ZNmain (10-YR T-NOTE - main 2612)
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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Interest","contractCode":"ZNmain","contractId":"a40ec31269fe4a6a908e21b8fc00a0d9","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/interest-rates/us-treasury/10-year-us-treasury-note_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0'005（One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point）(US$15.625) ","productScale":"Face value at maturity of $100,000","productTradingMonth":"3 nearest quarterly months","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）- 16:00","productType":"Interest Rates","productWorth":"US$1,000 x futures price","worth":1000},"exchangeCode":"CBOT","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CBOT","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1000},"name":"10-YR T-NOTE - main 2612","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_ZN_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":6,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":6,"value":15625},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":6,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Interest","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"ZN","symbolId":"FT_SY_ZN","symbolName":"10-YR T-NOTE"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":621488477163672,"type":1,"entity":{"id":621488477163672,"gmtCreate":1792752681095,"gmtModify":1792754015107,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Live Highlights: U.S. Stocks' Last Dance Before Q4 Risks Erupt and 3 Top Trades","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","listText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","text":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> 美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？ Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/344fe9b31dc3dc75e13fdb2c79b8c5a0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":130,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621488477163672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000471","authorId":"9000000000000471","name":"MooreAlcott","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d4594b0ee9a777a4ca1bee258aa8f5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000471","idStr":"9000000000000471"},"content":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","text":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","html":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000378","authorId":"9000000000000378","name":"doozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78bec073397d54a68f80879dd87fd45c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000378","idStr":"9000000000000378"},"content":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","text":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","html":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished"}],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000471","authorId":"9000000000000471","name":"MooreAlcott","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d4594b0ee9a777a4ca1bee258aa8f5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000471","idStr":"9000000000000471"},"content":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","text":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast","html":"VIX staying this flat is the missing piece here. Indexes can grind in a range, but once vol term structure shifts the Q4 correction talk gets real fast"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000378","authorId":"9000000000000378","name":"doozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78bec073397d54a68f80879dd87fd45c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000378","idStr":"9000000000000378"},"content":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","text":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished","html":"Gold rebound looks weak here. I care more about the dollar index staying firm — that pressure on precious metals still feels unfinished"}],"streamModify":1792754015107,"id":621488477163672,"gmtCreate":1792752681095,"gmtModify":1792754015107,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Live Highlights: U.S. Stocks' Last Dance Before Q4 Risks Erupt and 3 Top Trades","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","listText":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/m/live/1879660505441339/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221879660505441339%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\">美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？</a> Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","text":"Last night, I hosted a livestream on Tiger Futures to discuss shifts in the broader U.S. stock market. I covered the U.S. Dollar Index, including its historical patterns and outlook, and shared trading strategies for currencies, crude oil, and gold. If you missed the session, watch the replay here >> 美股指新一輪的上升浪終於開始了？標普的反彈目標位會達到多少？ Below, I have summarized the key market insights and trading views by topic, so those who missed the session can quickly understand my current outlook. First, a brief introduction: Cheng Jun is a professional trader and guest lecturer at CME Group. He previously served as General Manager of Gold Hea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/344fe9b31dc3dc75e13fdb2c79b8c5a0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":130,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621488477163672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620394186531120,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620394186531120,"gmtCreate":1792490148464,"gmtModify":1792553150865,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The Worst of the Selloff May Be Over: Straddle Profit Taken,Time to Sell Puts💹","htmlText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f8803409b41da4667e38f59fd73f2831"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b0ceff986155dcdc13242007e15082e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b02b2a6513d0a8bf3a4689c039c04316"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620394186531120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1792553150865,"id":620394186531120,"gmtCreate":1792490148464,"gmtModify":1792553150865,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The Worst of the Selloff May Be Over: Straddle Profit Taken,Time to Sell Puts💹","htmlText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f8803409b41da4667e38f59fd73f2831"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b0ceff986155dcdc13242007e15082e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b02b2a6513d0a8bf3a4689c039c04316"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620394186531120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":618291626528920,"type":1,"entity":{"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3077,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000656","idStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000656","idStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"streamModify":1792033079032,"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3077,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":617989073040000,"type":1,"entity":{"id":617989073040000,"gmtCreate":1791885361431,"gmtModify":1792122280892,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Two