SPX-"US Debt Downgrade: Markets in Peril"

DoTrading
2023-08-05

Summary of the previous session:

The week started with a broken streak for the markets as equities continued to face challenges following Fitch's US debt downgrade. Even a jobs report released on Friday, although slightly below expectations, could not reverse the bearish trend.

Most active stocks

Main events of the week:

The week was marked by several key events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report which showed the US economy added 187,000 jobs in July, below economists' forecasts. However, the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5%. This data has been interpreted as showing a relative slowdown in the labor market, but not to the point of prompting the Federal Reserve to intervene immediately. The odds of rate hikes in September were low, with just a 13.5% chance according to the CME tool.

Current Scenario and Market Outlook:

The markets had a difficult week, with notable declines in the main indexes. $DJIA(.DJI)$ fell 1.1% on the week, ending a three-week streak of straight gains, which included an impressive 13-consecutive session streak of gains. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ also fell 2.3% on the week, marking its worst performance since March. Similarly, the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ lost 3.02% during the week, recording its worst week since March as well.

US Index

Despite the weaker-than-expected jobs report, analysts say the Federal Reserve is likely to keep the fed funds rate unchanged in September, due to overall weak job growth and recent inflation data . The odds of rate hikes in November and December were also modest, at 24.8% and 22.7% respectively, according to CME FedWatch.

Market watchers agree that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will need significant evidence of improvement before considering another rate hike. The outlook remains uncertain, and upcoming economic data, including the consumer price index, will continue to inform future central bank decisions.

SPX Levels

  • Key levels: 4600-4500-4450-4400

  • Higher levels: 4525-4545-4575 (4600 major resistance)

  • Lower levels: 4475-4450-(4400 major support)

SPX Levels

Next week

  • July inflation and producer prices for China (Wednesday) and the United States (Thursday and Friday).

  • Friday, US Consumer Sentiment, University of Michigan.

Thank you for reading and support. Welcome to the news followers.

@TigerStars

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • DoTrading
    2023-08-05
    DoTrading
    from X account gamma the critical support level at 4500 did not hold.
    Decreased by the prior day. $S&P 500(.SPX)$
  • DoTrading
    2023-08-05
    DoTrading
    yes. don't hesitate to share it. [ShakeHands] [Like] [Salute]
  • ImMillionare
    2023-08-05
    ImMillionare
    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
    • wyin08
      good
    • DoTrading
      yes don't hesitate to share it [Like] [ShakeHands] [Salute]
  • WYing
    2023-08-06
    WYing
    这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
  • JasmineYap
    2023-08-07
    JasmineYap

    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

  • JRSI
    2023-08-07
    JRSI
    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
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