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Win8333

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05-03

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$

2023-10-09

Almost a sure-thing inflation would rebound, with oil price raising further due to production cuts, winter seasons, and the latest middle-east war that could last as long as Russia/Ukraine war. Be prepared for FED raising interest to 6% and above. Corporate bankrupts will follow and worst, a banking crisis. To some, its an opportunity, to others?

Middle East Violence, September Inflation Data, JPMorgan Chase, Pepsi, Delta, and More to Watch This Week

2023-07-26

I am 100% agreeable with your analysis. The FED would like a higher interest rate to adversely damage China and it's economic growth. To kill 2 birds with 1 stone. Not to forget the commercial and property loan defaults that have yet rocked the global banking sectors.

The Fed Should Continue Hiking Past 6%

2023-07-05

$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$ For goodness sake, increase your tariff so your share price will go up. Don't be a sissy.

2023-06-27

Don't pay too much attention to these junior analysts. One way or another SIA shares will correct to below $7 and move up again if the next announcement on 27 July 23 is better than the last. So, sell, wait, buy, hold and sell. BTW, we are already in technical recession. But travelling is part of Singaporean. During period of unemployment, people travel to recharge.

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-06-21

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ Voted best airlines in the world. Singaporean should be proud of our home-grown airline. Back by Singapore government. Highest profit in its history. The rightful price is $9, back to pre-Covid $.

2023-06-20

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ still below pre-Covid $9, consider best performance in the history of SIA. Their share price deserved the $9 again.

2023-06-17

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$

2023-06-17

The bigger the firm like Morgan, the less we should believe them, make your own judgement.

Singapore Airlines Slides 1.77% After Morgan Stanley Slashes Rating

2022-10-16

How to believe in credit suisse?