Risk Events Ahead: Will Nvidia Lose Support? Options Strategies for Range-Bound Gold and Oil💰","htmlText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","listText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","text":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ $SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d3c8b2cebe218cafe6bf98e5913e2548"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e982ea3ba83ca2c56bab7740bce2444b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/080aa7fe8bee17fb5ed7e51fbc147af6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/617989073040000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","text":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","html":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced"}],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","text":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced","html":"Put call ratio at 1.10 with price down 1.29% is not a great support setup. Feels like the odds of a failed NVDA support test are still being underpriced"}],"streamModify":1792122280892,"id":617989073040000,"gmtCreate":1791885361431,"gmtModify":1792122280892,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Two Risk Events Ahead: Will Nvidia Lose Support? Options Strategies for Range-Bound Gold and Oil💰","htmlText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","listText":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$</a>","text":"The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ $SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d3c8b2cebe218cafe6bf98e5913e2548"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e982ea3ba83ca2c56bab7740bce2444b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/080aa7fe8bee17fb5ed7e51fbc147af6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/617989073040000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":616489567138416,"type":1,"entity":{"id":616489567138416,"gmtCreate":1791543712917,"gmtModify":1791546031601,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The First Post-Holiday Rebound Is Imminent, Here’s How I’m Positioning","htmlText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","listText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","text":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ed64df82c3384779721ee9264969e362"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c76e075360f72c8deec9242196f1e497"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6be8788e8aa933fe11396f5faaf0bb24"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616489567138416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000533","authorId":"9000000000000533","name":"JoBloor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55e526bf56359c8153d15df97d3245b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000533","idStr":"9000000000000533"},"content":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","text":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","html":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching"}],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000533","authorId":"9000000000000533","name":"JoBloor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55e526bf56359c8153d15df97d3245b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000533","idStr":"9000000000000533"},"content":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","text":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching","html":"93.68 getting tagged that fast says the bounce has real force. If WTI keeps holding 92.5, 95.8 is the next spot I’m watching"}],"streamModify":1791546031601,"id":616489567138416,"gmtCreate":1791543712917,"gmtModify":1791546031601,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The First Post-Holiday Rebound Is Imminent, Here’s How I’m Positioning","htmlText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","listText":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","text":"Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ed64df82c3384779721ee9264969e362"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c76e075360f72c8deec9242196f1e497"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6be8788e8aa933fe11396f5faaf0bb24"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/616489567138416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613296824443016,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000196","idStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000196","idStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"streamModify":1790751738507,"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613237563486456,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274808936914","idStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"streamModify":1790749108616,"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612912243802360,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612912243802360,"gmtCreate":1790657508081,"gmtModify":1790675065927,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Market Structure Watch: Can Gold Rebound or Reverse at Support? Bitcoin Eyes 85,000💵","htmlText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","listText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","text":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$ $微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$ $30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$ $10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$ On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6b48c96edd1647d8c20a4860764fc747"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/00bcba626ffb98c346f2d47ea1c6faa0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b52e746a984929fcd23e0751f74498c8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":73,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612912243802360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000420","authorId":"9000000000000420","name":"PorterLamb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000420","idStr":"9000000000000420"},"content":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","text":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","html":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000420","authorId":"9000000000000420","name":"PorterLamb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000420","idStr":"9000000000000420"},"content":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","text":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first","html":"If 85k keeps rejecting, a triangle is more plausible than a straight breakout. The 82.5k low still needs confirmation first"}],"streamModify":1790675065927,"id":612912243802360,"gmtCreate":1790657508081,"gmtModify":1790675065927,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4252736365929692","idStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Market Structure Watch: Can Gold Rebound or Reverse at Support? Bitcoin Eyes 85,000💵","htmlText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","listText":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/10Ymain\">$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/30Ymain\">$微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZBmain\">$30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ZNmain\">$10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$</a> On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","text":"Gold: The Short-Term Structure On September 28, with gold trading around $4,228.615, down approximately 0.06%, my short-term view was bearish. Central-bank gold purchases and concerns about U.S. government debt remained longer-term sources of support, but a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields were exerting more immediate pressure on gold.