$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$
Long-Term Strategy:
The current trend remains in the Bullish zone, supporting a 'Buy and Hold' position. However, the likelihood of a transition to a Bearish zone is rising, which calls for cautious monitoring. Over the past 13 days in the Bullish zone, there has been a 2.0% return. The market is now approaching a potential shift, so a reassessment of the strategy may soon be necessary.
Short-Term Strategy:
Although still in the Bullish zone, a shift to Bearish conditions is expected soon. The market is currently experiencing a correction phase with fluctuating prices. A 'Neutral' investment position is recommended, with an ideal buying window between October 2-3 at a price of 5,643.3, and a potential selling point on October 9-10 at 5,799.0.
Trend Outlook:
The market shows moderate volatility, with the potential for significant price swings. Over the next 10 days, the expected price range is between 5,658.6 and 5,774.2, with moderate upward and downward intensities. Prepare for a potential trend reversal in the coming days.
Long-term strategy
The current trend zone is Bullish, and Investment position suitable for the trend zone is Buy and Hold.
The trend within a Bullish zone is divided into an 'Uptrend' in the upward direction and a 'Correction Trend' in the downward direction. In the Uptrend, there is a strong upward flow with occasional downward movements, while in the Correction Trend, there is a fluctuating flow involving limited or temporary downward movements and upward fluctuations. Investing in this zone is associated with high expected returns and a low risk of decline.
In a Bullish zone, the potential for strong buying pressure is maintained, leading to a robust upward trend and a relatively mild correction trend. When viewed through a medium to long-term investment approach, if the trend continues to move in the Bullish zone, one can anticipate an upward flow of the bullish trend, seeking the potential for high returns.
This is a method of investing in the long term, enjoying investment returns by holding assets for an extended period rather than engaging in repetitive buying and selling based on price fluctuations. And when the trend enters a Bearish zone, it becomes the Selling point.
The likelihood of the trend entering the Bearish zone soon is high, necessitating consideration for a change in investment strategy at this point.
The 'Buy and Hold' position has been maintained for 13 days since the entry into the Bullish zone. During this period, the cumulative rate of return in the Bullish has been 2.0% as of the current date.
Short-term strategy
Indicating that We are currently in a bullish zone so far. But It is likely to change to a bearish zone within a few days.
In a bullish zone, where buying intensity is potentially strong, anticipating significant upward movements is reasonable. Therefore, actively responding with aggressive buying at appropriate entry points in the short term is effective. During selling moments, a gradual and partial selling approach is recommended. This strategy allows for the exploration of opportunities to buy back at lower prices.
Currently, it's in the midst of a correction trend in a downward-trending market with a box pattern of price fluctuations, marked by small increases and downward fluctuations. and The Buy-Sell intensity has changed from a strong buying flow to a suddenly strengthening selling flow.
A correction trend can be seen as a moment of pausing with either price or time adjustments within a strong upward momentum. The previously strong buying intensity temporarily transitions into a subdued state, and there is a temporary emergence of strong selling pressure in the flow.
It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow a sideways box pattern, with a ratio of 6 : 4 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the downward trend. And, in terms of the expected intensity of the upward and downward movements, the downward intensity is moderate, while the upward intensity is moderate.
https://pretiming.blogspot.com/2024/09/s-500-investment-strategy-as-of-october.html
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