Is ARM a buy ?

Anva
2023-10-01

$ARM, a undisputed leader in the CPU industry, as they took their monumental step into the public sphere through an exciting #IPO.

Let's delve into $ARM ๐Ÿš€ Potentials and โš–๏ธ Challenges - in this comprehensive thread.

$ARM is the industry leader of CPUs. They architect, develop, and license high performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient #CPU products and related technology, on which many of the worldโ€™s leading #semiconductor companies and #OEMs rely on them to develop their products.


 ๐ŸŽฏ$๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ด ๐…๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Ž๐ฐ๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ฉ ๐‚๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ฌ

๐Ÿ‘‰ Founded in 1990 as a joint venture between Acorn Computers, $APPL, and VLSI Technology.

๐Ÿ‘‰Listed on the London Stock Exchange and Nasdaq from 1998 to 2016.

๐Ÿ‘‰Acquired by #SoftBank for $32 billion in 2016.

๐Ÿ‘‰ In September 2020, $NVDA announced a $40 billion acquisition of Arm.

๐Ÿ‘‰Regulatory challenges, including a lawsuit by the #FTC , led to the Nvidia deal's cancellation.

๐Ÿ‘‰Went public through #IPO with $51 per share and market cap $54.5B USD on 14th Sep 2023.

๐Ÿ‘‰ $ARM #China operates independently from $ARM. $ARM has only 4.8% indirect ownership interest(non-voting) in Arm China. $ARM China is the largest customer of $ARM.๐Ÿšฉ

๐ŸŽฏ $๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ด ๐‘ฎ๐’๐’๐’ƒ๐’‚๐’ ๐‘น๐’†๐’‚๐’„๐’‰

๐Ÿ‘‰70% of the world's population uses $ARM based products. ๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰99% of #Smartphones run on $ARM based processors.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰All key #mobile operating systems depend upon $ARM processors.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰50% of all chips with #processors are $ARM based.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰Over 250 billion $ARM based chips shipped to date.

๐Ÿ‘‰Chips containing $ARM technology representing an approximate 48.9% market share in the calendar year ended December 31, 2022 ๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰30 billion $ARM based chips shipped in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2023 ๐Ÿš€

๐ŸŽฏ$๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ด ๐‘ช๐’๐’Š๐’†๐’๐’• ๐‘ฉ๐’‚๐’”๐’†

๐Ÿ‘‰Clients include $AAPL, #Samsung , $AMZN, $NVDA and #GOOG etc.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰Diverse client base and 10% market share in cloud computing as of December 31, 2022.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰More than 260 companies reported that they had shipped Arm-based chips in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2023, including the largest technology companies globally (such as $AMZN and $GOOG), major #semiconductor chip vendors (such as $AMD, $INTL, $NVDA, $QCOM & #Samsung)๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

๐ŸŽฏ$๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ด ๐‘ฉ๐’–๐’”๐’Š๐’๐’†๐’”๐’” ๐‘ด๐’๐’…๐’†๐’

๐Ÿ‘‰ $ARM licenses processor designs to semiconductor companies and OEMs.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰ Licensees pay upfront fees and royalties based on chip sales.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰ Designs suitable for various applications and can generate royalties for over 25 years.๐Ÿš€

๐ŸŽฏ$๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ด ๐‘ญ๐’Š๐’๐’‚๐’๐’„๐’Š๐’‚๐’ ๐‘ท๐’†๐’“๐’‡๐’๐’“๐’Ž๐’‚๐’๐’„๐’†

๐Ÿ‘‰Solid gross profit margin of 96% and Operating income margin of 25% in the fiscal yr 2023.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰On June 30, 2023, $ARM has cash and cash equivalents of approximately $1.2B billion and short-term investments of $801 million.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰For the fiscal year 2023, total revenue was relatively flat at $2.6B , as compared to $2.7B in the fiscal year 2022. $ARM's revenue was impacted by weak mobile demand as per them.๐Ÿšฉ

