$Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ KOSPI up 4% looks like a bit of a break. With a green day and earnings on deck, we may reclaim that 7 handle and bring $Western Digital(WDC)$ along. This is what we've been waiting for.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ Buyers seem to be stepping in methodically around the lower part of the recent range, which could be read as an encouraging sign.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ 381.88This is the spot. If we can close above this level, $440 will be the next resistance. After $381.88, the bulls will take over and the bull flow will start.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ Wonder what the Q-Day impact on HDDs looks like. Q-Day is the point when a sufficiently powerful quantum computer can break widely used public-key encryption like RSA, Diffie-Hellman, and elliptic-curve cryptography. Security experts are worried about harvest now, decrypt later attacks, where encrypted data gets collected today and stored until quantum computers can decrypt it. That means lots of cheap long-term storage that doesn't have to be blistering fast. Organizations are already preparing by adopting post-quantum cryptography.
$Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ $Western Digital(WDC)$ The earnings report confirmed that HDD demand is massive and supply shortages are severe. After STX releases its earnings, it should reaffirm this and solidify its technological leadership, which is further backed by the recent news on SMR. Since STX is already past its heavy capex phase and, thanks to new technologies, is less vulnerable to rising component costs, there is a case for a 15–20% post-earnings surge. If capex confirmations from Microsoft, Google, and Amazon follow, STX could climb to $800–$900.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ There's no inventory problem here. We're in a new era of perpetual HDD demand, and this is only going to keep growing as demand continues.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ Bulls seem to be waking up after a long stretch of quiet trading, but volume still looks light here. A stronger push would probably tighten the squeeze on the short side as price moves up.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ Storage demand will keep increasing and this stock will come through strong, slow and steady over the next few weeks—if STX moves up by $100, Western is bound to move up by at least $50 in the short term.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ October rate hike looks unlikely. Warsh will probably put a positive spin on the economy. Gas prices are dropping in NC. Midterms will be decided soon, and it doesn't matter which party wins — it just needs to be over, no more uncertainty. In 21 of the past 21 midterms, the S&P 500 turned positive from November to January and kept going through June. I'll take those odds. WDC smashed earnings, and that should start paying off soon.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ Sentiment is so bad that someone actually refused to get assigned my shares, and I still have them. Now the stock is up. Can't make up how afraid people are.
$Arbe Robotics Ltd.(ARBE)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Did anyone else notice the front bumper of the ID Buzz in Jensen's keynote? There were two large Arbe-sized radars with a smaller radar squeezed between them. Hopefully there's more to come on this.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ This stock definitely needs patience. Computer memory isn't going anywhere in the near future with this much demand and shortages. There will be other competitors, but make no mistake, getting out now could mean missing it. Once it starts jumping, the next stop could be around $500, and maybe beyond for long-term investors. Just my 2 cents.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ What does WDC have to do with rising interest rates? Nothing, because they have a lot of cash and will earn much more over the next two, maybe three years.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ If I see the same situation across all major data storage stocks, there is nothing specifically wrong with WDC. The segment is under pressure due to panic, or due to a sell-off from whoever is still holding longer than 6 months. I still say 20th 453, however this one will slowly move somewhere close to 320-340, after that we will see, but this will happen to the whole segment.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ I'm perfectly okay with this hitting 350 this week. We're in the early stages of memory demand. WDC cannot keep up with the orders. More contracts are in the works. High revenue and profits. This is not a broken company. Just a lot of noise.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ Yes, let's print. Institutional floor for funds looks like 350-370. For me, the range today is 360-370. Possible liquidity sweep below at 350-360 to hit your stop loss. Scalping the range today.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ Holding steady and not selling. I've heard people say WDC and STX have no protection or no moat around them, but that's just not how I see it. The best moat here is that this is a duopoly. Even if Toshiba manages to buy TDK and eventually starts selling storage, it's still a duopoly. This price drop is nothing more than a far more attractive PE ratio. At these prices it's a value play with no end in sight for the buildout. I'm not happy it's down, very unhappy, but I'm not selling.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ The analyst follows the stock or the stock follows the analyst? Microsoft got downgraded by nearly every analyst in July and Sept. 26, and now they've started upgrading it after a 40%+ rally in a short span. So are analysts independent, manipulated, or just doing their homework properly? Same will be the case for WDC.