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Equity Fatigue and Triple-Witching:

Welcome to Friday. Signs of fatigue are emerging in the equities market after a rally to all-time highs. US stocks retreated, and Asian trading also saw losses. Today’s options expiration, known as the ‘triple-witching,’ may lead to short-term market swings. The investors we met were generally positive on equities but worried about the concentration of US/global stock market returns from Big Tech and the possibility of a US recession in the next 6-12 months. Market Performance:The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 300 points (0.8%), outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. The Bank of England kept interest rates steady, following the Fed’s lead. US Economic Data:Weekly US jobless claims declined but remained slightly higher than expected. New home construction slumped by 5.5% i
Equity Fatigue and Triple-Witching:

Central Bank Decisions, AI Job Disruptions, and Nvidia's Historic Milestone

Tuedays Recap: In a relatively subdued trading session, major indices managed to etch out modest gains, extending their remarkable run of record highs. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.3%, notching its sixth record close in seven sessions, while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ ticked up less than 0.1% for an impressive seventh consecutive all-time high – its longest streak since 2021. Index The highlight of the day's economic data was the retail sales report, which showed a 0.1% increase in May, missing expectations for a 0.2% rise. This cooler-than-anticipated number was enough to send bond yields retreating once again, reflecting the market's sensitivity to any signs of weakening consumer demand. A host of Federal
Central Bank Decisions, AI Job Disruptions, and Nvidia's Historic Milestone

Tech Titans Reign Supreme - But Clouds Gather on the Horizon

Yesterday's Market Recap: The relentless tech rally showed no signs of abating as major indices continued their march to fresh all-time highs. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ notched its 30th record close of the year, while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ cruised to its sixth consecutive record, inching ever closer to the historic 20,000 mark. This bullish sentiment has prompted a flurry of target price upgrades from Wall Street analysts, with Evercore ISI, Goldman Sachs, and Citi all raising their projections for the S&P 500. S&P500 30th record SPX At the vanguard of this ascent were the usual suspects - the tech titans $Apple(AAPL)$ and
Tech Titans Reign Supreme - But Clouds Gather on the Horizon

Market Surge: Unpacking the Latest Rally and Future Trends

Summary of the Latest Session The latest session saw a significant upward momentum in global stock markets, spurred by a series of positive developments in the U.S. market. ATH US Market The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , led by a rally in large technology companies, has set 30 all-time highs this year. This surge was mirrored in Asian markets, particularly in chip stocks, and European equities followed suit with moderate gains. Key factors influencing this session included a bullish sentiment driven by strong tech performance, strategic moves within major ETFs, and pivotal statements from Federal Reserve officials. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker indicated the possibility of one interest-rate cut this year, contingent on con
Market Surge: Unpacking the Latest Rally and Future Trends

Fed Decisions, Global Economic Indicators, and Market Volatility

Summary of the Latest Session The latest session in financial markets provided a mixed bag of outcomes, with significant implications for the trajectory of monetary policy and investor sentiment. Weekly perf Index Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari emphasized that the central bank is in a strong position to take its time and closely monitor incoming data before deciding on interest rate cuts. Fed policymakers have lowered their projections for rate cuts this year to one, down from the three projected in March. Kashkari suggested that if a rate cut occurs, it would likely be towards the end of 2024. Globally, the shift away from dovish monetary policy has impacted emerging-market bonds, with local-currency debt trailing dollar-denominated peers due to resurgent infl
Fed Decisions, Global Economic Indicators, and Market Volatility

Inflation Showdown: Markets Brace for Seismic Shifts

Summary of the Latest Trading Session The financial markets witnessed a whirlwind of activity on June 14, 2024, as investors grappled with a deluge of critical economic data and the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision. The day began on a positive note, with the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed inflation nearly flat in May, defying consensus forecasts of a 0.1% rise. Index Key Events and Economic Releases Impacting the Trading Session European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Member's Comments: According to the provided information, European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel highlighted the persistent nature of underlying consumer price growth in Europe, adding to the global inflation concerns. Bank of Japan
Inflation Showdown: Markets Brace for Seismic Shifts

Federal Reserve’s Stance

Last FOMC Meeting Summary The highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on June 14, 2024, concluded with a unanimous decision to maintain the federal funds rate within the target range of 5.25% to 5.5%. However, the Committee's updated economic projections, unveiled through the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), painted a nuanced picture of the central bank's policy outlook. The Fed’s New Dot Plot After Its May Policy Meeting: Chart Dot Plot Contrary to the market's expectations of three quarter-point rate cuts this year, the FOMC's median projection now envisions a solitary rate reduction in 2024. This hawkish shift, coupled with upward revisions to inflation forecasts, initially sent shockwaves through the markets, causing bond yields to spike and temporarily d
Federal Reserve’s Stance

