$Alibaba(BABA)$πΊ π ±ππ »π »π Έππ ·πΊ
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$MATTHEWS CHINA ACTIVE ETF(MCH)$ $GRANITESHARES 2X LONG BABA DAILY ETF(BABX)$
πππ Alibaba Breakout: Ready for Liftoff Once the Blue Line Clears! πππ
Kia ora Tiger traders!
Alibaba (BABA) is teasing us with its price action, getting closer to $111.05βthat all-important blue line on the chart. Once BABA breaks through, we could see it skyrocket faster than you can sip your morning coffee βοΈ. Letβs get into the breakdown and see why this stock is about to expand quickly π!
π₯ Chart Breakdown: Blue Line = Takeoff! π₯
Currently, BABA is trading at $110.90 (+0.69% post-market), and itβs eyeing the $111.05 resistance level. Once we break the blue line, expect rapid price expansion as the technicals are aligning for a bullish breakout.
β’ Current Price: $110.90
β’ Resistance: $111.05
β’ Once Over the Blue Line: Time to π! Big moves ahead for BABA once it clears this critical level.
π Technical Indicators: Whatβs the Market Whispering? π
β’ MACD: Bullish crossover is building momentum, weβre heating up here π₯.
β’ RSI: Sitting at 58.80, still plenty of room for the bulls π to run.
β’ OBV: Volume is reflecting strong accumulation, traders are gearing up for this breakout πͺ.
π Key Levels:
β’ Support: $107.22
β’ Resistance: $111.05
πΌ Alibabaβs Fundamentals: Strong Backing from Analysts πΌ
Alibabaβs core businesses, especially cloud computing and AI investments, are drawing rave reviews from analysts. Despite regulatory challenges, Alibaba continues to recover, backed by significant tailwinds like Chinaβs stimulus and AI expansion.
Analyst Updates:
β’ Morgan Stanley raised its price target from $90 to $115, citing strong growth in Alibabaβs cloud services and AI developments.
β’ Nomura increased its price target to $135, maintaining a Buy rating. Their outlook points to Alibaba being a long-term growth play with robust potential.
β’ Goldman Sachs flagged a price target of $105, emphasising BABAβs focus on reinvesting in growth and core businesses.
Recommendation Breakdown (48 analysts):
π’ Strong Buy: 29%
π’ Buy: 56%
π‘ Hold: 15%
π΄ Sell: 0%
β Strong Sell: 0%
π° Big ETF Exposure: Leverage Alibabaβs Growth π°
Want to get exposure to Alibaba without holding the stock directly? Check out these ETFs that feature significant BABA allocations:
β’ KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (NYSE: $KWEB) π’ 11.05% allocation to BABA.
β’ iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ: $MCHI) π‘ 8.96%.
β’ GraniteShares 2x Long BABA Daily ETF (NASDAQ: $BABX), for those who want some leveraged action π!
π° Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF ($VWO): Your Key to Diversification π°
$Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF(VWO)$
While Alibaba looks poised for growth, diversification is always a savvy strategy. Enter Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO), a powerhouse of 5,934 stocks from emerging markets like China, Brazil, Taiwan, and South Africa.
Why VWO is a Strong Choice:
β’ Expense Ratio: Just 0.08%βone of the lowest in the category, meaning more of your returns stay in your pocket πΈ.
β’ Top Holdings: Includes heavyweights like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), Tencent, Alibaba, and Reliance Industries.
β’ Dividend Yield: Quarterly dividends of 2.5% make this ETF attractive for both growth and income seekers.
π‘ Performance: VWO is up 17% year-to-date, showcasing strong growth despite the volatility inherent in emerging markets .
While emerging markets can be more volatile, VWOβs broad exposure provides stability across diverse sectors and economies, making it a key addition to any portfolio with long-term growth in mind.
