Grab: Southeast Asia's Rideshare Titan Deserves A Buy

Seeking Alpha05-27

Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims ...

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Comments

Win8333
05-27
Win8333
Be patient
Hellboi
05-27
Hellboi
It's still not profitable.

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href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1316542783.SGD","symbol_name":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 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That's an unfortunate oversight, especially when the S&P 500 is trading at all-time highs and is, at least in my view, in danger of a near-term correction. It's also misguided, especially when overseas companies - especially those operating in fast-growing developing markets - have much more long-term potential than their domestic counterparts.There's nothing truly original about Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB). It's not going to win any innovation awards for basically being Uber 2.0 in Southeast Asia: but it's going to win from operational excellence. The Singapore-based rideshare giant is so dominant in its home market that it forced Uber out in 2018, and since then, like Uber, it has built a business that thrives on synergies between its rideshare and food delivery services.Year to date, shares of Grab have risen just shy of ~15%, matching Uber's performance. In my view, however, there's plenty of upside left to go.Data by YChartsThe bull case for GrabI'm initiating Grab at a buy (I'm long on Uber as well, but to me, Grab gives us completely different exposure to an entirely different and faster-growing market: akin to investing in Sea (SE) as well as in Amazon (AMZN).To me, here are the key tenets of the bull case for Grab:Grab operates in the fast-growing \"tiger economies\" of Southeast Asia. Population growth and economic development are quickly taking hold in Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines - where Grab operates, alongside Singapore (a highly developed and more mature country), Cambodia, and Myanmar. Grab's services are available in more than 500 cities and towns in this vibrant region.Profitability is starting to take hold in deliveries. Uber experienced a major milestone when its deliveries business hit profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis during COVID; Grab is just now hitting that threshold with a plan to more than double adjusted EBITDA margins going forward (more details in the next section).Financial services- Unlike Uber, Grab is positioned to be a mega-app for all consumer needs, including finance in Southeast Asia. The company both lends as well as operates a point-of-sale and payments platform that increases its monetization capacity.Ample liquidity- The company has more than $5 billion of net liquidity on its books, giving it plenty of financial firepower to invest in its growth.A look at the company overall: as shown below, the company recently re-organized into four segments: deliveries, mobility, financial services, and other.Grab segments (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Of all of these, Deliveries is by far the largest, generating roughly two-thirds of the company's GMV and a similar proportion of revenue: but to date, it has lagged in profitability, which is quickly changing. Mobility, the more mature business, is already generating a greater than 50% adjusted EBITDA margin on revenue. And today, financials services is still generating a small amount of revenue, but it's quickly ramping toward profitability as well. We note that the business mix here is more weighted toward deliveries than Uber, which is roughly split half-and-half between Mobility and Delivery.The bottom line here: in my view, Grab operates a very attractive set of businesses in a very fast-growing region. I'd take the chance to buy this stock as a long-term hold on the next dip.The path to profitability for DeliveriesThe number-one catalyst for Grab at the moment is the operating leverage it is beginning to see in its delivery segment. In its most recent quarter, Q1, Grab's deliveries segment saw 16% constant-currency growth in GMV to $2.7 billion, while revenue grew at a faster 24% y/y pace to $350 million (note that while Grab is headquartered in Singapore, it is listed on the NASDAQ in the U.S. after merging with a SPAC in 2021, and it reports its financials in U.S. dollars).Grab deliveries results (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Comparisons to Uber are inevitable, so we'll note here that Uber grew at a similar 17% constant-currency growth rate in gross bookings in Q1 (though it's much larger, with ~$18 billion in delivery bookings and ~$40 billion in total bookings across its mobility, delivery, and freight segments).Yet, the more exciting piece is not the double-digit growth, but the rapid adjusted EBITDA expansion. The company gained 240bps y/y of adjusted EBITDA margin driven by economies of scale, and the company isn't done yet: it aims for a 4%+ margin in the long haul via improving marketplace operations and gaining economies of scale on advertising.Grab deliveries path to profitability (Grab Q1 earnings deck)One of the key initiatives that has pushed Deliveries toward success is Saver. Similar to its U.S. Uber counterpart, Saver allows customers to pay a lower delivery fee in exchange for a longer wait time. On Grab's part, this allows the company not only to offer a lower price, but to optimize its order fulfillment more efficiently.The company notes that customers who opt for Saver order 1.8x more frequently than those who don't. The company additionally notes that 25% of its users join via a Saver delivery, creating top of the funnel marketing opportunities for users that have strong retention.Another driver for boosted profitability in Delivery is advertising revenue (which, as seen in the profitability bridge above, will be a core catalyst to get the company to its target 4% adjusted EBITDA margin). Total advertisers on the Grab platform grew 46% y/y, and average spend increased 1.5x.Mobility and Financial ServicesThe beauty of Grab, however, is that it's a multipronged business, and all of its businesses are growing like weeds.As shown in the chart below, Mobility/rideshare GMV grew 30% y/y on a constant-currency basis to $1.55 billion, while revenue also grew at a 30% constant-currency pace to $247 million:Grab mobility (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Now, this segment is already at a 8.9% adjusted EBITDA margin on GMV, which is in line with the company's long-term margin target of \"9%+.