCreate":1786947548199,"gmtModify":1786967807037,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls: Two Trading Opportunities Near U.S. Index Gap Support?","htmlText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","listText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","text":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e15bd368992d1fe99e8e7f578d0e15ea"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f22c0858d16df3295a795edc567edc32"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0202a02c755e27c38d7f65e1c62a65ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597675421212720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786967807037,"id":597675421212720,"gmtCreate":1786947548199,"gmtModify":1786967807037,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Nonfarm Payrolls: Two Trading Opportunities Near U.S. Index Gap Support?","htmlText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","listText":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","text":"Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e15bd368992d1fe99e8e7f578d0e15ea"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f22c0858d16df3295a795edc567edc32"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0202a02c755e27c38d7f65e1c62a65ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":98,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597675421212720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"Chicago Mercantile Exchange","code":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","name":"CME","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":10,"zone":"CDT","zoneId":"America/Chicago","zoneName":"Central Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Equity_Index","contractCode":"NQ2609","contractId":"8427f922776649ca893ad7641295098b","contractMonth":"202609","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"NASDAQ-100 STOCK INDEX (MINI)","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-nasdaq-100_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.25 index point ( US$5 )","productScale":"US$20 USD per index point","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"Equity Index","productWorth":"US$20 USD per index point","worth":20},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20260918","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1789738200000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":20},"name":"E-mini Nasdaq 100 - Sep 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_NQ_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"NQmain","referMainContractId":"6e09753ce223468ebb035ad7995b849b","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"NQ","symbolId":"FT_SY_NQ","symbolName":"E-mini Nasdaq 100"}}