Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC),Stock Price, Discussion, News, Quote & History - To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

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GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust

Market Closed 07-02 16:00:00 EDT

47.64

+1.14

+2.45%

盘后47.98

+0.34+0.71%

19:57 EDT

High48.22	Low47.40	Vol1.64M
Open47.81	D1 Closing46.50	Amplitude1.76%
Mkt Cap8.47B	Tradable Cap8.47B	Total Shares177.83M
T/O78.45M	T/O Rate0.92%	Tradable Shares177.83M
P/B--	ROE--	EPS0.00
52wk High--	52wk Low--	P/E--
Dividend--	Div.Yield--	ROA--

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p","market":"sg","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/whales-bought-16-billion-bitcoin-while-wall-street-ran/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/whales-bought-16-billion-bitcoin-while-wall-street-ran/","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"crypto_news_highlight","symbols":["CBTO","MAXI","BAGY","HODL","ARKB","BTCC","BITI","BFJL","CBOA","BTCO","DEFI","BTCL","QBF","SBIT","BITU","CBOY","CBTJ","GBTC","IBIT","YBTC","CBXO","CBXY","EZBC","BETH","BETE","BTC.USD.CC","CBOO","BTCZ","BTF","CBXA","BITY","BTFX","CBTY","CBTA","MNRS","CBXJ","BFAP","BRRR","BCCC","BTC","BTCI","DFII","FBTC","XBTY","BITX","BITB","CBOJ","BITO","BTCW","BTRN","BPI"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2649697486","title":"Bitcoin 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businesses.","market":"sh","thumbnail":"https://cdn.benzinga.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=240,format=auto,quality=85/files/images/story/2026/07/04/Life-Lessons-Handwritten-On-The-Page-And.jpg","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":["https://cdn.benzinga.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=240,format=auto,quality=85/files/images/story/2026/07/04/Life-Lessons-Handwritten-On-The-Page-And.jpg"],"rights":{"source":"benzinga_recent_news","url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/07/60268714/michael-saylor-says-he-pursued-10-different-ideas-after-microstrategys-rise-and-learned-this-lesson-the-hard-way","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/07/60268714/michael-saylor-says-he-pursued-10-different-ideas-after-microstrategys-rise-and-learned-this-lesson-the-hard-way","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"benzinga_recent_news","symbols":["BITX","BTFX","CBOY","EZBC","CBXJ","MSDD","07799","BK4588","BFAP","BITO","MSTK","MSTW","BCCC","BTCZ","BK4600","BITI","QBF","MSTZ","BK4596","BITB","BTC","MSTP","BTF","FBTC","BTCI","HODL","LMI3.UK","CBTY","MSTY","BK4023","XBTY","YBTC","BTCW","BAGY","BETE","BK4595","MSII","WNTR","CBXO","BFJL","CBTA","MNRS","MAXI","SBIT","BITU","BTCO","SMI3.UK","BPI","BITY","09399","GBTC","CBXA","SMST","MST","09799","BTC.USD.CC","MSTR","ARKB","DFII","BTCC","IBIT","CBOJ","BK4585","3LMI.UK","CBOA","BETH","CBTJ","CBXY","BK4516","MTYY","APED","MSST","BTCL","DEFI","MSOO","IMST","3SMI.UK","BRRR","BTRN","CBOO","CRPT","BITQ","07399","MSTY.UK","CBTO"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2649697852","title":"Under Which President Did Bitcoin Perform Best? The Answer May Surprise You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2649697852","media":"Benzinga","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2649697852?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 22:47","pubTimestamp":1783176420,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Benjamin Cowen says Bitcoin's performance under Donald Trump's second term closely mirrors its trajectory during Joe Biden's administration.","market":"sh","thumbnail":"https://cdn.benzinga.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=260,format=auto,quality=85/files/images/story/2026/07/04/Coins-Memcoin-Trump-Against-Other-Crypto.jpg","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":["https://cdn.benzinga.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=260,format=auto,quality=85/files/images/story/2026/07/04/Coins-Memcoin-Trump-Against-Other-Crypto.jpg"],"rights":{"source":"benzinga_hot_news","url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/07/60268619/under-which-president-did-bitcoin-perform-best-the-answer-may-surprise-you","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/07/60268619/under-which-president-did-bitcoin-perform-best-the-answer-may-surprise-you","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"benzinga_hot_news","symbols":["CBOA","FBTC","BFJL","BTF","CBTO","SBIT","BTCW","BTRN","CBTJ","BITX","CBTY","CBXA","MNRS","BITO","DEFI","XBTY","BTCI","BITB","CBOO","BPI","GBTC","IBIT","BFAP","BITU","CBOY","BTFX","BCCC","CBTA","BTC","QBF","BTC.USD.CC","MAXI","YBTC","BITY","CBXJ","CBOJ","BTCZ","CBXO","BITI","ARKB","CBXY","BTCC","BAGY","EZBC","HODL","BETE","DFII","BRRR","BETH","BTCL","BTCO"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2648699016","title":"Strategy’s Bold Bitcoin Pivot Ignites Fresh Investor Hopes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648699016","media":"TIPRANKS","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2648699016?