\" But it's the sheer growth in this segment, even at scale, that's impressive.In particular, the company notes that inbound tourism to Southeast Asia is still below pre-COVID levels, giving the company an opportunity to grow alongside a tourism lift. Recently, the company has noticed an uplift from Chinese travelers as many Southeast Asian countries have introduced visa-free travel from Chinese citizens.And in financial services, the company's loan portfolio continued to grow at a 64% y/y clip, while non-performing loans remained low at a 2% loss rate.Grab loan portfolio (Grab Q1 earnings deck)While still unprofitable, the Financial Services segment's -$28 million adjusted EBITDA loss improved 50% y/y relative to -$43 million in the year-ago Q1, driven by improved credit performance.Valuation, risks and key takeawaysFor the current year, Grab is guiding to $2.70-$2.75 billion in consolidated revenue (14-17% y/y growth), and $250-$260 million in adjusted EBITDA, the midpoint of which represents a 10% consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin (against revenue) and an improvement from a rough breakeven -$22 million adjusted EBITDA in FY23.Grab outlook (Grab Q1 earnings deck)At current share prices near $3.60, Grab has a market cap of $14.60 billion. We do note that the company has significant cash on its books, as shown below:Grab liquidity (Grab Q1 earnings deck)After we net off the $5.03 billion of net cash on the company's most recent balance sheet, its resulting enterprise value is $9.57 billion.This puts Grab at a 3.5x FY24 revenue multiple and a 37x FY24 adjusted EBITDA multiple.Grab is still achieving plenty of operating leverage in its Deliveries segment, so it's too early to judge the company's valuation based on the bottom line. We note that Uber currently sits at a ~$137 billion market cap and a ~$127 billion enterprise value against consensus estimates for $43.1 billion in revenue this year, or a 3.0x FY24 revenue multiple. I'd argue that Grab's positioning in a faster-growing region than Uber, plus its addition of an attractive and still-scaling financial services business, affords it a bit of a premium.There are risks to the bull case for Grab, of course. Though Uber has exited the region, there is still competition from homegrown competitors. In Indonesia, in particular, Grab has to compete against GoJek, which recently merged with Tokopedia to become an e-commerce/delivery powerhouse in Southeast Asia's largest economy. And on top of competition, macro is another big risk. Developing countries have been slower to recover in the global post-COVID recession; as previously noted, inbound travel has continued to be under historical levels.To me, however, there is more reward than risk in this stock: buy here and stay long.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[{"id":310542172803248,"gmtCreate":1716825306015,"gmtModify":1716825309263,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4116194624864142","idStr":"4116194624864142"},"htmlText":"Be patient","listText":"Be patient","text":"Be patient","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/310542172803248","repostId":2437194007,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2437194007","pubTimestamp":1716822000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2437194007?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-05-27 23:00","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Grab: Southeast Asia's Rideshare Titan Deserves A Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2437194007","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims t","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.</p></li><li><p>The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims to double adjusted EBITDA margins in this space.</p></li><li><p>Grab&#39;s multi-pronged business, including mobility and financial services, is growing rapidly and offers additional revenue streams.</p></li><li><p>The company is still trading at a reasonable ~3.5x current-year revenue multiple, with multiple catalysts for further growth and margin expansion.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c1924fb3513022ad504aaf51af8522e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>fongfong2/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</p><p>It&#39;s often said that investors typically view international companies with a discount in mind. That&#39;s an unfortunate oversight, especially when the S&amp;P 500 is trading at all-time highs and is, at least in my view, in danger of a near-term correction. It&#39;s also misguided, especially when overseas companies - especially those operating in fast-growing developing markets - have much more long-term potential than their domestic counterparts.</p><p>There&#39;s nothing truly original about Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB). It&#39;s not going to win any innovation awards for basically being Uber 2.0 in Southeast Asia: but it&#39;s going to win from operational excellence. The Singapore-based rideshare giant is so dominant in its home market that it forced Uber out in 2018, and since then, like Uber, it has built a business that thrives on synergies between its rideshare and food delivery services.</p><p>Year to date, shares of Grab have risen just shy of ~15%, matching Uber&#39;s performance. In my view, however, there&#39;s plenty of upside left to go.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/23b989cb577278a97e1cf1636649c8a3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><h2 id=\"id_2417699240\">The bull case for Grab</h2><p>I&#39;m initiating Grab at a <strong>buy </strong>(I&#39;m long on Uber as well, but to me, Grab gives us completely different exposure to an entirely different and faster-growing market: akin to investing in Sea (SE) as well as in Amazon (AMZN).</p><p>To me, here are the key tenets of the bull case for Grab:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Grab operates in the fast-growing &#34;tiger economies&#34; of Southeast Asia. </strong>Population growth and economic development are quickly taking hold in Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines - where Grab operates, alongside Singapore (a highly developed and more mature country), Cambodia, and Myanmar. Grab&#39;s services are available in more than 500 cities and towns in this vibrant region.</p></li><li><p><strong>Profitability is starting to take hold in deliveries. </strong>Uber experienced a major milestone when its deliveries business hit profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis during COVID; Grab is just now hitting that threshold with a plan to more than double adjusted EBITDA margins going forward (more details in the next section).</p></li><li><p><strong>Financial services- </strong>Unlike Uber, Grab is positioned to be a mega-app for all consumer needs, including finance in Southeast Asia. The company both lends as well as operates a point-of-sale and payments platform that increases its monetization capacity.</p></li><li><p><strong>Ample liquidity- </strong>The company has more than $5 billion of net liquidity on its books, giving it plenty of financial firepower to invest in its growth.</p></li></ul><p>A look at the company overall: as shown below, the company recently re-organized into four segments: deliveries, mobility, financial services, and other.