Apple to Benefit From iPhone 14 Pro Strength, Credit Suisse Says

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/301954372767768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":228490500448296,"gmtCreate":1696811657665,"gmtModify":1696816304542,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Almost a sure-thing inflation would rebound, with oil price raising further due to production cuts, winter seasons, and the latest&nbsp;middle-east 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That would bring the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.6% and 4.1%, respectively, both lower than in August.</p><p>The BLS will also report the producer price index on Wednesday. The headline PPI is expected to be up 1.6% year over year and the core PPI is seen rising 2.3%. Federal Reserve watchers will closely parse the minutes from the central bank&#39;s mid-September policy meeting after their release on Wednesday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for September, then on Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for October.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Middle East Violence is under way, the lastest news is that Israeli troops engaged in fierce fighting throughout Sunday to regain control of swaths of the country’s south after Hamas militants flooded in from Gaza, with the military struggling to reseal the border to further incursions.</p><p>Monday, 10/9</p><p>Bond markets are closed for the Columbus Day holiday. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange have regular trading hours.</p><p>Tuesday 10/10</p><p>PepsiCo reports third-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> and HP Inc. hold investor meetings.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for September. Expectations are for a 91.4 reading, roughly even with the August figure.</p><p>Wednesday 10/11</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary-policy meeting.</p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for September. The consensus estimate is for the PPI to increase 1.6% year over year, unchanged from August. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 2.3%, one-tenth of a percentage point more than previously.</p><p>Thursday 10/12</p><p>Delta Air Lines, Domino&#39;s Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>Hormel Foods hosts its 2023 investor day.</p><p>The BLS releases the consumer price index for September. Economists forecast that the CPI will increase 3.6% from a year earlier, while the core CPI is seen rising 4.1%. This compares with gains of 3.7% and 4.3%, respectively, in August. The annual change in the core CPI is at its lowest level since September 2021, and 2.3 percentage points less than its postpandemic peak from September 2022.</p><p>Friday 10/13</p><p>BlackRock, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PNC Financial Services Group, UnitedHealth Group, and Wells Fargo announce earnings.</p><p>The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Survey for October. The consensus call is for a 67 reading, about one point less than in September. Consumers&#39; expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 3.2% in September, the lowest level since March of 2021, showing that inflation expectations remain well anchored.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73008c7e2a01637719a7fcf07c28888\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Middle East Violence, September Inflation Data, JPMorgan Chase, Pepsi, Delta, and More to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMiddle East Violence, September Inflation Data, JPMorgan Chase, Pepsi, Delta, and More to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-10-09 07:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>September inflation data and the start of earnings season are the highlights for investors this week. The stock market will be open on Monday, but U.S. bond markets will be closed.</p><p>The unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season comes on Friday, with results from several big banks. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all reporting before the market opens, as will BlackRock and UnitedHealth Group.</p><p>Other companies publishing results this week include PepsiCo on Tuesday, then Delta Air Lines, Domino&#39;s Pizza, Fastenal, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> on Thursday.</p><p>On Thursday, all eyes will be on the Bureau of Labor Statistics&#39; consumer price index for September. On average, economists are predicting increases of 0.3% in both the headline CPI and the core CPI, which excludes food and energy components. That would bring the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.6% and 4.1%, respectively, both lower than in August.</p><p>The BLS will also report the producer price index on Wednesday. The headline PPI is expected to be up 1.6% year over year and the core PPI is seen rising 2.3%. Federal Reserve watchers will closely parse the minutes from the central bank&#39;s mid-September policy meeting after their release on Wednesday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for September, then on Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for October.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Middle East Violence is under way, the lastest news is that Israeli troops engaged in fierce fighting throughout Sunday to regain control of swaths of the country’s south after Hamas militants flooded in from Gaza, with the military struggling to reseal the border to further incursions.</p><p>Monday, 10/9</p><p>Bond markets are closed for the Columbus Day holiday. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange have regular trading hours.</p><p>Tuesday 10/10</p><p>PepsiCo reports third-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> and HP Inc. hold investor meetings.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for September. Expectations are for a 91.4 reading, roughly even with the August figure.</p><p>Wednesday 10/11</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary-policy meeting.</p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for September. The consensus estimate is for the PPI to increase 1.6% year over year, unchanged from August. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 2.3%, one-tenth of a percentage point more than previously.</p><p>Thursday 10/12</p><p>Delta Air Lines, Domino&#39;s Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>Hormel Foods hosts its 2023 investor day.</p><p>The BLS releases the consumer price index for September. Economists forecast that the CPI will increase 3.6% from a year earlier, while the core CPI is seen rising 4.1%. This compares with gains of 3.7% and 4.3%, respectively, in August. The annual change in the core CPI is at its lowest level since September 2021, and 2.3 percentage points less than its postpandemic peak from September 2022.</p><p>Friday 10/13</p><p>BlackRock, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PNC Financial Services Group, UnitedHealth Group, and Wells Fargo announce earnings.</p><p>The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Survey for October. The consensus call is for a 67 reading, about one point less than in September. Consumers&#39; expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 3.2% in September, the lowest level since March of 2021, showing that inflation expectations remain well anchored.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73008c7e2a01637719a7fcf07c28888\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐","FAST":"快扣","JPM":"摩根大通","ADBE":"Adobe","UNH":"联合健康"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2374551229","content_text":"September inflation data and the start of earnings season are the highlights for investors this week. The stock market will be open on Monday, but U.S. bond markets will be closed.The unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season comes on Friday, with results from several big banks. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all reporting before the market opens, as will BlackRock and UnitedHealth Group.Other companies publishing results this week include PepsiCo on Tuesday, then Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance on Thursday.On Thursday, all eyes will be on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer price index for September. On average, economists are predicting increases of 0.3% in both the headline CPI and the core CPI, which excludes food and energy components. That would bring the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.6% and 4.1%, respectively, both lower than in August.The BLS will also report the producer price index on Wednesday. The headline PPI is expected to be up 1.6% year over year and the core PPI is seen rising 2.3%. Federal Reserve watchers will closely parse the minutes from the central bank's mid-September policy meeting after their release on Wednesday.Other economic data out this week will include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for September, then on Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for October.Meanwhile, the Middle East Violence is under way, the lastest news is that Israeli troops engaged in fierce fighting throughout Sunday to regain control of swaths of the country’s south after Hamas militants flooded in from Gaza, with the military struggling to reseal the border to further incursions.Monday, 10/9Bond markets are closed for the Columbus Day holiday. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange have regular trading hours.Tuesday 10/10PepsiCo reports third-quarter fiscal-2023 results.Adobe and HP Inc. hold investor meetings.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for September. Expectations are for a 91.4 reading, roughly even with the August figure.Wednesday 10/11The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary-policy meeting.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for September. The consensus estimate is for the PPI to increase 1.6% year over year, unchanged from August. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 2.3%, one-tenth of a percentage point more than previously.Thursday 10/12Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.Hormel Foods hosts its 2023 investor day.The BLS releases the consumer price index for September. Economists forecast that the CPI will increase 3.6% from a year earlier, while the core CPI is seen rising 4.1%. This compares with gains of 3.7% and 4.3%, respectively, in August. The annual change in the core CPI is at its lowest level since September 2021, and 2.3 percentage points less than its postpandemic peak from September 2022.Friday 10/13BlackRock, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PNC Financial Services Group, UnitedHealth Group, and Wells Fargo announce earnings.The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Survey for October. The consensus call is for a 67 reading, about one point less than in September. Consumers' expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 3.2% in September, the lowest level since March of 2021, showing that inflation expectations remain well anchored.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":202105039384712,"gmtCreate":1690375470117,"gmtModify":1690376773072,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am 100% agreeable with your analysis. &nbsp;The FED would like a higher interest rate to adversely damage&nbsp;China and it's economic growth. To kill 2 birds with 1 stone.&nbsp;&nbsp;Not to&nbsp;forget the commercial and property&nbsp;loan defaults that have yet rocked the global banking sectors.","listText":"I am 100% agreeable with your analysis. &nbsp;The FED would like a higher interest rate to adversely damage&nbsp;China and it's economic growth. To kill 2 birds with 1 stone.&nbsp;&nbsp;Not to&nbsp;forget the commercial and property&nbsp;loan defaults that have yet rocked the global banking sectors.","text":"I am 100% agreeable with your analysis. The FED would like a higher interest rate to adversely damage China and it's economic growth. To kill 2 birds with 1 stone. Not to forget the commercial and property loan defaults that have yet rocked the global banking sectors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/202105039384712","repostId":"2354462003","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2354462003","pubTimestamp":1690385188,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2354462003?