π§ Alibabaβs Competitors: How They Stack Up π§
Even with all its strength, Alibaba has to keep an eye on its key competitors:
1. PDD Holdings π’(Buy 15) π‘(Hold 8) π΄(Sell 4)
2. JD.com π’(Buy 12) π‘(Hold 7) π΄(Sell 2)
3. Tencent Holdings π’(Buy 18) π‘(Hold 5) π΄(Sell 3)
Each of these players is a giant in their own right, but Alibabaβs cloud growth and AI expansion give it the edge in the long run.
π Regulatory Bumps & Macro Tailwinds π
Alibaba faced a major regulatory fine in 2021, which dampened its short-term growth, but Chinaβs new stimulus measures are providing a fresh tailwind for the company. Analysts agree that BABAβs cloud division could be worth over $100B in the coming years, driven by demand for AI and cloud services.
Conclusion: Alibaba Ready for a Breakout Above the Blue Line? π
Itβs all coming together for BABA. The technical indicators are pointing toward a bullish breakout, and once it clears $111.05, the price expansion could be fast and furious. With strong analyst backing, continued growth in cloud services, and AI advancements, Alibaba is looking like a prime breakout candidate π.
Hey Tiger Traders, whatβs your play when BABA breaks through the blue line? Are you jumping on board or waiting for confirmation? π Letβs hear your strategies!
@TigerGPT Will BABAβs breakout above the blue line trigger a multi-month rally, or will macro factors continue to weigh on the stock?
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC π
@Tiger_comments @Daily_Discussion @TigerPM @TigerPicks @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerOptions @BABAMood @LEESIMON
Comments
Alibaba (BABA) Stock Analysis:
Company Overview: Alibaba (BABA) is a leading multinational conglomerate specializing in e-commerce, technology, and cloud computing. The company operates various online marketplaces, digital payment platforms, and provides cloud computing services.
Earnings Analysis: For the latest earnings period (2025Q1), Alibaba reported an EPS of 10.04. The company's gross profit margin stood at 39.93%, and its return on investment was 7.49%. Other financial ratios and details can be provided upon request.
Earnings Forecast: According to the earnings forecast, analysts expect Alibaba's EPS to reach 79.10 (CNY) for the 2027FY period. The forecasted gross income is 1178.23B (CNY), and the forecasting EBIT is 190.40B (CNY). Similarly, forecasts for other fiscal years are available.
Analyst Recommendations: Analysts have given Alibaba mixed recommendations. Out of 13 analysts, 15 recommend buying the stock, while 3 suggest holding. It's important to note that these recommendations are subjective opinions.
Analyst Target Price: Based on 28 analysts' forecasts, the mean target price for Alibaba is 110.76921 (HKD). The low target estimate is 82.0 (HKD), and the high target estimate is 146.0 (HKD).
Capital Flow Data: Over the past five days, Alibaba has experienced varying levels of capital flow. The detailed figures are available for each day.
Support and Resistance Price: As of the latest data, the support price for Alibaba is 80.2 (HKD) and the resistance price is 106.5 (HKD). These levels can provide insights into potential buying and selling opportunities.
Stock Price: The latest stock price for Alibaba is 105.8 (HKD). The average cost for the stock is 99.62 (HKD).
Capital Flow Data (1 Day): In the most recent day, the total inflow was 56.17 billion (CNY), and the total outflow was 45.43 billion (CNY). Further details about the capital flow can be provided upon request.
Please note that the above analysis does not constitute investment advice, and it is crucial to conduct comprehensive research and consider various factors before making investment decisions. The stock market is subject to inherent risks and fluctuations in stock prices.
If you have any specific questions or require more analysis, feel free to let me know!
π€£ Cramer again π€£ Go $Alibaba(BABA)$ πππππ
$Alibaba(BABA)$ πππ Lets go BABA! Nice one BC! @Barcode
Let's GO $Alibaba(BABA)$ πππ
$Alibaba(BABA)$ LETS GO Baba! πππ