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb2e6339140970c59ebb1269c61975f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p><p>Grab segments (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>Of all of these, Deliveries is by far the largest, generating roughly two-thirds of the company&#39;s GMV and a similar proportion of revenue: but to date, it has lagged in profitability, which is quickly changing. Mobility, the more mature business, is already generating a greater than 50% adjusted EBITDA margin on revenue. And today, financials services is still generating a small amount of revenue, but it&#39;s quickly ramping toward profitability as well. <strong>We note that the business mix here is more weighted toward deliveries than Uber, which is roughly split half-and-half between Mobility and Delivery.</strong></p><p>The bottom line here: in my view, Grab operates a very attractive set of businesses in a very fast-growing region. I&#39;d take the chance to buy this stock as a long-term hold on the next dip.</p><h4 id=\"id_1024783460\">The path to profitability for Deliveries</h4><p>The number-one catalyst for Grab at the moment is the operating leverage it is beginning to see in its delivery segment. In its most recent quarter, Q1, Grab&#39;s deliveries segment saw 16% constant-currency growth in GMV to $2.7 billion, while revenue grew at a faster 24% y/y pace to $350 million (note that while Grab is headquartered in Singapore, it is listed on the NASDAQ in the U.S. after merging with a SPAC in 2021, and it reports its financials in U.S. dollars).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7000dfa3186c25fa184a934c68469cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"335\"/></p><p>Grab deliveries results (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>Comparisons to Uber are inevitable, so we&#39;ll note here that Uber grew at a similar 17% constant-currency growth rate in gross bookings in Q1 (though it&#39;s much larger, with ~$18 billion in delivery bookings and ~$40 billion in total bookings across its mobility, delivery, and freight segments).</p><p>Yet, the more exciting piece is not the double-digit growth, but the rapid adjusted EBITDA expansion. The company gained <strong>240bps y/y </strong>of adjusted EBITDA margin driven by economies of scale, and the company isn&#39;t done yet: it aims for a 4%+ margin in the long haul via improving marketplace operations and gaining economies of scale on advertising.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de41ee11c1e529771abdaec4e206fe40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\"/></p><p>Grab deliveries path to profitability (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>One of the key initiatives that has pushed Deliveries toward success is Saver. Similar to its U.S. Uber counterpart, Saver allows customers to pay a lower delivery fee in exchange for a longer wait time. On Grab&#39;s part, this allows the company not only to offer a lower price, but to optimize its order fulfillment more efficiently.</p><p>The company notes that customers who opt for Saver order 1.8x more frequently than those who don&#39;t. The company additionally notes that 25% of its users join via a Saver delivery, creating top of the funnel marketing opportunities for users that have strong retention.</p><p>Another driver for boosted profitability in Delivery is advertising revenue (which, as seen in the profitability bridge above, will be a core catalyst to get the company to its target 4% adjusted EBITDA margin). Total advertisers on the Grab platform grew 46% y/y, and average spend increased 1.5x.</p><h4 id=\"id_1678847377\">Mobility and Financial Services</h4><p>The beauty of Grab, however, is that it&#39;s a multipronged business, and all of its businesses are growing like weeds.</p><p>As shown in the chart below, Mobility/rideshare GMV grew 30% y/y on a constant-currency basis to $1.55 billion, while revenue also grew at a 30% constant-currency pace to $247 million:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bee23775d24c35cb2a5e2b63d5ff2189\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\"/></p><p>Grab mobility (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>Now, this segment is already at a 8.9% adjusted EBITDA margin on GMV, which is in line with the company&#39;s long-term margin target of &#34;9%+.&#34; But it&#39;s the sheer growth in this segment, even at scale, that&#39;s impressive.</p><p>In particular, the company notes that inbound tourism to Southeast Asia is still below pre-COVID levels, giving the company an opportunity to grow alongside a tourism lift. Recently, the company has noticed an uplift from Chinese travelers as many Southeast Asian countries have introduced visa-free travel from Chinese citizens.</p><p>And in financial services, the company&#39;s loan portfolio continued to grow at a 64% y/y clip, while non-performing loans remained low at a 2% loss rate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd7fa8c5ed30e3334057005b35f7d116\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\"/></p><p>Grab loan portfolio (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>While still unprofitable, the Financial Services segment&#39;s -$28 million adjusted EBITDA loss improved 50% y/y relative to -$43 million in the year-ago Q1, driven by improved credit performance.</p><h2 id=\"id_308970134\">Valuation, risks and key takeaways</h2><p>For the current year, Grab is guiding to $2.70-$2.75 billion in consolidated revenue (14-17% y/y growth), and $250-$260 million in adjusted EBITDA, the midpoint of which represents a 10% consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin (against revenue) and an improvement from a rough breakeven -$22 million adjusted EBITDA in FY23.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b6748687833b5eb120ec2938d71374\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\"/></p><p>Grab outlook (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>At current share prices near $3.60, Grab has a market cap of $14.60 billion. We do note that the company has significant cash on its books, as shown below:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/85e089cfa904f67ae577edcbfdb9e52a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"/></p><p>Grab liquidity (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>After we net off the $5.03 billion of net cash on the company&#39;s most recent balance sheet, its resulting <strong>enterprise value is $9.57 billion.</strong></p><p>This puts Grab at a <strong>3.5x FY24 revenue multiple </strong>and a <strong>37x FY24 adjusted EBITDA multiple.</strong></p><p>Grab is still achieving plenty of operating leverage in its Deliveries segment, so it&#39;s too early to judge the company&#39;s valuation based on the bottom line. We note that Uber currently sits at a ~$137 billion market cap and a ~$127 billion enterprise value against consensus estimates for $43.1 billion in revenue this year, or a <strong>3.0x FY24 revenue multiple. </strong>I&#39;d argue that Grab&#39;s positioning in a faster-growing region than Uber, plus its addition of an attractive and still-scaling financial services business, affords it a bit of a premium.