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-07-26 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Should Continue Hiking Past 6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2354462003","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Chip Somodevilla The target is 2% inflation over time Here is the key sentence from the June FOMC meeting statement: In determining the extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate to return inflation to 2 percent over time, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments. But what is the most important part in this statement that gives the clue about future monetary policy?It's bolded - it's \"over-time\". The Fed aims to return inflation to 2% over time. What does it mean?It means that the Fed could decide to pause the interest rate hiking cycle with core CPI inflation still elevated at 4.8%, if the conditions are set for inflation to fall to 2% over time. This is essentially what the soft-landing crowd is expecting - the Fed will pause after the July hike to 5.35%, despite the fact that core inflation remains elevated at","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_1250867344\">The target is 2% inflation over time</h2><p>Here is the key sentence from the June FOMC meeting statement:</p><blockquote>In determining the extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate to return inflation to 2 percent <strong>over time</strong>, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments.</blockquote><p>But what is the most important part in this statement that gives the clue about future monetary policy? It&#39;s bolded - it&#39;s &#34;over-time&#34;. The Fed aims to return inflation to 2% over time. What does it mean?</p><p>It means that the Fed could decide to pause the interest rate hiking cycle with core CPI inflation still elevated at 4.8%, if the conditions are set for inflation to fall to 2% over time.</p><p>This is essentially what the soft-landing crowd is expecting - the Fed will pause after the July hike to 5.35%, despite the fact that core inflation remains elevated at 4.8%. Why? Because inflation is on the way down, and it will likely fall to 2% in the near future. And, of course, the economy will avoid falling into a recession because the Fed will start cutting interest rates as inflation continues falling in 2024.</p><p>But, it also means that the Fed could continue hiking interest rates even if inflation falls faster than expected - if the conditions don&#39;t favor a stable 2% inflation over time.</p><p>The June CPI report showed that core CPI increased only by 0.2% month-over-month, and 4.8% over the last 12 months. If the core CPI continues to rise by 0.2% each month, the core CPI will be at 2.5% by July 2024, which is still above the 2% target, so you would need to have a few months with 0.1% core CPI month over month to get to 2%. That&#39;s what the soft-landing scenario is expecting.</p><p>The problem with the soft-landing scenario is that the Fed&#39;s own Inflation Nowcast expects that core CPI will rise by 0.4% in July. Obviously, the conditions for core inflation to return to 2% over time are not there yet. Thus, despite the soft June CPI report, I believe the Fed has to continue hiking.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d9be1802471aab595b103c745d0b12c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"194\"/></p><p>Cleveland Fed</p><h2 id=\"id_2676259712\">But what are the necessary conditions for inflation to return to 2% over time?</h2><p>The price is a function of supply and demand, it&#39;s a very simple economic concept. So, generally, there has to be a supply/demand balance economy wide. Specifically, there has to be an ample supply of 1) labor and 2) input materials, for production to meet the underlying demand.</p><p>The US currently has a major labor shortage with full employment (unemployment rate at 3.6%) and nearly 10M job openings. Obviously, the supply of labor is limited, which is causing wage price inflation, and translating into a service price inflation.</p><p>The Fed simply cannot stop hiking as long as there is a labor shortage, because the risk is that core inflation would continue rising over time.</p><p>So, what&#39;s causing the labor shortage? On the supply side, one of the main issues is demographics - the large segment of population (baby boomers) is exiting the labor force and retiring. Second, due to the unfolding trend of deglobalization, the US has stricter immigration policy which is slowing the labor force growth. On the demand side, and also due to deglobalization, the US is reshoring some jobs back home from China. The Fed cannot control the trends in demographics and deglobalization issues, and these structural longer-term trends. Thus, the labor market conditions will be out of balance for the foreseeable future.</p><p>The unfolding trend of deglobalization is also creating the risk for commodity price spikes, and the shortage of key input materials. These risks are even more extreme due to the fact that deglobalization is associated with geopolitical tensions, which increase the risk of cold wars, proxy wars, and direct military confrontations between the main global powers.</p><p>For example, Russia exited the Black Sea Grain Initiative agreement, which pushed the price of wheat limit up in the futures market last week. Saudi Arabia is cutting the oil supplies to boost the price of oil. China imposed export controls on two strategic raw materials that are critical to the global chipmaking industry. These events are part of the broader trend which is likely to persist in the foreseeable future.</p><p>Obviously, these are not conditions where inflation is expected to fall to 2% over time. In fact, it&#39;s reasonable to conclude that we are currently still in a high inflationary environment.</p><h2 id=\"id_2678714004\">What should the Fed do?</h2><p>The Fed only directly controls the demand side of the equation, and the supply side problems can only be countered with declining demand to restore price stability. That means a recession.</p><p>Specifically, that means that the Fed needs to keep tightening monetary policy until the unemployment rate increases. The Fed has set the target of 4.1% unemployment rate for 2023 and 4.5% for 2024.</p><p>The Fed helped invert the yield curve, which is expected to cause credit tightness, which is expected to cause less investment, and thus, higher unemployment. So, now we are in the process of waiting for the lagged effects of this monetary policy transmission to the real economy. We are waiting for the clear signs of a recession.</p><p>The Fed decided to skip hiking interest rates in June to evaluate these lagged effects, and apparently decided to continue increasing interest rates at a much slower pace. Thus, the Fed is set to increase interest rates at the July meeting, and indicated that an additional 25bpt hike might be required in fall.</p><p>The lagged effects are already evident as the Redbook weekly retail sales are turning negative year over year, as well as industrial production. The labor market is showing some cracks with the (volatile) trend of higher weekly claims, but this is still insufficient.</p><p>The Fed is actually a very powerful institution with a broad geopolitical reach. The only way to really ensure a stable inflation rate over time is to directly address the underlying trends, particularly with the respect to deglobalization.</p><p>Specifically, I think the Fed should continue hiking well past 6% to induce a deep recession in the US, which would 1) crash oil price and weaken the oil revenue dependent Russia and other adversaries, 2) seriously weaken the export dependent Chinese economy.</p><p>Thus, by overtightening, the Fed would directly address the demand side of the equation via a higher unemployment rate, and indirectly affect the supply side by inducing economic barriers to deglobalization.</p><p>This is exactly what the Fed did in 1970s and especially in the early 1980s, when it hiked well above the core PCE inflation. Here is the chart, it&#39;s obvious that the current level of Federal Funds rate (red line) is not high enough in my opinion:</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81d60a7769c56493157af148c045b0f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"270\"/></p><p>FRED</p><p>Now considering the Taylor Rule for determining the appropriate level for Federal Funds rate, the different scenarios suggest that the Federal Funds rate should be somewhere between 6.5% and 7.5%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d880c43218ed20ce7dde7739e111e909\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\"/></p><p>Atlanta Fed</p><h2 id=\"id_221054489\">What will the Fed do?</h2><p>The Fed is still behind based on the Taylor rule. We are in a high-inflationary environment characterized by a demographic time-bomb, de-globalization, a real war, a brewing war. These are the facts.</p><p>But the Fed is currently a conflicted institution in my view, where the major hawk Bullard actually quit the FOMC and the Fed, and is apparently being replaced by a dove.</p><p>The Fed has decided to take it slowly and to be data dependent, hoping that something will change over time. The Fed might be afraid of overtightening, but I think that&#39;s exactly what the Fed should do - overtighten. The Fed needs to create the conditions for inflation to return to 2% over time, no other way around it.</p><p>Alternatively, and this is becoming a baseline scenario on Wall Street, the Fed has to abandon the 2% target.</p><h2 id=\"id_3540477570\">Implications</h2><p>The stock market (SP500) has been rising since October 2022 in expectation of the Fed pivot - pause and a cut. These expectations are based on the recent memory of the 2000-2020 period, during which the US was in a low inflation environment. Actually, it was more of a disinflationary or even deflationary environment caused by globalization - abundant global labor force, cheap imports, etc.</p><p>But things have changed, we are in a high-inflationary environment now - just look at the headlines. The Fed has the mandate of 2% inflation over time, and that means the Fed will have no choice but to overtighten.</p><p>A soft-landing is a hope, and the market can run on a hope for some time. But, I believe the reality will set in. In fact, even the current earnings season for Q2 2023 has seen contracting margins, declining sales, and the third quarter of lower earnings.</p><p>The earnings projections are that earnings will start growing in Q4 2023, and over the entire 2024. That&#39;s based on a soft-landing scenario, so based on hope in my opinion. The trend of lower sales, lower margins, and lower earning is likely to continue in the foreseeable future, as the lagged effects of the recent monetary policy tightening intensify, while inflation continues to be elevated, forcing the Fed to continue to tighten the monetary policy likely past 6%.