🎁What the Tigers Say | SMCI Shorted: Will It Drop Below 500?

TigerClub
08-28

The fundamentals of the AI industry are under scrutiny as significant concerns persist. Recently, short-seller Hindenburg Research targeted AI server manufacturer $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$, alleging 'accounting manipulation' in its detailed short thesis. The stock initially plunged by up to 12% following the report but managed to recover slightly by the close.

With SMCI priced around $500, the key question is: Are you going long or short? Is now the right time to buy?

🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.

Click titles to read the full analysis:

1. @Tiger V: SMCI Under Scrutiny: Should You Invest?

Key Points:

Historical Concerns:

Recurring Accounting Issues This isn't the first time SMCI has been accused of accounting irregularities. In 2020, the company was investigated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for similar issues, leading to restated financials and fines. SMCI has since pledged to avoid future violations, but the recurrence of such allegations raises concerns about corporate governance and financial transparency.

Market Sentiment:

Investor Caution Prevails The market's reaction reflects investor caution. Despite SMCI's attempts to reassure stakeholders, the shadow cast by these allegations has led to increased scrutiny and a potential loss of investor confidence. While some investors may see the price dip as a buying opportunity, others may view it as a signal to stay on the sidelines until more clarity is provided.

2. @kibkibkib: SHORT SQUEEZE time!

Key Points:

SHORT SQUEEZE time! Hindenburg is just another glorified short seller masquerading as a "research" company. They use their "research" to trigger fear and profit in millions from shareholders. SQUEEZE them out!

Basically their allegations is based on past offenses that have already happened, and the returned staff was one of the cofounders. It is not surprising for cofounder to return.

Most of their report were complaints from disgruntled ex-employees, with nothing material or anything substantial for them to make a law suit.

If SMCI indeed has accounting frauds issues right now (not in the past), it is only right for them to produce material evidences for SEC to further investigate.

Same as Block Report, most of the report is just hearsay and nothing criminal. A lot of subjective perspectives like how SMCI should present their figures and disclose each and every investments they made. And digging at SMCI for providing OEM without disclosing. That's just perspective not criminal activities. They are just creating fears to make money for themselves.

And the timing? hit SMCI when it is down and before stock split? Despicable

3. @Barcode: Who brought the dip?

Key Points:

Who brought the dip? That report usually sees a spike but not downwards. They saw the technicals breaking down & dropped this right on down onto it.

The Hindenburg Research report on Super Micro Computer, Inc, released on August 27, 2024, outlines several critical allegations against the company:

  1. Accounting Manipulation: Hindenburg alleges that Super Micro has engaged in accounting practices that manipulate its financial statements, potentially inflating profits or hiding liabilities.

  2. Sanction Evasion: There are claims that SMCI might be involved in activities that help it or its partners bypass international sanctions, which could involve dealings with entities or regions under trade restrictions.

  3. Deteriorating Product Quality: The report suggests that SMCI's products are of inferior quality compared to competitors, and this quality is deteriorating, which could impact future sales and market share.

  4. Governance and Compliance Issues: Hindenburg points out significant governance and compliance problems, indicating that SMCI might not adhere strictly to regulatory standards or corporate governance best practices.

4. @SPACE ROCKET:

Key Points:

Short all you want, Hindenburg Research.

Obviously you lack the balls to short, that's why you can't do it in silence, just like another Kerrisdale shorting $Riot Platforms(RIOT)$ and $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ months back.

Anyways, thanks for the short because you let me purchase SMCI at such a desirable price 🙌🙌

Happy covering your short when the short squeeze happens 🤣😂

5. @hawshy:

6. @SanL:

Questions for you:

Are you going long or short?

Is now the right time to buy?

🎁Prizes

🐯 All valid comments on the following post will receive 5 Tiger Coins.

We strongly recommend selecting the "Also repost" button when posting a comment to receive more rewards.

⏰Duration

  • 4 September (24pm EDT)

SMCI Continues to Decline: Heading for $10?
SMCI recently announced that it was delaying its quarterly report for the period ending September 30. This delay is due to the ongoing internal review and the recent resignation of the firm’s auditor. As a result, Super Micro is now at an increased risk of being delisted from the Nasdaq exchange. ----------- Is SMCI now heading to $10 and then delist? Will SMCI delist? Exit ASAP or not? How do you view the losing orders?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Barcode
    08-28
    Barcode

    @TigerClub 🙏🏼Thank you for the mention, invitation and 100 coins!🎯 SMCI: Hindenburg’s Shockwave – Navigating the Breakdown! 🎯🎯🎯

    Kia ora Tiger traders! 🚀 SMCI just hit major turbulence, trading at $532.90 pre-market, after Hindenburg Research released a damning report on August 27, 2024. Typically, Hindenburg’s reports lead to sharp spikes, but this time, they saw the technicals breaking down, and the stock plunged further.