๐Ÿ‘‰For last Q, revenue and income is down as compared to the same period of last year.๐Ÿšฉ

๐Ÿ‘‰Top five customers (including $ARM China) collectively accounted for approximately 57% revenue.๐Ÿšฉ

๐Ÿ‘‰Largest customer $ARM #China , accounted for approximately 24% revenue. ๐Ÿšฉ

๐ŸŽฏ$๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ด ๐‘บ๐’•๐’“๐’‚๐’•๐’†๐’ˆ๐’Š๐’„ ๐‘ฎ๐’๐’‚๐’๐’” ๐’‚๐’๐’… ๐‘ถ๐’‘๐’‘๐’๐’“๐’•๐’–๐’๐’Š๐’•๐’Š๐’†๐’”

๐Ÿ‘‰TAM is expected to grow at a 6.8% #CAGR to approximately $246.6B by 2025.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰Expanding in areas like #smartphones, consumer #electronics, and #embedded computing.

๐Ÿ‘‰Increasing royalty revenue by providing value added technology.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰Expecting Arm market share of cloud compute to grow significantly faster than the overall cloud compute market.๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‘‰Establishing leadership in emerging tech sectors like #edgecomputing and #IOT etc (#ADAS AR)๐Ÿš€

๐ŸŽฏ $๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ด ๐‘ช๐’‰๐’‚๐’๐’๐’†๐’๐’ˆ๐’†๐’” ๐’‚๐’๐’… ๐‘ช๐’๐’Ž๐’‘๐’๐’†๐’™ ๐‘น๐’†๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’Š๐’๐’๐’”๐’‰๐’Š๐’‘ ๐’˜๐’Š๐’•๐’‰ $ARM #๐‘ช๐’‰๐’Š๐’๐’‚

๐Ÿ‘‰ $ARM China operates independently from Arm.

๐Ÿ‘‰ $ARM holds only an indirect 4.8% interest in Arm China through a 10% stake in an intermediate entity called #Acetone Ltd๐Ÿšฉ

๐Ÿ‘‰ $ARM China contributed 24.5% of Arm's $2.68B revenue in fiscal 2023๐Ÿšฉ

๐Ÿ‘‰Late payments and "significant risks" associated with Arm China's business have posed challenges for Arm๐Ÿšฉ

๐Ÿ‘‰U.S. sanctions and rising competition in China raise concerns for China's long term prospects.๐Ÿšฉ

Feel free to grab the complete report right here. If you find it valuable, give it a thumbs up ๐Ÿ‘ and spread the word! ๐Ÿ“ฅ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“ค

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1t9fFuGUpDstauCF_Yu5VWas7_UbJHc0N/view?usp=sharing

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Arm: The Biggest IPO in 2023
The Arm IPO at the Nasdaq in New York, on Sept. 14.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • huathuathuat
    2023-10-01
    huathuathuat
    With $ARM China accounting for a majority of $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ revenue, everyone should be apprehensive given the current state of the China economy at the moment.

    Attractive company? Definitely yes. But at this time, maybe take some time to wait it out for now

  • 0billionaire
    2023-10-01
    0billionaire

    Arm Holdings as decreasing earnings, decreasing sales, and is priced at 105 P/E ratio... Seems like they IPOed at a perrect time during the AI bubble and unload at hysterical valuations for a shrinking company.

  • CharlesBaker
    2023-10-01
    CharlesBaker

    I won't touch this even at 20 !! They are not going to earn that much to justify trading at 30 times expected revenue.

  • Hilliton324
    2023-10-01
    Hilliton324

    So scary to own any semi for now. NVDA run is way over for now. I would prefer NVDA !!

  • SiongZ
    2023-10-01
    SiongZ

    Arm Holdings should be researched and considered for all investors.


  • RandyHall
    2023-10-01
    RandyHall

    Could the markets take a deep dive into red with a market crash?

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