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Should Continue Hiking Past 6%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Should Continue Hiking Past 6%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-26 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4619601-the-fed-should-continue-hiking-past-6-percent><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The target is 2% inflation over timeHere is the key sentence from the June FOMC meeting statement:In determining the extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate to return inflation to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4619601-the-fed-should-continue-hiking-past-6-percent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4619601-the-fed-should-continue-hiking-past-6-percent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2354462003","content_text":"The target is 2% inflation over timeHere is the key sentence from the June FOMC meeting statement:In determining the extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate to return inflation to 2 percent over time, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments.But what is the most important part in this statement that gives the clue about future monetary policy? It's bolded - it's \"over-time\". The Fed aims to return inflation to 2% over time. What does it mean?It means that the Fed could decide to pause the interest rate hiking cycle with core CPI inflation still elevated at 4.8%, if the conditions are set for inflation to fall to 2% over time.This is essentially what the soft-landing crowd is expecting - the Fed will pause after the July hike to 5.35%, despite the fact that core inflation remains elevated at 4.8%. Why? Because inflation is on the way down, and it will likely fall to 2% in the near future. And, of course, the economy will avoid falling into a recession because the Fed will start cutting interest rates as inflation continues falling in 2024.But, it also means that the Fed could continue hiking interest rates even if inflation falls faster than expected - if the conditions don't favor a stable 2% inflation over time.The June CPI report showed that core CPI increased only by 0.2% month-over-month, and 4.8% over the last 12 months. If the core CPI continues to rise by 0.2% each month, the core CPI will be at 2.5% by July 2024, which is still above the 2% target, so you would need to have a few months with 0.1% core CPI month over month to get to 2%. That's what the soft-landing scenario is expecting.The problem with the soft-landing scenario is that the Fed's own Inflation Nowcast expects that core CPI will rise by 0.4% in July. Obviously, the conditions for core inflation to return to 2% over time are not there yet. Thus, despite the soft June CPI report, I believe the Fed has to continue hiking.Cleveland FedBut what are the necessary conditions for inflation to return to 2% over time?The price is a function of supply and demand, it's a very simple economic concept. So, generally, there has to be a supply/demand balance economy wide. Specifically, there has to be an ample supply of 1) labor and 2) input materials, for production to meet the underlying demand.The US currently has a major labor shortage with full employment (unemployment rate at 3.6%) and nearly 10M job openings. Obviously, the supply of labor is limited, which is causing wage price inflation, and translating into a service price inflation.The Fed simply cannot stop hiking as long as there is a labor shortage, because the risk is that core inflation would continue rising over time.So, what's causing the labor shortage? On the supply side, one of the main issues is demographics - the large segment of population (baby boomers) is exiting the labor force and retiring. Second, due to the unfolding trend of deglobalization, the US has stricter immigration policy which is slowing the labor force growth. On the demand side, and also due to deglobalization, the US is reshoring some jobs back home from China. The Fed cannot control the trends in demographics and deglobalization issues, and these structural longer-term trends. Thus, the labor market conditions will be out of balance for the foreseeable future.The unfolding trend of deglobalization is also creating the risk for commodity price spikes, and the shortage of key input materials. These risks are even more extreme due to the fact that deglobalization is associated with geopolitical tensions, which increase the risk of cold wars, proxy wars, and direct military confrontations between the main global powers.For example, Russia exited the Black Sea Grain Initiative agreement, which pushed the price of wheat limit up in the futures market last week. Saudi Arabia is cutting the oil supplies to boost the price of oil. China imposed export controls on two strategic raw materials that are critical to the global chipmaking industry. These events are part of the broader trend which is likely to persist in the foreseeable future.Obviously, these are not conditions where inflation is expected to fall to 2% over time. In fact, it's reasonable to conclude that we are currently still in a high inflationary environment.What should the Fed do?The Fed only directly controls the demand side of the equation, and the supply side problems can only be countered with declining demand to restore price stability. That means a recession.Specifically, that means that the Fed needs to keep tightening monetary policy until the unemployment rate increases. The Fed has set the target of 4.1% unemployment rate for 2023 and 4.5% for 2024.The Fed helped invert the yield curve, which is expected to cause credit tightness, which is expected to cause less investment, and thus, higher unemployment. So, now we are in the process of waiting for the lagged effects of this monetary policy transmission to the real economy. We are waiting for the clear signs of a recession.The Fed decided to skip hiking interest rates in June to evaluate these lagged effects, and apparently decided to continue increasing interest rates at a much slower pace. Thus, the Fed is set to increase interest rates at the July meeting, and indicated that an additional 25bpt hike might be required in fall.The lagged effects are already evident as the Redbook weekly retail sales are turning negative year over year, as well as industrial production. The labor market is showing some cracks with the (volatile) trend of higher weekly claims, but this is still insufficient.The Fed is actually a very powerful institution with a broad geopolitical reach. The only way to really ensure a stable inflation rate over time is to directly address the underlying trends, particularly with the respect to deglobalization.Specifically, I think the Fed should continue hiking well past 6% to induce a deep recession in the US, which would 1) crash oil price and weaken the oil revenue dependent Russia and other adversaries, 2) seriously weaken the export dependent Chinese economy.Thus, by overtightening, the Fed would directly address the demand side of the equation via a higher unemployment rate, and indirectly affect the supply side by inducing economic barriers to deglobalization.This is exactly what the Fed did in 1970s and especially in the early 1980s, when it hiked well above the core PCE inflation. Here is the chart, it's obvious that the current level of Federal Funds rate (red line) is not high enough in my opinion:FREDNow considering the Taylor Rule for determining the appropriate level for Federal Funds rate, the different scenarios suggest that the Federal Funds rate should be somewhere between 6.5% and 7.5%.Atlanta FedWhat will the Fed do?The Fed is still behind based on the Taylor rule. We are in a high-inflationary environment characterized by a demographic time-bomb, de-globalization, a real war, a brewing war. These are the facts.But the Fed is currently a conflicted institution in my view, where the major hawk Bullard actually quit the FOMC and the Fed, and is apparently being replaced by a dove.The Fed has decided to take it slowly and to be data dependent, hoping that something will change over time. The Fed might be afraid of overtightening, but I think that's exactly what the Fed should do - overtighten. The Fed needs to create the conditions for inflation to return to 2% over time, no other way around it.Alternatively, and this is becoming a baseline scenario on Wall Street, the Fed has to abandon the 2% target.ImplicationsThe stock market (SP500) has been rising since October 2022 in expectation of the Fed pivot - pause and a cut. These expectations are based on the recent memory of the 2000-2020 period, during which the US was in a low inflation environment. Actually, it was more of a disinflationary or even deflationary environment caused by globalization - abundant global labor force, cheap imports, etc.But things have changed, we are in a high-inflationary environment now - just look at the headlines. The Fed has the mandate of 2% inflation over time, and that means the Fed will have no choice but to overtighten.A soft-landing is a hope, and the market can run on a hope for some time. But, I believe the reality will set in. In fact, even the current earnings season for Q2 2023 has seen contracting margins, declining sales, and the third quarter of lower earnings.The earnings projections are that earnings will start growing in Q4 2023, and over the entire 2024. That's based on a soft-landing scenario, so based on hope in my opinion. The trend of lower sales, lower margins, and lower earning is likely to continue in the foreseeable future, as the lagged effects of the recent monetary policy tightening intensify, while inflation continues to be elevated, forcing the Fed to continue to tighten the monetary policy likely past 6%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194558657880272,"gmtCreate":1688537600064,"gmtModify":1688538556752,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$&nbsp;</a>For goodness sake, increase your tariff so your share price will go up. Don't be a sissy.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$&nbsp;</a>For goodness sake, increase your tariff so your share price will go up. Don't be a sissy.","text":"$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$ For goodness sake, increase your tariff so your share price will go up. Don't be a sissy.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194558657880272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":767387117945072,"gmtCreate":1687871984312,"gmtModify":1687871988816,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't pay too much attention to these junior analysts. &nbsp;One way or another SIA shares will correct to below $7&nbsp;and move up again if the next announcement on 27 July 23 is better than the last. So, sell, wait, buy, hold and sell. BTW, we are already&nbsp;in technical recession. But travelling is part of Singaporean. &nbsp;During period of unemployment, people travel to recharge.","listText":"Don't pay too much attention to these junior analysts. &nbsp;One way or another SIA shares will correct to below $7&nbsp;and move up again if the next announcement on 27 July 23 is better than the last. So, sell, wait, buy, hold and sell. BTW, we are already&nbsp;in technical recession. But travelling is part of Singaporean. &nbsp;During period of unemployment, people travel to recharge.","text":"Don't pay too much attention to these junior analysts. One way or another SIA shares will correct to below $7 and move up again if the next announcement on 27 July 23 is better than the last. So, sell, wait, buy, hold and sell. BTW, we are already in technical recession. But travelling is part of Singaporean. During period of unemployment, people travel to recharge.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":61,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/767387117945072","repostId":"1169391122","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4088336475101670","authorId":"4088336475101670","name":"淡宾尼魔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29a0ccd8a231ba9e51438d7c584d7cb8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"What annoucement coming 27?","text":"What annoucement coming 27?","html":"What annoucement coming 27?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189675150360584,"gmtCreate":1687332930380,"gmtModify":1687332933719,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Voted best airlines in the world. Singaporean should be proud of our home-grown airline. Back by Singapore government. Highest profit in its history. The rightful price is $9, back to pre-Covid $.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Voted best airlines in the world. Singaporean should be proud of our home-grown airline. Back by Singapore government. Highest profit in its history. The rightful price is $9, back to pre-Covid $.","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ Voted best airlines in the world. Singaporean should be proud of our home-grown airline. Back by Singapore government. Highest profit in its history. The rightful price is $9, back to pre-Covid $.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189675150360584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189298744578176,"gmtCreate":1687241036584,"gmtModify":1687242224303,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>still below pre-Covid $9, consider best performance in the history of SIA. Their share price deserved the $9&nbsp;again.