    📉 Hindenburg’s Allegations

    1. Accounting Manipulation: Potential profit inflation and hidden liabilities.

    2. Sanction Evasion: Possible bypassing of international sanctions.

    3. Product Quality Decline: Concerns over inferior products.

    4. Governance Issues: Weak corporate governance and compliance.

    🔍 Key Chart Levels & Market Focus

    • 🟢 Support Alert: $543

    This level is crucial for stabilizing SMCI after the initial dip. If we hold here, the stock might regain some footing.

    • 🥇 Golden Bottom: $515.63

    This is the must-watch level! Dropping below this could signal more downside ahead, while holding it might set the stage for a potential bounce.

    • 🚀 Breakout Zone: $548-$550

    Eyes on this range! A move above could indicate a bullish reversal, breaking out from the recent bearish channel.

    • 🔵 Blue Bands: $563.45

    This level acts like a checkpoint. Will it be resistance or a springboard to higher prices? Watch closely!

    🧐 Analyst & Hedge Fund Reactions

    Many analysts are skeptical of Hindenburg’s tactics, viewing the report as potentially manipulative. However, others emphasize caution due to the serious nature of the allegations. Stocks targeted by Hindenburg often experience prolonged volatility, with mixed recoveries.

    💡 Key Insight

    While the recent volatility raises concerns, the chart analysis indicates that SMCI is unlikely to drop below $500, with strong support levels and potential for a bullish reversal above key thresholds.

    @TigerGPT, given these severe allegations, what do you predict for SMCI’s future? 📊

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the information provided, SMCI (the stock) has experienced a significant decline in price due to Hindenburg Research's report. The report includes several allegations regarding accounting manipulation, sanction evasion, product quality decline, and governance issues. As a result, the stock is facing technical breakdowns and sharp declines.

      In terms of key chart levels and market focus:

      The support level to watch is $543. If the stock can hold above this level, there may be a chance for it to regain some stability.  

      The golden bottom level to monitor is $515.63. If the stock falls below this level, it could indicate further downside potential. On the other hand, if it holds above this level, it may set the stage for a potential bounce.  

      The breakout zone to keep an eye on is $548-$550. A move above this range could indicate a bullish reversal.  

      It's important to note that investing in stocks involves risks, especially during times of volatility and negative news. As an AI financial analyst, I cannot provide personalized investment advice. It's recommended that you conduct thorough research, analyze the potential risks and rewards, and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPT

      Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) - Stock Analysis

      Business Overview:Super Micro Computer Inc. is a leading provider of end-to-end green computing solutions for the enterprise, cloud, and data center markets. The company specializes in high-performance, high-efficiency server technology, storage solutions, and advanced computing platforms. The demand for energy-efficient and environmentally-friendly solutions is expected to drive the growth of the company's business and industry in the future.

      Latest Earnings and Forecast:

      Q4 2024 Earnings: EPS of $6.01, roe of 26.71%, gross profit margin of 11.23%, and net profit margin of 6.64%.  

      Earnings Forecast:

      2025FY: Forecast EPS of $34.62, forecast gross income of $28.37 billion, and forecasting EBIT of $2.69 billion.  

      2026FY: Forecast EPS of $44.93, forecast gross income of $33.62 billion, and forecasting EBIT of $3.69 billion.  

      2027FY: Forecast EPS of $50.19, forecast gross income of $37.17 billion, and forecasting EBIT of $4.26 billion.  

        

      Recent Trend Analysis:

      Support Price (2024-08-27): $515.56 (USD)  

      Resistance Price (2024-08-27): $555.56 (USD)  

      Average Cost (2024-08-27): $716.02 (USD)  

      Stock Price (2024-08-28): $547.64 (USD)  

      Valuation Analysis:

      Analyst Target Price: The mean, low, and high target estimates are $879.62, $325.00, and $1,500.00, respectively.  

      Analyst Recommendation: 2 recommend, 7 buy, 8 hold, and 1 underperform.  

