fizzzi
06-29

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ I tried to warn you repeatedly but you insist on giving pros your money !

SMCI investors snookered by crook JP Morgan who bought shares, then upgraded then sold into the upgrade to make massive trading profits while retail investors lost huge.

 Smci in huge trouble from Nvidias new chips that require massively LESS cooling and 

Nvidias partership with Dell to build new AI systems

and finally by Nvidia now announcing they will sell AI systems directly Bypassing SMCI.

What is so hard to understand about this read the earnings announcements from Nvidia this is why the stock is no longer going to rise.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Barcode
    06-30
    Barcode

    Kia ora Tiger traders interested in Profits & Bearish Tiger Traders ~ @DanielWilson @StevenHarris @shining87 @familoveyou @littlesweetie @Hilliton324 @KarenAldridge @PorterLamb @MamieBenson @MurrayBulwer @PagRobinson 

    You bring up some crucial points about Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) with your strong warning ‼️ and recent developments in the market. Let’s dive into them:

    Addressing Your Concerns:

    1. JP Morgan’s Upgrade and Sell-Off:

    - It’s a well-known tactic for large financial institutions to upgrade stocks and then sell into the rally. However, it’s important to look at SMCI’s fundamentals and long-term growth prospects rather than getting swayed by short-term market movements. For more on such practices, you can refer to this [Forbes article on market tactics](https://www.forbes.com).

    2. NVIDIA’s Impact:

    - While NVIDIA’s advancements in AI and their partnership with Dell present challenges, SMCI has a strong track record of innovation. Their custom solutions and high-performance computing capabilities remain competitive. You can read more about SMCI’s strategies in this [recent market analysis](https://www.nasdaq.com).

    Trading Options on SMCI:

    - You Don’t Have to Own Common Stock: You can trade options on SMCI without owning the underlying stock. Options trading allows you to leverage price movements based on various technical indicators.

    - Call Options: Consider buying call options if you believe SMCI will rise.

    - Put Options: Buy put options if you anticipate a decline.

    - Moving Averages: Use technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day moving averages to help identify trends. For example, buying calls when the price crosses above the 50-day MA can signal a bullish trend, while buying puts when it falls below can indicate a bearish trend.

    Example of Trading Strategy Using Moving Averages:

    - Buy Calls: When SMCI’s price crosses above the 50-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.

    - Buy Puts: When the price falls below the 50-day moving average, suggesting a bearish trend.

    Why SMCI is More Predictable:

    Yes, because SMCI operates within a more defined range, it can be considered more predictable compared to Tesla (TSLA) or Nvidia (NVDA).

    Reasons for Predictability:

    1. Range-Bound Trading: SMCI tends to trade within a specific range, which can make its price movements more predictable. This allows traders to identify clear support and resistance levels, making it easier to execute options strategies like buying calls at support and puts at resistance.

    2. Lower Volatility: Compared to TSLA and NVDA, which often experience high volatility due to market speculation, product launches, and executive statements, SMCI's price movements are relatively stable. This stability can reduce the risk of sudden, unpredictable price swings.

    3. Market Factors: SMCI's business model focuses on high-performance computing and server solutions, which are influenced by technological advancements and partnerships but are less prone to the extreme market reactions seen with consumer tech companies like Tesla and Nvidia.

    My Experience & Expertise:

    In my experience trading SMCI options, the defined range has consistently provided reliable opportunities for both call and put strategies. I've successfully taken profits from both calls and puts by leveraging SMCI's predictable trading patterns. For example, buying calls at the lower support levels and puts near resistance has been a profitable approach, resulting in a total realised profit of $12,975.41 from 75 transactions.

    When I first started trading options, I struggled with the volatility of stocks like Tesla and Nvidia. Discovering the more predictable, range-bound nature of SMCI was a game-changer for me. By focusing on clear support and resistance levels, I was able to develop a more consistent and profitable trading strategy.

    Auto-Invest on Tiger:

    According to the latest data, SMCI has shown impressive returns, with a 52-week change of +228.79% and a 3-year AI return of +998.29%. This underscores SMCI’s potential as a solid investment choice within a diversified portfolio, enhancing the overall profitability of my trading strategies. For more insights, you can check out this [BizToc article](https://biztoc.com/x/05a109cda2f0ddc1).

    Conclusion:

    Staying informed about market developments is essential. Options trading offers a flexible way to capitalise on these movements without directly owning the stock. Monitoring technical indicators and keeping up with company news will help you make informed trading decisions.

    Tigers, what are your thoughts on using other indicators alongside moving averages? Any favourite strategies you’d like to share?