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>still below pre-Covid $9, consider best performance in the history of SIA. Their share price deserved the $9&nbsp;again.","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ still below pre-Covid $9, consider best performance in the history of SIA. Their share price deserved the $9 again.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189298744578176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188344933445880,"gmtCreate":1687008375472,"gmtModify":1687009962013,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188344933445880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Look at the news today, SIA and Scoot, the World’s Top Airlines. Make Singapore proud, $9 should be the target for the Top Airline and Record Profit in history!","text":"Look at the news today, SIA and Scoot, the World’s Top Airlines. Make Singapore proud, $9 should be the target for the Top Airline and Record Profit in history!","html":"Look at the news today, SIA and Scoot, the World’s Top Airlines. Make Singapore proud, $9 should be the target for the Top Airline and Record Profit in history!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188159227920648,"gmtCreate":1686963044422,"gmtModify":1686967063833,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The bigger the firm like Morgan, the less we should believe them, make your own judgement.","listText":"The bigger the firm like Morgan, the less we should believe them, make your own judgement.","text":"The bigger the firm like Morgan, the less we should believe them, make your own judgement.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188159227920648","repostId":"1182870538","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1182870538","pubTimestamp":1686906712,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182870538?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-16 17:11","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Airlines Slides 1.77% After Morgan Stanley Slashes Rating","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182870538","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Stock rose 33% in the past month after reporting record profitMorgan Stanley has bull case target pr","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Stock rose 33% in the past month after reporting record profit</p></li><li><p>Morgan Stanley has bull case target price of S$9.30 on shares</p></li></ul><p>Morgan Stanley downgraded Singapore Airlines Ltd. after a peer-beating rally over the past month, saying positives such as strong fundamentals and favorable fuel prices have been priced in.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Shares of the carrier tumbled as much as 1.77% on Friday, on track to snap its longest winning streak since 2008. An Asia Pacific gauge of airline stocks traded higher on the day. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e5284658a8ccf4a921df343362e3681\" tg-width=\"895\" tg-height=\"626\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The rating cut to equal-weight from overweight is the airlines’ first in four months since its rapid climb catapulted the stock to among the top gainers on the Bloomberg World Airlines Index this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Singapore Airlines has risen 33% since May 16 after it reported a record profit, driven by pent-up demand. In contrast, the Straits Times Index has advanced 1.4% in that period.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Many market players have remained optimistic on the firm as higher capacity and benign fuel prices will enhance margins in the current fiscal year. Still, these factors looked “played out” and the rally so far has captured these positives, analysts including Divya Gangahar Kothiyal wrote in a note Friday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d042311f0bc6877cea00554396ce56f5\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\"/></p><p>The stock has overshot a consensus estimate target price of S$6.31, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Morgan Stanley raised its target price by 16.8% to S$7.30 after switching its valuation framework.</p><p>“Our bull case assumes cargo yields stabilize at current levels and costs remain well controlled, driving operating leverage and earnings growth of 15% in FY24,” Morgan Stanley said. “In such a scenario, the stock could continue to re-rate, and we assume a 5% premium over our base case” to a bull case of S$9.30.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Airlines Slides 1.77% After Morgan Stanley Slashes Rating</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Airlines Slides 1.77% After Morgan Stanley Slashes Rating\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-16 17:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-16/singapore-airlines-gets-its-first-downgrade-in-four-months?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock rose 33% in the past month after reporting record profitMorgan Stanley has bull case target price of S$9.30 on sharesMorgan Stanley downgraded Singapore Airlines Ltd. after a peer-beating rally ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-16/singapore-airlines-gets-its-first-downgrade-in-four-months?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C6L.SI":"新加坡航空公司"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-16/singapore-airlines-gets-its-first-downgrade-in-four-months?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182870538","content_text":"Stock rose 33% in the past month after reporting record profitMorgan Stanley has bull case target price of S$9.30 on sharesMorgan Stanley downgraded Singapore Airlines Ltd. after a peer-beating rally over the past month, saying positives such as strong fundamentals and favorable fuel prices have been priced in.Shares of the carrier tumbled as much as 1.77% on Friday, on track to snap its longest winning streak since 2008. An Asia Pacific gauge of airline stocks traded higher on the day. The rating cut to equal-weight from overweight is the airlines’ first in four months since its rapid climb catapulted the stock to among the top gainers on the Bloomberg World Airlines Index this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Singapore Airlines has risen 33% since May 16 after it reported a record profit, driven by pent-up demand. In contrast, the Straits Times Index has advanced 1.4% in that period.Many market players have remained optimistic on the firm as higher capacity and benign fuel prices will enhance margins in the current fiscal year. Still, these factors looked “played out” and the rally so far has captured these positives, analysts including Divya Gangahar Kothiyal wrote in a note Friday.The stock has overshot a consensus estimate target price of S$6.31, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Morgan Stanley raised its target price by 16.8% to S$7.30 after switching its valuation framework.“Our bull case assumes cargo yields stabilize at current levels and costs remain well controlled, driving operating leverage and earnings growth of 15% in FY24,” Morgan Stanley said. “In such a scenario, the stock could continue to re-rate, and we assume a 5% premium over our base case” to a bull case of S$9.30.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989936437,"gmtCreate":1665884158730,"gmtModify":1676537674773,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How to believe in credit suisse?","listText":"How to believe in credit suisse?","text":"How to believe in credit suisse?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989936437","repostId":"2275391547","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2275391547","pubTimestamp":1665880939,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2275391547?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-16 08:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple to Benefit From iPhone 14 Pro Strength, Credit Suisse Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275391547","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is slated to report fiscal fourth-quarter results on October 27th and the tech g","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is slated to report fiscal fourth-quarter results on October 27th and the tech giant is likely to benefit from strength in its iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models, Credit Suisse said.</p><p>Analyst Shannon Cross, who has an outperform rating on Apple (AAPL), raised her revenue and earnings per share estimates by 1% on continued strong sales of the high-end models. She now expects Apple (AAPL) to generate $89.68B in revenue and $1.30 a share, up from a prior estimate of $88.7B and $1.26 a share. </p><p>Cross noted that although Apple (AAPL) raised the price of its devices in many countries, perhaps to account for volatile currencies, it did not do so in China. Cross said this was possibly not done in order to &#34;better retain demand in a market weighted to flagship iPhone models.&#34;</p><p>In Japan, Apple (AAPL) raised the iPhone 14 average selling price by roughly 22%, while the average selling price of the iPhone increased roughly 15% in Europe.</p><p>Cross also noted that although Mac, iPad, wearable, and home and accessories supplies were constrained in the third quarter, it&#39;s possible that supply chains improved, notably helping the Mac.</p><p>Cross highlighted recent data from research firm IDC, which said that Apple (AAPL) gained roughly six points of market share in the third quarter, to reach 13.5% of the PC market.</p><p>Despite the expected strength in its fiscal fourth quarter, Cross does not expect that to continue for much longer. She lowered her estimates for the 2023 and 2024 fiscal years to account for a &#34;weaker consumer backdrop.&#34;</p><p>On Thursday, Apple (AAPL) introduced a high-yield savings account with Goldman Sachs (GS) as its banking partner.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple to Benefit From iPhone 14 Pro Strength, Credit Suisse Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple to Benefit From iPhone 14 Pro Strength, Credit Suisse Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-16 08:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3891188-apple-to-benefit-from-iphone-14-pro-strength-credit-suisse-says><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is slated to report fiscal fourth-quarter results on October 27th and the tech giant is likely to benefit from strength in its iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models, Credit ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3891188-apple-to-benefit-from-iphone-14-pro-strength-credit-suisse-says\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3891188-apple-to-benefit-from-iphone-14-pro-strength-credit-suisse-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275391547","content_text":"Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is slated to report fiscal fourth-quarter results on October 27th and the tech giant is likely to benefit from strength in its iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models, Credit Suisse said.Analyst Shannon Cross, who has an outperform rating on Apple (AAPL), raised her revenue and earnings per share estimates by 1% on continued strong sales of the high-end models. She now expects Apple (AAPL) to generate $89.68B in revenue and $1.30 a share, up from a prior estimate of $88.7B and $1.26 a share. Cross noted that although Apple (AAPL) raised the price of its devices in many countries, perhaps to account for volatile currencies, it did not do so in China. Cross said this was possibly not done in order to \"better retain demand in a market weighted to flagship iPhone models.