I know one of the more surprising stocks in the Asymmetric Universe is $General Motors(GM)$ .
Why GM and not $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$?
The answer was obvious to me. GM is so cheap it could generate strong returns from just buybacks, dividends, and multiple expansion.
Cruise was the asymmetric upside. And it (still) isn't priced in.
At TSLA, where is the upside? EV growth was priced in. FSD was priced in (even if it doesn't exist). Dojo, AI, robots all priced in.
Asymmetric upside doesn't exist when you're already paying for the upside. At that point, risk is a bigger consideration.
What happens when growth slows? Margins fall? No one buys robots? FSD stays in Level 2? The CEO leaves?
It's all downside.
Ask yourself, what upside is there that the market doesn't appreciate? That's where you will find asymmetric opportunities.
https://twitter.com/TravisHoium/status/1757441042645688572
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