Stock Market Could See "Fireworks" Through the End of the Year As Headwinds Have "Flipped"

MarketWatch2022-11-29

Several headwinds that pummeled the stock market in 2022 have turned into tailwinds, setting the stage for a rally in U.S. equities heading into year-end, according to Tom Lee, head of research at ...

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Comments

slien23
2022-11-29
slien23
[Cool]
- slien23:
  [Glance]
- slien23:
  [smile]
- slien23:
  [Cool]
- slien23:
  [Angry]
- slien23:
  [Smug]
WeeLee
2022-11-29
WeeLee
Ok
SCP03
2022-11-29
SCP03
In few months time, this analyst will be missing in action for his nonsensical analysis... Any beginner investor who takes the effort to do self study on the situation of the macroeconomics will know the most painful part has yet to come. Its your own money. Take responsibility for it ibatead of relying on all these "experts" who often have vested interests one way or another during different cycles of the bull/bear markets.
- Hosay_hosay:
  [Cool][Cool]
- skyel:
  Ok
- GLN:
  k
- tomato9889:
  ok
- EPK:
  K
来人
2022-11-29
来人
Ok
MickeyBond
2022-11-29
MickeyBond
Ok
MelChen
2022-11-29
MelChen
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Here are the 2022 headwinds that Lee sees becoming tailwinds.Lee said that softer inflation seen in October appears “repeatable” and that the easing of price pressures should be “sufficient” for the Fed to slow its rapid pace of rate hikes, with December potentially being the last increase. Also, “if inflation is ‘as bad as 1980s’ I would have thought midterms would have been an incumbent massacre,” Lee said of the recent U.S. elections.He said that other recent signals point to “a far different path forward for markets,” including “collapsing” volatility in the bond market and a relatively large decline in the U.S. dollar.  Lee pointed to the plunge in the CBOE 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Index, saying he anticipated that a further decline would support the S&P 500 soaring to 4,400 to 4,500 by year-end.The S&P 500 ended Friday down 15.5% for the year, but up more than 12% from its 2022 closing low on Oct. 12, according to Dow Jones Market Data.U.S. stocks traded lower on Monday, with the S&P 500 SPX, -1.54% down 0.8% at around 3,995, according to FactSet data. In the bond market, 10-year Treasury yields TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.684% were flat at 3.69% around midday Monday, while two-year yields TMUBMUSD02Y, 4.442% fell about five basis points to 4.43%.U.S. yields have recently seen a “massive decline ranking in the bottom 1% largest downside moves in the past 50-years,” said Lee. The odds are rising that 10-year and 2-year yields may be past their peaks, potentially supporting an expansion in price-to-earnings multiples in stocks, according to his note.“Skeptics will say “growth is the problem now” and point to downside” in the S&P 500’s earnings per share, or EPS, said Lee.  But the index historically has “bottomed 11-12 months before EPS troughs,” he said. “So EPS is lagging.”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9962970660,"gmtCreate":1669710661750,"gmtModify":1676538226864,"author":{"id":"3554954039850565","authorId":"3554954039850565","name":"slien23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f10a21c0940c004a5899c9984f639a6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554954039850565","authorIdStr":"3554954039850565"},"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962970660","repostId":1111834536,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":105174000,"gmtCreate":1670834747493,"gmtModify":1670834760097,"authorId":3554954039850565,"author":{"id":3554954039850565,"idStr":"3554954039850565","authorId":3554954039850565,"name":"slien23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f10a21c0940c004a5899c9984f639a6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9962970660,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[Glance]","text":"[Glance]","html":"[Glance]"},{"id":105151373,"gmtCreate":1670669477303,"gmtModify":1670669487474,"authorId":3554954039850565,"author":{"id":3554954039850565,"idStr":"3554954039850565","authorId":3554954039850565,"name":"slien23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f10a21c0940c004a5899c9984f639a6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9962970660,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[smile]","text":"[smile]","html":"[smile]"},{"id":105136750,"gmtCreate":1670581428450,"gmtModify":1670581441663,"authorId":3554954039850565,"author":{"id":3554954039850565,"idStr":"3554954039850565","authorId":3554954039850565,"name":"slien23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f10a21c0940c004a5899c9984f639a6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9962970660,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[Cool]","text":"[Cool]","html":"[Cool]"},{"id":105103930,"gmtCreate":1670396006026,"gmtModify":1670396019190,"authorId":3554954039850565,"author":{"id":3554954039850565,"idStr":"3554954039850565","authorId":3554954039850565,"name":"slien23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f10a21c0940c004a5899c9984f639a6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9962970660,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[Angry]","text":"[Angry]","html":"[Angry]"},{"id":105038999,"gmtCreate":1669977027977,"gmtModify":1669977040784,"authorId":3554954039850565,"author":{"id":3554954039850565,"idStr":"3554954039850565","authorId":3554954039850565,"name":"slien23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f10a21c0940c004a5899c9984f639a6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9962970660,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[Smug]","text":"[Smug]","html":"[Smug]"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9962942717,"gmtCreate":1669709332939,"gmtModify":1676538226712,"author":{"id":"3568016139154441","authorId":"3568016139154441","name":"WeeLee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ece9747089f75a8bbd4983d0e64c460d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568016139154441","authorIdStr":"3568016139154441"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962942717","repostId":1111834536,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9962926272,"gmtCreate":1669701488496,"gmtModify":1676538225679,"author":{"id":"3561986763872297","authorId":"3561986763872297","name":"SCP03","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abf42c22b2629cf57b473d657ee801e","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3561986763872297","authorIdStr":"3561986763872297"},"htmlText":"In few months time, this analyst will be missing in action for his nonsensical analysis... Any beginner investor who takes the effort to do self study on the&nbsp; situation of the&nbsp;macroeconomics will know the most painful part has yet to come.&nbsp;&nbsp; Its your own money. Take responsibility for it ibatead of relying on all these \"experts\" who often have vested interests one way or another during different cycles of the bull/bear markets.&nbsp;","listText":"In few months time, this analyst will be missing in action for his nonsensical analysis... Any beginner investor who takes the effort to do self study on the&nbsp; situation of the&nbsp;macroeconomics will know the most painful part has yet to come.&nbsp;&nbsp; Its your own money. Take responsibility for it ibatead of relying on all these \"experts\" who often have vested interests one way or another during different cycles of the bull/bear markets.&nbsp;","text":"In few months time, this analyst will be missing in action for his nonsensical analysis... Any beginner investor who takes the effort to do self study on the situation of the macroeconomics will know the most painful part has yet to come. Its your own money. Take responsibility for it ibatead of relying on all these \"experts\" who often have vested interests one way or another during different cycles of the bull/bear markets.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962926272","repostId":1111834536,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":104993019,"gmtCreate":1669701745841,"gmtModify":1669701758760,"authorId":4109909455489530,"author":{"id":4109909455489530,"idStr":"4109909455489530","authorId":4109909455489530,"name":"Hosay_hosay","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b228fbc5c071c4bc7e948619f9ff7028","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"23f878ed27704312ae41c7f17e73b319-3","templateUuid":"23f878ed27704312ae41c7f17e73b319","name":"Annualised return","description":"Top 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