$ARM, a undisputed leader in the CPU industry, as they took their monumental step into the public sphere through an exciting #IPO.
Let's delve into $ARM ๐ Potentials and โ๏ธ Challenges - in this comprehensive thread.
$ARM is the industry leader of CPUs. They architect, develop, and license high performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient #CPU products and related technology, on which many of the worldโs leading #semiconductor companies and #OEMs rely on them to develop their products.
๐ฏ$๐จ๐น๐ด ๐
๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ง๐๐ซ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ฉ ๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฌ
๐ Founded in 1990 as a joint venture between Acorn Computers, $APPL, and VLSI Technology.
๐Listed on the London Stock Exchange and Nasdaq from 1998 to 2016.
๐Acquired by #SoftBank for $32 billion in 2016.
๐ In September 2020, $NVDA announced a $40 billion acquisition of Arm.
๐Regulatory challenges, including a lawsuit by the #FTC , led to the Nvidia deal's cancellation.
๐Went public through #IPO with $51 per share and market cap $54.5B USD on 14th Sep 2023.
๐ $ARM #China operates independently from $ARM. $ARM has only 4.8% indirect ownership interest(non-voting) in Arm China. $ARM China is the largest customer of $ARM.๐ฉ
๐ฏ $๐จ๐น๐ด ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐น๐๐๐๐
๐70% of the world's population uses $ARM based products. ๐
๐99% of #Smartphones run on $ARM based processors.๐
๐All key #mobile operating systems depend upon $ARM processors.๐
๐50% of all chips with #processors are $ARM based.๐
๐Over 250 billion $ARM based chips shipped to date.
๐Chips containing $ARM technology representing an approximate 48.9% market share in the calendar year ended December 31, 2022 ๐
๐30 billion $ARM based chips shipped in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2023 ๐
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๐Clients include $AAPL, #Samsung , $AMZN, $NVDA and #GOOG etc.๐
๐Diverse client base and 10% market share in cloud computing as of December 31, 2022.๐
๐More than 260 companies reported that they had shipped Arm-based chips in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2023, including the largest technology companies globally (such as $AMZN and $GOOG), major #semiconductor chip vendors (such as $AMD, $INTL, $NVDA, $QCOM & #Samsung)๐๐
๐ฏ$๐จ๐น๐ด ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ด๐๐ ๐๐
๐ $ARM licenses processor designs to semiconductor companies and OEMs.๐
๐ Licensees pay upfront fees and royalties based on chip sales.๐
๐ Designs suitable for various applications and can generate royalties for over 25 years.๐
๐ฏ$๐จ๐น๐ด ๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ท๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
๐Solid gross profit margin of 96% and Operating income margin of 25% in the fiscal yr 2023.๐
๐On June 30, 2023, $ARM has cash and cash equivalents of approximately $1.2B billion and short-term investments of $801 million.๐
๐For the fiscal year 2023, total revenue was relatively flat at $2.6B , as compared to $2.7B in the fiscal year 2022. $ARM's revenue was impacted by weak mobile demand as per them.๐ฉ
๐For last Q, revenue and income is down as compared to the same period of last year.๐ฉ
๐Top five customers (including $ARM China) collectively accounted for approximately 57% revenue.๐ฉ
๐Largest customer $ARM #China , accounted for approximately 24% revenue. ๐ฉ
๐ฏ$๐จ๐น๐ด ๐บ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ถ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
๐TAM is expected to grow at a 6.8% #CAGR to approximately $246.6B by 2025.๐
๐Expanding in areas like #smartphones, consumer #electronics, and #embedded computing.
๐Increasing royalty revenue by providing value added technology.๐
๐Expecting Arm market share of cloud compute to grow significantly faster than the overall cloud compute market.๐
๐Establishing leadership in emerging tech sectors like #edgecomputing and #IOT etc (#ADAS AR)๐
๐ฏ $๐จ๐น๐ด ๐ช๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ช๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐น๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ $ARM #๐ช๐๐๐๐
๐ $ARM China operates independently from Arm.
๐ $ARM holds only an indirect 4.8% interest in Arm China through a 10% stake in an intermediate entity called #Acetone Ltd๐ฉ
๐ $ARM China contributed 24.5% of Arm's $2.68B revenue in fiscal 2023๐ฉ
๐Late payments and "significant risks" associated with Arm China's business have posed challenges for Arm๐ฉ
๐U.S. sanctions and rising competition in China raise concerns for China's long term prospects.๐ฉ
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https://drive.google.com/file/d/1t9fFuGUpDstauCF_Yu5VWas7_UbJHc0N/view?usp=sharing
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Comments
Attractive company? Definitely yes. But at this time, maybe take some time to wait it out for now
Arm Holdings as decreasing earnings, decreasing sales, and is priced at 105 P/E ratio... Seems like they IPOed at a perrect time during the AI bubble and unload at hysterical valuations for a shrinking company.
I won't touch this even at 20 !! They are not going to earn that much to justify trading at 30 times expected revenue.
So scary to own any semi for now. NVDA run is way over for now. I would prefer NVDA !!
Arm Holdings should be researched and considered for all investors.
Could the markets take a deep dive into red with a market crash?