</p><p>There are risks to the bull case for Grab, of course. Though Uber has exited the region, there is still competition from homegrown competitors. In Indonesia, in particular, Grab has to compete against GoJek, which recently merged with Tokopedia to become an e-commerce/delivery powerhouse in Southeast Asia&#39;s largest economy. And on top of competition, macro is another big risk. Developing countries have been slower to recover in the global post-COVID recession; as previously noted, inbound travel has continued to be under historical levels.</p><p>To me, however, there is more reward than risk in this stock: buy here and stay long.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab: Southeast Asia's Rideshare Titan Deserves A Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab: Southeast Asia's Rideshare Titan Deserves A Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-27 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","SG9999004360.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Thrift Fund SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","IE0034224299.USD":"PINEBRIDGE ASIA EX JAPAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","SG9999002604.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore/Malaysia SGD","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","SG9999013486.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC A","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0048573645.USD":"富达东盟基金","GRAB":"Grab Holdings","SG9999014484.SGD":"Nikko AM ASEAN Equity Fund A SGD","LU0011850046.USD":"贝莱德全球长线股票 A2 USD","SG9999002414.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE TRUST (USD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","SG9999002679.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore Balanced SGD","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","SG9999018857.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Acc SGD-H","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","SGXZ58947870.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999018865.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Dist SGD-H","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","SG9999014880.SGD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc SGD"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2437194007","content_text":"Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims to double adjusted EBITDA margins in this space.Grab's multi-pronged business, including mobility and financial services, is growing rapidly and offers additional revenue streams.The company is still trading at a reasonable ~3.5x current-year revenue multiple, with multiple catalysts for further growth and margin expansion.fongfong2/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesIt's often said that investors typically view international companies with a discount in mind. That's an unfortunate oversight, especially when the S&P 500 is trading at all-time highs and is, at least in my view, in danger of a near-term correction. It's also misguided, especially when overseas companies - especially those operating in fast-growing developing markets - have much more long-term potential than their domestic counterparts.There's nothing truly original about Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB). It's not going to win any innovation awards for basically being Uber 2.0 in Southeast Asia: but it's going to win from operational excellence. The Singapore-based rideshare giant is so dominant in its home market that it forced Uber out in 2018, and since then, like Uber, it has built a business that thrives on synergies between its rideshare and food delivery services.Year to date, shares of Grab have risen just shy of ~15%, matching Uber's performance. In my view, however, there's plenty of upside left to go.Data by YChartsThe bull case for GrabI'm initiating Grab at a buy (I'm long on Uber as well, but to me, Grab gives us completely different exposure to an entirely different and faster-growing market: akin to investing in Sea (SE) as well as in Amazon (AMZN).To me, here are the key tenets of the bull case for Grab:Grab operates in the fast-growing \"tiger economies\" of Southeast Asia. Population growth and economic development are quickly taking hold in Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines - where Grab operates, alongside Singapore (a highly developed and more mature country), Cambodia, and Myanmar. Grab's services are available in more than 500 cities and towns in this vibrant region.Profitability is starting to take hold in deliveries. Uber experienced a major milestone when its deliveries business hit profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis during COVID; Grab is just now hitting that threshold with a plan to more than double adjusted EBITDA margins going forward (more details in the next section).Financial services- Unlike Uber, Grab is positioned to be a mega-app for all consumer needs, including finance in Southeast Asia. The company both lends as well as operates a point-of-sale and payments platform that increases its monetization capacity.Ample liquidity- The company has more than $5 billion of net liquidity on its books, giving it plenty of financial firepower to invest in its growth.A look at the company overall: as shown below, the company recently re-organized into four segments: deliveries, mobility, financial services, and other.Grab segments (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Of all of these, Deliveries is by far the largest, generating roughly two-thirds of the company's GMV and a similar proportion of revenue: but to date, it has lagged in profitability, which is quickly changing. Mobility, the more mature business, is already generating a greater than 50% adjusted EBITDA margin on revenue. And today, financials services is still generating a small amount of revenue, but it's quickly ramping toward profitability as well. We note that the business mix here is more weighted toward deliveries than Uber, which is roughly split half-and-half between Mobility and Delivery.The bottom line here: in my view, Grab operates a very attractive set of businesses in a very fast-growing region. I'd take the chance to buy this stock as a long-term hold on the next dip.The path to profitability for DeliveriesThe number-one catalyst for Grab at the moment is the operating leverage it is beginning to see in its delivery segment. In its most recent quarter, Q1, Grab's deliveries segment saw 16% constant-currency growth in GMV to $2.7 billion, while revenue grew at a faster 24% y/y pace to $350 million (note that while Grab is headquartered in Singapore, it is listed on the NASDAQ in the U.S. after merging with a SPAC in 2021, and it reports its financials in U.S. dollars).Grab deliveries results (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Comparisons to Uber are inevitable, so we'll note here that Uber grew at a similar 17% constant-currency growth rate in gross bookings in Q1 (though it's much larger, with ~$18 billion in delivery bookings and ~$40 billion in total bookings across its mobility, delivery, and freight segments).Yet, the more exciting piece is not the double-digit growth, but the rapid adjusted EBITDA expansion. The company gained 240bps y/y of adjusted EBITDA margin driven by economies of