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 22:01","pubTimestamp":1783173693,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Strategy ( ($MSTR) ) has risen by 8.73%. Read on to learn why. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) delivered a strong week in the market, with its st...","market":"nz","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"tipranks_highlight","url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/weekend-updates/strategys-bold-bitcoin-pivot-ignites-fresh-investor-hopes?utm_source=itigerup.com&utm_medium=referral","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/weekend-updates/strategys-bold-bitcoin-pivot-ignites-fresh-investor-hopes?utm_source=itigerup.com&utm_medium=referral","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"tipranks_highlight","symbols":["BRRR","IBIT","BK4023","BAGY","MSOO","BITU","SMST","BTC","ARKB","MSTY","MSTW","09399","BITX","BITQ","BTC.USD.CC","BITY","LMI3.UK","BTRN","BK4516","DFII","IMST","3LMI.UK","BK4595","BK4596","3SMI.UK","HODL","MSTY.UK","QBF","BETE","MTYY","BTCL","BFJL","CBTO","BTCC","MAXI","MST","BTCZ","BITO","XBTY","BTF","CBOO","BETH","BTFX","09799","BTCI","CBXA","BCCC","07799","FBTC","BITI","YBTC","MSST","07399","EZBC","CBXO","CBOA","BTCW","SMI3.UK","CBTJ","CBOJ","BFAP","BITB","BK4585","MSII","CBOY","CBXY","CBTY","APED","MSTP","WNTR","MSDD","CRPT","MSTK","DEFI","MNRS","MSTR","MSTZ","GBTC","BK4600","SBIT","CBTA","CBXJ","BPI","BTCO","BK4588"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2648699964","title":"Bitcoin investors face 20% average losses as key on-chain metric signals pressure","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648699964","media":"cryptonews","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2648699964?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 19:46","pubTimestamp":1783165593,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Bitcoin investors have entered an average unrealized loss of about 20%, while a key on-chain cost basis indicator has climbed to roughly $76,700, creating a resistance level that analysts say is weighing on the market.Bitcoin’s True Market Mean near $76,700 has emerged as a key resistance level based on active holder cost basis.Despite ETF inflow concerns, the analyst says Bitcoin may recover before reaching past bear-market valuation extremes.According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin’s True Market Mean  currently stands near $76,700, a level that represents the average acquisition cost of active Bitcoin holders rather than the entire supply. The indicator excludes long-dormant and partially lost coins, making it a measure of the cost basis for actively traded Bitcoin.Darkfost said the TMM has become an important resistance level because a similar situation played out in May, when Bitcoin approached the same price area, and many investors chose to sell at break-even instead of","market":"nz","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/bitcoin-investors-face-20-percent-average-losses/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/bitcoin-investors-face-20-percent-average-losses/","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"crypto_news_highlight","symbols":["BTC.USD.CC","BTCL","GBTC","CBOA","DFII","BITO","BITY","MNRS","BTF","BFJL","BFAP","CBXY","BITU","CBXA","BETE","BITB","BCCC","CBTJ","CBOO","CBTA","CBTY","BTCI","BAGY","XBTY","BETH","CBOY","CBTO","BITI","BTC","BTCC","BTFX","BTCW","DEFI","CBXJ","ARKB","BTCO","FBTC","SBIT","CBOJ","QBF","BPI","BTRN","MAXI","YBTC","BRRR","EZBC","BTCZ","CBXO","BITX","HODL"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2648369699","title":"DZ Bank brings crypto trading to millions through German banks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648369699","media":"cryptonews","labels":["corporation"],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2648369699?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 18:12","pubTimestamp":1783159974,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Germany’s cooperative banking network has begun offering cryptocurrency trading through DZ Bank, opening digital asset access to millions of retail customers across the country.DZ Bank has started rolling out crypto trading through Germany’s cooperative banking network.DekaBank plans a phased crypto trading launch for the country’s savings banks later this year.Germany is also considering new crypto tax rules that could end long-term tax exemptions from 2027.According to a Bloomberg report, the rollout gives customers of participating cooperative banks the ability to buy and sell cryptocurrencies directly through their existing banking relationships rather than using dedicated crypto exchanges.Representatives from DZ Bank told Bloomberg that interest from member institutions has been strong, with hundreds of cooperative banks expected to introduce cryptocurrency trading over time. While participation remains optional, the