2022年A股十大事件：“宁王”变“宁子”，妖王走出10倍行情

华尔街见闻2022-12-31

跌宕起伏，好戏不断！A股刚刚结束2022年的交易日。过去这一年，在美联储加息、俄乌冲突以及供应链等利空因素的夹击下，A股年内两度探底，四度跌破3000点。截止12月30日收盘，上证指数今年累计下跌超过15%，深成指跌幅接近26%，创业板指跌逾29%。除煤炭板块表现强势外，A股绝大多数板块均遭到不同程度的冲击。随着“三支箭”落地，房地产近期迎来了强势反弹，不过最终还是未能在年内扭转跌势；年内拿出不错...

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BenWong78
2023-01-01
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是龙不是虫
2022-12-31
是龙不是虫
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liuxiangwei
2022-12-31
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Linda2240
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times","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88f389801493a9ad2f53fd24676dd920","symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"跌宕起伏，好戏不断！A股刚刚结束2022年的交易日。过去这一年，在美联储加息、俄乌冲突以及供应链等利空因素的夹击下，A股年内两度探底，四度跌破3000点。截止12月30日收盘，上证指数今年累计下跌超过15%，深成指跌幅接近26%，创业板指跌逾29%。除煤炭板块表现强势外，A股绝大多数板块均遭到不同程度的冲击。随着“三支箭”落地，房地产近期迎来了强势反弹，不过最终还是未能在年内扭转跌势；年内拿出不错财务成绩的白酒行业，表现也不太乐观。但值得安慰的是，事关国家安全的信创行业、火爆的Web3.0在资本市场取得了不俗的成绩，在“中国特色估值体系”的指引下，低估值的中字头公司也迎来了久违的爆发。从微观来看，贵州茅台仍是A股市值最高公司，锂电之王宁德时代风光不再，年内市值已跌破万亿，九安医疗则登上年度最大妖股宝座，101个交易日涨幅高达13倍。随着国内持续优化疫情防控政策，亨迪药业等退烧药概念股迎来一波大涨。《羊了个羊》关联上市公司吉比特因“清仓式分红”成为全网吃瓜对象。两次触底，两次反弹多因素共同作用下，A股今年出现两次探底回升。第一次探底始于年初，沪指从1月初的3651.89点高位下跌至4月27日的2863.65点，耗时3个半月，其他主要指数全线下跌，深成指累跌近28%，创业板累跌逾35%。第二次探底发生在年中，沪指从7月5日开启跌势，直至10月31日跌至2893点，其他主要股指再度全线下跌。深究A股下挫的原因，钜融资产投资总监王雷向经济观察报表示，沪指3月中出现踩踏行情，主因俄乌冲突叠加美方发难中概股审计事宜，4月末重跌则是因经济数据短期坍塌，11月初急挫则是投资者信心孱弱；上述几轮下探的共同点都在于外部因素冲击导致投资者信心稀缺。当然，探底之后A股则迎来了两轮暴力上涨：4月27日至7月5日，沪指累计反弹了17%，创业板累计反弹了32%；另外，11月以来，沪指累计上涨了7%，深成指累计上涨了6%。展望2023年，国泰君安最新报告指出，抑制性政策转向与疫后开放等盈利预期改善、内外宏观环境确定性上升以及政策底、经济底和估值底隐含的回报空间等将推动2023年成为新一轮牛市的起点。“宁王”变“宁子”？跌破万亿市值在新能源赛道最火爆的那几年，宁德时代股价从40元一路高歌猛进，到2021年涨至最高692元/股，市值一度突破1.6万亿元。但到了2022年，宁德时代开局即失利，一季度财报陷入了增收不增利的魔咒，彼时质疑声充斥着整个市场。4月20日，宁德时代股价遭遇重创，当日收跌7.55%，报407元/股，总市值9487亿元，这是自2021年5月登顶万亿后，宁德时代市值首次跌破万亿。在接下来的日子里，宁德时代股价经历了6月的回光返照，然后在9月份再次持续回撤，目前在400元附近徘徊，市值较峰值蒸发了约6000亿元左右，堪称A股今年市值蒸发最严重的股票。在其此期间，宁德时代交出了超预期的二三季度财报，不仅拿到了宝马、本田的超大订单，还准备在北美建厂，可谓好消息不断。