HENDRICK
08-20

The S&P 500 has been on an impressive 8-day rally, and the decision to hold or sell your positions depends on several factors, including your investment strategy, risk tolerance, and the current market outlook.

This Week's Outlook:

- **Short-Term Volatility**: After an extended rally, some traders might take profits, leading to short-term volatility.

- **Continuation of the Rally**: If positive economic data and earnings reports continue to roll in, the rally might extend.

- **Market Corrections**: Watch for potential corrections if the rally has outpaced underlying fundamentals.

Recommendations:

- **Long-Term Investors**: If you're a long-term investor, holding might be a better strategy unless you're significantly overweight in equities and need to rebalance.

- **Short-Term Traders**: If you're more short-term focused, you might consider taking some profits, especially if technical indicators suggest the market is overbought.

My Take/Conclusion:

Given the mixed signals, monitoring this week’s developments closely will be key. Diversifying your portfolio and setting stop-loss orders can help manage risk if volatility increases.

The S&P 500's rally might be near a resistance level, or it could be overbought according to certain technical indicators (e.g., RSI, moving averages). If it's overbought, a short-term pullback could occur. Sell all stocks, wait and observe the market closely.

50 bps! Ready to Embrace Rally or Sell the News?
On September 18, 2024, the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5%. This is the first cut since March 2022. The Fed forecasts a total of 100 basis points in cuts for 2024 and another 100 basis points in 2025. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 both hit record highs during the trading session but soon gave back some gains. All three major indices turned negative, with the Dow down 0.25%, the Nasdaq down 0.31%, and the S&P 500 down 0.29%. ---------------- Will 50bps continue to boost market higher or time to sell the fact?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • MartinBrown
    08-21
    MartinBrown
    Wait and observe the market closely. [Observation]
  • LesleyNewman
    08-21
    LesleyNewman
    Risky move! [Anger] [Doubt]
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