\"In Japan, Apple (AAPL) raised the iPhone 14 average selling price by roughly 22%, while the average selling price of the iPhone increased roughly 15% in Europe.Cross also noted that although Mac, iPad, wearable, and home and accessories supplies were constrained in the third quarter, it's possible that supply chains improved, notably helping the Mac.Cross highlighted recent data from research firm IDC, which said that Apple (AAPL) gained roughly six points of market share in the third quarter, to reach 13.5% of the PC market.Despite the expected strength in its fiscal fourth quarter, Cross does not expect that to continue for much longer. She lowered her estimates for the 2023 and 2024 fiscal years to account for a \"weaker consumer backdrop.\"On Thursday, Apple (AAPL) introduced a high-yield savings account with Goldman Sachs (GS) as its banking partner.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":767387117945072,"gmtCreate":1687871984312,"gmtModify":1687871988816,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't pay too much attention to these junior analysts. &nbsp;One way or another SIA shares will correct to below $7&nbsp;and move up again if the next announcement on 27 July 23 is better than the last. So, sell, wait, buy, hold and sell. BTW, we are already&nbsp;in technical recession. But travelling is part of Singaporean. &nbsp;During period of unemployment, people travel to recharge.","listText":"Don't pay too much attention to these junior analysts. &nbsp;One way or another SIA shares will correct to below $7&nbsp;and move up again if the next announcement on 27 July 23 is better than the last. So, sell, wait, buy, hold and sell. BTW, we are already&nbsp;in technical recession. But travelling is part of Singaporean. &nbsp;During period of unemployment, people travel to recharge.","text":"Don't pay too much attention to these junior analysts. One way or another SIA shares will correct to below $7 and move up again if the next announcement on 27 July 23 is better than the last. So, sell, wait, buy, hold and sell. BTW, we are already in technical recession. But travelling is part of Singaporean. During period of unemployment, people travel to recharge.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":61,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/767387117945072","repostId":"1169391122","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169391122","pubTimestamp":1687844049,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169391122?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-27 13:34","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"DBS Downgrades SIA to \"Hold\", Urges Switch to ST Engineering, SATS Instead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169391122","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"Following a triumphant return to profitability, Singapore Airlines’ (SIA) bright earnings prospects are “largely priced-in”, say DBS Group Research analysts. Now, the DBS analysts recommend investors ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Following a triumphant return to profitability, Singapore Airlines’ (SIA) bright earnings prospects are “largely priced-in”, say DBS Group Research analysts. Now, the DBS analysts recommend investors switch to ST Engineering (STE) or SATS.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">SIA’s valuations are “broadly in-line” with its fundamentals after the “stunning” rally in its share price year-to-date, according to analysts Jason Sum, Tabitha Foo and Paul Yong. “While we continue to be optimistic about the airline’s near-term earnings outlook, we believe its earnings may peak in FY2024 as supernormal passenger yields revert to more normalised levels due to fiercer competition in the region.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Additionally, SIA will also likely suffer greater losses from associates after Air India becomes an associate, add the analysts. “Hence, we recommend that investors take profit and rotate into other Singapore aviation-related names with more durable growth characteristics and attractive valuations.”</p><p>ST Engineering is DBS’s preferred choice. “Its valuation has yet to reflect the multiple growth levers that we foresee fuelling its 16% core earnings CAGR over the next two years. We also like SATS, as its current valuation is not indicative of its longer-term earnings capability, but the absence of near-term catalysts may delay its re-rating.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In a June 26 note, the DBS analysts downgrade SIA to ‘hold’ with an unchanged target price of $6.80, while STE, SATS and SIA Engineering earn “buy” calls with target prices of $4.20, $3.20 and $2.80 respectively.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Singapore’s aviation sector is progressing well against expectations, and Asia-Pacific will see accelerated recovery in 2023, say the analysts.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f8edaf0ceedbf58bf8c1d1834de064\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"391\"/></p><p>The release of substantial pent-up travel demand post China’s reopening drove a significant upswing in global air passenger activity, propelling global air passenger traffic to 90.5% of 2019 levels in April.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Upbeat consumer sentiment and solid forward-booking activity underpin DBS’s expectation that this momentum would be sustained going forward, particularly in Asia-Pacific, which is expected to see the strongest improvement due to its delayed reopening.</p><p>According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), passenger traffic in the region is projected to surge to 86% of pre-pandemic levels in 2023, up from a mere 54% in 2022.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Singapore has outpaced other countries in this region and is well-positioned to maintain its lead, which bodes well for aviation-related companies in the country, say DBS analysts. “Meanwhile, channel checks indicate that the maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) market is becoming increasingly tight, with demand poised to rise sharply on multiple tailwinds. Contrarily, the air cargo market will likely remain under stress due to a culmination of softer demand and stiffer competition from ocean freight.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe28667b888e196e2f0b53331e918b4a\" tg-width=\"901\" tg-height=\"757\"/></p><p><strong>Key factors impacting earnings</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For SIA, the DBS analysts are watching for an increase in passenger traffic, if passenger capacity hits 90% of January 2020’s level in 2H2023 and 100% by end-1H2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">They are also watching if passenger load factors will be maintained at above pre-pandemic levels, while passenger yields moderate at a more gradual pace.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, they think a sharp decline in air cargo rates and load factors could be tempered by rising cargo capacity, along with lower unit costs due to the fall in jet fuel prices and increased efficiency with the restoration of capacity.</p><p>There is also uncertainty on investment quantum required to finance Air India’s ambitious growth aspirations, which could contribute to an increase in share of losses from associates from FY2025 with Air India as an associate.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As for STE, there are a few positive factors. For one, the company has divested its loss-making US-based marine subsidiary, which was $80 million in the red for FY2022.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">There could also be a full-year positive contribution from subsidiary TransCore, a US-based transportation technology company, including lower transaction and integration costs of around $10 million to $15 million in FY2023, compared to $30 million in FY2022.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The DBS analysts also point to lower energy-inflation costs as compared to FY2022 with the normalisation of commodity and electricity prices, as well as the continued business recovery in the commercial aerospace business.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Meanwhile, ST Engineering’s defence business should remain resilient amid heightened geopolitical tensions, they add, while expecting sustained operating margin expansion, with the passenger-to-freighter (P2F) programme turning ebit positive, increased economies of scale and positive cost-cutting.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On SATS, the DBS analysts point to a healthy growth in non-aviation food businesses as the group expands its product portfolio, distribution channels and production capacity with new central kitchens in Tianjin and Bengaluru coming online.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">There is also a new food hub in Jurong Ground handling and aviation food business to benefit from recovery in passenger flights and traffic, particularly in inter-region flights to and from Asia, they add.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, the downturn in the air cargo market could weigh on SATS’s cargo handling business in the near term before seeing a recovery in the next year, say the DBS analysts.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">There is also the risk of higher interest expenses, given a substantial increase in the debt burden and integration costs in 2023.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d279619d539a119f2620cf3ad14132ec\" tg-width=\"903\" tg-height=\"306\"/></p><p>As at 1.31pm, shares in SIA are trading 7 cents higher, or 0.94% up, at $7.55; while shares in ST Engineering are trading 5 cents higher, or 1.40% up, at $3.63; and shares in SATS are trading 3 cents higher, or 1.17% up, at $2.59.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DBS Downgrades SIA to \"Hold\", Urges Switch to ST Engineering, SATS Instead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDBS Downgrades SIA to \"Hold\", Urges Switch to ST Engineering, SATS Instead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-27 13:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-sia-hold-urges-switch-st-engineering-sats-instead><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Following a triumphant return to profitability, Singapore Airlines’ (SIA) bright earnings prospects are “largely priced-in”, say DBS Group Research analysts. Now, the DBS analysts recommend investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-sia-hold-urges-switch-st-engineering-sats-instead\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"S63.SI":"新科工程","C6L.SI":"新加坡航空公司","S58.SI":"新翔集团有限公司"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-sia-hold-urges-switch-st-engineering-sats-instead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169391122","content_text":"Following a triumphant return to profitability, Singapore Airlines’ (SIA) bright earnings prospects are “largely priced-in”, say DBS Group Research analysts. Now, the DBS analysts recommend investors switch to ST Engineering (STE) or SATS.SIA’s valuations are “broadly in-line” with its fundamentals after the “stunning” rally in its share price year-to-date, according to analysts Jason Sum, Tabitha Foo and Paul Yong. “While we continue to be optimistic about the airline’s near-term earnings outlook, we believe its earnings may peak in FY2024 as supernormal passenger yields revert to more normalised levels due to fiercer competition in the region.”Additionally, SIA will also likely suffer greater losses from associates after Air India becomes an associate, add the analysts. “Hence, we recommend that investors take profit and rotate into other Singapore aviation-related names with more durable growth characteristics and attractive valuations.”ST Engineering is DBS’s preferred choice. “Its valuation has yet to reflect the multiple growth levers that we foresee fuelling its 16% core earnings CAGR over the next two years. We also like SATS, as its current valuation is not indicative of its longer-term earnings capability, but the absence of near-term catalysts may delay its re-rating.”In a June 26 note, the DBS analysts downgrade SIA to ‘hold’ with an unchanged target price of $6.80, while STE, SATS and SIA Engineering earn “buy” calls with target prices of $4.20, $3.20 and $2.80 respectively.Singapore’s aviation sector is progressing well against expectations, and Asia-Pacific will see accelerated recovery in 2023, say