scale, and the company isn't done yet: it aims for a 4%+ margin in the long haul via improving marketplace operations and gaining economies of scale on advertising.Grab deliveries path to profitability (Grab Q1 earnings deck)One of the key initiatives that has pushed Deliveries toward success is Saver. Similar to its U.S. Uber counterpart, Saver allows customers to pay a lower delivery fee in exchange for a longer wait time. On Grab's part, this allows the company not only to offer a lower price, but to optimize its order fulfillment more efficiently.The company notes that customers who opt for Saver order 1.8x more frequently than those who don't. The company additionally notes that 25% of its users join via a Saver delivery, creating top of the funnel marketing opportunities for users that have strong retention.Another driver for boosted profitability in Delivery is advertising revenue (which, as seen in the profitability bridge above, will be a core catalyst to get the company to its target 4% adjusted EBITDA margin). Total advertisers on the Grab platform grew 46% y/y, and average spend increased 1.5x.Mobility and Financial ServicesThe beauty of Grab, however, is that it's a multipronged business, and all of its businesses are growing like weeds.As shown in the chart below, Mobility/rideshare GMV grew 30% y/y on a constant-currency basis to $1.55 billion, while revenue also grew at a 30% constant-currency pace to $247 million:Grab mobility (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Now, this segment is already at a 8.9% adjusted EBITDA margin on GMV, which is in line with the company's long-term margin target of \"9%+.\" But it's the sheer growth in this segment, even at scale, that's impressive.In particular, the company notes that inbound tourism to Southeast Asia is still below pre-COVID levels, giving the company an opportunity to grow alongside a tourism lift. Recently, the company has noticed an uplift from Chinese travelers as many Southeast Asian countries have introduced visa-free travel from Chinese citizens.And in financial services, the company's loan portfolio continued to grow at a 64% y/y clip, while non-performing loans remained low at a 2% loss rate.Grab loan portfolio (Grab Q1 earnings deck)While still unprofitable, the Financial Services segment's -$28 million adjusted EBITDA loss improved 50% y/y relative to -$43 million in the year-ago Q1, driven by improved credit performance.Valuation, risks and key takeawaysFor the current year, Grab is guiding to $2.70-$2.75 billion in consolidated revenue (14-17% y/y growth), and $250-$260 million in adjusted EBITDA, the midpoint of which represents a 10% consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin (against revenue) and an improvement from a rough breakeven -$22 million adjusted EBITDA in FY23.Grab outlook (Grab Q1 earnings deck)At current share prices near $3.60, Grab has a market cap of $14.60 billion. We do note that the company has significant cash on its books, as shown below:Grab liquidity (Grab Q1 earnings deck)After we net off the $5.03 billion of net cash on the company's most recent balance sheet, its resulting enterprise value is $9.57 billion.This puts Grab at a 3.5x FY24 revenue multiple and a 37x FY24 adjusted EBITDA multiple.Grab is still achieving plenty of operating leverage in its Deliveries segment, so it's too early to judge the company's valuation based on the bottom line. We note that Uber currently sits at a ~$137 billion market cap and a ~$127 billion enterprise value against consensus estimates for $43.1 billion in revenue this year, or a 3.0x FY24 revenue multiple. I'd argue that Grab's positioning in a faster-growing region than Uber, plus its addition of an attractive and still-scaling financial services business, affords it a bit of a premium.There are risks to the bull case for Grab, of course. Though Uber has exited the region, there is still competition from homegrown competitors. In Indonesia, in particular, Grab has to compete against GoJek, which recently merged with Tokopedia to become an e-commerce/delivery powerhouse in Southeast Asia's largest economy. And on top of competition, macro is another big risk. Developing countries have been slower to recover in the global post-COVID recession; as previously noted, inbound travel has continued to be under historical levels.To me, however, there is more reward than risk in this stock: buy here and stay long.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":310528879177920,"gmtCreate":1716822061686,"gmtModify":1716822417892,"author":{"id":"3581986423776840","authorId":"3581986423776840","name":"Hellboi","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c6492d17c338114916dbd0f53cba8c2","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3581986423776840","idStr":"3581986423776840"},"htmlText":"It's still not profitable.&nbsp;","listText":"It's still not profitable.&nbsp;","text":"It's still not profitable.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/310528879177920","repostId":2437194007,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2437194007","pubTimestamp":1716822000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2437194007?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-05-27 23:00","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Grab: Southeast Asia's Rideshare Titan Deserves A Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2437194007","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims t","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.</p></li><li><p>The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims to double adjusted EBITDA margins in this space.</p></li><li><p>Grab&#39;s multi-pronged business, including mobility and financial services, is growing rapidly and offers additional revenue streams.</p></li><li><p>The company is still trading at a reasonable ~3.5x current-year revenue multiple, with multiple catalysts for further growth and margin expansion.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c1924fb3513022ad504aaf51af8522e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>fongfong2/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</p><p>It&#39;s often said that investors typically view international companies with a discount in mind. That&#39;s an unfortunate oversight, especially when the S&amp;P 500 is trading at all-time highs and is, at least in my view, in danger of a near-term correction. It&#39;s also misguided, especially when overseas companies - especially those operating in fast-growing developing markets - have much more long-term potential than their domestic counterparts.</p><p>There&#39;s nothing truly original about Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB). It&#39;s not going to win any innovation awards for basically being Uber 2.0 in Southeast Asia: but it&#39;s going to win from operational excellence. The Singapore-based rideshare giant is so dominant in its home market that it forced Uber out in 2018, and since then, like Uber, it has built a business that thrives on synergies between its rideshare and food delivery services.