The potential interest rate cu

The potential interest rate cut by the Fed in 2024, coupled with a hotter than expected CPI of 3.5%, presents a complex investment landscape.

While Goldman Sachs forecasts only two rate cuts in July and November, the discrepancy between actual and projected inflation may trigger market volatility.

I anticipate a short-term pullback in the S&P following the release of the hot inflation data. However, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term outlook.

My target is to capitalize on market volatility by selectively investing in sectors resilient to rising inflation, such as consumer staples, utilities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs).

Additionally, I plan to hedge against potential downside risks through diversification and defensive positioning in my portfolio.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

How do you think M-o-M S&P direction?(Maximum1 votes)

April'24 S&P close higher than March'24(0 votes)
April'24 S&P close lower than March'24(0 votes)

CPI 3.5%! Expect 2 or 3 Rate Cuts in 2024?

March headline CPI is 3.5%, higher than estimates of 3.4% and also the highest since September 2023. Core CPI is 3.8%, higher than estimates of 3.7%. Goldman Sachs expects only two rate cuts this year, with the first in July and the second in November. ------------- How do you expect rate cut in 2024? Will S&P start to pullback after hot inflation data? What's your target?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

sunshineboy
04-11
sunshineboy
Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":294024175452352,"tweetId":"294024175452352","gmtCreate":1712814803037,"gmtModify":1712820406490,"author":{"id":4092890920697680,"idStr":"4092890920697680","authorId":4092890920697680,"authorIdStr":"4092890920697680","name":"Tiger V","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/929ef5d38a3a27e3d8f60d939883e7bb","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"Experienced Bank Audit Specialist, ACCA qualified, with 20+ years in stock, options, & futures","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8-1","templateUuid":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8","name":"Star Contributor","description":"Have published 3 or more picked posts, and have published at least one picked post and participated in comments within 30 days","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://ttm.financial/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.04.11","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8-1","templateUuid":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8","name":"Star Contributor","description":"Have published 3 or more picked posts, and have published at least one picked post and participated in comments within 30 days","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://ttm.financial/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.11.25","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":4075,"starInvestorFlag":true,"starInvestorFollowerNum":2615,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":885,"userFollowInvestorFlag":false,"orderNotificationFlag":false,"ror":62.05,"showRor":true,"investmentPhilosophy":"Focus on diversify LT growth thru strategic allocation across asset class & rigorous risk management","winRationPercentage":58.72093,"navOrReporedYield":0,"tradeVolumeEst":0},"themes":[{"themeId":"7e0fca49048b4d48824c89bbc8e67624","categoryId":"7a15628ce2174325bddc6229505e0d70","name":"CPI 3.5%! Expect 2 or 3 Rate Cuts in 2024?","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":7e0fca49048b4d48824c89bbc8e67624}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"March headline CPI is 3.5%, higher than estimates of 3.4% and also the highest since September 2023. Core CPI is 3.8%, higher than estimates of 3.7%.\nGoldman Sachs expects only two rate cuts this year, with the first in July and the second in November.\n-------------\nHow do you expect rate cut in 2024?\nWill S&P start to pullback after hot inflation data?\nWhat's your target?","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80f62dfd5850e21f0559e7af3ea9e5cc"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>The potential interest rate cut by the Fed in 2024, coupled with a hotter than expected CPI of 3.5%, presents a complex investment landscape.&nbsp;\nWhile Goldman Sachs forecasts only two rate cuts in July and November, the discrepancy between actual and projected inflation may trigger market volatility.&nbsp;\nI anticipate a short-term pullback in the S&amp;P following the release of the hot inflation data. However, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term outlook.&nbsp;\nMy target is to capitalize on market volatility by selectively investing in sectors resilient to rising inflation, such as consumer staples, utilities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs).&nbsp;\nAdditionally, I plan to hedge against potential downside risks through diversification and defensive positioning in my portfolio.\n<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>The potential interest rate cut by the Fed in 2024, coupled with a hotter than expected CPI of 3.5%, presents a complex investment landscape.&nbsp;\nWhile Goldman Sachs forecasts only two rate cuts in July and November, the discrepancy between actual and projected inflation may trigger market volatility.&nbsp;\nI anticipate a short-term pullback in the S&amp;P following the release of the hot inflation data. However, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term outlook.&nbsp;\nMy target is to capitalize on market volatility by selectively investing in sectors resilient to rising inflation, such as consumer staples, utilities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs).&nbsp;\nAdditionally, I plan to hedge against potential downside risks through diversification and defensive positioning in my portfolio.\n<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a></body></html>","text":"The potential interest rate cut by the Fed in 2024, coupled with a hotter than expected CPI of 3.5%, presents a complex investment landscape. While Goldman Sachs forecasts only two rate cuts in July and November, the discrepancy between actual and projected inflation may trigger market volatility. I anticipate a short-term pullback in the S&P following the release of the hot inflation data. However, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term outlook. My target is to capitalize on market volatility by selectively investing in sectors resilient to rising inflation, such as consumer staples, utilities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Additionally, I plan to hedge against potential downside risks through diversification and defensive positioning in my portfolio. $S&P 500(.SPX)$","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/294024175452352","repostId":0,"isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"vote":{"id":3200,"gmtCreate":1712814803036,"gmtModify":1712814803036,"gmtBegin":1712814803036,"gmtEnd":1713419376210,"objectId":294024175452352,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"How do you think M-o-M S&P direction?","introduction":"How do you think M-o-M S&P direction?","totalSize":0,"choices":[{"id":11728,"gmtCreate":1712814803036,"gmtModify":1712814803036,"voteId":3200,"sort":1,"name":"April'24 S&P close higher than March'24","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":11729,"gmtCreate":1712814803036,"gmtModify":1712814803036,"voteId":3200,"sort":2,"name":"April'24 S&P close lower than March'24","userSize":0,"voted":false}]},"symbols":[".SPX"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":685,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":294049279967400,"commentId":"294049279967400","gmtCreate":1712820835295,"gmtModify":1712906204073,"authorId":3479274799087381,"author":{"id":3479274799087381,"idStr":"3479274799087381","authorId":3479274799087381,"name":"sunshineboy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/288a954613733fd61b9f74bb255f34f4","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":294024175452352,"objectIdStr":"294024175452352","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!","text":"Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!","html":"Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/294024175452352"}