report said the level of demand suggests the service could becom","market":"sg","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/dz-bank-brings-trading-to-millions-by-german-banks/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/dz-bank-brings-trading-to-millions-by-german-banks/","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"corporation","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"crypto_news_highlight","symbols":["TON.USD.CC","BITO","CBTO","BTCL","CBXJ","BITW","BITQ","CBTY","EZBC","BTCZ","LFGY","CBXA","BITB","CBXY","BPI","DFII","XBTY","CBOY","CBOA","TEKX","IBIT","BITY","CBTJ","CBXO","DEFI","BFAP","BITU","HODL","BTFX","CBOO","STCE","CRPT","TON.USD.HKCC","CBOJ","YBTC","BKCH","BTRN","GDLC","BTCW","CBTA","BTCO","APT.USD.HKCC","BAGY","NCIQ","BFJL","GBTC","BITX","DAPP","DIME","APT.USD.CC"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2648269608","title":"Bitcoin loss metric reaches rare level linked to past market bottoms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648269608","media":"cryptonews","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2648269608?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 16:57","pubTimestamp":1783155470,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"CryptoQuant has reported that Bitcoin’s realized profit and loss ratio has dropped to a 43-month low of -0.35, a level that has historically appeared near major market bottoms.CryptoQuant says Bitcoin’s realized P&L ratio has fallen to a 43-month low, a level previously seen near market bottoms.U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $221.7 million in inflows, ending a 10-day outflow streak as Bitcoin rebounded.Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says reduced leverage could signal the final stage of Bitcoin’s correction before a potential fall rally.Recent institutional flows have also improved after weeks of sustained selling pressure. As previously reported by crypto.news, U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded $221.7 million in net inflows, ending a 10-session withdrawal streak during which investors pulled nearly $2.7 billion from the products.Crypto analyst Cyclop cited CoinGlass monthly return data showing Bitcoin has posted gains exceeding 20% during July in every previous bear market, wh","market":"nz","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/bitcoin-loss-metric-hits-level-linked-to-market-bottom/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/bitcoin-loss-metric-hits-level-linked-to-market-bottom/","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"crypto_news_highlight","symbols":["CBOJ","BK4594","QBF","BITB","CBXA","BTFX","SBIT","CBTO","YBTC","CBOA","IBIT","CBTJ","BTCZ","CBXO","BAGY","BTRN","DEFI","BTC","BFJL","XBTY","FBTC","CBTY","BETH","CBXY","BETE","DFII","ARKB","MNRS","BTC.USD.CC","BPI","BTCI","CBTA","MAXI","CBXJ","BTF","BTCW","BITY","BCCC","BITO","HODL","BK4601","BTCC","BITU","BFAP","BITI","CBOY","BTCL","EZBC","BITX","GBTC","BRRR","BTCO","CBOO"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2648217699","title":"Zero? Peter Schiff Reveals Bitcoin Price That Could Mark Bottom","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648217699","media":"utoday","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2648217699?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 11:02","pubTimestamp":1783134120,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"A bottom refers to an inflection point where panic selling eventually results in a mass buying opportunity.When will Bitcoin price bottom?With Bitcoin down nearly 51% from last year's record high of $126,198, an increasing number of market analysts say the cryptocurrency is entering the zone where previous price drops have ultimately bottomed. The catch is that these bottoms have traditionally taken months to form, with most traders already throwing in the towel.Schiff's response of \"0\" to when Bitcoin's price will eventually bottom might have varied meanings. The longtime crypto critic has often reiterated his prediction of Bitcoin's collapse, at one point saying its market price will be zero. Schiff might be responding in this context.Also, the fact that his \"0\" response bore no dollar sign might mean it was not a technical price level Schiff was referring to. His stance might lean toward the idea that Bitcoin's downside could remain open-ended.Schiff recently said that he would even","market":"other","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"utodaynews_highlight","url":"https://u.today/zero-peter-schiff-reveals-bitcoin-price-that-could-mark-bottom","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://u.today/zero-peter-schiff-reveals-bitcoin-price-that-could-mark-bottom","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"utodaynews_highlight","symbols":["BITY","DEFI","BFAP","BTCZ","ARKB","BTCO","BRRR","CBTO","MAXI","EZBC","CBXJ","BITU","BITI","CBOY","BTCC","CBTY","BCCC","HODL","CBTJ","BETE","BPI","CBOJ","CBXY","BTCI","CBXO","XBTY","BTFX","BTC.USD.CC","BAGY","BETH","BTF","YBTC","CBTA","IBIT","CBOA","QBF","BTRN","BFJL","BITO","CBXA","BITX","GBTC","MNRS","BTCL","SBIT","BTC","DFII","CBOO","BTCW","FBTC","BITB"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2648695596","title":"AI Funds were Unstoppable in the Second Quarter. Gold Funds Took a Dive.