$微型10年美債收益率主連 2609(10Ymain)$ $微型30年美債收益率主連 2610(30Ymain)$ $30年美債主連 2612(ZBmain)$ $10年美債主連 2612(ZNmain)$ On the 30-minute chart, gold formed a swing high near 4,318, then made a series of lower high","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6b48c96edd1647d8c20a4860764fc747"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/00bcba626ffb98c346f2d47ea1c6faa0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b52e746a984929fcd23e0751f74498c8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":73,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612912243802360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612589968314848,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612589968314848,"gmtCreate":1790578906036,"gmtModify":1790580401575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stocks and Treasuries Diverge: How to Position Ahead of a Market Turn?📈📉","htmlText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","listText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","text":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. $CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$ $BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fadb82585d6c61f7e38cbfd6a73ee6a9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612589968314848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274763284018","authorId":"3479274763284018","name":"MarsBloom","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f31b0657bdd536143132c5bc71f66f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274763284018","idStr":"3479274763284018"},"content":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","text":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","html":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274763284018","authorId":"3479274763284018","name":"MarsBloom","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33f31b0657bdd536143132c5bc71f66f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274763284018","idStr":"3479274763284018"},"content":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","text":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in","html":"From a cross-asset angle, the bond signal matters more if term premium is driving yields higher, not growth. That usually tightens financial conditions faster than equities price in"}],"streamModify":1790580401575,"id":612589968314848,"gmtCreate":1790578906036,"gmtModify":1790580401575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stocks and Treasuries Diverge: How to Position Ahead of a Market Turn?📈📉","htmlText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","listText":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/BTCmain\">$CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIT\">$BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$</a>","text":"The encouraging directional signal from cryptocurrencies during FOMC week did not last long. Although the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high, most risk assets did not confirm the move. Worse still, long-term bond yields also hit new highs, clearly conflicting with the fundamental reasoning behind our earlier expectations. Judging by the credibility of these breakouts, the bond market may prove the more reliable signal if there is no outside intervention. That means we need to be more cautious about the possibility that the turning point could arrive sooner than expected. $CME比特币主连 2610(BTCmain)$ $BlackRock Multi-Sector Income Tr(BIT)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fadb82585d6c61f7e38cbfd6a73ee6a9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612589968314848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610818128634264,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"streamModify":1790146451805,"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":609031505760344,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000382","idStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274755021820","idStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000382","idStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274755021820","idStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"streamModify":1789720203884,"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":609028128932000,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":30,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274785641432","idStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"streamModify":1789719877417,"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":30,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":608584518627352,"type":1,"entity":{"id":608584518627352,"gmtCreate":1789618292394,"gmtModify":1789618751535,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572493257500324","idStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"Central Banks Are Buying Gold and ETFs Are Selling: Whose Money Decides the Next Move?","htmlText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","listText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","text":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$ $1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$ $黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$ FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53deb3b42d37a3a7eac1d1a0919dde73"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":132,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":29,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608584518627352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000630","authorId":"9000000000000630","name":"Marialina","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0adc079be44b41bba23aad7469b25854","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000630","idStr":"9000000000000630"},"content":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","text":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","html":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000692","idStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","text":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","html":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000630","authorId":"9000000000000630","name":"Marialina","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0adc079be44b41bba23aad7469b25854","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000630","idStr":"9000000000000630"},"content":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","text":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","html":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000692","idStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","text":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","html":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline."}],"streamModify":1789618751535,"id":608584518627352,"gmtCreate":1789618292394,"gmtModify":1789618751535,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572493257500324","idStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"Central Banks Are Buying Gold and ETFs Are Selling: Whose Money Decides the Next Move?","htmlText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","listText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","text":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$ $1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$ $黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$ FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53deb3b42d37a3a7eac1d1a0919dde73"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":132,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":29,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608584518627352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":598796858392704,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598796858392704,"gmtCreate":1787221338050,"gmtModify":1787898967027,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums","htmlText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","listText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","text":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9967fc2b07a8b6afb0f8114959e273b1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd9b01757f75cac711a386c106deb242"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2818eaff7c59bf56e8a418a594dce7d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598796858392704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","text":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","html":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof"}],"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274715219344","idStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","text":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","html":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof"}],"streamModify":1787898967027,"id":598796858392704,"gmtCreate":1787221338050,"gmtModify":1787898967027,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums","htmlText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","listText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","text":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9967fc2b07a8b6afb0f8114959e273b1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd9b01757f75cac711a386c106deb242"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2818eaff7c59bf56e8a418a594dce7d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598796858392704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":591476965385200,"type":1,"entity":{"id":591476965385200,"gmtCreate":1785400156139,"gmtModify":1785987058943,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Crude Oil Rises as Inventories Build; Gold Stays Weak Despite Tight Supply","htmlText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","listText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","text":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25c596e44c3e3d86917b4f721c9afe64"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/95408b6f087a0c7ff7ddd7f3144b4ae4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31d06b9c474b57964078cfcf4b487bce"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":113,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591476965385200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987058943,"id":591476965385200,"gmtCreate":1785400156139,"gmtModify":1785987058943,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Crude Oil Rises as Inventories Build; Gold Stays Weak Despite Tight Supply","htmlText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","listText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","text":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25c596e44c3e3d86917b4f721c9afe64"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/95408b6f087a0c7ff7ddd7f3144b4ae4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31d06b9c474b57964078cfcf4b487bce"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":113,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591476965385200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":583239757926496,"type":1,"entity":{"id":583239757926496,"gmtCreate":1783423301047,"gmtModify":1783489274041,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserve Our Focus","htmlText":"A recent string of mismatches between macro data and capital flows has revealed a new direction for the rotation across global asset classes. After deeply reviewing the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, the U.S. Dollar Index, the yen's trajectory, and U.S. equity fund flows, I want to discuss a new trading thesis that may differ from what many people think: the pressure that a rising Dollar Index puts on global equities is not over. Bottom-fishing is not currently suitable for U.S. stocks, but it may be relatively suitable for U.S. Treasuries. Why do I say this? To sum up my current logic chain: although over the past week the Dollar Index staged a pullback at its major resistance around 101.3, judging from the performance of the yen — the dollar's second-largest counterpart — and the t","listText":"A recent string of mismatches between macro data and capital flows has revealed a new direction for the rotation across global asset classes. After deeply reviewing the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, the U.S. Dollar Index, the yen's trajectory, and U.S. equity fund flows, I want to discuss a new trading thesis that may differ from what many people think: the pressure that a rising Dollar Index puts on global equities is not over. Bottom-fishing is not currently suitable for U.S. stocks, but it may be relatively suitable for U.S. Treasuries. Why do I say this? To sum up my current logic chain: although over the past week the Dollar Index staged a pullback at its major resistance around 101.3, judging from the performance of the yen — the dollar's second-largest counterpart — and the t","text":"A recent string of mismatches between macro data and capital flows has revealed a new direction for the rotation across global asset classes. After deeply reviewing the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, the U.S. Dollar Index, the yen's trajectory, and U.S. equity fund flows, I want to discuss a new trading thesis that may differ from what many people think: the