Since 1950, there have been 21 episodes where the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was up more than +10% at the end of May.
Out of these, the SPX was up the rest of the year in 19/21 instances (91%) for a median return of +13.3%.
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When the SPX trades higher over the first 100 days of a Presidential election year, the rest of the year is up 93% of the time for an average return of 10.1% ($5800).
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https://x.com/Marlin_Capital/status/1797637497373204582
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