the analysts.The release of substantial pent-up travel demand post China’s reopening drove a significant upswing in global air passenger activity, propelling global air passenger traffic to 90.5% of 2019 levels in April.Upbeat consumer sentiment and solid forward-booking activity underpin DBS’s expectation that this momentum would be sustained going forward, particularly in Asia-Pacific, which is expected to see the strongest improvement due to its delayed reopening.According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), passenger traffic in the region is projected to surge to 86% of pre-pandemic levels in 2023, up from a mere 54% in 2022.Singapore has outpaced other countries in this region and is well-positioned to maintain its lead, which bodes well for aviation-related companies in the country, say DBS analysts. “Meanwhile, channel checks indicate that the maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) market is becoming increasingly tight, with demand poised to rise sharply on multiple tailwinds. Contrarily, the air cargo market will likely remain under stress due to a culmination of softer demand and stiffer competition from ocean freight.”Key factors impacting earningsFor SIA, the DBS analysts are watching for an increase in passenger traffic, if passenger capacity hits 90% of January 2020’s level in 2H2023 and 100% by end-1H2024.They are also watching if passenger load factors will be maintained at above pre-pandemic levels, while passenger yields moderate at a more gradual pace.However, they think a sharp decline in air cargo rates and load factors could be tempered by rising cargo capacity, along with lower unit costs due to the fall in jet fuel prices and increased efficiency with the restoration of capacity.There is also uncertainty on investment quantum required to finance Air India’s ambitious growth aspirations, which could contribute to an increase in share of losses from associates from FY2025 with Air India as an associate.As for STE, there are a few positive factors. For one, the company has divested its loss-making US-based marine subsidiary, which was $80 million in the red for FY2022.There could also be a full-year positive contribution from subsidiary TransCore, a US-based transportation technology company, including lower transaction and integration costs of around $10 million to $15 million in FY2023, compared to $30 million in FY2022.The DBS analysts also point to lower energy-inflation costs as compared to FY2022 with the normalisation of commodity and electricity prices, as well as the continued business recovery in the commercial aerospace business.Meanwhile, ST Engineering’s defence business should remain resilient amid heightened geopolitical tensions, they add, while expecting sustained operating margin expansion, with the passenger-to-freighter (P2F) programme turning ebit positive, increased economies of scale and positive cost-cutting.On SATS, the DBS analysts point to a healthy growth in non-aviation food businesses as the group expands its product portfolio, distribution channels and production capacity with new central kitchens in Tianjin and Bengaluru coming online.There is also a new food hub in Jurong Ground handling and aviation food business to benefit from recovery in passenger flights and traffic, particularly in inter-region flights to and from Asia, they add.That said, the downturn in the air cargo market could weigh on SATS’s cargo handling business in the near term before seeing a recovery in the next year, say the DBS analysts.There is also the risk of higher interest expenses, given a substantial increase in the debt burden and integration costs in 2023.As at 1.31pm, shares in SIA are trading 7 cents higher, or 0.94% up, at $7.55; while shares in ST Engineering are trading 5 cents higher, or 1.40% up, at $3.63; and shares in SATS are trading 3 cents higher, or 1.17% up, at $2.59.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4088336475101670","authorId":"4088336475101670","name":"淡宾尼魔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29a0ccd8a231ba9e51438d7c584d7cb8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"What annoucement coming 27?","text":"What annoucement coming 27?","html":"What annoucement coming 27?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189675150360584,"gmtCreate":1687332930380,"gmtModify":1687332933719,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Voted best airlines in the world. Singaporean should be proud of our home-grown airline. Back by Singapore government. Highest profit in its history. The rightful price is $9, back to pre-Covid $.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Voted best airlines in the world. Singaporean should be proud of our home-grown airline. Back by Singapore government. Highest profit in its history. The rightful price is $9, back to pre-Covid $.","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ Voted best airlines in the world. Singaporean should be proud of our home-grown airline. Back by Singapore government. Highest profit in its history. The rightful price is $9, back to pre-Covid $.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189675150360584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194558657880272,"gmtCreate":1688537600064,"gmtModify":1688538556752,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$&nbsp;</a>For goodness sake, increase your tariff so your share price will go up. Don't be a sissy.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U9E.SI\">$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$&nbsp;</a>For goodness sake, increase your tariff so your share price will go up. Don't be a sissy.","text":"$CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED(U9E.SI)$ For goodness sake, increase your tariff so your share price will go up. Don't be a sissy.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194558657880272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189298744578176,"gmtCreate":1687241036584,"gmtModify":1687242224303,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>still below pre-Covid $9, consider best performance in the history of SIA. Their share price deserved the $9&nbsp;again.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>still below pre-Covid $9, consider best performance in the history of SIA. Their share price deserved the $9&nbsp;again.","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ still below pre-Covid $9, consider best performance in the history of SIA. Their share price deserved the $9 again.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189298744578176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188344933445880,"gmtCreate":1687008375472,"gmtModify":1687009962013,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188344933445880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"Look at the news today, SIA and Scoot, the World’s Top Airlines. Make Singapore proud, $9 should be the target for the Top Airline and Record Profit in history!","text":"Look at the news today, SIA and Scoot, the World’s Top Airlines. Make Singapore proud, $9 should be the target for the Top Airline and Record Profit in history!","html":"Look at the news today, SIA and Scoot, the World’s Top Airlines. Make Singapore proud, $9 should be the target for the Top Airline and Record Profit in history!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989936437,"gmtCreate":1665884158730,"gmtModify":1676537674773,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How to believe in credit suisse?","listText":"How to believe in credit suisse?","text":"How to believe in credit suisse?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989936437","repostId":"2275391547","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":202105039384712,"gmtCreate":1690375470117,"gmtModify":1690376773072,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am 100% agreeable with your analysis. &nbsp;The FED would like a higher interest rate to adversely damage&nbsp;China and it's economic growth. To kill 2 birds with 1 stone.&nbsp;&nbsp;Not to&nbsp;forget the commercial and property&nbsp;loan defaults that have yet rocked the global banking sectors.","listText":"I am 100% agreeable with your analysis. &nbsp;The FED would like a higher interest rate to adversely damage&nbsp;China and it's economic growth. To kill 2 birds with 1 stone.&nbsp;&nbsp;Not to&nbsp;forget the commercial and property&nbsp;loan defaults that have yet rocked the global banking sectors.","text":"I am 100% agreeable with your analysis. The FED would like a higher interest rate to adversely damage China and it's economic growth. To kill 2 birds with 1 stone. Not to forget the commercial and property loan defaults that have yet rocked the global banking sectors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/202105039384712","repostId":"2354462003","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":228490500448296,"gmtCreate":1696811657665,"gmtModify":1696816304542,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Almost a sure-thing inflation would rebound, with oil price raising further due to production cuts, winter seasons, and the latest&nbsp;middle-east war that could last as long as Russia/Ukraine war. &nbsp;Be prepared for FED raising interest to 6% and above. &nbsp;Corporate bankrupts will follow and worst, a banking crisis. To some, its an opportunity, to others?","listText":"Almost a sure-thing inflation would rebound, with oil price raising further due to production cuts, winter seasons, and the latest&nbsp;middle-east war that could last as long as Russia/Ukraine war. &nbsp;Be prepared for FED raising interest to 6% and above. &nbsp;Corporate bankrupts will follow and worst, a banking crisis. To some, its an opportunity, to others?","text":"Almost a sure-thing inflation would rebound, with oil price raising further due to production cuts, winter seasons, and the latest middle-east war that could last as long as Russia/Ukraine war. Be prepared for FED raising interest to 6% and above. Corporate bankrupts will follow and worst, a banking crisis. To some, its an opportunity, to others?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/228490500448296","repostId":"2374551229","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2374551229","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1696806999,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2374551229?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-10-09 07:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Middle East Violence, September Inflation Data, JPMorgan Chase, Pepsi, Delta, and More to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2374551229","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"September inflation data and the start of earnings season are the highlights for investors this week. The stock market will be open on Monday, but U.S. bond markets will be closed.The unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season comes on Friday, with results from several big banks. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all reporting before the market opens, as will BlackRock and UnitedHealth Group.Other companies publishing results this week include  PepsiCo on Tuesday, then  Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance on Thursday.On Thursday, all eyes will be on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer price index for September. On average, economists are predicting increases of 0.3% in both the headline CPI and the core CPI, which excludes food and energy components. That would bring the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.6% and 4.1%, respectively, both lower than in August.The BLS releases the consumer price index for September. Economists ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>September inflation data and the start of earnings season are the highlights for investors this week. The stock market will be open on Monday, but U.S. bond markets will be closed.</p><p>The unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season comes on Friday, with results from several big banks. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all reporting before the market opens, as will BlackRock and UnitedHealth Group.