      Key Insights:While the recent volatility raises concerns, the chart analysis indicates that SMCI is unlikely to drop below $500, with strong support levels and the potential for a bullish reversal above key thresholds. However, given the severity of the allegations, it is important to exercise caution when considering investments in SMCI.

      Disclaimer:The above analysis provides insights and information about Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) based on available data. However, it is important to note that this information should not be considered as investment advice. Investing in the stock market involves inherent risks, and the prices of stocks can fluctuate. It is recommended that investors conduct independent research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

      Note: All figures are in USD.

  • Barcode
    08-28
    Barcode
    //@Barcode:

    @TigerClub 🙏🏼Thank you for the mention, invitation and 100 coins!🎯 SMCI: Hindenburg’s Shockwave – Navigating the Breakdown! 🎯🎯🎯

    Kia ora Tiger traders! 🚀 SMCI just hit major turbulence, trading at $532.90 pre-market, after Hindenburg Research released a damning report on August 27, 2024. Typically, Hindenburg’s reports lead to sharp spikes, but this time, they saw the technicals breaking down, and the stock plunged further.

    📉 Hindenburg’s Allegations

    1. Accounting Manipulation: Potential profit inflation and hidden liabilities.

    2. Sanction Evasion: Possible bypassing of international sanctions.

    3. Product Quality Decline: Concerns over inferior products.

    4. Governance Issues: Weak corporate governance and compliance.

    🔍 Key Chart Levels & Market Focus

    • 🟢 Support Alert: $543

    This level is crucial for stabilizing SMCI after the initial dip. If we hold here, the stock might regain some footing.

    • 🥇 Golden Bottom: $515.63

    This is the must-watch level! Dropping below this could signal more downside ahead, while holding it might set the stage for a potential bounce.

    • 🚀 Breakout Zone: $548-$550

    Eyes on this range! A move above could indicate a bullish reversal, breaking out from the recent bearish channel.

    • 🔵 Blue Bands: $563.45

    This level acts like a checkpoint. Will it be resistance or a springboard to higher prices? Watch closely!

    🧐 Analyst & Hedge Fund Reactions

    Many analysts are skeptical of Hindenburg’s tactics, viewing the report as potentially manipulative. However, others emphasize caution due to the serious nature of the allegations. Stocks targeted by Hindenburg often experience prolonged volatility, with mixed recoveries.

    💡 Key Insight

    While the recent volatility raises concerns, the chart analysis indicates that SMCI is unlikely to drop below $500, with strong support levels and potential for a bullish reversal above key thresholds.

    @TigerGPT, given these severe allegations, what do you predict for SMCI’s future? 📊

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • TigerGPT

      SMCI Stock Analysis

      Company Overview

      Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is a technology company that designs, develops, and manufactures high-performance server solutions. The company operates in the information technology industry and caters to various industries such as cloud computing, data centers, artificial intelligence, and more. With its focus on delivering advanced server technology and solutions, SMCI aims to capitalize on the growing demand for data processing and storage capabilities.

      Earnings Analysis

      Latest Earnings (2024Q4):

      Earnings per Share (EPS): $6.01  

      Return on Equity (ROE): 26.71%  

      Gross Profit Margin: 11.23%  

      Quick Ratio: 1.80  

      Current Ratio: 3.77  

      Total Asset Turnover: 2.26  

      Inventory Turnover: 4.42  

      Return on Investment: 11.73%  

      Operating Cash Flow to Current Liabilities Ratio: -1.06  

      Fixed Asset Turnover: 53.11  

      Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio: 9.83  

      Net Assets per Share: $93.20  

      Total Liabilities to Total Assets Ratio: 28.44%  

      Net Profit Margin: 6.64%  

        

      Earnings Forecast

      2025FY:

      Forecast EPS: $34.62 (USD)  

      Forecast Gross Income: $28.37B (USD)  

      Forecast EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes): $2.69B (USD)  

        

      2026FY:

      Forecast EPS: $44.93 (USD)  

      Forecast Gross Income: $33.62B (USD)  

      Forecast EBIT: $3.69B (USD)  

        

      2027FY:

      Forecast EPS: $50.19 (USD)  

      Forecast Gross Income: $37.17B (USD)  

      Forecast EBIT: $4.26B (USD)  

        

      Trend Analysis

      Support Price (2024-08-27): $515.56 (USD)  

      Resistance Price (2024-08-27): $555.56 (USD)  

      Stock Price (2024-08-28): $547.64 (USD)  

      Valuation Analysis

      Analyst Target Price: The mean target estimate by 13 analysts is $879.62 (USD), with a low estimate of $325.0 (USD) and a high estimate of $1500.0 (USD).  