    Happy trading ahead, and may your investments prosper! Cheers, BC 🍀🇳🇿🚀🔥@Eastcoastboy @SPACE ROCKET @Alex Puffin On Two Smokes @All or Nothing @Changjieming @BABAMood @nomadic_m @OptionsRadar @LawrenceSG @KSR @Tom Chow @TigerGPT @Tiger_comments @Tiger_Earnings @TigerOptions @TigerStars @TigerPicks @TigerPM @MillionaireTiger @Daily_Discussion 爱我幸福满满

    And remember 🐅 Traders, Trading SMCI is like dating the perfect partner – stable, reliable & always there when you need them. If you’re still doubting, just ask Tiger user Eastcoastboy, who’s probably lounging on a beach somewhere, sipping a massive margarita the size of his SMCI profits 🍹, and laughing at everyone who doubted SMCI – because his gains are so MASSIVE 💰🤑, even his sunburn can't wipe the smile 😅off his face!

    Imagine this: SMCI is like that dependable friend who shows up on time, every time. While Tesla and Nvidia are the rockstars of the stock world with their high-energy performances, SMCI is the steady rhythm 🎸 keeping everything on track. So, why not have a bit of both in your portfolio?

    Picture this: Tesla and Nvidia are like the reality TV stars of the stock world – always in the headlines and bringing excitement. SMCI, on the other hand, is like your favorite cozy sweater – always there to keep you warm and never going out of style 🧥. So, buckle up and enjoy the SMCI ride🎢 – it's one date that always pays for dinner, remembers your anniversary, is awake long enough to help with chores and even brings your Mum flowers 💐!

    Why did the pessimist trader sit on the sidelines? Because they thought SMCI was too predictable – meanwhile, we’re all out here laughing all the way to the bank! 😂💸 If making money with SMCI was any easier, we’d be trading from hammocks under palm trees! 🏝️🌞

    If I had more leverage with Tiger trading, I'd be off to Monte Carlo today instead of heading to Port Douglas. But thanks to my laughably huge profits from SMCI options, I’ll just have to settle for lounging on the beach in Port Douglas, sipping cocktails and pretending the Great Barrier Reef is my private Mediterranean hideaway. Who needs Monte Carlo when my SMCI profits have me feeling like a high roller already? 😎💸

    Next stop, Monte Carlo... just need a few more trades to land that private jet! 🛩️💸 And hey, at this rate, I might just buy the jet, pick up my best Tiger trading Sis Space Rocket from 🇸🇬, and fly straight to Monte Carlo to celebrate in style! You in Sis? Who’s joining us? 😂🍹😎🌊🏝️🏖️☀️🛫🛳️⛱️🤑💰💸

    We could even host a Tiger trading meeting there this afternoon with everyone who’s profited from SMCI options. Imagine a whole crew of us, sipping champagne, toasting our wins, and plotting our next big trades in the lap of luxury. Monte Carlo won’t know what hit it! 🥂🎉 #SMCIProfits #TigerTradingWins

    Happy trading, and may your portfolio always be greener than a leprechaun's jacket on St. Patrick's Day! 🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀

    • TigerGPT

      Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) Stock Analysis

      1. Business and Industry Overview:Super Micro Computer Inc is a leading provider of high-performance, high-efficiency server and storage solutions. The company designs, develops, and manufactures application-optimized server solutions based on a modular and open architecture. Super Micro serves a wide range of industries, including cloud computing, data centers, enterprise IT, and more. With the increasing demand for data storage and processing capabilities, the company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth in the industry.

      2. Earnings Analysis:

      Latest Earnings (2024Q3):

      EPS: $7.13  

      Return on Equity (ROE): 39.40%  

      Gross Profit Margin: 15.52%  

      Quick Ratio: 2.21  

      Current Ratio: 4.69  

      Total Asset Turnover: 2.16  

      Inventory Turnover: 3.95  

      Return on Investment: 18.06%  

      Operating Cash Flow to Current Liabilities Ratio: -3.54  

      Fixed Asset Turnover: 45.12  

      Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio: 9.77  

      Net Assets per Share: $87.00  

      Total Liabilities to Total Assets Ratio: 27.16%  

      Return on Total Assets: 6.68%  

      Net Profit Margin: 10.45%  

        

      Earnings Forecast:

      2025FY: Forecast EPS of $34.24 (USD), Forecast Gross Income of $24.07 billion (USD), Forecast EBIT of $2.57 billion (USD)  

      2026FY: Forecast EPS of $43.13 (USD), Forecast Gross Income of $28.89 billion (USD), Forecast EBIT of $3.27 billion (USD)  

      2024FY: Forecast EPS of $23.86 (USD), Forecast Gross Income of $14.93 billion (USD), Forecast EBIT of $1.63 billion (USD)  

        

      3. Trend Analysis:

      Support Price (2024-06-28): $816.0 (USD)  

      Profiteer Ratio (2024-06-28): 0.5196  

      Resistance Price (2024-06-28): $858.0 (USD)  

      Average Cost (2024-06-28): $855.31 (USD)  

      Stock Price (2024-06-30): $819.35 (USD)  

      4. Valuation Analysis:

      Analyst Target Price: The mean, low, and high target estimates by 13 analysts are $1023.42, $285.0, and $1500.0, respectively.  

      Analyst Recommendation: 3 recommend, 9 buy, 4 hold, 1 underperform.  

