The potential interest rate cu

The potential interest rate cut by the Fed in 2024, coupled with a hotter than expected CPI of 3.5%, presents a complex investment landscape.

While Goldman Sachs forecasts only two rate cuts in July and November, the discrepancy between actual and projected inflation may trigger market volatility.

I anticipate a short-term pullback in the S&P following the release of the hot inflation data. However, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term outlook.

My target is to capitalize on market volatility by selectively investing in sectors resilient to rising inflation, such as consumer staples, utilities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs).

Additionally, I plan to hedge against potential downside risks through diversification and defensive positioning in my portfolio.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

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April'24 S&P close higher than March'24(0 votes)
April'24 S&P close lower than March'24(0 votes)

CPI 3.5%! Expect 2 or 3 Rate Cuts in 2024?

March headline CPI is 3.5%, higher than estimates of 3.4% and also the highest since September 2023. Core CPI is 3.8%, higher than estimates of 3.7%. Goldman Sachs expects only two rate cuts this year, with the first in July and the second in November. ------------- How do you expect rate cut in 2024? Will S&P start to pullback after hot inflation data? What's your target?

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Comments

sunshineboy
04-11
sunshineboy
Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!

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Core CPI is 3.8%, higher than estimates of 3.7%.\nGoldman Sachs expects only two rate cuts this year, with the first in July and the second in November.\n-------------\nHow do you expect rate cut in 2024?\nWill S&P start to pullback after hot inflation data?\nWhat's your target?","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80f62dfd5850e21f0559e7af3ea9e5cc"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>The potential interest rate cut by the Fed in 2024, coupled with a hotter than expected CPI of 3.5%, presents a complex investment landscape.&nbsp;\nWhile Goldman Sachs forecasts only two rate cuts in July and November, the discrepancy between actual and projected inflation may trigger market volatility.&nbsp;\nI anticipate a short-term pullback in the S&amp;P following the release of the hot inflation data. 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However, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term outlook.&nbsp;\nMy target is to capitalize on market volatility by selectively investing in sectors resilient to rising inflation, such as consumer staples, utilities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs).&nbsp;\nAdditionally, I plan to hedge against potential downside risks through diversification and defensive positioning in my portfolio.\n<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a></body></html>","text":"The potential interest rate cut by the Fed in 2024, coupled with a hotter than expected CPI of 3.5%, presents a complex investment landscape. While Goldman Sachs forecasts only two rate cuts in July and November, the discrepancy between actual and projected inflation may trigger market volatility. I anticipate a short-term pullback in the S&P following the release of the hot inflation data. However, I remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term outlook. My target is to capitalize on market volatility by selectively investing in sectors resilient to rising inflation, such as consumer staples, utilities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Additionally, I plan to hedge against potential downside risks through diversification and defensive positioning in my portfolio. $S&P 500(.SPX)$","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/294024175452352","repostId":0,"isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"vote":{"id":3200,"gmtCreate":1712814803036,"gmtModify":1712814803036,"gmtBegin":1712814803036,"gmtEnd":1713419376210,"objectId":294024175452352,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"How do you think M-o-M S&P direction?","introduction":"How do you think M-o-M S&P direction?","totalSize":0,"choices":[{"id":11728,"gmtCreate":1712814803036,"gmtModify":1712814803036,"voteId":3200,"sort":1,"name":"April'24 S&P close higher than March'24","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":11729,"gmtCreate":1712814803036,"gmtModify":1712814803036,"voteId":3200,"sort":2,"name":"April'24 S&P close lower than March'24","userSize":0,"voted":false}]},"symbols":[".SPX"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":685,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":294049279967400,"gmtCreate":1712820835295,"gmtModify":1712906204073,"authorId":3479274799087381,"author":{"id":3479274799087381,"authorId":3479274799087381,"name":"sunshineboy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture150","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":294024175452352,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!","text":"Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!","html":"Wah, very detailed and insightful analysis hor!","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/294024175452352"}