pressure that a rising Dollar Index puts on global equities is not over. Bottom-fishing is not currently suitable for U.S. stocks, but it may be relatively suitable for U.S. Treasuries. Why do I say this? To sum up my current logic chain: although over the past week the Dollar Index staged a pullback at its major resistance around 101.3, judging from the performance of the yen — the dollar's second-largest counterpart — and the t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b1d68d41ef1ab72218abe06408681eb1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d4c230068847bbff5c88526ca1c1d993"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4e40f02b889e05510d26c1b194985edf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1783489274041,"id":583239757926496,"gmtCreate":1783423301047,"gmtModify":1783489274041,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserve Our Focus","htmlText":"A recent string of mismatches between macro data and capital flows has revealed a new direction for the rotation across global asset classes. After deeply reviewing the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, the U.S. Dollar Index, the yen's trajectory, and U.S. equity fund flows, I want to discuss a new trading thesis that may differ from what many people think: the pressure that a rising Dollar Index puts on global equities is not over. Bottom-fishing is not currently suitable for U.S. stocks, but it may be relatively suitable for U.S. Treasuries. Why do I say this? To sum up my current logic chain: although over the past week the Dollar Index staged a pullback at its major resistance around 101.3, judging from the performance of the yen — the dollar's second-largest counterpart — and the t","listText":"A recent string of mismatches between macro data and capital flows has revealed a new direction for the rotation across global asset classes. After deeply reviewing the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, the U.S. Dollar Index, the yen's trajectory, and U.S. equity fund flows, I want to discuss a new trading thesis that may differ from what many people think: the pressure that a rising Dollar Index puts on global equities is not over. Bottom-fishing is not currently suitable for U.S. stocks, but it may be relatively suitable for U.S. Treasuries. Why do I say this? To sum up my current logic chain: although over the past week the Dollar Index staged a pullback at its major resistance around 101.3, judging from the performance of the yen — the dollar's second-largest counterpart — and the t","text":"A recent string of mismatches between macro data and capital flows has revealed a new direction for the rotation across global asset classes. After deeply reviewing the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, the U.S. Dollar Index, the yen's trajectory, and U.S. equity fund flows, I want to discuss a new trading thesis that may differ from what many people think: the pressure that a rising Dollar Index puts on global equities is not over. Bottom-fishing is not currently suitable for U.S. stocks, but it may be relatively suitable for U.S. Treasuries. Why do I say this? To sum up my current logic chain: although over the past week the Dollar Index staged a pullback at its major resistance around 101.3, judging from the performance of the yen — the dollar's second-largest counterpart — and the t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b1d68d41ef1ab72218abe06408681eb1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d4c230068847bbff5c88526ca1c1d993"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4e40f02b889e05510d26c1b194985edf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":580644164513888,"type":1,"entity":{"id":580644164513888,"gmtCreate":1782789611249,"gmtModify":1782802950014,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Brace for Impact: The Trader’s Guide to the Renewed US-Iran Crossfire","htmlText":"Since the US and Iran signed the ceasefire memorandum, news of renewed armed clashes between the two sides has emerged again over the weekend. The incident started when some merchant ships failed to navigate along Iran's designated routes, leading to them being intercepted with weapons fire, while the US bombed Iranian regional facilities once again on the grounds that Iran did not adhere to the terms. In reality, the entire process is no different from before the memorandum was signed; they fight and talk to increase their respective bargaining chips, and then pull back to the negotiating table to renegotiate. The rhythm of the entire financial market will continue to be pulled back and forth by relevant news, and investors should prepare for a roller-coaster ride. Of course, for short-te","listText":"Since the US and Iran signed the ceasefire memorandum, news of renewed armed clashes between the two sides has emerged again over the weekend. The incident started when some merchant ships failed to navigate along Iran's designated routes, leading to them being intercepted with weapons fire, while the US bombed Iranian regional facilities once again on the grounds that Iran did not adhere to the terms. In reality, the entire process is no different from before the memorandum was signed; they fight and talk to increase their respective bargaining chips, and then pull back to the negotiating table to renegotiate. The rhythm of the entire financial market will continue to be pulled back and forth by relevant news, and investors should prepare for a roller-coaster ride. Of course, for short-te","text":"Since the US and Iran signed the ceasefire memorandum, news of renewed armed clashes between the two sides has emerged again over the weekend. The incident started when some merchant ships failed to navigate along Iran's designated routes, leading to them being intercepted with weapons fire, while the US bombed Iranian regional facilities once again on the grounds that Iran did not adhere to the terms. In reality, the entire process is no different from before the memorandum was signed; they fight and talk to increase their respective bargaining chips, and then pull back to the negotiating table to renegotiate. The rhythm of the entire financial market will continue to be pulled back and forth by relevant news, and investors should prepare for a roller-coaster ride. Of course, for short-te","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f9d61d43bb3c985fad84a5fa32cf31bf","width":"865","height":"553"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/580644164513888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1782802950014,"id":580644164513888,"gmtCreate":1782789611249,"gmtModify":1782802950014,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Brace for Impact: The Trader’s Guide to the Renewed US-Iran Crossfire","htmlText":"Since the US and Iran signed the ceasefire memorandum, news of renewed armed clashes between the two sides has emerged again over the weekend. The incident started when some merchant ships failed to navigate along Iran's designated routes, leading to them being intercepted with weapons fire, while the US bombed Iranian regional facilities