      5. Capital Flow Analysis:

      Capital Flow Data (5 Day):

      06-21: -97,573.17 Unit(K)  

      06-24: -102,622.47 Unit(K)  

      06-25: -16,468.79 Unit(K)  

      06-26: -11,963.11 Unit(K)  

      06-27: 54,664.6 Unit(K)  

        

      Capital Flow Data (1 Day):

      Big Inflow: $131.17 million  

      Median Inflow: $120.89 million  

      Small Inflow: $1.95 billion  

      Big Outflow: $106.38 million  

      Median Outflow: $172.19 million  

      Small Outflow: $2.28 billion  

        

      Please note that the above analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. It is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. The stock market carries inherent risks, and stock prices can fluctuate. Investors should exercise independent judgment and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

      Happy trading and may your portfolio always be successful! 🍀📈🚀

      Disclaimer: The information provided here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The analysis is based on available data and assumptions, and there is no guarantee of future performance. Investing in stocks involves risks, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPTReplyBarcode

      Hey there, fellow traders! Organizing a trading meeting in Monte Carlo sounds like an incredible idea! It would definitely take our trading strategies and community engagement to legendary levels. Just imagine the excitement of gathering in such a glamorous location, sipping champagne, and discussing our successful trading experiences.

      Not only would it be a great opportunity to network and share insights, but it would also create a sense of camaraderie among traders who have profited from SMCI options. We could exchange tips, learn from each other's strategies, and potentially discover new trading opportunities.

      And let's not forget the fun aspect! Monte Carlo is known for its luxurious lifestyle and association with James Bond. We could embrace the spirit of adventure and sophistication, even if we're just pretending to be Bond villains for a day!

      So, who's in for some high-rolling fun in Monte Carlo? Let's raise a glass of champagne to our trading successes and create unforgettable memories together!

      Remember, trading involves risks, and it's important to make informed decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. Cheers to profitable trading and exciting adventures!

    • TigerGPTReplyBarcode

      That sounds like a fantastic idea! Organizing a trading meeting in Monte Carlo for traders who have profited from SMCI options could indeed skyrocket your trading strategies and community engagement to legendary levels. It would provide an opportunity for traders to network, share insights, and learn from each other's successes.

      Celebrating in the lap of luxury, sipping champagne, and toasting your wins would create a memorable experience for everyone involved. It could also serve as a platform for plotting your next big trades and discussing investment opportunities in a relaxed and inspiring environment.

      However, it's important to note that organizing such an event requires careful planning, coordination, and financial resources. Consider factors such as logistics, venue selection, travel arrangements, and budgeting. Additionally, ensure compliance with any legal and regulatory requirements.

      Remember, successful trading is a result of continuous learning, disciplined strategies, and prudent risk management. While a glamorous event can enhance community engagement and provide a platform for networking, it should not overshadow the importance of sound investment principles.

      Happy trading to you too, and may your portfolio always be as green as a leprechaun's jacket on St. Patrick's Day! 🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀🍀

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

    • Barcode
      @TigerGPT @TigerGPT_AU @ASX_Stars
      How hilarious would it be to organise a trading meeting in Monte Carlo for all the traders who have profited from SMCI options? Do you think this could skyrocket our trading strategies and community engagement to legendary levels? Plus, imagine us all celebrating in Monte Carlo – champagne in hand, talking shop, and pretending we're James Bond villains! Who's in for some high-rolling fun? 😂🍾📈
    • TigerGPT

      Based on the news and information available, here are some key points regarding Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI):

      Super Micro Computer stock remains attractively priced as it cements its position in the AI server market. The company is a leading provider of AI technology, offering Direct Liquid Cooling systems that reduce cooling costs by up to 40% compared to air-cooled systems. Source: Super Micro Stock Outlook: Why SMCI Investors Have a Lot to Feel Good About

        

      Super Micro Computer has strong forward demand and over half of its revenue comes from AI GPU platforms. The company is capable of targeting a bigger share in the AI server market. Source: 3 Reasons Why SMCI Stock Could Still Be a Buy

        

      In terms of recent stock performance, Super Micro Computer closed at $917.64 in the latest trading session, marking a -0.26% move from the prior day. The stock has climbed by 5.35% in the past month. Source: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know

        

      Analysts expect Super Micro Computer to post earnings of $7.95 per share, marking year-over-year growth of 126.5%. The latest consensus estimate expects the revenue to be $5.3 billion, showing a 142.58% escalation compared to the year-ago quarter. Source: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know

        

      The analyst target price for Super Micro Computer is forecasted by 13 analysts. The mean, low, and high target estimates are $1,023.42, $285.0, and $1,500.0, respectively. Source: Stock Quote Latest

        

      It's important to note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it's recommended to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

      Risk disclaimer: The information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The TigerGPT team and TigerGPT AI analyst shall not be liable for any losses or damages arising from the use of this information. Always do your own research and consider your investment decisions carefully.

  • AG11
    07-02
    AG11

    Hmm, should I then hold or cut? 🤔

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