How does Warren Buffett find undervalued stocks?
By following this SIMPLE process.
Here's a step-by-step guide every investor can copy:
Buffett laid out his criteria in his 1978 shareholder letter:
A business that we UNDERSTAND
With favorable LONG TERM PROSPECTS
Operated by COMPETENT people
Available at an ATTRACTIVE PRICE
STEP 1: Use a stock screener like @finchat_io https://finchat.io/
This will greatly narrow down the potential list of companies. Input the below filters into the stock screener:
Filter 1: Market Cap > $1 billion
Why? These companies are more likely to be mature and have the financial history needed to make an informed decision.
Filter 2: Price to Earnings Ratio < 15
Why? PE of 15 = $1 of earnings for every $15 you invest That's a 6.7% return (on earnings).
The cheaper you can buy earnings, the more value you're obtaining.
Filter 3: Return on Equity > 15%
Why? “Management's objective is to achieve a ROE higher than that of the American industry generally."
The higher the return on equity the better.
Filter 4: Long-Term Debt to Equity < 1
Why? Buffett prefers companies with “little or no debt”.
Filter 5: 5 Year EPS growth > 0%
Buffett wants a proven history of profit growth.
Higher = better
STEP 2: Check the Company’s Financial History, You want to make sure the company has solid past performance.
This gives us confidence in their long-term prospects & management competence.
Check their financials over the past 10 years. Ask:
Did REVENUE grow?
Did EPS grow?
Did RETURN ON EQUITY stay high?
Did DEBT stay stable or shrink?
Eliminate the nos.
STEP 3: Research the business
Read the annual report and ask:
What's their business model?
What problem are they solving?
Who is making the decisions?
What is their competitive advantage?
If you don’t easily understand this easily, eliminate it!
Now you have a high-quality list of companies that fit Warren Buffett’s rules:
A business that we UNDERSTAND
With favorable LONG TERM PROSPECTS
Operated by COMPETENT people
Available at an attractive price - UNDERVALUED
Research and track them further!
Or, just steal ideas from Buffett's $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ portfolio directly:
$Apple(AAPL)$ $Bank of America(BAC)$ $American Express(AXP)$ $Coca-Cola(KO)$ $Chevron(CVX)$ $Occidental(OXY)$ $The Kraft Heinz Company(KHC)$ $Moody's(MCO)$ $DaVita HealthCare Partners(DVA)$ $Citigroup(C)$
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