但这并未能彻底挽回投资者对它的信心，随着 “天价”锂不断压缩电池利润空间，往日的合作伙伴接连反水，动力电池供应过剩初现端倪，行业竞争走向白热化，躺着赚钱的时代已经结束。政策驱动下，信创全面崛起如果说近期什么板块最火爆，信创一定榜上有名。回看整个十月份，仅仅16个交易日，万得信创产业指数累计涨幅接近12%，而同期沪指却跌了4%。在整个赛道火热的背景下，相关龙头股价一飞冲天。10月以来，英飞拓累涨256%，云赛智联累涨近54%，真视通、焦点科技、久其软件、湘邮科技均涨超40%，金山办公涨超31%。“信创”即信息技术应用创新产业，主要涵盖基础硬件、基础软件、应用软件、信息安全四大板块，是数据安全、网络安全的基础，也是新基建的重要组成部分。自2006年国务院将提出将核心电子器件、高端通用芯片及基础软件产品列为16个重大科技专项之一以来，信创产业开始生根发芽。2019年之后，相关政策数量呈现爆发式增长，信创产业的发展正式迎来“黄金三年”。本次信创板块的崛起，也正是由政策所驱动。今年9月底国家下发79号文，全面指导国资信创产业发展和进度，要求到2027年央企国企100%完成信创替代，替换范围涵盖芯片、基础软件、操作系统、中间件等领域。展望未来，开源证券表示，未来五年是“大信创”发展的关键时期，发展空间广阔。短期来看，2022年是行业信创的元年，从2023年开始，金融、运营商、电力等八大关键行业的国产化有望加速。同时，相关政策催化有望逐渐落地，提振市场信心。全球能源愈发紧俏，“煤超风”席卷A股煤炭绝对是今年A股所有板块中“最靓的仔”。以申万一级行业为例，今年截至12月29日，申万煤炭行业指数年内累计上涨10.8%，涨幅在31个行业中位居首位。虽然四季度以来，煤炭板块的景气度有所下行，但仍是前三季度唯一上涨的板块，表现相当强劲。个股中，山煤国际涨幅居首，年内累计上涨近134%；神火股份、陕西煤业涨超70%，潞安环能、兖矿能源、山西焦煤等均涨超50%。普遍认为，煤炭板块过去一年表现强势的根本原因在于能源大周期背景下的供给失衡。全球能源格局的转变、地缘政治危机等因素加剧全球能源市场的供给风险，国际市场“抢煤”情绪随之升温。据IEA报告显示，今年全球煤炭使用量将增长1.2%，年度使用量首次超过80亿吨，超过了2013年创下的历史记录。与此同时，国内煤炭产量在需求的推动下创下历史新高。国家能源局公布的数据显示，1-11月全国煤炭产量40.9亿吨，同比增长9.7%，比去年同期增加3.6亿吨。2021年上演“煤飞色舞”，2022年刮起阵阵“煤超风”，2023年是否会“煤开三度”?对此，中信证券在研报中表示，当前焦煤供给偏紧、且库存处于历史绝对低位，在后续十四五项目建设加快推进、地产需求边际改善的情形下，预计焦煤行业景气度将有所回暖，进而使焦煤板块估值迎来修复。同时全球基础能源不足的背景下，动力煤价格高位企稳、企业利润具有高确定性，兼具高分红、高股息属性，长期投资价值凸显。预计2023年板块投资逻辑主要在需求端，看好下半年行业需求的恢复。“中国特色估值体系”下，中字头爆发据新华社报道，证监会主席易会满21日在2022金融街论坛年会上对中国资本市场建设和发展作了讲话，特别指出“探索建立具有中国特色的估值体系，促进市场资源配置功能更好发挥”。受该利好消息影响，11月21日当周，中字头概念股在大盘回调之际全线上攻，连续上演涨停潮。从近两个月表现来看，中字头概念股涨势十分惊人，其中中国重汽、中国医药累计涨逾40%，中国电影、中国联通、中国软件累计涨逾30%，中国海诚、中国高科、中国太保累计涨逾20%。在传统的估值体系中，风险可控但成长性相对有限的央企往往身处估值洼地，陷入“更好业绩”匹配“更差估值”的窘境。但在“中国特色的估值体系”概念之下，不少分析师认为，央企的内在价值或将得到重新认识。广发证券戴康曾在研报中表示，低估值、高分红、现金流充沛、盈利稳定性等均为央企的显著优势。他还表示，在过去的全球化时代，“高利润率”和“高杠杆率”优势支撑美股FAANG的20年长牛。当前“逆全球化”大趋势下，“安全”优先于“效率”，央企的“高利润率”优势也有很大的提升空间，有望诞生出中国的FAANG。年度妖王：101个交易日，区间涨幅13倍在今年A股两次触底反弹的过程中，出现了各种N连板的“妖股”，比如浙江建投、中交地产、新华制药、中通客车……但当说起2022年的“妖中之王”时，非新冠检测龙头九安医疗莫属。11月7日，九安医疗公告称旗下子公司的新冠抗原家用自测试剂盒获美国FDA授权的公告，拉开了其股价暴涨的序幕；接下来，多份国际大单让九安医疗拿出了闪亮十足的一季度业绩报告：营收同比大增66倍，净利润同比增375倍，进一步把公司股价推上89.45元的收盘巅峰。