These shipping stocks could benefit from severe disruptions in global supply chains

CNBC2021-07-06

Skyrocketing shipping prices, exacerbated by limited vessel supply, could bode well for some of analysts’ favorite shipping stocks. Global supply chains have been severely disrupted this year by a ...

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Comments

AMCer
2021-07-06
AMCer
Worth buying?
KTinspired
2021-07-06
KTinspired
[Cool] Is it worth the investment
Roxx
2021-07-06
Roxx
Good
Roxx
2021-07-06
Roxx
Good
UTOtrader
2021-07-06
UTOtrader
Is it?
NgKenny
2021-07-06
NgKenny
Good

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The waterway is one of the busiest in the world, with about 12% of trade passing through it.\nThe massive cargo ship dominated headlines, but there have been several other disturbances in global trade. In a recent report, JPMorgan analysts pointed to ongoing bottlenecks such as port congestion as well as a shortage of containers and vessels.\n\"In particular, Yantian (Shenzhen) port's incident could potentially evolve into Suez Canal Incident 2.0, leading to shipment delays, longer container turnaround time and container shortage/repositioning issues,\" the bank wrote.\nThe Yantian port in Shenzhen, China is one of the busiest in the world. The region was hit by an uptick of Covid cases in June, whichcaused massive delays at the port, jacking up shipping prices.\nAs parts of the world rebounded from the pandemic, a flurry of spending led to a shortfall of containers. That drove up prices and created massive delays in shipping goods from Asia to elsewhere. JPMorgan said the demand for goods has continued to be supported by an improving global economic outlook.\nResearch firm TS Lombard noted that commodities have surged as Chinese demand recovered. Demand for commodities fromoil to lumber to corn has shot up this yearas economies reopened and vaccination rates climbed — although prices have been volatile recently.\n\"Shipowners are benefitting from the booming commodity trade. Vessel earnings have been at their highest level in a decade so far in 2021 … owing to the rebound in trade volumes, particular minerals and grains into Asia, as well as to strong restocking of iron-ore and coal inventories by China,\" the firm said.\nIt also said as much as 72% of the world's iron ore is transported to China, boosting the shipping sector.\nValue of ships will rise\nPort congestion means that ships will be temporarily held up, keeping vessel supply limited, TS Lombard said.\nAnd that may not be resolved any time soon. According to JPMorgan analysts, new vessel orders will not be delivered until 2023, \"at the earliest time frame.\"\nHigh demand and tight supply, will cause the value of ships to rise. Ships are considered assets for a shipping company, as they generate cash flow.\nThe uptick in the value of the vessels will therefore drive up the net asset value of companies, which is the value of assets minus liabilities. That in turn is set to drive up stock prices, according to TS Lombard.\nHere are the stock picks from both firms, in reports published in June:\nHere are JPMorgan's stock picks:\n\nChinese container shipping company Cosco Shipping\nHong Kong-based Orient Overseas, parent company of container shipping firm Orient Overseas Container Line\n\nHere are TS Lombard's stock picks:\n\nNasdaq-listed Star Bulk Carriers\nNorway-based Golden Ocean, a dry bulk shipping company\nNYSE- listed Genco Shipping\nAmerican shipping firm Eagle Bulk Shipping\nAthens-based Diana 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