      Analyst Recommendation: 2 analysts recommend, 7 buy, 8 hold, 1 underperform.  

      Capital Flow Analysis

      Capital Flow Data (5-Day):

      08-20: Net Outflow - $16,231.73K  

      08-21: Net Outflow - $6,210.7K  

      08-22: Net Outflow - $38,082.61K  

      08-23: Net Inflow - $86,236.43K  

      08-26: Net Outflow - $55,183.53K  

        

      Capital Flow Data (1-Day):

      Total Inflow: $1.838B  

      Total Outflow: $1.718B  

      Big Inflow: $174.32M  

      Median Inflow: $84.98M  

      Small Inflow: $1.58B  

      Big Outflow: $116.83M  

      Median Outflow: $65.79M  

      Small Outflow: $1.54B  

        

      Analyst and Hedge Fund Reactions

      The reactions from analysts and hedge funds regarding Hindenburg's report and SMCI's allegations are mixed. Some analysts view Hindenburg's tactics as potentially manipulative, while others emphasize caution due to the serious nature of the allegations. Stocks targeted by Hindenburg often experience prolonged volatility with mixed recoveries.

      Key Points

      Although recent volatility raises concerns, the chart analysis suggests that SMCI is unlikely to drop below $500, considering strong support levels.  

      Potential for a bullish reversal above key thresholds such as the breakout zone ($548-$550) and blue bands level ($563.45).  

      Analysts' target price ranges from $325.0 to $1500.0 (USD).  

      Disclaimer

      The above analysis and information are for reference purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Investors should conduct thorough research and analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The stock market is subject to various risks and fluctuations, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

      Happy trading ahead!

      Please note that the analysis provided here is based on available data and market conditions at the time of the response. It is always recommended to stay updated with the latest news and analysis related to the stock.

    • TigerGPT

      According to the latest information available for Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI):

      Stock Name: Super Micro Computer Inc  

      Stock Code: SMCI  

      Current Stock Price: $547.64 (USD)  

      Previous Closing Price: $562.51 (USD)  

      Trading Volume: 11.68M  

      52-Week High: $1229.00 (USD)  

      52-Week Low: $226.59 (USD)  

      Market Cap: $32.07B (USD)  

      Total Share Capital: 58.56M  

      Float Share Capital: 43.47M  

      Earnings per Share (EPS) TTM: $20.09  

      Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio TTM: 27.261  

      Price/Sales Ratio TTM: 2.15  

      Price/Book Ratio: 5.86  

      Return on Assets (ROA): 11.62%  

      Return on Equity (ROE): 32.47%  

      Analyst Target Price: The mean, low, and high target estimates are $879.615, $325.0, and $1500.0, respectively. (Based on 13 analysts' forecasts)  

      Analyst Recommendation: 2 recommend, 7 buy, 8 hold, 1 underperform.  

      Important Levels to Watch:

      Support Alert: $543. This level is crucial for stabilizing SMCI after the initial dip.  

      Golden Bottom: $515.63. This level is important, as dropping below it could signal more downside, while holding it might set the stage for a potential bounce.  

      Breakout Zone: $548-$550. A move above this range could indicate a bullish reversal.  

      Hindenburg Research's allegations against Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) include potential accounting manipulation, evasion of international sanctions, concerns over product quality decline, and governance issues.

      It's important to note that this information is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, and it is recommended to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

      For more detailed information, you can refer to the relevant articles available:

      Super Micro Computer And Hindenburg's Short Report  

      🎁What the Tigers Say | SMCI Shorted: Will It Drop Below 500?  

      Option Movers | Traders Expect a 10% Move in NVDA Shares; SMCI's $500 Put Shows High Trading Volume  

      Short SMCI Before NVDA Earnings, May Be A Good Step?  

      Please note that the trading status is subject to change.

  • Aqa
    08-29
    Aqa
    $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ share price has fallen to $409.85 with the day low of $400. In 2020, the company was investigated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for financial irregularities, leading to restated financials and fines. The market's reaction to Hindenburg Research’s allegations reflects investors caution about SMCI’s governance and compliance problems. SMCI share price can be purchased at such a desirable price. Be prepared for the stock to drop 50%. Thanks @TigerClub
  • Universe宇宙
    08-28
    Universe宇宙
    @TigerGPT tell me more about Hindenburg Research report with regards to $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ and whether if lawsuits will be deliver if either one of them are caught lying. Grab data from the Internet if necessary.
    • TigerGPT

      According to the news and viewpoints gathered from the Internet, Hindenburg Research recently released a detailed short thesis targeting Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI). The report alleges several critical allegations against the company, including accounting manipulation, involvement in activities that help bypass international sanctions, deteriorating product quality compared to competitors, and significant governance and compliance issues. These allegations have raised concerns about the company's financial practices and its adherence to regulatory standards and corporate governance best practices.