具体来看，从2021年11月15日开盘到2022年4月14日收盘，101个交易日，九安医疗足足收获了38个涨停板，最大连续涨停天数为9连板，区间累计涨幅高达惊人的1333%。4月15日起，这股“妖风”便开始消退。在大单完成后，九安医疗业绩快速下滑，二季度营收、净利润均环比下滑超过90%，三季度继续环比下滑超过10%。没了业绩的支撑，公司股价一路走低，目前已从历史高位回撤近42%。就今年前三季表现而言，九安医疗营收同比增长3000%，净利润同比增长32000%，无论从规模上还是从速度上都远超其他概念股。另外，九安医疗11月再获美国大额订单，其高速增长的业绩有望在四季度持续。但值得注意的是，随着国内持续优化新冠疫情防控措施，欧美市场疫情防控政策趋向常态化，核酸检测需求快速回落的前景下，九安医疗的业绩与股价还能重回巅峰吗？45天60亿，亨迪药业靠布洛芬赚麻了近期布洛芬的一片难求，让国内第二大布洛芬原料药企业亨迪药业一度成为资本市场的宠儿。从11月24日至12月16日，不到一个月的时间，亨迪药业股价从23.65元飙升至55.63元，几乎翻了一番。股价持续走高，也让亨迪药业实控人刘益谦家族在短短45天内增加了近60亿元的账面财富，真可谓赚麻了。但事实上，亨迪药业上市一年多来的业绩表现并不理想。由于营收大头布洛芬类原料药收入持续下滑，公司2021年归母净利润同比减少28%，而今年前三季度继续下降21%。目前布洛芬上游原料供应充足，原料厂商也有足够的产能，而行业竞争依旧激烈，相信新冠退烧药的红利也不会持续太长时间。精明的资本市场也早已意识到这一点，亨迪药业股价触顶后迅速回调，截至目前已从16日的高点下跌近38%，此外，国内最大布洛芬原料厂新华制药股价已从12月中旬的高点下跌近35%。《羊了个羊》背后公司：赚了10个亿，分红10个亿2022年，这款玩法简单但难度系数极高的休闲小游戏火得一塌糊涂，也让其背后的一家上市公司吉比特成了市场关注的焦点。公开资料显示，吉比特成立于2004年，主要从事网络游戏的策划、研发及运营，代表作有《问道》《摩尔庄园》《一念逍遥》《奥比岛》。吉比特持有《羊了个羊》研发商北京简游科技有限公司20%的股权，但该游戏的盈利对公司整体财务影响程度不大。因此《羊了个羊》虽然为吉比特带来了不少的曝光度，但仍无法带动其股价上涨。相反，其股价已经从1月初的高点已经跌去了超过22%。真正令吉比特出圈的是豪到极致的“清仓式分红”。10月26日，吉比特发布了三季度财报。财报显示，吉比特前三季度净利润10.12亿元，同比减少16.07％。同时公布的还有利润分配预案，即每10股派发现金红利140元(含税)，合计派发现金红利10.06亿元（含税）。也就是说，净利润下滑的吉比特一口气将三个季度的利润全部分光了。大手笔分红预案公布后，吉比特股价一路从当日的241.33元/股走高至11月17日的335.35元/股。值得关注的是，吉比特实控人、董事长卢竑岩通过此次分红获得约3.03亿元的现金，占全部分红的30.1%。此外，吉比特副董事长陈拓琳、黄志辉等前十大股东也能获得约1.55亿元的分红。更令人惊掉下巴的是，大手笔的现金分红对于吉比特而言并不罕见。作为“游戏界的茅台”，吉比特曾在去年10派160元，共计派现11.50亿元。A股要迎来Web3.0时代？互联网行业整体不振之际，Web3.0概念却异常火爆。一边是报道称00后疯狂涌入Web3.0，并将其作为职业首选，另一边是风投机构纷纷重金押注Web3，彼时周星驰一则“在漆黑中找寻鲜明出众的Web3.0人才”的招聘广告，更是为Web3.0再添了一把火。而当这股热潮涌入A股时，一条价值千亿的Web3.0赛道横空出世。自11月开始，Web3.0概念股持续活跃，风头独步一时。相关概念股安妮股份两个月来累计涨近83%，天地在线累涨77%，三五互联累涨65%，福石控股累涨45%，中文在线累涨42%。根据科技创业者兼投资人Chris Dixon的描述，Web3.0是一个建设者和用户的互联网，研究机构Messari研究员江下则把Web3.0描述为“可读+可写+拥有”。华鑫证券互联网传媒行业分析师朱珠解释称，Web3.0时代，用户将享有真正的数据自主权，可以在数据流转和交易中真正获益，使自己的数据不再是互联网平台的免费资源。欧洲人买爆中国电热毯等“过冬八件套”，带飞产业链公司为了熬过这个能源短缺的冬天，欧洲消费者纷纷把目光投向了投向中国的“取暖神器”。电热毯、光腿神器、秋衣秋裤、法兰绒睡衣、热水袋、暖手宝、取暖器和高领毛衣，中国传统的 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