Hello everyone. Today, I'd like to use the Ctrip stock crash incident to discuss managing short put positions.What Happened:💡 Cause: On January 14th, based on China's Anti-Monopoly Law, the State Administration for Market Regulation formally launched an investigation into Ctrip for suspected abuse of market dominance.💡 Impact on Stock Price: Ctrip's US-listed stock (Ticker: TCOM) closed at $75.68 on January 13th and plummeted 17% to close at $62.78 on January 14th. Ctrip's Hong Kong-listed stock (Ticker: 09961) closed at HKD 569 on January 14th and fell sharply intraday, down 20% to HKD 452 on January 15th.💡 Impact on Business: Ctrip issued an announcement stating that all company operations are normal and that the investigation has not yet had a material impact on its business.Changes in

$TSLA$Key News:Analyst New Street raised Tesla's target price to $600 (from $520), maintaining a Buy rating, expected to boost the stock price.Tesla stock fell 4.14% to $432.96, primarily due to BYD outselling Tesla in two major European markets (Germany) (BYD surged to 23,306 units, Tesla declined to 19,390 units), sparking market concerns.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is very high, indicating market expectation for sharp price swings. Sentiment is slightly bullish, but institutions have already bought large put options for hedging, increasing volatility risk.This Week (1/9): Expected to swing widely within $425 - $450.Next Week (1/16): The range may widen to $420 - $460.Key Support: $420 - $430. $430 is this week's key support; $420 is a dense defensive line for next w

$09988$Important News:Zheshang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating on Alibaba-W (09988) with a target price of HKD 189.09, optimistic about the growth of its AI cloud platform business and potential for margin improvement.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is moderate, indicating market expectation for some price movement. Options trading volume suggests cautious, slightly bearish sentiment.This Week (1/9): Expected to fluctuate within HKD 137 - 154.Next Week (1/16): The range may widen to HKD 135 - 158.Key Support: HKD 144-145. HKD 144 is the recent monthly technical low; HKD 145 is a concentration area for put option (PUT) open interest.Key Resistance: HKD 150-154. HKD 150 is a dense resistance area for call option (CALL) open interest; HKD 154 is the upper bound of this we

$TSLA$Key News:Tesla Model 3 is under investigation by U.S. regulators for emergency door defects, which could lead to recall risks and impact short-term stock price.FSD v14 system passes the physical Turing test, indicating progress in autonomous driving technology.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at historically extreme lows, suggesting the market expects very stable price movement. Call option trading is active, indicating positive sentiment.This Week (12/26): Expected to trade within a mild range of $475 - $495.Next Week (1/2): The range may widen slightly to $480 - $500.Key Support: $480. This is a recent technical low and a key defensive line for short-term bulls.Key Resistance: $490 - $495. $490 is a concentration area for call option (CALL) open interest; $495 is

$TSLA$Key News:Analyst Canaccord Genuity raised Tesla's target price to $551 (from $482). FactSet survey shows average rating "Hold," average target $421.59.Stock up 28% since November lows, driven by CEO compensation plan reinstatement and autonomous driving progress.Options Analysis:Current IV is extremely high, indicating expectations for sharp price swings. Sentiment leans bullish, but institutions have hedged at key levels.This Week (Dec 26): Expected high-volatility range: $475–$500.Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $470–$510.Key Support: $480–$485 – $480 is recent technical support; $485 is a massive Put OI zone, forming a key defense line.Key Resistance: $500 – a crucial psychological and historical high, with institutional sell call blocks creating strong resistance.Strategy

$BABA-W(09988)$ Key News:Guosen Securities maintains a "Buy" rating on Alibaba, optimistic about the commercialization prospects of its AI large models in e-commerce, cloud services, and other sectors.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at historical extremes (low), indicating expectations for very stable prices. Option volume suggests cautious sentiment with institutional hedging.This Week (Dec 19): Expected narrow range: HKD 142–148.Next Week (Dec 24): Range may expand slightly to HKD 140–150.Key Support: HKD 140–142 – HKD 140 is the maximum Put OI support; HKD 142 is the lower bound this week.Key Resistance: HKD 148–150 – HKD 148 is the upper limit this week; HKD 150 is next week's Call resistance.Strategy Idea: Sell Call Sprea

$TSLA$Key News:Tesla began Robotaxi testing without safety drivers in Austin, Texas, pushing the stock up 3.56% to $475.31 on Monday, a near one-year high.Mizuho raised its price target from $475 to $530, maintaining an Outperform rating.China approved L3 autonomous driving trials, creating synergy with Tesla's self-driving progress.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is extremely high, indicating expectations for sharp price swings. Overall sentiment is bullish, but there is pressure at key levels.This Week (Dec 19): Expected high-volatility range: $460–520.Next Week (Dec 26): Range may expand to $450–530.Key Support: $460 – substantial Put OI provides important downside support.Key Resistance: $500 – not only heavy Call OI but also institutional selling blocks create strong

