Options Spy | Bank stocks are under short-term pressure to break through

As attention shifted to earnings season this week, money moved into big tech stocks, but Apple weakened on disappointing iPhone 15 sales in China.

Royal Bank of Canada raised its forecast for net earnings per share for the S&P 500, despite the challenges of sticky inflation and a Federal Reserve that expects to keep interest rates higher for a long time. Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) expects recent macro moves to push S&P 500 earnings to $223 in 2023

On the geopolitical front, investors remained focused on the crisis in the Middle East. Some analysts believe a full-blown regional conflict could send oil prices soaring above $100 a barrel, risking a global recession.

Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Wilson said in a note that a rebound in the S&P 500 is "very likely" in the fourth quarter of this year. Wilson and other strategists said most investors believe the index could rebound in the near term if current levels hold, despite lingering concerns about rising interest rates and slowing economic growth.

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Earnings tracking:

Netflix will release its earnings report after the trading hours on the 18th, and the recent single-leg large orders are bullish:

$NFLX 20231215 355.0 CALL$ $NFLX 20231027 367.5 CALL$

The transaction of Tesla option large orders is conservative, the exercise price tends to choose ITM or ATM, and the direction of long and short is not uniform.

Option buyer open position (Single leg)

Buy TOP T/O:

$APO 20260116 135.0 CALL$ $NVDA 20240419 450.0 PUT$

Buy TOP Vol:

$APO 20260116 135.0 CALL$ $PBR 20231215 13.0 PUT$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant buy open position for options contracts in the market. The purchase of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying has upward momentum, and the purchase of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying has downward momentum. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Option seller open position (Single leg)

Flowered call seller orders indicate high pressure above the stock price to break out in the short term: ：$C 20231117 42.0 CALL$

Sell TOP T/O:

$APO 20260116 135.0 CALL$ $MCD 20231117 280.0 PUT$

Sell TOP Vol:

$MRK 20231215 110.0 CALL$ $C 20231117 42.0 CALL$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screen is a significant sell open position for an option contract in the market. A sell of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has peaked, and a sell of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has bottomed. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Options portfolio open position

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant portfolio of options contracts in the market. Portfolio opening includes a variety of underlying trends, requiring traders to further master the basic knowledge of options for analysis and judgment.