melson
2023-08-18

$LION OCBC HSTECH ETF S$(HST.SI)$  retraced after yesterday's mini bounce due to evergrande filing for bankruptcy protection. the real estate crisis continues. 

china yuan is devaluing as foreign investors pull money out of the chinese stock market. sgdhkd is almost at all time high and it could get higher. investors are going for the strong usd and shunning the yuan. this means that sgdhkd is going to trend up and so does hst.

recent big chinese companies earnings point to recover of consumer spending. Chinese tourism numbers are up, pointing to more spare money to spend. 

another forward indicator besides the $Hang Seng Tech Index - main 2308(HTImain)$  is the $FTSE China Bull 3X Shares(YINN)$  . there is overnight trading and you can have a few hours ahead to plan for how to trade it. according to yinn pnf, it is at support level. it might break down support level due to the real estate crisis.

do apply automatic investment system where you add shares at each 10% drop or at support zones if you know technical analysis. this way you conserve your capital while the stock is strongly downtrending. do take profit at 10% intervals or at resistance zones if you know technical analysis. this way you have capital to buy the dip. only applies to stocks in an index or warren buffett would approve. bon courage.

there are downside risks to investing in the Chinese market now but there are signs that show the Chinese economy is reviving, not up to expectations but the expectations were too high. china may not hit 5% gdp growth but better than no growth. 

merci beaucoup @TigerStars  for reviewing our posts. 

merci beaucoup @Asphen   and @LMSunshine  for sharing your analysis. 

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Comments

  • zookie
    2023-08-18
    zookie

    China's stock market and the Chinese yuan surged after a high-level meeting delivered strong policy signals of stepping up growth stabilization efforts and boosted investors' confidence in the country's economic recovery.

    • melson
      [Happy] allez allez allez
  • AugustineMac-
    2023-08-18
    AugustineMac-

    The contagion from the Chinese pre sale Real Estate collapse and economic contraction {Imports/Exports} in China is spreading around the world rapidly.

  • koolgal
    2023-08-20
    koolgal
    Thanks for sharing your valuable insights.  So there is light at the end of the dark tunnel for Chinese stocks? Is it time to buy HST?
    • koolgalReplymelson
      😍😍😍
    • koolgalReplymelson
      😍😍😍
    • melsonReplykoolgal
      [Happy] de rien. amusez-vous bien aussi.
    • koolgalReplymelson
      Thanks for sharing your wisdom.  Appreciate it. 😍😍😍Have a wonderful Sunday 🌴🌴🌴
    • melson
      now is a good time to accumulate (pyramid method - small amount first then followed by increasing amount). buy on fear where news keep warning about real estate crisis and weak economic growth.
  • cheeryx
    2023-08-18
    cheeryx

    Optimized Adjustment of Real Estate Market Policies Expected to Gradually Mitigate Risks for Property Enterprises

  • WayneEvans
    2023-08-18
    WayneEvans

    more motivation for Asian to go up??

    • melson
      can accumulate while it dips. buy when fear is raging, sell when greed is inflating
  • Aqa
    2023-08-19
    Aqa
    Liked, shared, comment and here to support my friend. Givtop!👍🏻
    • melson
      [Happy]merci beaucoup
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