once again on the grounds that Iran did not adhere to the terms. In reality, the entire process is no different from before the memorandum was signed; they fight and talk to increase their respective bargaining chips, and then pull back to the negotiating table to renegotiate. The rhythm of the entire financial market will continue to be pulled back and forth by relevant news, and investors should prepare for a roller-coaster ride. Of course, for short-te","listText":"Since the US and Iran signed the ceasefire memorandum, news of renewed armed clashes between the two sides has emerged again over the weekend. The incident started when some merchant ships failed to navigate along Iran's designated routes, leading to them being intercepted with weapons fire, while the US bombed Iranian regional facilities once again on the grounds that Iran did not adhere to the terms. In reality, the entire process is no different from before the memorandum was signed; they fight and talk to increase their respective bargaining chips, and then pull back to the negotiating table to renegotiate. The rhythm of the entire financial market will continue to be pulled back and forth by relevant news, and investors should prepare for a roller-coaster ride. Of course, for short-te","text":"Since the US and Iran signed the ceasefire memorandum, news of renewed armed clashes between the two sides has emerged again over the weekend. The incident started when some merchant ships failed to navigate along Iran's designated routes, leading to them being intercepted with weapons fire, while the US bombed Iranian regional facilities once again on the grounds that Iran did not adhere to the terms. In reality, the entire process is no different from before the memorandum was signed; they fight and talk to increase their respective bargaining chips, and then pull back to the negotiating table to renegotiate. The rhythm of the entire financial market will continue to be pulled back and forth by relevant news, and investors should prepare for a roller-coaster ride. Of course, for short-te","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f9d61d43bb3c985fad84a5fa32cf31bf","width":"865","height":"553"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/580644164513888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":580642356822112,"type":1,"entity":{"id":580642356822112,"gmtCreate":1782789169918,"gmtModify":1782789619900,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From Rate Cuts to Rate Hikes? Will the Fed's Hawkish Pivot Crash the Market?","htmlText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","listText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","text":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/eb2618bba23b15d808882be062031df7","width":"864","height":"490"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":197,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/580642356822112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1782789619900,"id":580642356822112,"gmtCreate":1782789169918,"gmtModify":1782789619900,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From Rate Cuts to Rate Hikes? Will the Fed's Hawkish Pivot Crash the Market?","htmlText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","listText":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","text":"After Warsh replaced Powell as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, expectations and rumors regarding an interest rate hike within the year have persisted. The substantial inflationary pressure brought about by the outbreak of the war in the Middle East has already forced multiple central banks to opt for rate hikes in response, and there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will not go against this trend. However, looking at history, a rate hike does not signify an inevitable change in the trend; more often than not, other external crises are required to trigger a reversal in the market's trajectory. According to the latest FedWatch data, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the Federal Reserve's year-end meeting is only 22%, while the combined prob","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/eb2618bba23b15d808882be062031df7","width":"864","height":"490"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":197,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/580642356822112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":574401033863872,"type":1,"entity":{"id":574401033863872,"gmtCreate":1781264802723,"gmtModify":1785987064759,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly： Equities Cool, Bonds Heat Up While Gold Falls Out of Favour","htmlText":"Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf","listText":"Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf","text":"Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b0c8267fc6c2145f25774c0304f15be3","width":"900","height":"498"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/be350fec575f79a593d6f1f351c46a0c","width":"886","height":"591"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2b01d6cab3546f23823fd3b8be9cb34c","width":"900","height":"266"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1719,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":35,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/574401033863872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987064759,"id":574401033863872,"gmtCreate":1781264802723,"gmtModify":1785987064759,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly： Equities Cool, Bonds Heat Up While Gold Falls Out of Favour","htmlText":"Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf","listText":"Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf","text":"Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b0c8267fc6c2145f25774c0304f15be3","width":"900","height":"498"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/be350fec575f79a593d6f1f351c46a0c","width":"886","height":"591"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2b01d6cab3546f23823fd3b8be9cb34c","width":"900","height":"266"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1719,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":35,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/574401033863872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":561530683060584,"type":1,"entity":{"id":561530683060584,"gmtCreate":1778125161652,"gmtModify":1778141041747,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"💥How Long Can the Rally Last? 5 Red Flags for US Equities","htmlText":"Recently, the S&P 500 has maintained strength near its highs, but analyzing from multiple dimensions such as valuation, fund flows, and insider trading reveals that the internal market is not experiencing consistent expansion. The current US stock market is closer to a phase where 'index resilience remains strong, but structural divergence continues to deepen': At the index level, it is still supported by leading heavyweight stocks and capital inflow, but absolute stock-bond valuations are weak, sector valuations are diverging, insider trading signals and the internal strength