Key Events Shaping Today's Financial Landscape

Yesterday's Session Yesterday’s trading session showcased significant resilience in the face of looming economic uncertainties. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ each managed to power through early declines to achieve record closing highs, with the S&P 500 rising 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite increasing by 0.9%. This marked the S&P 500’s 27th record close of the year and the Nasdaq’s 15th. Despite these gains, only 182 stocks in the S&P 500 advanced, highlighting the concentrated nature of the rally. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ stock surged by 7.3%, closing at a record $207.15, driven by in
Key Events Shaping Today's Financial Landscape

"Inflation and Interest Rates: Key Economic Insights"

Summary of Yesterday's Session Yesterday's session demonstrated notable resilience in financial markets despite global economic uncertainties. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ both reached record levels, rising by 0.3%. The $DJIA(.DJI)$ also increased by 0.2%. Defensive sectors such as utilities and healthcare were favored by investors seeking to shield themselves from volatility. $Apple(AAPL)$ , however, saw a 1.9% decline in its stock despite announcing its artificial intelligence (AI) ambitions at the 2024 Worldwide Developers Conference. The company unveiled new software features under the banner "Apple
"Inflation and Interest Rates: Key Economic Insights"

"Navigating Economic Data, Fed Policies, and Market Reactions"

Summary of the Latest Market Session On Friday, the market faced a significant shakeup due to a much stronger-than-expected jobs report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 87 points, or 0.2%, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ each dipped by 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ The catalyst for this market reaction was the Labor Department's announcement that the U.S. economy added 272,000 nonfarm jobs in May, significantly surpassing the consensus forecast of 180,000 and even higher than the whisper number. NFP
"Navigating Economic Data, Fed Policies, and Market Reactions"

"Markets Await US Jobs Report Amid ECB Rate Cut and Tech Stock Frenzy"

Summary of the Latest Trading Session As the European Central Bank (ECB) concludes its much-anticipated meeting, investor attention has shifted to the upcoming US jobs report. Wall Street saw muted movements with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ flat, the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite slightly down by 0.1%. GameStop shares surged in after-hours trading, jumping 45% following news that Keith Gill would return to YouTube, igniting a fresh wave of the meme-stock frenzy. Key Events Driving the Session 1. ECB Rate Cut: The ECB cut its deposit rate by a quarter-point to 3.75%, marking its first reduction in nearly five years. This move was aimed at combating persistent inflation, though the path forward remains unclear amid
"Markets Await US Jobs Report Amid ECB Rate Cut and Tech Stock Frenzy"

"ECB Set to Ease as Markets Anticipate a Summer Rally"

Summary of the Latest Trading Session US stocks experienced modest gains as investor sentiment turned cautiously optimistic amid signs of a cooling labor market. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ both rose by 0.2%, while the $DJIA(.DJI)$ climbed 0.4%, gaining 140 points. Technology stocks, particularly Nvidia, continued their impressive rally, with Nvidia reaching a market value milestone of $3 trillion. Key Events Driving the Session 1. European Central Bank (ECB) Decisions: The ECB is expected to cut the deposit rate by a quarter-point to 3.75% on Today. While this move is widely anticipated, the path beyond remains uncertain due to stubborn infla
"ECB Set to Ease as Markets Anticipate a Summer Rally"

"Market Rollercoaster: Cooling Labor Market and Bond Yields Stir Investors"

Summary of the Latest Trading Session In a day marked by economic uncertainty and shifting expectations, US stocks saw modest gains amid signs of a cooling labor market. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ both edged up 0.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%, gaining 140 points. Meanwhile, bond traders turned dovish, betting on faster Federal Reserve rate cuts as US yields slid. Index perf Key Events Driving the Session 1. Labor Market Data: The JOLTS report revealed that April job openings fell to 8.1 million, the lowest since February 2021. This significant drop in job openings is a sign that the hot labor market might be cooling down, affecting investor sentiment. 2. Federal
"Market Rollercoaster: Cooling Labor Market and Bond Yields Stir Investors"

"Wall Street Defies the Sell in May Adage!"