$NVDA$Key News:Oracle Chairman Larry Ellison announced a "chip-agnostic" strategy, procuring chips from any supplier, leading to a decline in NVDA's stock price.ByteDance and Alibaba plan significant purchases of NVDA H200 AI chips, pending Chinese regulatory approval.Reports indicate Chinese AI firm DeepSeek obtained NVDA Blackwell chips via smuggling to develop new models.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is neutral-to-low, indicating limited expected price movement. Call activity is robust, signaling bullish sentiment, though block trades suggest institutional caution.This Week (Dec 12): Expected narrow range: $180–187.Next Week (Dec 19): Range may expand to $175–190.Key Support: $180 – the most critical defense line, formed by massive Put OI and a key battleground.Key Re

$SPY$Key News:SPY has shown strong performance recently, logging its best Thanksgiving week since 2008, with seven consecutive months of gains.JPMorgan is bullish on the S&P 500, forecasting a 20% rise by 2027.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is neutral-to-high, indicating market expectations for moderate volatility. Overall sentiment is neutral-cautious, though institutional funds are positive on the longer-term trend.This Week (Dec 12): Expected range: $680–695.Next Week (Dec 19): Range may expand to $675–700.Key Support: $680 – the most concentrated "wall" of Put OI, forming the strongest support.Key Resistance: $690–695 – a dense Call OI zone, the primary overhead resistance area.Strategy Idea: Sell Put$SPY

$BABA-W(09988)$ Key News:On Dec 10, Alibaba announced the formation of the "Qianwen Consumer Business Group," led by Group VP Jia Wu. This group merges the former Smart Information and Smart Interconnection business units and includes the Qianwen App, Quark, AI hardware, UC Browser, Shuqi, etc. Its primary goal is to build Qianwen into the super App and primary user gateway for the AI era.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is low, indicating market expectations for relative price stability without sharp moves. Market sentiment is slightly positive.This Week (Dec 12): Expected narrow range: HKD 147–155.Next Week (Dec 19): Range may widen slightly to HKD 145–158.Key Support: HKD 150. This is the current price equilibrium point and a P

$AAPL$Key News:Apple (AAPL) continued its rally on Tuesday, hitting an all-time intraday high of $287.4 before closing up 1.09% at $284.15.Supply chain sources indicate Apple's first foldable iPhone, the iPhone Fold, has made significant progress in R&D, currently in engineering verification and pre-production stages, with a potential launch by late next year.IDC forecasts Apple’s 2025 iPhone shipments will reach 247.4 million units, up 6.1% YoY, driven by strong demand for the iPhone 17 series in China.Options Analysis:Current price: $284.15. Implied Volatility (IV): 23.17% (6.4th percentile), indicating low expected volatility.Call/Put Ratio: 2.02, showing dominant bullish sentiment.This Week (Dec 5 Expiry): Expected range: $280–290. Key resistance at $285 (Put OI 8,806; Call OI 45,1

$SPY$Key News:BofA Research indicates limited upside for the S&P 500 in 2026, with a year-end target of 7100, below recent strong performance.Analyst Savita Subramanian notes that 14% earnings growth in 2026 could be offset by a 10% P/E compression. Tech faces an “air pocket” risk, with power supply remaining a key bottleneck.Market leadership is expected to rotate from Technology to Financials, Real Estate, Materials, Healthcare, and Energy sectors.Options Analysis:Current SPY price: $683.89. Implied Volatility (IV): 17.40% (39.60th percentile), indicating relatively moderate market expectations.Call/Put Ratio: 0.91, showing a slight bearish tilt.This Week (Dec 5 Expiry): Expected range: $675–690. The 680 Put (OI 26,467) is key support; 685 Call (OI 41,158) is resistance.Next Week (De

$META$Key News:Wins key antitrust lawsuit—court rules company did not monopolize social media (Bullish)Chief Revenue Officer John Hegeman announces departure, raising management stability concerns (Bearish)Former Chief Scientist Yann LeCun publicly questions internal AI strategy, talent drain sparks innovation worries (Bearish)Stock closed at $597.69, down 0.72% on the day—mixed news sentiment overall.Options Analysis:This Week (Nov 28 Expiry): IV 39.81% (65th percentile), pricing in elevated volatility. Key technical support at $580 (Aug low trendline extension), resistance at $615 (Oct rebound high).Option chain shows $595 Put concentration (OI 1,829), $620 Call acting as overhead supply.Next Week (Nov 21 Expiry): IV dips to 38% but remains elevated; expected range $570–630.Put/Call Rati