disparities among the M7 all suggest that the constraints of operating at high levels have not disappeared. This article will systematically review the structural characteristics and potential constraints of curr","listText":"Recently, the S&P 500 has maintained strength near its highs, but analyzing from multiple dimensions such as valuation, fund flows, and insider trading reveals that the internal market is not experiencing consistent expansion. The current US stock market is closer to a phase where 'index resilience remains strong, but structural divergence continues to deepen': At the index level, it is still supported by leading heavyweight stocks and capital inflow, but absolute stock-bond valuations are weak, sector valuations are diverging, insider trading signals and the internal strength disparities among the M7 all suggest that the constraints of operating at high levels have not disappeared. This article will systematically review the structural characteristics and potential constraints of curr","text":"Recently, the S&P 500 has maintained strength near its highs, but analyzing from multiple dimensions such as valuation, fund flows, and insider trading reveals that the internal market is not experiencing consistent expansion. The current US stock market is closer to a phase where 'index resilience remains strong, but structural divergence continues to deepen': At the index level, it is still supported by leading heavyweight stocks and capital inflow, but absolute stock-bond valuations are weak, sector valuations are diverging, insider trading signals and the internal strength disparities among the M7 all suggest that the constraints of operating at high levels have not disappeared. This article will systematically review the structural characteristics and potential constraints of curr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24bc6b628a34608939163504d8ba54e2","width":"865","height":"428"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77d59a087514d45cda34bb51008b085e","width":"855","height":"570"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c04d025e5e6c4ef24038315297213d04","width":"865","height":"479"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/561530683060584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778141041747,"id":561530683060584,"gmtCreate":1778125161652,"gmtModify":1778141041747,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"💥How Long Can the Rally Last? 5 Red Flags for US Equities","htmlText":"Recently, the S&P 500 has maintained strength near its highs, but analyzing from multiple dimensions such as valuation, fund flows, and insider trading reveals that the internal market is not experiencing consistent expansion. The current US stock market is closer to a phase where 'index resilience remains strong, but structural divergence continues to deepen': At the index level, it is still supported by leading heavyweight stocks and capital inflow, but absolute stock-bond valuations are weak, sector valuations are diverging, insider trading signals and the internal strength disparities among the M7 all suggest that the constraints of operating at high levels have not disappeared. This article will systematically review the structural characteristics and potential constraints of curr","listText":"Recently, the S&P 500 has maintained strength near its highs, but analyzing from multiple dimensions such as valuation, fund flows, and insider trading reveals that the internal market is not experiencing consistent expansion. The current US stock market is closer to a phase where 'index resilience remains strong, but structural divergence continues to deepen': At the index level, it is still supported by leading heavyweight stocks and capital inflow, but absolute stock-bond valuations are weak, sector valuations are diverging, insider trading signals and the internal strength disparities among the M7 all suggest that the constraints of operating at high levels have not disappeared. This article will systematically review the structural characteristics and potential constraints of curr","text":"Recently, the S&P 500 has maintained strength near its highs, but analyzing from multiple dimensions such as valuation, fund flows, and insider trading reveals that the internal market is not experiencing consistent expansion. The current US stock market is closer to a phase where 'index resilience remains strong, but structural divergence continues to deepen': At the index level, it is still supported by leading heavyweight stocks and capital inflow, but absolute stock-bond valuations are weak, sector valuations are diverging, insider trading signals and the internal strength disparities among the M7 all suggest that the constraints of operating at high levels have not disappeared. This article will systematically review the structural characteristics and potential constraints of curr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24bc6b628a34608939163504d8ba54e2","width":"865","height":"428"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77d59a087514d45cda34bb51008b085e","width":"855","height":"570"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c04d025e5e6c4ef24038315297213d04","width":"865","height":"479"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/561530683060584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"Chicago Board of Trade","code":"CBOT","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CBOT","name":"CBOT","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":40,"zone":"CDT","zoneId":"America/Chicago","zoneName":"Central Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Interest","contractCode":"ZN2612","contractId":"7c20232b54b64856aebd25aff92ef787","contractMonth":"202612","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/interest-rates/us-treasury/10-year-us-treasury-note_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0'005（One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point）(US$15.625) ","productScale":"Face value at maturity of $100,000","productTradingMonth":"3 nearest quarterly months","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）- 16:00","productType":"Interest Rates","productWorth":"US$1,000 x futures price","worth":1000},"exchangeCode":"CBOT","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CBOT","firstNoticeDate":"20261130","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":1796076000000,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20261221","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1797876060000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1000},"name":"10-YR T-NOTE - Dec 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_ZN_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":6,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":6,"value":15625},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":6,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Interest","referMainContractCode":"ZNmain","referMainContractId":"a40ec31269fe4a6a908e21b8fc00a0d9","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"ZN","symbolId":"FT_SY_ZN","symbolName":"10-YR T-NOTE"}}