Session Summary: After a volatile session , the major indexes ended up closing higher, defying early declines. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained 0.8%, erasing earlier losses of as much as 0.8%. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ was down as much as 1.7% before finishing the day flat. The Dow Jones Industrial Average staged an impressive late-day rally, surging 575 points or 1.5% higher for its biggest daily gain since early November. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ The rally reversed a two-and-a-half day slide for stocks and capped off a surprisingly strong month for equities. The S&P 500 ended May 4.8% higher, marking its best
"Wall Street Defies the Sell in May Adage!"

"Rising Yields and Fed Uncertainty Shake Stocks..."

Summary of the Latest Trading Session Stocks faced a broad decline as rising bond yields put significant pressure on risk assets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.1%, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ slipped 0.7%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ dropped 0.6%, though it remains near record highs. Bond yields surged, with the 2-year Treasury note jumping to 4.983% and the 10-year yield climbing to 4.623%. Rates Key Events Driving the Session Economic Data Releases: The day was marked by significant economic data, including a hot consumer confidence report that sparked concerns about inflation. Investors are also anticipating upcoming growth data from the US. Federal Reserve Comments : Fed President Raphael Bostic
"Rising Yields and Fed Uncertainty Shake Stocks..."

"Market Turbulence and Profit-Taking Amid Fed Speculations"

This week saw financial markets react strongly to the release of the Federal Reserve's minutes and unexpectedly robust U.S. economic data. Traders, having recently driven the markets to record highs, took the opportunity for profit-taking amidst concerns that the Fed might delay monetary easing. Volatility is anticipated to persist as markets await further data on inflation and economic activity. Market Performance and Key Highlights Nvidia (+12%) $NVDA - $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ continues its stellar performance, buoyed by the demand for its data center products. - Reported $26 billion in Q1 revenues and $14.9 billion in profits, a 628% year-on-year increase. - Stock has surged 116% since January, recently crossing the $1,000 mark. Energy Sector
"Market Turbulence and Profit-Taking Amid Fed Speculations"

"S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit Records"

Market Performance The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ reclaimed the spotlight today, each rising by 0.2% to mark their latest record closes. ATH This comes after the Dow Jones Industrial Average dominated headlines last week by hitting the 40,000 mark. Despite a relatively quiet day for stocks, comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on monetary policy helped the indexes secure gains. Federal Reserve Comments Waller's remarks emphasized the need for a strategic approach to interest rate cuts, suggesting that a single cut followed by a prolonged period of inaction might not be the most effective strategy. He reiterated the central bank's commitment to data-driven decision-making
"S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit Records"

"Photo Finish: Dow Hits 40,000 Milestone"

Stocks made a significant push at the closing bell today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average narrowly surpassing the 40,000 mark for the first time ever. The $DJIA(.DJI)$ closed at 40,003.59, edging over the threshold by just 3.6 points. DJIA tops 40,000 before pulling back DJIA This milestone comes after an 874-trading-day journey from 30,000, led by substantial contributions from Goldman Sachs and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , while companies like Walt Disney and 3M detracted from the index. DJIA stocks Market Overview Weekly Performance Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up 1.2% for the week, reaching a historic high. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Increased by 1.5%, marking a fo
"Photo Finish: Dow Hits 40,000 Milestone"

"Market Records Amidst Inflation Cooling Signs"

Market Records and Inflation Data The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ soared to a new record, spurred by indications of cooling inflation. The consumer price index (CPI) for April rose by 3.4% year-over-year, a slight decrease from March's 3.5%. Core prices for goods declined by 0.1%, while core services prices increased by 0.4%, the weakest gain since December. This favorable inflation report triggered a rally in both stocks and Treasuries, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling to its lowest level since early April. SPX ATH Consumer Spending and Retail Sales:* Retail sales for April remained flat compared to the previous month, falling below economists' expectations of a 0.4% gain. The subdued retail sales data was perceived positively by investors, as i
"Market Records Amidst Inflation Cooling Signs"

"Nasdaq Hits New High, Inflation Data Awaited"

Market Rally and Record Highs The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ achieved its seventh record close of the year, leading a late-session rally that lifted major indexes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.3%, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ climbed 0.5% nearing its record high, while the Nasdaq surged 0.8% to achieve its new milestone. Bond yields retreated, adding to the positive sentiment in equities. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Inflation Data and Market Sentiment Despite the producer price index (PPI) report exceeding expectations, traders remain optimistic, anticipating cooler figures in the upcoming consumer price
"Nasdaq Hits New High, Inflation Data Awaited"

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