$NVDA$Key News:GMI Cloud Partnership: NVDA and GMI Cloud are building a $500 million AI factory in Taiwan, equipped with 7,000 GPUs, serving as a core node for AI infrastructure in Asia.Anthropic Investment: NVDA plans to invest $10 billion in AI firm Anthropic, pushing its valuation to $350 billion and strengthening its position in generative AI.Supercomputer Deployment: Japan’s RIKEN institute will deploy 2,140 NVDA Blackwell GPUs to build a next-gen AI/quantum computing system, expected to go live in 2026.Market Sentiment & Stock Price: NVDA fell 4.69% over two days (closed at $181.36 on 11/18). Market focus is on Q3 earnings (expected after market close on 11/19) and supply chain bottlenecks.Options Analysis:Implied Volatility (IV): 58.89% (81.6th percentile), indicating expectatio

$SPY$Key News:Hedge Funds Buying Heavily: SPY and IVV were among the largest buys for major hedge funds in Q3, indicating institutional bias toward large-cap exposure (Nov 18).Record Inflows: SPY saw $7.4 billion in net inflows last month, ranking first in liquidity. However, the recent "Black Monday" sell-off raises near-term technical correction risks (Nov 18).Unusual Options Activity: Concentrated opening of 630–635 OTM Puts this week suggests potential for a ~3% short-term pullback (Nov 18).Options Analysis:Weekly (Nov 21 Expiry): Expected range: $652–668. Current IV percentile 88% (overbought), pricing in elevated volatility. The 660 Put shows high open interest, likely acting as key support.Next Week (Nov 28 Expiry): Expected range: $645–675. IV moderates to 25–27%, with time premium

This article covers options for the following underlying assets: NVDA, AMD, MU, TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, META, PLTR, CRCL$NVIDIA Corp.(NVDA)$Key News:Citigroup raised its price target on NVDA from $210 to $220. The FactSet analyst average price target is $233.59, maintaining a "Buy" rating.Options Analysis:The market anticipates significant price movement ahead of earnings (IV 56%). Overall sentiment is bullish, but caution is warranted against pullback risks.Short-term (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $180 - $195.Medium-term (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $175 - $200.Key Support: $180. This is a strong support level, coinciding with the 50-day moving average and options defense.Key Resistance: $200. This is a psychological barrie

Tickers Involved: NVDA, AMD, TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, META, PLTR, HOOD, CRCL$NVDA$Key News:NVIDIA partners with RedCloud on a $280 million Saudi trade project, using NVIDIA tech to optimize the AI platform.Jensen Huang revises previous statement that "China will dominate the AI race," emphasizing the US-China tech gap is merely "nanoseconds."Collaboration with Deutsche Telekom on a €1 billion data center project involving 10,000 GPUs.Options Analysis:Market Sentiment: Elevated Implied Volatility (IV 54.5%)预示着 significant price swings. Overall bias leans bullish, but large funds are actively hedging downside risk.Short-term (til 11/14): Expected range-bound action between $180 - $195.Near-term (til 11/21): Range likely expands to $175 - $205.Key Support: $180. A historical bounce level and dense P

Internet Consumer & Cloud ComputingIREN, AAPL, META, GOOG, PLTR $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Key News:Signed a 5-year, $9.7 billion AI cloud computing agreement with Microsoft, making Microsoft its largest customer.Analysts believe its AI infrastructure potential is not fully priced in; institutional price targets reach $200.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is high at 135.67%, indicating the options market expects significant price swings. The Call/Put Ratio of 2.45 reflects dominant bullish sentiment, but beware of overbought pullback risks.1-Day (11/7): $69 - $82. High IV and substantial out-of-the-money call buying drive upside, but after-hours selling pressure could cause volatility.1-Week (11/14): $65 - $85. A longer timeframe widens

Semiconductors & ChipsNVDA, AMD, INTC, MU $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ # Key News Summary #Significant Price Target Hike: On November 4, Loop Capital raised its price target on NVDA from $250 to $350 (the highest on the street), believing AI chip demand is entering a "golden wave" with strong data center growth.Policy and Short-Selling Impact: US restrictions on chip exports to China drove the stock price below $200; well-known investor Michael Burry shorted NVDA, erasing over $120 billion in market cap in a single day.Divergent Market Sentiment: Despite negative catalysts, retail investor sentiment remains "extremely bullish," with the average analyst price target implying over 11% upside.# Options Analysis #Bull/Bear Signals: Call/Put Ratio reached 1.76,