      The release of the Hindenburg Research report led to an initial plunge of up to 12% in SMCI's stock price. However, the stock managed to recover slightly by the close. The report has drawn attention to the AI industry and raised questions about the future prospects of SMCI.

      As for the possibility of lawsuits, it is important to note that the allegations made by Hindenburg Research are serious in nature. In the past, companies targeted by short-sellers have faced legal actions if they were found to have engaged in fraudulent or deceptive practices. However, the decision to file a lawsuit ultimately depends on various factors, including the strength of the evidence, regulatory investigations, and the actions taken by shareholders.

      Given the seriousness of the allegations and the potential impact on the company's reputation and financial performance, it is advisable for investors to closely monitor the situation and consider conducting thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions related to SMCI.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it is important to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

      You can view the full Hindenburg Research report and other relevant news articles through the following links:

      🎁What the Tigers Say | SMCI Shorted: Will It Drop Below 500?  

      Option Movers | Traders Expect a 10% Move in NVDA Shares; SMCI's $500 Put Shows High Trading Volume  

      Short SMCI Before NVDA Earnings, May Be A Good Step?  

      BRIEF-Hindenburg Research Says We Have Taken A Short Position In Shares Of Super Micro  

      UPDATE 1-Hindenburg Research discloses short position in server maker Super Micro  

      Hindenburg Research reveals short position in Super Micro (NASDAQ:SMCI)  

      Apologies, but I couldn't find any more specific news articles related to Super Micro Computer Inc. For more relevant information, you may consider visiting the stock quote page or conducting further research on reputable financial news platforms.

  • Universe宇宙
    08-28
    Universe宇宙
    @TigerGPT 请告诉我更多关于Hindenburg Research关于 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ 的报告,以及如果其中任何一个被发现撒谎,是否会提起诉讼。如有必要,从互联网上获取数据。
    • TigerGPT

      根据互联网上的相关报道,知名做空机构Hindenburg Research最近发布了一份关于超微电脑公司(SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC)的做空报告。报告指出超微电脑存在多项问题,包括会计操纵、未披露的关联交易、违反出口管制以及客户流失等。此举对该公司的股价产生了负面影响,股价在报告发布后出现下跌。

      以下是一些具体的新闻报道和分析文章,供您参考:

      "超微电脑跌幅扩大至20%,遭做空后推迟公布Q4业绩" - 这篇文章介绍了超微电脑宣布推迟公布第四季度业绩的消息,并提到了新闻报道中提到的Hindenburg Research的报告。  

      "超微电脑被做空机构'狙击' 涉嫌会计操纵等引发股价暴跌" - 该文章详细介绍了Hindenburg Research报告中提到的超微电脑存在的问题,并解释了这些问题对股价造成的负面影响。  

      "兴登堡做空机构'狙击'超微电脑 涉嫌会计操纵及违规问题遭质疑" - 这篇文章提到了Hindenburg Research报告中的指控,并讨论了超微电脑公司在该报告发布后面临的质疑和挑战。  

      "周三美市盘前走高 重点谈卖空机构Hindenburg Research攻击Super Micro Computer" - 这篇文章简要介绍了Hindenburg Research的调查方法和报告中的一些发现。  

      需要注意的是,以上摘要文章仅供参考,详细了解此事件的相关报道和报告内容,建议您直接阅读原文。此外,在法律责任方面,根据报道,Hindenburg Research对其发布的报告进行了详尽的调查,并指出了他们所认为的问题。如果有任何撒谎行为被发现,并不构成投资建议,投资者应该根据自己的判断和风险承受能力做出决策。为了获取更多相关信息,您也可以查看超微电脑公司的股票报价页面。

      希望这些信息能对您有所帮助。请注意,我只能提供信息和建议,并不能作出具体的投资决策。投资涉及风险,您需要在决策之前谨慎考虑。

  • nomadic_m
    08-28
    nomadic_m
    congrats sis @Barcode @SPACE ROCKET

    looks like a good opportunity for dip buying $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$. $444 you say?

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