</p><p>Year to date, shares of Grab have risen just shy of ~15%, matching Uber&#39;s performance. In my view, however, there&#39;s plenty of upside left to go.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/23b989cb577278a97e1cf1636649c8a3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><h2 id=\"id_2417699240\">The bull case for Grab</h2><p>I&#39;m initiating Grab at a <strong>buy </strong>(I&#39;m long on Uber as well, but to me, Grab gives us completely different exposure to an entirely different and faster-growing market: akin to investing in Sea (SE) as well as in Amazon (AMZN).</p><p>To me, here are the key tenets of the bull case for Grab:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Grab operates in the fast-growing &#34;tiger economies&#34; of Southeast Asia. </strong>Population growth and economic development are quickly taking hold in Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines - where Grab operates, alongside Singapore (a highly developed and more mature country), Cambodia, and Myanmar. Grab&#39;s services are available in more than 500 cities and towns in this vibrant region.</p></li><li><p><strong>Profitability is starting to take hold in deliveries. </strong>Uber experienced a major milestone when its deliveries business hit profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis during COVID; Grab is just now hitting that threshold with a plan to more than double adjusted EBITDA margins going forward (more details in the next section).</p></li><li><p><strong>Financial services- </strong>Unlike Uber, Grab is positioned to be a mega-app for all consumer needs, including finance in Southeast Asia. The company both lends as well as operates a point-of-sale and payments platform that increases its monetization capacity.</p></li><li><p><strong>Ample liquidity- </strong>The company has more than $5 billion of net liquidity on its books, giving it plenty of financial firepower to invest in its growth.</p></li></ul><p>A look at the company overall: as shown below, the company recently re-organized into four segments: deliveries, mobility, financial services, and other.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb2e6339140970c59ebb1269c61975f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p><p>Grab segments (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>Of all of these, Deliveries is by far the largest, generating roughly two-thirds of the company&#39;s GMV and a similar proportion of revenue: but to date, it has lagged in profitability, which is quickly changing. Mobility, the more mature business, is already generating a greater than 50% adjusted EBITDA margin on revenue. And today, financials services is still generating a small amount of revenue, but it&#39;s quickly ramping toward profitability as well. <strong>We note that the business mix here is more weighted toward deliveries than Uber, which is roughly split half-and-half between Mobility and Delivery.</strong></p><p>The bottom line here: in my view, Grab operates a very attractive set of businesses in a very fast-growing region. I&#39;d take the chance to buy this stock as a long-term hold on the next dip.</p><h4 id=\"id_1024783460\">The path to profitability for Deliveries</h4><p>The number-one catalyst for Grab at the moment is the operating leverage it is beginning to see in its delivery segment. In its most recent quarter, Q1, Grab&#39;s deliveries segment saw 16% constant-currency growth in GMV to $2.7 billion, while revenue grew at a faster 24% y/y pace to $350 million (note that while Grab is headquartered in Singapore, it is listed on the NASDAQ in the U.S. after merging with a SPAC in 2021, and it reports its financials in U.S. dollars).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7000dfa3186c25fa184a934c68469cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"335\"/></p><p>Grab deliveries results (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>Comparisons to Uber are inevitable, so we&#39;ll note here that Uber grew at a similar 17% constant-currency growth rate in gross bookings in Q1 (though it&#39;s much larger, with ~$18 billion in delivery bookings and ~$40 billion in total bookings across its mobility, delivery, and freight segments).</p><p>Yet, the more exciting piece is not the double-digit growth, but the rapid adjusted EBITDA expansion. The company gained <strong>240bps y/y </strong>of adjusted EBITDA margin driven by economies of scale, and the company isn&#39;t done yet: it aims for a 4%+ margin in the long haul via improving marketplace operations and gaining economies of scale on advertising.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/de41ee11c1e529771abdaec4e206fe40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\"/></p><p>Grab deliveries path to profitability (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>One of the key initiatives that has pushed Deliveries toward success is Saver. Similar to its U.S. Uber counterpart, Saver allows customers to pay a lower delivery fee in exchange for a longer wait time. On Grab&#39;s part, this allows the company not only to offer a lower price, but to optimize its order fulfillment more efficiently.</p><p>The company notes that customers who opt for Saver order 1.8x more frequently than those who don&#39;t. The company additionally notes that 25% of its users join via a Saver delivery, creating top of the funnel marketing opportunities for users that have strong retention.</p><p>Another driver for boosted profitability in Delivery is advertising revenue (which, as seen in the profitability bridge above, will be a core catalyst to get the company to its target 4% adjusted EBITDA margin). Total advertisers on the Grab platform grew 46% y/y, and average spend increased 1.5x.</p><h4 id=\"id_1678847377\">Mobility and Financial Services</h4><p>The beauty of Grab, however, is that it&#39;s a multipronged business, and all of its businesses are growing like weeds.</p><p>As shown in the chart below, Mobility/rideshare GMV grew 30% y/y on a constant-currency basis to $1.55 billion, while revenue also grew at a 30% constant-currency pace to $247 million:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bee23775d24c35cb2a5e2b63d5ff2189\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\"/></p><p>Grab mobility (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>Now, this segment is already at a 8.9% adjusted EBITDA margin on GMV, which is in line with the company&#39;s long-term margin target of &#34;9%+.&#34; But it&#39;s the sheer growth in this segment, even at scale, that&#39;s impressive.</p><p>In particular, the company notes that inbound tourism to Southeast Asia is still below pre-COVID levels, giving the company an opportunity to grow alongside a tourism lift. Recently, the company has noticed an uplift from Chinese travelers as many Southeast Asian countries have introduced visa-free travel from Chinese citizens.