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648695596","media":"Dow Jones","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2648695596?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 09:31","pubTimestamp":1783128660,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Tech stocks now account for 39% of the S&P 500 and were the primary drivers of the $1.7 trillion Vanguard S&P 500 ETF's 15% return. By Lewis BrahamIn the continuing battle between machines and humanity, Wall Street has sided with machines.While gas prices spiked to $5 because of the Iran war amid other signs of rising inflation, nothing could stop an incredible rally in artificial-intelligence-related stocks in the second quarter. The average fund in Morningstar's technology category gained 40%, and even that understates AI's impact: Software companies threatened by AI coding assistants were a drag on returns while AI chip makers doubled, or in some cases, tripled, like Micron Technology. The $48 billion iShares Semiconductor exchange-traded fund surged 95% in the quarter and is now up 170% in the past year.Is it any wonder that tech stocks now account for 39% of the S&P 500's portfolio and were the primary drivers of the $1.7 trillion Vanguard S&P 500 ETF's 15% second-quarter 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Bitcoin Price Index Gained 1.22% to $62157.66","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648600146","media":"Dow Jones","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2648600146?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-04 04:14","pubTimestamp":1783109640,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index is up $750.29 today or 1.22% to $62157.66--Highest 4 p.m. level since June 23, 2026 when it traded at $62330.98--Up four of the past five days--Up three consecutive days, up 5.87% over this period--Best three day stretch since the three days ending April 10, 2026 when it rose 6.19%--Up 4.05% this week--Best weekly performance since the week ending June 12, 2026 when it rose 5.45%--Down 29% year-to-date--Down 50.78% from its all-time intraday high of $126272.76 on Oct. 6, 2025--Down 42.18% from 52 weeks ago , when it traded at $107493.61--Down 50.78% from its 52-week intraday high of $126272.76 on Oct. 6, 2025--Up 5.92% from its 52-week intraday low of $57754.25 on July 1, 2026--Traded as high as $62311.05; highest intraday level since June 24, 2026--Up 1.47% at today's intraday highNote: CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index  at 4 p.m. ET closeData compiled by Dow Jones Market Data Dow Jones NewswiresJuly 03, 2026 16:14 ET Copyright  2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","market":"other","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":null,"symbols":["BAGY","BRRR","BTC","CBXA","QBF","BITB","XBTY","MAXI","CBTY","FBTC","BTCO","CBXY","EZBC","BETE","GBTC","BITY","SBIT","HODL","BTCL","MNRS","IBIT","BTRN","BFAP","BTCI","DFII","DEFI","BTC.USD.CC","CBXO","BITO","BTFX","BITI","CBOJ","BETH","YBTC","BTCC","ARKB","BFJL","CBOO","BPI","CBTJ","BCCC","CBOY","BTCZ","CBTA","BTF","BITX","BTCW","CBTO","BITU","CBOA","CBXJ"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2648406662","title":"Trump's Crypto Push Isn't About Bitcoin Anymore—It's About the 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Data Slowdown Alters Cryptocurrency Market Outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113098713","media":"Deep News","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113098713?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-07-03 23:18","pubTimestamp":1783091903,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"The latest data reveals that U.S. job growth in June was limited to 57,000 positions, falling short of market forecasts and significantly below the revised figure for the previous month. 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While U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) had their worst month on 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This guide explains how UMA’s optimistic oracle turns real-world events into on-chain payouts, why the system usually works, the cases where it has failed spectacularly, and the rival settlement designs trying to replace it.Prediction markets had their breakout year in 2026. Combined volume across the major venues hit $44.8 billion in June alone, driven by a World Cup that turned Polymarket into a multi-billion-dollar sportsbook. The trading side of these platforms is easy to understand: shares in Yes or No, priced between zero and one dollar, paying out one dollar if you are right. The hard part is invisible until it breaks. 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