Markets have thin patience after years of uninvestability. Authorities need to get their messaging under discipline.China Stimulus: Whatever It Takes Has to Be More Than This - BloombergGoldman Sachs:Large stimulus likely needs multi-department cooperation and fiscal funding.Watching for policy updates from upcoming meetings.Expecting approval of 1-2 trillion yuan in special long-term bonds by year-end.Hong Kong market active but with selling bias; hedge funds selling financials, communications, and IT.Long-only investors buying financials, real estate, materials, and healthcare.Hong Kong $HSI(HSI)$ sees most outflows, while A-shares $SSE Comp(000001.SH)$ attract most inflows.Post-Golden Week:Offshore

The US Federal Reserve (US Fed) has cut the target range for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points (bps), from 5.25 - 5.5% earlier to 4.75 - 5.00% on Wednesday, the first time since 2020. The cut comes amid concerns regarding the job market in the US, and ahead of the US presidential elections in November 2024.Policymakers, according to reports, expect the Fed's benchmark to fall another half of a percentage point by 2024-end, and another one per cent in 2025.After this move, analysts expect the US central bank to now go slow on its rate cutting trajectory, remain data dependent, and also watch the outcome of the US presidential polls on November 5.U.S. futures jumped on Thursday. Dow Futures rose nearly 1%, Nasdaq 100 futures rose nearly 2%, S&P 500 futures rose more than 1%.The l

Happy Birthday to Warren Buffett!Warren Buffett’s $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ reached a $1 trillion market capitalization on Wednesday, the first nontechnology company in the U.S. to score the coveted milestone. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$It’s Warren Buffett’s Birthday. https://finimize.com/50 years ago the best Investors were the ones with informational edge. Today the best Investors are the ones with behavioral edge.His wisdom has been a guiding light for investors around the world.Please express your birthday greetings to Buffet and select your favorite quote from the below investing quotes edited by Compounding Quality.To gain a deeper understanding of Warren Buffett’s investment strategy and philos

In recent years, a lot of the worry about the U.S. economy has come down to "bad vibes." If you look at the hard data, we've been doing just fine. But if you ask most folks, they feel like things have been terrible.This so-called "vibecession" has shown up in sentiment data. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index crashed in 2022. And it has been low ever since.The same was true for small-business sentiment... until recently.That's according to the National Federation of Independent Business ("NFIB"). The NFIB is an industry group that surveys its members monthly to get their opinions on the economy. It then builds the responses into the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index.Given the latest economic fears, we'd expect this index to be falling. But it's not... Instead, it's hittin

Last week hedge funds bought utilities, real estate, and energy stocks and sold industrials, consumer discretionary, technology, financial and materials stocks.Chart: Goldman SachsThe BofA Global Fund Manager Survey saw big positioning into bonds and out of equities last month.ImageIs it time to shift your assets? What’s your plan?$DIA $SPY $IWM $QQQ $TLT $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$Below are highlights of some key points from last week,

Scott Rubner, a global markets managing director at Goldman Sachs specializing in capital flows, noted that over the past month, systematic funds, which buy stocks based on market signals and volatility rather than company fundamentals, have massively sold off US stocks, hitting a four-year high in dollar terms.But now, the market has calmed down. Goldman Sachs pointed out that the VIX, known as the "fear index", is trading around 15, and economic data shows that the Federal Reserve may be close to achieving a soft landing, and systematic funds are expected to buy U.S. stocks again.Barclays strategists also wrote in a report to clients on Monday: "If the market stabilizes and the data gets better, funds may increase buying pressure more significantly."Take volatility control funds, whose p

Hi Tigers,The U.S. stock market closed out a bumpy July marked by election turmoil, interest-rate uncertainty and disappointing earnings that took megacap technology names on a roller-coaster ride.How was your trading performances?History suggests August has emerged as one of the best months of a presidential election year, on average.However, the average spike in Wall Street’s ‘fear gauge’ has been higher in the third quarter than any other quarter.PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES/ISTOCK1. Summer is the strongest period for the U.S. stock market in a presidential election year.If history is any guide, the so-called Magnificent Seven could stage a comeback as the calendar turns to August — but beware that the market is in the midst of an exceptional rotation, so relying on seasonality alone as a timing

The market fell on Thursday, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ falling more than 2% for the first time in 365 days.Most technology stocks fell, and I believe this market performance is difficult for most investors.We also want to know how users are dealing with the recent decline? Do you think the correction will continue?Image Source: TradingViewHere's a detailed discussion on various strategies investors can employ to manage their portfolios during a stock market downturn, catering to different risk appetites:1. Going CashStrategy Description: Selling all stocks or other assets and holding cash. This is a very conservative strategy suitable for investors who want to avoid market risks entirely.Advantages: Completely avoids losses from a market downtu

The stock market logged a gangbusters first half of the year. Can it last?The S&P 500 index gained a whopping 14.5% to close the first six months of 2024. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.8% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 18.1%.Much of the S&P 500’s gains were concentrated in the Magnificent Seven big tech names, while other stocks lagged behind. Nvidia (NVDA), the leader of the pack, has pulled even further ahead. Shares of the chipmaker jumped 149% this year. Its valuation topped $3 trillion for the first time in June, when Nvidia was briefly the world’s largest public company.Now, investors expect the Fed will cut rates up to three times in 2024, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, though the central bank has only penciled in one.July is historically a great month for U

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hit a new all-time-high of 5,500 yesterday. That is the index's 31st time it has hit a new all-time-high in 2024! Increasing, more and more experts are coming on TV to say that the market will crash soon. Is the market hitting a new high a bearish signal? History says no. Since 1950, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Has Set 1,250 All-Time Highs along the path to its current level. That’s an average of 16 All-time-highs a year If you break it down by decades, the 1990s had 300 all time highs made. This decade was one of the most bullish, with the S&P 500 gaining +312%. The 2000's had only 13 all time highs. The 2000's was one of the most bearish decades, which saw the dot com crash and G