</p><p>And in financial services, the company&#39;s loan portfolio continued to grow at a 64% y/y clip, while non-performing loans remained low at a 2% loss rate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd7fa8c5ed30e3334057005b35f7d116\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\"/></p><p>Grab loan portfolio (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>While still unprofitable, the Financial Services segment&#39;s -$28 million adjusted EBITDA loss improved 50% y/y relative to -$43 million in the year-ago Q1, driven by improved credit performance.</p><h2 id=\"id_308970134\">Valuation, risks and key takeaways</h2><p>For the current year, Grab is guiding to $2.70-$2.75 billion in consolidated revenue (14-17% y/y growth), and $250-$260 million in adjusted EBITDA, the midpoint of which represents a 10% consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin (against revenue) and an improvement from a rough breakeven -$22 million adjusted EBITDA in FY23.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b6748687833b5eb120ec2938d71374\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\"/></p><p>Grab outlook (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>At current share prices near $3.60, Grab has a market cap of $14.60 billion. We do note that the company has significant cash on its books, as shown below:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/85e089cfa904f67ae577edcbfdb9e52a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"/></p><p>Grab liquidity (Grab Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>After we net off the $5.03 billion of net cash on the company&#39;s most recent balance sheet, its resulting <strong>enterprise value is $9.57 billion.</strong></p><p>This puts Grab at a <strong>3.5x FY24 revenue multiple </strong>and a <strong>37x FY24 adjusted EBITDA multiple.</strong></p><p>Grab is still achieving plenty of operating leverage in its Deliveries segment, so it&#39;s too early to judge the company&#39;s valuation based on the bottom line. We note that Uber currently sits at a ~$137 billion market cap and a ~$127 billion enterprise value against consensus estimates for $43.1 billion in revenue this year, or a <strong>3.0x FY24 revenue multiple. </strong>I&#39;d argue that Grab&#39;s positioning in a faster-growing region than Uber, plus its addition of an attractive and still-scaling financial services business, affords it a bit of a premium.</p><p>There are risks to the bull case for Grab, of course. Though Uber has exited the region, there is still competition from homegrown competitors. In Indonesia, in particular, Grab has to compete against GoJek, which recently merged with Tokopedia to become an e-commerce/delivery powerhouse in Southeast Asia&#39;s largest economy. And on top of competition, macro is another big risk. Developing countries have been slower to recover in the global post-COVID recession; as previously noted, inbound travel has continued to be under historical levels.</p><p>To me, however, there is more reward than risk in this stock: buy here and stay long.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab: Southeast Asia's Rideshare Titan Deserves A Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab: Southeast Asia's Rideshare Titan Deserves A Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-27 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","SG9999004360.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Thrift Fund SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","IE0034224299.USD":"PINEBRIDGE ASIA EX JAPAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","SG9999002604.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore/Malaysia SGD","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","SG9999013486.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC A","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0048573645.USD":"富达东盟基金","GRAB":"Grab Holdings","SG9999014484.SGD":"Nikko AM ASEAN Equity Fund A SGD","LU0011850046.USD":"贝莱德全球长线股票 A2 USD","SG9999002414.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE TRUST (USD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","SG9999002679.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore Balanced SGD","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","SG9999018857.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Acc SGD-H","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","SGXZ58947870.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999018865.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Dist SGD-H","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","SG9999014880.SGD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc SGD"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695357-grab-southeast-asias-rideshare-titan-deserves-a-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2437194007","content_text":"Grab, the Singapore-based rideshare giant, has significant long-term potential in the fast-growing Southeast Asian market.The company is experiencing profitability in its deliveries segment and aims to double adjusted EBITDA margins in this space.Grab's multi-pronged business, including mobility and financial services, is growing rapidly and offers additional revenue streams.The company is still trading at a reasonable ~3.5x current-year revenue multiple, with multiple catalysts for further growth and margin expansion.fongfong2/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesIt's often said that investors typically view international companies with a discount in mind. That's an unfortunate oversight, especially when the S&P 500 is trading at all-time highs and is, at least in my view, in danger of a near-term correction. It's also misguided, especially when overseas companies - especially those operating in fast-growing developing markets - have much more long-term potential than their domestic counterparts.There's nothing truly original about Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB). It's not going to win any innovation awards for basically being Uber 2.0 in Southeast Asia: but it's going to win from operational excellence. The Singapore-based rideshare giant is so dominant in its home market that it forced Uber out in 2018, and since then, like Uber, it has built a business that thrives on synergies between its rideshare and food delivery services.Year to date, shares of Grab have risen just shy of ~15%, matching Uber's performance. In my view, however, there's plenty of upside left to go.Data by YChartsThe bull case for GrabI'm initiating Grab at a buy (I'm long on Uber as well, but to me, Grab gives us completely different exposure to an entirely different and faster-growing market: akin to investing in Sea (SE) as well as in Amazon (AMZN).To me, here are the key tenets of the bull case for Grab:Grab operates in the fast-growing \"tiger economies\" of Southeast Asia. Population growth and economic development are quickly taking hold in Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines - where Grab operates, alongside Singapore (a highly developed and more mature country), Cambodia, and Myanmar. Grab's services are available in more than 500 cities and towns in this vibrant region.Profitability is starting to take hold in deliveries. Uber experienced a major milestone when its deliveries business hit profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis during COVID; Grab is just now hitting that threshold with a plan to more than double adjusted EBITDA margins going forward (more details in the next section).Financial services- Unlike Uber, Grab is positioned to be a mega-app for all consumer needs, including finance in Southeast Asia. The company both lends as well as operates a point-of-sale and payments platform that increases its monetization capacity.Ample liquidity- The company has more than $5 billion of net liquidity on its books, giving it plenty of financial firepower to invest in its growth.A look at the company overall: as shown below, the company recently re-organized into four segments: deliveries, mobility, financial services, and other.Grab segments (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Of all of these, Deliveries is by far the largest, generating roughly two-thirds of the company's GMV and a similar proportion of revenue: but to date, it has lagged in profitability, which is quickly changing. Mobility, the more mature business, is already generating a greater than 50% adjusted EBITDA margin on revenue. And today, financials services is still generating a small amount of revenue, but it's quickly ramping toward profitability as well. We note that the business mix here is more weighted toward deliveries than Uber, which is roughly split half-and-half between Mobility and Delivery.The bottom line here: in my view, Grab operates a very attractive set of businesses in a very fast-growing region. I'd take the chance to buy this stock as a long-term hold on the next dip.The path to profitability for DeliveriesThe number-one catalyst for Grab at the moment is the operating leverage it is beginning to see in its delivery segment. In its most recent quarter, Q1, Grab's deliveries segment saw 16% constant-currency growth in GMV to $2.7 billion, while revenue grew at a faster 24% y/y pace to $350 million (note that while Grab is headquartered in Singapore, it is listed on the NASDAQ in the U.S. after merging with a SPAC in 2021, and it reports its financials in U.S. dollars).Grab deliveries results (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Comparisons to Uber are inevitable, so we'll note here that Uber grew at a similar 17% constant-currency growth rate in gross bookings in Q1 (though it's much larger, with ~$18 billion in delivery bookings and ~$40 billion in total bookings across its mobility, delivery, and freight segments).Yet, the more exciting piece is not the double-digit growth, but the rapid adjusted EBITDA expansion. The company gained 240bps y/y of adjusted EBITDA margin driven by economies of scale, and the company isn't done yet: it aims for a 4%+ margin in the long haul via improving marketplace operations and gaining economies of scale on advertising.Grab deliveries path to profitability (Grab Q1 earnings deck)One of the key initiatives that has pushed Deliveries toward success is Saver. Similar to its U.S. Uber counterpart, Saver allows customers to pay a lower delivery fee in exchange for a longer wait time. On Grab's part, this allows the company not only to offer a lower price, but to optimize its order fulfillment more efficiently.The company notes that customers who opt for Saver order 1.8x more frequently than those who don't. The company additionally notes that 25% of its users join via a Saver delivery, creating top of the funnel marketing opportunities for users that have strong retention.Another driver for boosted profitability in Delivery is advertising revenue (which, as seen in the profitability bridge above, will be a core catalyst to get the company to its target 4% adjusted EBITDA margin). Total advertisers on the Grab platform grew 46% y/y, and average spend increased 1.5x.Mobility and Financial ServicesThe beauty of Grab, however, is that it's a multipronged business, and all of its businesses are growing like weeds.As shown in the chart below, Mobility/rideshare GMV grew 30% y/y on a constant-currency basis to $1.55 billion, while revenue also grew at a 30% constant-currency pace to $247 million:Grab mobility (Grab Q1 earnings deck)Now, this segment is already at a 8.9% adjusted EBITDA margin on GMV, which is in line with the company's long-term margin target of \"9%+.\" But it's the sheer growth in this segment, even at scale, that's impressive.In particular, the company notes that inbound tourism to Southeast Asia is still below pre-COVID levels, giving the company an opportunity to grow alongside a tourism lift. Recently, the company has noticed an uplift from Chinese travelers as many Southeast Asian countries have introduced visa-free travel from Chinese citizens.And in financial services, the company's loan portfolio continued to grow at a 64% y/y clip, while non-performing loans remained low at a 2% loss rate.Grab loan portfolio (Grab Q1 earnings deck)While still unprofitable, the Financial Services segment's -$28 million adjusted EBITDA loss improved 50% y/y relative to -$43 million in the year-ago Q1, driven by improved credit performance.Valuation, risks and key takeawaysFor the current year, Grab is guiding to $2.70-$2.75 billion in consolidated revenue (14-17% y/y growth), and $250-$260 million in adjusted EBITDA, the midpoint of which represents a 10% consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin (against revenue) and an improvement from a rough breakeven -$22 million adjusted EBITDA in FY23.Grab outlook (Grab Q1 earnings deck)At current share prices near $3.60, Grab has a market cap of $14.60 billion. We do note that the company has significant cash on its books, as shown below:Grab liquidity (Grab Q1 earnings deck)After we net off the $5.03 billion of net cash on the company's most recent balance sheet, its resulting enterprise value is $9.57 billion.This puts Grab at a 3.5x FY24 revenue multiple and a 37x FY24 adjusted EBITDA multiple.Grab is still achieving plenty of operating leverage in its Deliveries segment, so it's too early to judge the company's valuation based on the bottom line. We note that Uber currently sits at a ~$137 billion market cap and a ~$127 billion enterprise value against consensus estimates for $43.1 billion in revenue this year, or a 3.0x FY24 revenue multiple. I'd argue that Grab's positioning in a faster-growing region than Uber, plus its addition of an attractive and still-scaling financial services business, affords it a bit of a premium.There are risks to the bull case for Grab, of course. Though Uber has exited the region, there is still competition from homegrown competitors. In Indonesia, in particular, Grab has to compete against GoJek, which recently merged with Tokopedia to become an e-commerce/delivery powerhouse in Southeast Asia's largest economy. And on top of competition, macro is another big risk. Developing countries have been slower to recover in the global post-COVID recession; as previously noted, inbound travel has continued to be under historical levels.To me, however, there is more reward than risk in this stock: buy here and stay long.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":18,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2437194007"}