</p><p>Other companies publishing results this week include PepsiCo on Tuesday, then Delta Air Lines, Domino&#39;s Pizza, Fastenal, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> on Thursday.</p><p>On Thursday, all eyes will be on the Bureau of Labor Statistics&#39; consumer price index for September. On average, economists are predicting increases of 0.3% in both the headline CPI and the core CPI, which excludes food and energy components. That would bring the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.6% and 4.1%, respectively, both lower than in August.</p><p>The BLS will also report the producer price index on Wednesday. The headline PPI is expected to be up 1.6% year over year and the core PPI is seen rising 2.3%. Federal Reserve watchers will closely parse the minutes from the central bank&#39;s mid-September policy meeting after their release on Wednesday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for September, then on Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for October.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Middle East Violence is under way, the lastest news is that Israeli troops engaged in fierce fighting throughout Sunday to regain control of swaths of the country’s south after Hamas militants flooded in from Gaza, with the military struggling to reseal the border to further incursions.</p><p>Monday, 10/9</p><p>Bond markets are closed for the Columbus Day holiday. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange have regular trading hours.</p><p>Tuesday 10/10</p><p>PepsiCo reports third-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> and HP Inc. hold investor meetings.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for September. Expectations are for a 91.4 reading, roughly even with the August figure.</p><p>Wednesday 10/11</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary-policy meeting.</p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for September. The consensus estimate is for the PPI to increase 1.6% year over year, unchanged from August. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 2.3%, one-tenth of a percentage point more than previously.</p><p>Thursday 10/12</p><p>Delta Air Lines, Domino&#39;s Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>Hormel Foods hosts its 2023 investor day.</p><p>The BLS releases the consumer price index for September. Economists forecast that the CPI will increase 3.6% from a year earlier, while the core CPI is seen rising 4.1%. This compares with gains of 3.7% and 4.3%, respectively, in August. The annual change in the core CPI is at its lowest level since September 2021, and 2.3 percentage points less than its postpandemic peak from September 2022.</p><p>Friday 10/13</p><p>BlackRock, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PNC Financial Services Group, UnitedHealth Group, and Wells Fargo announce earnings.</p><p>The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Survey for October. The consensus call is for a 67 reading, about one point less than in September. Consumers&#39; expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 3.2% in September, the lowest level since March of 2021, showing that inflation expectations remain well anchored.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73008c7e2a01637719a7fcf07c28888\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Middle East Violence, September Inflation Data, JPMorgan Chase, Pepsi, Delta, and More to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMiddle East Violence, September Inflation Data, JPMorgan Chase, Pepsi, Delta, and More to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-10-09 07:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>September inflation data and the start of earnings season are the highlights for investors this week. The stock market will be open on Monday, but U.S. bond markets will be closed.</p><p>The unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season comes on Friday, with results from several big banks. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all reporting before the market opens, as will BlackRock and UnitedHealth Group.</p><p>Other companies publishing results this week include PepsiCo on Tuesday, then Delta Air Lines, Domino&#39;s Pizza, Fastenal, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> on Thursday.</p><p>On Thursday, all eyes will be on the Bureau of Labor Statistics&#39; consumer price index for September. On average, economists are predicting increases of 0.3% in both the headline CPI and the core CPI, which excludes food and energy components. That would bring the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.6% and 4.1%, respectively, both lower than in August.</p><p>The BLS will also report the producer price index on Wednesday. The headline PPI is expected to be up 1.6% year over year and the core PPI is seen rising 2.3%. Federal Reserve watchers will closely parse the minutes from the central bank&#39;s mid-September policy meeting after their release on Wednesday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for September, then on Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for October.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Middle East Violence is under way, the lastest news is that Israeli troops engaged in fierce fighting throughout Sunday to regain control of swaths of the country’s south after Hamas militants flooded in from Gaza, with the military struggling to reseal the border to further incursions.</p><p>Monday, 10/9</p><p>Bond markets are closed for the Columbus Day holiday. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange have regular trading hours.</p><p>Tuesday 10/10</p><p>PepsiCo reports third-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> and HP Inc. hold investor meetings.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for September. Expectations are for a 91.4 reading, roughly even with the August figure.</p><p>Wednesday 10/11</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary-policy meeting.</p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for September. The consensus estimate is for the PPI to increase 1.6% year over year, unchanged from August. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 2.3%, one-tenth of a percentage point more than previously.</p><p>Thursday 10/12</p><p>Delta Air Lines, Domino&#39;s Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>Hormel Foods hosts its 2023 investor day.</p><p>The BLS releases the consumer price index for September. Economists forecast that the CPI will increase 3.6% from a year earlier, while the core CPI is seen rising 4.1%. This compares with gains of 3.7% and 4.3%, respectively, in August. The annual change in the core CPI is at its lowest level since September 2021, and 2.3 percentage points less than its postpandemic peak from September 2022.</p><p>Friday 10/13</p><p>BlackRock, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PNC Financial Services Group, UnitedHealth Group, and Wells Fargo announce earnings.</p><p>The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Survey for October. The consensus call is for a 67 reading, about one point less than in September. Consumers&#39; expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 3.2% in September, the lowest level since March of 2021, showing that inflation expectations remain well anchored.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73008c7e2a01637719a7fcf07c28888\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐","FAST":"快扣","JPM":"摩根大通","ADBE":"Adobe","UNH":"联合健康"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2374551229","content_text":"September inflation data and the start of earnings season are the highlights for investors this week. The stock market will be open on Monday, but U.S. bond markets will be closed.The unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season comes on Friday, with results from several big banks. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo will all reporting before the market opens, as will BlackRock and UnitedHealth Group.Other companies publishing results this week include PepsiCo on Tuesday, then Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance on Thursday.On Thursday, all eyes will be on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer price index for September. On average, economists are predicting increases of 0.3% in both the headline CPI and the core CPI, which excludes food and energy components. That would bring the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.6% and 4.1%, respectively, both lower than in August.The BLS will also report the producer price index on Wednesday. The headline PPI is expected to be up 1.6% year over year and the core PPI is seen rising 2.3%. Federal Reserve watchers will closely parse the minutes from the central bank's mid-September policy meeting after their release on Wednesday.Other economic data out this week will include a pair of sentiment indicators. On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for September, then on Friday, the University of Michigan will publish its Consumer Sentiment index for October.Meanwhile, the Middle East Violence is under way, the lastest news is that Israeli troops engaged in fierce fighting throughout Sunday to regain control of swaths of the country’s south after Hamas militants flooded in from Gaza, with the military struggling to reseal the border to further incursions.Monday, 10/9Bond markets are closed for the Columbus Day holiday. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange have regular trading hours.Tuesday 10/10PepsiCo reports third-quarter fiscal-2023 results.Adobe and HP Inc. hold investor meetings.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for September. Expectations are for a 91.4 reading, roughly even with the August figure.Wednesday 10/11The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary-policy meeting.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for September. The consensus estimate is for the PPI to increase 1.6% year over year, unchanged from August. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 2.3%, one-tenth of a percentage point more than previously.Thursday 10/12Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Fastenal, and Walgreens Boots Alliance hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.Hormel Foods hosts its 2023 investor day.The BLS releases the consumer price index for September. Economists forecast that the CPI will increase 3.6% from a year earlier, while the core CPI is seen rising 4.1%. This compares with gains of 3.7% and 4.3%, respectively, in August. The annual change in the core CPI is at its lowest level since September 2021, and 2.3 percentage points less than its postpandemic peak from September 2022.Friday 10/13BlackRock, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PNC Financial Services Group, UnitedHealth Group, and Wells Fargo announce earnings.The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Survey for October. The consensus call is for a 67 reading, about one point less than in September. Consumers' expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 3.2% in September, the lowest level since March of 2021, showing that inflation expectations remain well anchored.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188159227920648,"gmtCreate":1686963044422,"gmtModify":1686967063833,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The bigger the firm like Morgan, the less we should believe them, make your own judgement.","listText":"The bigger the firm like Morgan, the less we should believe them, make your own judgement.","text":"The bigger the firm like Morgan, the less we should believe them, make your own judgement.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188159227920648","repostId":"1182870538","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":301954372767768,"gmtCreate":1714738748207,"gmtModify":1714738751092,"author":{"id":"4116194624864142","authorId":"4116194624864142","name":"Win8333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad24be330a750ad5714078337b91645","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/301954372767768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}